AP STATISTICS: Ms. Jetmore 2015-2016 Syllabus Chapter 7: Sampling Distributions Day M Nov 30 Topic Chapter 7 Introduction, Sec 7.1 – Parameters and Statistics Assignment p. 428; 1, 3, 5, 7 Read p. 417-427 T Dec 1 Sec 7.1 – Sampling Variability, Describing Sampling Distributions p. 429; 9, 11, 13, 17-20 Read p. 432-439 W Dec 2 Sec 7.2 – The Sampling Distribution of p̂ , p. 431; 21-24 Using the Normal Approximation for p̂ p. 439; 27, 29, 33 Sec 7.2 – The Sampling Distribution of p̂ , p. 441; 35, 37, 41, 43-46 Using the Normal Approximation for p̂ Review p. 416-439 F Dec 4 Review 7.1 & 7.2 Quiz 7.1 & 7.2 Read p. 442-448 M Dec 7 Sec 7.3 – The Sampling Distribution of x : Mean and Standard Deviation, Sampling from a Normal Population p. 454; 49, 51, 53, 55 Read p. 449-453 T Dec 8 Sec 7.3 – The Central Limit Theorem p. 455; 57, 59, 61, 63, 65-68 W Dec 9 Chapter 7 Review p. 458; 1-7 R Dec 10 Chapter 7 Review p. 459; 1-13 (optional) F Dec 11 Chapter 7 TEST Review Chapters 1 & 2 M Dec 14 T Dec 15 W Dec 16 R Dec 17 F Dec 18 Final project work day Final project work day Final Exam – part 1 Final Exam – part 2 Project presentations Review Chapters 3 & 4 Review Chapters 5 & 6 work on project finish project Turn in books R Dec 3 WINTER BREAK DEC 21 – JAN 4 COME BACK TO SCHOOL TUESDAY JAN 5TH Tutoring is available most morning 7:30-8:00am and after school as needed. Additional assistance is available at: rhsjetmoremath.pbworks.com Chapter Objectives Section 7.1 – What is a Sampling Distribution? Distinguish between a parameter and a statistic. Understand the definition of a sampling distribution. Distinguish between population distribution, sampling distribution, and the distribution of sampling data. Determine whether a statistic is an unbiased estimator of a population parameter. Understand the relationship between sample size and the variability of an estimator. Section 7.2 – Sample Proportions Find the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution of a sample proportion p̂ for an SRS of size n from a population having proportion p of successes. Check whether the 10% and Normal conditions are met in a given setting. Use Normal approximation to calculate probabilities involving p̂ . Use the sampling distribution of p̂ to evaluate a claim about a population proportion. Section 7.3 – Sample Means Find the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution of a sample mean x from an SRS of size n. Calculate probabilities involving a sample mean x when the population distribution is Normal. Explain how the shape of the sampling distribution of x is related to the shape of the population distribution. Use the central limit theorem to help find probabilities involving a sample mean x . AP Exam Tips Terminology matters. Don’t say “sample distribution” when you mean sampling distribution. You will lose credit on free-response questions for misusing statistical terms. Notation matters. The symbols pˆ , x , p, , , pˆ , pˆ , x , x all have specific and different meanings. Either use notation correctly – or don’t use it at all. You can expect to lose credit if you use incorrect notation. Free-Response Questions from Previous AP Exams Questions can be found on the AP Central Web site: http://apcentral.collegeboard.com/apc/members/exam/exam_questions/8357.html. Students should be able to answer all the free-response questions listed with material in this chapter. Questions that contain content from this chapter but also require content from later chapters are listed in the last chapter required to complete the entire question. Some of these problems we will do in class as warm-up problems. You may do the others to help you understand the content from this chapter as well as to prepare for the AP exam in May. Year Question 1998 1 2004B 3 2006 3 2007 3 2007B 2 2008B 2009 2 2 2010 2 Content Sampling distribution of the sample mean, effect of sample size on shape of sampling distribution Normal probability calculation and interpretation, probability calculation and interpretation for the sample mean Normal probability calculation, Binomial probability calculation, probability calculation for the sample mean Sampling distribution of the sample mean, probability calculation for the sample mean, central limit theorem Addition rule, binomial probability calculation, sampling distribution of the sample mean Properties of estimators: bias and variability Inverse Normal calculation, binomial probability calculation, probability calculation for the sample mean Sampling distribution of the sample mean, probability calculation for a total