Grade 10 Academic Science – Climate Change Greenhouse Gases – Changing the Climate Section 9.4 Pages 384-389 Greenhouse Gases are a natural part of Earth’s atmosphere. Yet, Greenhouse Gas levels have increased significantly in the past 2000 years (see Figure 1). These increases are attributed mainly to human activities such as burning fossil fuels. The scientific term for “resulting from human influence” is ANTHROPOGENIC. Figure 1. Concentration of Greenhouse Gases in Earth’s Atmosphere over the past 2000 years. The principle greenhouse gases are carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), water vapour (H2O) and chlorofluorocarbons (CFC). The most significant greenhouse gas produced by human activity is CO2. Table 1 shows the change in atmospheric CO2 between 1959 and 2009. Task Calculate the percent change in CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere for each year since 1959 using 1959 as the base (...or starting...) year. Table 1. Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations at Hawaii between 1959 and 2009 Year Atmospheric CO2 Concentration (ppm) Percent Change since 1959 1959 315.98 ------ 1969 324.62 1979 336.78 1989 352.90 1999 368.14 2009 387.35 Source: EPA. 2010. Atmospheric Concentrations of Greenhouse Gases. (Online). http://cfpub.epa.gov/eroe/index.cfm?fuseaction=detail.viewInd&lv=list.listbyalpha&r=231323&subt op=342 Did you know? The number of atoms of carbon stored in Earth’s plants, soil and dead organic matter is greater than the number of atoms of carbon present as CO2 in the atmosphere As you know, global temperatures are increasing as the concentrations of atmospheric Greenhouse Gases are increasing. Table 2 shows CO2 concentrations from 400,000 years ago to present is determined from ice cores from the Antarctic. Table 2. Atmospheric CO2 Concentrations and Air Temperature Variation from 400,000 to present measured in ice cores from the Antarctic. Year before Atmospheric CO2 Concentration Air Temperature Variation present (ppm) (OC) 400,000 279.1 1.0 375,000 239.1 -4.5 350,000 186.2 -7.7 325,000 255.7 3.5 300,000 257.2 -1.7 275,000 228.0 -3.5 250,000 205.7 -6.2 225,000 279.0 2.0 200,000 251.0 -1.7 175,000 190.1 -7.3 150,000 200.6 -7.1 125,000 275.4 3.2 100,000 228.2 -2.0 75,000 217.1 -5.0 50,000 190.4 -6.0 25,000 191.7 -8.2 0 387.35 3.5 Source: EPA. 2010. Atmospheric Concentrations of Greenhouse Gases. (Online). http://cfpub.epa.gov/eroe/index.cfm?fuseaction=detail.viewInd&lv=list.listbyalpha&r=231323&subt op=342 Task Graph the CO2 Concentrations and Air Temperature Variations in ice cores over time. Contrast Year 0 with other periods of high CO2 concentrations. What do you observe? What is happening to CO2 concentrations and global temperatures at Time 0 (now)? Summarize you observations regarding the trend in CO2 and air temperature, and any correlation between the two variables (i.e., How the variables change at the same time). Do your graphs prove that CO2 concentrations cause global temperatures to change...specifically to rise? Explain. HINT: Recall the connection between the Greenhouse Effect and Earth’s temperature. ANTHROPOGENIC GREENHOUSE EFFECT is the increase in the amount of lower-energy infrared radiation trapped by the atmosphere due to human activities which is leading to an increase in Earth’s average global temperature. Humans are ENHANCING the Greenhouse Effect As human release more greenhouse gases, Earth’s energy balance changes (i.e., more thermal energy is trapped inside the atmosphere, raising global temperature beyond “normal”). FEEDBACK LOOP (see also Section 8.10 in your textbook). You know an increase in greenhouse gases in the atmosphere increases temperature. At the same time, the temperature increase increases the concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Permafrost is a carbon sink. As temperature increases, the permafrost thaws. This action releases the greenhouse gases contained in the permafrost. The concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere increase further, which in turn, increases temperature. This is called a Positive Feedback Loop. NOTE: The ocean is a carbon sink that stores vast amounts of carbon. Much of the carbon is stored as dissolved CO2 and carbonic acid. Task Describe and explain the Feedback Loop that will occur as ocean temperature rise. HOMEWORK / PRACTICE Page 389 Questions 1-6