Document of The World Bank Report No: 35238-CN PROJECT DOCUMENT ON A PROPOSED LOAN IN THE AMOUNT OF US$ 100 MILLION AND PROPOSED GRANT FROM THE GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY TRUST FUND IN THE AMOUNT OF US$ 5.25 MILLION TO THE PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA FOR THE GUANGXI INTEGRATED FORESTRY DEVELOPMENT AND CONSERVATION PROJECT October 17, 2006 Rural Development and Natural Resources Sector Unit East Asia and Pacific Region 1 CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective June 7, 2006) Currency Unit = Y 1.0 = US$ 1.0 = Renminbi (RMB) Yuan (Y) US$ 0.12 Y 8.07 FISCAL YEAR January 1 – December 31 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ABC A/R ASEAN BCF BO BRAT CAS CBD CBIMS CDB CDM CIFOR CQ DA DNR EA EFC EMDP EMMP ERR FFs FMR FRR GEF GEFSEC GEPRI GFB GIFDCP GPFB GPDRC GZAR GoC HHs IA IBRD ICB ILP IMC IPM IUCN Agricultural Bank of China Afforestation/Reforestation Association of South East Asian Nations BioCarbon Fund Biodiversity Office Biodiversity Rapid Assessment Team Country Assistance Strategy Convention on Biological Diversity China Biodiversity Information Monitoring System China Development Bank Clean Development Mechanism Center for International Forestry Research Consultant Qualification Designated Account Division of Nature Reserves (national) Environmental Assessment Increasing Ecological Forest Cover Component (of the GIFDCP) Ethnic Minority Development Plan Environment Management and Monitoring Plan Economic Rate of Return Forest Farms Financial Management Report Financial Rate of Return Global Environment Facility GEF Secretariat Guangxi Environmental Protection Research Institute Guangxi Forestry Bureau Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project Guangxi Provincial Finance Bureau Guangxi Provincial Development and Reform Committee Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Government of China Households Implementing Agency International Bank for Reconstruction and Development International Competitive Bidding Integrated Land use Plan Enhancing Institutional and Management Capacity Component (of the GIFDCP) Integrated Pest Management World Conservation Union 2 km LOC m2 m3 M&E MAB METT MNRC MOF NCB NDRC NFPP NGO NR NRMP NTFP PCG PDF PIP PLG PMO PMG PPMO PRA QBS QCBS RCC SA SBD SEPA SFA SFDP SFE SIL SOE STAP TPC TSP WB WHO WMD WCNRDP WMD WNRMS WWF kilometer Line of Credit square meters cubic meters Monitoring and Evaluation Man and Biosphere Management Effectiveness Tracking Tool Improving Management of Nature Reserves Component (of the GIFDCP) Ministry of Finance National Competitive Bidding National Development and Reform Commission National Forest Protection Program Non-government organization Nature Reserve Nature Reserves Management Project Non-timber Forest Products Project Coordination Group Project Development Facility Project Implementation Plan Project Leading Group Project Management Office Project Management Group Provincial Project Management Office Participatory Rural Appraisal Quality Based Selection Quality & Cost Based Selection Regional Credit Cooperative Social Assessment Standard Bidding Document State Environment Protection Agency State Forestry Administration Sustainable Forest Development Project State Forest Enterprise Sector Investment Loan Statement of Expenditure Scientific and Technical Advisory Panel Extending Timber Plantations Component (of the GIFDCP) Technical Support Panel World Bank World Health Organization Wildlife Management Division Wildlife Conservation and Nature Reserves Development Program Wildlife Management Division Wildlife and Nature Reserve Management Station World Wide Fund for Nature Vice President: Country Manager/Director: Acting Sector Director: Task Team Leaders: James W. Adams David Dollar, EACCF Christian Delvoie, Acting, EASRD Liu Jin & Mohamed Noureddine Benali, EASRD 3 CHINA Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project CONTENTS A. STRATEGIC CONTEXT AND RATIONALE ......................................................... 6 1. Country and sector issues ........................................................................................... 6 2. Rationale for Bank involvement ................................................................................. 7 3. Higher level objectives to which the project contributes ........................................... 8 B. PROJECT DESCRIPTION ....................................................................................... 10 1. Lending instrument ................................................................................................... 10 2. Project development objective and key indicators. .................................................. 10 3. Project components .................................................................................................. 10 4. Lessons learned and reflected in the project design ................................................. 13 5. Alternatives considered and reasons for rejection .................................................... 13 C. IMPLEMENTATION ................................................................................................ 14 1. Partnership arrangements ......................................................................................... 14 2. Institutional and implementation arrangements ....................................................... 14 3. Monitoring and evaluation of outcomes/results ....................................................... 15 4. Sustainability and Replicability ................................................................................ 16 5. Critical risks and possible controversial aspects ...................................................... 17 6. Loan/credit conditions and covenants ...................................................................... 18 D. APPRAISAL SUMMARY ......................................................................................... 20 1. Economic and financial analyses .............................................................................. 20 2. Technical .................................................................................................................. 21 3. Fiduciary ................................................................................................................... 22 4. Social ........................................................................................................................ 22 5. Environment ............................................................................................................. 24 6. Safeguard policies .................................................................................................... 25 7. Policy Exception and Readiness .................................................................................. 28 4 Annexes Annex 1: Country and Sector Background ........................................................................... 29 Annex 2: Major Related Projects Financed by the Bank and/or other Agencies ................. 33 Annex 3: Results Framework and Monitoring ..................................................................... 36 Annex 4: Detailed Project Description ................................................................................. 41 Annex 5: Project Costs ......................................................................................................... 67 Annex 6: Implementation Arrangements ............................................................................ 69 Annex 7: Financial Management and Disbursement Arrangements .................................... 71 Annex 8: Procurement Arrangements .................................................................................. 80 Annex 9: Economic and Financial Analysis ........................................................................ 85 Annex 10: Safeguard Policy Issues ...................................................................................... 96 Annex 11: Project Preparation and Supervision ................................................................. 102 Annex 12: Documents in the Project File........................................................................... 103 Annex 13: Statement of Loans and Credits ........................................................................ 104 Annex 14: Country at a Glance .......................................................................................... 109 Annex 15: Incremental Cost Analysis ................................................................................ 110 Annex16: Scientific & Technical Advisory Panel Roster Review ..................................... 117 Maps ................................................................................................................................... 141 MAPS: IBRD Nos. 34708, 34734, 34735 5 A. STRATEGIC CONTEXT AND RATIONALE 1. COUNTRY AND SECTOR ISSUES China, the most populous and largest developing country, has long been a forest-poor country. The government has done a remarkable job in increasing forest cover, mainly through an extensive plantations program, from 13 percent in 1980s to 18.2 percent today. However, the current area of forest per capita is 0.13 ha, significantly below the world average of 0.6 ha. The increasing gap between timber supply and demand is a key constraint to sustainable forestry development. Currently, annual timber consumption exceeds supply by approximately 80 million cubic meters m3. Furthermore, most natural forest habitats have been reduced to small and isolated fragments. This has led to a significant threat to biodiversity, and many of the threatened species are of global importance. While the launch by the Government of China (GoC) of the Natural Forest Protection Program (NFPP) in 1998 was environmentally beneficial to China, it further widened the gap between timber supply and demand. All these factors have also led to a significant increase in the import of timber and wood products from neighboring countries contributing to unsustainable exploitation of those natural forests. In order to bring the forestry sector under more sustainable management and development, the GoC formulated a “Sustainable Forestry Development Strategy”, focused on “the four shifts” as follows: (a). the shift from harvesting wood from natural forests to harvesting wood from plantation forests; (b) the shift from deforestation for the purpose of land reclamation to conversion of steep cropland to plantation forest; (c) the shift from non-funded management of ecological forests; and (d) the shift from giving the public sector the exclusive right to develop forest resources to widening that mandate to include the participation of other social actors. The “four shifts” have brought about a historical and fundamental change in China’s forestry sector. (See Annex 1 for more details on the sector). With the objective of implementing the shift from harvesting natural forests to plantations, in 2002 the State Forestry Administration (SFA) designated four areas of the country as key timber production bases/areas to promote forest plantation establishment. Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region (GZAR) is one area designated because of its near perfect agro-ecological conditions for producing large quantities of timber. However, GZAR has a wood shortage; the annual timber consumption in the Region is approximately 7.8 million m3, which is more than the annual production of 5 million m3. The growing demand for timber in Guangxi has also increased the pressure on Guangxi’s natural ecosystems and threatened its unique biodiversity, including one of the largest and most important representatives of karst ecosystem in the world. Inadequate protection from illegal logging and unsustainable use of non-timber forest products (NTFP) have led to the loss of natural forests, critical to watershed protection, and extirpation of globally important biodiversity such as the eastern black-crested gibbon (Nomascus nasutus) and tiger (Panthera tigris). These developments have made the effective development, management and protection of forest resources into a high priority of the GZAR Government. The GZAR recently launched a number of forestry programs to increase timber production, manage watersheds to reduce soil and water erosion, and protect natural forest and biodiversity. 6 These programs include: (a) the Intensively Managed Timber Products Bases Development Program; (b) the Integrated Management for the Protection Forests in the Middle and Upper Reaches of the Pearl River Program; and (c) the Natural Regeneration of Vegetation on Karst Hill Program. The government also established a system of nature reserves. All these programs will contribute to achieving both the provincial and national goals of managing and developing forest resources in a sustainable manner. During the next five years (2006-2010) and in accordance with its forestry development programs, the GZAR plans to increase the area of timber plantations by 870,000 ha and bring 66,700 ha of watershed areas under effective protection. While the GZAR government has taken positive steps towards sustainable forest management, it faces many challenges. For instance, to develop the wood producing sector the GZAR is relying on its provincial- and county-level Forest Farms (FF) and a combination of private sector partnerships/concessions (APP, Stora Enzo, etc.). While the FFs are the primary vehicle for implementing the public sector’s forestry policy, they have been constrained by financial weakness, structural shortcomings and low levels of technology. The GZAR government recognizes these constraints and is taking measures to restructure these FFs in line with the national program of State Forest Enterprise (SFE) reform. Although GZAR is an important region for the protection of the Pearl River Watershed and karst biodiversity, the province lacks sufficient resources, technical and institutional capacity, and effective models for the protection of the ecological forests and forest nature reserves set aside to protect valuable biodiversity. The government has also managed the three forest types of production, protection and conservation forests separately, thus missing opportunities to enhance long-term sustainability of the sector as a whole. 2. RATIONALE FOR BANK INVOLVEMENT The proposed Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project (GIFDCP) is designed to support the GZAR government in achieving its objective of sustainable management of forest resources and biodiversity conservation. The rationale for and value added of World Bank (the Bank) involvement is as follows: The project would introduce and expand the improved silvicultural techniques, multiple-function protection management models and environmental management guidelines by building upon the Bank’s 20 years of highly successful involvement in the forest sector in China, as well as adopt latest research results and international experience. Furthermore, this project, which would focus on a single province, would introduce a sector-wide, integrative and comprehensive approach to sustainable forest management and biodiversity conservation by supporting improvement of all three forest categories of timber production, ecological environment protection and biodiversity conservation in the context of sustainable forest management in GZAR, as well as support the development and implementation of a GZAR forest sector development and conservation strategy, and priority policy studies and regulation revision. The Bank has had a highly successful engagement in the forestry sector in China for over 20 years. This project would benefit from the experiences and lessons learned from the five previous Bank- funded forestry projects. 7 Previous GEF-supported biodiversity conservation projects in China have focused principally on improving the management of sites included in the national system of protected areas. The GIFDCP would continue this theme but it would also promote the strategic option of addressing biodiversity conservation issues in areas adjoining established nature reserves. Guangxi’s natural forest management policy, which identifies the natural regeneration of its karst hills as a key objective, provides a valuable opportunity for integrating biodiversity conservation objectives into an existing watershed management program. The Bank is active in the forestry sector in many countries and would be able to facilitate the introduction of global best practices such as improved silvicultural techniques, ecosystems/landscape approach to conservation, sectoral analyses and reforms. There is significant scope to add value from the Bank to introduce participatory and “bottom-up” approaches to forest resources planning and management by involving local communities, planting entities and households early in project design to better respond to communities’ preferences and protect the farmers' interests, and to promote more equitable benefit-sharing arrangements. More active involvement of local communities will lead to better adherence to management prescriptions and effective management. The Bank’s involvement in the project would ensure that households’ and small communities’ interests are fully taken into account when they enter into production or rental arrangement with FFs and when forests are set aside for protection or conservation purposes. The Bank’s involvement has also allowed for the leveraging of additional trust fund resources from the GEF and the Bio-Carbon Fund for biodiversity conservation and carbon sequestration, respectively. To attain their forestry development goals and to reduce the wide gap between timber demand and supply, the GoC and the GZAR need to use private and public investments to sustain the growth of the sector. While the private sector has focused exclusively on fast-growing forest species such as eucalyptus, the involvement of the Bank in this project would allow for the use of a broader range and mixture of species. While the growth of these mixed species is slower than that of the hybrid eucalyptus varieties, for example, their impact on protecting watersheds and reducing wind- and water-induced erosion is more durable and significant. The Bank’s involvement has also influenced the project design to include the reform of FFs to make them into commercial enterprises, which was not part of the project original concept. 3. HIGHER LEVEL OBJECTIVES TO WHICH THE PROJECT CONTRIBUTES CAS document number: 35435-CHA Date of latest CAS discussion: May 23, 2006 The proposed project would contribute to support forest resources management priorities of China, including ecological forest protection, biodiversity conservation and timber plantation 8 expansion. The proposed project is highly relevant to the Bank’s previous (2003) and new Country Assistance Strategy (CAS of May 23, 2006) for China and fits well within their goals of respectively: (a) “Improving efficiency and sustainability of the use of natural resources” by promoting sound natural resource management practices and value addition through appropriate technologies, training and modern management experience, as well as on generating income opportunities for disadvantaged rural farmers in poor regions; and (b) “Managing resource scarcity and environmental challenges” by focusing on encouraging the development and use of clean renewable energy technologies, accelerating afforestation and reforestation programs to support carbon sequestration and demonstrate the use of carbon finance transactions, piloting improved approaches to natural resource management and formulating a strategy to protect biodiversity. GEF Operational Strategy/program objective addressed by the project: China ratified the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) in January 1993. The project is consistent with the GEF Operational Strategy, particularly strategic priority BI (Catalyzing Sustainability of Protected Areas) in that it will enhance the sustainability of Guangxi Province’s nature reserves system and strengthen the management of five nature reserves of global biodiversity significance with a total area that exceeds 650 km2. At selected sites outside these nature reserves, biodiversity management would be promoted through the integration of specific habitat and wildlife conservation recommendations into forest protection contracts for important watershed management areas. These sites would be located near to the project nature reserves and would thus act as ‘corridors’ for the distribution and dispersal of wildlife. The project will also therefore contribute to GEF strategic priority BII (Mainstreaming Biodiversity in Production Landscapes and Sectors). The project conforms to the national Biodiversity Conservation Action Plan (1994) which was prepared with support from the GEF Pre-Investment Facility during the GEF Pilot Phase in China. The Action Plan identified two of the project areas as centers of China’s biodiversity (see Annex 2 for a more detailed evaluation of the project’s proposed target sites). The conservation of Guangxi’s unique and rich biodiversity is also listed as a priority in several national biodiversity strategies, including the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF) supported Biodiversity Review of China (1996) and China’s Biodiversity: A Country Study (1998). The project is a key early component of the China/UNDP/GEF Biodiversity Partnership Program for the Conservation and Sustainable Utilization of Biodiversity in China. The Programming Framework for this Partnership anticipates at least one new WB/GEF project that would help strengthen protected area management at the site level. This is the role in the Partnership that the project will fill. The project would also contribute to the Partnership’s objective of integrating biodiversity into investment decision-making at the provincial level and would demonstrate how biodiversity conservation can be mainstreamed into forest management at this level. 9 B. PROJECT DESCRIPTION 1. LENDING INSTRUMENT A Specific Investment Loan (SIL) is proposed. The GoC will borrow the Loan on the standard IBRD terms, with an 20-year maturity and a five-year grace period. Ministry of Finance (MOF) will on-lend the IBRD Loan to the Guangxi Government on the same terms as the World Bank. In addition, about US$5.25 million will be provided by GEF as a grant to finance nature reserve management and biodiversity conservation activities. The BioCarbon Fund will also provide US$2 million as a carbon trade revenue (not project financing) to support the BioCarbon pilot program to test the carbon sequestration and trade process. The proposed project would be implemented over a period of six years. 2. PROJECT DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVE AND KEY INDICATORS. The overall project development objective is to improve the effectiveness of forest management and institutional arrangements in timber production, watershed protection and nature reserves management in selected areas of the GZAR. Progress towards the attainment of this objective would be measured by monitoring: (a) timber production efficiency such as planting survival and plantation growth rates under different institutional and partnership arrangements between forest farms and communities/households, as well as individual households; and (b) the increase in the vegetation cover in targeted watershed areas. The global development objective of the project is to improve the conservation of the globally significant biodiversity of the GZAR by ensuring effective in-situ protection of threatened and globally important forest habitats and rare and endemic species. Progress towards the achievement of these objectives would be measured by monitoring how well the five project nature reserves are being managed, how well biodiversity conservation is integrated into watershed protection, and how institutional capacity to deal with biodiversity conservation is improved. 3. PROJECT COMPONENTS The project would have four components: (a) expanding timber plantations; (b) increasing ecological forest cover; (c) strengthening management of nature reserves; and (d) enhancing institutional and management capacity. A summary description of these components is found below and a detailed description is in Annex 4. The costs shown below include physical and price contingency provisions. a. Component 1: Expanding Timber Plantations (Projected Cost US$171.10 million) Under this component, the project would finance: (a) the establishment of approximately 200,000 ha of fast-growing, high-yield timber plantations; and (b) the improvement of nursery management, including the establishment of four central nurseries and facilities to produce high-quality planting materials to enable the introduction of superior genetic materials and 10 management technologies. These activities would enhance the productivity of forest resources and increase the supply of timber products, thereby taking pressure off natural forests and biodiversity conservation as well as increasing household incomes by generating job opportunities for local farmers. Most of the plantation sites would be located in rugged hill terrain. It is expected that the project would carry out its proposed planting activities and plantation management by engaging in contractual arrangements between households and FFs. The component would be implemented in 37 counties (33 counties applied through the forest bureaus and four additional counties where only FFs would work with individual farmers) and spread over 22,400 sites with an average size of 8 ha. Few sites are larger than 100 ha. Counties would implement the afforestation program on the basis of a master plan which will define, inter alia, the species and the plantation and management techniques to be used in executing the afforestation program within each specific county. These master plans would be prepared and reviewed by the PPMO prior to the end of the first year of the project. There would therefore be no large-scale monoculture plantations and much of the planting would be done in areas that are currently denuded of perennial vegetation. Apart from eucalyptus, which has exhibited no invasive characteristics in China, this component will include at least ten other species, all but one native to China. The location of the GIFDCP project counties is shown in the appended project Map and a list of these counties is provided in Annex 4. A plantation development and wood demand study was commissioned from Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR) to assess the GZAR plantation resources and profitability, the requirements of the wood processing sector, and the risks involved. The major conclusions were: 3.6 million ha of land is potentially available in all tenures for planting; the region’s wood industry is well situated for expansion but already suffers from a severe supply deficit which is growing rapidly; locally grown wood has a cost advantage over imported wood but at the same time relatively high plantation costs reduce international competitiveness of the wood industry; the wood industry is well positioned for access to domestic and ASEAN markets; and there is the potential to increase value added in industrialized products. The Guangxi Forestry Bureau (GFB) has used this study to choose an optimal species selection, design economic planting models, concentrate plantations on economic site types and locations, and incorporate the reduction of biological risks into the project design. b. Component 2: Increasing Ecological Forest Cover (Projected Cost US$18.67 million) A large part of the watershed of the Pearl River is located in Guangxi Province and much of the vegetation in this watershed has been seriously degraded. Since 1996, the GZAR has been implementing the Integrated Management of Protection Forests in the Upper Reaches of the Pearl River project. This component would contribute to the objectives of this government program by developing and demonstrating models that would combine economic, environmental and social benefits. The proposed component would be financed entirely through counterpart funds. Under this component, the project would finance the establishment of approximately 18,000 ha of multiple-use protection forests in 25 GZAR counties including the development of a BioCarbon Fund pilot plantation. The BioCarbon initiative would cover about 4,000 ha in Huanjiang and Changwu counties. This pilot would demonstrate technical and methodological approaches to carbon sequestration and test the carbon trade process. The 11 project would also support the government’s program of rehabilitating 100,000 ha of natural vegetation on Guangxi’s karst hills in 17 counties by closing and protecting these areas. On about one-third of these closed forests, enrichment planting would be carried out. A large number of these sites are located in close proximity to the project’s nature reserves. The protection forest models would pilot improved community-based plantations. Timber or multiple-use tree species would be established on land that has remained under collective land use rights in poor and remote villages. Sustainable harvesting regimes would be set up and incomes would flow into the administrative village budget to fund community expenses such as small infrastructure. Township forestry stations would improve their capacity to provide technical support at all stages from plantation to planning the allocation of income. The enrichment planting activity would markedly increase the speed and quality of rehabilitation of vegetation cover on karst hills in poor counties compared to the existing program. In order to ensure unified management measures, the homogeneous growth of the plantations and effective monitoring, as well as to maintain the carbon sequestered and reduce risks from natural disasters during the 30-year crediting period, the proposed Afforestation/Reforestation (A/R) activity under the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) will be implemented either directly by individual farmers (440 ha) or through cooperation arrangements between farmers/communities and farmers/FFs (3,560 ha). Participation in the project would be decided through a participatory process carried out at the village level. Under the cooperative farmers/communities and FFs arrangement, the revenue from selling the carbon credit, which will accrue from the second year after plantation to year 10, will be split. Sixty percent will go to the farmers and forty percent to the FFs. For individual farmers, the income from the sale of the forest products and the revenue from the sale of the carbon credit would belong in its entirety to the local farmers/communities. The revenue from the sale of bio-carbon credit would initially go from the BioCarbon Fund to the GFB, which will pass it on to the farmers/ communities and FFs. c. Component 3: Improving Management of Nature Reserves (Projected Cost US$ 7.02 million) The aim of this component is to enhance the management of existing nature reserves; increase management capacity and knowledge of biodiversity resources (particularly in the little-known limestone ecosystems); and strengthen cooperation between local communities and nature reserve staff to address areas of mutual interest. Specifically, the component would finance: (a) the development and implementation of management plans for five globally significant, high priority nature reserves for demonstration purposes including staff training and capacity building; (b) targeted biodiversity survey and research to increase knowledge, particularly of karst biodiversity (outside the nature reserves), to better integrate biodiversity conservation into the broader landscape; (c) activities which will strengthen collaboration between nature reserves and local communities; and (d) development and implementation of a simple participatory monitoring and evaluation system focused on the nature reserves and building on the experiences of previous GEF-financed biodiversity projects in China. In addition, replication of its experience and lessons will be actively promoted within Guangxi Province, with neighboring provinces and nationally through the China Biodiversity Partnership Program. 12 d. Component 4. Enhancing Institutional and Management Capacity (Projected Cost US$5.06 million) Financing from the Bank Loan, GEF Grant and counterpart funds would be used to implement an integrated institutional and management capacity-building program that would: (a) strengthen the capacity of the provincial forestry bureau to develop and implement a sustainable provincial forest sector development and protection strategy (for production, ecological forests and biodiversity) and support priority policy studies, guidelines, and regulations revision; (b) implement applied research programs to generate operationally usable technologies to improve commercial forestry development, ecological forest protection, and biodiversity conservation; (c) disseminate research results, technical guidelines and lessons learned to GFB staff and beneficiaries; and (d) the establishment of a simple project monitoring and evaluation system to monitor project performance towards the achievement of its development objectives and assess the project’s environmental and socio-economic impacts. 