PROJECT IDENTIFICATION FORM (PIF) PROJECT TYPE: FULL-SIZED PROJECT TYPE OF TRUST FUND: GEF TRUST FUND PART I: PROJECT IDENTIFICATION Project Title: Country: GEF Agency: Other Executing Partner: Green Energy Schemes for Low-Carbon City in Shanghai, China GEF Focal Area: Name of parent program: Climate Change China WB Shanghai municipal government and Changning district government, P. R. China GEF Project ID: GEF Agency Project ID: Submission Date: Project Duration: Agency Fee: March 15, 2011 48 months $435,000 A. FOCAL AREA STRATEGY FRAMEWORK: Focal Area Objectives Expected FA Outcomes CCM-1 (Innovative Low-carbon Technologies) (1) Advanced and innovative zeroemission buildings, including energy efficiency (EE), renewable energy (RE), and smart meter technologies successfully demonstrated, deployed, and transferred; (2) Innovative business models for electric vehicles successfully demonstrated, deployed, and transferred. (1) Policy frameworks of improving EE in buildings adopted; (2) Sustainable financing and business models for building EE demonstrated. CCM-2 (Energy Efficiency) CCM-3 (Renewable Energy) (1) Policy frameworks for RE distributed generation recommended; (2) Increased demand for green electricity; (3) Investment in RE increased. CCM-4 (Urban Transport) Increased share of citizens taking nonmotor and public transport. Expected FA Outputs (1) Zero-emission buildings, integrating innovative EE, RE, and smart meter technologies demonstrated; (2) New business models for electric vehicles demonstrated. GEFTF Indicative Financing from GEF TF ($) 1,500,000 (1) Building EE policies for retrofit and new buildings in place; (2) Investment in building EE mobilized; (3) Energy savings achieved. (1) RE distributed generation policy recommended; (2) Purchase of RE green electricity increased; (3) RE capacity installed; (4) Electricity and heat produced from RE sources. Integrated green mobility policy developed GEFTF 1,610,000 142,005,000 GEFTF 500,000 50,000,000 GEFTF 300,000 300,000 GEFTF 3,910,000 435,000 4,345,000 245,925,000 1,305,000 247,230,000 Sub-Total Project management cost for GEF Total project costs Trust Fund Indicative Co Financing ($) 53,620,000 B. PROJECT FRAMEWORK 1 GEF-5 PIF Template-8/19/10 8:24:36 AM Project Objective: The overall objective is to pilot green energy schemes for low-carbon city in Shanghai, with a focus in Changning District, thereby reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Grant Trust Indicative Indicative Project Type Expected Fund Financing Co Expected Outputs (TA/ Component Outcomes GEF TF Financing INV) ($) ($) 2,910,000 193,425,000 1. Green INV/ (1) Low-carbon (1) Recommendations and GEFTF ($2,000,000 (investment) buildings TA district implementation support of INV and successfully technologies, policies, and $910,000 piloted in institutional arrangements to TA) Shanghai retrofit existing buildings to municipality; improve energy efficiency in (2) Regulatory and Changning district; institutional (2) Recommendations and frameworks for implementation support of low-carbon technologies, policies, and development in financing mechanisms (EE, RE, Shanghai and integration of intelligent twomunicipality way meters) for near zero emission established. buildings in Changning district; (3) Energy quota for public buildings (commercial and government buildings) implemented, and lowcarbon consumer behavior promoted; (4) Feasibility studies for investment made to retrofit existing buildings (funded by the counterparts and possibly bank loan), and pilot new near zero-emission buildings (GEF funds share part of the incremental costs of near zero-emission buildings including smart meters) in Changning district. 2. LowTA (1) Improved (1) Recommended policies and GEFTF 500,000 50,000,000 carbon carbon intensity institutional arrangements for (TA) (investment) energy mix of power and distributed generation from heat supply renewable energy and natural gas; through (2) Increased purchase of green distributed electricity, and energy saving generation from (White) certificate trading and renewable possibly carbon emission trading energy and explored; natural gas; (3) Feasibility studies for investment (2) Increased made to improve carbon intensity demand for of power and heating supply green (funded by the counterparts and electricity from possibly bank loan). renewable energy. 3. Green TA Increased share of (1) Integrated green mobility policy GEFTF 300,000 2,300,000 transport citizens taking nondeveloped; (TA) ($2,000,000 motor and public (2) Electric vehicles (buses) feasibility investment transport studies, if possible, piloted to and connect between metro to buildings $300,000 TA) 4. Integration TA Reduced carbon (1) Green energy schemes on the GEFTF 200,000 200,000 of green and energy intensity demand side in buildings and (TA) (TA) 2 GEF-5 PIF Template-8/19/10 8:24:36 AM energy schemes to achieve low-carbon objectives in Changning district transport as well as on the supply side integrated; (2) Institutional capacity sustained. Sub-Total Project management cost for GEF1 Total project costs GEFTF 3,910,000 435,000 4,345,000 245,925,000 1,305,000 247,230,000 C. INDICATIVE CO-FINANCING FOR THE PROJECT BY SOURCE AND BY NAME IF AVAILABLE, ($) Sources of Co-financing Municipal Government GEF Agency Private Sector Total Co-financing Name of Co-financier Changninig District Government World Bank To be determined Type of Co-financing Grant Loan Equity investment/Loan Amount ($) $15,000,000 $100,000,000 $132,230,000 $247,230,000 D. GEF RESOURCES REQUESTED BY AGENCY, FOCAL AREA, AND COUNTRY GEF Agency WB Type of Trust Fund GEF TF Focal Area Climate Change Total Grant Resources Country Name China Grant Amount (a) 4,345,000 Agency Fee (b) Total c=a+b 435,000 4,780,000 4,345,000 435,000 4,780,000 NOTE: THIS PROJECT ALSO APPLIED FOR $200,000 PROJECT RPEPARATION GRANT (PPG). SO THE TOTAL PROJECT COST IS $5,000,000 INCLUDING PPG. PART II: PROJECT JUSTIFICATION A. DESCRIPTION OF THE CONSISTENCY OF THE PROJECT WITH: A.1.1. THE GEF FOCAL AREA STRATEGIES: As shown in Table A, the proposed Project is fully consistent with the GEF Climate Change Focal Area (1) Strategic