Research Proposal Geomorphic and Anthropogenic Influences on Invasive Plant Distribution in the Luckiamute Watershed: Using GIS as a Tool for Spatial Analysis Prepared By Ian Macnab, Earth Science Major-Geography Minor Stephen B. Taylor, Ph.D., Advisor Earth and Physical Sciences Department Division of Natural Sciences and Mathematics Western Oregon University Monmouth, Oregon 97361 Submitted To Urban and Regional Information Systems Association (URISA) Oregon and Southwest Washington Chapter c/o Keith Massie, GIS Manager City of Medford 411 W. 8th Ave. Medford, OR 97501 February 25, 2008 PROJECT FRAMEWORK Invasive plant species in western Oregon are a pervasive problem that disrupt native habitats and create annual economic losses of millions of dollars for public and private landowners (Oregon Department of Agriculture, 2001). Nationwide, the United States experiences annual losses of over $130,000,000 due to non-native species (Pimentel and others, 2000). Invasive plant species are problematic for both native and agricultural plant communities as they can compete for resources and displace competitors. Local extirpation of native plant species has obvious impacts on wildlife and natural habitats. Vegetative disturbance of natural ecosystems by geomorphic and anthropogenic processes affect soil substrate conditions, nutrient availability, canopy shading (solar influx), and riparian hydrology. The most abundant concentrations of invasive species are typically associated with disturbed zones that have been altered by human activity. As such, disturbed zones on the landscape act as primary conduits for the dispersal of non-native species (Pabst and Spies, 1998). Understanding the controls on spatial distribution of invasive plants in the context of disturbance regime is critical for designing effective watershed conservation and restoration plans. The purpose of this research is to conduct spatial analyses using GIS to delineate associations between geomorphic and anthropogenic disturbance regimes, and patterns of invasive plant distribution in the Luckiamute Watershed of western Oregon (Figure 1). Of 130 understory plant species identified in the riparian zone of the Luckiamute (Table 1), 55 are considered adventive and disruptive of native habitat (Noll and others, 2007; Taylor and others 2007). The patchwork of geomorphically and anthropogenically disturbed landscapes in the watershed are hypothesized to serve as a conduit for the dispersal of non-native species. Given the land-use and geomorphic history of the basin, the Luckiamute is well-suited for the study of causal factors that control spatial distribution of invasive plants in western Oregon. METHODOLOGY AND ACTION PLAN Data Collection and Analysis Spatial patterns of invasive plant distribution will be examined by use of geographic information systems (ArcGIS9.2 platform). Plant distribution will be analyzed as a function of geomorphic and land use elements along the riparian corridor. Historic aerial photographs (1930’s – Present) will be rasterized and riparian zones classified according to land-use and vegetative state (e.g., woodland, cultivated, or cut timber). Channel position and floodplain extent will be digitized and examined for geomorphic disturbance patterns over time. Statistical techniques will be employed to identify any significant associations between invasive species location and site disturbance history. Spatial analysis and statistical techniques will follow those summarized by Elzinga et al. (1998), Dale (2005), Wong and Lee (2005), and Smith et al. (2008). Products and results of this project will include: (1) a historical set of ortho-rectified and geo-registered aerial photos for 20 select localities along the Luckiamute river (one set per decade, per site, 1930’s to present; refer to Figure 1 for site locations) (2) delineation of a select set of invasive species that will serve as useful indicators for monitoring the occurrence and spread of non-native plants in the Luckiamute Watershed, (3) identification of geomorphic and anthropogenic disturbance regimes that are acting as principle migration corridors for invasive plant species in western Oregon, and (4) statistical derivation of spatial associations between invasive species and landscape-land use components. These results will form the basis of more 1 extensive studies in the region and have potential use for development of larger scale predictive models of invasive plant dispersion. Proposed Project Timeline The proposed research will be conducted on a part-time basis in the GIS Lab at Western Oregon University during spring and summer terms, 2008. The anticipated project timeline is framed as follows: Proposal Submission: Proposal Review / Award: Anticipated Project Start Date: Photo / Image Rectification: Channel and Land-use Digitization: Data Analysis and Synthesis: Final Report Submission: February 25, 2008 April 1, 2008 May 1, 2008 May-June 2008 July 2008 August-September 2008 September 15, 2008 PROJECT JUSTIFICATION As previously stated, annual economic losses and habitat degradation by invasive plant species in the United States are well documented (Pimentel et al., 2000). Understanding the controls on spatial distribution of invasives in the context of disturbance regime is critical for designing effective watershed conservation and restoration plans. To this end, the proposed project will: (1) provide important baseline data on the dispersion of non-native invasive plant species in western Oregon, (2) establish a strategy for discerning patterns of invasion according to geomorphic and anthropogenic disturbance regime(s), (3) provide a methodology for assessing susceptibility of land areas to invasion based on select comparator species, and (4) provide valuable data and recommendations for future conservation projects by community stakeholders in the Luckiamute Watershed. REFERENCES CITED Dale, P., 2005, Introduction to mathematical techniques used in GIS: CRC Press, Boca Raton, 202 p. Elzinga, C.L., Salzer, D.W., and Willoughby, J.W., 1998, Measuring and monitoring plant populations: Bureau of Land Management Technical Reference 1730-1, Denver, Colorado, 477 p. Noll, K., Dutton, B., Taylor, S., and Pirot, R., 2007, Spatial distribution of invasive plant species in the Luckiamute Watershed, central Oregon Coast Range: Vegetative response to geomorphic processes and disturbance regime in the riparian corridor: Geological Society of America, Abstracts with Programs, v. 39, no. 6. Oregon Department of Agriculture, 2001, Oregon noxious weed strategic plan: ODA Plant Division, Weed Control Program Online Resource, URL:http://www.oda.state.or.us/Plant/ weed_control/plan/contents.html, updated January, 2001. 2 Pabst, R.J., and Spies, T.A., 1998, Distribution of herbs and shrubs in relation to landform and canopy cover in riparian forests of coastal Oregon: Canadian Journal of Botany, v. 76, p. 298315. Pimentel, D., Lach, L., Zuniga, R., and Morrison, D., 2000, Environmental and economic costs of nonindigenous species in the United States: BioScience, v. 50, p. 53-65. Smith, M.J., Goodchild, M.F., and Longley, P.A., 2008, Geospatial analysis: A comprehensive guide to principles, techniques, and software tools (2nd ed.): The Winchelsea Press, Leicester, 492 p. Taylor, S.B., Dutton, B.E., Noll, K., and Pirot, R., 2007, Riparian Plant Distribution in the Luckiamute River Basin, Central Oregon Coast Range: Preliminary Analysis of Geomorphic and Anthropogenic Controls on Adventive Species Propagation in an Unregulated Watershed: Geological Society of America, Abstracts with Programs, v. 39, no. 6. Wong, D.W., and Lee, J., 2005, Statistical analysis of geographical information with ArcView GIS and ArcGIS: John Wiley and Sons, New Jersey, 441 p. 3