4. LESSONS LEARNED AND REFLECTED IN THE PROJECT DESIGN The proposed project draws principally on the experience of other projects, in China and elsewhere, and on Bank reports in the forestry sector, including the 1991 and 2002 Operations Evaluation Department (OED) reviews of forestry projects; the 1994 Environment/Agriculture review of implementation of the Bank’s forestry policy; the 1998 and 2002 Quality Appraisal Group/Agriculture reviews of the Bank’s forestry portfolio and GEF-supported project managed by the Bank; and the 2004 Development Strategy on Sustaining Forests. The key lessons learned and incorporated in the design of the proposed project include: (a) the development and use of new technologies such as the use of high performance species, high quality seedlings and more efficient planting practices is essential to improve productivity; (b) the linkages between silviculture research and afforestation institutions are of key importance to facilitating technology transfer; (c) the stakeholders’ participation in project design through consultative meetings is significant and effective in directing the scope of the project; (d) provision of benefits to local stakeholders to protect ecological forest cover, such as the BioCarbon pilot program; (e) substantive local participation in the definition of objectives of protected areas management (including development of mechanisms to ensure that local communities benefit from protected areas) is essential to sustainable forest management; and (f) building capacity at the provincial forestry department level to support comprehensive planning and implementation is of key importance for supervision and organizational sustainability. 5. ALTERNATIVES CONSIDERED AND REASONS FOR REJECTION The team considered: Proposing that the forest resource development (plantations and watershed protection) and nature reserve management be designed as two distinct projects with separate implementing agencies. Component 3 was originally linked to the Chinese Academy of Sciences rather than to an agency such as GFB that has the necessary management authority. This option was rejected in favor of an integrated project approach that would tackle forestry 13 C. development holistically and enhance the likelihood of overall project objectives being achieved. Including more provinces in a similar manner to previous Bank-financed forestry projects in China. This was rejected because focusing on one province would allow the project to tackle more of the institutional and sector-specific issues which are difficult to address in multi-provincial projects. Focusing mainly on rural households in afforestation efforts since many lack access to credit for tree planting. However, the social assessment found that many households were not interested in being directly involved in tree planting but rather wished to enter into some shareholding arrangement with forest farms and companies for the use of their land for forestry. Likewise, the team considered channeling project funds through a financial intermediary instead of through the government network. This was rejected because none of the rural commercial banks was interested in extending long-term loans for afforestation activities involving households and small-size planting entities in the remote areas. With regard to improving livelihoods of local communities living near the boundaries of nature reserves (or co-management), the team chose not to target a small number of demonstration villages for livelihood activities because it has not had the impacts anticipated and has proven to be difficult to replicate and scale up. Instead, the team chose to work with a large number of villagers to create an enabling environment that would allow nature reserve staff and communities to solve common problems. IMPLEMENTATION 1. PARTNERSHIP ARRANGEMENTS In addition to the Bank and GEF partnership, the BioCarbon Fund will allocate about US$ 2 million to support a pilot afforestation program for the purpose of CO2 sequestration and reducing greenhouse gases. This pilot initiative would demonstrate technical and methodological approaches to carbon sequestration and test the carbon trade process for the A/R CDM program. 2. INSTITUTIONAL AND IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENTS Project management arrangements have been designed on the basis of successful implementation structures and models tried and proven effective under earlier Bank-supported forestry projects. In the case of the proposed GIFDCP, a Project Leading Group (PLG), Project Coordination Group (PCG) and Project Management Offices (PMOs) would be established at the provincial level. The PLG will be chaired by the Vice-Governor responsible for forestry and will comprise representatives from the forestry, finance, planning and audit departments. The PCG will be located in the GFB and will be led by the Director General. It will comprise the relevant Deputy Directors and Division Chiefs including the leader of the Wildlife Management Division. The PLG and PCG will set the principles and policies for the project, approve the overall implementation plan, coordinate inter-agency discussions and resolve major issues during the project’s implementation. The PCG will regularly undertake reviews of the inter-component cooperation to foster integration and cross-fertilization of activities. 14 The current provincial PMO, which was established to implement the existing Bank-financed projects, is located in the GFB. It will be responsible for Components 1 and 2 and the BioCarbon pilot program. It will also provide the financial management and procurement support to the Component 3. A Biodiversity Office (BO) has been set up in the Wildlife and Nature Reserves Management Station (WNRMS) to be responsible for Component 3 and to ensure that biodiversity concerns are integrated with the activities of the other components. The WNRMS works closely with the Wildlife Management Division (WMD) which is responsible for biodiversity-related policies and regulations. The GFB will be responsible for ensuring close coordination between WNRMS, WMD, and provincial PMO. The BO would have a broader mandate to manage those activities included in Components 3 and 4 that are financed by the GEF grant. PLGs and PMOs would also be established at the county level for Components 1 and 2. For Component 3, a Project Management Group (PMG) would be established in each of the five nature reserves directly under the nature reserve director. The PMG would be responsible for supervision of all aspects of project activities in that nature reserve. It would report to the WNRMS. The PMG would include the head of the nature reserve’s Management Planning Team, the head of its Community Relationships Team, its Training Coordinator, and its chief financial officer. Technical advice would be sought from the Forest Survey and Design Institute and the Guangxi Academy of Forestry as required. The Department of Forest Protection in the SFA will serve in an advisory capacity to the GFB during project implementation. For instance, management plans for national nature reserves produced by the project would be submitted to the Division of Nature Reserves (DNR) in Beijing for review and comment of technical aspects. A Technical Support Panel (TSP) has been established within GFB the members of which are from relevant research and technical institutes. The TSP would be responsible for overall quality assurance and control; identification and implementation of research and extension programs; assisting the Provincial PMO and BO in carrying out project monitoring, training and technical services; and coordinating relevant departments and institutions to undertake the forestry strategy, policy study and the regulatory work. The project beneficiaries include households, groups of households, state-owned FFs, local small private planting groups, and nature reserves. With regard to the timber plantations, the exact production arrangements between households, forest farms and communities would be decided through a participatory process carried out at the village level. This process would allow farmers and communities to choose and decide on whether they wish to manage their plantations by themselves or in cooperation with forestry farms or other private planting entities 3. MONITORING AND EVALUATION OF OUTCOMES/RESULTS Monitoring and evaluation (M&E) for the project would be based on a simple, inexpensive and therefore sustainable plan. The provincial and county PMOs, BO and nature reserve PMGs would monitor the project’s progress and evaluate the overall project impacts. A detailed M& 15 E plan has been drafted and was reviewed at appraisal and formally agreed to during project negotiations. A computerized baseline data system would be set up to monitor project implementation progress, the performance of all afforestation entities, including progress in plantation establishment, detailed contractual arrangements with households and communities, as well as loan disbursement and reimbursement schedules. The comparison of plantation growth rates of smallholder forestry versus large-scale plantations would be an important element in this monitoring system. The GEF’s protected areas Management Effectiveness Tracking Tool (METT) was used at the end of project preparation to establish a baseline score for each of the targeted nature reserves and its usage will be repeated at the mid-term review and before project closing. The experience and results of the GEF co-financed biodiversity conservation components, and in particular the efforts to better integrate biodiversity conservation initiatives into forest resource and land management, will be thoroughly documented and the resulting reports will be shared with the Management Office and with the Steering Committee of the China Biodiversity Partnership, as well as its Advisory and Coordination Group. The project’s progress and outcomes would be measured regularly and the results would be included in the project semi-annual reports. Under Component 4 of the project, provisions have been made to build the capacity of project institutions to complete the required M&E activities. 4. SUSTAINABILITY AND REPLICABILITY Experience from previous Bank involvement in forestry in China strongly supports the expectation of sustainable impact. The recently completed in full (NRMP) and the existing in full (SFDP) have demonstrated good results in terms of raising the quality of staff and management and also institutionalizing project activities into the SFA system. The long-term institutional sustainability of the GIFDCP will be achieved through a comprehensive program of technical assistance and training to strengthen existing capacity and ensure the development of long-term management skills in project management units, extension institutions, nature reserves, and local communities involved in multiple-use activities in the nature reserves. This program will make use of management planning guidelines, training materials and curricula developed under the NRMP to identify needs and to design appropriate responses. In addition, the project will rely on existing administrative and organizational structures, especially at the local levels, to implement activities, which will continue after the end of the project. Ecological sustainability is being addressed through the implementation of nature reserve management plans, environmental protection guidelines for plantations, and better management regimes for ecological protection forests. Social and cultural sustainability at the community level will be addressed by ensuring representation of all ethnic minority groups and women in the development of project activities. In addition, by integrating WMC interventions with NRMC activities in particular areas, some local communities will benefit from the livelihood enhancement opportunities that this component will provide in the long term. The project's potential for replication is high, assuming, as expected, that its experience is wholly or at least largely successful. Past experience has shown that the GoC is highly capable of replicating and scaling up successes, as illustrated by the following examples: (a) training manuals produced under the GEF-financed Nature Reserves Management Project are now 16 being used by the SFA’s training unit; and (b) reimbursement arrangements for plantation establishment introduced in earlier WB-financed afforestation projects is now adopted by the SFA for its national programs. The project design includes activities to disseminate and promote replication of its experiences and lessons within the GZAR, in adjacent provinces and nationally. For example, the improved biodiversity conservation management planning and community approaches that will be supported in the target nature reserves will be disseminated as best practice and will be replicated in other nature reserves in Guangxi by the GFB. This will be done by organizing and holding short training sessions/workshops for staff from other nature reserves in Guangxi during the later years of the project. Replication in neighboring provinces will be encouraged by inviting nature reserve managers from these provinces to the workshops. Nationally, replication will be encouraged by inviting key staff of the China Biodiversity Partnership Framework (CBPF) program to participate in the workshops, and by sharing the training and workshop materials with the CBPF Steering Committee and Management Office. 5. CRITICAL RISKS AND POSSIBLE CONTROVERSIAL ASPECTS Based on the performance and lessons learned from prior Bank-financed forestry development projects in China, the risks that the project would not meet its development objectives are low to moderate. The expected risks and their ratings are summarized in the following matrix: Risk Risk Rating Risk Mitigation Measure Key stakeholders may not support conservation measures M Cooperation and contractual arrangements between farmers and FFs may not reflect the preference and interests of households or be transparent. M The project planning entities may not perform effectively or be financially sound. M Plantation establishment and nature reserve plans will be developed with the close participation of all key stakeholders. During project preparation and through farmer and community consultation, appropriate contractual arrangements were identified and a model contract produced. These model contracts would be used by farmers and FFs. An effective monitoring system would be put in place. A thorough assessment of FFs (operational, financial and structural efficiency, profitability, asset and liability) was carried out during project preparation. Regular audits of each participating FF will be used each year to monitor performance and apply corrective measures. Arrangements to minimize the change of use rights and to monitor the screening procedure will ensure there is no conversion of natural forests. Land of adequate productivity N may not be available without upsetting resource rights of forest farmers and forestdependent communities and without converting natural forests Farmers may not have M The project will also provide payments for 17 sufficient incentives forestation activities. for Sufficient counterpart funds N may not be available and project funds may not be disbursed in a timely manner Institutional capacity may not N be adequate and project staff may not be technically qualified afforestation labor, which would generate revenue for households to meet their immediate needs for income requirements. For the nature reserves and ecological forest protection activities, most of the counterpart funds would be committed by the provincial government. For timber plantation activities, the ability to provide sufficient counterpart funds was a criterion for county/entities participation. The project will provide substantial training and capacity-building program. Guangxi has extensive experience with plantation projects, and implementation capacity is not expected to be an issue. Overall Risk Rating M Risk Rating: -H (High Risk), S (Substantial Risk). M (Modest Risk), N (Negligible or Low Risk) 6. LOAN/CREDIT CONDITIONS AND COVENANTS a. Project Implementation. A PMO and BO at the provincial level, and PMOs at county level, would be maintained in forestry agencies at all times during project implementation with staffing, functions and responsibilities acceptable to the Bank. Nature reserve management plans for proposed project nature reserves incorporating a time-bound implementation schedule, a description of civil works required, and an environmental assessment, carried out in accordance with guidelines acceptable to the Bank should be prepared and furnished to the Bank for comments no later than March 30, 2009. No civil works construction, such as that planned for the project nature reserve, shall commence until it has been provided for and agreed upon in such plan. All afforestation sites should be established in accordance with afforestation models acceptable to the Bank; all afforestation activities (including technical design, production arrangements, and cooperation and contractual arrangements involving afforestation entities) would be carried out in accordance with guidelines acceptable to the Bank and the Provincial PMO would complete the review of all county afforestation master plans in accordance with guidelines acceptable to the Bank by June 30, 2007. A participatory planting design should be used during project implementation to define, inter alia, farmers’ preferences concerning forest species to be planted, contractual/operational arrangement between farmers and FFs, etc. Guidelines for karst management would be drafted by March 30, 2011. 18 b. Financial The MOF would on-lend the loan to the Guangxi government with a maturity period of twenty years including a grace period of five years, with all other terms and conditions as received from the Bank. Sub-loan terms: sub-loans made to end-borrowers (individual farmers, farmer groups/communities and small-scale entities) by forestry bureaus would have the following terms: (a) for fast-growing eucalyptus species, interest payments would be annual, starting at the end of the first year in which the sub-loan was made, and the recovery of the principal would be made through balloon payments at the end of the seventh year; (b) for forest species such as Quercus, Bamboo and Acacia species, interest payments would be annual, starting at the end of the first year in which the sub-loan was made, and the recovery of the principal would be made after a six-year grace period in six equal payments from the end of year seven to the end of year twelve; (c) for long-gestation species such as Chinese fir, Masson pine and broad leaf species, interest payments would be annual, starting at the end of the first year in which the subloan was made, and the recovery of the principal would be made after a six-year grace period in twelve equal payments from the end of year seven to the end of year eighteen. The interest rate to be paid by end-borrowers would be at a minimum equal to the WB rate to the GoC plus a surcharge to cover actual transaction costs and credit risks. In view of the fact that: (a) sub-loans would be appraised, disbursed, monitored and recovered through existing FB offices and staff; and (b) no forest can be cut or sold without FB approval, estimates place the value of this surcharge at about two percent. c. Environment and social All project activities would be carried out in accordance with the Process Framework for Mitigating Potentially Adverse Livelihood Impacts and the Ethnic Minorities Development Plan and the Resettlement Policy Framework prepared by the Guangxi Forestry Bureau, dated April, 2006. All project activities would be carried out in accordance with the Environment Protection Guidelines and the Pest Management Plan, both prepared by GFB, dated April, 2006 d. Reporting and monitoring Semi-annual progress reports would be furnished to the Bank for review by February 28 and August 31 of each year, commencing on August 31, 2007. The semi-annual progress reports should contain the results of M&E activities performed pursuant to above. 19 D. A mid-term report on the progress of the project implementation and proposed adjustment plan, if needed, as well as METT scorecard, would be furnished to the Bank by February 28, 2010, and a mid-term review would be conducted by June 30, 2010. An annual work and budget plan for the project for the next calendar year would be furnished to the Bank for review by December 31 of each year, commencing on December 31, 2007. APPRAISAL SUMMARY 1. ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL ANALYSES It is calculated that the Economic Rate of Return (ERR) of the project would be about 24 percent and its Financial Rate of Return (FRR) would be about 12 percent. The project would generate significant economic benefits. The major benefits would be directly generated by the additional wood and timber products, which are in high demand in the project area. The project is expected to produce a total of 25.1 million m³ of timber, 2.9 million tons of fuel wood and 3.6 million tons of bamboo poles, as well as a range of non-wood forest products such as resin, bamboo sprouts, various types of bark and fruits. Other major benefits from the project include the incremental sequestration of carbon. This is directly addressed in the 4,000 ha of watershed protection plantations where carbon emission rights are expected to be traded. However, all plantations under the project are expected to contribute to the sequestration of carbon. The total incremental sequestration of carbon is estimated at 61.2 million tons, with a value of between US$4 - 5/ton, constituting a major benefit of the project. The other downstream and global benefits, such as the impact on soil and water conservation and on biodiversity conservation, are also significant. They are, however, not quantified in the economic analysis. The results of the financial and economic analysis are summarized below and detailed in Annex 9. without global benefits Component/Activity ERR % 16.7 20.9 14.7 16.0 10.7 11.1 10.6 16.2 Timber Plantation Eucalyptus plantations Slow growing timber Bamboo plantations Watershed Protection BioCarbon plantations Watershed plantations (excl. BioCarbon) Project FRR % 12.2 14.2 11.3 11.3 8.6 7.7 8.9 11.9 with carbon sequestration benefits ERR % 23.8 32.6 18.4 28.7 16.1 20.6 15.1 23.8 If carbon sequestration benefits are included, all project activities show IRRs above the 12 percent used as the reference value for the economic opportunity cost of capital investment. The financial cash flow of individual project investments varies. Within the different types of plantation, most fast-growing eucalyptus plantations are attractive due to their high and 20 relatively quick financial returns. The relatively low attractiveness of slow-growing timber, from a financial as well as an economic point of view, suggests careful selection of this option. 2. TECHNICAL The GFB has developed detailed afforestation models for timber plantation, multiple-purpose protection plantations, ecological forest and vegetation rehabilitation in the watershed and karst areas. National and international experience has been integrated in the project technical design. The selection of species and planting sites is based on guidelines agreed with the Bank during project preparation, as follows: forest species were selected on the basis of market demand, farmers’ preferences, growth potential, climatic and ecological suitability to specific site conditions, and environmental objectives. The sites were selected on the basis of the soil fertility, rainfall, temperature, erosion hazard and access to timber processing location. Those models drew on the implementation experience of previous WB-financed forestry projects in China, and incorporated several changes to meet the specific aspects of Guangxi. The WB reviewed and approved all the afforestation and forest rehabilitation models. The project design emphasizes the use of improved genetic materials and improved nursery management practices, intensive silviculture to speed the growth of commercial species, minimized rotation lengths, adaptive research, training and technical extension systems. Diversified species selection is emphasized to contribute to improvement of the environment and the stability of landscape. A BioCarbon pilot will be implemented for multiple-function plantation establishment. The pilot, the first one in China, will explore and demonstrate the technical and methodological approaches of a credible carbon sequestration and trade process by afforestation activities. The innovative methodological measures including baseline methodology and monitoring methodology have been reviewed and approved by CDM-EB. National and international experiences gained in forest restoration and watershed management have been adopted. The Bank also added its global experience in the design of the nature reserve management and biodiversity conservation. At present, no formal mechanism exists within the established administrative structures in China for the approval of nature reserve management plans in the format which will be used under the GIFDCP. In order to facilitate approval of the final management plan documents, the project will produce management plans in two separate volumes. The Strategic Management Plan will include details of the baseline conditions, management strategy and objectives, and proposed zonation and management activities for the target site. The Operational Management Plan will include a detailed budget specifying investments (e.g., civil works and equipment) and recurrent costs (e.g., salaries, fuel, supplies and spare parts). Although both volumes of each Management Plan produced by the project will be submitted jointly to the appropriate authorities for review purposes, only the Strategic Plan will require official endorsement. The Operational Plan will be used (with cross referencing to the other volume) by the nature reserve authorities as the basis for soliciting funds from local, national and international sources as and when required. The project will also support the GFB to produce provincial forestry and conservation plans including funding priorities to implement nature reserve management plans. 21 3. FIDUCIARY a. Financial management The Bank has conducted a thorough assessment of the adequacy of the financial management system of the GIFDCP and has found that this management system can meet the financial management requirements stipulated in BP/OP 10.02 and provide, with reasonable assurance, accurate and timely information on the status of the project in the reporting format agreed with the project and as required by the Bank. Training will be provided to project financial staff on an annual basis. The detailed financial management and disbursement arrangements are referred to Annex 7. b. Procurement An assessment of the capacity of the implementing agency to carry out procurement for the project was carried out by the World Bank’s Office in Beijing in October 2005. The assessment reviewed its organizational structure and functions, past experience, staff skills, quality and adequacy of supporting and control systems, and its legal and regulatory framework. The overall risk for procurement is low. The detailed procurement arrangements are referred to in Annex 8. 4. SOCIAL While this project principally aims to improve the management, sustainability, and environmental condition of Guangxi forest resources, it also attempts to enhance the incomes of local people and give them an incentive to participate. Most of the project areas are in remote mountains and about half of the areas are located in nationally/regionally designated poverty counties that are home to the poorest and most disadvantaged ethnic minority people in the GZAR. In order to make maximum use of project opportunities and fully mobilize the target people’s participation, a Social Assessment (SA) was carried out during project preparation to analyze stakeholder roles, diagnose potential risks and development opportunities, build local capacity and reinforce public consultation and involvement. In addition, more than 25,000 copies of project information leaflets have been widely distributed to the communities of the proposed project counties to inform the communities and households of the projects’ activities, loan terms and condition, to open options to households participating in the project and expected benefits, and to collect the feedback on whether they would like to participate in the project and their preference on production and contractual arrangements. The feedback from the communities has been incorporated into the project design. The participation exercise will be continued during project implementation through a participatory planting design for the plantation establishment activities and through the strengthening of local community relationships for the nature reserve management and rehabilitation of ecological forest cover. The whole project design has therefore been made more efficient by its promotion of local ownership, ensuring equitable access to its benefits by poor farmers, vulnerable groups and ethnic minority peoples. The following are the key concerns identified by the SA and addressed by the project design. Operations/Contractual Arrangements for Implementing Forest Plantations. Under the project, the FFs would cooperate with farmers and communities in carrying out the plantation establishment activities under different contractual arrangements. Currently, there are at least 22 four types of contractual arrangements: (a) a contract to lease the land with annual payments; (b) a contract with profit-sharing at harvest; (c) a contract with a mix of annual payments and profit-sharing at harvest; and (d) a contract with a guaranteed amount at harvest. During preappraisal, the different contractual/operations arrangements were reviewed. It was confirmed that the menu of options would remain open and that these options have been included in the project information leaflet disseminated to villages and households. It was agreed that details of the contractual arrangements, such as inputs and benefit-sharing, would be included in the Participatory Project Design Manual as part of the Project Implementation Plan (PIP). This would ensure that farmers make an informed choice. Even though most households seem to prefer the prevailing practice of a contract with annual payments, it was agreed that such a contract would be improved compared to the current practice of long-term land leasing. First, the contract would include a clause for arbitration to help resolve disputes which arise between households and the FF. Second, the contract would offer two options to allow for an increase in the land rental fee during the contract period which ranges from 15-30 years. The first option would allow for the adjustment of the rental fee after first cultivation, based on the current timber price. The second option would increase the rental fee by a negotiated percentage every five years until the end of the contract period. The negotiated percentage would be agreed upon before the contract is signed. Community Participation in Nature Reserve and Karst Rehabilitation: The project would promote better community relationships between the project nature reserves and communities to solve key problems together. Financing would be provided to support increasing target community and local government stakeholders’ understanding of biodiversity conservation through the development and implementation of a community conservation education strategy and the provision of training and technical assistance to communities to empower villagers to address key problems of concern to both the communities and the nature reserve (e.g., participate in government programs for alternative livelihoods). The project will also provide modest funds for early interventions to decrease the threats from over-use of the nature reserves’ resources (such as for fuelwood), through targeted applications of sustainable, practical, culturally appropriate and cost-effective measures (such as biogas) to reduce use from the nature reserves. Gender Consideration in the Project Context. Women play important roles in rural production and family life in the project areas. Although both young men and women migrate for off-farm work, more adult women than men tend to remain in home villages. As the SA shows, most of the households interviewed stated that decisions would be shared by husband and wife with regard to the land-use rights and forest activities on household hills, participation in tree planting and technical training, and the responsibility for harvesting forest by-products. Women prove to be enjoying a relatively high position in the family, and gender would not be a critical issue for households participating in the project. However, when households still rely on fuelwood for their energy needs, fuelwood collection for subsistence is a heavy workload for women. Meanwhile, water collection remains a predominantly female task in many places. Therefore, women expressed strong interest in project activities that improve water access or reduce fuelwood collection, which would have a clear positive impact on them. In both the 23 nature reserve and karst rehabilitation components, project design has been responsive to these concerns and has earmarked financing to address these issues. Ethnic Minority Groups: Concerns on ethnic minorities are the focal point of the SA. Nine of the ethnic minority groups present in the project area fall into the category of intended people under the Bank’s social safeguard policy OD4.20 (now OP4.10). Most of these ethnic minority peoples remain vulnerable compared to the rest of the population due to a remaining gap with the mainstream society as well as due to their location in remote, disadvantaged areas. The SA studies proved that these groups have expressed a strong interest in participating in the activities of the project, and there are few limiting factors that would restrict their access. However, in each component a number of risks of potential negative impact from participation in the project have been identified, some of them specific to ethnic minority people. An Ethnic Minority Development Plan (EMDP) was developed to address all of the issues specific to these groups and to indicate the ways for project activities to be designed compatibly with ethnic minorities’ cultures. The EMDP was closely followed in project design and will also be followed in implementation period. See Annex 10 for more details. The SA also screened for any possible impact on known archeological and historical sites and designated special localities with unique natural value that could be at risk under the current project design. The conclusion is that no significant damage to non-replicable cultural property will occur under this project. 