Characterization of TCCON column CO2 and boundary layer CO2 by combining TCCON and TES data Abstract: Monitoring the global distribution and long-term variations of CO2 sources and sinks is required for characterizing the global carbon budget. Measurements of the total column of CO2 by ground or by satellite have the potential to estimate global sources and sinks (Rayner and O’Brien, GRL, 2001, Olsen and Randerson, JGR, 2004) but are less sensitive to regional scale sources and sinks because CO2 is a long-lived gas which makes it challenging to identify local sources from CO2 transported into the observed air parcel (Keppel-Aleks et al., BGD, 2011). In this study we explore the use of total column measurements with estimates of the free tropospheric CO2 by TES to distinguish boundary layer CO2 and free tropospheric CO2 because quantify the vertical gradient between the free troposphere and boundary layer is critical for estimating CO2 fluxes (Stephens, Science, 2007) and near surface CO2 should be more sensitive to local fluxes than the total column CO2. CO2 profiles are estimated from the Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) measurements and integrated into a column-averaged concentration. These column data agree with aircraft integrated data within root mean square (RMS) of 0.46 ppm, consistent with the uncertainties due to measurement noise and temperature. There is a bias of about -5 ppm, agreeing with Wunch et al. (Atmos. Meas. Tech. 2010). Free troposphere estimates of CO2 are obtained from the GEOS-Chem model that has assimilated CO2 measurements from Aura Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer. The boundary layer CO2 estimates are calculated by subtracting TES free tropospheric CO2 from TCCON column CO2. This estimate of boundary layer CO2 agrees well with aircraft data with RMS of 1.46 ppm for the sixteen PBL CO 2 estimates we compared. This work shows that total column from NIR measurements (GOSAT, TCCON and OCO-2) and free troposphere measurement from TIR (e.g. TES and AIRS) can be used to profile CO2 and obtain PBL CO2 with precision necessary to capture the atmospheric CO2 variability. It also shows potential of joint retrieval of NIR and TIR. The CO2 surface flux can be better quantified by monitoring a long-term boundary layer CO2. I. Introduction The spatial and temporal distribution of uptake remains large uncertainties. Why boundary layer and tropospheric CO2 is important The difference between column-averaged CO2 ( C CO2 ) and surface CO2 can vary from 2 to 10 ppm depending on the location and the time of the year (Olsen and Randerson 2004). Compared to surface values, the seasonal variation of C CO2 generally has a time lag in phase with less variability due to the time delay caused by the vertical mixing. The advantage of the column measurements is that they are less affected by the variability due to the vertical transport, but they are also less 1 sensitive to surface sources and sinks. The advantage of the column measurements is that they are less affected by the variability due to the vertical transport, but they are also less sensitive to surface sources and sinks. Higher surface concentrations usually occur at nighttime or in winter due to CO2 buildup in a shallow planetary boundary layer (PBL), while surface uptake due to plant growth occurs during the daytime or in summer. Therefore, the vertical profile information of atmospheric CO2 is required for estimating the regional source and sink, understanding the vertical transport, and determining the exchange between the surface and atmosphere. Current co2 data are column-weighted or mid/upper tropospheric CO2 Column-weighted CO2, ignoring the vertical mixing, is good for the study in global scale but has limited sensitivity to local carbon flux. It is hard to determine whether the column variation is due to the surface-atmosphere exchanging or horizontal transportation. Boundary layer CO2 variations are greatly affected by