Climate Action and Low Carbon Development Bill 2015 Regulatory Impact Analysis Prepared by the Department of the Environment, Community and Local Government January 2015 1 The Department of the Environment, Community and Local Government has prepared this Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) to accompany the proposed Climate Action and Low Carbon Development Bill 2015. The ultimate objectives of the Bill are to enable Ireland to meet its legally binding nonETS emissions reduction 2020 targets (and any other new EU and international obligations) and to achieve transition to a low carbon, climate resilient and environmentally sustainable economy in the period up to and including the year 2050. In order to achieve these ultimate objectives, the Bill’s immediate objectives are to: ● provide for the adoption of a national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and a national climate change adaptation framework which would: o articulate a vision for the transition to a 2050 emissions reduction scenario; o address all legally binding international climate change obligations on the State; and o provide for climate adaptation planning. ● provide for the establishment of a National Expert Advisory Council on Climate Change, to be supported by the Environmental Protection Agency, to advise and make recommendations in respect of, inter alia, the national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and the national climate change adaptation framework; ● provide clear accountability through an annual reporting mechanism to Dáil Éireann on progress made in transitioning to a low carbon, climate resilient and environmentally sustainable economy by 2050; and ● provide for a duty on public bodies to have due regard to the national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and national climate change adaptation framework in performing their functions; This RIA has been prepared pursuant to the Revised RIA Guidelines How to Conduct a Regulatory Impact Analysis (Department of the Taoiseach, 2009). 2 CONTENTS 1. Summary of Regulatory Impact Analysis…………………………….4 2. Description of Policy Context and Objectives…………………...11 3. Identification and Description of Policy Options………………..15 4. Costs, Benefits and Impact Analysis of Options………………….17 5. Consultation……………………………………………………………………….23 6. Enforcement and Compliance…………………………………………...23 7. Review……………………………………………………………………………….24 8. Publication………………………………………………………………………….24 3 1. Summary of Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) Department: Title of Legislation: Environment, Community and Local Government Climate Action and Low Carbon Development Bill 2015 Stage: Date: Government approval of the Bill 2 January 2015 Related Publications: - Programme for Government 2011-2016 (March 2011) - Review of National Climate Policy (November 2011) - Towards a New National Climate Policy: Interim Report of the NESC Secretariat (June 2012) - Results of the Public Consultation on National Climate Policy Development (August 2012) - Ireland and the Climate Change Challenge: Connecting ‘How Much’ with ‘How to’: Final Report of the NESC Secretariat (December 2012) - Report of the Oireachtas Joint Committee on the Environment, Culture and the Gaeltacht on the Outline Heads of the Climate Action and Low Carbon Development Bill 2013 (November 2013) - General Scheme of the Climate Action and Low Carbon Development Bill (April 2014) Available to view or download at: http://www.environ.ie http://www.taoiseach.gov.ie http://www.oireachtas.ie Contact for enquiries: David Walker Telephone: 01 888 2780 What policy options have been considered? Please summarise the costs, benefits and impacts relating to each of the option below and indicate whether a preferred option has been identified. 1. 2. 3a. 3b. Do Nothing. Develop and Enact Primary Legislation. Incorporate in Primary Legislation Additional Emissions Reduction Targets up to 2050. Do Not Incorporate in Primary Legislation Additional Emissions Reduction Targets up to 2050. 4a. Incorporate in Primary Legislation a National Steering and Oversight Board with a Technical Secretariat (as proposed by the NESC Secretariat). 4b. Incorporate in Primary Legislation a National Expert Advisory Council on Climate Change (as proposed in the General Scheme of the Bill). Preferred Option: Option 2, incorporating Options 3b and 4b. 4 OPTIONS COSTS BENEFITS 1. Do Nothing Without long-term structures in place, Ireland’s distance to target in respect of EU commitments would not be narrowed. No benefits identified. 2. Develop and Enact Primary Legislation The preparation of a national low carbon transition and mitigation plan, and associated sectoral measures, and a national climate change adaptation framework, and associated sectoral adaptation plans, would increase the administrative burden on Government Would provide a statutory basis to underpin Ireland’s commitment to meeting EU/international agreements for greenhouse gas emissions reductions. National plans would enhance a co-ordinated Government effort with synergy of Departmental policies 5 IMPACTS Would have no impact on national competitiveness in the short term. Would have negative impact in the medium and longer term. Would have long-term negative impact on the environment. No impacts are anticipated under the following headings: - the economic market, including consumer and competition impacts; - the socially excluded and vulnerable groups; - the rights of citizens; - compliance burden; and - North-South and East-West relations. Medium and long-term impact on national competitiveness is expected to be positive. Would have a positive impact on the environment. Would involve a policy change in an economic market, including consumer and competition impacts. Would result in compliance burdens on Departments. Implementing mitigation and adaptation policies and measures contained in a