THE GLOBAL CARBON CYCLE AND GREENHOUSE GASES The Program on Climate Change, Winter 2008 (OCE/ATMS/ESS 588) Meeting Time: MWF 1:30-2:20; Meeting Place: OSB 425 Course Web Page: http://courses.washington.edu/pcc588/index.html Instructors: Steven Emerson, OSB 419, 3-0428, emerson@u.washington.edu Lyatt Jaeglé, ATG 302, 685-2679, jaegle@atmos.washington.edu TA: Clark Kirkman, ATG 511, 685-7684, ckirkman@atmos.washington.edu Course Goals and Structure: The course focuses on factors controlling the global cycle of carbon and the greenhouse gases (CO2, CH4, N2O, O3 and halocarbons). Goals are to develop an appreciation for: - The abundance and distribution of carbon and greenhouse gases - Physical, chemical and biological mechanisms that control ocean-atmosphere and terrestrial-atmosphere exchange of carbon and greenhouse gases. - Possible causes for changes in green house gases over the last glacial cycles - The fate of anthropogenic greenhouse gases, their impact on climate and strategies for sequestration of anthropogenic gases The course emphasizes problems of the carbon and greenhouse gases cycles in the environment and an introduction to research articles on these topics. Each week will normally consist of two lectures, and one paper or problem discussion. The problem sets should make use of the computer program Matlab. The first week has a lecture on the use of Matlab. Students are asked to prepare a paper and give a 15-minute presentation during the last week (and in finals week) on one of the topics on the attached list or one of their own choosing. Topics should be discussed with one of the instructors. Papers should be 5-10 pages (1.5 spacing) with greater than 10 references. Assessment: Grades will be assigned based on the student’s performance on the four problems (40%), the quality of the paper and presentation (40%), and participation in the paper discussions (20%). Readings: There is no text for this course. Reading assignments will be put on the web or handed out. 1 Course Schedule Winter 2008 Date Topic Reading* Problem or Paper Discussion WEEK 1: Greenhouse Gases and Radiative Forcing M 01/07 Introduction / Rad. bal. (LJ) IPCC 2007 tech W 01/09 Radiative forcing (LJ) sum. Prob#1(rad. forcing) out F 01/11 Matlab Tutorial (CK) WEEK 2: Global Carbon Fluxes and Carbonate Chemistry M 01/14 Global carbon Fluxes (SE) E&H Chapt 4 & W 01/16 Carbonate chemistry (SE) 11 Prob#1 Due ; Prob#2 (carb. F 01/18 Ocean solubility Pump (SE) chem.) out WEEK 3: Ocean Carbon Pumps M 01/21 Holiday W 01/23 Ocean biological pump (SE) Prob#2 due; Prob#3 (4–box F 01/25 Prob #3 Group discussion oce-atm) out WEEK 4: Non-CO2 Greenhouse gases M 01/28 Non-CO2 GHG (LJ) IPCC 2007 W 01/30 Non-CO2 GHG (LJ) Chap 2+7 Prob.#3 due. F 02/1 Paper discussion LJ paper WEEK 5: Non-CO2 Greenhouse gases (cont.) M 02/04 Prob#4 Discussion IPCC 2007 Prob#4 (atm. CH4 transport) W 02/06 Aerosols and Climate (LJ) Chap 2+7 out F 02/08 Paper Discussion LJ Paper WEEK 6: Ocean Anthropogenic CO2 Uptake M 02/11 Ocean CO2 uptake (SE) E&H Chapt 11 Prob#4 due W 02/13 Ocean CO2 uptake (SE) Prob#5 (Oce. CO2 uptake) F 02/15 Prob#5 discussion out WEEK 7: Terrestrial CO2 Uptake M 02/18 Holiday W 02/20 Atm O2/N2 ratios (SE) Prob#5 due F 02/22 Paper Discussion SE Paper WEEK 8: CO2 Sequestration M 02/25 Terrestrial CO2 uptake (LJ) W 02/27 CO2 Sequestration (SE) F 02/29 Paper Discussion SE Paper WEEK 9: Atmospheric Inverse Models M 03/03 Atm. Inverse models (LJ) W 03/05 Atm. Inverse models (LJ) F 03/07 Paper Discussion LJ Paper WEEK 10: Student presentations M 03/11 Student Presentations W 03/12 Student Presentations F 03/14 Student Presentations *This column has suggested reading to accompany the lectures. Required readings are in bold italics. 2 Discussion Papers: Toggweiler, J. R., J. L. Russell and S. R. Carson (2006) Midlatitude Westerlies, atmospheric CO2, and climate change during the ice ages, Paleoceanography, 21, PA2005, doi: 10.1029/2005PA001154. Sabine, C.L., et al., The oceanic sink for anthropogenic CO2, Science, 305, 367-371, 2004. Background Reading Emerson, S. and J. I. Hedges (2007) Carbonate Chemistry, Chapt. 4 In: Chemical Oceanography and the Carbon Cycle (Book in press at Cambridge U. Press, the chapter is on the Web site) Emerson, S. and J. I. Hedges (2007) The Global Carbon Cycle: Atmosphere-Ocean Interactions, Chapt 11 In: (Book in press at Cambridge U. Press, the chapter is on the Web site) IPCC (2007), Technical Summary, In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC (2007), Chapter 2 “Changes in Atmospheric Constituents and in Radiative Forcing”, In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC (2007), Chapter 7 “Couplings Between Changes in the Climate System and Biogeochemistry”, In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. 3 Possible Paper Topics: Trends in atmospheric methane concentration Methane hydrates and climate change Stratospheric H2O: trends and climate effects Tropospheric ozone: past and future changes Effect of climate change on CH4 and/or N2O emissions Mitigation solutions for CH4 emissions Sources of greenhouse gases from biomass burning Stratospheric ozone and global warming Estimates of aerosol indirect radiative effects Efficacy of climate forcings The interpretation of atmospheric δ13C-pCO2 changes in ice cores Atmospheric O2/N2 ratios as tracers of marine and terrestrial CO2 uptake Experimental results of the terrestrial CO2 fertilization effect Climate change and nitrogen fixation CaCO3 dissolution response to anthropogenic CO2 Iron fertilization in the southern ocean during the last glacial age Potential consequences of continued iron fertilization in iron-limited regions of the ocean Comparing different GCM results for anthropogenic CO2 penetration into the ocean Decadal-scale changes in atmospheric CO2 buildup CO2 sequestration: Land and Ocean strategies Mechanisms responsible for glacial-age changes in atmospheric CO2, CH4 and/or N2O 4