By-Plant Precision Sensing for Variable Nitrogen Rate Application in Corn Roger Teal, Bill Raun, John Solie, Marvin Stone, Kyle Freeman, Gordon Johnson, and Kent Martin Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK 74078 Significant differences in grain yields are known to exist by-plant in corn, yet little has been done to target these differences with variable nitrogen (N) fertilization. The objective of this work was to document that by-plant differences in yield potential could be recognized at the 8 leaf stage using normalized difference vegetative index (NDVI) sensors, and fertilized accordingly based on N responsiveness. The work at Oklahoma State University from 1992 to present has focused primarily on the use of optical sensors in red and near infrared bands for predicting yield and using that information in an algorithm to estimate fertilizer requirements. The current algorithm employed by OSU and NTech Industries (Ukiah, CA) is separated into several discreet components: 1) mid-season prediction of grain yield, determined by dividing the NDVI by the number of days from planting to sensing (estimate of biomass produced per day on the specific date when sensor readings are collected); 2) estimating temporally dependent responsiveness to applied N by placing non-N-limiting strips in production fields each year, and comparing these to the farmer practice (response index); and 3) determining the spatial variability within each 0.4m2 area using the coefficient of variation (CV) from NDVI readings. These components are then integrated into a functional algorithm to estimate application rate whereby N removal is estimated based on the predicted yield potential for each plant and adjusted for the seasonally dependent responsiveness to applied N. Basing mid-season N fertilizer rates on predicted yield potential and a response index can increase NUE by over 10% in corn, and 15% in winter wheat when compared to conventional methods. Using our optical sensor based algorithm that employs yield prediction and N responsiveness by location can increase yields and decrease environmental contamination due to excessive N fertilization. INTRODUCTION As environmental concerns continue to escalate and agriculture production becomes more scrutinized, new fertilizer application practices will continue to be researched with the goal of increasing fertilizer use efficiency. Currently, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is reporting that watersheds in all 48 states of the continental U.S. tested for nitrate nitrogen (NO3-) groundwater contamination levels above the maximum contaminant level (MCL), of which Oklahoma is ranked 14th (EPA, 1999). Agricultural production of cereal grains has been held largely responsible for this groundwater contamination, in particular corn (Zea mays L.) production, where high nitrogen (N) rates have been applied in high yielding environments. Most of the cornbelt states have lower NO3- groundwater levels than surrounding states with minimal corn acreage, however NO3- runoff from watersheds in the corn-belt states has led to hypoxia and anoxia in the Gulf of Mexico. Goolsby et al. (2001) reported that the annual total N flux to the Gulf of Mexico for 1980-1996 was 1,568,000 t yr-1, and that tripled in the last 30 years, particularly increasing between 1970 and 1983. Hypoxia and anoxia has severely stressed every major estuary and coastal marine ecosystem around the world to the point of threshold of change or collapse resulting in loss of fisheries, loss of biodiversity, and alteration of food webs (Diaz, 2001). Raun and Johnson (1999) reported worldwide NUE estimates to be approximately 33%, with developing countries at 29% and developed countries approachingt 42% NUE. As a result, N fertilizer losses were valued at about $15.9 billion dollars annually, which as of August of 2001 has increased to $20 billion dollars annually with the price of N fertilizer nearly doubling due to the shortages of natural gas (Raun et al., 2002). Excessive N applications to cereal grain crops continue to pollute the environment, increasing human health risk and costing farmers needless additional expenses along with negative publicity. This exemplifies the need for continued research to improve fertilizer use efficiency. Current strategies for winter wheat in Oklahoma recommend that farmers