national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and a national climate change adaptation framework would result in a financial cost to the economy. The requirement for public bodies to have regard to a national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and a national climate change adaptation framework may place a financial cost on those bodies. Establishment of the Expert Advisory Council would give rise to administrative costs. and measures to reduce emissions. Would give a clear signal on the direction of long-term Government policy supporting/encouraging investment in the green tech field. Expert council would equal the best possible advice for policy makers. Annual report of expert council would make, inter alia, recommendations in relation to the most cost effective way of achieving long term transition to a low carbon, climate resilient economy. Would clearly identify responsibility for emission reductions with the development of a national plan. Would provide transparency/ accountability through annual reporting and the transition statement. Would provide the mechanism to review progress and identify if further measures are needed to ensure compliance. A duty on public bodies would widen ownership of responsibility. 6 public bodies directed to carry out reports/measures relating to compliance with a national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and/or a national climate change adaptation framework . No impacts are anticipated under the following headings: - socially excluded and vulnerable groups; - North-South and EastWest relations; and - the rights of citizens. Putting commitments into legislation would result in reputational benefits at an international level. Health benefits/quality of life. Legislation would underpin adaptation policy and planning in Ireland, supporting an integrated crossGovernment approach. Annual transition statements to Dáil Éireann by Ministers on the progress of mitigation and adaptation measures would increase public awareness and encourage societal change. 3a. Incorporate in Primary Legislation Additional Emissions Reduction Targets up to 2050. Implementing measures to reach additional targets will impose financial costs on the Exchequer/economy. May lead to the introduction of higher future targets at EU level which in turn would have cost implications for the Exchequer. The Exchequer would have to bear the cost of any legal challenge if targets were not meet. Would provide a Negotiating targets statutory impetus to cut would distract from emissions beyond policy development and agreed EU targets. meeting legally binding EU targets. Would ensure long term certainty for Would impact on business. national competitiveness. May Would provide a result in short-term benchmark to measure competitive progress. disadvantage compared Would push innovation. to other countries. Would drive societal Would have a positive change. impact on the environment. There would be a negative impact on compliance burden. Would result in a significant change in an 7 3b. Do Not Incorporate in Primary Legislation Additional Emissions Reduction Targets up to 2050. No additional costs identified. Would facilitate a move away from a short-term compliance-centric approach and provide opportunity for Ireland to develop and implement long-term, cost-efficient transition planning. 4a. There would be Incorporate administration costs in Primary associated with the Legislation a National Steering and National Oversight Body and Steering technical secretariat. and Oversight Board with High-level Government involvement in the Body would demonstrate Government commitment to ensuring transition to a carbon neutral society. Co-ordinated advice 8 economic market, including consumer and competition impacts. No impacts are anticipated under the following headings: - socially excluded and vulnerable groups; - the rights of citizens; and - North-South and EastWest relations. Would have a positive impact on national competitiveness. Would have a positive impact on the environment. Would result in a change in an economic market, including consumer and competition impacts. No impacts are anticipated under the following headings: - socially excluded and vulnerable groups; - the rights of citizens; - compliance burden; and - North-South and EastWest relations. It is expected that the long-term impact on national competitiveness would be positive. No impact on the environment. Would result in a significant change in an a Technical Secretariat (as proposed by the NESC Secretariat). from senior figures with relevant proven business and organisational experience would assist Government in the formulation of carbon neutral strategies and broad sectoral/departmental plans and targets. Body would drive and oversee Ireland’s national transition. Body would form part of a framework to support the national transition. Would convene the relevant actors and challenge them to achieve more ambitious goals and targets. Would work with agencies to formulate goals, action plans, metrics and indicators for each area that can contribute to the low carbon transition. Would work with Departments, public bodies and agencies to identify challenges to progressing the low carbon agenda and provide clearing house for same. Would collate and analyse reporting from the agencies and networks. The body’s engagement 9 economic market, including consumer and competition impacts. No impacts are anticipated under the following headings: - socially excluded and vulnerable groups; - the rights of citizens; - compliance burden; and - North-South and EastWest relations. 