Objective 1 to promote the demonstration, deployment, and transfer of innovative low-carbon technologies; (2) Strategic Objective 2 to promote market transformation for energy efficiency in industry and the building sectors; (3) Strategic Objective 3 to promote investment in renewable energy technologies; and (4) Strategic Objective 4 to promote energy-efficient, low-carbon transport and urban systems. A.2. NATIONAL STRATEGIES AND PLANS Consistency with National Strategies and Plans: This project is consistent with national strategies and the 12th Five-Year Plan. The Government of China (GoC) is committed to (1) reducing carbon intensity by 40-45 percent from 2005 to 2020; (2) cutting energy intensity by 20 percent during the 11th Five-Year Plan (2006-2010) and 16 percent during the 12th Five-Year Plan (2011-2015); and (3) increasing the share of non-fossil fuel in primary energy to 15 percent by 2020. Cities are at the center stage of the action plan to achieve the government’s target to reduce carbon intensity. Urban areas contain 40 percent of the population, and contribute 75 percent of the Chinese national economy and 84 percent of China’s commercial energy. CO2 emissions per capita in Shanghai, Beijing and Tianjin, are already higher compared to leading cities in the world, and are three to four times 1 Same as footnote #3. 3 GEF-5 PIF Template-8/19/10 8:24:36 AM higher than the national average. To this end, in August 2010, NDRC announced that areas in five provinces and eight cities were selected to pilot low-carbon growth. China is experiencing rapid urbanization, with projected 300 million people migrating to urban areas over the next 20 years. As a result, energy demand for buildings and transport will increase rapidly – energy demand and its related CO2 emissions would triple for the buildings and appliances, and more than quadruple for the transport sector with a 10-fold increase in the vehicle fleet over the next two decades. The speed and scale of urbanization provides an unprecedented opportunity to invest in clean energy technologies both at the demand and supply side today in order to build low-carbon cities. Consistency with Municipal and District Strategies and Plans: This project is also consistent with the priorities and 12th Five-Year Plan of the Shanghai municipal and Changning district governments. Both are deeply committed to an integrated approach building low-carbon city. In particular, the Changning district government is dedicated to becoming a leading low-carbon district in Shanghai and China, and is willing to push for bolder policies and incentives above the municipal and national levels. Based on the analysis of the abatement cost curve and preliminary abatement scenarios, the Changning government considers a bold target that carbon emissions would peak within the next 10-15 years, and decline thereafter, within the Hongqiao demonstration zone. More in-depth analysis of the abatement scenarios is being undertaken to determined the year when emissions would peak. In addition, Changning district government also set an ambitious target to reduce carbon intensity by at least 50% from 2005 to 2020. To achieve this goal, the government’s strategy contains three parallel tracks: Green buildings: improving energy efficiency of existing buildings and piloting near zero-emission new buildings. The Hongqiao zone has few industrial activities, and mostly commercial buildings (shopping malls, office buildings, etc.), old residential buildings, and public buildings. Improving energy efficiency in existing buildings accounts for almost 80% of the emission reduction wedge. The district government plans to adopt a building code that is higher than national standards, with additional financial incentives, and possibly mandatory policy for building retrofit. The district government also plans to set up a system to regularly audit, monitor, label, and manage energy consumption for buildings, and implement energy quota for public buildings (commercial and government buildings). As a result, consumers’ behavior would be changed towards adopting energy conservation measures in buildings. Furthermore, the district will pilot LED and solar PV for street lighting; Low-carbon energy mix: Purchase of green electricity is identified as the second largest emission reduction source, based on the abatement cost curve and abatement scenarios. Shanghai is the first Chinese cities that piloted green electricity scheme, and the Changning District government plans to scale up this effort. In addition, the district government also plans to promote distributed generation and convert oil to gas for heating boilers; Green transport: increasing public transport and biking, improving connections between the public transport modes, and encouraging electric, hybrid, and small vehicles. The district government is moving ahead on this plan. Introducing international best practice and expertise through this project can accelerate the speed and enhance the quality and success of this initiative. B. PROJECT OVERVIEW: B.1. BASELINE PROJECT AND THE PROBLEM THAT IT SEEKS TO ADDRESS: Many municipal governments in China have begun to develop eco-cities or low-carbon cities on their own or together with international partners. However, the concept of low-carbon city is still not clearly defined. The Ministry of Environmental Protection (MEP) and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development (MoHURD) both developed national standards for “eco-cities” with the intention of advancing the environmental agenda in cities. More recently, NDRC announced that areas in five provinces and eight cities were selected to 4 GEF-5 PIF Template-8/19/10 8:24:36 AM pilot low-carbon growth. But there still lacks clear definitions and key indicators to assess environmental sustainability in a comprehensive and comparable manner. This proposed project will be the first effort in China at a district/municipal level to apply analytical tools of abatement cost curve and abatement scenarios to laying out a vision and setting up a low-carbon target and measurable indicators for the Changning district. This pilot