Chapter 8 Review Exercises Problem 248 Since we are after a “…probability distribution…” we need to see how it is distributed; so first list the numbers and then note how many there are of each of these numbers: N u m b e r H o w M a n y 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 1 6 2 3 1 2 1 Now since a probability distribution requires a probability, which is how many divided by the total, we add them up for the total (1+6+2+3+1+2+1 = 16) and then divide each: N u m b e r P r o b a b i l i t y 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 1 / 1 6 6 / 1 6 2 / 1 6 3 / 1 6 1 / 1 6 2 / 1 6 1 / 1 6 o r 0 . 0 6 2 5 0 . 3 7 5 0 0 . 1 2 5 0 0 . 1 8 7 5 0 . 0 6 2 5 0 . 1 2 5 0 0 . 0 6 2 5 Problem 249 Taking the probability distribution from Problem and create a histogram (or bar graph) of the data (you must include the gap between 7 and 9, for the zero probability of 8): Problem 2 0.4000 0.3500 0.3000 0.2500 0.2000 0.1500 0.1000 0.0500 0.0000 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Series 1 Problem 250 The mean is the same as the average, so there are two ways to accomplish this: (1) add them up and divide by how many numbers or (2) take the sum of the number times the probability. (1) (4+3+3+5+7+2+4+3+5+9+3+6+5+3+7+3)/16 = 72/16 = 4.5 (2) 2*0.0625+3*0.375+4*0.125+5*0.1875+6*0.0625+7*0.125+9*0.0625 = 4.5 Problem 251 The expected value is the same as the average (which is also the same as the mean…see problem 3), so there are two ways to accomplish this: (1) add them 9 up and divide by how many numbers or (2) take the sum of the number times the probability. (1) (4+3+3+5+7+2+4+3+5+9+3+6+5+3+7+3)/16 = 72/16 = 4.5 (2) 2*0.0625+3*0.375+4*0.125+5*0.1875+6*0.0625+7*0.125+9*0.0625 = 4.5 Problem 252 The variance (σ2) may be found in one of two ways: (1) using the definition formula [∑( (𝑥𝑖 − 𝜇)2 𝑝(𝑥))] or (2) using the computing formula [E(x2) µ2]…the mean (µ) comes from problems 250 or 251. (1) (2-4.5)2*0.0625 + (3-4.5)2*0.375 + (4-4.5)2*0.125 + (5-4.5)2*0.1875 + (6-4.5)2*0.0625 + (7-4.5)2*0.125 + (9-4.5)2*0.0625 = 3.5 (2) First calculate E(x2): 22*0.0625+32*0.375+42*0.125+52*0.1875+62*0.0625+72*0.125+92* 0.0625 = 23.75 So the variance is 23.75 – (4.5)2 = 3.5 Now since standard deviation (σ) is the square root of variance (σ2), it is √3.5 = 1.8708 Problem 253(a) Since we are given: X P(X) -2 1/12 1 ¼ 3 ? And we know that the probability must add to ONE, then 1/12 + ¼ + P(3) = 1, so P(3) = 1 – 1/12 – ¼ = 8/12 = 2/3 or 0.6667 Problem 253(b) For probabilities greater than -2, we add all probabilities that are greater than -2, giving us P(1) + P(3) = ¼ + 2/3 = 11/12 or 0.9167 This can also be done using the complement rule, since the only probability not included is the P(-2), giving us 1 – P(-2) =1 – 1/12 = 11/12 or 0.9167 Problem 253(c) For probabilities greater than or equal to -2, we add all probabilities that are greater than -2 as well as the probability of -2, which means you have everything (all the probability): 1 Problem 253(d) The expected value is the sum of the number times the probability: -2*1/12+1*1/4+3*2/3 = -2/12 + 3/12 + 2 = 25/12 or 2.0833 Problem 253(e) The variance (σ2) may be found in one of two ways: (1) using the definition formula [∑( (𝑥𝑖 − 𝜇)2 𝑝(𝑥))] or (2) using the computing formula [E(x2) µ2]…the mean (µ) comes from problem 256. (1) (-2-25/12)2*1/12 + (1-25/12)2*1/4 + (3-25/12)2*2/3 = 2.2431 or 323/144 (2) First calculate E(x2): -22*1/12+12*1/4+32*2/3 = 6.5833 or 79/12 So the variance is 79/12 – (25/12)2 = 2.2431 or 323/144 Now since standard deviation (σ) is the square root of variance (σ2), it is √323/144 = 1.4977 Problems 254-258 You are asked for a z-score, so you will use the equation: z = (x- µ)/σ, in which you are given the mean (µ) of 62 but a variance (σ2) of 25…and we need the standard deviation; which is fine since we will take the square root of the variance to get the standard deviation (σ) of 5…and we are ready to plug in the values for x… Problems 254 For x = 68, then z = (68 - 62)/5 = 1.20 Problems 255 For x = 49, then z = (49 - 62)/5 = -2.60 Problems 256 For x = 74, then z = (74 - 62)/5 = 2.40 Problems 257 For x = 57.5, then z = (57.5 - 62)/5 = -0.90 Problems 258 For x = 60.2, then z = (60.2 - 62)/5 = -0.36 Problems 259-263 You are asked to take a z-score and give the “…raw score…”, so you will use take the z-score equation: z = (x- µ)/σ and rearrange it so that it reads: x = z*σ + µ; for this equation you are given the mean (µ) of 62 but a variance (σ2) of 25…and we need the standard deviation; which is fine since we will take the square root of the variance to get the standard deviation (σ) of 5…and we are ready to plug in the values for z… Problems 259 For z = 1.7, then x = 1.7*5 + 62 = 70.5 Problems 260 For z = -2.45, then x = -2.45*5 + 62 = 49.75 Problems 261 For z = 3.18, then x = 3.18*5 + 62 = 77.9 Problems 262 For z = 5, then x = 5*5 + 62 = 87 Problems 263 For z = -1.5, then x = -1.5*5 + 62 = 54.5 Problems 264 Words like “Knowing nothing more…” and “…at least what percentage…”, should tell you the generalness of the answer requested…so this is a Chebychev problem; and his equation is 1 – 1/k2. We are given the mean (29) and the standard deviation (4) and a pair of numbers that the probability must be between (and they MUST be equal distance from the mean…which they are). Choosing one we calculate the zscore = (37-29)/4 = 2 Now taking that and entering into the Chebychev equation you get 1 – 1/22 = ¾ or 0.75 So that means that at least 75% of the probability can be found between 21 and 37 Problems 265 “…normally distributed…”, says start with a z-score (unless you want to enter it directly into your calculator (that will be mentioned at the end)). For 21, zscore = (21-29)/4 = -2, and for 37, z-score = (37-29)/4 = 2; which means there is a probability of 0.4772 for each (from the table), giving a total probability of 0.9544 For the TI-83/84, you could go to 2nd-DISTR and down to “normalcdf” and hit enter. Then enter the following for this problem “21,37,29,4” and hit enter; [please note that the comma is above the 7 key, and you could close the parenthesis, but it is not necessary]. This gives an answer of 0.9545 and yes it is slightly different, but that is because the calculator carries more decimal places and is not rounded off, so is a little more accurate. Problems 266-268 “…normally distributed…”, has something to do with z-scores and the probability table (unless you want to enter it directly into your calculator (that will be mentioned too)). Problems 266 For a problem talking about where something “…cuts off…”, you must first find the amount of probability between the mean (120) and the cutoff point…which in this case, pertains to the statement “…top 15%...”; and a picture is always helpful (and recommended) and looks like: 16% or 0.16 120 X Since the mean cuts the normal probability distribution in half, then there must be (0.50 – 0.16) 0.3400 probability between the mean and the line defined as X. I used 4-digits so that it would remind me that in the next step, I must look in the body of the table and get a z-score (backwards to finding probabilities)…in this case the closest probability is 0.3389, giving a z-score of 0.99. Now to take to take the z-score and turn it into a raw score, I can either take the z-score equation (z=(x- µ)/σ ) and plug in all the values except x and solve for x, or rearrange the equation first (x=zσ +µ) and plug in the numbers: in either case, x = 0.99(10) + 120 = 129.9 To use the TI-83/84, you press 2nd DISTR and go to “invNorm” and press enter. Then you enter “0.84,120,10”; the 0.84 is because that’s how much probability that there is in the picture from the farthest left point to the line marked X. (Remember the comma is above the 7 key.) This gives: 129.9446 Problems 267 For a problem talking about “…probability…”, you have two ways to solve this: (1) by the use of your calculator (which I will explain afterwards) and (2) by process, for which you must first find the z-score(s) at the edges of the “shaded area” (the area you are looking for) using the equation z=(x- µ)/σ. A picture is always helpful (and recommended) 105 125 and looks like: The z-score for 105 is z=(105- 120)/10 = -1.50; and for 125 is z=(125- 120)/10 = 0.50. The next step is to use the table and look up the probability values…for z= -1.50 it is 0.4332 and for z=0.50 it is 0.1915. Since (as the picture shows) the probability is on both sides of the mean we add the probabilities: 0.4332 + 0.1915 = 0.6247 To use the TI-83/84, you press 2nd DISTR and go to “normalcdf” and press enter. Then you enter “105,125,120,10”, (remember the comma is above the 7 key) and hit enter. This gives: 0.6247