4b. Administrative cost for Incorporate the EPA. in Primary Legislation a National Expert Advisory Council on Climate Change (as proposed in the General Scheme of the Bill) with agencies and other organisations would push public and private actors to ever greater decarbonisation. By facilitating the engagement of all relevant actors, Body would widen the burden of responsibility and support societal change. Expert council would equal best possible advice for policy makers. Annual review report of the expert council would make, inter alia, recommendations in relation to the most cost effective way of achieving long-term transition to a low carbon society by 2050. Empowering the Council to publish reports directly, following submission to the Minister, would increase the independence of the Body and the transparency of advice/ recommendations provided. Would provide support/oversight for the preparation of a national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and a national climate change 10 Would result in a significant change in an economic market, including consumer and competition impacts. No impacts are anticipated under the following headings: - national competitiveness; - the environment; - socially excluded and vulnerable groups; - the rights of citizens; - compliance burden; and - North-South and EastWest relations. adaptation framework and associated sectoral adaptation plans. Periodic reviews would ensure progress is maintained on the implementation of the national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and the national climate change adaptation framework. Body would provide advice on potential future EU law or international agreements. 2. 2.1 Description of Policy Context and Objectives Climate Change Anthropogenic climate change presents very serious global risks. Increased levels of greenhouse gases increase the amount of energy trapped in the atmosphere, which leads to global impacts such as increased temperatures, the melting of snow and ice, and a rising global average sea-level. This, in turn, will result in the potential for massive population movements, global conflict and severe dislocation and hardship. 2.2 In Ireland, predicted negative impacts include more intense storms and rainfall events; an increased likelihood of flooding in rivers and on the coast, where almost all cities and large towns are situated; water shortages in summer in the east and the need for irrigation of crops; changes in the distribution of species; and the possible extinction of vulnerable species. 2.3 In response, climate policy in Ireland has developed in the context of national and EU commitment to the 1992 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Article 2 of the UNFCCC sets out the fundamental objective of stabilising greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. In particular, both the European Union (EU) and the United Nations (UN) have adopted the goal of limiting the rise in average global temperature to no more than two degrees over the pre-industrial level, on the basis that this is regarded as a significant threshold for preventing dangerous climate change. 11 2.4 Policy Response within the EU In this context, for the period 2013-2020, the EU’s Climate and Energy Package of 2009 mandated a 20 per cent reduction by the year 2020 in overall greenhouse gas emissions compared to 1990 levels. 2.5 An important distinction in EU policy is between emissions included in the EU’s Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) and other, non-ETS emissions. The ETS includes large energy users, such as electricity, cement and large pharmaceutical plants. The non-ETS sectors include agriculture, transport, households, industry (excluding energy-intensive industry), and private and public services. 2.6 In the revised ETS that applied from 1 January 2013, the allocation of emissions allowances is managed on a harmonised basis across the EU rather than at the level of Member States. The target reduction in emissions for the ETS sector is 21 per cent by 2020 compared to 2005 levels. Some 100 Irish installations, as well as aspects of international aviation, participate in the ETS, which is administered in Ireland by the Environmental Protection Agency. 2.7 In respect of non-ETS emissions, the total EU target is a reduction of 10 per cent by 2020 compared to 2005 levels. This 10 per cent EU target was allocated across Member States through the so-called Effort Sharing Decision1, which gave Ireland a target to achieve a 20 per cent reduction in non-ETS emissions by 2020 compared to 2005 levels. 2.8 2.9 2.10 Policy Response within Ireland In contrast to sectors in the ETS, which are regulated at EU level, it is the responsibility of Member States to define and implement national policies and measures to limit emissions from the sectors covered by the Effort Sharing Decision. National policy has been laid out in the National Climate Change Strategies (NCCSs) published in 2000 and 2007. The most recent NCCS focused on the measures required to achieve compliance with the first commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol to the UNFCCC2 and on research and development of the measures necessary for then anticipated 2020 targets. Ireland’s Emissions Profile Ireland’s overall emissions profile is distinctive. The ETS sector represented approximately 223 per cent of Ireland’s emissions in 2012, while the EU average was 1 Decision No 406/2009/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 April 2009 on the effort of Member States to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions to meet the Community’s greenhouse gas emission reduction commitments up to 2020. 2 The first commitment period (2008-2012), governed by the Kyoto Protocol, committed Ireland to limit average greenhouse gas emissions over the five-year period to 13 per cent above 1990 levels. 3 http://www.epa.ie/pubs/reports/climatechange/thesimpleguidetoirelandsgreenhousegasemissions.html 12 approximately 414 per cent, which is reflective of the relative absence of heavy industry in Ireland. 