5. ENVIRONMENT The GIFDCP has been assigned an Environmental Assessment (EA) category ‘B’ in the Bank's classification system. To review the project's likely positive and negative environmental and social impacts, an EA (including an Environmental Management and Monitoring Plan EMMP) covering possible impacts, mitigation measures, monitoring, and institutional strengthening, and a separate Social Assessment were prepared, building on the work of similar previous projects in China. Overall, the project is expected to generate significant environmental benefits because it focuses on high-priority natural resource management issues. The major potential impacts on the environment include: impact to vegetation and potential soil erosion due to temporary land occupation at the planting sites and land cultivation for site preparation for plantation; short-term impacts on native fauna; and pollution/waste management issues at the planting site. If the mitigation measures proposed in the EMMP are implemented, the negative impacts during the implementation/planting phases will be minimized. The components on Ecological Forest and Nature Reserves are expected to have positive environmental impacts, both directly by protecting some of the most important remaining natural forests and associated biodiversity in Guangxi and indirectly through protecting key forested watersheds. Any negative environmental issues arising from these components are expected to be insignificant and easily mitigated. The Plantation Establishment component should also have positive environment impacts through the reduction of pressure on natural forests as well as a decreased demand for imports 24 of forest resources from outside China and contributions to local community income. Negative environmental issues arising from this component are expected to be limited in scope and easily mitigated. Nonetheless, these will require careful planning and execution principally because of the wide coverage and small unit size of the component. An objectively verifiable process of screening of sites identified for conversion to plantations under the component has been developed to ensure that they are outside of intact forests, will not convert or degrade any natural habitats, and will not adversely affect cultural property. In addition, a Pest Management Plan as well as a set of environmental protection guidelines for plantation establishment (based on the Bank’s on-going Sustainable Forestry Development Project) have been agreed, covering establishment and operations protocols to ensure that unintended environmental impacts are avoided, with special attention to issues of pest management. The main features are briefly described above and discussed in more detail in Annex 10. Date of receipt of final EA/EMMP : April 2006 (submitted to Infoshop on 04/18/2006) Date of receipt of final SA : April 2006 (submitted to Infoshop on 04/18/2006). Consultation on the project was thorough. Methods used included the posting of public letters in project areas, publishing notices in local newspapers, placing notices in government offices and libraries, organizing meetings and interviews with villagers, holding five general symposia and two expert symposia (to which NGOs were invited), preparing public participation questionnaires and consulting with individuals, and receiving many telephone calls. In the rural areas, families were consulted about current uses of farmland/forestland, pesticides and fertilizer application, living conditions, public health, project design and attitudes. The consultations were done in cooperation with the Social Assessment Group. Three counties/cities (Qinxi, Laibing and Huanjiang) were selected for detailed interviews. A total of 1800 questionnaires was sent to a wide range of people, from government officials, technicians and project beneficiaries, of which 1,678 were returned. Almost all respondents believe the project is necessary although there were concerns over soil quality, erosion, pests and diseases, biodiversity, and short-term waste management issues. One-third of the respondents did not think there would be any environmental impacts at all and that the project would benefit the environment and provide jobs. A number of constructive suggestions was made such as developing mixed forests, ensuring that state and provincial laws were followed, promoting environmentally-friendly fertilizers, provide training opportunities, taking care when using exotic species, subsidizing those forestry activities with biological benefits, and clarifying use rights. The expert meetings also raised a series of suggestions such as ensuring that the biological impacts are minimized, ensuring that timber exploitation is minimized, avoiding monoculture of trees, giving attention to land suitability for plantations, avoiding large areas of plantations and looking for ways to use natural forest to act as corridors between blocks of plantation. The project design accommodated all reasonable suggestions. 6. SAFEGUARD POLICIES Safeguard Policies Triggered by the Project Environmental Assessment (OP/BP/GP 4.01) Natural Habitats (OP/BP 4.04) Pest Management (OP 4.09) Cultural Property (OPN 11.03, being revised as OP 4.11) 25 Yes [X] [] [X] [] No [] [X] [] [X ] Involuntary Resettlement (OP/BP 4.12) Indigenous Peoples (OD 4.20, being revised as OP 4.10) Forests (OP/BP 4.36) Safety of Dams (OP/BP 4.37) Projects in Disputed Areas (OP/BP/GP 7.60)* Projects on International Waterways (OP/BP/GP 7.50) [X] [X] [X] [] [] [] [] [] [] [X] [X] [X] a. Environmental Assessment. A thorough EA was conducted, a summary of which is provided in Annex 10. The EA is the result of work by the experienced group of experts from the Guangxi Environmental Protection Research Institute (GEPRI) and the Forestry College of Guangxi University in Nanning, with additional help from an international consultant. The EA is complemented by a separate SA. The EA has an EMP which includes Environmental Protection Guidelines and Pest Management Plan for the timber plantations component. b. Pest Management. Increasing the area of plantations could increase the incidence of pests and disease which, in turn, could result in an increased use of pesticides. The SFA advocates and follows an integrated pest management (IPM) approach which is adopted in turn by the GFB. Thus the use of: (a) non-chemical methods of pest and disease control as a first option; and (b) chemicals as last resort based on objective monitoring of pest and disease levels are promoted. These procedures have been institutionalized within the project in the form of a Pest Management Plan which includes a training program for participating households and forestry bureau staff responsible for project implementation. All chemicals recommended by GIFDCP fall within the World Health Organization’s (WHO) hazard categories II (moderately hazardous), III (slightly hazardous), or U (chemicals unlikely to present acute hazard in normal use). c. Involuntary Resettlement. The social specialist team investigated the involuntary resettlement and land acquisition issues for the project. No involuntary population relocation or land acquisition is expected under the project. However, some potential loss of land or assets by individuals in a community might occur due to small-scale infrastructure construction (e.g., village roads, storage sheds, etc.), which will be identified through a community-based planning process. A Policy Framework for Resettlement and Land Acquisition has hence been prepared by the SA team in accordance with the Bank safeguard policy OP4.12 (Involuntary Resettlement), to establish the agreed principles and procedures to be followed in the event that development activities requiring land taking are determined during project implementation. Moreover, in compliance with the policy to adequately address possible adverse impacts on people’s livelihoods arising from new restrictions on access to resources in the nature reserves or hill closure areas under the project, a Process Framework for Mitigating Potential Adverse Impact has been developed by the SA. The Process Framework will ensure that project implementation includes a participatory process used for local people to avoid significant restriction impacts under the nature reserve management and watershed rehabilitation components, select and agree measures to mitigate those impacts which cannot be avoided, and resolve any conflicts. Both the Policy Framework and Process Framework will be available in * By supporting the proposed project, the Bank does not intend to prejudice the final determination of the parties' claims on the disputed areas 26 the Bank Infoshop as to the public in county PMOs and Township Forestry Stations in the project areas before project appraisal. d. Indigenous Peoples. Guangxi is a Zhuang Minority Nationality Autonomous Region, where the number of Zhuang people is more than 15 million, accounting for 33 percent of the total. The other ethnic minorities account for about 5 percent, including mainly Maio, Yao, Dong, Maonan and Yi. In the 42 project counties, nine of these ethnic minorities are present, they represent 593,000 beneficiaries or 34.9 percent of the total project population. The project SA was carried out to investigate and assess various situations of the minority peoples by the expert team including a minority nationalities expert and an EMDP was developed. Led by the SA exercise, extensive consultation has taken place with the dissemination of project leaflets and sample application forms in all proposed communities of project counties. More than 130 villages were intensively consulted by the SA team and county PMOs, and more than 1500 households have been surveyed by questionnaire. As the SA indicates, most of the ethnic minority groups in the project areas remain vulnerable in terms of poverty incidence and difficult natural environments, and all of them express a willingness to participate in project activities. The EMDP therefore sets out the practical steps that will be taken to ensure: (a) that ethnic minority groups have equitable opportunities to take part in, and fully benefit from, the project; and (b) that the risks of potential negative impacts identified are avoided or minimized. Before project appraisal, the EMDP was made available in both the Han and local ethnic minority languages (e.g., the Yi written language) in the related county PMOs/Libraries and Township forestry stations. It has also been made available to the public at the WB Info shop. e. Forestry. The project fully complies with the Bank's Forest Policy. It would not finance plantations that involve any conversion or degradation of critical natural habitat, including adjacent or downstream critical natural habitats. Project plantations would be established on unforested sites or on lands already converted (not converted in anticipation of the project). The project would not introduce invasive species that could pose a threat to natural habitats. While the project would not finance any type of forest harvesting, it has made provisions to finance: (a) the training of Forest Bureau management and staff in forest certification; and (b) the implementation of a step-wise forest certification pilot. During project pre-appraisal, the Borrower and the WB team agreed on the principle that certification of project plantations would not only bring higher prices for the wood products but would also broaden its market base, since the demand for certified wood in China is increasing. Because of these potential benefits, the GFB and the Bank task team have agreed to implement a step-by-step forest certification pilot under the project. Sensitizing the Borrower to forest certification started during project preparation when the WWF-China Program was invited to conduct a workshop to introduce the concept of forest certification to GFB, PMO, and State Forest Farms participating under the project. This workshop took place in December 2005. During project pre-appraisal, the pilot certification process was initiated by inviting (through WWF-China) a Chinese forest certification expert to hold more in-depth discussion with the GFB and one State FF on certification procedures and requirements (including potential costs associated with certification). After completion of this first step, it was agreed that the next step would be an informal pre-assessment of a candidate FF (i.e., Gaofeng Forest Farm) to determine more precisely the gaps, the steps required, and the investment costs needed to meet 27 the required certification standards. The pre-assessment was carried out in July 2006.. Completion of further steps would be evaluated by Gaofeng FF and the GFB on the basis of their short-term and long-term financial and economic viability and impact on Gaofeng’s operations. According to the GFB, Stora Enso, a multinational private sector company active in the Guangxi Province, has shown some interest in participating in the pilot certification to be initiated in the Gao Fung FF under the project. It indicated it may contribute its own financial resources to this exercise once acquisition of its plantation lands has been concluded. The GoC has made a commitment to move toward sustainable management of its natural forests and to retain as much effective forest cover as possible. The project focuses on the development of small blocks of plantations to relieve pressures on natural forest resources and to help improve watershed forests and forest nature reserves The site screening process undertaken as part of the EA (see Annex 10) would be continued during project implementation to ensure that plantations would be established on sites outside areas of intact forest. 7. POLICY EXCEPTION AND READINESS As designed, the project is fully consistent with Bank policies and no exceptions to policy are required. 28 Annex 1: Country and Sector Background CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project A. Background: 1. The People’s Republic of China (PRC), the most populated and largest developing country, is poor in forest resources. Its forests cover an area of about 175 million ha or 18.2 percent of its land area. This is equivalent to 0.13 hectare per capita, which is significantly below the world average of 0.6 hectare per capita. The total standing volume of wood in the country is estimated to be about 12.5 billion cubic meters or about 9.42 cubic meters per capita. This represents only 12.6 percent of the World’s average of 72 cubic meters per capita. In the past decades, more than seventy percent of timber came from harvesting primary and secondary natural forests and less than 30 percent from plantations. As a result of its rapid economic growth and rising population, China is now confronted with increasing environmental degradation and challenges. 2. Environmental degradation is one of the fundamental constraints to China’s sustainable economic and social development. Water and soil erosion is very serious in many watersheds. Erosion has had an impact on areas that cover nearly 3.6 million square kilometers (37 percent of the total land area). Desertification is estimated to have had an impact on more than 1.7 million square kilometers (18 percent of the total land area). It is estimated that only 16 provinces in China still have some natural forest cover. Most natural forest habitats have been reduced to small and isolated fragments; this in turn has led a significant proportion of the local fauna and flora to become threatened. 3. The gap between timber supply and demand has recently become huge. To satisfy the rapidly growing demand of its industry and markets, the country relies on imports. Currently, annual timber consumption exceeded supply by approximately 80 million cubic meters. At the current pace of economic development, it is estimated that the gap between wood demand and supply will reach 120 million cubic meters by 2010. The launch by the GoC of the NFPP in 1998, which put in place a logging ban on natural forests, has further widened the gap between timber supply and demand. This has also led to a significant increase in the import of timber and wood products from neighboring countries and elsewhere. Trade statistics show that in 2004 China imported about 26.3 million cubic meters of logs and about 82.7 million cubic meters of sawn timber, veneer, plywood, furniture, wood pulp, paper and paperboard and other wood products, which represent more than 545 percent of the logs, 302 percent of the wood board and 176 percent of the wood pulp and paper products that were imported in 1998 before the logging ban was instituted. 4. The management of forest resources is still poor in many areas of China and the quality of existing natural and planted forests is low. According to the national forest inventory carried out between 1999 and 2003, the average forest stand volume in China is about 50.4 cubic meters per hectare, or only about 50 percent of the world average. Chinese forest land productivity and ecological functions need to be improved significantly through the introduction and adoption of sustainable forest management approaches and advanced technologies. 29 5. To address the above issues and maximize the positive contributions of forestry to the environment and to the national economy, the GoC formulated a “Sustainable Forestry Development Strategy”. This focused “the four shifts”, as follows: (a) the shift from harvesting wood from natural forests to harvesting wood from plantation forests; (b) the shift from deforestation for the purpose of land reclamation to conversion of steep cropland to plantation forest; (c) the shift from non-funded management of ecological forest to funded management of these ecological forest; and (d) the shift from giving the public sector the exclusive right to develop forest resources to widening that mandate to include the participation of other social actors. The “four shifts” have brought about a historical and fundamental change in China’s forestry sector development strategy. To implement these changes, the GoC launched the following six forestry development programs. a. The Natural Forest Protection Program (NFPP). The NFPP established a complete logging ban on the natural forests along the upper reaches of the Yangtze River and the upper and middle reaches of the Yellow River, and significantly reduced the allowable in cutting key state-owned forest areas in Northeast China and Inner Mongolia. The NFPP also mandated local governments to protect natural forests in other regions of the country and aimed at rehabilitating and developing natural forest in these regions. b. The Three Northern Areas and Yangtze Basin Shelterbelt Development Program. This program was designed to establish key forest shelterbelt systems in China’s three northern areas (northwest, northeast and northern part of China) to control desertification and to reverse the deterioration of the ecosystems in those areas. The Program also aimed to develop shelterbelts in the Yangtze River Basin, which included controlling water and soil erosion in the Pearl River and Hui River watersheds. c. The Conversion of Cropland to Forest and Grassland Program (also known as the Grain for Green Program). This is a strategic program aimed at controlling and reducing soil and water erosion in steep mountainous areas throughout the country. d. The Beijing Area Desertification Control Program. This program was established for the purpose of reducing the impact of wind erosion and shifting sand dunes on the environment around Beijing and to establish an ecological shelterbelt around the outskirts of Beijing and Tianjin city. e. The Wildlife Conservation and Nature Reserve Development Program. This long-term program focuses on biodiversity conservation and wetland protection. It promotes genetic conservation and the establishment of gene banks, biodiversity conservation, environmental protection for wetland ecosystem and the establishment of nature reserves. f. The Fast-growing and High-Yielding Timber Plantation Base Program. This program was designed to address the widening gap between the supply of and demand for timber products. It is an afforestation program aimed at increasing timber plantations to meet the 30 demands for wood-based products. It also contributes to reducing the logging pressure on China’s remaining natural forests. Upon completion of its implementation, the program is expected to generate about 130 million cubic meters of timber annually. 6. The GZAR is located in the poor southwestern part of China. Because it is located in sub-tropical and tropical zones, with high precipitation and temperatures as well as adequate soils and a long growing season, the GZAR has near perfect agro-ecological conditions for growing forest trees and producing large quantities of timber. Currently, the annual timber consumption in the province is approximately 8 million cubic meters compared to an annual production of about 5 million cubic meters. Based on economic and wood-related industrial development, demand for timber in 2010 will reach about 13 million cubic meters per year, whereas supply is expected to remain at about 80 million cubic meter per year. During the last few years, the province has been designated by the SFA as one of four key timber production bases/areas of China. In formulating their economic development strategy, the GZAR authorities have adopted a land use development policy that strongly promotes afforestation. Its industrial development is based in part on wood product processing and includes several paper mills and furniture manufacturing facilities. 7. To implement its afforestation policy, the GZAR decided to use a combination of private sector partnerships/concessions (Stora Enzo, etc.) and its provincial and county level FFs. While they are the primary instruments for implementing the public sector’s forestry policy, these public sector institutions have not been able to fully engage and their contribution to the development of the sector remains much below its potential. The low contribution of the FFs to the development of the forestry sector is due to: (a) their weak financial capabilities; (b) the lack of local sources of credit for the forestry sector; and (c) structural inefficiencies, which include a low level of production and management technology and high cost of production due to overstaffing and high labor charges. In order to energize its FFs and increase afforestation and timber production, the GZAR government is in need of assistance to improve the financial capacity of its FFs and reform their operation to make them into technologically advanced commercial enterprises. 8. Over the last years, the reform in land use arrangement has been widespread among all FFs. These reforms, which have taken a variety of forms, lead to better incentives for improving quality of afforestation works and better prospects of profitability in afforestation projects. The concrete definition of different types of reform of FFs include: (a) contracting state-owned forest land by SFF workers for afforestation activities, which became a form of settlement with the semi laid-of workers; (b) share-holding and/or partnership: this typically involves a group of workers contracting out a large piece of forest-land under SFFs for management. Each involved worker pays investment to the partnership and owns certain shares based on his/her investment, while the farm also owns a certain amount of shares. This arrangement is also widespread within most of the farms and on the farm-community corporation land; and (c) individually-managed forest-land for orchard growing, which is made mainly to provide farm workers a basic means of living (much like the private plot allotment in the rural area). Workers own all the products of this type of private operation. 31 9. Currently, reforms in SFFs have mainly occurred internally under SFFs. SFF management re-structure has been put in the government’s agenda, which will be implemented in the next a few years. The further reform will include the following steps. First, the existing SFFs would be re-categorized into two types: (a) Ecological and Public Interest (EPI) SFFs, and (b) Commercial SFFs. For EPI SFFs government funding will increase because major functions of these farms will be provision of ecological services. For Commercial SFFs, a higher level of independence and less direct government funding will expected, for the reason that these farms will be operating mainly for economic ends. Second, the main form of new institutional arrangement for Commercial SFFs will be share-holding system, the private sector would be allowed to buy out some of the state-owned assets and participate in management of SFFs and their forest resource. Third, all social functions of the SFFs would be transferred to local government so that newly-formed enterprises from SFFs would be able to operate more efficiently. 10. Nearly 50 percent of the Pearl River watershed basin is located in the northern and north-eastern parts of Guangxi which has the richest limestone flora and fauna resources in China. The GZAR is therefore an important contributor to the protection of the Pearl River watersheds and the karst ecological systems. However, because of its slow economic development, the province lacks the resources to implement the soil and water conservation measures, including the plantation of multi-species forests, for the protection of its watersheds. 11. In addition to the negative impacts resulting from illegal logging and over-use of NTFP by poor rural dwellers, the strong demand for timber is also increasing the pressure on Guangxi’s natural ecosystems and threatening its fragile biodiversity. Moreover, poor management and lack of protection of natural forests have resulted in the deterioration of hydrological systems, serious soil erosion, and major habitat degradation, fragmentation and loss. Many animal and plant species are now threatened; some are facing near extinction, especially in the large limestone areas in the western part of Guangxi. This situation has made comprehensive and integrated development, management and protection of forest resources very high priorities of the GZAR Government. 12. In accordance with the National Forestry Development strategy, the GZAR recently launched a number of forestry development programs to increase timber production, manage watershed to reduce soil and water erosion and protect natural forest and biodiversity. These programs include: (a) the Intensively Managed Timber Products Basis Development Program; (b) the Integrated Management for the Protection Forests in the Upper Reaches of the Pearl River Program; and (c) the Natural Regeneration of Vegetation on Karst Hill Program. These three programs will contribute to achieving both the provincial and national goals of managing and developing forest resources in a sustainable manner. During the period from 2005 and 2010 and in accordance with its forestry development programs, the GZAR plans to increase timber plantations by 870,000 ha and bring 667,000 ha of watershed areas under effective protection. To reach these goals, the GoC and the GZAR Government are seeking the Bank’s financial and technical assistance to support the Guangxi forestry development programs. 32 Annex 2: Major Related Projects Financed by the Bank and/or other Agencies CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project Sector Issue Project Bank Group-financed in China: Latest Supervision (PSR) Ratings (Bank-financed projects only) Implementation Progress (IP) Development Objective (DO) S S S S IFC- Developing Wood Products Processing in Guangxi Province S S Timber concession planning and management. Cambodia – Forest Concession Management and Control Pilot Project U U Linking better management and conservation with local rural development Vietnam – Forest Protection and Rural Development Project S S Lao PDR—Sustainable Forestry and Rural Development Project U S Smallholder plantation establishment and sustainable financing mechanism for biodiversity conservation. Vietnam—Forest Sector Development Project S S Other Development Agencies China – European Union-Natural Forest Management Project Afforestation, management of natural forests, and biodiversity conservation. Forestry Development in Poor Areas Project Sustainable Forestry Development Project Bank-Financed (in other Countries) Natural forest management S S IP/DO Ratings: HS (Highly Satisfactory), S (Satisfactory), U (Unsatisfactory), HU (Highly Unsatisfactory) 33 GEF-supported Projects Sustainable Forestry Development Project (existing). The main objectives of the SFDP are the development and adoption of innovative management approaches to better manage some of the last remaining forested areas in China and to establish plantations to relieve pressures on those forest resources. The approaches developed for and applied to the protection of sustainable management of natural forest resources in pilot areas in China will provide models for wider application under the government’s national NFPP. The SFDP has three components: (a) Natural Forest Management; (b) Plantation Establishment; and (c) Protected Areas Management. The Protected Areas Management Component is financed by the GEF. The GEF grant will: (a) enhance the management of priority nature reserves located in the logging ban areas of the NFPP which are of global significance for biodiversity conservation purposes; (b) identify and survey the wildlife in areas important for biodiversity conservation in Western Sichuan which forms part of a globally important eco-region known as Southwest China Temperate Forests; (c) increase participation of communities in nature conservation and the sustainable management of natural resources; (d) strengthen the capacity of institutions, particularly at the provincial and reserve levels, to manage the natural forests/nature reserves sustainably; and (e) support key protected area and natural forest-related policy studies. Wetland Biodiversity Conservation and Sustainable Use Project (existing). This project will remove barriers to effective wetland conservation at four demonstration sites (Sanjiang Plain, Ruoergai Marshes, Yancheng Coast and Dongting Lakes) of global biodiversity significance. These barriers include: (a) a lack of integration of wetland management and biodiversity conservation into development planning; (b) no institutional mechanisms for multi-sectoral wetland management; (c) limited awareness of wetland values and functions at all levels; (d) lack of examples of sustainable development of wetland resources and involvement of local communities; and (e) lack of technical capacity at national and local levels to manage and conserve wetlands and their biodiversity. A national coordination component will ensure that lessons learned from this project will be appropriately transferred to other wetlands throughout the country. GEF support will be closely allied with new GoC programs that conserve biodiversity and ensure locally sustainable development. Multi-agency and Local Participatory Cooperation in Biodiversity Conservation in Yunnan’s Upland Ecosystem existing). This project addresses threats to mountain ecosystem biodiversity in two sites in Yunnan Province. The principal constraining factors identified include: (a) poor inter-sectoral planning and management; (b) limited involvement of local communities in conservation planning and management; and (c) a lack of capacity, awareness and information required to conserve biodiversity. In order to address these issues, the project will initiate five sets of complementary activities related to (a) the development of inter-sectoral planning and management mechanisms; (b) capacity building for the Wuliangshan Reserve Co-management Council and the Qinshan Watershed Management Council; (c) the promotion of ecologically-sustainable livelihoods; (d) public awareness, training and education; and (e) community-based biodiversity inventory and monitoring. 