apply 33 kg N ha-1 for every 1 Mg of anticipated wheat yield (2 lb N ac-1 for every bushel of expected wheat grain yield) they hope to produce, subtracting the amount of NO3-N in the surface (0-15 cm) soil profile (Johnson et al., 2000). When grain yield goals are applied using this strategy, the risk of predicting the environment (good or bad year) is placed on the producer, especially when farmers take the risk of applying all N preplant. Schmitt et al. (1998) reported similar recommendations of 20 kg N ha-1 for every 1 Mg of corn (1.2 lb N ac-1 for every bushel of corn) minus soil test NO3-N and/or any credits from previous leguminous crops in the rotation. To some extent, university extension (e.g., soil testing), fertilizer dealers, and private consulting organizations have historically used grain yield goals, due to the lack of a better alternative, and because producers have been able to relate to an input/output strategy for computing N requirements. Chlorophyll meters (SPAD meters) have been successfully used to determine inseason N status, since chlorophyll content has been highly correlated with leaf N concentration (Wolfe et al., 1988; Schepers et al., 1992). With the chlorophyll meters, researchers developed an N Sufficiency index [(as-needed treatment/ well-fertilized treatment) * 100] from which recommendations were made for in-season N fertilizer applications when the index values fell below 95% (Blackmer and Schepers, 1995; Varvel et al., 1997). Varvel et al. (1997) reported that maximum grain yields in corn were attained when early season sufficiency indexes ranged between 90 and 100% up to the V8 growth stage, but if the sufficiency index fell below 90% at V8, maximum yields were not realized due to early season N deficiency resulting in lost yield potential. Peterson et al. (1993) indicated that variation in chlorophyll meter measurements can fluctuate up to 15% from plant to plant, requiring considerable measurements in order to maintain a representative average for the field at each sampling date. Another drawback of the chlorophyll meter is that by reading one leaf at a time, plant biomass cannot be determined as with the remote sensor. Johnson et al. (2000) developed an N response index (RIHarvest) that calculated the actual crop response to applied N by dividing the highest mean yield from an N fertilized treatment by the mean yield in the check treatment receiving no fertilizer N. This work defining RIHarvest only explains the final yield response to fertilizer N, thus, an in-season RI estimate must be made in order for in-season N adjustment. Recent work has shown that in-season normalized difference vegetation index sensor readings{NDVI = [(NIRref/NIRinc) – (Redref/Redinc)]/[(NIRref/NIRinc) + (Redref/Redinc)]} were highly correlated with final grain N uptake (Lukina et al., 2001; Raun et al., 2002). Therefore, an in-season RI from NDVI, referred to as RINDVI (Highest mean NDVI N treatment/ Mean NDVI check treatment), was evaluated and determined to be a viable method for measuring the potential response to additional N (Mullen et al., 2003). Raun et al. (2001) showed that yield potential could be estimated from midseason sensor reflectance measurements (Feekes 4 to 6) in winter wheat. Their work employed the NDVI computed from red and near infrared reflectance values [NDVI = (NIR-Red)/(NIR+Red)]. NIR and Red are the reflectance measurements in the near infrared and red bands, respectively. This work predicted yield using the sum of two post dormancy sensor readings (NDVI) divided by the cumulative growing degree-days or GDD ((Tmin + Tmax)/2-4.4°C) from the first to the second readings. Tmin and Tmax are the minimum and maximum temperatures in a 24 hour period. Their index, in-season estimated yield, or INSEY was later modified whereby a single NDVI measurement was divided by the number of days from planting to sensing, counting only those days where GDD > 0 (Raun et al., 2002). This method eliminated those days where growth was not possible as a function of temperature, regardless of the soil moisture conditions. Raun et al. (2002) showed that N fertilization based on mid-season estimates of yield potential increased NUE by more than 15% when compared to traditional practices which applied N at uniform rates. A significant key to the success of this work was collecting sensor