2.11 In the non-ETS sector, in 2012, the sectoral concentration is even more pronounced, as follows: Non-ETS Sector Agriculture Transport Industry/Commercial Residential Waste Percentage Share of Emissions 41 24 19 13 3 This distinctive profile reflects both Ireland’s specialisation in beef and dairy farming and a low population density coupled with a tendency for dispersed settlement that inhibits the cost-effectiveness of mass transport systems and encourages car ownership. 2.12 2.13 The high share of non-ETS emissions from agriculture and transport makes Ireland’s 20 per cent non-ETS emissions reduction target very challenging. Based on current projections, Ireland will not meet this target based on existing policy or even with the achievement of ambitious energy efficiency and renewable energy targets. Beyond 2020 The policy response to meeting Ireland’s obligations to reduce emissions in the period to 2020 must also take account of the longer-term transition required to a low carbon economy beyond 2020. 2.14 If the rise in average global temperatures is to be limited to no more than two degrees over the pre-industrial level, it is estimated that developed country emissions must be reduced by at least 80 to 95 per cent by 2050, relative to 1990. An initial consideration of the far-reaching implications of such an objective is provided in a European Commission communication A Roadmap for Moving to a Competitive Low-Carbon Economy in 2050. 2.15 As an interim milestone, at the European Council in October 2014, it was agreed that by 2030 greenhouse gas emissions would be reduced by at least 40 per cent in the EU through domestic EU measures, in order to be on track to reach a greenhouse gas reduction of between 80 to 95 per cent by 2050, consistent with internationally agreed target to limit atmospheric warming to below two degrees. 4 http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/trends-and-projections-2013 13 2.16 Climate Change Legislation Against this background, the Programme for Government 2011-2016 commits the Government to publishing a Climate Change Bill which will provide certainty surrounding government policy and provide a clear pathway for emissions reductions, in line with negotiated EU 2020 targets. Subsequently, the Statement of Government Priorities 2014-2016 makes a commitment to enact the Bill by the end of 2014. 2.17 In anticipation of the preparation of such a Bill, in November 2011, the Minister for Environment, Community and Local Government announced a review of National Climate Policy in order to develop the necessary policy mix to support an ambitious but realistic national mitigation agenda based on a three-pronged approach: ● a public consultation, conducted during 2012, to enable all stakeholders to engage in the policy development process5; ● an independent study carried out by the secretariat to the National Economic and Social Council and completed by December 20126; and ● sectoral mitigation progress to be pursued through the Cabinet Committee on Climate Change and the Green Economy based on positive engagement with the relevant Government Departments where progress must be made if Ireland is to meet its legally-binding targets. 2.18 In February 2013, the Minister released outline Heads of the Climate Action and Low Carbon Development Bill 2013, with the aim of enabling the Oireachtas Joint Committee on the Environment, Culture and the Gaeltacht to engage in an informed and constructive national debate with all stakeholders. 2.19 In order to inform its deliberations, the Joint Committee conducted a wide-ranging public consultation exercise inviting written submissions from interested parties/individuals, together with oral hearings with selected parties/individuals, including the Minister for the Environment, Community and Local Government and his Department. The Joint Committee’s resultant report was submitted to the Minister on 20 November 20137. 2.20 Objectives The ultimate objectives of the Bill are to assist Ireland to close the distance to target in respect of its legally binding non-ETS emissions reduction 2020 target (and any other new EU and international obligations) and to achieve the transition to a low carbon, climate resilient and environmentally sustainable economy in the period up to and including the year 2050. 5 Results of the Public Consultation on National Climate Policy Development (August 2012) Towards a New National Climate Policy: Interim Report of the NESC Secretariat (June 2012) and Ireland and the Climate Change Challenge: Connecting ‘How Much’ with ‘How to’: Final Report of the NESC Secretariat (December 2012). 7 Report of the Oireachtas Joint Committee on the Environment, Culture and the Gaeltacht on the Outline Heads of the Climate Action and Low Carbon Development Bill 2013 (November 2013). 6 14 2.21 3. 3.1 3.2 In order to achieve these ultimate objectives, the Bill’s immediate objectives are to: provide for the adoption of a national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and a national climate change adaptation framework which would: o articulate a vision for the transition to a 2050 emissions reduction scenario; o address all legally binding international obligations on the State; and o provide for climate adaptation planning. • provide for the establishment of a National Expert Advisory Council on Climate Change, to be supported by the Environmental Protection Agency, which would advise and make recommendations in respect of, inter alia, the national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and national climate change adaptation framework provide clear accountability through an annual reporting mechanism to Dáil Éireann on the progress made in transitioning to a low carbon, climate resilient and environmentally sustainable economy by 2050; and provide for a duty on public bodies to have due regard to the national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and national climate change adaptation framework in performing their functions. Identification