approach will have a wide replication potential to other cities in China to demonstrate what a low-carbon city would really look like and how to set up a low-carbon target and measurable indicators. International experiences are important to devise a vision but Chinese cities should be guided by the creed to lead and not follow. Emission reduction targets should therefore be bold, and ensure that not only decoupling growth and carbon emissions (consistent with national government’s target to reduce carbon intensity) but also reversing the upward emission trend within 10-15 years. To this end, Changning district, with World Bank’s assistance, has developed the first ever abatement cost curves and abatement scenarios to set up a low-carbon target, and identify the potential and cost for CO2 reduction. They have also developed indicators by sector targeting the high potential and low cost actions to achieve the city’s overall emission reduction objective. Baseline and low-carbon target: The Shanghai Energy Conservation Supervision Center (SECSC) has worked closely the World Bank team and developed three scenarios: (a) a Frozen Technology Scenario to show the cost of no action, where existing technologies are not further deployed and no new technologies will be adopted; (b) a Baseline Scenario including all actions to meet the national government’s target to reduce carbon intensity; and (c) a Full Potential Abatement Scenario, where the maximum technical potential is tapped under the constraints of technology applicability, maturity, and supply. The Full Potential Abatement Scenario targets at emissions peaking within the next 10-15 years and starting to decline, and the peaking year will be determined by in-depth analysis of the abatement scenarios that are being undertaken. The preliminary results of the analytical work showed that CO2 emissions could be reduced by 75,000 tons moving from the Frozen Technology Scenario to Baseline Scenario by 2020 within Hongqiao demonstration zone. So baseline funding will contribute to this emission reduction. Moving from the Baseline Scenario to Full Potential Abatement Scenario could lead to an additional 85,000 tons of CO2 emission reduction by 2020 within the Hongqiao demonstration zone. So GEF funding is sought to contribute to this shift. The preliminary results also illustrate that achieving the baseline scenario would require deployment of all the abatement options with negative costs, while achieving the full potential scenario would require deployment of mitigation options with high positive costs. Please note that these preliminary results are currently under validation, and subject to change. The final results of the analytical work will be presented in the PAD at CEO endorsement stage. The wedge analysis of the scenarios demonstrates that retrofitting existing buildings accounts for the bulk of emission reduction from the full potential to baseline scenario, followed by green electricity, EE in urban transport, and near zero-emission buildings. Finally, the abatement cost curve shows four priority actions that have the largest abatement potentials -- air conditioning, distributed generation, green electricity, and building envelope. Comprehensive frameworks for low-carbon Cities: Chinese cities aspiring to low carbon labels should focus on a comprehensive multi-sector approach leading to reduction of the country’s GHG emissions and sustainability, with clear priorities based on their specific conditions. First, at macro-economic level, the focus should be on promoting a low carbon economic growth in the future by shifting from energy-intensive industrial sector to tertiary sector and low carbon industries to provide jobs to their citizens. This is perhaps the single largest contributing factor for carbon intensity reduction in most Chinese cities. Second, they should drive down carbon emissions by sustaining demand side energy efficiency measures in the industries, buildings, and vehicles, combined with clean energy supply. Third, they should promote compact urban forms and public transport to keep carbon emissions in the transport sector from increasing to unsustainable level. Finally, they should seek their citizens’ support and build consensus around resource efficient and low carbon lifestyle which is a key 5 GEF-5 PIF Template-8/19/10 8:24:36 AM determinant factor to future energy demand in Chinese cities, particularly with rising income and thus a higher individual purchasing power. In the energy sector, such a comprehensive framework also means integration of energy efficiency and renewable energy, rather than separating them like in the past. For example, near zero-emission buildings require (i) energy efficient design, building envelope (roof, walls, windows, doors, and insulation) and electric appliances; (ii) onsite renewable energy such as roof-top PVs and solar water heaters; (iii) smart meters; and (iv) purchase of green electricity to cover the gap. The last point is important for mega cities such as Shanghai where on-site renewable potential is relatively limited and purchases (if aggregated) of green electricity from outside Shanghai could spur large demand for green electricity. This proposed project will be the first effort in China to adopt a comprehensive multi-sector approach to integrate energy efficiency, clean energy technologies, and sustainable transport to achieve low-carbon objective in Changning district, with measureable indicators. In the past, most of the GEF-supported low-carbon city projects worldwide focused on the transport sector only, where buildings and green energy supply are a missing link. Shanghai and Changning: The Shanghai government is committed to building a low-carbon city, which is an integral part of their 12th Five-Year Plan. In particular, the Changning district government envisions to become a leading low-carbon district in Shanghai and China through piloting green energy schemes in the Hongqiao economic and technology development zone, which was established in 1990s per State Council’s approval, and then expand to other zones of the district. Innovations for the Proposed Project: The proposed