readings from each 1m2 area and fertilizing each 1m2, recognizing that the differences in yield potential and subsequent fertilizer need exists at this spatial scale. This spatial scale was determined in earlier work, where extensive soil sampling, optical sensor measurements of plants, and geostatistical analyses, showed that significant differences in N availability existed at a 1m2 spatial resolution and that each square meter needed to be treated independently to maximize benefits (Raun et al., 1998 ; Solie et al., 1999). Earlier work by Solie et al. (1996) noted that the fundamental field element for sensing and treating fertility differences is that area which provides the most precise measure of the available nutrient where the level of that nutrient changes with distance. Coefficients of variation were first employed as a relative measure of variation. The CV is defined as the standard deviation expressed as a percentage of the mean (Tippett, 1952; Senders, 1958). Mills (1924) indicated that the CV is affected by the value of the mean, as well as by the size of the standard deviation. Coefficients of variation have been used to evaluate results from different experiments involving the same units of measure, possibly conducted by different persons (Steel et al., 1997). Little and Hills (1978) indicated that the variability among experimental units within experiments which have different units of measurements and/or plot sizes can be compared by CVs. Steel et al. (1997) stated that the CV is a relative measure of variation, in contrast to the standard deviation, which is in the same units as the observation. Taylor et al. (1999) evaluated the relationship between the CV from grain yields and plot size. This work showed that CV’s decreased with corresponding decreases in plot sizes. This research suggested that the small plot sizes were consistent with the resolution where detectable differences in soil test parameters existed and should be treated independently. Research conducted at the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) suggested that the use of within row CV’s in corn could be used to detect the physiological growth stage when expressed spatial variability was the greatest from readings collected on a daily basis throughout the growth cycle (Raun et al., 2004). The time of sensing is critical to determine potential yield of the crop. Raun et al. (1986) showed that corn seedlings that emerge late essentially become weeds competing for moisture and nutrients, with almost no chance of reproductive development. Late germination can result in competitor plants that reduce yield. Sensing late germination, the products of which are expressed in a smaller plant, could be very important with midseason N management. Late emergence within a competitive stand will almost assuredly lead to decreased yield potential, and as a result, mid-season N fertilization should be compensated accordingly. Swanson and Wilhelm (1996) reported that maximum yields were achieved by planting corn around May 10 (near Lincoln, NE) and that yields declined when planting was delayed beyond this time. The same trend for late corn planting dates to result in decreased grain yields was shown by Dungan (1944), Ahmadi et al. (1993), and Mascagni and Boquet (1996). Extensively distributed information on how corn plants develop has been available from Iowa State University (1993). The following discussion comes from their site as it relates to early-season detection of yield potential. At the 6-leaf vegetative stage (V6) the growing point and tassel are above the soil surface and the stalk is beginning a period of increased elongation. By the 9-leaf stage (V9) an ear shoot (potential ear) will develop from every above-ground node, except the last six to eight nodes below the tassel. Initially, each ear shoot develops faster than the ear shoots originating above it on the stalk. However, growth of most lower stalk ear shoots eventually slows, and only the upper one or two ear shoots ever develop into a harvestable ear. The tassel begins to develop rapidly now and the stalk is continuing rapid elongation. Although the ear shoots (potential ears) were formed just before tassel formation (V5), the number of ovules (potential kernels) on each ear and the size of the ear are determined by the 12 leaf stage (V12). In this