and Description of Policy Options Option 1 – Do Nothing The first option would involve retaining existing policy on managing national responsibilities through successive National Climate Change Strategies. Ireland has developed two such strategies, the first published in 2000 and the second in 2007. These strategies set out the roadmap for emissions reductions and meeting EU obligations for the purposes of the Kyoto Protocol. The second strategy covered the period up to the end of 2012. The 2011 statement Review of National Climate Policy highlighted that a compliance-based approach to mitigation targets in the NCCSs does not constitute an appropriate or adequate policy response to the level of emissions reductions required across all developed countries in the period post 2012. Option 2 – Develop and Enact Primary Legislation The development and enactment of primary legislation would establish a statutory basis to underpin a progressive course of transition to a low carbon, climate resilient and environmentally sustainable economy up to and including the year 2050. Such legislation would be designed to enable Ireland to meet its binding EU and international emissions reductions targets (both existing and new). This would be done while moving beyond a compliance-centric approach using international institutions and agreements as a framework within which Ireland would work out an effective course of action, suited to its context and making a real contribution to a successful international drive to manage climate change. 15 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 Option 3a – Incorporate in Primary Legislation Additional Emissions Reduction Targets up to 2050 The development and enactment of primary legislation containing additional emissions reduction targets not currently mandated by the EU or internationally would set out a clear and legally binding framework for mitigation. Such additional targets could include ones for 2030, 2040 and 2050, with, perhaps, interim targets (carbon budgets). Option 3b – Do Not Incorporate in Primary Legislation Additional Emissions Reduction Targets up to 2050 The development and enactment of primary legislation which does not contain additional emissions reduction targets not currently mandated by the EU or internationally would enable Ireland to move away from a compliance-centric approach to mitigation (focused on simply meeting a target, with offsetting) and to develop the strategic and institutional infrastructure to meaningfully transition to a low carbon scenario. Option 4a – Incorporate in Primary Legislation a National Steering and Oversight Board with a Technical Secretariat (as proposed by the NESC Secretariat) The development and enactment of primary legislation incorporating the establishment of a National Steering and Oversight Board, supported by a Technical Reporting and Monitoring Secretariat, would: ● assist central government in the formulation of a new carbon-neutral strategy and broad sectoral/departmental plans and targets; ● drive and oversee progress on the strategic building of Ireland’s transition to carbon neutrality; ● deliberate on the progress and challenges in the carbon-neutrality building blocks and project areas, as advanced by the relevant departments, agencies and networks; and ● provide these agencies and networks with upward reach or a clearing house to get the system to take roadblocks out of the way. Its central role would be to ensure and organise the joint exploration of successes and failures and to push agencies and networks to continuously advance the boundaries of knowledge and practice on ‘how to’ decarbonise. The National Board would be chaired by a very high-level actor, preferably a Cabinet Minister, and contain senior figures with a relevant track record of business and organisational achievement. The small technical secretariat would be drawn from the existing agencies. 16 3.7 Option 4b – incorporate in Primary Legislation a National Expert Advisory Council on Climate Change (as proposed in the General Scheme of the Bill) The development and enactment of primary legislation incorporating the establishment of an Expert Advisory Council, supported by the Environmental Protection Agency, which would advise and make recommendations to: ● the Minister for the Environment, Community and Local Government in relation to the preparation of a national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and national climate change adaptation framework, or compliance with any existing obligation of the State under the law of the EU or any international agreement; ● a Government Minister required to produce sectoral mitigation measures for inclusion in the national low carbon transition and mitigation plan or a sectoral adaptation plan; ● the Government in relation to the approval of a national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and national climate change adaptation framework ; and ● the Government or any Government Minister in respect of any policy or proposed policy of the Government relating to the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, or adaptation to the effects of climate change in the State. 3.8 The Body would comprise a chairperson and between 8 and 10 ordinary members, including the following ex officio members: the Director General of the Environmental Protection Agency, Chief Executive Office of the Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland; Director of Teagasc; and Director of the Economic and Social Research Institute. 4. Costs, Benefits and Impact Analysis of Options 4.1 Costs Option 1 An inadequate medium and longer-term response to transition to a low carbon, climate resilient and environmentally sustainable economy would not allow Ireland to meet binding EU targets and wider international commitments on a least-cost basis. 