Herefordshire Council 2013/14 Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions Report November 2014 Executive Summary Herefordshire Council is committed to a six year 30% carbon reduction target against its 2008/09 baseline. The above target has been adopted in line with its corporate objective of creating and maintaining a successful economy that embraces new ways of responding to changing resource pressures. Our carbon footprint in 2013/14 was 21,380 tonnes CO2e, which has been emitted from energy and fuel usage from our direct and indirect operations. This equates to a 22% greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction against our 2008/09 baseline as well as cumulative value at stake cost savings of £6.7 million HC 2013/14 emissions have reduced by 11% compared to the previous year of 2012/13. This can be attributed to a reduction in all areas apart from academies and contractors assets (both Scope 3); the winter of 2012/13 was also slightly warmer than average, which consisted of 2,241 degree days. The above summary graph of HC emissions from 2008 to 2014 shows that overall HC is about 3% below its emissions reduction target for 2013/14. Further emissions reductions are predicted in 2014/15 and work is ongoing to identify projects that will mitigate the impact of future severe winters as well as attempting to influence staff behaviour and reduce transport emissions. This report supersedes previous GHG reports published by Herefordshire Council and includes amended, more accurate data that is now available. Report Background We have followed the Government’s guidance on how to measure and report greenhouse gas emissions, available from: http://www.defra.gov.uk/publications/files/pb13309-ghg-guidance0909011.pdf This report includes GHG data for 2008/09 to 2013/14 financial years (from 1st April to 31st March). This report presents a detailed look at Herefordshire Council’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for the 2013/14 financial year as well as a projected emissions scenario for 2014/15. The Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) and Department for Energy and Climate Change (DECC) GHG conversion factors and guidance (2013) has been used in developing our 2013/14 GHG statement. Herefordshire Council’s GHG emissions have been presented as tonnes gross CO2 equivalent (CO2e). This encompasses emissions from the Council’s direct and indirect energy and fuel usage (including schools), major contractors (e.g. FCC), Academies and business mileage. Figure 1 shows the main types of emissions under each scope in the guidance, while Table 1 shows the business or operational areas that make up the scopes of our carbon footprint. Figure 1: Emissions Scope break down for reporting Table 1: Scope of Herefordshire Council’s GHG emissions Scope 1 Natural Gas use in HC buildings and Schools Burning oil, gas oil and LPG consumed within HC buildings and Schools Petrol and diesel consumed for fleet transport purposes Scope 2 Electricity use in HC buildings, schools and street lighting Scope 3 Business mileage Energy and fossil fuel use by major contractors, academies and other service delivery partners Major contractors/servi ce delivery partner fleet and business mileage Herefordshire Council’s GHG Baseline Herefordshire Council’s 2008/09 GHG baseline was originally calculated using the National Indicator 185 (NI 185) spread sheet; this data has been updated to reflect changes in the CO2e emissions factors as per the amended Defra Guidance (2013) and also to incorporate improved data quality. Our updated baseline is 27,278 tonnes CO2e. Target In 2010 Herefordshire Council set itself the ambitious target to reduce its GHG emissions by 30% by April 2015, as set out in the HC Carbon Management Plan (2010-15). A copy of the plan is available here: http://beta.herefordshire.gov.uk/media/1255775/Herefordshire_Carbon_ Management_Plan.pdf. This equates to around 1,364 tCO2e per annum and 8,183 tCO2e in total. Progress and analysis Table 2: Herefordshire Council’s GHG Emissions (tCO2e) 2008 to 2014 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 Scope 1 6,600 6,106 5,858 5,182 5,811 4998 Scope 2 8,214 7,101 7,363 7,041 6,925 5,800 Scope 3 12,465 12,677 11,859 10,749 11,205 10,582 Total GHG Emissions 27,278 25,884 25,080 22,972 23,941 21,380 Cumulative N/A Tonnage reduction 1,394 2,197 4,306 3,337 5,897 Percentage N/A Reduction 5.11% 8.06% 15.79% 12.23% 21.62% Target reduction 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% N/A Our 2013/14 carbon footprint was 21,380 tonnesCO2e and as can be seen above in Table 2 and below in Figure 2, emissions have reduced following the increase last year. The 2013/14 outturn represents nearly a 22% GHG emissions reduction against our 2008/09 baseline, which puts us just over 3% below the emissions reduction target for 2013/14. Figure 2: Herefordshire Council Emissions 2008-13 by Scope There was a decrease in all three scope emissions this year. There was a significant decrease in Scope 2 emissions this year with a reduction in electricity in schools, HC buildings and street lighting. Breaking CO2 emissions down further, decreases were seen in the following