discussion, it is clear that even though much can be discerned concerning yield potential at V6, waiting until V12 would provide a much clearer picture of potential grain yield. While mid-season growth and development is important, planting date has always held critical yield defining information for corn. DISCUSSION Knowing the exact stage of growth where expressed plant variability is at a maximum might lead to the identification of times when in-season fertilization could have the greatest impact. One field experiment conducted by Raun et al. (2004) at the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) measured daily plant growth and spatial variability in corn (Zea mays L.) over the entire growth cycle using optical sensor readings (NDVI) collected every 0.05 m in length, 0.6 m wide from 4 corn rows, 27 m in length. The average plant spacing over all four rows was 21±7 cm. The mean, standard deviation and CV were calculated from NDVI measurements for each row and sensing date. NDVI measurements ranged from 0.20 (slightly above average bare soil) 18 days after planting to near 0.81 at 10 leaf growth stage (V10) 54 days after planting (Figure 1). However, coefficients of variation peaked at V6, 33 to 35 days after planting (Figure 2). Expressed spatial variability decreased from >30% at V6 to just under 10% at V11, but a sharp increase immediately followed with the initiation of tasseling, lastly just briefly (2 days) until tasseling was completed. As canopy closure began to develop at V6, larger plants started to cover smaller plants within the linear row, resulting in the masking of smaller plants and inflating NDVI values for the smaller plants. The ability to detect by-plant differences decreased along with soil coverage as the amount of visible green vegetation increased and the sensing of bare soil associated with uneven plant stands and missing plants declined, reducing CV (Figure 2). Figure 3 outlines this occurrence as periodically low in-row NDVI measurements before canopy closure at V8, increased dramatically after canopy closure. With the greatest spatial variability of NDVI values occurring at V6, this may be the most opportune time to apply in-season foliar N fertilizer assuming that the spatial variability encountered at this stage would correlate with final yield potential and that a response to applied N could be achieved. A second CV peak occurred between VT and R1 (2 to 3 days), along with a decline in NDVI measurements due to the variation in the development of the tassels. The light yellow-green pigment in tassels results in reduced reflectance and lower NDVI measurements for the more mature plants, while the plants with immature tassels had higher NDVI measurements since their tassels were darker green. However, once all tassels matured, the CV’s dropped again due to the color uniformity. Trials at two locations were established in 2002 with three hybrids, two plant populations, and three different N rates. Starting in 2003 multiple NDVI measurements were taken throughout the growing season at both locations (Figures 4 & 5). At the Haskell location NDVI peaked at V9 and was maintained at V16. During that time period, the NDVI measurements between different treatments were not distinguishable. This could be attributed to the possibility of complete canopy closure, resulting in no soil background reflectance with NDVI. However, NDVI values decreased considerably at the next measurement at R1 as a result of tassel development. As indicated earlier, the yellow pigment of the tassel decreases reflectance, resulting in lower NDVI. This is further signified by the inverse between N sufficient and N deficient treatments. The N sufficient treatments had greater tassel development over time, but lower NDVI measurements when compared to N deficient treatments. At the Lake Carl Blackwell site, plant population affected the NDVI peak, with the higher plant population (51,870 seeds ha-1) peaking between V9 and R1 and the lower population (35,568 seeds ha-1) peaking at R1. This is a clear indication that in the lower plant population the soil background reflectance was maintained throughout the growing season and that the NDVI measurements increased proportionally with plant biomass beyond the influence of tassel development. Also the higher plant population canopy closure was limited as well