4.1.1 4.1.2 Lack of a long-term strategy would result in higher overall mitigation and adaptation costs. Transition is inevitable. How it is approached and managed will determine how much it will cost the Exchequer. In addition, lack of long-term vision would undermine new economic opportunities in the emerging green-tech sector; missed opportunities would further increase the overall cost of transition. 4.1.3 It is expected that challenging EU targets will be introduced for 2030 and given that it will take years for most emission reduction policies and measures to bear fruit, by not putting in place an adequate medium- and long-term strategy now there may be higherthan-necessary costs to the Exchequer in the future. 17 4.1.4 Option 2 Certain aspects of the proposed Bill would lead to an increased administrative burden on Government Departments; appropriate engagement and the benefit of effective responses would minimise/offset this burden in the medium and longer term. 4.1.5 Establishment of the proposed new Expert Advisory Council would give rise to administrative costs for the Environmental Protection Agency. However, it is envisaged that by hosting the Body within an established organisation that additional costs would be minimised. 4.1.6 The Bill would put a statutory requirement on a number of Government Departments to prepare and introduce plans and measures to reduce emissions as part of a national low carbon transition and mitigation process and the development of a national climate change adaptation framework. It is envisaged that this would have financial implications for the Exchequer. However, the establishment of an effective long-term low carbon strategy would ensure Ireland would either close the distance to target and/or meet its current and future binding EU and international targets at least cost. 4.1.7 The Bill proposes to introduce a requirement for public bodies to consider fully, and integrate the objectives of a national low carbon transition and mitigation plan, a national adaptation framework and sectoral adaptation plans in their strategic planning and day-to-day decision making and take the necessary steps in respect of mitigation and adaptation in their areas of responsibility, which may place a financial cost on those bodies. 4.1.8 4.1.9 Option 3a The establishment of national targets where there are no EU or international targets in place would likely have cost implications for national competitiveness. Additional targets may force expenditure in mitigation/adaptation measures at above the cost efficient point of other EU Member States. 4.1.10 The State may leave itself open to legal challenge and associated costs if targets are not meet, i.e., it is not clear that additional targets can be introduced on a non-justiciable basis, with unquantifiable consequences. Option 3b 4.1.11 No additional costs identified. Option 4a 4.1.12 There would be costs associated with the establishment and administration of a National Steering and Oversight Body and a technical secretariat. 18 Option 4b 4.1.13 Establishment of the proposed new Expert Advisory Body would give rise to administrative costs for the Environmental Protection Agency. However, it is envisaged that by hosting the Body within an established organisation that additional costs would be kept to a minimum. 4.2 4.2.1 4.2.2 Benefits Option 1 On the basis that long-term transition is inevitable, there are no benefits identified in continuing with an inadequate policy response to the level of emissions reductions required across all developed countries post 2012. However, in the short-term, mitigation and adaptation costs would be avoided, but only at the expense of possibly greater costs in the medium-to-long term. Option 2 The Bill would provide for a specific, robust, transparent and progressive national policy response based on transition, thereby ensuring, inter alia, that Ireland can close the distance to target in respect of its EU mitigation targets and/or meet its wider international commitments on a least-cost basis. 4.2.3 The proposed legislation would demonstrate to the international community Ireland’s commitment to meeting EU/international agreements for greenhouse gas emissions reductions. 4.2.4 Certainty in government policy would provide more certainty for industry, support the growth of the green-tech industry and would encourage investment in low carbon technologies. 4.2.5 A national low carbon transition and mitigation plan, national adaptation framework and sectoral adaptation plans would enable a co-ordinated Government effort, establishing national policy on transitioning to a low carbon, climate resilient and environmentally sustainable economy as a key national priority. By assigning responsibility for mitigation and adaptation at a sectoral level, the legislation would encourage a greater degree of ownership and build greater awareness of the importance of addressing the impacts of climate change. 4.2.6 The proposed Expert Advisory Council provided for in the Bill would support the overall transition objective by providing the best possible advice to policy makers. The Council, to comprise members with a broad range of expertise, would provide advice, based on the most up-to-date science and taking account of other relevant factors, and would support robust, responsive, evidence-based policy making. In addition, the annual report of the Expert Advisory Council would include, inter alia, recommendations in relation to the most cost-efficient way of achieving transition to a low carbon, climate 19 resilient and environmentally sustainable economy by 2050 as well as providing a review and any appropriate recommendations in relation to compliance. The provision giving powers to the Council to publish reports directly, following submission to the Minister, would ensure the independence of the Body and would increase the transparency of the Body’s advice and/or recommendations. 