areas when compared to 2012/13 levels: Other operational assets (45%) Leisure Centres (22%) Town Halls and associated assets (22%) Council Offices (15%) School transport (15%) Contractors Fleet (15%) Street lighting (13%) Community and Recreation Centres (11%) Schools (10%) Libraries, Museums and Courtyard (10%) Business miles (10%) Residential homes (3%) Council fleet (1%) Emissions increases were seen in the following areas (both Scope 3): Academies (26%) Contractors Assets (16%) Figure 3: Midlands region degree day frequency 2008 to 2014 The degree day frequency in 2013/14 was only slightly less than the average degree day frequency. Degree days are a product of the deficit between the air temperature outside a building and a designated base temperature (normally 15.5°C) combined with the number of days for which heating is required, for more information visit http://vesma.com/ddd/whatthey.htm. Emissions Breakdown Figure 4: HC GHG Emissions Percentage breakdown 2013/14 Figure 4 shows that the largest percentage of Herefordshire Council’s emissions comes from Schools (19%), followed by 15% from Academies, 14% from Contractor’s fleet, 13% from Leisure Centres and 8% from street lighting. This also highlights that a significant percentage of HC emissions fall outside of the direct control of the authority i.e. in Scope 3, which accounts for nearly 50% of total emissions. Emissions from the seven largest areas over the last five years can be seen in Figure 5; this shows that although emissions have broadly reduced between 2008 and 2014 there is one area (Academies) where they have increased in 2013/14 from 2012/13 levels. Figure 5: Total GHG Emissions from the top seven emissions areas 2008-14 Cost of Carbon and Value at Stake The Carbon Trust baseline tool has been used to calculate the cost of carbon and the associated value at stake; Table 3 shows a breakdown of business as usual costs as well as the estimated costs associated with emissions and the savings and potential savings compared to the baseline and the business as usual data. This latter figure is defined as the value at stake. Table 3: Herefordshire Council Estimated Emissions Costs and Savings 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 Business as Usual Cost £6.95m £7.12m £7.29m £7.46m £7.64m £7.83m Energy Costs £3.52m £3.44m £3.39m £3.11m £3.17m £2.91m Transport Costs £3.43m £3.24m £2.99m £2.74m £2.8m £2.37m Total cost to £6.95m Herefordshire Council £6.68m £6.38m £5.85m £5.97m £5.28m Financial VAS Saving £0 £457k £906k £1.4m £1.8m £2.2m Cumulative Value at Stake Cost Saving N/A £457k £1.36m £2.71m £4.5m £6.7m It can be seen in Table 3 that cumulative value at stake savings have been made of £6.7 million to date and it is estimated that if Herefordshire Council achieves its 30% emissions target a total of £9.4 million would be achieved overall by April 2015. Figure 6 below provides a visual representation of this. Figure 6: Herefordshire Council Financial Value at Stake Carbon Management Action Plan (CMAP) Progress and Future projections Table 4: CMAP Identified GHG emissions (tCO2e) savings 2013-16 by project type 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 Halo Energy 68.29 17.49 Efficiency Schools 16.09 Renewables HC Renewables 11.00 7.90 545.00 Community 21.73 38.00 Renewables School Route Rationalisation HC Energy 11.00 54.30 Efficiency (Property) Contractor Fleet 9.37 0.17 Improvements HC Fleet 19.30 Improvements HC Property 39.10 36.50 Rationalisation Schools Energy 80.00 320.00 320.00 Programme LED Street 400.00 266.00 861.00 Lighting Using the projected savings from the CMAP in Table 4, future GHG savings can be projected as per Figure 5. The 2013/14 projection has also been weather adjusted using the last 5 years degree day data and therefore as can be seen in Figure 5 if the predicted savings from the CMAP are realised and winter temperatures return to a more normal level then GHG emissions are projected to be better than the target level by April 2014. Figure 5: Herefordshire Council GHG Emissions 2008-2015 including projected data from CMAP Further emissions reductions are predicted in 2014/15 that will meet the 30% target by 2015 however work is on-going to identify further projects that will mitigate the impact of future severe winters, for example exploring renewable heating options, particularly in areas that are off the gas grid. Influencing staff behaviour is also an area that we are keen to focus on, as it is estimated that savings of 10% alone could be made in many of our Scope 1 stationary emission (building) areas. There is also scope for enhanced focus on transport emissions from business and contractor fleet mileage. Extended Target 2015-2020 Table 5: Cumulative projected savings from CMAP 2013 to 2016 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 Projected Cumulative reduction (tCO2e) 5,897 6,612 8,448 Projected Cumulative % reduction 21.62% 24.24% 30.97% As can be seen in Table 5 the projected savings from the CMAP up to 2016 is c31%. It is therefore recommended that Herefordshire Council adopt a target reduction of 40% by 2020, this well exceeds the County and national targets of a 34% reduction by 2020 from 1990 levels.