since NDVI did not lower sufficiently at R1 and R2 (Figure 4). At the Haskell site CV’s collectively were high at the V6 and V8 vegetative stages and dropped to very low levels at V10 and V16, but increased to levels similar to early vegetative stages at R1 (Figure 6). However, the greatest variation in treatments occurred at V8, where the N sufficient treatments reduced CV when compared to N deficient treatments at the same population. Also it is apparent that as observed by the NDVI measurements, the lower plant population (49,400 seeds ha-1) was still high enough to reduce variation, particularly when complete canopy closure was achieved at V10. At the Lake Carl Blackwell site, plant population sufficiently effected CV, with the lower population having higher variation. Collectivity, high CV’s were observed for V6 through V8, but the highest variation between N treatments was seen at V7 (Figure 7). In the higher population, variation between the N treatments declined over time with the lowest CV’s at V15. Holding consistent with the Haskell site, CV’s increased from V15 to the R1 stage with tassel development. The lower population showed similar results to the by-plant data from 2002 in Mexico, finding a steady decline with increased plant biomass, once the N response occurred. This supports the NDVI data, suggesting that the lower plant population left enough distance between plants to maintain soil background reflectance until reproductive stages. By-plant prediction of corn grain yield is based on determining plant biomass in mid-season via a NDVI measurement. Current work has shown that NDVI alone might not be able to predict corn plant biomass accurately (Figure 8), but when combined with plant height, plant biomass can be measured with great accuracy (Figure 9)(Kyle Freeman, personal communication, June 2004). For this work, 3 rows of 50 corn plants at two different locations were sensed by-plant with a modified GreenSeekerTM Hand Held Optical Sensor Unit (Ntech Industries, Inc.) mounted on a bicycle with a shaft encoder to log distance (1 reading per cm of linear distance traveled) with each NDVI measurement. Following NDVI measurements, plant height was determined for each plant by extending the last collared leaf upright or to the top of the tassel and plant biomass was determined by cutting each plant at the soil surface and taking wet and dry weights. Plant biomass estimation by NDVI accuracy decreased with growth stage largely due to tassel development. As explained earlier, tassel development decreases NDVI as a result of decreased reflectance from the yellow pigment of the tassel. This may not actually decrease, but level off the NDVI since plant biomass is still increasing during tasseling. As a follow up to the prediction of green biomass, we found many instances where by-plant corn NDVI readings collected at V8 were highly correlated with final grain yield (Figure 10). Equally important was noting that final corn grain yields ranged from (2500 to 13000 kg ha-1) over a 13.0 m section, and that could be predicted from sensor measurements taken on May 27, 2003, 65 days before physiological maturity (August 1, 2003). The ability to predict corn grain yields early in the season has now been used to adjust mid-season fertilizer N rates similar to what has already been documented in winter wheat where increases in NUE of 15% were obtained using simple yield prediction algorithms (Raun et al., 2002). Spatial variation does occur at the individual plant basis, which leads to the conclusion that the most effective resolution for improving NUE would occur at the byplant level in corn. Research indicates that CV can be used to determine variation in plant stands and would be most effectively measured at the V6 vegetative leaf stage, but in order to determine the response of N, NDVI and CV measurements must be delayed until between V7 and V8 vegetative leaf stage. Prediction of plant biomass and final grain yield is more highly correlated with earlier NDVI measurements (before tasseling) and is improved when combined with plant height measurements. More importantly, byplant NDVI readings at V8 were found to be highly correlated with final grain yield, suggesting that this is the scale where precision agricultural management practices need to be developed. REFERENCES Ahmadi, M., W.J. Wiebold, J.E. Beuerlein, D.J. Eckert, and J. Schoper. 