4.2.7 The annual transition statement to Dáil Éireann by Ministers would increase public awareness of climate change commitments and provide a mechanism to review emissions reduction progress in a transparent manner. 4.2.8 The Bill, in placing duties on public bodies to consider fully, and integrate, the objectives of a national low carbon transition and mitigation plan, a national adaptation framework and sectoral adaptation plans in their strategic planning and day-to-day decision making would widen the burden of responsibility. 4.2.9 Option 3a Primary legislation introducing additional national targets would provide both a statutory impetus to cut emissions and benchmarks against which to measure progress. In meeting its national targets, Ireland would guarantee achievement of EU targets and wider international commitments. 4.2.10 Long-term certainty in government policy would provide certainty for industry, support the growth of the green-tech industry and encourage investment and push innovation in low carbon technologies. 4.2.11 Additional targets in legislation would require buy-in from all sectors, driving the low carbon transition and ultimately driving societal change. Option 3b 4.2.12 The development and enactment of primary legislation which does not contain additional emission reduction targets would enable Ireland to move away from a compliance-centric approach to mitigation and to develop the strategic and institutional infrastructure to transition to a low carbon society. Option 4a 4.2.13 A National Steering and Oversight Body and supporting technical secretariat, as proposed by the NESC secretariat, would bring together high-level government involvement and senior figures with relevant proven business and organisational experience to advise central Government in the development of its low carbon strategy. 4.2.14 The Body would drive and oversee Ireland’s low carbon transition and lead to a shift in how climate policy is dealt with institutionally and procedurally. 20 4.2.15 The Body would support Government Departments, agencies and other organisations turn high-level policy goals into tangible plans and measures to achieve decarbonisation. The Body would deliberate on progress and challenges in each area and provide a clearing system to remove blockages (technical, legal and political) to progressing the low carbon transition. 4.2.16 The Body would be the first step in creating a governance system which would learn from the success and failures of decarbonising plans and measures and push agencies and networks to advance the boundaries of knowledge and practice on ‘how to’ decarbonise. 4.2.17 By facilitating the engagement of all relevant actors the Body would widen the burden of responsibility and support societal change. Option 4b 4.2.18 The proposed Expert Advisory Council provided for in the Bill would support the overall transition objective by providing the best possible advice to policy makers. The Council, to comprise members with a broad range of expertise, would provide advice, based on the most up-to-date science and taking account of other relevant factors, to support robust, responsive, evidence-based policy making. In addition, the annual report of the Expert Advisory Body would include, inter alia, recommendations in relation to the most cost-efficient way of achieving transition to a low carbon, climate resilient and environmentally sustainable economy by 2050, as well as providing a review and any appropriate recommendations in relation to compliance. The provision giving powers to the Body to directly publish reports, following submission to the Minister, would ensure the independence of the Body and would increase the transparency of the Body’s advice and/or recommendations. 4.3 4.3.1 Impacts Impacts on national competitiveness Option 1 would have no impact on national competitiveness in the short term. However, an inadequate national climate policy response may undermine opportunities in the green-tech sector in the medium and longer term. Options 2, 3a, 3b, 4a and 4b and the introduction of primary legislation to statutorily underpin Ireland’s commitment to meet its EU and international agreements for greenhouse gas emissions reductions and to move to a low carbon economy by 2050 would in the medium and longer term have a positive effect on national competitiveness. However, Option 3a may result in short-term competitive disadvantage in comparison with other countries, as the commitment to meet additional targets may involve taking money out of the economy to introduce emission reductions measures not at least cost. Furthermore, options 4a and 4b would have an additional positive impact on the long-term impact on national competitiveness as an effective advisory body would support and drive the low carbon agenda and, in turn, support the growth of the green-tech industry. 21 4.3.2 Impacts on the socially excluded and vulnerable groups None of the options should have an impact on the socially excluded and vulnerable groups. 4.3.3 Impacts on the environment Option 1 would have a negative impact on the environment in the medium and longer term. Options 2, 3a, 3b would have a positive benefit to the environment by putting in place a long-term strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions along with co-benefits such as improved air quality and quality of life. The establishment of an advisory body as proposed in Options 4a and 4b would also have a positive benefit to the environment by supporting Government, Government Departments, public bodies and agencies devise and implement low carbon plans and measures. Options 2, 3a and 3b have the further benefit of providing a structure for adaptation planning which would contribute to reducing the impact of climate change. 