GEF funding is essential to involving the World Bank to transfer international knowledge and best practices, and combining investment with technical assistance on policy advice and business development studies to make the Changning District and Shanghai leaders in achieving Chinese government’s carbon intensity reduction targets in a most efficient way. First, the proposed project is innovative because it will pilot definition of low-carbon targets with analytical tools and adoption of the innovative comprehensive multi-sector approaches to achieve the low-carbon objective. It sets performance-based indicators such as carbon emissions, emission intensity, energy intensity, building energy efficiency in terms of MJ/m2, share of renewable energy, and others. Second, this proposed project is innovative because it will pilot innovative policies and business models. For example, the project plans to pilot new policies of mandatory requirements for retrofitting inefficient existing buildings, more stringent and performance-based building codes such as kWh/m2 or MJ/m2, and innovative business models for building retrofit. If successful, this will have a wide replication potential nationwide. In addition, Shanghai has already piloted Green Electricity scheme, a pioneer in China, and this project will assist them in expanding green electricity business to meet the renewable energy target, and share the incremental costs among the able- and willing-to-pay customers. Within a city boundary, on-site low-carbon energy supply is limited, constrained by renewable energy potential and water/land resources. To achieve the low-carbon objective at city-level, increased purchase of green electricity from outside Shanghai is a key solution towards a low-carbon energy mix, and can spur large demand for green electricity. Furthermore, this project will study the feasibility, and if possible pilot innovative business models to promote electric vehicles (for instance, consumers get a newly-charged battery at “electric vehicle service stations” instead of charging batteries at home). Studies show that electric vehicles (EV), if charged from fossil-fuel dominated power mix like the one in Shanghai, may not necessarily reduce carbon emissions. In addition, if all the EV consumers charge batteries at home at night, it will significantly increase the load for the utilities at one time. Under one of the explored new business models, an EV service company can act as an intermediary between the utility and consumers, who are responsible for charging batteries from low-carbon energy sources at agreed time with utilities and supply newly-charged batteries to consumers when they need them. 6 GEF-5 PIF Template-8/19/10 8:24:36 AM Third, this proposed project is innovative because it will introduce innovative clean energy technologies. For example, the project intends to pilot new near zero-emission buildings, which will be one of the first in the world. The World Bank has assisted Shanghai in analytical work on the technical and economic feasibility of near zero emission buildings in Shanghai. Zero-emission buildings require comprehensive and new energy technologies: (i) energy efficient design, building envelope (roof, walls, windows, doors, and insulation) and electric appliances; (ii) on-site renewable energy such as roof-top solar PVs, heat pumps, and solar water heaters; (iii) smart meters; and (iv) purchase of green electricity to cover the gap. Roof-top solar PVs and heat pumps are not common yet in Chinese urban buildings. Smart grids and meters are new to China. B. 2. INCREMENTAL /ADDITIONAL COST REASONING: DESCRIBE THE INCREMENTAL ACTIVITIES REQUESTED FOR GEF FINANCING AND THE ASSOCIATED GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS The overall project objective is to pilot green energy schemes for low-carbon city in Shanghai, with a focus in Changning District, thereby reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The project will focus on four components: (1) green buildings, including retrofitting existing buildings and piloting new near zero-emission buildings (including smart metering); (2) low-carbon energy mix, including on-site distributed generation from renewable energy and natural gas and purchase of green electricity; (3) green transport with a focus on electric buses; and (4) integrating green energy schemes to achieve low-carbon objectives. At the Changning district level, the project will pilot innovative business models, financing mechanisms, and new low-carbon technologies, and integrating both supply and demand-side abatement options to achieve their lowcarbon objective under all four components. At the Shanghai municipal level, new policies will be developed, particularly for building EE and renewable districted generation under component 1 and 2, which will be first piloted in Changning district. If successful, the Changing model has a wide replication potential in Shanghai and China. This proposed GEF project includes the following four components: 1. Green Buildings: This component aims at improving energy efficiency thereby reducing emissions for existing buildings, and piloting new near zero emission buildings. It has the following four sub-components: 1) TA on retrofitting existing buildings: The Shanghai Energy Conservation Supervision Center (SECSC) has done a complete survey of energy use, building envelope, and electric appliances for 50 buildings (commercial, residential, and schools), representing 80% of the buildings in the Hongqiao Zone of Changning district. They also plan to expand the energy survey to other parts of Changning district. The survey demonstrated large energy saving potentials in these buildings, particularly in the areas of building envelope (better insulation and windows) and heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) systems. However, the single largest barrier to retrofit commercial buildings is that the owners, usually multiple owners for one building, are reluctant to invest in energy conservation measures, because the renters pay for the energy bill, and owners are uncertain of the returns on energy efficiency investments