34 Nature Reserves Management Project (completed). The main objective of the NRMP was to enhance biodiversity conservation through innovative approaches to organization, planning, skills development, information management, and the integration of local communities into reserve management. It was designed to: (a) to strengthen conservation, management and sustainable use of ecosystems and habitats that have been identified as national priorities by the GoC in the Biodiversity Conservation Action Plan; (b) to increase the involvement of local communities in the planning and management of nature reserves, addressing in particular the social and economic requirements of poor households in poverty areas; (c) to introduce an innovative economic incentive program to reduce biodiversity land-use conflicts in critical habitats that involves enterprise restructuring and job redeployment; (d) to build institutional capacity for the preparation of conservation plans and the implementation of sustainable landuse programs; (e) to develop new research mechanisms and priorities to encourage scientific excellence and facilitate international exchange; (f) to expand the role of local and international NGOs in sector planning and management; and (g) to promote conservation of endemic species, such as the giant panda and other plants and animals unique to China. Project areas include the Xishuangbanna (Yunnan), Shennongjia (Hubei) and Wuyishan (Fujian/Jiangxi) Nature Reserves; the Poyang Lake (Jiangxi); and the Qinling mountains of Shaanxi Province (Foping, Niubeiliang, Zhouzhi and Taibaishan cluster of reserves). 35 Annex 3: Results Framework and Monitoring CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project Results Framework PDO/Global Environment Objective To improve effectiveness of forest management and institutional arrangements in timber production, watershed protection and nature reserves management in selected areas of the GZAR. Outcome Indicator 1.1. Project-supported timber plantations achieve higher timber volume growth per hectare than nonproject plantations areas. 1.2. Project FF employees are able to engage in self employment. Use of Outcome Information 1.1. PY2-3. FBs and FFs would evaluate plantation quality (success rates) and improve technology as relevant. 1.2. PY6. FFs and FFs workers to evaluate achievement and find other avenue of self employment, if needed. 2.1. Increase in vegetation cover in targeted watersheds at project completion. 2.1. PY4-5. GFB and FBs to monitor impact of forest closures and ecological forest plantations to document results and to guide ecological forest management and policy. 3.1 Populations of key indicator species (e.g., primates & turtles) or areas of limestone forest in at least 4 out of 5 nature reserves remain stable or increase. 3.1. PY3-6. Changes in biodiversity, resource use and threats used to guide local decision-making and to adjust nature reserve management plans. Intermediate Results One per Component Results Indicators for Each Component Use of Results Monitoring Component One: Expanding timber plantations: Timber production by FFs and HHs increases in the project area. Component One: 1.1 Afforested area increases by 200,000 ha with a tree survival rate above 90%. The GE objective is to improve the conservation of the globally significant biodiversity of the GZAR. Component Two: Increasing Ecological Forest Cover: Watershed protection land and water conservation improved and carbon sequestration increased. Component Three: Improving Management of Nature Reserves Management effectiveness of five target nature reserves improved. 1. 2 100 percent of all contractual arrangement per type (operations models) recorded in project M&E database. 1.3 Number of participating farm households reached. Component Two: 2.1 Area in ha of multiple protection forest established. 2.b Tons of carbon sequestered. Component Three: 3.1 a Average Nature Reserve Management Effectiveness Tracking Tool score for five target reserves improves from 43 to 60 at mid-term and to 70 at completion. 3.1b. Project-supported nature reserves 36 Component One: PY2-5. GFB and PMOs monitor plantation establishment goals, and improve implementation and techniques to achieve targets. PY2 Farmer preference for different contractual arrangements used to adjust participatory design manual. Component Two: 2.a PY2-3. Forest/vegetative cover is monitored systematically to define the best combination of soil and water conservation practices. Component Three: PY2-3. Nature Reserve Management Plan implementation performance and outcomes evaluated and plans strengthened as needed. PY5: With-and without- project interventions evaluated and results maintain a higher METT score than a sample of comparable non-project nature reserves. 3.1c. Measurable improvement occur on at least one pre-defined indicator for each of the five project nature reserves (see targets in monitoring table below). New sites with high biodiversity value identified and protection initiated. 3.2. Two new high biodiversity value sites identified, threats analyzed, conservation plans prepared and implementation begun. Component Four: Enhancing Institutional and Management Capacity Provincial Forest Bureau, County Forest Bureau, FFs, HHs and nature reserve management entities have the skills needed to formulate strategy and to develop and sustainably manage forest plantations and nature reserves. Component Four: 4.1 Provincial forest strategy formulated and adopted by Guangxi authorities. 4.2 Number of staff and households trained. 4.3 Number of guidelines and technical advisory bulletins developed and disseminated. 4.4 Monitoring and evaluation system performance evaluated periodically and improved. 37 used to guide future decisions by the autonomous region. PY3-4: Actual versus planned target values are compared to guide nature reserve management decisions. PY4-5: Biodiversity values of new sites confirmed. Status/threat analysis guides management plan design. Component Four: PY3-4. Project monitoring system and indicators evaluated and results used to improve project implementation, focus and impact. Arrangements for Results Monitoring Target Values (in Cumulative numbers) Outcome Indicator 1.1 Relative productivity of timber plantations under the project compared to non-project areas increases as measured by annual timber volume growth per hectare 1.2 Number of employees of participating FFs no longer on payroll 2.1. Percent of increase in vegetation cover in targeted watersheds 3.1. Number of nature reserves within which key indicator species or limestone forest areas remain stable or increase Results Indicator Component One: (Expanding timber plantation) 1.a Afforested area in ha with a tree survival rate above 90% (‘000ha) 1.b Number of participating farm households reached (‘000HH) 1. c. Monitor and report on sub-loan appraisal and performance per Para. 15 of Annex 17 Component Two: (Increasing Ecological Forest Cover) 2.a Number of ha of multiple protection forest established (‘000ha) Baseline YR1 N/A Data Collection and Reporting YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6 Frequency and Reports 15% 15% 20% 20% 25% Annual M&E reports 1600 10% 0 N/A 5% Baseline survey results 2 3 4 4 0 50 110 170 200 200 200 0 35 70 95 112 112 112 0 - - - - - - 0 5 12 16 18 18 18 38 Data Collection Instrument Field surveys and project reporting Responsibility for Data collection PPMO Project ICR Survey PPMO Mid-term and project ICR Mid-term and end of project Field surveys PPMO Expert survey assessment, participatory monitoring and dialogue with NR staff BO Semi-annual progress reports Semi-annual M&E report MIS PMOs MIS Semi-annual M&E report MIS PPMO, supported by PMOs PPMO, supported by PMOs Semi-annual progress reports MIS PPMO, supported by PMOs Target Values (in Cumulative numbers) Outcome Indicator 2.b Carbon sequestered (/000 tons) Component Three: (Improvement Management of Nature Reserves) 3.1.a Management effectiveness of five targeted nature reserves measured by average incremental scores on scorecard 3.1.b Project-supported nature reserves maintain a higher METT score than a sample of comparable non-project nature reserves 3.2 Number of new sites with high biodiversity value identified and protection initiated. 3.3 Forest dependency score for birds in Damingshan Nature Reserve Baseline YR1 0 Data Collection and Reporting YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6 Frequency and Reports 5.4 11.2 17.0 23.0 30.0 Mid-term and project ICR Data Collection Instrument Field surveys Responsibility for Data collection PPMO Nature Reserves supported by BO Base score of 43 Score of 60 Score of 70 Mid-term and end of project METT and RPM&E 0% difference 10% highe r 15% higher Mid-term and project ICR METT 1 Mid-term and project ICR Annual assessment, Mid-term and project ICR Annual assessment, Mid-term and project ICR Annual assessment, Mid-term and project ICR Mid-term and project ICR Surveys and RPM&E Fixed transect field surveys BO Fixed transect field surveys Nature Reserve supported by BO Field surveys Nature Reserve supported by BO Fixed transect field surveys Nature Reserve supported by BO Annual Field surveys Nature Reserve 0 3.0 3.4 Kilometric abundance score for four forestdependent pheasants in Maoershan Nature Reserve 0.47 3.5 Area utilized by Francoisi leaf monkeys in Nong Gang Nature Reserve 26 sq km. 3.6 Number of slipper orchids along 19 fixed transects in Mulun Nature Reserve e 849 3.7 Area affected by fires in Longshan Nature 19.7 ha 1 3.0+ 26 3.0+ 3.0+ 3.5+ 0.5+ 06+ 0.6+ 1.0+ 26+ 30+ 35+ 35+ 26 Less than 10% declin e since start Yr 1 Less 39 4.0+ 4.0+ No decline from previou s year Less Less Less Nature Reserve supported by BO Target Values (in Cumulative numbers) Outcome Indicator Baseline YR1 YR2 Reserve Donghong Section Component Four: (Enhancing Institutional Capacity and Management) 4.a Provincial forest strategy formulated and adopted by Guangxi authorities 4.b Number of forest staff and households trained (‘000) 4.c Number of guidelines and technical advisory bulletins developed and disseminated 4.d Monitoring and evaluation system performance evaluated periodically and improved. N/A 0 40 100 YR3 YR4 YR5 YR6 than 10 ha affect ed by fire since start Yr 1 than 7 ha affect ed by fire since start Yr 2 than 5 ha affect ed by fire since start Yr 3 than 30 ha affected by fire since start Yr 4 170 adopt ed 180 formu lated 150 0 10 Qualitative assessment 40 190 20 Data Collection and Reporting Frequency and Reports Data Collection Instrument assessment, Mid-term and project ICR Responsibility for Data collection supported by BO Semi-annual progress reports Semi-annual progress reports Semi-annual progress reports MIS PPMO MIS PMOs MIS PPMO Mid-term and project ICR Expert assessment PPMO Annex 4: Detailed Project Description CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project A. Project Area 1. Guangxi is a Zhuang Autonomous Region (GZAR) with a large population of ethnic minority people from 54 different ethnic groups. Together these ethnic groups comprise 18 million people (38 percent of GZAR’s total population). The vast majority (86 percent) of ethnic minority people in Guangxi are Zhuang. Ten other groups are recognized as native nationalities: the Yao, Miao, Dong, Mulao, Maonan, Jing, Yi, Shui, Yilao and Hui. The other 42 ethnic minority groups present in Guangxi are non-native minorities with a total population of less than 20,000. Nine of the ethnic minorities groups present in the project area are native nationalities. 2. Karst hills cover 38 percent of the GZAR’s total land area. These karst areas are renowned for their combination of human poverty and fragile, often degraded vegetation cover. The issues of poverty reduction and environmental rehabilitation in Guangxi are closely linked. Degradation of the GZAR’s natural habitats is a complex historical process that was not slowed until the mid-1990s when there was massive migration out of karst regions by the poor to the off-farm labor market. This helped to reduce pressure on local resources, and farming in Guangxi’s karst areas is now mostly a part-time occupation. At the same time a series of provincial government programs was initiated to improve the standard of living in karst areas and enhance the quality of natural forest habitats. The Ecological Forest Cover and Nature Reserves Management Components of the GIFDCP are directly linked to the government’s program of encouraging the rehabilitation of natural vegetation on Guangxi’s karst hills. 3. The project areas are located in 42 counties. Plantation establishment activities will be carried out in 37 counties and ecological forest management activities will be undertaken in 25 counties, including two counties which would participate in the BioCarbon pilot program. In addition, five nature reserves/clusters will participate in the nature reserves component. They are Nonggang Cluster, Damingshan/Longshan, Maoershan and Mulun Nature Reserves, and one as-yet unidentified cave site to gazette as a protected area in order to capture the globallysignificant biodiversity found underground in the exceptional cave system of Guangxi. To the extent possible, counties with proposed nature reserves also include timber plantation establishment and ecological forest activities to enhance biodiversity values and contribute to local livelihoods in the areas adjacent to nature reserves in order to reduce pressure on the forest resources. B. Project Components Component 1: Expanding Timber Plantations (Total Cost US$171.10 million) 4. The aim of component is to establish new timber plantations in an economically, environmentally and socially sustainable way to meet the growing gap between domestic supply and demand, to generate new employment and income for forestry farms and rural households, and to improve environmental management by the reduction of pressure on natural forest and decrease of timber product inputs from outside of China. The key activities are: (a) 41 establishment of timber plantations; and (b) provision of related technical support services such as planting stock development, nursery management and extension of the improved technologies for plantation establishment and management. 5. The timber plantations sub-component would finance the establishment of about 200,000 ha of timber plantations with high-quality planting materials and modern management including incorporation of environmental considerations into plantation management for fiber and pulp, plywood and construction timber production to meet forecast national and local shortages of wood. Specifically, funding would be provided for: (a) all labor requirements for site preparation and planting in the first year, as well as maintenance during the first three years of plantation establishment; (b) materials and equipment, including seedlings, organic and chemical fertilizer, and simple agricultural tools; and (c) indirect costs related to survey and design at the start of the project and environmental/social management and monitoring. The plantation sites are located in 37 counties (of which 33 counties applied through the forest bureaus and four additional counties where only FFs would work with individual farmers) and spread over 22,400 sites with an average size of 8 ha. Very few sites are larger than 100 ha. 6. Species, planting sites and project areas have been selected on the basis of guidelines agreed during project preparation. The 11 species were selected according to farmer preferences, growth potential, climatic and ecological suitability to specific site conditions, technical experience and acceptance in China, environmental objectives, and product marketability. They are clones of Eucalyptus, also Quercus griffithi, Q acutissima, Betula alnoides, Acacia mangium, Liquidambar formosana, Pinus massoniana, and Cunninghamia lanceolata, and the selected bamboos are Phyllostachys pubescens, Bambusa pervariabilis, Sinocalamus latiflorus, and Dendrocalamopsis grandis. The sites were selected on the basis of soil fertility, rainfall, temperature, erosion hazard, and economic access to end-use markets. All project sites have been identified, and detailed technical design plans for the first year plantations would be completed before project implementation begins. 7. All plantations would be established in accordance with afforestation models for each species agreed with the Bank, which cover technical/silvicultural prescriptions, growth targets, establishment costs, and financial and economic rates of return. There are 14 models; 11 for timber tree species; two for bamboo establishment and one for bamboo rehabilitation. These models draw on the implementation experience of previous Bank-financed forestry projects in China, and incorporate changes to meet the specific Guangxi situation, including lower planting densities in order to promote shorter production cycles; faster income generation; revised fertilizer application rates that reflect the specific nutrient requirements of the sites to stabilize the fertility of soil; less intensive site preparation, smaller planting holes and reduction in tending times to decrease labor requirements and minimize environmental damage on steep sites; and greater reliance on clonal planting stock and other improved planting materials in order to promote faster tree growth. Due to variable conditions in the project areas, the generic afforestation models may be adjusted based on local site conditions and market opportunities but subject to review and approval by Guangxi PMO. The Bank would review and approve all the affforestation models. Assurances would be obtained at negotiations that all project plantations would be established in accordance with models acceptable to the Bank, and GFB would complete the review of all technical design plans for the plantation sites, in accordance 42 with guidelines acceptable to the Bank by April 20, 2007 The afforestation models for individual species are summarized in the PIP. 8. In contrast with previous Bank-financed plantation projects in China, this subcomponent would also better link timber production, marketing and processing by closely linking the selection of the plantation site location, the planting design and production arrangements to the existing and approved timber processing industries. A market analysis of timber supply and demand was carried out by CIFOR in collaboration with GFB to assess GZAR plantation resources and profitability, the requirements of the wood processing sector, and risks involved. The major conclusions were: 3.6 million ha of land is potentially available in all tenures for planting; the region’s wood industry is well situated for expansion but already suffers from a severe supply deficit which is growing rapidly; locally grown wood has a cost advantage over imported wood; relatively high plantation costs reduce international competitiveness of the wood industry; the wood industry is well positioned for access to domestic and Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) markets; and there is potential to increase value-added in industry products. GFB has used this study to make an optimal species selection, design economic planting models, concentrate plantations on economic site types and locations, and incorporate the reduction of biological risks into the project design. The study also underscored the importance of correct plantation site location according to the usual biological criteria for each species, and also economic return criteria, and the extraction and transport costs to the utilization industry. 9. The main afforestation entities are provincial and county-level FFs, communities and households, of which FF is accounting for 53.6 percent, communities about 15 percent and households about 30.5 percent of the total loan. Communities and individual households would participate in the planting activities separately; the FFs would largely cooperate with farmers and communities in carrying out the plantation establishment activities under different “plantation production arrangements” which would bring more benefits to farmers. The project would address the problem of fragmented production by testing different models of stakeholder organizations and contractual systems creating economies of scale, which are necessary for efficient supply chains to enable new products to reach the markets. The state FFs are in the best position to provide and extend the latest technologies offering better returns on the land as well as access to the timber market. A concentration of production yielding marketable quantities of timber products, which are commonly achieved through these contracts, reduces transaction costs. In addition, since demand for certified wood in China is increasing, the possibility of piloting forest certification could potentially bring additional benefits to the households. 10. The technical support services sub-component would finance: (a) planting stock development and up-grading of four FF forest nurseries; and (b) infrastructure requirements of afforestation. More specifically, (a) The Planting Stock Development Program would include the introduction of improved genetic materials and nursery management technologies, and the production of about 424 million seedlings required under the project, of which about 388 million seedlings are for timber plantation establishment and about 36 million for multiple- 43 purpose protection plantation establishment. The total project seedling requirement would be grown by existing nurseries operated by state FFs, collective FFs, or specialized households under contract with FFs or county PMOs. Every participating county would have one central nursery and several smaller nurseries located near planting sites in order to minimize transport distance and handling of seedlings prior to planting. It is planned to use 33 central nurseries and 30 smaller nurseries. These have been inspected and chosen according to detailed criteria and certified for project tree stock supply. The nurseries’ silvicultural management of each species is prescribed by project regulations and provides for regulator inspection. All seedlings would conform to detailed growth standards for each species, including collar diameter, seedling height and root system configuration. The project would use specified genetically-improved seed or clones which are the most suitable and best quality available. The project would finance the nursery-gate production cost of the final seedling, which would be added into the unit cost for afforestation. It was agreed that 100 percent counterpart financing would be provided for nursery up-grading and the extension of four FFs nurseries to increase production and quality of containerized tree stocks. These will be mostly Eucalyptus and would also include Acacia, Betula, Masson Pine and Quercus. The expansion is planned to start in 2006 and be completed at the end of the first year of project implementation. The four nurseries are: Huangmiam FF nursery, Gaofeng FF nursery, Dongmen FF nursery and Bobai FF nursery. The extension would include tissue culture, office and nursery equipment (including on-site irrigation system, tractor and trailors, and plant containers), and civil works (such as storage sheds, shade houses, cutting beds, growing areas, access ways and offices). It would also include commissioning and associated training in the use of new equipment. The total budget for this activity is estimated at 8 million RMB. The detailed design would be reviewed and approved by the provincial PMOs. However, the provincial PMOs will provide summary reports with a short description of the design, a list of items and a budget for each nursery to the Bank as part of following year's work plan. . (b) Rural Infrastructure Program comprises the construction of forest trails and small guard/storage sheds by planting entities. It was agreed that trails would be dirt paths no wider than 1.5 meters, generally constructed along the contour within the planting sites and sheds would be about 60 square meters, constructed of brick and concrete in line with local standards for similar construction. The costs of forest trails is included in the agreed schedule of plantation establishment unit costs. Component 2: Increasing Ecological Forest Cover (Total Project Cost US$18.67 Million) The aim of the component is to develop demonstration models under the GoC’s Pearl River Protection Program that provide not only environmental but also economic and social benefits. The component would finance: (a) the establishment of about 18,000 ha of multipleuse protection forests; and (b) the promotion of forest regeneration and vegetation rehabilitation, on a large scale (100,000 ha) in 25 counties of GZAR, through hill closure in the watershed and karst areas. All the funding resources to finance the multiple purpose protection 11. 44 forest establishment and watershed rehabilitation would be financed from the counterpart funds. 12. Several changes to the traditional protection forest technology practiced in China would be introduced, as follows: Protection forests are typically established as inviolate islands of conservation in China, in which economic development activities and local community use of the resource are severely restricted. By contrast, the component would support the development of multiple-use management of protection forests which integrate non-consumptive economic activities—such as the production of timber, fruit and nut plantations, and medical plants—with afforestation for environmental benefits. Under this approach, the economic welfare of local communities is maximized, contributing to improved incentives to manage the forests on a sustainable basis. The afforestation models used in protection forests have traditionally been based on large tracts of monoculture. Instead, the component would introduce 16 tree species which would promote greater biodiversity, reduce the incidence of pests and disease damage, and promote the development of different canopy levels. Particular emphasis has been given to integration of conifers and broadleaf species for biodiversity conservation, and for development of multi-tiered, vertically-stratified canopies to minimize soil erosion and water run-off. There are eight afforestation models to improve tree cover and increase species diversity; three economic tree afforestation models and five mountain/hill closure models of which two have a sustainable production product. Eight of the sixteen species have production potential while providing protection and ecological benefits. Protection forests are typically subject to little management after establishment, which undermines long-term, sustainable development of the resource. Protection forests financed under the project will involve periodic tending and thinning to ensure efficient natural regeneration of the stands throughout the life of the forest. 13. Two systems will be used to establish protection forests under the component. In the areas that are completely deforested, afforestation entities will plant a variety of new conifer and broadleaf species. About 16 species, most of them native species, will be used. In areas that are denuded but retain a sufficient number of healthy seed-bearing trees, the hills will be closed to economic activities to allow the forest to regenerate naturally. Some “enrichment” planting will be required where there are heavily deforested areas. The hill closure system restricts consumptive use of forest resources (such as clear cutting of trees for fuelwood or building materials) but permits some controlled use of forests in line with agreed environmental management guidelines (such as grass cutting, limited fuelwood collection and harvesting the species that regenerate by sprouting, for which the root will be retained). 14. The selection of planting sites and species was based on criteria agreed with the Bank during the project preparation. These criteria include: (a) the degree of erosion hazard of the sites as estimated by technical staff; (b) potential impact of the site on the pearl river hydrology 45 and the ecological system in the karst areas; and (c) the need for sites to be located either on the banks of the Pearl River or its affluents and/or within severely degraded karst areas. 15. The tree and bamboo species were selected largely on the basis of climatic and ecological suitability to specific site conditions, environmental management objectives, and social-economic requirements of the afforestation entities for income generation, fuelwood, and other forest products. The main species are native and include: (a) trees: Pinus massoniana, Quercus griffithi, Q. acutissima, Schima superba, Liquidambar formosana, Cunninghamia lanceolata, Zenia insignis, Cryptomeria fortunei, Magnolia officialis, Cinnamomum cassia, Illicium verum, and Toona sinensis; and (b) bamboos: Dendrocalamus minor, Bambusa pervariabilis, and Dendrocalamopsis grandis. Eucalyptus will be planted in a few sites outside the karst areas as part of the BioCarbon pilot because their high initial growth maximizes the benefits for the farmers. 16. GFB has prepared a detailed afforestation model for each species which covers technical silvicultural prescriptions, growth targets, establishment costs, financial and economic rates of return, and environmental benefits. These models draw on the government’s existing guidelines for protection forests, the experience from past implementation experience under the Pearl River Protection Program and previous Bank-financed forestry projects. 17. Three measures are needed to avoid or minimize potential social impacts of hill closure on local communities. First, administrative villages will apply on a voluntary basis. The selection criteria would ensure that project villages are not the better-off villages, that have the capacity to undertake hill closure without outside assistance, or very poor villages. Although dependence on hillsides for subsistence agriculture and fuelwood collection is rapidly decreasing (in particular through the Guangxi biogas extension program), the poorest villages still have high proportions of households which depend on these activities and should not start hill closure until a later stage. Second, resource access restrictions will be decided through a participatory process, designed on the basis of best practice in Guangxi and other provinces, including internationally-funded projects. Third, hill closure would be linked with the government’s biogas program which will provide an alternative in solving the potential problem of lack of fuelwood caused by the restriction of access to forest resources, particularly to areas closed for natural regeneration. It was agreed that the necessary biogas support would be included as part of the project activities with the needed budget arrangements. 18. To better link this component with the Nature Reserves (NR) component and provide a means to enhance both the ecological environment as well as bring benefits to villages adjacent to the reserves, the site selection criteria for the areas around the project NRs would include the following: located within 5 km of a nature reserve; cover an area that is greater than 1 square kilometer; have greater than 30 percent original vegetation cover; form clusters or corridors to enhance the distribution and dispersal of wildlife; and demonstrate willingness on the part of both villages and forestry bureaus to participate. 46 19. BioCarbon Pilot. This component will also pilot the establishment of 4,000 ha of multiple-use protection forests for carbon sequestration and to test the carbon trade process. This BioCarbon pilot, the first in China, would provide more incentives for households to maintain forests on degraded forest areas and thereby sequester greenhouse gases. In order to ensure unified management measures, unified growth of the plantations, maintain the carbon sequestered and reduce risk from natural disasters for the 30-year program implementation period, the pilot program will be largely implemented through cooperative arrangements between farmers/communities and planting entities (FFs or companies). Although interviews with farmers and communities by the SA team confirmed the desirability of the above arrangement, the pilot would also explore these management arrangements to demonstrate the viability of a community-based forest management approach by providing technical support and finding mechanisms to reduce management and other risks. 