4.3.4 Whether there is a significant policy change in an economic market including consumer and competition impacts Options 2, 3a, 3b, 4a, 4b would constitute a significant policy change in terms of a proactive approach to Ireland’s transition to a low carbon economy by 2050. The extent of the impact on economic activity would depend on a number of factors, including the extent to which Ireland (a) maintains pace with global transition to a low carbon base, and (b) anticipates and takes opportunities in new emerging markets. 4.3.5 Impacts on the rights of citizens None of the options should have an impact on the rights of citizens. 4.3.6 Compliance Burden Option 2 and the introduction of climate legislation would result in compliance burdens on public bodies directed to carryout reports/measures relating to compliance with the national mitigation plan, the national adaptation framework and sectoral adaptation plans. Option 3a and the introduction of targets would have a negative impact on compliance burden. Options 3b, 4a and 4b would not have a direct impact on compliance burdens. 4.3.7 Impacts on North-South and East-West Relations None of the options should have an impact on north-south and east-west relations. 4.3.8 Other Impacts Doing nothing, Option 1, would only delay Ireland’s inevitable transition to a low carbon economy. 22 5. Consultation 5.1 There has been extensive consultation in relation to the development of climate change legislation, both prior to and after the production of outline Heads of a Bill. 5.2 5.3 Public Consultation on National Climate Policy and Legislation 2012 Between February and April 2012, the Department of the Environment, Community and Local Government conducted an online public consultation on national climate policy and legislation. The objective of the consultation was to draw views and opinions from stakeholders, including the general public, on a range of issues central to national policy development, including general policy instruments and their use, barriers to greenhouse gas mitigation, specific mitigation policies and measures, consumer behavior, and EU policy. The consultation also included a number of questions on domestic legislation, including in relation to its potential role and scope and on national adaptation planning. The consultation attracted a total of 623 responses comprising 614 completed questionnaires and 9 separate submissions. Oireachtas Joint Committee Consultation with Stakeholders on Outline Heads of Bill 2013 Outline Heads of the Climate Action and Low Carbon Development Bill 2013 and a final policy analysis report by the NESC Secretariat were released on 26 February 2013 for consideration by the Oireachtas Joint Committee on the Environment, Culture and the Gaeltacht and stakeholders. The Committee proceeded to facilitate a debate on the proposed legislation, inviting submissions from interested parties/stakeholders during April 2013. As a follow on, public hearings were held during the Summer 2013, where a broad range of stakeholders was invited to appear before the Joint Committee to give their perspectives on the proposed Bill and the challenges posed by climate change generally. The Joint Committee forwarded its report to the Minister for the Environment, Community and Local Government on 20 November 2013. The Report does not make specific recommendations but notes principal issues explored and possible courses of action for consideration. 6. Enforcement and Compliance 6.1 To ensure accountability for progressing the transition to a low carbon scenario, the proposed legislation provides for an annual transition reporting mechanism, whereby the Minister for the Environment, Community and Local Government and Ministers with responsibility for input to the national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and Ministers, as decided by the Minister for the Environment, Community and Local Government, with responsibility for sectoral adaptation plans would be required to report at least once a year to Dáil Éireann on progress made on the implementation of mitigation and adaptation policies and measures in their respective sectors. Specifically, the Minister for the Environment, Community and Local Government would be required to report on compliance with any relevant climate-related EU or international obligation or agreement. 23 6.2 A duty would be placed on public bodies to have regard to the national low carbon transition and mitigation plan, the national climate change adaptation framework and relevant sectoral adaptation plans in the performance of their duties. Provision is also made for Ministers to give direction to public bodies within their remit in this regard. 7. Review 7.1 If and when the legislation is enacted, the National Expert Advisory Council would be required to publish annual reports and periodic reviews in certain circumstances in which the Council would, inter alia, consider and make recommendations to Government in relation to progress towards meeting EU and international targets or commitments. 7.2 The Minister for the Environment, Community and Local Government and Ministers with responsibility for inputs to the national low carbon transition and mitigation plan and Ministers, as decided by the Minister for the Environment, Community and Local Government, with responsibility for sectoral adaptation plans would be required to report at least once a year to Dáil Éireann on progress made on the implementation of mitigation and adaptation policies and measures in their respective sectors. 7.3 The Minister would be required to submit a National Low Carbon Transition and Mitigation Plan to Government at least once every 5 years. 7.4 The Minister would be required to review a National Climate Change Adaptation Framework, and where necessary, make and submit to Government an updated framework at least once every 5 years. 8. Publication 8.1 This Regulatory Impact Analysis will be made available on the Department’s website (http://www.environ.ie) following the publication of the Bill. 24