AP Environmental Science Ozone Depletion and Climate Change – chap 19 I. Climate – determining factors (see chap 7 p. 145-148) overview and comparison of climate with weather NOAA Climate Service is a good basic resource for this unit National Rain, Snow and Hail network - keep track of what's happening! How high is the sky? A. latitude B. air circulation - Fig 7-3 and 7-4 C. water circulation - see also fig. 7-2; 7-5 | examine buoy data on temperature in ocean currents D. local geography (such as rain shadows - fig 7-6) II. Greenhouse effect and global warming B sure you are familiar with atmospheric structure global air circulation influences climate A. how the greenhouse effect warms the earth | view an animation | carbon cycle animation B. climate has cycled naturally throughout history (fig. 19-2 and 19-3) How do we know? (NOAA Paleoclimatology project) | more on how isotope ratios are used to infer past environments C. probable causes of an enhanced (unnatural) greenhouse effect 1. primary greenhouse gases: CO2, methane, CFC’s, NOx - fig 19-6 2. rise in CO2 emissions this century – see fig. 19-8 where are the emissions coming from? Check out this interactive map Compare CO2 emissions of states 3. rise in atmospheric carbon has been less than the emissions – where is it going?? 4. temperatures have risen slightly (more in some areas than others) in the past 100 years 5. CO2 and temperature are historically linked (fig. 19-7) 6. CO2, fossil fuel use, and temperature are linked in recent decades D. evidence that the climate is currently warming Global Climate Change.Gov - interactive site based on May 2014 report NASA climate web page - excellent place to start World view of global warming - photographic documentation of climate change sea ice changes in the Antarctic, Greenland, and Alaska – Check out a NASA satellite image/animation changes in timing of migration vegetation changes check out more info on the basics of climate change and recent trends measured by the National Center for Atmospheric Research National Geographic special from September 2004 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has concluded that warming is occurring Analysis of Michael Crighton's novel, which features climate change RealClimate is a site that collects articles and commentary on global warming CO2 is absorbed by phytoplankton in the ocean; this process can be measured from space. Check out the link for a movie explaining the process An Inconvenient Truth -- check out the documentary narrated by Al Gore National Snow and Ice Data Center - charts changes in the artic Overview of the evidence: What's up with the weather (NOVA) How to talk to a climate skeptic (excellent site with detailed responses to dozens of common "skeptic" arguments) Ocean buoys measure the temperature of the Eastern Pacific Equatorial Current | National Buoy Data Center Evidence of warming at Glacier National Park The US Global Change Research Program published a lengthy report in 2009. Additional reports have been issued, including one in spring 2014 Melting ice on Kilamanjaro E. global warming and its impact (fig. 19-A, section 19-3) Use the Climate Wizard to see map-based predictions of change based on various models Air pollution may be reducing the effects of climate change - see Nova's Dimming the Sun Interactive map of global warming "early warning signs" - changes already taking place interactive map of potential changes Tour the effects of climate change in Google Earth Another interactive map of projected changes Another interactive map, focusing on the Chesapeake region 1. climate shifts impacts of a warming acrtic changes to ocean circulation changes in the gulf stream 2. changes in forest cover and farming (fig. 19-13) 3. increased severe weather 4. droughts and floods (sea level rise/melting of ice caps) (predictions – fig. 19-14, 19-15) | check out flood maps to see which areas might be flooded sea level rise predictions for the Chesapeake 5. oceans are becoming acidic as they absorb more CO2. This reduces the availability of CaCO3, with significant negative impacts on corals. More here. 6. positive benefits to crop growth and other possible benefits predicting the changes is very complicated because of feedback systems Changes are likely to be gradual; even gradual changes could require significant costs economic analysis suggests that the effects of "inaction" on solving the problem will be significant "Climate Change Fight Can't Wait" Check out some projections for future emissions and temperature changes F. solutions (fig. 19-13) 1. various approaches to action – precautionary; wait and see; act now with no regrets 2. Kyoto conference/treaty and US opposition/Copenhagen a coalition of US cities has signed an alternative agreement: the US Mayors Climate Protection Agreement many states are also acting, partly because the federal government has failed to act Stop Global Warming (an activist's site) Copenhagen meetings in December 2009 negotiated the follow-up to Kyoto. text of the Copenhagen Accord 3. decreasing CO2 emissions - fig. 19-22 changes in tax structure to encourage conservation. The summer 2009 Waxman-Markey bill would (have) establish(ed) a "cap and trade" approach to reducing CO2 emissions. A primer on "cap and trade" encouraging use of non-emitting electricity and transportation changes in farming practice individual actions – fig. 19-28 The Sustainable Energy Institute also discusses solutions calculate your own CO2 emissions | and another greenhouse gas calculator -- the 10% challenge | Your Carbon Diet interactive shows how to reduce CO2 emissions in homes | another calculator from "Low Carbon Diet" | And one from the EPA | overview of various carbon calculators from Sierra Club (Sept. 08) EPA greenhouse gas reporting program Rocky Mountain Institute does research to promote the use of renewable energy and other "green" technologies Craig Branson of Virgin Group, recently announced a plan to invest $3 billion into helping solve the climate crisis. Google.org is a new for-profit philanthropic venture which aims to fight climate change The Fix: Sierra Club proposal for reducing CO2 emissions (Jan. 2007) Sports Illustrated: The Greening of Sports (3-6-07) Various programs allow you to purchase renewable energy or "offset" your contribution to non-renewable sources by investing in cleaner options: Terrapass.com | Native Energy | Climate-neutral travel Green resources of many varieties Chesapeake Climate Action Network a plan for a power plant in Georgia was denied recently because of global warming concerns. The state of Kansas has also denied permits for new coal-fired power plants recently. Greenhouse gas equivalences calculator (how much is a metric ton of CO2?) 4. sequestering CO2 in trees and the ocean – fig. 19-D plant trees! Biochar is a material that could sequester carbon in the soil 5. evidence of progress 6. Adaptation - fig 19-29 7. Geoengineering - fig 19-23 Caution -- Global warming is not the cause of every problem!! III. Ozone - section 18-7 | cartoon guide to ozone depletion A. the ozone “layer” and its importance (stratospheric ozone) B. ozone depletion – causes and its extent 1. the history of CFC’s and their uses 2. how CFC’s destroy ozone in the stratosphere 3. documenting the changes (fig. 18-30) 4. other ozone-depleting chemicals NOx (more details) C. impact of ozone depletion 1. potential problems – fig. 18-31 EPA UV Index page - forecasts 2. skin cancers D. solutions 1. Montreal Protocol – 1987 analysis of how skeptics slowed down the response to this threat, and how similar obstruction might be occurring regarding climate change. 2. CFC substitutes are being phased in 3. protecting yourself from the sun Q&A about sunscreens and UV light from the CDC EPA site on sun safety