Air, Weather, & Climate: 15 15.1 The atmosphere is a complex system I. Describe the structure & composition of the atmosphere II. Compare and contrast the troposphere and stratosphere III. Construct a graphic representation that shows the proportion of incoming solar radiation that is absorbed, reflected, and scattered as it interacts with the atmosphere and surface of the Earth. IV. Make a claim, using representations, and models of incoming solar radiation (insolation) and the greenhouse effect, how changes in the atmosphere (i.e., atmospheric composition, cloud coverage) and in Earth’s surface (i.e., glacial coverage) will affect the energy budget. V. Identify greenhouse gases (e.g., water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane, ozone,) and their natural and anthropogenic sources. VI. Interpret long-term annual flux of the Keelings Curve. VII. Explain, based on the mechanisms (short-wave & long wave radiation, GHG, albedo) involved in the “greenhouse effect,” how the atmosphere is warmed. Essential Knowledge The atmosphere, in comparison to the size of Earth, is a relatively thin layer of air that surrounds the planet and is divided into layers that are defined by temperature profiles. The atmosphere is made up mostly of gaseous nitrogen and oxygen, along with trace amounts of gases (including water vapor and carbon dioxide [CO2]), suspended liquids and solids. The composition of the atmosphere is affected by geologic processes and, increasingly, by life on Earth. Some incoming solar radiation is reflected back into space, some is absorbed by the atmosphere, some is scattered within the atmosphere, and some is transmitted through the atmosphere to the land and water on Earth’s surface. Consequently, the atmosphere moderates surface temperatures and reduces the amount of ultraviolet radiation. Greenhouse gases, such as water vapor, carbon dioxide and methane, allow short-wave insolation to pass through the atmosphere, but trap most infrared (long-wave) radiation from the warmed surface of Earth. The atmosphere is an interconnected circulation system that has global patterns of winds due to Earth’s rotation, land topography and unequal distribution of thermal energy on Earth’s surface. 15.2 Weather Events Follow General Patterns I. Illustrate how seasonal changes occur. II. Describe how the earth’s rotation and uneven heating create general weather patterns. III. Explain why Earth’s surface heats unevenly at different locations due to variables such as albedo, latitude and surface cover. IV. Describe how climate is affected by global circulation patterns. V. Describe how surface ocean currents can be driven by global circulation patterns. VI. Contrast the Coriolis effect on global circulation patterns in the northern and southern hemispheres. 15.3 Natural Climate Variability I. Explain climatic conditions in different locations, in terms of latitude, elevation, local topography and distance form large bodies of water. Give examples of locations where climate is further influenced by rain shadow, ocean currents, and lake effects. II. Interpret visual representations of global patterns of ocean currents. III. Evaluate which factors affect global patterns of ocean currents. IV. Describe, in terms of convection, how the temperature and density of ocean water influence oceans’ circulation. V. Determine which data should be considered evidence of climate change in both the geologic and historic past. VI. Analyze tree ring data to find changes in annual rainfall in a particular location. VII. Infer, based on ice core and the glacial record, climatic conditions that have existed in the past. VIII. Infer, based the fossil records, climatic conditions that have existed in the past. Essential Knowledge Climate zones on Earth are primarily dictated by global wind circulation, ocean currents and temperature, the amount of insolation, latitude, and the local topographic features of a location. Earth’s climate has changed in the past, is currently changing, and is expected to change in the future. Many types of physical, chemical and biological data provide evidence of past changes in Earth’s climate — e.g., ice cores, glacial deposits, tree rings and the rock record (including lithology and fossil assemblages). At times, climate changes have been slow, spanning centuries and millennia; these changes have been influenced by changes in Earth’s orbital motions or by the movement of crustal plates (e.g., Milankovitch cycles). At other times, climate changes have been abrupt; these changes have been caused by sudden events such as volcanic eruptions, collisions with bolides, or shifts in ocean currents. Changes in Earth’s climate have influenced human history in profound ways by playing an integral role in whether societies thrive or fail. However, the current consensus of scientific opinion is that human activities now have a profound influence on Earth’s climate. The ocean is an interconnected system that has global patterns of currents that are affected by prevailing winds, temperature, density of ocean water, and the shapes of ocean basins and adjacent land masses. Oceans act as major reservoirs of Earth’s water, thermal energy and other materials such as carbon dioxide. Water, because of its high specific heat, can store large amounts of thermal energy. As a result, oceans are major influences on Earth’s climate and water cycle. 15.4 How Do We Know Recent Climate Change Is Human Caused? I. Give examples of how human activity (e.g., heat islands, deforestation, burning of fossil fuels) has induced climate changes. Include descriptions of cause & effect interactions. II. Construct a graphical representation of the global carbon cycle (or the cycle of some other element or molecule), and use this representation to predict the effects of some environmental change (e.g., evolution of life, tectonic change, human activity) on carbon cycling (or the cycling of some other element or molecule III. Explain, in relation to landform types, climate zones and ecosystem functioning, the global patterns of carbon distribution. Explanation should include the distinction between organic(C H O , CH ) and inorganic 6 12 6 4 (CO ) carbon sources and sinks. 2 IV. Calculate, given appropriate data, estimates of the carbon footprint of some human activity or group. Essential Knowledge The major carbon compounds and their reservoirs are inorganic carbonates (CaCO3) found in rocks and dissolved in water, hydrocarbons found in fossil fuels, organic matter stored in soils and sediments, and organic compounds found in living organisms (biomass) as well as carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) gases. Various compounds of carbon can be released through volcanism, dissolution and the use of fossil fuels. The cycling of carbon on short time scales is dominated by the exchange of carbon between the atmosphere and terrestrial or ocean systems through the processes of photosynthesis, respiration and combustion. Throughout geologic time, large amounts of carbon dioxide are sequestered in limestone. The carbon cycle is intimately related to climate change through the processes that capture and release carbon dioxide and methane gases into the atmosphere. It is also related to the cycling of other important elements for living organisms, including nitrogen and phosphorus. A carbon footprint is the sum of all greenhouse gases that are produced due to human activities that have a negative impact on the environment. A carbon footprint is usually measured in carbon dioxide per unit of time (e.g., CO2/year). 15.5 What Are The Effects of Climate Change, and Should We Care? All human activities, including use of resources, have environmental consequences that occur over a range of spatial and temporal scales. Because of the complexity of Earth’s systems and because of the occurrence of unintended consequences, a systems framework is commonly used to understand important environmental issues such as pollution, climate change or ecosystem disruption. A systems analysis guides scientific investigations, decision making and the identification of potential solutions to environmental issues. I. Explain the possible effects of global climate change. II. Why should we do something? 15.6 Envisioning Solutions I. Identify and evaluate solutions to global climate change VOCABULARY Aerosols High & low pressure Pacific Decadal Oscillation Albedo Hydrosphere Positive feedback loop Anthropogenic Infrared radiation Radiative forcing Atmosphere Insolation Rain shadow Biosphere Intergovernmental Panel on Sea ice Carbon sequestration Climate Change Seasonal oscillations Climate IPCC Solar Radiation Climate zones Isotopes Stratosphere Coalesce Jet streams Svante Arrhenius Condensation nuclei Keelings Curve Thermohaline Convection cells Latent heat Topographic Coriolis effect Latitude Troposphere El-Nino/La-Nina Lithosphere Ultra violet radiation ENSO Longitude Upwelling Great Ocean Conveyer Belt Meteorology Urban heat islands Greenhouse effect Milankovitch cycles Weather Greenhouse gases Monsoons Hadley Cell Ozone