20. Of the total target area of 4,000 ha of plantations, 440 ha will be directly managed by individual households and 3,560 ha will be managed through a cooperation arrangements between farmers/communities and farmers/FFs. Participation in the project would be decided through a participatory process carried out at the village level. Under the cooperative farmers/communities and FFs arrangement, the revenue from selling the carbon credit, which would start to accrue from the second year after plantation to year 10, would be split; sixty percent would go to the farmers and forty percent to the FFs. For individual farmers, the income from the sale of the forest products and the revenue from the sale of the carbon credit would belong in its entirety to the local farmers/communities. The revenue from the sale of bio-carbon credit would initially go from the BioCarbon Fund to the GFB which will pass it on to the farmers/ communities and FFs. Component 3: Improving Nature Reserves Management (Total Project Cost US$ 7.02 million) 21. The component would have four sub-components: (a) nature reserve planning and management; (b) conservation management at sites outside the existing NR system; (c) community relationships with project nature reserves; and (d) monitoring and replication. 22. The nature reserve planning and management sub-component would finance the preparation of ecological baseline maps, and the nature reserve management plan development and implementation. More specifically, it will finance: (a) small amount of civil works; (b) needed equipment, particularly field equipment; (c) surveys and map development; and (d) consultant services. (a) Baseline ecosystems map production. Financing would be provided to support the preparation of four baseline ecosystems maps for: (a) the Nonggang, Ban Li and Ba Pen NRs (three sites); (b) the Damingshan/Longshan (two sites); (c) the Mulun NR; and (d) the Maoershan NR. The maps would include information on the distribution and diversity of ecosystems within the project sites, along with other information such as management zones, the local road network and the location of villages. They will be developed using existing baseline data and information collected during the management plan preparation process. The modality of using satellite imagery to 47 facilitate the preparation of these maps would also be investigated. Preparation of the maps would be contracted out to a qualified mapping institute. (b) Management plan development. Financing would be provided to support the preparation of management plans for: (a) the Nonggang NR; (b) the Damingshan/Longshan NRs (which are contiguous); and (c) the Mulun NR. In addition, the existing management plan for Maoershan NR would be revised to emphasize an ecological approach to planning. Although the Damingshan/Longshan reserves would have a single management plan, each NR would have a separate action plan describing implementation activities. The management planning process would follow the guidelines laid down in the SFA Developing Guide of Nature Reserve Management Plan. These guidelines were developed as part of the GEF-financed Nature Reserves Management Project and are currently being utilized to guide nature reserves management planning in the Sustainable Forestry Development Project (also GEF-funded). Staff from the Ban Li and Ba Pen NRs would attend the project’s planned management plan training activities because together with Nonggang these areas protect the entire global population of the Critically Endangered white-headed black leaf monkey (Trachypithecus poliocephalus leucocephalus). Staff from Ban Li and Ba Pen would also participate in the preparation of a Species Protection Plan for the white-headed black leaf monkey. This Plan would incorporate inputs from those universities and institutes that have existing research programs concerning this primate at these reserves. The project’s proposed nature reserve management planning process would give considerable emphasis to identifying options for engaging local communities in nature reserve management and to improving the flow of sustainable benefits from the reserves to the surrounding communities. Aside from providing important information, the planning process would in itself be a means for sharing information and for establishing a dialogue between the reserve staff and the local communities. Although people living in and around these reserves are dependent on these resources, and are most affected by the presence of the reserves, they seldom are consulted or participate in decisions regarding their management. This has, on occasions, resulted in the alienation of NR neighbors and in limited support for the objectives of the reserves. Similarly, the lack of participation of other agencies and stakeholders in nature reserve planning and management has resulted in increasing outside threats to the reserves and, in some cases, a general lack of support. (c) Management plan implementation. The proposed project nature reserves are poorly equipped to carry out routine patrolling and other field-level management activities. The sub-component would strengthen the effectiveness of field-level protection systems based on the needs identified in the nature reserve management plans. Support would be provided for: (a) guard posts, boundary markers, observation posts, and miscellaneous equipment for field protection staff; (b) field kits for research and protection staff to facilitate the collection and storage of field data, including local/Guangxi field identification guides and a local/Guangxi manual for monitoring biodiversity and 48 resource use for nature reserve management; and (c) improved communications technology and equipment to improve reserve administration. Financing would also be provided to support some small civil works and the acquisition of office equipment and vehicles necessary to improve protection in the NR sites. Civil works would only be supported in cases where there is an unambiguous link to demonstrable biodiversity conservation benefits in line with the different objectives included in the management plans for each of the reserves. An assurance was obtained during negotiations that expenditures for the construction of civil works in each of the project NRs would not be eligible for financing from the Loan or the GEF Grant until such a time when these works are provided for in the reserve management plan and that such a plan has been cleared by the Bank. Lastly, a training program would be designed to improve the capacity of all reserve staff for routine nature reserve management. Management planning and community-based nature conservation would provide intensive learning opportunities for staff in nature reserves and the provincial WNRMS. Existing staff and new recruits would participate in an integrated program of eight in-service training courses designed to cover job responsibilities. The training would be organized locally by Training Coordinators in each of the four nature reserve complexes, and would be delivered by expert trainers, who themselves would be trained with international expert input. A program of general staff training would be implemented involving all reserve staff to provide them with enhanced skills needed to carry out their jobs effectively. The training programs would be tailored to the needs and levels of different job positions, with separate courses targeting decision-makers, middle-level managers, research and monitoring staff, community affairs staff, community-based patrol staff, enforcement staff (forest police) and administrative staff. Training would be based largely on existing curricula, particularly those developed by the GEF-supported NRMP (completed) and SFDP (existing), supplemented with additional materials prepared to cover specific issues relevant to Guangxi, such as local flora and fauna, cave biology and management of karst protected areas. Most courses would be delivered locally in the project NRs to provide opportunities for demonstrations and field practice. In order to support other project components and to provide maximum opportunities for experiential learning, much of the training would be integrated with the other components. The training would address the needs for skills and knowledge needed to accomplish key project tasks and implement innovations, such as biodiversity and social surveys (including the production and use of the local/Guangxi field guides), management planning, community extension training and participatory communitybased monitoring. Certain courses would be opened to selected staff from township forestry stations and village governments. Site visits and discussion forums on specific themes would be organized to share ideas and lessons between nature reserves. In addition to a limited number of regional site visits, exchanges between project reserves would be organized, with the participation of selected local government staff and nonproject nature reserves from Guangxi. 49 Proposed focus topics for exchange of practical experience Host nature reserve Effective management of karst landscape areas for biodiversity Nonggang conservation Management of tourism to minimize negative impacts and maximize Damingshan/Long conservation benefits. Community-based small-scale tourism shan Karst and cave survey and mapping techniques Mulun (a) Planning and implementation of public conservation education and Maoershan development of awareness-building materials. (b) Participation of local communities in patrolling and monitoring Training courses would also be designed to reach key stakeholders outside of the nature reserves. An orientation course on biodiversity conservation would be designed and delivered to staff of the GFB and to key planning units such as the Guangxi Provincial Development and Reform Committee (GPDRC). Training would be delivered by expert trainers recruited from local institutions such as the Guangxi Forestry Academy (Nanning), Guangxi University (Nanning) and Guangxi Normal College (Guilin). For specialized topics, local research institutes such as the Institute of Forest Survey and Design (Nanning) and the Guangxi Institutes of Zoology, of Botany and Social Sciences would be used, as well as Guangxi-based field centers of various researchers, such as the white-headed black leaf monkey field stations established by Beijing University and the Southwest Forestry College. Wherever appropriate, partnerships would be formed with other programs providing relevant technical assistance and training, such as those sponsored by the project’s other components and by the Kadoorie Farm and Botanical Garden’s South China Biodiversity Program. National and international technical assistance would be provided to the training team, with a particular focus on improving training methods for in-service training, and updating specialist knowledge (e.g., on park-community approaches and community-based monitoring of biodiversity and resource use). The principal purpose of this activity set would be to assist with the development of appropriate organizational management structures in support of enhanced nature reserve management. Some of the project NRs (e.g., Longshan) are relatively new. In these cases, they will be actively recruiting new staff to fill their quotas and assigning them to newly-created positions. Other project reserves are already fully staffed but are still constrained by inefficient organizational structure and personnel management. The project would assist the reserves to increase their institutional capacity with technical assistance and training in management methods. The project would also strengthen existing administrative capacity within the WMD of the provincial GFB. The WMD would have staff designated as responsible for: (a) nature reserve planning; (b) community-based nature conservation; and (c) training coordination. WMD staff would receive training and technical assistance, and would then take the lead in identifying local experts and local trainers to support nature reserve management activities. 50 23. The Conservation Management of Sites Outside the Existing Nature Reserves System sub-component aims to enhance the biodiversity outside of the nature reserves and comprises the following activities: (a) Cave biodiversity conservation. Cave fauna are animals that have adapted to life in perpetual darkness and to stable conditions of temperature and humidity in underground voids. Cave fauna is also of special biological interest because of its endemism which is higher than that of any other habitat. Guangxi is known to be one of the most varied karst limestone regions on earth and can therefore be expected to host a rich diversity of subterranean fauna. The results1 of a preliminary survey of the subterranean fauna of four proposed project sites, which was conducted during project preparation, confirmed this expectation. The overall conclusions of the report were: (a) Guangxi’s caves support one of the richest cave fish faunal assemblages in the world; (b) Guangxi’s cave beetles include the most highly evolved species (Giraffaenops clarkei) in the world; and (c) Guangxi’s caves host the richest community of troglobitic (cave-restricted) millipedes on earth (millipedes being one of the most important group of obligate subterranean organisms). The sub-component would support comprehensive biodiversity surveys of karst cave ecosystems in the Mulun NR and one other locality which would be selected on the basis of a thorough field assessment of possible options carried out during the course of project implementation. The biodiversity surveys of the second site would support recommendations on the feasibility of establishing a new NR specifically for the management and protection of a representative example of Guangxi’s rich subterranean fauna. The preliminary assessment and full field surveys would be conducted by professional research organizations (such as the Institute of Zoology and the Institute of Botany in Beijing, or the Institute of Zoology and Institute of Botany in Kunming) assisted by one or more international specialists with extensive knowledge of Asian karst cave ecosystems. The project will support exchange visits for two of the national scientists to visit institutions outside China where karst animal groups are studied. Nature reserve staff would be trained in cave fauna survey and mapping techniques, and appropriate equipment would be provided. Recommendations for the enhanced conservation of project karst cave sites would be developed and (for Mulun) these would be incorporated into the nature reserve’s Management Plan. Once the project’s surveys and training activities are completed, support would be provided for the preparation of guidelines for management of karst and cave biodiversity in Guangxi based on existing materials from World Conservation Union (IUCN) Vietnam. With funding from the project, the GFB will organize a provincial workshop to present and discuss the results with key players involved in karst management in the province to agree on actions to be taken. 1 Deharveng, Louis 2005 Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Biodiversity Conservation Project. Report on subterranean biodiversity of Guangxi. Unpublished. 51 An assurance was obtained during negotiations that guidelines for karst management would be developed and submitted to the Bank for comments by March 30, 2011. (b) Southwest Guangxi Karst Area conservation. The limestone karst of southern China is the most extensive, best developed and most important in the world and China’s karst is most extensive in the provinces of Guizhou and Guangxi. A recent survey in Vietnam of primates found that the only known mainland population of the globally “Critically Endangered” Eastern Black Crested Gibbon (Nomascus nasutus) persists in a small patch of karst forest in Cao Bang Province, Vietnam. This forest patch extends across the border into China, and gibbons were heard by local villagers in China as recently as 2002. Helen’s Slipper orchid (Paphiopedilum helenae) was recently discovered on an isolated karst tower in Vietnam near the Guangxi border. It is nearly extinct in Vietnam as a result of over-collecting. It is not known if the species exists in China. An endemic species of cat snake (Boiga guangxiensis), known only from Nonggang, may occur in other nearby habitats, but no information is available about the biodiversity of these two reserves. Protected areas adjacent to corresponding protected areas in neighboring countries offer the possibility of increased benefits for biodiversity at reduced cost as a larger area of habitat can be protected by sharing the costs. Several NRs exist near the international border in Guangxi Province. In Trung Kanh District of Cao Bang Province Vietnam, one district-level NR has been established and one newly-proposed NR is on the international boundary. However, neither of these reserves appears to be adjacent to existing reserves in China. Nine Watershed Forest Protection Areas are located immediately adjacent to the international border in the south-west of Guangxi. The sub-component would support a rapid biodiversity assessment of the south-west Guangxi karst conservation area, focusing on existing protected areas and remaining blocks of unprotected forest habitat with potential for biodiversity conservation. The results of this assessment would be used to support GFB’s goal of establishing a new national-level NR in the south-western part of Guangxi. A team comprising specialists from provincial research institutes and universities and staff of local County and Prefecture Forestry Bureaus would travel to these sites to assess habitats and compile preliminary lists of plants and terrestrial vertebrates with technical assistance from national experts. Before field-work activities commence, the modalities of using satellite imagery to facilitate these surveys would be investigated. The team would produce recommendations for improvements in the management of existing NRs, and for reconsideration of the status of these reserves. Improved maps of the boundaries of existing NRs would be prepared, and recommendations for adjustment of boundaries and establishment of a new national-level reserve would be made as appropriate. With funding from the project, GFB will organize a provincial workshop to present and discuss the results and to agree on actions that need to be taken. (c) Watershed forest conservation. As a means to integrate biodiversity considerations into the broader forest landscape, the sub-component would support a biodiversity rapid assessment of selected sites in the project’s Increasing Ecological Forest Cover 52 Component. Many of these sites are small and support very little original vegetation, and so their biodiversity potential is expected to be relatively low. However, some sites are relatively large, and having been managed for watershed protection purposes, their original vegetation has been maintained although it is often in a much degraded condition. Sites would be selected on the basis of the following guiding criteria; wherever possible they should: (a) be located within five kilometers of one of the project’s nature reserve sites; (b) cover an area that is greater than one km2; (c) have more than 30 percent of the original vegetation cover; and (d) form clusters or ‘corridors’ to enhance the distribution and dispersal of wildlife. The conservation management priorities identified during the biodiversity rapid assessment would be integrated into the management contract between the village collective/individual households and the county forestry bureau for each site, with the overall goal of developing a more holistic and comprehensive approach to sustainable forest management and biodiversity conservation in areas outside Guangxi’s existing nature reserve system. There should, therefore, be demonstrable willingness on the part of both the villagers and the forestry bureau to participate. For monitoring purposes and to increase local knowledge and interest in conservation, the biodiversity rapid assessments would be repeated annually. Village and county forestry officers would form part of the monitoring team, and the biodiversity conservation priorities identified during the initial assessment of each site would be modified as necessary. 24. The Community Relationships with Project Nature Reserves sub-component aims to create an enabling environment to allow nature reserves and communities to solve key problems together. The goal would be to build the capacity of the project’s nature reserves staff to work as facilitators. Financing would be provided to support: (a) increasing target community and local government stakeholders’ understanding of biodiversity conservation and the threats it faces from their actions by assisting nature reserves to develop and implement a community conservation education strategy; (b) the provision of training and technical assistance to communities to empower villagers to address key problems of concern to both the communities and the nature reserve; and (c) early interventions to decrease the threats from over-use of the nature reserves’ resources, such as for fuelwood, through targeted applications of sustainable, practical, culturally-appropriate, and cost-effective measures to reduce use from the nature reserves. The sub-component would have the following activities: (a) Local community engagement. It is envisaged that the management planning process would identify a number of potential activities for engagement of local communities in nature reserve management that would be further developed and supported. In addition, the project would build the capacity of nature reserves to create a collaborative environment with adjacent communities at all levels. Central to the effort would be training and technical assistance to a Community Relations Section in each nature reserve, which would encourage dialogue on conservation with local communities, organize community and public education, facilitate technical training courses in selected natural resource management-related topics for communities, and 53 facilitate community access to grants and loans from government and other sources for activities of mutual benefit to community members and to the nature reserve. (b) Community conservation education and public awareness. Funds would be provided for developing and implementing conservation education and public awareness programs. The programs would incorporate experience gained from the previous Bank/GEF-financed projects. Nature reserves and provincial WNRMS community affairs staff would be trained, using technical assistance and field-based courses, to prepare and implement community conservation education strategies. Funds would be provided for each nature reserve to implement programs outlined in its strategies within its own communities. The objective is to experiment with innovative approaches for informing and educating different target groups within communities about the functions, ecology, regulations, and problems of nature reserves and relationship and conflicts of people and nature reserves. The goal would be to build on existing experience in China while introducing techniques that inform and educate people consistent with the realities of their lives and local conditions while encouraging participation in better conserving nature reserves. Whenever practical, ethnic minority languages would be used in environmental education, since this is often more culturally appropriate even when no great language gap exists. Courses would emphasize learning relevant to the local environment by building on local knowledge, including the history of the local environment and the unique features of local habitats (such as karst). Courses would extend beyond awareness-building to encourage community involvement in conservation through practical activities such as participatory monitoring within the nature reserve, hill closure in adjacent areas and more environmentally-friendly agriculture with reduced pesticide and fertilizer use. To facilitate this participation, a Coordination Committee would be established and linked to each nature reserve protection station. It would comprise the managers of reserve protection stations, village forest guards recruited from the communities, representatives from township government and leaders from administrative villages. Public education for a broader audience would include dissemination of existing materials and the design of new educational materials by the NRs with support from Technical Assistance (TA) and from the provincial Wildlife and Nature Reserve Management Station. New materials could include a series of local/Guangxi field identification guides, publications on Guangxi’s karst landscape, wildlife postcards, posters, postage stamps, textbooks for students and an internet site for Guangxi NRs, beginning with the project NRs. (c) Community skills enhancement. NR staff would also organize training of both community leaders and rural households, focusing on addressing issues that have an impact on both community livelihoods and nature reserve management. Appropriate topics for training would be identified through multi-stakeholder planning with the communities. These might include: (i) approaches to the prevention of wildlife damage; (ii) fuel conservation and new sources of household fuels; (iii) technical skills 54 from forestry and agriculture for more diversified and sustainable sources of livelihoods; (iv) skills in enterprise development for community-based, environmentally friendly tourism; and (v) skills for improved management of household economic activities. Sources of technical information and trainers would be identified with the help of project TA and appropriate courses would be organized by the nature reserves’ community affairs section. (d) Local project greening. Training courses for improving the capacity of village committees to manage community projects would also be developed and delivered. Assistance would be provided by the community affairs staff to these village committees to access non-project funding programs for community - based conservation, poverty alleviation and small-scale agricultural development. The project would facilitate access for these villages to grants and loans for environmentally friendly afforestation available under Components 1 and 2. Most activities in this set would be based on existing government programs (such as the provincial Biogas Program) but the project would facilitate distribution to allow benefits to reach priority villages, targeting either the entire population or the poorest families in these villages. To achieve selected achievable outputs early and easily, the project would provide subsidies for priority communities adjacent to each reserve for a short list of proven technologies that reduce pressure on the nature reserve and that provide early benefits to the communities. This list would be drawn up by the nature reserve community affairs staff with input from TAs, choosing those that are most appropriate to local needs and conditions, cost-effective, culturally appropriate and practical. Communities and protection stations would select activities for each village from this short list during a meeting organized by the Coordination Committee. Potential activities would include: (i) small grants to match government subsidies to poor households for biogas pools and fuel-efficient stoves; (ii) creation of fuelwood woodlots; (iii) proven, environmentally-sound effective mitigation measures against animal damage (such as crop substitution and physical barriers); (iv) paddocks for cattle and cut-and-carry forage crops; (v) native grass seed for planting beneath trees in collective forest areas; (vi) waste bins for used plastic and pesticide bottles; and (g) wireless phone access for village fire prevention teams. 25. The Monitoring and Replication sub-component aims to establish and institutionalize a scheme at nature reserve level to track progress in reserve management and to guide conservation action. The sub-component comprises the following activities: (a) Nature reserve monitoring scheme. The project would facilitate discussions within GFB and the reserves to agree on objectives, institutional framework and strategy for a nature reserve monitoring scheme. For each reserve, one key indicator has been identified during preparation. However, a matrix of key indicators on biodiversity, resource use, reserve effectiveness and threats would be established as part of the reserve Management Plan. The scheme would be simple and involve local communities in and adjacent to the reserves. To foster local ownership and thus the sustainability of monitoring, key indicator species and habitat types would be identified in a dialogue 55 between the local communities, nature reserve staff and GFB during year one of project implementation. In addition, experience from other projects suggests that monitoring by local rangers and community members generates local awareness of conservation and strengthens existing community-based resource management systems. It can improve collaboration between local stakeholders and government staff and improve communication between local stakeholders and authorities. Whenever possible, already existing guidelines and training materials (e.g. from previous GEF-funded projects in China and participatory schemes in the Philippines and other countries in the region) would be adapted to the Guangxi context. To enhance local ownership, reserve staff will take a leading role in the design of the scheme. One of the indicators will be progress in management effectiveness measured annually by reserve staff and community representatives, through completion of the GEF’s Protected Areas METT. The METT would also examine the inputs provided by local communities to the nature reserve management planning process. An assurance was obtained that the results of the METT would be included in the mid-term review report. Other methods include fixed point habitat photography, patrolling forms completed during routine patrolling with the help of local/Guangxi field guides, camera trap surveys managed by local village teams after appropriate training, and participatory monitoring with focal group discussions in key villages adjacent to each reserve. The methods would be described in a local/Guangxi reserve monitoring manual. A mechanism would be established to ensure integration of monitoring information into management decisions. Findings from the monitoring will be validated with the local communities and compiled in semi-annual summary reports to the reserves’ decisionmakers and the WMD. In WMD, the China Biodiversity Information Monitoring System data management system would be used for collating and summarizing monitoring data from each reserve. (b) Management plan reviews. Every year each nature reserve would organize a meeting to assess the implementation of the management plans. The evaluation of the management plan progress in the last year of the project would serve as a basis for overall evaluation of the sub-component. (c) Replication activities. The project would disseminate and promote replication of its experiences and lessons within Guangxi Province, adjacent provinces and nationally. For example, the improved biodiversity conservation management planning, community engagement and participatory monitoring approaches that will be supported in the target nature reserves will be disseminated as examples of “best practice” and will be replicated in other nature reserves in Guangxi by the provincial forestry administration. This will be done by organizing and holding short training sessions/workshops for staff from other nature reserves in Guangxi during the later years of the project. Replication in neighbouring provinces will be encouraged by inviting nature reserve managers from these provinces to the workshops. Nationally, replication will be encouraged by inviting key staff of the CBPF program to participate in the workshops also, and by sharing the training and workshop materials with the CBPF Steering Committee and Management Office. 56 Component 4. Enhancing Institutional and Management Capacity (Cost US$5.06 million) 26. The GoC and GZAR government are committed to sustainable forest management and the aim of this component is to contribute towards this goal. Financing from the IBRD Loan, GEF grant and counterpart funds would be used to implement an integrated institutional and management capacity building program that would: (a) strengthen the capacity of the provincial forestry bureau to develop and implement a sustainable provincial forest sector development and protection strategy (for production, ecological forests and biodiversity) and support priority policy studies, guidelines, and regulations revision; (b) assist with the implementation of applied research programs to generate operationally usable technologies to improve commercial forestry development, ecological forest protection, and biodiversity conservation; (c) disseminate the research results and (technical) guidelines to GFB staff and beneficiaries, building the capacity of the project implementation agencies, planting entities and households on sustainable forest resource management; and (d) establish a simple project monitoring and evaluation system to monitor project performance, achievement of the project objectives and environmental and socio-economic impacts. 