1993. Agronomic practices that affect corn kernel characteristics. Agron. J. 85:615-619. Blackmer, T.M. and J.S. Schepers. 1995. Use of a chlorophyll meter to monitor nitrogen status and schedule fertigation for corn. J. Prod. 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Interactive water and nitrogen effects on senescence of maize: II. Photosynthetic decline and longevity of individual leaves. Agron. J. 80:865-870. FIGURE 1. Average Normalized Difference Vegetative Index (NDVI) sensor readings collected from four corn rows, August to October, 2002, Texcoco, Mexico (reprinted from Raun et al., 2004). 0.90 Row 1 0.80 Row 2 Row 3 0.70 Frost Row 4 NDVI 0.60 0.50 0.40 Harvest 0.30 0.20 V4 0.10 0.00 13-Jul-02 V6 12-Aug-02 V9 V11 VT-R1 11-Sep-02 R4 11-Oct-02 10-Nov-02 10-Dec-02 Date FIGURE 2. Relationship between the coefficient of variation (CV) for NDVI sensor readings collected from four rows, August to October, 2002, Texcoco, Mexico (reprinted from Raun et al., 2004). 50 Harvest Row 1 45 40 Row 2 Row 3 Row 4 CV, % 35 30 25 Frost 20 15 10 5 0 13-Jul-02 V4 7-Aug-02 V6 1-Sep-02 V9 V11 VT-R1 26-Sep-02 Date R4 21-Oct-02 15-Nov-02 10-Dec-02 FIGURE 3. By-plant-yield (entire plants, stalk+ear harvested at the base) over 6 m of row, and corresponding NDVI sensor readings collected from this exact same area at the 7 leaf and 10 leaf growth stages, 87 and 70 days earlier, Texcoco, Mexico, 2002 (reprinted from Raun et al., 2004). NDVI Sept 6 NDVI Sept 23 0.6 1.1 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0 NDVI Plant yield, kg Plant yield -0.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 Distance, m 6 7 8 Figure 4. Changes in measured NDVI averaged from three hybrids over growth stages at Haskell, OK, 2003. 0N, low 56N, low 112N, low 0N, high 56N, high 112N, high 0.95 0.9 0.85 NDVI 0.8 0.75 0.7 0.65 0.6 0.55 0.5 05/22/03 05/26/03 05/30/03 06/06/03 06/15/03 06/21/03 06/27/03 07/07/03 07/18/03 V6 V7 V8 V10 V16 R1 R2 R3 R4 Haskell population (pop) was: 49,400 seeds ha-1 (low) and 71,630 seeds ha-1 (high) N rate was : 0, 56, or 112 kg N ha-1 Figure 5. Changes in measured NDVI averaged from three hybrids over growth stages at Lake Carl Blackwell, OK, 2003. 0N, low 56N, low 112N, low 0N, high 56N, high 112N, high 0.8 0.75 0.7 0.65 NDVI 0.6 0.55 0.5 0.45 0.4 0.35 0.3 05/21/03 05/24/03 06/02/03 06/07/03 06/14/03 06/20/03 06/25/03 V6 V7 V8 V9 V15 R1 R2 LCB (Lake Carl Blackwell) population was: 35,568 seeds ha-1 (low) and 51,870 seeds ha-1 (high) N rate was : 0, 56, or 112 kg N ha-1 Figure 6. Changes in measured NDVI CV averaged from three hybrids over growth stages at Haskell, OK, 2003. 0N, low 56N, low 112N, low 0N, high 56N, high 112N, high 30 25 CV 20 15 10 5 0 05/22/03 05/26/03 05/30/03 06/06/03 06/15/03 06/21/03 06/27/03 07/07/03 07/18/03 V6 V7 V8 V10 V16 R1 R2 R3 R4 Haskell population (pop) was: 49,400 seeds ha-1 (low) and 71,630 seeds ha-1 (high) N rate was : 0, 56, or 112 kg N ha-1 Figure 7. Changes in measured NDVI CV averaged from three hybrids over growth stages at Lake Carl Blackwell, OK, 2003. 0N, low 56N, low 112N, low 0N, high 56N, high 112N, high 48 43 38 CV 33 28 23 18 13 8 05/21/03 05/24/03 06/02/03 06/07/03 06/14/03 06/20/03 06/25/03 V6 V7 V8 V9 V15 R1 R2 LCB (Lake Carl Blackwell) population was: 35,568 seeds ha -1 (low) and 51,870 seeds ha-1 (high) N rate was : 0, 56, or 112 kg N ha-1 Figure 8. By-plant biomass prediction of corn, using NDVI at multiple locations and growth stages in 2003. y = 5456.6x1.6055 R2 = 0.2048 12000 Efaw V7-8 Perkins V7 10000 Efaw V10-11 Dry Yield kg/ha Perkins V9-10 8000 Efaw R1 Perkins VT-R1 6000 4000 2000 0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 NDVI 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 Figure 9. By-plant biomass prediction of corn, using NDVI and plant height at multiple locations and growth stages in 2003. y = 6.7593x 1.3648 R2 = 0.8308 Efaw V7-8 12000 Perkins V7 Efaw V10-11 10000 Dry Yield kg/ha Perkins V9-10 Efaw R1 8000 Perkins VT-R1 6000 4000 2000 0 0 50 100 150 200 NDVI*Height Figure 10. By-plant NDVI readings collected at V8 and final by-plant corn grain yield, Efaw, 2003. 14000 EFAW By-Plant Corn (V8 Growth Stage) 12000 y = 1254.3e2.5667x R2 = 0.5262 Grain Yield (kg/ha) 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 NDVI 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90