the local source and sinks. Combining boundary layer and column co2 can determine the vertical gradient between boundary layer and free tropospheric co2 and further to infer the local sources or sinks. II. Method The column amount is obtained by integrating the concentration profile fg(z) from surface to the top of atmosphere. ∞ πππΆπ = ∫ ππ (π§) β π(π§) β ππ§ π§π where TVCg is total vertical column for gas ‘g’ and n(z) represents the number density vertical profile. If fg(z) is dry concentration profile as a function of altitude (z), the ratio of total column between gas and air will give dry-air column-averaged πππ¦ abundance, e.g. ππΆπ2 . TVCCO2 XCO2 = TVCAIR The aim of this paper is to determine PBL CO2 by subtracting TES free tropospheric CO2 from TCCON retrieved total column amount of CO2. Partial vertical column amount of CO2 in free troposphere and up are give by TES assimilated data ( TROP ). Then partial vertical column amount of CO2 in PBL can be computed as PVCCO 2 the difference between the column amount and partial free tropospheric amount: PBL TROP PVCCO = TVCCO2 - PVCCO 2 2 The ratio of partial vertical column between CO2 and air gives the PBL CO2 PBL concentration pXCO . 2 2 pX PBL CO2 = PBL PVCCO 2 BL PVCAIR III. Measurements 1. Bottom-up measurement (TCCON): The Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) is a ground-base network of precise solar tracking system which measures incoming sunlight with high spectral resolution (0.02 cm-1) and high signal to noise ratio (SNR) (e.g. 885 for the InGaAs detector and 500 for the Si diode detector [Washenfelder et al. 2006]). The recorded spectral region covers from 4000 to 6000 cm-1. It provides a long-term observation of column-averaged abundance of greenhouse gases, such as CO2, methane (CH4), and other trace gases (e.g. CO, N2O) over 16 TCCON sites around the world including both operational and future sites (Washenfelder et al. 2006; Wunch et al. 2010, 2011; Yang et al. 2002). The precision in CO2 total column measurements from TCCON standard scaling retrieval is achieved to better than 0.25% (Wunch et al. 2010, 2011). The absolute accuracy is ~1% (Wunch et al. 2010). In this work, we developed a profile retrieval algorithm, which sometimes performs better than the scaling retrievals. It doesn’t reduce the bias in column CO2 but improve the precision to 0.18%. 3 Figure 2. CO2 band at 1.6 οm observed on June 17, 2008 by TCCON at Park Falls (Wisconsin) with solar zenith angle of 22.5ο°. 2. Top-down measurement (TES): Aura Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer (TES) measures the infrared radiance emitted by Earth’s surface and atmospheric gases and particles. These measurements have peak sensitivity to mid-tropospheric CO2 at 511 hPa. Here, we use TES Geos-chem assimilated CO2 in free troposphere to separate the PBL CO2 from column data by TCCON profile retrievals. 3. Flight measurements: Aircraft measures the CO2 profiles up to 6 Km and sometimes to 10 Km. It is considered the best estimates of the true state of atmospheric CO2. We collected profile observations by different aircrafts, such as HIPPO and Learjet, at the Southern Great Plains (SCP) ARM site mostly in 2009, to calibrate our derived column and PBL CO2 data at Lamont site. 1. Estimates of column CO2 IV. Results a) Retrieval approach: The profile of atmospheric CO2 is obtained by a nonlinear least-square spectral fitting using a line-by-line spectral fitting algorithm (GFIT) developed at JPL. The radiative transfer model in GFIT computes simulated spectra using 71 vertical levels with 1 km intervals for the input atmospheric state. The details about the TCCON instrument setup and GFIT code are also described in Deutscher et al., 2010; Geibel et al., 2010; Washenfelder et al., 2006; Wunch et al., 2010, 2011; Yang et al., 2002. The retrievals in this study use one of TCCON-measured CO2 absorption bands, centered at 6220.00 cm-1 with a window width of 80.00 cm-1 (figure 2). In standard