and do not want to interrupt commercial operation of the buildings due to retrofit. In addition, the current building energy efficiency practice usually covers only one or two technologies, such as conversion of oil to gas boilers, rather than adopting an integrated approach that addresses whole building energy use with both load reduction and equipment efficiency measures. This sub-component will recommend and provide implementation support for the district to pilot (i) more bold policies of mandatory requirements for retrofitting inefficient buildings, more stringent and easy to enforce building codes, performance-based building standards (e.g. based on kWh/m2 or MJ/m2), and additional financial incentives; (ii) market-based mechanisms/business models and financing mechanisms to retrofit existing buildings at a large scale; and (iii) feasibility studies on integrated approach of comprehensive technology renovation. 7 GEF-5 PIF Template-8/19/10 8:24:36 AM 2) Investment and TA on new near zero emission buildings: The Bank team has assisted the counterparts in analytical work on the technical and economic feasibility of near zero emission buildings in Shanghai. The district government and the Bank team have consulted a few potential project developers for new commercial building development in the Hongqiao zone, and some of them are willing to construct near zero emission buildings. Since the incremental cost of the near zero emission buildings is the major barrier to deployment, GEF resource is sought to share the incremental costs (including EE, RE, and smart meters), together with district government and project developers. Investing near zero-emission buildings also faces the classic split incentive barrier—investors/developers bear the high incremental costs, while the renters enjoy the energy saving benefits. In addition, this sub-component will recommend and provide implementation support to (i) technologies (both EE and RE) of near zero emission buildings; (ii) integration of intelligent two-way meters to the grid for the near zero-emission buildings; (iii) market development to create a brand name to attract suppliers, buyers, users, etc.; (iv) policies (mandatory requirements and additional incentives); and (v) financing mechanisms for near zero emission buildings. Through piloting the business models and financing mechanisms, this sub-component intends to demonstrate the technical, financial, and commercial feasibility of near zero-emission buildings, and help drive down costs through the technology learning curve. If successful, the government and developers will replicate this experience with their own funds. 3) TA on setting and monitoring building energy consumption quota: This sub-component will help (1) set up a monitoring and management system for building energy consumption as a monitoring, reporting, and verification (MRV) system for energy consumption and carbon emissions in buildings; (2) regularly audit and publish energy consumption in buildings; and (3) implement cap on total energy consumption in public buildings (commercial and government buildings) by sector. As a result, consumers’ behavior would be changed towards energy conservation and low-carbon. 4) Investment in retrofitting existing buildings and constructing new near zero emission buildings: This subcomponent will invest in (1) retrofitting existing buildings; and (ii) baseline costs of piloting near zeroemission building, funded by the counterparts and possibly bank loan. 2. Low-carbon Energy Mix This component aims at improving carbon intensity of power and heating supply through distributed generation from renewable energy and natural gas, as well as purchase of green electricity. It has the following three subcomponents: 1) TA on low-carbon distributed generation: This sub-component will provide TA on cost benefit analysis, supporting policies, and business models for (i) renewable energy generation; (ii) distributed generation of tri-generation for power, heating, and cooling from natural gas; and (iii) conversion of oil to gas heating boilers. 2) TA for increased purchase of green electricity: This sub-component will provide TA to (i) increase purchase of green electricity; and (ii) explore energy savings certificate (white certificate) trading and possibly carbon emission trading. This sub-component will assist Changning district in purchasing increased volume of green electricity. For the second sub-component, Shanghai has already been selected by NDRC to pilot the White certificate trading concept. The Changning district will explore promoting trading among a few large energy consumers. This will help set up the trading mechanisms (e.g. regulations, price range), and monitoring and verification system. 3) Investment in low-carbon energy mix: This sub-component will invest in renewable energy, distributed generation, and conversion of oil to gas heating boilers, funded by the counterparts and possibly bank loan. 3. Green Transport In Changning district, to some extent at the municipal level, this sub-component will (1) learn from international experience and best practice on integrated green transport policies, such as increased parking fees, providing free shuttle buses within the district, and adapt them to the Changning district, to encourage green mobility; and (2) 8 GEF-5 PIF Template-8/19/10 8:24:36 AM study the feasibility of electric vehicles, if possible, pilot the electric buses to connect metro/light rail stations to office buildings to cover the last mile. Currently, there is a 1-2 km gap between the metro station and most office buildings in the zone. This has been a key bottleneck to prevent more people from taking public transport. A good connection between public transport modes is important. 