27. Forest Sector Strategy, Priority Policy Studies, Guidelines and Regulations Development. This sub-component would promote the adoption of a sector-wide, integrative and comprehensive approach to sustainable forest resource management by assisting the development and implementation of a GZAR forest sector development strategy as well as priority policy studies and regulation revision. The sector strategy development would: (a) analyze current Guangxi forestry resources management, identifying the obstacles and issues for sustainable forest resource development and protection; (b) explore strategic approaches to forestry sector development in forest resource base establishment and forestry industry development; ecological environment protection and improvement, particular the watershed and karst areas protection; the nature reserve management and biodiversity conservation; and the technical and policy supporting frameworks; (c) prepare the Guangxi forestry sector development strategy and action plan which would be implemented by the Guangxi forestry agencies. The topics of policy study/guidelines and regulations development would be identified and carried out during the course of the forestry sector strategy preparation. The potential studies identified during project preparation include the following: (a) Optimizing the selection of timber species, plantation sites and market outlets by developing an economic model to establish priorities on locations of plantations for various industries. (b) Land tenure and use, which would explore the land ownership and land management right related issues, particularly on land release and cooperatively management arrangements. 57 (c) Regulation on Guangxi wildlife and plant protection and nature reserve management. (d) Guidelines for karst areas management. (e) Non-public forestry development incentive mechanism and policy. (f) Compensation policy for ecological forest management. (g) A detailed GZAR forestry development strategy study plan was reviewed by the appraisal mission and included in the PIP. 28. Research and Extension Programs. This sub-component would strengthen the operational focus of national and provincial research efforts and ensure the timely transmission of research findings to the field. The program would entail activities that have broader impacts at the provincial level (e.g., applied research on intensively managing timber plantation, enhancing ecological forest and karst area protection and biodiversity conservation). The component would support research on: (a) improved seed selection and breeding for the main native species; (b) genetic improvement on advanced generation of the main fast-growing species including disease-resistant clone extension; (c) the restoration of forest and vegetation techniques and ecological system monitoring for the Pearl River Basin; (d) integrated pest management for timber plantation management and ecological forest protection; and (e) methodologies and parameters for biomass and carbon sequestration measurement for the main tree species in Guangxi. Fifteen demonstration items would be established. These would stress the use of superior genetic stock combined with appropriate plantation management methods for both commercial and environment purposes. New disease- and cold-resistant clones would be included. About 13 new technologies would be extended to the project areas. The key extension messages include introducing improved planting materials, particularly clones; nursery management technologies including root cutting, containerized seedlings, tissue culture technologies and mycorrhizal associations, as well as cost-effective silvicultural techniques. About 3500 ha demonstration plantation would be established to demonstrate the improved technologies to the timber plantation and ecological forest management. Lessons learned from previous Bank-financed forestry projects show that field demonstrations are extremely useful for new technologies transfer to the planting entities and farmers. A number of support activities to the extension system would also be established or developed. They are: information networks, producing and printing technical booklets and video, purchasing of office and extension presentation equipment. 29. It would also support with GEF financing a competitive small grant research program to address both long-term or short-term information requirements for more effective nature reserve management in GZAR. The emphasis would be on applied research to solve practical management problems related to three broad themes: (a) nature reserve/people interactions (e.g. impacts of legal or customary human uses such as grazing and non-timber forest product harvesting on reserve resources as well as importance of these uses to local livelihoods and possible realistic solutions); (b) nature reserve management (e.g., zoning and nature reserve boundary definition with reference to the types and extent of various ecosystems and animal ranges and realistic expectations of what is possible to implement in practice; impacts and control of forest fire; tourism); and (c) nature reserve community development (e.g., sustainable income-generating opportunities from NTFPs). 58 30. The project’s nature reserve management plan development process will identify priority research needs for the Nonggang, Damingshan/Longshan, Mulun and Maoershan Nature Reserves. Based on the research needs identified in these management plans, a research proposal for each site would be developed. The cost of the research program at the nature reserve level is included in component 3. 31. The research and extension sub-component would be implemented by the TSP, located in the GFB. The small competitive research grant for biodiversity conservation would be implemented by the BO. 32. Training and Technical Services. This sub-component would support the training and other technical services to disseminate new techniques and project technical and management guidelines to the project implementation agencies and the project beneficiaries, including planting entities and households. The existing forestry extension networks at county and township levels would be used for this purpose. FFs would serve as centers of development in afforestation technology and plantation management and would transfer the improved technology to rural communities via demonstration, training and nursery products (seedlings and areas saplings). This program would support: (a) the provision of training materials for different audiences including provincial and county staff, FFs and other planting entities and farmers; (b) the development and implementation of domestic training programs for the project staff and farmers including the Wildlife Management Division staff and relevant agencies such as Guangxi Provincial Development and Reform Committee; (c) overseas training for project staff to learn the effective implementation of forest resources management and biodiversity conservation; and (d) national and international consultancy services in a variety of technical areas. A detailed training and technical service plan was discussed during project preparation and was further reviewed by the appraisal mission. 33. The proposed training program includes 820 person-days for provincial and county PMO staff; about 6,440 person-days for the county, township forestry station staff, nursery managers and FFs; and about 200,000 person-days for the farmers and community heads, and other county planting entities. This program also includes 2,310 person-days of overseas training and international consultant services. Training would be aimed at the following groups: PPMO and PMO management personnel, technicians in PMOs and forest stations, nursery personnel and farmers. The content of the training would include: (a) project management systems, techniques and requirements; (b) nursery: guidelines, standards and techniques; (c) plantation/ecological: techniques, standards guidelines, environmental protection and integrated pest control; and (d) farmer household support: technology, rural energy, livestock breeding, family finance and crop cultivation. The training plan for nature reserve staff and communities surrounding the project NRs is included in component 3. 34. Monitoring and Evaluation Program. This sub-component would support the implementation of a comprehensive monitoring and evaluation framework designed to monitor project performance, process, objective achievement, market change, and environmental and socio-economic impacts. The monitoring plan would: (a) set up a computerized database to monitor project process for the afforestation entities who take part in the plantation activities showing detailed contractual arrangements, as well as loan disbursement and reimbursement 59 schedules. The comparison of economic viability of smallholder forestry versus large-scale plantations would be an important element in this monitoring system; (b) monitor project implementation progress; (c) monitor quality and performance of the plantation establishment, ecological forest management and nature reserve management; (d) evaluate the achievement of the project objective; (e) measure and assess the environmental and social parameters to ensure that potential negative impacts would be mitigated; and (f) monitor and validate the BioCarbon sequestration and accumulate experience on afforestation and reforestation CDM program. Officials with responsibilities for monitoring will be expected to report both data and its interpretation and to give recommendations for project adjustments and improvements. An independent evaluation in the second year of project implementation would assess the main project risks focusing on the implementation of the EMDP, process framework and project production and contract arrangements. The project M&E plan was further reviewed and agreed by the Bank in the project appraisal stage. Key performance indictors to facilitate monitoring and evaluation during project implementation are described in Annex 1. 60 Annex 4 - Table 1. Table of Counties Participating in the GIFDCP No. County 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 Lingyun Longlin Napo Pingguo Tiandong Tianlin Xilin Tiandeng Zhongshan Wuming Guiping Longshen Yongfu Ziyuan Bama Huanjiang Luocheng Nandan Yizhou Babu Hezhou Zhaoping Wuxuan Xingbin Rong'an Sanjiang Nanning Shanglin Pubei Cangwu Cenxi Chongzuo Rongxian Debao Mashan Hengxian Yongning Fusui Jiangzhou Longzhou Ningming Xingan Table 1. Table of Counties Participating in The GIFDCP TPC (forest farms EFC (watershed, Karst & multipurpose TPC only ) plantations) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes NRMC Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 61 Annex 4 - Table 2: Nature reserve management planning sites proposed for GEF financing in Guangxi Province Characteristics Nonggang NR Damingshan/Longshan Project focus Counties Nonggang NR Longzhou, Ningming Size 101 km2 Population No people live inside the NR GEF Justification The reserve is one of only three that protect the global population of the “Critically Endangered” White-Headed Black Leaf Monkey which numbers approximately 700 animals (i.e. half China’s estimated giant panda population). Nonggang is recognized as a site of global significance in the Biodiversity Review of China. It is also identified as being a ‘Priority Ecosystem’ in China in the Biodiversity Conservation Action Plan. White-Headed Black Leaf Monkey and other globally threatened animals such as the Assamese macaque, Asian golden cat and Asian black bear. Biodiversity Subterranean biodiversity 32 taxa collected in Nonggang caves during project preparation including two milliped species which represent first records in China. Current Status National Nature Reserve Main threats Fuelwood collection, vegetation clearance for agriculture, and fire from adjoining sugarcane plantations and community forests. 62 Damingshan and Longshan NRs Wuming, Shanglin, Mashan, Binyan (Damingshan); Shanglin (Longshan) 170 km2 (Damingshan); 107 km2 (Longshan). Total: 277 km2 The NRs are contiguous 3,067 people live in Longshan. Half of this NR including the entire eastern sector comprises community forests and agricultural land. There are no people residing in Damingshan but there is significant pressure from communities living nearby Protect some of the largest southern subtropical montane evergreen broadleafed forests in China and rare examples of relatively undisturbed lowland streams. Damingshan Reserve is listed as being of national significance in the 1996 Biodiversity Review of China. It is also identified as being a ‘Priority Ecosystem’ in China in the Biodiversity Conservation Action Plan. Fauna includes Francois’ Leaf Monkey and other globally threatened animals including a unique assemblage of at least eight freshwater turtles, six of which are IUCN-listed as either Critically Endangered or Endangered. 25 taxa collected in Longshan caves during project preparation including a Collembola (provisionally assigned to the family Bourletielidae) which if confirmed represents the first ever cave record for this particular family. National (Damingshan) Provincial (Longshan) Fuelwood collection, vegetation clearance for agriculture and hunting. In Longshan’s karst areas agricultural runoff contaminates subterranean water resources, and wetland habitats are damaged by small-scale dam construction for fish ponds. Annex 4 - Table 2: Nature reserve management planning sites proposed for GEF financing in Guangxi Province (con’t) Characteristics Key interventions (proposed) Cultural features Existing or proposed programs Nonggang NR cluster Damingshan/Longshan (1) NR Planning and Management: NR management plan development, preparation of ecological baseline maps, improvement of field level management systems, provision of a small amount of civil works, research. (2) Strengthening of NR/local community relationships: Enhanced access to local government development initiatives, energy conservation, delivery of sustainable technologies, community conservation education and public awareness. (3) Training and Capacity Building: In-service training at all levels, building capacity for training delivery and institutional capacity building. (4) Monitoring and evaluation: Project management training, regular patrolling to collect field data and periodic sampling Zhuang ethnic minority group Mostly Zhuang. Project site in Longshan has Yao ethnic minority group (1) Guangxi University. Vegetation, flora and ornithological research and monitoring project. (2) Southwest Forestry College. Francois Leaf Monkey research project (3) Guangxi Institute of Botany. Flora and Pseudotaxis chienii research projects 63 Annex 4 - Table 2: Nature reserve management planning sites proposed for GEF financing in Guangxi Province (con’t) Characteristics Maoershan NR Mulun NR Counties Project focus Size Population Huanjiang Mulun NR 108 km2 295 people live in two villages in the experimental zone of the NR GEF Justification Protects a rare example of intact southern subtropical limestone evergreen mixed deciduous and broadleaf forest. Contiguous with the Maolan NR in Guizhou Province. Together the Mulun and Maolan Nature Reserve protect the world’s largest and best preserved limestone forest at equivalent latitude. Member of the China MAB Network. 108 species of orchids in 37 genera, representing the world’s richest orchid diversity in a karst area. 88 karst caves have been identified and named. One is believed to have the most diversified community of terrestrial cave animals that has been encountered (in similar cave habitats) anywhere in East and Southeast Asia. Biodiversity Subterranean biodiversity Current Status Main threats Key interventions (proposed) Cultural features Xingan, Ziyuan, Longsheng Maoershan NR 170 km2 There are no people residing in Maoershan but there is significant pressure from nearby communities. Preserves a large area of subtropical evergreen broadleaf and mixed evergreen broadleaf-conifer forest with large patches of old-growth vegetation. Member of the China MAB Network. Listed as being of national significance in the 1996 Biodiversity Review of China The globally Critically Endangered Giant Salamander Andrias davidianus occurs as do the globally Endangered turtle Platysternon megacephalum and the globally Vulnerable Pelodiscus sinensis. Other threatened vertebrates include the globally Vulnerable Asian black bear, clouded leopard and Asian golden cat. Threatened birds include Syrmaticus eliotti, Tragopan caboti and Oriolus mellianus. No karst cave systems. Mulun’s Cave 52 surveyed during project preparation. Preliminary results indicate that this cave is probably the second richest for subterranean biodiversity in China after Hunan’s Feihu Dong. National National Fuelwood collection, non-timber forest Bamboo encroachment, domestic product collection and hunting livestock, and timber harvesting (1) NR Planning and Management: Including NR management plan development, preparation of ecological baseline maps, improvement of field level management systems, provision of a small amount of civil works, research. (2) Strengthening of NR/local community relationships: Enhanced access to local government development initiatives, energy conservation, delivery of sustainable technologies, community conservation education and public awareness. (3) Training and Capacity Building: Including in-service training at all levels, building capacity for training delivery and institutional capacity building. (4) Monitoring and evaluation: Project management training, regular patrolling to collect field data and periodic sampling Maonan and Zhuang ethnic minorities Mostly Han people. Some Yao and Miao ethic minorities Existing or proposed programs (1) Guangxi Institute of Botany and Guangxi University. Kmeria septentrionalis survey and reproduction project. (2) Guangxi University. Blind cave fish survey project 64 (1) South China Agriculture University. Insect resource survey project. (2) South China Institute of Botany. Forest biodiversity monitoring project. (3) Guangxi Forestry Bureau. Threatened plants monitoring project. Annex 4 - Table 3: Data for communities living in or near to project nature reserve sites Nature Reserve Nonggang Damingshan Longshan Mulun Maoershan TOTAL Number of counties (district), village committees (VC), natural villages (NV) & population CounTown VC NV Populaties tion Within NR NV No. of people Main nationalities 2 6 29 66 15,034 0 0 Zhuang 4 8 54 218 310,000 0 0 Zhuang, Han 1 6 16 117 43,233 21 3067 Zhuang, Han, Yao 1 2 6 28 3,231 2 295 3 6 16 52 6,374 0 0 Zhuang, Maonan Han, Zhuang, Yao, Miao, Dong 11 28 121 481 377,872 23 3362 65 Annex 4 - Table 4: Nature Reserves in the Southwest Guangxi Karst Biodiversity Area NR NAME AREA (km2) LOCATION (County) ALTITUDE RANGE RATING* Laohutiao (Nonghua/Nongxin) Gulongshan Xialei Qinglong Chunxiu Encheng Diding Dizhou Defu 270 Napo 800 – 1200m C 297 79 151 79 209 40 121 122 Jingxi, Debao Daxin Longzhoux Longzhou Daxin Jingxi Jingxi Napo 500 – 800m 500 – 700m 300 – 500m 300 – 500m 400 – 600m 700 – 1500m 700 – 1100m 400 – 1500m B(A) B(A) B(A) B(A) B(A) D * As assessed in the 1996 Biodiversity Review of China. ‘A’ = Area of global biodiversity conservation significance ‘B’ = Area of national biodiversity conservation significance ‘C’ = Area of local significance ‘D’ = Not suitable for listing as a nature reserve ‘B(A)’ = Area of national significance which could become of global significance if linked with other NRs nearby 66 Annex 5: Project Costs CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project Project Cost Summary (US$ '000) Cost Including Contingencies A. Expanding Timber Plantations County/City implemented plantations Provincial Forest Farm plantations Expansion and Improvement of Nurseries Subtotal Expanding Timber Plantations B. Increasing Ecological Forest Cover Watershed protection plus Bio-carbon trade Watershed protection planting Closing Slopeland Subtotal Increasing Ecological Forest Cover C. Improving Management of Nature Reserves Provincial NR Management Support Development & implementation of management plans Subtotal Improving Management of Nature Reserves D. Enhancing Institutional and Management Capacity Research and Extension Research Grant Forestry Strategy /a Capacity Building and Training Project monitoring and evaluation Subtotal Enhancing Institutional and Management Capacity Total PROJECT COSTS Financial Charges During Implementation Total Costs to be Financed % of Total IBRD Financing GEF `Financing 100,424 69,555 1,118 171,097 49.1 34.0 0.5 83.6 57,921 40,031 97,952 2,613 10,075 5,985 18,673 1.3 4.9 2.9 9.1 - - 1,669 0.8 - 1,087 5,348 7,017 2.6 3.4 - 3,718 4,805 1,112 316 316 2,972 343 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.5 0.2 49 1,259 240 316 75 54 5,059 201,847 2,750 204,597 2.5 98.7 1.3 100.0 1,548 99,500 500 100,000 445 - 5,250 \a To be implemented by the Guangxi Forestry Research Institute with shared financing from WB loan, GEF, and counterpart funds Note: 1. Identifiable taxes and duties are US$ 4.07 million, and the total project cost, net of taxes, is US$195.8 million. The share of project cost net of taxes is 98 percent. The project cost estimate includes physical contingencies of 20 percent for all civil works and 10% for the plantation works. Price contingencies for foreign origin goods are applied based on projected MUV-5 price escalation factors of 2.4 percent for 2006 and 2 percent for each of the following years. For local inflation, price increases of 1.5 percent per year for all project years are used. Detailed annual project costs and the breakdown of local and foreign project costs are available in the project file (COSTAB). 67 Annex 5 - Table A IBRD Loan Part Total Project Costs by Expenditure Category (in US$ million equivalent) Expenditure Category Total costs 1. Plantations 157.78 2. Works 3.49 3. Goods 3.81 4. Consultant Services 1.70 5. Training and Study Tour 2.42 6. Front End Fee 0.50 7. Non Bank Financing 1/ 27.40 Total 197.10 1/: Increasing Ecological Forest Cover Component, project management overheads cost and commitment fee would be financed by counterpart funds. Table B GEF Grant Part Total Project Costs by Expenditure Category (in US$million equivalent) Expenditure Category Total costs 1. Works 0.83 2. Goods 0.71 3. Consultant Services 3.64 4. Training and Study Tour 1.19 5. Research Grant 0.3 0 6. Community Livelihood Seed Grants 0.30 7. Non Bank Financing 1/ 0.53 Total 7.50 1/: Incremental operating cost would be financed by counterpart funds. 68 Annex 6: Implementation Arrangements CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project Institutional and implementation arrangements Project management arrangements have been designed on the basis of successful implementation structures and models tried and proven effective under earlier Bank-supported forestry projects. In the case of the proposed GIFDCP, a PLG, PCG and PMOs would be established at the provincial level. The PLG would be chaired by the Vice-Governor responsible for forestry and would consist of representatives from the forestry, finance, planning and audit departments. The PCG will be located in the GFB and will be led by the Director General. It would comprise the relevant Division Chiefs including the leader of the WMD, PPMO, and Planning/Finance. The PLG and PCG would set the principles and policies for the project, approve the overall implementation plan, coordinate inter-agency discussions and resolve major issues during the project’s implementation. The PCG would regularly undertake reviews of the inter-component cooperation to foster integration and crossfertilization of activities. 1. 2. The current provincial PMO, which was established to implement the existing Bankfinanced projects, is located in the GFB. It will be responsible for Components 1 & 2, and the BioCarbon pilot program. It will also provide the financial management and procurement support Component 3. A BO has been set up in the WNRMS to be responsible for the MNRC and to ensure that biodiversity concerns are integrated with the activities of the other components. The WNRMS works closely with the WMD which is responsible for biodiversity-related policies and regulations. The GFB will be responsible for ensuring close coordination between WNRMS, WMD and the provincial PMO. The BO would have a broader mandate to manage those activities included in components 3 and 4 than are financed by the GEF grant. 3. PLGs and PMOs would also be established at the county level. In each nature reserve a PMG would be created directly under the nature reserve director. The PMG would be responsible for supervision of all aspects of project activities in that reserve. It would report to the BO of WNRMS. The PMG would include the head of the nature reserve’s Management Planning Team, the head of the nature reserve’s Community Relationships Team, the nature reserve’s Training Coordinator, and the nature reserve’s chief financial officer. Technical advice would be sought from the Forest Survey and Design Institute and the Guangxi Academy of Forestry as required. The Department of Forest Protection in the SFA would serve in an advisory capacity to the GFB during project implementation of the nature reserves component. Management plans for national nature reserves produced by the project would be submitted to the DNR in Beijing for review and comment of technical aspects. 4. A TSP has been established within the GFB consisting of members from relevant research and technical institutes. The TSP would be responsible for identifying and carrying out the research and extension programs, assisting the Provincial PMO and BO in carrying out the project monitoring, training and technical services, as well as coordinating relevant departments and institutions to undertake the forestry strategy, policy study and the regulatory work 69 Timber Production Arrangements. 5. The relationships and production arrangements between households, FFs and communities would be decided through a participatory process carried out at the village level. This would allow farmers and communities to choose from a menu of options and decide on whether they wish to manage their plantations by themselves or in cooperation with FFs or other planting entities. The participatory process and social assessment conducted during project preparation showed that a large majority of households in remote areas and about half of households in other areas have a preference for cooperative arrangements with FFs; about 25 percent of the farmers would prefer to take a loan directly from the project and plant on their own, whereas 75 percent prefer to cooperate with forest farms or other planting entities. 6. The project entities are state-owned FFs, private planting companies, households groups and individual households. A survey of the Participatory Planting Design, in which households or group of households choose the option of obtaining an individual loan from the project and planting on their own, would be carried out one year ahead of planting time. The other option available is when the FFs and companies participate in the project planting activities through a cooperative and contractual arrangement with farmers and communities. Monitoring and evaluation of outcomes/results 7. M&E for the project would be based on a simple, inexpensive and sustainable plan. The provincial and county PMOs, the BO and the nature reserves would monitor the project’s progress and evaluate the overall project impacts. The M&E system would be designed to monitor project performance and impact. A detailed M& E plan has been prepared (Annex 3). It was reviewed at appraisal and agreed to during negotiations. A computerized baseline would be set up to monitor project implementation progress, the performance of all afforestation entities (including progress in plantation establishment), detailed contractual arrangements with households and communities, as well as loan disbursement and reimbursement schedules. The comparison of economic viability of smallholder forestry versus large-scale plantations would be an important element in this monitoring system. The GEF’s Protected Areas METT which was completed during project preparation to establish the baseline status would be used to track improvement in nature reserve management effectiveness at mid-term and before project closure. 8. The project’s progress and outcomes would be measured regularly and the results would be included in the project semi-annual reports. Under Component 4 of the project, provisions have been made to build the capacity of project institutions to complete the required M&E activities. 70 Annex 7: Financial Management and Disbursement Arrangements CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project 1. The Financial Management Specialist (FMS) has conducted an assessment of the adequacy of the project financial management system of the proposed project. The assessment, based on guidelines issued by the Financial Management Sector Board on November 3, 2005, concluded that the project meets minimum Bank financial management requirements, as stipulated in BP/OP 10.02. In the FMS’s opinion, the project will have in place an adequate project financial management system that can provide, with reasonable assurance, accurate and timely information on the status of the project in the reporting format agreed with the project and as required by the Bank. 2. Funding sources for the project include a Bank loan, a GEF grant and counterpart funds. The Bank loan proceeds will flow from the Bank into the project Special Account (SA) to be established at, and managed by, the Guangxi Provincial Finance Bureau (GPFB), to county finance bureaus (FBs) and then to county PMOs. From there the funds would be delivered directly to the final beneficiary. For the component to be executed by FFs, the funds will be delivered from the SA to the provincial PMO and then to the provincial state-owned FFs. The GEF funds will flow from the Bank into a SA separately set up for GEF grant to be established at, and managed by the GPFB, and then directly to the nature reserves. Traditional disbursement techniques will be used, not Financial Management Report (FMR)-based disbursements given the project’s specific conditions. The counterpart funds will be provided by provincial, county government, FFs and other beneficiaries. Audit Arrangement 3. The Bank requires that project financial statements be audited in accordance with standards acceptable to the Bank. In line with other Bank-financed projects in China, the project will be audited in accordance with ISA and the Government Auditing Standards of the People's Republic of China (1997 edition). The Guangxi Provincial China State Audit Bureau has been identified as auditors for the project. The annual audit report would be issued in the name of the Provincial Audit Office. 4. The annual audit reports of provincial project consolidated financial statements would be provided to the Bank within six months of the end of each calendar year. This requirement would be stipulated in the loan agreement. The responsible entity and timing are summarized as below: Component Consolidated project financial statements Submitted by Guangxi Provincial PMO 71 Due date June 30 of each year 5. Output based/Unit Cost Disbursement. To facilitate the full participation of local labor and promote cost effectiveness and the timely delivery of inputs in the project areas, an output based disbursement procedure would be used. Disbursement would be made on the basis of a combination of agreed unit cost disbursement models (Appendix 1 below) and certification statements by the PPMOs verifying that the plantations have been completed in accordance with agreed quality standards. Originally, 14 unit cost plantation models were formulated on the basis of unit cost estimates, including costs of seedlings, fertilizer, labor and other inputs reflecting the prevailing market situation. These unit cost plantation models were prepared, reviewed and agreed by the Bank missions. At appraisal, the 14 unit cost plantation models were consolidated into six unit cost disbursement models to improve transparency and simplify disbursement. The unit cost disbursement models have been derived by combining and averaging unit cost plantation models for similar tree species. 6. Tranching of Disbursement for Plantation Establishment. In order to ease the burden of project farmers and keep them from having to advance the full funding required for the establishment of forest plantations, it was agreed that unit cost disbursement would be undertaken over a three-year period and in five installments. During the first year of plantation, payment would be made in three installments, the first paid to farmers after they complete the site preparation, the second after completion of plantation, and the third payment after the side dressing of fertilizer and tending are completed. During the second year, one single payment would be made after farmers complete the application of fertilizer side dressing and tending of the plantation. During the third and last year, the remaining single payment would be made after farmers complete the application of fertilizer side dressing and tending of the plantation. 