scaling retrieval, a constant scaling factor γ is estimated to shift a priori profile so that the model computed spectrum has the best fit of observation. In our retrieval, we retrieve altitude dependent scaling factors γ(z) to perturb a priori profile in order to minimize the cost function. Ten retrieval levels are selected with increasing spacing going up. The non-diagonal covariance matrix for a priori has larger variance (about 10 ppm) in boundary layer and decrease with altitude. There are tight constrains in the stratosphere. Off diagonal values provide dependency between the levels. SNR is chosen to be 200 to obtain chi-square about 1. Column-averaged dry-air mole fractions are derived using retrieved O2 columns ππΆπ2 πππ¦ ππΆπ2 = × 0.2094 ππ2 4 There a few more advantages of normalizing O2 column other than remove water. Dividing by retrieved O2 using spectra measurements from same instruments improves the precision of column CO2 by significantly reducing the effects of instrumental or measurement errors that are common to both gases (e.g. solar tracker pointing errors, zero level offsets, instrument line shape errors, etc. (Wunch et al., 2010). However, errors specific for O2 will be transferred to column-averaged CO2. We found a bias is introduced by using O2 as a measure of the dry air column. b) Characterization of estimates: Derivation of averaging kernel We retrieve a parameter πΎ called scaling factor, which is a ratio between the state vector of gas concentration profile x and its a priori xa. To obtain estimates such as a CO2 profile, the scaling factors need to be first mapped from retrieval grid point to forward model levels: π½ = ππΎ and then multiply the scaling factor on forward model level π½ to the concentration a priori xa, which gives the estimate of the gas profile: π₯ = π½π₯π where M is a linear mapping matrix. The Jacobian of retrieved parameter with respect to the radiance is ππΏ(ππΎ) πΎπΎ = ππΎ Using the chain rule, we can obtain the equation relating the retrieval Jacobian to the full-state Jacobian ππΏ ππΏ ππ½ = ππΎ ππ½ ππΎ or πΎπΎ = πΎπ½ π If the estimates by retrieval are close to the actual state, then the estimated state can be expressed as a linear retrieval equation: π½Μ = π½π + π΄π½ (π½ − π½π ) + ππΊπΎ π + ∑ ππΊπΎ πΎππ (π π − πππ ) π where n is a zero-mean Gaussian spectral noise vector with covariance ππ and the vector b is the true state of non-retrieved parameters that also affect the modeled radiance, e.g. temperature, interfering gases, etc. The vector ba is a priori values for vector b and Kb is the Jacobian of vector b. If we want to convert above equation to the state vector of concentration (x), we simply multiply the equation by xa to obtain: π₯Μ = π½π π₯π + π΄π½ (π₯ − π½π π₯π ) + π₯π ππΊπΎ π + ∑ π₯π ππΊπΎ πΎππ (π π − πππ ) where πΊπΎ is the gain matrix, which is defined by π ππΎ πΊπΎ = ππΏ = (πΎπΎπ ππ−1 πΎπΎ + ππ−1 )−1 πΎπΎπ ππ−1. Then the averaging kernel in forward model dimension is 5 π΄π½ = ππΊπΎ πΎπ½ The mean of N TCCON column observations within time window of each flight measurement is simply: π 1 π₯Μπ = ∑ π₯Μπ π π=1 The estimated bias error when observing the same air mass is π 1 Μ )(π½π π₯π − π₯) + ∑ π₯π ππΊπΎπ ππ π₯Μπ = π₯Μπ − π₯ = (πΌ − π΄π½π π π=1 π + 1 ∑ ∑ π₯π ππΊπΎπ,π πΎππ,π (π π,π − πππ,π ) π π=1 π 1 Μ = ∑π where xa is the same for all observations and π΄π½π π=1 π΄π½π . We assume that both π ni and π π,π − πππ,π are zero-mean, and they are independent, identically distributed random variables for all N observations. The expected mean bias error is Μ )(π½π π₯π − π₯) πΈ[π₯Μπ ] = πΈ[π₯Μπ ] − π₯ = (πΌ − π΄π½π The covariance of the estimated bias error can be expressed as ππ₯Μ = πΈ[(π₯Μπ − πΈ[π₯Μπ ])(π₯Μπ − πΈ[π₯Μπ ])π ] π π π=1 π=1 1 1 = 2 ∑ π₯π ππΊπΎπ ππ (π₯π ππΊπΎπ )π + 2 ∑ ∑ π₯π ππΊπΎπ,π πΎππ,π πππ (π₯π ππΊπΎπ,π πΎππ,π )π π π π where Sb is the covariance of the measurement error on vector b, and the spectral noise and systematic errors are assumed to be uncorrelated. With