4. Integrating green energy schemes to achieve low-carbon objectives This component will (1) integrate green energy schemes on the demand side in the building and transport sectors as well as on the supply side to achieve district’s low-carbon objectives, including definition of Measurement &Verification (M&V) methodology and setting up an M&V system to monitor and verify energy savings and CO2 emission reductions; and (2) building capacity of key stakeholders such as the implementing agency of New Changning, and district and municipal government officials to ensure institutional sustainability. Incremental Reasoning: First of all, despite that many municipal governments in China have begun to develop eco-cities or low-carbon cities, there lacks clear definition and key performance indicators to define and measure such initiatives. In addition, the current green energy practice tends to deal with energy efficiency and renewable energy separately. However, the McKinsey abatement cost curve for the Changning district demonstrated that achieving the objectives of low-carbon cities requires integration of energy efficiency, renewable energy, and green transport. GEF resources are sought to pilot and provide implementation support for these integrated solutions. While many building energy efficiency measures, such as energy efficient lighting and HVAC systems and heat pump, are among the lowest cost options on the abatement cost curve, their widespread deployment faces many barriers. The single largest barrier to retrofit commercial buildings is that the owners, usually multiple owners for one building, are reluctant to invest in energy conservation measures, as the renters pay for the energy bill and owners do not want to interrupt commercial operation of the buildings due to retrofit. In addition, most financial institutions are not willing or interested in building EE lending due to its small size, high transaction costs, long payback periods, and high risks (both credit risk of developers/ESCOs and technical risk of actual energy savings achieved), and they are not familiar with the technologies. GEF resources are sought to remove these barriers, and pilot bolder policies, market-based mechanisms/business models, financing mechanisms, and integrated solutions to retrofit existing buildings at a large scale. This project will be one of the first efforts to pilot near zero-emission buildings in China (and the world). The single largest barrier now is its high incremental cost. Currently, there is little international experience on zeroemission buildings. For example, a recently completed DOE net zero energy office building (220,000 ft2) in Golden, Colorado cost $259/ft2 to build, compared with the $140/ft2 cost for regular local office building – almost doubling the costs. In addition, developers also need technical support on international experience of new technologies and their reliability. GEF resources are sought for technical assistance of near zero emission buildings and share the incremental costs with district government and project developers. Finally, this project will support Changning district to pilot bolder policies ahead of Shanghai and China, for example, mandatory requirements for retrofitting existing buildings, adopting performance-based building standards (e.g. based on kWh/m2 or MJ/m2), increasing purchase of green electricity, and exploring promotion of energy saving certificates trading. GEF resources are critical to accelerate the speed and enhance the quality and success of the low-carbon city initiative in Changning district and Shanghai. The global environment benefits from this project will improve energy efficiency and increase use of renewable energy, natural gas, and advanced clean energy technologies, thereby reducing GHG emissions. This project is innovative as it integrates energy efficiency and clean energy technologies in a comprehensive manner to achieve low-carbon district objective. The detailed emission reduction estimates will be carried out during project preparation, and presented in the Project Appraisal Document (PAD) at CEO endorsement stage. 9 GEF-5 PIF Template-8/19/10 8:24:36 AM The TA will be provided at both municipal and district levels, with policy development at municipal level, focusing on pilot and implementation at district level. Both the municipal and district governments are deeply committed, and stakeholders have strong capacity. This project will have a wide replication potential inside and outside China. B.3. DESCRIBE THE SOCIOECONOMIC BENEFITS TO BE DELIVERED BY THE PROJECT: In addition to the global environmental benefits, this project, through putting in place sustainable policy, institutional, and financing schemes for EE, RE, and green transport in Changning/Shanghai, can also bring in substantial domestic development benefits – improved air quality, reduced energy bills, enhanced energy security, less traffic congestion, and more livable city. The project will help position Changning district and Shanghai municipal government to become a leader in China on green energy schemes for low-carbon city development. B.4 INDICATE RISKS, INCLUDING CLIMATE CHANGE RISKS: Risk Political risks: Changning government cannot implement bolder policies Risk Rating Moderate Institutional risks: difficult to convince building owners to retrofit existing buildings Substantial Cost risks: difficult to convince developers to pilot near zero-emission buildings due to its high incremental costs Moderate Distributed generation does not have access to the grids Substantial Weak project implementation capacity Moderate Risk Mitigation Strategy The Bank team has consulted both the municipal and Changning district governments. The district government can adopt innovative supportive policies. They are in the process to request for approval from the Shanghai municipal Development and Reform Commission to pilot low-carbon development demonstration district. If approved, they will be granted with authority to pilot bolder green energy policies ahead of Shanghai and national level. The Bank team is assisting the district government in conducting a small AAA work on policies and business models for building retrofit. SECSC is now conducting energy audit for the buildings in the Hongqiao district, and compares them with international benchmarks. The project intends to pilot bold policies that mandate those existing buildings with energy use above benchmarks (e.g. MJ/m2 or kWh/m2) to retrofit; and pilot market- based business models for