7. Certification of Output-based Disbursement for Plantation Establishment. Requests by the PPMO for output-based disbursements prepared on the basis of agreed unit cost disbursement models must be certified by the relevant PMOs before their submission to the Bank. The certification process would be undertaken as follows. After completing eligible plantation work, project beneficiary households, farmer groups, village committees or FFs would report to their respective County PMO on the amount of work completed and claim reimbursement. The County PMOs would designate forestry inspectors who would visit the plantation sites to measure/verify the species planted, the area claimed as planted, and the conformity of the plantation with agreed quality standards. Once the inspectors are satisfied that the work claims are genuine and to standard, they would certify the reimbursement claims. The County PMOs would summarize the reimbursement claims in Statements of Expenditures (SOEs) and forward the certified SOE to the PPMO. The PPMO would review the SOEs and certifications of the County PMOs and undertake field random checks on a sample of the claims. Once satisfied that the claims are accurate, the PPMO would consolidate the SOEs, prepare a Withdrawal Application on the basis of the agreed unit cost disbursement models and certify the Application before submitting it to the Bank. 72 Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project (GIFDCP) Annex 7 - Appendix 1. Unit Cost Disbursement Models Unit cost disbursement models Corresponding plantation model Ⅰ Y-1、Y-5 Consolidated disbursement unit cost Tree species year Total 1 year 2 60% disbursement rate from WB loan year year 3 Total 1 year year 2 3 Pinus massoniana Liquidambar formosana Hance 4788 3002 1451 334 2873 1801 871 201 5559 4385 1055 120 3336 2631 633 72 Ⅱ Y-2、Y-3、Y-4 Cunninghamia Lanceolata (Chinese fir) Quercus griffinith, Q.acutissima Betula alnoides Hamilt Ⅲ Y-6、Y-8、Y-10 Y-11 Eucalyptus+Acacia(1) (alternating rows) Eucalyptus(1) (1250 stems short rotation) Eucalyptus(3) (1250 stems medium rotation) Acacia 6358 4250 1054 1054 3815 2550 632 633 Ⅳ Y-9 Eucalyptus(2) (1666 stems) 7256 4912 1223 1120 4353 2947 734 672 5911 3749 1104 1058 3546 2250 662 635 5533 3129 2404 3320 1877 1442 Ⅴ Y-12、Y-13、Y-14 Ⅵ Y-15 Phyllostachys pubescens Bambusa pervariabilis× Dendrocalamcpsis grandis Sinocalamus latiflorus Munro or Dendrocalamcpsis beecheyanus Improvement of low yield Phyllostachys Pubescens 73 8. Disbursement rates. During project appraisal, it was confirmed that the same disbursement rates would be used for civil works, goods and services under the Bank loan and the GEF Grant. The agreed disbursement rates are: 60 percent for plantation establishment, 50 percent for civil works expenditures, 100 percent of expenditures for goods (including equipment and vehicles) and 70 percent for services (consultant services, training and study tours). Details are in the following disbursement table. 9. Retroactive Financing. Retroactive financing of Loan Categories 1 and 2 and GEF Grant Categories 1, 2 and 3 would cover eligible expenditures incurred after July 1, 2006 (appraisal was undertaken during the period from June 7 to 11, 2006). The maximum amount financed would be equivalent to 10 percent of the total loan and grant amounts. The PMO has agreed to prepare a work and financing plans for retroactive financing to be submitted to the Bank at negotiations. ALLOCATION OF LOAN PROCEEDS 10. Proceeds of the Loan would be disbursed against expenditure categories as shown in the table below: Allocation of IBRD Loan Proceeds by Disbursement Category Amount in US$ million 1.37 Disbursement Percentage 50 2. Plantations 94.87 60 3. Goods 2.33 100 4. Consultant Services Training/Study Tours 1.43 70 5. Front End Fee2 0.00 0.00 Expenditure Category 1. Works TOTAL 100.00 The amounts disbursed are inclusive of taxes for all categories. 2 The Front-End Fee has been waived in its entirety for all projects approved by the Board in FY07 74 Allocation of GEF Grant Proceeds by Disbursement Category Amount in US$ million 0.42 Disbursement Percentage 50 2. Goods and Equipment 0.62 85 3. Consultant Services Training/Study Tours 3.61 70 4. Research Grants 0.30 100 5. Community Livelihood Seed Grants 0.30 100 Expenditure Category 1. Works TOTAL 5.25 The amounts of disbursed inclusive of taxes for all categories. Use of Statements of Expenditures (SOEs) 11. Some of the proceeds of the loan may be disbursed on the basis of SOEs as indicated in the table below. Expenditure Category 1. Works 2. Plantations 3. Goods 4. Consultants 5. Training and Study Tours 6. Grant for Research 7. Grant for Livelihood Community Activities Contracts All All ≤ US$500,000 ≤ US$100,000 for firms and ≤ US$50,000 for individuals All All All Designated Account (DA) 12. Two Designated Accounts (DAs) will be established in the Provincial Finance Bureau (one for the Loan and one for the GEF Grant). The authorized allocation of DAs was discussed and determined during negotiations. 13. The GPFB will be directly responsible for the management, monitoring, maintenance and reconciliation of the DAs’ activities of the project. Supporting documents required for Bank disbursements will be prepared and submitted by respective project implementing entities through county PMOs and Finance Bureaus, and by the provincial PMO to the provincial Finance Bureaus for final verification and consolidation before sending to the Bank. For the component executed by the FFs, the supporting documents 75 will be submitted to the provincial PMO directly and then to the provincial Finance Bureau. For Component 3, the supporting documents will be submitted by the nature reserves to the BO, and by the provincial PMOs to provincial Finance Bureaus for final verification and consolidation before sending to the Bank. The flow of the withdrawal applications is as follows: IBRD loan Implementing entities County PMOs and Finance Bureaus Provincial PMO Provincial Finance Bureau World Bank GEF grant The nature reserves Provincial PMO Provincial Finance Bureau World Bank Financial Management and Reporting Arrangements 14. Implementing Entity. A PLG, PCG and PMO would be established at the provincial level. The PLG would be chaired by the Vice-Governor responsible for forestry and would consist of representatives from the forestry, finance, planning and audit departments. The PCG would be located in the GFB and will be led by the Director General. The current provincial PMO, established to implement the existing Bank-financed projects, is located in the provincial Forestry Bureau. It would be responsible for managing Components 1, 2 and 4. It would also provide the financial management and procurement support to Component 3. A BO has been set up in the WNRMS to be responsible for managing component MNRC and to ensure that biodiversity concerns are integrated with the activities of other components. PMOs would also be established at the county level and the state-owned FFs. For Component 3, a PMG would be established in each of the five nature reserves and the PMG would be responsible for supervision of all aspects of project activities in that nature reserve. The organization chart is as follows: 76 PLG PCG Provincial PMO County PMOs BO PMGs PMOs in forest farms 15. Funds Flow. The flow of IBRD funds would follow the traditional route from the Bank to the DA set up in the GPFB to county FBs and then to county PMOs. From there, the funds will be routed directly to the final beneficiaries. For the component executed by FFs, the funds will be delivered from the DA to the provincial PMO and then to the FFs. The flow of GEF funds would be from the Bank to the DA set up in the GPFB and then to the nature reserves directly. The funds flow of counterpart funds will follow the domestic procedures, depending on the source of funding. The funds flow is as follows: IBRD loan The World Bank DA managed by provincial FB County FBs Provincial PMO GEF grant The World Bank DA managed by provincial FB The nature reserves 77 County PMOs Provincial StateOwned Forest Farms Implementing entities 16. Project accounting staff with appropriate qualifications and work experience are critical to the successful implementation of project financial management. Based on discussions, observation and review of educational background and work experience of the staff identified for financial and accounting positions in the provincial and county PMOs, the task team noted that most of financial staff recruited should be able to meet the Bank’s minimum requirements. However, given that about half of the financial staff are new to the Bank project and that the knowledge of financial staff needs to be updated, financial management training has been provided by the provincial PMO prior to project negotiations. 17. To strengthen the financial management capacity and to achieve consistent quality of accounting work, a Project Financial Management Manual has been prepared, providing detailed guidelines on financial management, internal controls, accounting procedures, fund and asset management, and withdrawal application procedures. The Bank has reviewed the Manual and found it acceptable; it will be finalized and distributed to all the project financial staff before loan and grant effectiveness.. 18. Accounting Procedures. The administration, accounting and reporting of the project will be set up in accordance with the Circular #13: “Accounting Regulations for World Bank Financed Projects” issued in January 2000 by the MOF. The circular provides in-depth instructions of accounting treatment of project activities and covers the following: Chart of account Detailed accounting instructions for each project account Standard set of project financial statements Instructions on the preparation of project financial statements 19. The standard set of project financial statements mentioned above has been agreed to between the Bank and MOF. It applies to all Bank projects appraised after July 1, 1998 and includes the following: Balance sheet Statement of sources and uses of funds by project components Statement of implementation of Loan Agreement Statement of implementation of GEF Grant Agreement Statement of special account (loan) Statement of special account (GEF grant) Notes to financial statements 20. Each of the implementing entities would manage, monitor and maintain its respective project accounting records. Original supporting documents for project activities would be retained by originating implementing entities. In addition, each implementing entity would prepare financial statements to be reviewed, approved and consolidated by the provincial PMO before sending to the Bank for review and comment on a regular basis. 78 21. Internal Audit. There is no formal independent Internal Audit department for the project. However, this will not impact the project’s financial management as PMO management and monitoring, Bank supervision visits, and yearly external audits will serve as the mechanism to ensure that financial management controls are functioning appropriately. 22. Information System. There is no uniform accounting software being used by the implementing entities, although some implementing entities are using accounting software for their current activities. It is uncertain at this stage if they can integrate the project activities into their current system and it is highly possible that the project implementing entities will manually account for their transactions. 23. Supervision Plan. A detailed supervision plan for this project will be included as part of the China Audit Strategy document. This document will take into consideration the size and FM risk rating of this project. 79 Annex 8: Procurement Arrangements CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project A. General. Procurement for the proposed project would be carried out in accordance with the World Bank "Guidelines: Procurement under IBRD Loans and IDA Credits" dated May 2004, the "Guidelines: Selection and Employment of Consultants by World Bank Borrowers" dated May 2004, and the provisions stipulated in the Legal Agreement. The description of the various items under different expenditure categories is presented below. For each contract to be financed by the IBRD Loan/GEF Grant, the procurement methods or consultant selection methods, the need for pre-qualification, estimated costs, prior review requirements, and time frame would be agreed between the Borrower and the Bank project team in the Procurement Plan. The first procurement plan covers the initial 18-month period and will be updated at least annually or as required to reflect the actual project implementation needs and improvements in institutional capacity. Plantations and Procurement of Works Community Participation in Procurement: Neither ICB nor NCB contracts are foreseen because of nature of the project. Plantation establishment with a total cost of US$157.78 million including land clearance and preparation, seedlings, purchase of fertilizer, planting of seedling and tending, and forest trails would be implemented through community participation by communities and beneficiary FFs by utilization of local labor, materials, equipment and technology. Under community participation, communities/FFs would mobilize their own village labor or hire labor to implement the plantations in accordance with the annual plantation plan and technical standards agreed with the county PMO. Payment would be made against completed and verified actual plantations based on the agreed unit cost per species per hectare for each county. Implementation and quality of plantations would be periodically supervised by established technical teams led by the provincial and county PMOs. Shopping: Small works with a total cost of US$4.32 million (such as storage sheds, check/guard posts, fencing and boundary markers) would be procured and awarded through shopping procedures as specified in paragraph 3.5 of the Procurement Guidelines. These works estimated to cost less than US$100,000 equivalent per contract would be suitable for lump sum and fixed-price contracts awarded on the basis of quotations obtained from at least three local contractors. Procurement of Goods A total of US$4.52 million worth of goods would be procured for the project. These would include: vehicle, motorcycles, office equipment and field kits. The procurement would be 80 done using the Bank’s Standard Bidding Document (SBD) for all ICB and Model Bidding Documents for NCB agreed by the GoC and the Bank. (i) International Competitive Bidding (ICB) All contracts for goods costing US$500,000 equivalent or more would be awarded through ICB procedures as specified in the Procurement Guidelines. (ii) National Competitive Bidding (NCB) NCB procedures would be used for procurement of goods costing less than US$500,000 equivalent per contract. Contracts that are estimated to cost less than US$300,000 may be advertised in a provincial daily newspaper only. (iii) Shopping. Other goods, such as field kits in smaller quantities and available off-the-shelf, would be procured using shopping procedures with contracts under US$100,000 equivalent per contract Selection of Consultants A total of about US$5.34 million of consulting services would be required and would include nature reserve management planning, biodiversity survey and protection planning, institutional and capacity building, and project monitoring and evaluation. Most services would be provided by individual consultants and some by consulting firms. The consulting contracts for firms which are expected to cost more than US$200,000 equivalent per contract would use the Quality and Cost Based Selection (QCBS) or Quality Based Selection (QBS) in conformity with paragraphs 2.1 through 3.4 of the Consultants Guidelines. Most consulting contracts for firms are estimated to be under US$200,000 equivalent per contract under this project. The Selection Based on Consultants Qualifications (CQ) would be used for these contracts. Chinese university, design and research institutes as a source of consultants may be included in the shortlist if they meet the requirements specified in paragraph 1.11 of the Consultants Guidelines. In such case, QBS or CQ would be used instead of QCBS. Short lists of consultants for services estimated to cost less than US$300,000 equivalent per contract may be composed entirely of national consultants in accordance with the provisions of paragraph 2.7 of the Guidelines. Under the circumstances described in paragraph 3.10 of the Consultants Guidelines, the consultants would be selected and awarded under a sole-source basis, subject to the Bank’s prior approval. Individual consultants would be selected and contracts awarded in accordance with the provisions of paragraphs 5.2 through 5.3 of the Consultants Guidelines. Under the circumstances described in paragraph 5.4 of the Guidelines, individual consultants may be selected and awarded on a sole-source basis subject to the Bank’s prior approval. Training, Workshops and Study Tours A total of US$3.61 million for training and study tours would be required. Detailed annual programs will be developed by the PMO during project implementation and included in project annual work plan for the Bank's review. Actual expenditures incurred in accordance with the approved detailed programs will be used as the basis for reimbursement. 81 Non-Bank Financing A total of about US$27.93 million of other costs would be required for the project. These costs are largely related to: (a) Component 2; (b) the management overhead costs of the PMOs including plantation site selection, field survey and design, quality checking and acceptance, and project implementation supervision; and (c) incremental costs including operating costs and consumables for field surveys, office consumables, field allowance covering travel costs, and communications for the project BO for GEF Grant management. Competitive Research Grant under GEF Component A total of about US$300,000 would be provided as grants to research institutes to carry out small-scale research programs for nature reserves management and biodiversity conservation. Proposals for grants would be evaluated on predetermined criteria by a Research Grant Evaluation Panel established in GFB in accordance with the procedures set out in the PIP. Livelihood Community (Seed) Grant under GEF Component A total of about US$300,000 would be provided as grants to communities adjacent to the nature reserves for agreed activities such as fuel-efficient stoves and bio-gas outlined in the PIP. The selection of beneficiaries would be carried out in accordance with the detailed procedures set out in the PIP. B. Assessment of the Agency’s Capacity to Implement Procurement Procurement activities would be carried out by PMOs established at provincial and county level. The Provincial PMO was established in 1989 with 15 technical, procurement and financial officers and has adequate experience in the earlier Bank-financed projects. The county PMOs have also been established with staff of about 3-10 technical officers. An assessment of the capacity of the Implementing Agency to implement procurement actions for the project was carried out by the Bank’s Beijing Office in October 2005. The assessment reviewed its organizational structure and functions, past experience, staff skills, quality and adequacy of supporting and control systems, and the legal and regulatory framework. The overall project risk for procurement is low. C. Procurement Plan The Borrower has developed a procurement plan for project implementation which provides the basis for the procurement methods. The plan would be available at the Guangxi PMO in the GFB and will also be available in the project’s database and in the 82 Bank’s external website. The initial 18 months plan was agreed prior to loan negotiations. The Procurement Plan will be updated in agreement with the Project Team annually or as required to reflect the actual project implementation needs and improvements in institutional capacity. D. World Bank Prior Review All contracts: (a) in excess of US$500,000 for goods; (b) for consultant services in excess of US$100,000 for firms and in excess of US$50,000 for individuals; and (c) all contracts awarded under single source selection would be subject to prior review by the Bank. All other contracts would be subject to ex post review by supervision missions, and the post review sampling ratio would be one out of twenty contracts. E. Frequency of Procurement Supervision In addition to the prior review supervision to be carried out from the Bank offices, the capacity assessment of the Implementing Agency has recommended that procurement ex post reviews should be conducted once a year. Annex 8 - Table 1 Thresholds for Procurement Methods and Prior Review Expenditure Category 1. Works 2. Goods 3. Consultant Services 4. training and Study Tours Contract value Threshold Method (US$ thousands) NA >500,000 >100,000 for firms >50,000 for individuals All single source consultants NA 83 Procurement NS ICB NA Annex 8 - Table C-1 Allocation of IBRD Loan Proceeds by Disbursement Category See Annex 7 above Annex 8 - Table C-2 Allocation of GEF Grant Proceeds by Disbursement Category See Annex 7 above 84 Annex 9: Economic and Financial Analysis CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project 1. A financial and economic analysis has been carried out for the Component 1 (timber plantation) and Component 2 (watershed protection) and for the project as a whole. The method is described below with some of the key figures summarized in Tables 9.1 to 9.5. Assumptions: 2. Input/Output Prices. The economic analysis is based on the use of market prices for all tradable products. For most commodities, economic prices are well reflected by the prevailing financial prices. The economy of China is relatively open and integrated in the world markets, and market prices are a good indication of opportunity costs. However, future market prices for timber and industrial wood process are difficult to predict. While most projections indicate relatively strong prices with an upward trend, a certain level of market risk remains. Following the principle of a conservative estimate the lowest price prediction scenario is used in the economic analysis, which suggests a 12 percent reduction in market prices which also takes into account that the quality produced could be lower than expected. The key prices used in the analysis for industrial wood and timber and seedlings are shown in Table 9.1. 3. Labor. A large proportion of project investment is in the form of unskilled labor. A cost of RMB 25 per labor day has been used in the financial analysis. Given the relative level of unemployment in particular in rural areas, the opportunity cost for unskilled labor is expected to be only 80 percent of the prevailing financial costs. 4. Land. It is assumed that most of the plantations will be developed on existing marginal crop lands with low agricultural productivity or on underutilized shrub- and bush-land. The economic opportunity costs are low and in some cases close to zero. In the economic analysis the average market value of RMB 300 per ha per year is used as a proxy for the economic opportunity cost. 5. Global Benefits. In addition to on-site benefits, a range of benefits of a global dimension are likely to be significant: Reduction of Greenhouse Gases and Carbon Sequestration. Vegetation and soils are widely recognized as carbon storage sinks. Sequestration of carbon in terrestrial ecosystems offers a low-cost means of reducing carbon emissions. The ‘Kyoto Protocol’ makes provisions for direct human-induced land-use change and vegetationrecovering activities to be considered in relation to each country’s Greenhouse Gases reduction target. The incremental biomass per hectare, which will be generated over the next 20 years, is estimated to be between 100 and 450 tons of dry matter. This is expected to lead to an incremental carbon sequestration equivalent to 180 to 800 ton CO2-e. It is difficult to estimate the economic damage of global warming. Provisional estimates of global warming damage under a scenario of doubling CO2 concentration 85 show estimated damage ranging from 0.25 to 2 per cent of the world's GNP for the year 2030. Using 1 percent of GNP and discounting this damage back to present values results in global warming damage of US$7 to 18 per ton of fixed carbon. For the analysis, a low value of US$4 per ton is used as a shadow price for fixed carbon. This price is close to the currently discussed value for emission trading rights and is also used in the BioCarbon fund analysis. Biodiversity. Not only Component 3, which is directly aimed to protect biodiversity, but also the Component 2 would contribute to protect, restore or increase biodiversity in an area considered of global significance for biodiversity. In particular, the protection of watershed areas or natural re-vegetation is expected to contribute to a restoration of biodiversity and of the habitat for plants and wildlife. While biodiversity has a clear economic value expressed by the importance the national and international society places on it, accepted and agreed quantification methods are not available. Generally cost-effectiveness methods are used to justify investments in biodiversity. Long-term Impact on Climate and Rainfall. A restored vegetative cover in barren limestone areas could have a positive impact on the climate in the region, particularly a more moderate temperature distribution, increased air humidity and more evenly distributed rainfall. While such an impact is likely to be positive, this effect would be very difficult to quantify. 6. Downstream Benefits. In addition to incremental production benefits in the project areas, the project would have benefits in the downstream areas of the Pearl River watershed resulting from the re-establishment of a higher degree of tree and other vegetative cover. These downstream benefits would be far reaching including: (a) lower variability in water flows through the year and hence reduced severity of down-stream floods, reducing flood damage, and lowering the need for investment in flood protection works; (b) reduced sediment load in the river system, which would increase the operational life and efficiency of downstream reservoirs and irrigations systems. Lower sediment would also reduce the rate of rise in river beds in the delta areas and hence the need for flood protection measures; and (c) a potentially higher future-use value for the watershed in terms of drinking water, hydro-power and new irrigation schemes. While it is difficult to quantify these benefits, the economic analysis uses the value of the standing timber as a lower reference value of the true economic value. This is a conservative estimate, based on the assumption that, if the society decides against harvesting a forest, the forest’s other function (e.g., watershed protection or biodiversity value) is considered of higher value than the value of the harvested timber. 7. Plantation Pattern. The project would develop 200,000 ha of plantation forests, of which 90,220 ha would be either of eucalyptus or of a mixture of eucalyptus and other trees; 98,140 ha would include slow-growing trees, and 11,640 ha would be of various species of bamboo. Under Component2, 18,000 ha of the protection forests would be planted, of which 4,000 ha are expected to be used under the BioCarbon trading facility. The assumptions about the development of the various plantations are shown in Table 9.2. 8. Phasing. The cash flow analysis is generally done for one production cycle (except for the Y-10 eucalyptus model, which includes one coppice production) for each of the 86 plantation activities and a maximum length of 20 years for the individual activities. For aggregated cash flow analysis, 25 years are used considering that the project will be implemented over 5 years. 9. Physical Output. Plantation models are used to estimate physical production under Components 1 and 2. The project is expected to produce a total of 25.1 million m³ of timber, 2.9 million tons of fuel wood and 3.6 million tons of bamboo poles, as well as a range of non-wood forest products such as resin, bamboo sprouts, and various types of bark or fruits. The incremental sequestration of carbon is estimated at 61.1 million tons CO2 equivalent. Details are shown in Table 9.3. 10. Results: Economic Rate of Return (ERR): The results of a preliminary rate of return calculation are shown below. A summary of the overall economic cash is shown in Table 9.4. Summary of ERR Calculation Component/Activity without global benefits Timber Plantation Eucalyptus plantations Slow growing timber Bamboo plantations Watershed Protection BioCarbon plantations Watershed plantations (excl. BioCarbon) Project with carbon sequestration benefits ERR % 16.7 20.9 14.7 16.0 10.7 11.1 10.6 FRR % 12.2 14.2 11.3 11.3 8.6 7.7 8.8 ERR % 23.8 32.6 184 28.7 16.1 20.6 15.1 16.2 11.9 23.8 FARMOD software is used for data processing and IRR calculations. 11. Sensitivity analysis: Output prices for forestry products are likely to be at least stable. More likely there will be an upward trend. Therefore the risk that the conservative prices used in the economic analysis could not be achieved is considered small. A greater uncertainty, however, is associated with some of the input prices;, in particular, fertilizer costs have shown significant increases in the past and it uncertain how much they will continue to rise. A sensitivity analysis is thus carried out focusing on the impact of unexpected increases in fertilizer costs. Two scenarios are modeled: (a) and increase of 20 percent, and (b) and increase of 50 percent over the baseline assumptions. The results are shown in the table below. 87 Sensitivity of ERR for Fertilizer Price Increases Component/Activity Timber Plantation Eucalyptus plantations Slow growing timber Bamboo plantations Watershed Protection BioCarbon plantations Watershed plantations (excl. BioCarbon) Project ERR without global benefits % Baseline 16.7 20.9 14.7 16.0 10.7 11.1 10.6 20% up 15.9 19.4 14.4 12.6 9.8 10.8 9.6 16.2 15.4 ERR with global benefits % 50% up baseline 20% up 50% up 14.8 23.8 22.6 21.1 17.7 32.6 30.7 28.1 13.9 18.4 18.0 17.4 7.7 28.7 24.9 19.8 8.6 16.1 15.1 13.6 10.5 20.6 20.2 19.5 8.3 15.1 13.9 12.2 14.3 23.8 22.0 20.5 12. The analysis shows that increases in fertilizer costs have a relatively small impact on the ERR of the project; even a 50 percent increase brings the ERR down from 23.8 percent to 20.5 percent. All groups of activities would remain economically viable with an ERR over 12 percent. The impact is most significant in bamboo plantations which require large amounts of fertilizer all thorough the production period. Here, with a fertilizer price increase of 50 percent, the economic viability without the global benefits would reach a critical stage. Financial Analysis 13. A financial analysis has been carried out for the project as a whole resulting in a Financial Rate of Return (FFR) of 11.9 percent, which is relatively attractive and can compete with alternative investment options. Financial cash flows have also been calculated for all individual plantation activities. They are shown in Table 9.5. The financial cash flow analysis for individual plantation activities indicates a significant difference between eucalyptus plantations and slow-growing timber plantations. From a financial cash flow point of view, most eucalyptus plantation models would be preferable over slow-growing timber species. This analysis suggests that private investors and (in particular, smaller investors), who cannot invest in a mix of plantations will choose faster-growing species which have an earlier return from which a loan can be repaid. Larger investors and state farms can, however, also make use of land not suitable for fast-growing species and can (with a mix of plantations) generate sufficient income for loan repayment. Overall all timber plantations are financially attractive. This is not necessarily the case for all of the watershed plantations, for which ecological benefits have a higher importance. 88 China Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project Table 9.1: Financial Prices Unit Outputs Forest Logs (timber plantation) Pine logs 4-6cm Pine logs 8-12cm Pine logs 14-18cm Pine logs >20cm Fir logs 4-6cm Fir logs 8-12cm Fir logs 14-18cm Fir logs >20cm Betula logs 4-6cm Betula logs 8-12cm Betula logs 14-18cm Betula logs >20cm Liquidambar logs 4-6cm Liquidambar logs 8-12cm Liquidambar logs 14-18cm Liquidambar logs >20cm Eucalyptus logs 4-6cm Eucalyptus logs 8-12cm Eucalyptus logs 14-18cm Eucalyptus logs >20cm Acacia logs 4-6cm Acacia logs 8-12cm Acacia logs 14-18cm Acacia logs >20cm Quercus mixed logs Schima superba mixed Liquidambar mixed Eucalyptus mixed Cryptomeria mixed Bamboo poles Bamboo poles hybrid Fuel wood Pine Fuel wood Fir Fuel wood Quercus fuel wood Betula fuel wood Liquidambar fuel wood Eucalyptus fuel wood Acacia fuel wood Standing volume Pine timber Fir timber Zenia insignis Cryptomeria Schima superba Other forest products Bamboo sprouts Pine gum resin Star Anis dry Cinnamon bark Cinnamon leaves Magnolia officinalis bark Other benefits Carbon sequestration (tCO2-e) Yuan m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ ton ton 264 384 480 660 360 462 600 780 264 420 540 720 240 336 408 480 286 352 418 495 242 308 440 495 286 384 270 385 300 250 230 ton ton m³ m³ ton ton ton 160 160 175 175 175 180 180 m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ 414 498 492 498 456 ton ton ton ton ton ton 1,500 3,500 10,000 6,000 300 4,500 ton 32 Unit Inputs Seed and seedlings Pine Seedling Fir Seedling Quercus Seedling Betula Seedling Liquidambar Seedling Eucalyptus Seedling Acacia Seedling Bamboo Seedling Bamboo Hybrid Seedling Sinocalamus Seedling Phyllostachys(2) Seedling Zenia insignis seedlings Dendrocalamus seedlings Cryptomeria seedling Schima seedlings Illicium verum seedling Cinnamon seedlings Magnolia officinalis seedling Harvesting and Handling Timber logging Timber loading/unloading Timber freight Fuel wood collection Fuel wood loading/unloading Fuel wood freight Bamboo pole logging Bamboo hybrid pole logging Sprout collection Gum tapping Gum freight Star Anis harvesting Cinnamnon harvesting Magnolia officinalis harvesting Mixed logs harvesting Harvesting design fee Road maintenance Labor Unskilled Labor 89 Yuan No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. 