the assumption for all i, πΊπΎπ = πΊ and πΎππ,π = πΎππ , then covariance of the estimated bias error reduces to 1 1 ππ₯Μ = π π₯π ππΊππ (π₯π ππΊ)π + π ∑π π₯π ππΊπΎππ πππ (π₯π ππΊπΎππ )π . The actual variability in TCCON column CO2 can be calculated as 1 πΜ = (πΜ − πΜ Μ )(πΜ − πΜ Μ )π π−1 where πΜ is a vector of the retrieved TCCON column CO2, πΜ Μ is the mean value of retrieval samples. Under the assumption of small variability of πΊπΎ and πΎππ over the TCCON observations, then π π πΜ = [(π₯π ππΊππ (π₯π ππΊ)π + ∑ π₯π ππΊπΎππ πππ (π₯π ππΊπΎππ ) ] π−1 π If N is large number, the observation error covariance is π πΜ ≈ π₯π ππΊππ (π₯π ππΊ)π + ∑ π₯π ππΊπΎππ πππ (π₯π ππΊπΎππ ) π The estimated variability of bias error can be calculated by applying column operator to the square root of the diagonal of the observation error covariance. The first term describes the source from random noise and the second term represent the source from systematic errors. We can compare them to the RMS of the collection of retrieved column relative to their mean and examine how well the 6 estimated random and systematic covariance matrix represent the actual variability in TCCON retrievals. To compare TCCON CO2 profile with aircraft measurements, we have to apply the operator described in Rodgers and Connor (2003). The aircraft profile is first mapped to the forward model pressure level in TCCON retrieval and then apply the operator combining the averaging kernel and a priori constraint from the TCCON profile retrieval: π₯ΜπΉπΏπ = π₯π + π΄πΎ (π₯πΉπΏπ − π₯π ). π₯ΜπΉπΏπ is the profile that would be retrieved from TCCON measurements for the same air sampled by the aircraft without the presence of other errors. Applying the column operator to π₯ΜπΉπΏπ gives estimates of aircraft measured column-averaged CO2. Error analysis, calculated errors () c) Quality of the profile retrieved column CO2: compared to standard scaling retrieved column CO2. (Comparison to aircraft CO2 (remove cloudy days improve the quality?) (full aircraft profile, SGP) 2. Estimates of PBL CO2 a) General approach 1 (Subtract free tropospheric co2 from column) correct total column bias before subtraction. 2 (this work under the assumption of linearity of the free troposphere and total column and boundary layer estimate. ) K#dx=dL b) Characterization of estimates 1) Derivation Error analysis, calculated errors 2) Compare TES assimilated to aircraft (free trop) to obtain uncertainty of free tropospheric co2 c) Quality of BDL CO2 compared with flight BDL CO2. d) Seasonal variability of boundary layer co2 compared to column co2. Study the seasonal variations of co2 emissions and uptake. it is strong correlated with bias in column CO2 from tccon. The rms of bias in both PBL co2 and column co2 are reduced when remove the case of bias in a priori larger than 5 ppm. Exclusive days with small number of samples has minor improvement in bias of both column and PBL co2. When remove the retrievals under unclear sky, the scattering of column co2 within time window in most days are reduced to about 0.3 ppm. So most of days, rms of xco2 agrees with the calculated error by random measurement noise. And slightly reduction of bias in both column and PBL co2 is found when remove unclear sky retrievals. The RMS of PBL CO2 is larger than that of XCO2 because error in PBL CO2 is not only from TCCON’s column CO2 but also from TES free tropospheric CO2. 7 Here are the plots for cloudy sky included: http://web.gps.caltech.edu/~kl/research/co2/tccon/ggg/lamont/lamont/pl otdaily/SGP-ak.window4hr/output.cloudy/SGP.600.pdf Clear sky only: http://web.gps.caltech.edu/~kl/research/co2/tccon/ggg/lamont/lamont/pl otdaily/SGP-ak.window4hr/output.clear/SGP.600.pdf V. Conclusions We are able to obtain boundary layer and free tropospheric co2. Calculated error and actual error are consistent. Boundary layer estimates capture range of seasonal variability of co2 within calculated co2 uncertainties. VI. Acknowledgements References 8