building retrofit, for example, ESCOs invest in EE measures and share the energy savings with owners. The Bank team and the district government have consulted a few project developers who will build new commercial buildings in the Hongqiao zone. One of them expressed interests in piloting near zero-emission buildings in principle. There are also more new real estate development sites within Changning district. The proposed project will provide technical support to the design of the pilot near zero-emission building, and share the incremental costs. The district government will also provide additional financial incentives, and the project will also help market development to create brand names. This is a major barrier for distributed generation, such as roof-top PV, at national level. But its solution is closely linked with power sector reform. This project is unlikely to fundamentally address this issue. However, the district government has invited the Shanghai power company to be part of the project. This project also plans to pilot policy solutions such as wheeling and net metering to address this issue. The Bank team has had extensive discussions with the municipal and district governments on the implementation arrangement of the project. The district government has assigned a dedicated team to prepare for this project, and a PMO will be set up under the leadership of municipal DRC and district government. The district government also set up the New Changning Low-carbon 10 GEF-5 PIF Template-8/19/10 8:24:36 AM Risk Risk Rating Risk Mitigation Strategy Investment Management Ltd. as the implementing agency for the proposed IBRD loan. Shanghai has one of the strongest capacity in China, demonstrated through the project preparation process. The project will allocate funds for implementation support. Overall risk rating Substantial B.5. KEY STAKEHOLDERS INVOLVED AND THEIR RESPECTIVE ROLES: The district government plans to set up a working group involving the key stakeholders to prepare for the project, consisting of dedicated staff at the district government, SECSC, Shanghai municipal government, Shanghai Building Design and Research Institute, Shanghai Power Company, Shengneng Group and others. In addition, key stakeholders also include building owners, managers, and developers; investors, ESCOs, etc. The proposed project will be implemented by a Project Management Office (PMO), led by the Shanghai DRC and Changning district government. The district government has assigned dedicated staff from the district government and experts from SECSC to prepare for this project. The municipal government has been actively involved in the project. In addition, the district government also set up and injected equity to the New Changning Low-carbon Investment Management Ltd. as the implementing agency for the proposed IBRD loan. The district government intends to make the New Changning Low-Carbon company as a sustainable institutional arrangement to manage low-carbon investments in the district after project completes, through building their capacity and developing an Operational Manual under this GEF Project. B.6. OUTLINE THE COORDINATION WITH OTHER RELATED INITIATIVES: Coordination with other eco-city and low-carbon city initiatives: The World Bank (WB) has been implementing energy efficiency, renewable energy, and eco-city initiatives in China. This proposed project has built on lessons learned from international and Chinese experience, as mentioned in section A. The Bank team has closely coordinated with other ongoing and planned low-carbon city programs in China, notably the Tianjin Eco-city project and Beijing Environment project. The Tianjin Eco-city project is a green field project targeting at a new development zone in Binhai. The GEF project in Tianjin intends to (a) develop an implementation framework for the master plan; (b) TA for public transport; and (c) TA and investment in improving energy efficiency in public buildings. In Beijing, the Bank is assisting Beijing municipal government in improving their low-carbon city development plan, and an IBRD lending and GEF TA project are in the pipeline, focusing on renewable energy and building energy efficiency. The proposed Shanghai project is a brown field project targeting at reducing carbon and energy intensity in an existing district with largely commercial buildings. Shanghai municipal government deliberately requested the Bank’s support to focus on retrofitting an existing commercial district. This approach has been given less attention and is more challenging, but has a wide replication potential nationwide. Since 90% of energy consumption in the district comes from electricity, this project will focus on green energy schemes. It intends to integrate energy efficiency and renewable energy in piloting near zero-emission buildings, demonstrate new market-based business models to retrofit existing buildings with integrated technology solutions, and adopt a comprehensive approach to optimize energy mix in both power and heating supply. The project will coordinate with other low-carbon city initiatives in China, particularly with Beijing, Ningbo, Tianjin, and NDRC designated pilot low-carbon cities and provinces during project implementation. Coordination with other building EE and RE initiatives: This project also capitalizes on the past and ongoing GEF efforts on building energy efficiency and renewable energy in China. The China Heat Reform and Building Energy Efficiency Project practiced the integrated approach to address residential heating energy conservation by assisting the development of national policy framework for two-part heat tariff and consumption-based billing and the implementation of new housing projects which combines advanced energy-efficiency designs, apartmentlevel heat meters, and variable-flow heat supply. The project has been successful in working with local governments and real estate developers in multiple cities and in leveraging private financing for incremental 11 GEF-5 PIF Template-8/19/10 8:24:36 AM energy efficiency costs. Furthermore, the China Renewable Energy Scaling Up Program (CRESP) has played an essential role in developing and implementing Renewable Energy Law in China, and contributed to the scale-up of renewable energy in China. The planned CRESP Phase II will also address national-level policies to encourage distributed generation (such as roof-top PV) to have access to the grid and green electricity, thereby, has a close link to this proposed project and can scale up the successful pilot in Shanghai across the nation. Finally, this proposed project will also build on the success and approach of the award-winning Bank’s assistance in the Green Electricity scheme in Shanghai. Building on past lessons learned: This proposed project has built on lessons learned from international and Chinese experience. First, the low-carbon city concept in China is still not clearly defined due to a lack of clear standards and key indicators to assess environmental sustainability in a comprehensive and comparable manner. The Tianjin Eco-city has set ambitious targets for key performance indicators, but Bank’s analysis of these targets against international benchmarks shows that it may not be realistic. To this end, the team has reviewed international experience on key indicators for low-carbon cities or green cities, such as the European Green City Index and LEED Neighborhood Development indicators. Most importantly, the abatement cost curve and abatement scenarios that the team is assisting the clients in developing will provide analytical underpinning to set up low-carbon targets and indicators. Second, the proposed GEF project in Shanghai plans to adopt a comprehensive multi-sector approach to integrate energy efficiency, clean energy technologies, and sustainable transport to achieve low-carbon objective in Changning district, with measureable indicators. In the past, most of the GEF-supported low-carbon city projects worldwide focused on the transport sector only, where buildings and green energy supply are a missing link. Similarly, most of the GEF-supported energy projects focused on either energy efficiency or renewable energy alone. However, achieving low-carbon objective at a city level requires a holistic multi-sector approach to integrate energy efficiency, renewable energy, compact urban design, and public transport. Third, this proposed project plans to introduce international best practices and pilot innovative policies and business models, based on the past building EE work. This is the focus of this proposed TA activities. For example, this project plans to pilot new policies of mandatory requirements for retrofitting inefficient existing buildings, as well as more stringent and performance-based building codes such as kWh/m2 or MJ/m2. If successful, this will have a wide replication potential nationwide. Furthermore, Shanghai has already piloted Green Electricity scheme, a pioneer in China, and the proposed GEF project intends to assist them in expanding green electricity business to meet the renewable energy target, and share the incremental costs among the able- and willing-to-pay customers. Within a city boundary, on-site lowcarbon energy supply is limited, constrained by renewable energy potential and water/land resources. To achieve the low-carbon objective at city-level, increased purchase of green electricity from outside Shanghai is a key solution towards a low-carbon energy mix, and can spur large demand for green electricity. C. DESCRIBE THE GEF AGENCY’S COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE TO IMPLEMENT THIS PROJECT: C.1 INDICATE THE CO-FINANCING AMOUNT THE GEF AGENCY IS BRINGING TO THE PROJECT: The World Bank is well positioned to provide both GEF grant for transfer of international knowledge and best practices and technical assistance on policy advice and business development, combined with IBRD investments. The proposed project intends to invest $100 million IBRD loans, with matching investment of an additional $100 million from the private sector, in building retrofit, near zero-emission buildings, distributed generation from renewable energy and natural gas. Shanghai/Changning governments have submitted their investment proposal to NDRC for approval. C.2 PROJECT FIT WITH GEF AGENCY PROGRAM - STAFF CAPACITY IN COUNTRY TO SUPPORT PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION: The World Bank is a leading international financial institution with strong experience in packaging investment projects focusing on institution building, infrastructure development, policy reform, and market transformation 12 GEF-5 PIF Template-8/19/10 8:24:36 AM across all the focal areas of the GEF. Since GEF’s inception in 1991 and formal establishment in 1994, the Bank has an intensive EE and RE portfolio around the world, and the bulk of the Bank’s energy portfolio in China has been energy efficiency and renewable energy. These projects have been generally satisfactory. The Bank’s China energy program now launches a new business line on low-carbon energy schemes for cities, and this proposal is the first attempt to integrate energy efficiency, renewable energy, smart meters, and green transport into one operation. In China, there has been a close working relationship between the government and the World Bank since GEF’s establishment. The World Bank has an excellent team of experts specializing in conceptualization, development, implementation, and monitoring of low-carbon energy projects. PART III: ENDORSEMENT BY GEF OPERATIONAL FOCAL POINT AND GEF AGENCY A. RECORD OF ENDORSEMENT OF GEF OPERATIONAL FOCAL POINT FOR THE GOVERNMENT: NAME POSITION MINISTRY Director MINISTRY OF FINANCE INTERNATIONAL FINANCE INSTITUTION DIVISION III DEPARTMENT OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS GOVERNMENT OF P.R. CHINA DATE B. GEF AGENCY CERTIFICATION This request has been prepared in accordance with GEF/LDCF/SCCF policies and procedures and meets the GEF/LDCF/SCCF criteria for project identification and preparation. Agency Coordinator, Agency name Karin Shepardson, WB GEF Executive Coordinator Signature Date 4/4/2011 Project Contact Person Xiaodong Wang, Senior Energy Specialist Telephone Email Address xwang1@worldbank. org 13 GEF-5 PIF Template-8/19/10 8:24:36 AM