0.15 0.15 0.23 0.3 0.40 0.28 0.26 1.20 2.00 1.50 3.00 0.20 2.50 0.22 0.20 0.50 0.25 0.28 m³ m³ m³ ton m³ m³ ton ton ton ton ton ton ton ton m³ m³ m³ 45-50 15 28-32 20-30 15 22-27 75 70 500 1,500 100 4,000 2,100 1,800 95 4 15 day 25 China Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project Project Summary Table 9.2: Plantation Pattern 1 Timber plantation Eucalyptus Y-8 Eucalyptus (1250stems/ha) Y-9 Eucalyptus (1666stems/ha) Y-10 Eucalyptus 2-cycles (1250stems/ha) Y-6 Eucalyptus+Acacia Sub-total eucalyptus Other timber Y-1 Pinus Massoniana Y-2 Chinese Fir Y-3 Quercus griffinith Y-4 Betula alnoides Hamilt Y-5 Liquidambar formosana Hance Y-11 Acacia Sub-total other timber Bamboo type Y-12 Phyllostachys pubescens new Y-15 Phyllostachys pubescens improv. Y-13 Hybrid Bamboo Y-14 Sinocalamus latiflorus Sub-total bamboo type Sub-total Timber plantation Watershed protection BioCarbon F-1 Pinus+Quercus (BC) F-2 Pinus+Schima (BC) F-3 Liquidambar+Pinus F-4 Liquidambar+Fir F-5 Eucalyptus Sub-total BioCarbon Other Watershed protection F-1-1 Pinus+Quercus (WS) F-1-2 Pinus+Schima (WS) F-6 Zenia+Dendrocalamus F-7 Cryptomeria F-8 Zenia+Liquidambar F-9 Illicium verum F-10 Cinnamomum cassia F-11 Magnolia officinalis F-12 Hybrid Bamboo F-13 Dendrocalamus minor Sub-total other watershed protection Sub-total Watershed protection Total Project Hectares over years (cummulative) 2 3 4 5 12,866 5,929 1,024 1,409 21,228 25,732 11,859 2,047 2,819 42,457 41,814 19,271 3,326 4,581 68,992 48,247 22,235 3,838 5,285 79,605 54,680 25,200 4,350 5,990 90,220 14,198 1,939 1,899 3,826 353 878 23,093 28,395 3,878 3,798 7,652 706 1,755 46,184 46,142 6,301 6,171 12,434 1,147 2,852 75,047 53,241 7,271 7,121 14,347 1,324 3,291 86,595 60,340 8,240 8,070 16,260 1,500 3,730 98,140 765 1,294 445 235 2,739 47,060 1,529 2,588 889 471 5,477 94,118 2,485 4,206 1,445 765 8,901 152,940 2,868 4,853 1,668 882 10,271 176,471 3,250 5,500 1,890 1,000 11,640 200,000 360 240 420 180 400 1,600 900 600 1,050 450 1,000 4,000 900 600 1,050 450 1,000 4,000 900 600 1,050 450 1,000 4,000 900 600 1,050 450 1,000 4,000 522 207 824 71 273 419 209 47 162 560 3,294 4,894 51,954 1,045 414 1,647 141 546 838 419 94 325 1,120 6,589 10,589 104,707 1,698 673 2,676 229 887 1,361 681 153 528 1,820 10,706 14,706 167,646 1,959 776 3,088 265 1,024 1,571 785 176 609 2,100 12,353 16,353 192,824 2,220 880 3,500 300 1,160 1,780 890 200 690 2,380 14,000 18,000 218,000 90 China Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project Table 9.3: Overall Estimated Output by the Project (In '000 Units) Unit Total 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Main Production Pine logs 4-6cm Pine logs 8-12cm Pine logs 14-18cm Pine logs >20cm Fir logs 4-6cm Fir logs 8-12cm Fir logs 14-18cm Fir logs >20cm Betula logs 4-6cm Betula logs 8-12cm Betula logs 14-18cm Betula logs >20cm Liquidambar logs 4-6cm Liquidambar logs 8-12cm Liquidambar logs 14-18cm Liquidambar logs >20cm Eucalyptus logs 4-6cm Eucalyptus logs 8-12cm Eucalyptus logs 14-18cm Eucalyptus logs >20cm Acacia logs 4-6cm Acacia logs 8-12cm Acacia logs 14-18cm Acacia logs >20cm Quercus mixed logs Other mixed logs Total timber m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ 724.1 2,214.5 4,260.0 2,365.3 133.5 348.6 576.8 459.8 230.9 705.7 1,121.9 813.0 19.8 74.3 57.8 13.2 1,305.0 4,592.1 2,918.8 667.2 68.7 242.3 163.4 32.6 916.3 51.5 - - - - - 12.8 32.0 19.2 7.1 - 297.4 1,048.0 628.7 121.7 5.6 20.1 12.1 2.4 179.4 - 19.9 13.0 294.3 1,040.3 624.1 121.8 16.2 57.0 38.5 7.7 176.1 - 19.9 13.0 358.1 1,275.9 765.5 152.2 17.6 62.0 41.5 8.3 215.7 - 62.5 41.2 9.7 6.6 24.9 16.3 4.7 17.5 13.6 3.1 146.0 517.2 310.3 60.9 16.0 56.1 39.0 7.8 87.6 0.3 62.5 41.2 9.7 6.6 9.9 6.5 4.7 17.5 13.6 3.1 141.4 505.8 303.4 60.9 8.1 28.5 19.2 3.8 85.4 0.3 78.1 51.5 12.1 8.2 9.9 6.5 5.8 21.8 17.0 3.9 14.7 46.0 71.2 39.9 5.3 18.4 13.2 2.6 23.9 0.4 31.2 20.6 4.9 3.3 2.3 8.8 6.8 1.6 16.7 52.4 81.2 45.4 29.3 0.1 31.2 20.6 10.3 13.2 2.3 8.7 6.8 1.5 13.2 41.3 64.0 35.8 16.3 0.1 5.4 9.9 5.3 16.5 25.6 14.3 6.5 - 6.8 12.4 34.4 153.0 264.0 191.3 5.3 16.5 25.6 14.3 6.5 - 2.7 4.9 34.4 153.0 264.0 191.3 20.1 107.9 479.9 1,002.4 556.6 2.7 4.9 43.0 191.3 330.0 239.1 23.9 30.2 25,076.9 - - - - - 71.1 2,315.6 2,408.9 2,929.5 1,441.0 1,332.1 450.3 304.6 265.4 83.6 730.2 670.5 3,011.8 91 Bamboo poles Bamboo poles hybrid ton ton Total bamboo Pine Fuel wood Fir Fuel wood Quercus fuel wood Betula fuel wood Liquidambar fuel wood Eucalyptus fuel wood Acacia fuel wood ton ton m³ m³ ton ton ton Total fuel wood Pine timber Fir timber Zenia insignis Cryptomeria Schima superba m³ m³ m³ m³ m³ Total standing timber Bamboo sprouts Pine gum resin Star Anis dry Cinnamon bark Cinnamon leaves Magnolia officinalis bark By Products Carbon sequestration (tCO2e) 1,835.5 1,743.9 - - 7.6 0.4 17.6 9.2 33.5 23.8 45.5 46.7 62.4 68.8 77.0 88.6 94.1 101.0 106.0 107.5 114.9 110.7 118.5 111.2 120.1 111.6 120.1 111.6 120.1 111.6 120.1 111.6 120.1 111.6 120.1 111.6 3,579.4 - - 7.9 26.8 57.3 92.2 131.1 165.6 195.1 213.5 225.5 229.8 231.6 231.6 231.6 231.6 231.6 231.6 905.1 98.9 201.8 243.9 22.5 1,367.1 80.7 - - - - - 9.3 - 47.5 305.2 8.5 47.5 302.9 19.0 59.3 371.6 21.1 23.8 5.3 150.6 17.4 23.7 5.3 147.3 9.5 6.6 21.4 5.3 2.7 24.3 - 2.6 19.2 - 7.7 - 57.4 7.7 - 57.4 - 213.0 71.7 - 2,920.0 - - - - - 9.3 361.1 369.4 452.0 197.1 185.8 33.2 27.0 21.8 7.7 65.1 57.4 284.7 300.1 25.6 606.0 38.4 44.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1,014.1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ton ton ton ton ton ton 416.2 718.5 15.8 8.0 21.4 2.0 - - 1.9 - 4.4 - 8.7 0.0 - 12.3 0.1 - 16.3 0.2 - 18.9 0.3 - 21.8 0.5 - 23.8 0.7 0.6 1.7 0.2 25.4 0.9 0.6 1.7 0.2 26.1 1.1 0.8 2.1 0.3 26.6 1.2 0.3 0.8 0.1 26.6 1.2 0.3 0.8 0.1 26.6 1.2 - 26.6 55.9 1.2 0.6 1.7 - 26.6 112.3 1.2 0.6 1.7 - 26.6 180.9 1.2 0.8 2.1 - ton 61,155 58 875 1,779 2,939 3,717 4,555 4,939 4,797 4,500 3,981 3,662 3,315 3,005 2,811 2,625 2,552 2,329 2,165 92 China Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project Project Summary Table 9.4: Overall Economic Cash Flow (Aggregated) (In Yuan Million) 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Main Production Forest Logs Fuel wood Standing volume - - 1.74 - 5.73 - 12.18 - 41.45 1.67 - 768.97 64.76 - 804.72 66.26 - 978.26 81.07 - 500.2 2 35.32 - 469.4 3 33.30 - 191.4 1 5.95 - 149.7 7 4.85 - 137.3 6 3.92 - 78.49 1.38 - Other forest products - - 2.86 6.56 13.40 19.30 26.26 31.65 - - 4.60 12.30 25.58 62.41 859.99 902.62 37.57 1,096.9 0 48.39 583.9 3 52.72 555.4 5 57.04 254.4 0 54.35 208.9 7 55.02 196.3 0 1.85 28.01 56.94 94.03 118.96 1.85 28.01 61.54 106.33 144.54 145.7 6 208.1 7 158.05 1,018.0 4 153.49 1,056.1 1 144.00 1,240.9 0 127.3 9 711.3 2 117.1 8 672.6 3 106.0 7 360.4 6 96.18 305.1 5 26.83 43.27 26.76 96.86 27.23 75.01 32.21 134.44 32.55 104.08 41.69 178.32 13.02 79.63 23.24 115.89 13.02 60.28 20.30 93.61 24.94 4.39 29.33 9.27 1.96 11.24 - - - - - 93.07 189.93 112.85 247.29 137.29 315.60 73.37 189.26 60.47 154.08 11.49 40.81 3.61 14.85 2.44 2.44 3.41 3.41 2.66 2.66 1.74 1.74 1.01 14.21 2.03 29.13 1.01 3.26 47.19 3.80 3.75 53.46 7.55 4.24 60.98 11.97 4.24 62.02 16.23 4.24 84.22 19.95 3.90 78.92 22.48 3.56 77.40 15.22 31.16 1.55 53.01 4.18 65.18 8.80 81.57 22.22 100.4 292.14 396.83 307.10 409.87 372.70 476.13 23.54 3.13 53.91 202.4 6 283.0 23.72 2.95 49.47 192.1 7 268.3 Sub-total Main Production By Products Other benefits Gross Value Of Production Production Cost Investment Purchased Inputs Seed and seedlings Chemical fertilizers Other inputs Sub-Total Purchased Inputs Labor Unskilled Labor Sub-total Investment Costs Operating Purchased Inputs Chemical fertilizers Pesticides Other inputs Harvesting and Handling Sub-Total Purchased Inputs 93 52.34 132.2 1 391.1 4 11.43 270.4 4 673.0 1 368.4 1,388.8 1,145. 7 1 80 1,553.7 10.04 46.63 39.09 51.34 - 123.65 486.0 644.1 8 749.97 6 546.93 864.5 2,185.4 1,829. 8 0 05 2,275.7 89.96 286.2 5 84.01 216.2 2 81.65 754.6 6 74.54 69.29 59.87 58.20 939.1 2,254.7 1,888. 2 0 92 2,333.9 - - - - - - 0.77 0.77 1.52 1.52 2.44 2.44 3.41 3.41 2.66 2.66 1.74 1.74 0.77 0.77 23.33 2.77 37.41 23.08 2.74 35.32 22.77 2.71 34.62 22.82 2.69 32.56 74.78 135.9 68.11 128.2 45.78 103.8 22.98 2.62 50.08 322.3 7 398.0 22.90 2.56 85.28 91.79 155.3 22.94 2.68 46.60 226.2 3 298.4 730.05 840.78 - - 1.52 1.31 1.52 1.31 22.80 2.06 69.82 618.0 4 712.7 22.73 1.61 74.84 673.86 773.04 5 5 0 0 2 2 5 5 19.37 4.33 23.70 306.7 5 309.4 2 309.4 2 401.9 1 18.51 3.96 22.47 290.7 7 292.5 1 292.5 1 380.1 2 17.59 3.60 21.19 176.4 9 177.2 6 177.2 6 183.2 1 17.44 3.53 20.97 156.8 9 158.4 0 158.4 0 146.7 4 16.93 3.48 20.41 148.6 3 151.0 7 151.0 7 135.1 8 16.32 3.44 19.75 123.6 1 127.0 1 127.0 1 16.59 3.42 20.01 318.4 7 321.1 3 321.1 3 433.5 3 4 1 Labor Unskilled Labor Skilled labor Sub-Total Hired Labor 4.70 4.70 9.47 9.47 15.32 15.32 18.61 1.56 20.17 21.95 3.14 25.09 Sub-total Operating Costs 19.92 40.64 68.32 85.35 106.66 209.85 287.93 383.92 274.62 260.74 209.85 287.93 383.92 274.62 Sub-Total Production Cost OUTFLOWS Cash Flow IRR = 23.1%, NPV = 1,011.65 25.54 5.78 31.32 24.66 5.88 30.53 22.51 5.19 27.70 428.15 440.41 503.83 443.00 442.85 507.24 260.74 23.77 5.03 28.80 129.2 5 170.0 6 170.0 6 443.00 442.85 507.24 -208.00 -259.92 -322.39 -168.29 -116.19 38.11 575.04 613.26 733.66 94 89.20 16.56 16.37 14.13 11.93 3.29 3.17 2.61 2.12 19.84 19.55 16.73 14.06 417.8 729.4 8 860.33 5 787.10 419.6 730.9 2 861.10 6 788.41 419.6 730.9 2 861.10 6 788.41 519.5 1,393.5 1,157. 1 9 96 1,545.5 China Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project Project Summary Table 9.5: Summary of IRRs FIRR Timber plantation Eucalyptus Y-8 Eucalyptus (1250stems/ha) Y-9 Eucalyptus (1666stems/ha) Y-10 Eucalyptus 2-cycles (1250stems/ha) Y-6 Eucalyptus+Acacia Average eucalyptus Other timber Y-1 Pinus Massoniana Y-2 Chinese Fir Y-3 Quercus griffinith Y-4 Betula alnoides Hamilt Y-5 Liquidambar formosana Hance Y-11 Acacia Average other timber Bamboo type Y-12 Phyllostachys pubescens new Y-15 Phyllostachys pubescens improv. Y-13 Hybrid Bamboo Y-14 Sinocalamus latiflorus Average bamboo type Watershed protection BioCarbon F-1 Pinus+Quercus (BC) F-2 Pinus+Schima (BC) F-3 Liquidambar+Pinus F-4 Liquidambar+Fir F-5 Eucalyptus Average BioCarbon Other Watershed protection F-1-1 Pinus+Quercus (WS) F-1-2 Pinus+Schima (WS) F-6 Zenia+Dendrocalamus F-7 Cryptomeria F-8 Zenia+Liquidambar F-9 Illicium verum F-10 Cinnamomum cassia F-11 Magnolia officinalis F-12 Hybrid Bamboo F-13 Dendrocalamus minor Average other watershed protection ERR excl.CO2 benefit ERR incl.CO2 benefit 20.6% 18.3% 18.9% 17.2% 18.8% 22.0% 19.5% 19.9% 18.6% 20.0% 33.7% 30.1% 30.8% 36.4% 32.8% 13.5% 11.1% 13.1% 13.1% 12.3% 13.1% 12.7% 15.0% 12.8% 14.4% 15.0% 15.8% 13.9% 14.5% 17.5% 15.1% 27.5% 19.2% 22.9% 27.3% 21.6% 15.5% 16.7% 21.7% 14.0% 17.0% 15.7% 15.9% 17.0% 15.4% 16.0% 24.8% 31.8% 28.8% 29.8% 28.8% 6.1% 7.1% 5.9% 5.9% 10.9% 7.2% 7.7% 9.2% 8.2% 8.2% 18.9% 10.4% 17.3% 15.3% 14.0% 13.9% 34.2% 18.9% 8.9% 10.2% 10.9% 8.0% 10.2% 10.6% 9.8% 8.2% 11.6% 9.8% 9.8% 10.7% 12.2% 10.9% 8.5% 11.0% 12.0% 10.8% 10.0% 8.7% 7.2% 10.2% 18.1% 18.0% 14.6% 15.5% 15.2% 14.3% 12.8% 13.6% 15.9% 14.7% 15.3% 95 Annex 10: Safeguard Policy Issues CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project A. Summary of Environmental Issues 1. Background. The GIFDCP seeks to improve the livelihoods of villagers involved in forestry activities and forest product enterprises through integrated, demand-driven, and sustainable management of forest resources, biodiversity conservation and timber production systems. This will be effected through: the establishment of intensively managed timber plantations and the development of mechanisms that would better link timber production, marketing and processing; the demonstration of improved watershed management for environmental protection, including a carbon sequestration and trade pilot program; better management of nature reserves for the conservation of globally important ecosystems and biodiversity; and capacity building and monitoring, training and evaluation program. 2. The components are integrated and build upon each other to support the Guangxi government’s desire for sustainable forest development and to generate maximum benefits to local beneficiaries, the national economy and the environment. The proposed project period is six years; the plantation activities will be completed in the first four years, tendering will continue in the final two years, and the biodiversity conservation component will be executed over five years. 3. Project Location. The GZAR is located in south China, in the headwaters of the Pearl River is located south-east of Yunnan and the Guizhou Plateau with mountainous and hilly topography in the north-west, much of it limestone karst, and flatter, low-lying land in the south-east. The GZAR has about 50 million people of whom some 80 per cent are involved in agricultural activities and 38 per cent are ethnic minorities. The project activities are widely scattered across GZAR; the project plans to involve 46 counties/municipalities in timber plantation establishment, 25 counties/municipalities in the watershed management component, and five nature reserves in the biodiversity conservation component. 4. Natural Conditions. The project areas are located in the northern sub-tropical zone with a monsoon humid climate with mean annual rainfall between 1,250-1,750 mm. The mean annual temperature ranges between 17-22oC. GZAR is a biologically-diverse area much of which falls within the Indo-Burma Biodiversity Hotspot. The limestone karst areas cover about 38 per cent of GZAR, mainly in the north-west part and have many range-restricted and threatened species associated with them. 5. Forest Cover and Nature Reserves. Forest cover in the project counties averages about 55 per cent, but differs from county to county. The GZAR has 96 nature reserves of different categories and five of the most outstanding of these have been selected for project support under the biodiversity conservation component. 96 6. Public Participation. In order to seek local support, increase transparency and accountability to the public, reach consensus with various stakeholders, and enhance ownership of the environmental management elements of the proposed project, participation of beneficiaries and other stakeholders was of crucial importance in the environmental assessment process. Methods used included posting of public letters in project areas, publishing notices in local newspapers, placing notices in government offices and libraries, organizing meetings and interviews with villagers, holding five general symposia and two expert symposia (to which NGOs were invited), preparing public participation questionnaires and consulting with individuals, and receiving many telephone calls. A total of 1800 questionnaires was sent to a wide range of people. Almost all respondents believed the project was necessary, although there were concerns over soil quality, erosion, pests and diseases, biodiversity, and short-term waste management issues. Constructive suggestions made included developing mixed forests, ensuring that state and provincial laws were followed, promoting environmentally-friendly fertilizers, providing training opportunities, taking care when using exotic species, subsidizing those forestry activities with biological benefits, and clarifying use rights. 7. Environmental Assessment Report. The EA for the GIFDCP was prepared to meet the requirements of the Bank, the GoC and the government of GZAR. The GIFCP was assigned an EA category ‘B’ in the Bank's classification system. To review the project's likely positive and negative environmental impacts, and the EMMP (covering mitigation measures, monitoring, and institutional strengthening) built on the work of similar previous projects in China. The EA was conducted by specialists from the GEPRI, as well as staff of the Forestry College of Guangxi University in Nanning, with additional help from an international consultant. The EA has learned from previous Bank-supported forestry projects in China, especially those that have been implemented in GZAR (the National Afforestation Project, the Forest Resource Development and Protection Project, and the Forestry Development in Poor Areas Project), through on-the-ground assessments and a review of the available monitoring data. 8. Overall, the project is expected to generate significant environmental benefits because it focuses on high-priority natural resource management issues. The Plantation Establishment component should also have positive environment impacts through the reduction of pressure on natural forests, a decreased demand for imports of forest resources from outside China, and contributions to local community income. The major potential impacts of the plantations component on the environment include: degradation of vegetation and potential soil erosion as a result of temporary land occupation at the construction sites, as well as site preparation for the plantations; short-term impacts on native fauna; and pollution/waste management issues at the planting sites. If the mitigation measures proposed in the EMMP are implemented, the negative impacts during implementation/construction phases will be minimal. 9. Potential negative environmental issues arising from plantation development include those associated with establishing large-scale plantations with few species (some of which 97 are not native to China), selecting the sites for those plantations, and the management of pests and diseases. The project design has been sensitive to these issues by setting clear guidelines for an objectively verifiable process of site selection, supporting mainly small blocks of plantations, increasing the number and variety of tree and bamboo species/clones, and avoiding any tree species with a history of invasive behavior. Detailed annexes on Plantation Management and Pest Management (based on the Bank’s previous Sustainable Forestry Development Project) were prepared as part of the EA. Nonetheless, these will require careful planning and execution because of the wide coverage and small unit size of the component. 10. The components on ecological forests and nature reserves are expected to have positive environmental impacts, both directly (by protecting some of the most important remaining natural forests and associated biodiversity in Guangxi), and indirectly (through protecting key forested watersheds). Any negative environmental issues arising from these components are expected to be insignificant and easily mitigated. 11. Environmental Impact Mitigation Measures Mitigation measures have been proposed to reduce the expected negative environmental impacts of the project. Since the project sites are scattered throughout the GZAR, effective implementation of the proposed mitigation measures, if not well organized, could be a major challenge for the project. To cope with this challenge, the EMMP (including institutional strengthening, reporting, and environmental training requirements) has been developed and the budget for it is an integral part of the project. The EMMP envisages the PPMO taking environmental management and monitoring as part of its core responsibilities through all stages of the project. 12. In order to ensure the successful implementation of the proposed EMMP and in line with relevant national environmental regulations, each County-level PMO will appoint one to three officers (depending on the number and area of plantation blocks) who will have full responsibility for the successful implementation of the EMMP. The County-level PMOs will also designate one of their staff to be trained by the project to take the responsibility of ensuring the adoption of all EMMP activities by the project at the county/farm level. These staff will be responsible for the preparation of the environment protection materials and documents related to project implementation for the review of State Environment Protection Agency (SEPA), the Bank and respective (EPBs). Ultimate responsibility for ensuring that all activities identified in the EMMP are implemented rests with the PPMO which will ensure the smooth flow of required environmental reports/data from the counties to the regional office. B. Summary of Social Issues 13. Involuntary Resettlement. Neither project agencies nor other governmental units are expected to identify or undertake activities requiring taking of land under this project. Accordingly, no involuntary population relocation or land acquisition is envisaged. However, some loss of land or assets by individuals in a community may occur due to small-scale infrastructure construction (e.g., village roads, storage sheds.) which will be 98 identified through a community-based planning process during project implementation. Resettlement-related impacts hence cannot be ruled out of the project completely. A Policy Framework for Resettlement and Land Acquisition has therefore been prepared by the SA team in accordance with the Bank safeguard policy OP4.12, Involuntary Resettlement, to establish agreed principles and procedures to be followed in the event that such development activities requiring land taking are determined during project implementation. 14. Moreover, in compliance with the policy adequately to address possible adverse impacts on people’s livelihoods arising from new restrictions on access to resources in the nature reserves or hill closure areas under the project, a Process Framework for Mitigating Potential Adverse Impact has been developed by the SA team. The Process Framework will ensure that project implementation includes a participatory process for local people to avoid significant restriction impacts under the nature reserve management and watershed rehabilitation components, select and agree on measures to mitigate those impacts which cannot be avoided, and resolve any conflicts which may occur. 15. As agreed, the Borrower will attest that no activities requiring involuntary taking of land or unnecessary restriction of access to natural resources will be undertaken in this project without prior acceptance by the Bank of appropriate planning remedies. The GEF Commission, as the source of grant support, will also attest that it will not provide support for any activities requiring involuntary taking of land, or activities imposed by government agencies on villages receiving grant support. 16. Indigenous Peoples. Guangxi is a Zhuang Minority Nationality autonomous province-level region. It has ethnic minority people from 54 groups totaling 18 million people that account for 38 percent of Guangxi population. The Zhuang is more than 15 million people, about 86 percent of ethnic minority people and 33 percent of the total. The other ethnic minorities account for about 5 percent. In the 42 project counties, nine of these ethnic minorities are present; they are: the Zhuang, Maio, Yao, Dong, Maonan, Yi, Shui, Mulao, and Gelao, with a population of 593,000 beneficiaries that account for 34.9 percent of the total project population. These ethnic minorities ether reside in their own groups or are intermixed with others (including the Han), and their proportion in local population differs between the project counties. All nine ethnic minority groups in the project areas can be defined as indigenous people and their presence invokes the Bank’s social safeguard policy OP4.10, Indigenous People. 17. The project SA was carried out in early project preparation and an EMDP was developed based on the SA findings. Some 28 villages in nine project counties and 18 hamlets in the (then) seven natural reserves (only five nature reserves have been retained under the project) and adjacent areas, as well as two group companies and three FFs were surveyed and interviewed by the SA team. Most of the villages/hamlets were inhabited by multi-ethnic minority groups, including all the nine ethnic minorities covered by the project. In order to extend project information disclosure and public consultation, a training workshop on participatory approach and (PRA) was held during the SA exercise, and about 130 representatives from all the originally proposed seven project Nature Reserves, 33 99 project counties, eleven state FFs and four group companies, as well as staff of the PMO and the Regional Forestry Design Institute attended the workshop. 18. Trainees carried out four sample village consultations in each of the 42 proposed counties, and 10-15 household questionnaire interviews in each village. At the end of the SA fieldwork, a stakeholder workshop was held in consultation with all related government and technical line agencies in the region. After the workshop, more than 25,000 project information leaflets were distributed and the sample application forms were sent to the proposed project communities. During the comprehensive consultation processes, various views, needs, aspirations and attitudes toward the project components of the multiple stakeholders, especially those of the primary stakeholder farmers and ethnic groups, were identified and analyzed to help steer project design. 19. As the SA indicates, while this project aims to improve the management, sustainability and environmental condition of Guangxi’s forest resources, it also intends to enhance project economic benefits to local people and to give them the incentive to participate in the sustainable management of natural resources. Most of the project areas are in remote mountains and about half of the areas are located in the nationally/regionally designated poverty counties that are home to the poorest and most disadvantaged people in Guangxi Region, including many of ethnic minority groups. Therefore, most of the ethnic minority groups in the project areas remain vulnerable in terms of poverty incidence and difficult natural environments, and all of them have expressed willingness to participate in the project. The EMDP, as one of the result of the SA exercise, therefore sets out the practical steps that will be taken to ensure that ethnic minority groups have equitable opportunities to take part in and fully benefit from the project, and that the risks of potential negative impacts identified are avoided or minimized. 20. Because of the remaining gap between the ethnic minority groups and mainstream society, special profiles were prepared for all ethnic minority groups identified in these areas in order to tailor project design to local ethnic cultures. The profiles describe: (a) the basic demographic data and locations of the ethic minority groups; (b) their livelihoods and opportunities; and (c) their cultural traditions and ways of lives. Although there are few limiting factors that would restrict access of the ethnic minority groups to the project, in each project component a number of risks of potential negative impact have been identified. Some of them are specific to ethnic minority people, while others are not specific although being related to them. Overall, these risk factors especially relate to land tenure and contractual arrangements in the commercial plantations, and to restrictions in resource access in the nature reserves and hill closure. A large proportion of ethnic minority people live in areas that are too remote from the main roads to establish viable plantations; and in most cases ethnic minority people lack capital and face more difficulties in access to new technology and information. 21. In view of their various vulnerable situations, the EMDP commits that all project activities offer development opportunities to ethnic minority people in the project areas while mitigating any potential risks. It includes three types of measures for this purpose: (a) 100 one inclusion measure applies to all counties to ensure that isolated ethnic minority communities are given equal access to apply to the project; (b) general measures apply to all project villages whether they include ethnic minority people or not, and their purpose is to ensure that opportunities for positive impact for local people including ethnic minorities are taken advantage of, such as participatory detailed design and capacity building; and (c) a number of specific measures in favor of the ethnic minority people’s involvement ensures attention to (and monitoring of) ethnic minority issues, including culturally compatible planning, training and supporting activities to local ethnic minority needs. 22. In the detailed project component design stage for the first year project activities, the Borrower followed up the SA exercise and fulfilled the EMDP commitments to conduct the participatory design procedures in all the villages in 20 percent of the project areas, on the basis of free, prior and informed consultation with local ethnic minority people about the project nature and impacts. A Participatory Project Design Manual was developed and farmers’ participation procedures were determined, including village meetings and focus groups on project component design, technical training and contractual discussion, and village/household application and decision-making. In particular, each design of the project components was ensured with cultural and location-specific appropriateness, and all the procedures were recorded. It is evident that the EMDP helped not only the project design with special attention to local ethnic minority groups but also its implementation with their informed participation and broad support. 101 Annex 11: Project Preparation and Supervision CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project PCN review Initial PID to PIC Initial ISDS to PIC Appraisal Negotiations Board/RVP approval Planned date of effectiveness Planned date of mid-term review Planned closing date Planned 8/27/2004 9/9/2004 9/9/2004 06/04/2006 08/15/2006 12/14/2006 03/15/2007 06/30/2010 12/31/2012 Actual 8/25/2004 9/15/2004 9/15/2004 06/07/2006 10/10/2006 Key institutions responsible for preparation of the project: GZAR Provincial Forestry Bureau Bank staff and consultants who worked on the project included: Name Title Liu Jin Mohamed Noureddine Benali Susan Shen Tom Brummer Tony Whitten Zong-Cheng Lin Josef Ernstberger Carlos Escudero Melinda Good Dong Yi Shi Jinan Xiaolan Wang Hongwei Zhao Minhnguyet Le Khorami Task Team Leader Lead Operations Officer/Co-TTL Lead Ecologist Senior Silviculture/Nursery Specialist Senior Biodiversity Specialist (Safeguards) Social development Specialist (Safeguards) Senior Economist Lead Counsel Senior Counsel Financial Management Specialist Senior Procurement Specialist Operations Officer Team Assistant Program Assistant World Bank funds expended to date on project preparation: 1. Bank resources: US$ 408,893 2. Trust funds: US$ 83,000 3. Total: US$ 491,893 Estimated Approval and Supervision costs: 1. Remaining costs to approval: US$138,605 2. Estimated annual supervision cost: US$130,000 102 Unit EASRD EASRD EASRD Consultant EASES EACCF Consultant EACCF LEGEA EACCF EACCF EASRD EACCF EASRD Annex 12: Documents in the Project File CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project A. Government Reports related to the Project: 1. Project Implementation Plan June, 2006 2. Afforestation Models and Financial-Benefit Analysis Models for Timber Plantation, Ecological Forest Plantation and Watershed Rehabilitation 3. Planting stock development plan (including planting materials and seedling criteria for major planting species; nursery management guidelines; and nursery extension plan) 4. Training and extension programs for the Expanding Timber Plantation and Increasing Ecological Forest Cover Components 5. Guangxi Forestry Strategy and Policy Study Plan 6. Project Monitoring and Evaluation Plan 7. Project Design Document for BioCarbon Pilot. 8. Baseline Methodology and Monitoring Methodology for BioCarbon Pilot 9. Procurement Management Manual 10. Goods and Equipment Procurement Plan. 11. Financial Management Plan 12. Social Assessment Report 13. Social safeguard document, including: (a) an Ethnic Minority Development Plan; (b) a Land Acquisition and Resettlement Policy Framework; and (c) a Process Framework 14. Participatory Project Design Manual 15. Environmental Assessment 16. Protection Guidelines for Plantation Establishment and Management 17. Pest Management Plan 18. Timber Product Market Study Report B. Bank Staff Assessment: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Identification Mission Aide Memoire September 2004 Mini Preparation Mission Aide Memoire April 2005 Preparation Mission Aide Memoire July 2005 Pre-appraisal Mission Aide Memoire February 2006 Appraisal Mission Aide Memoire June 11, 2006 Procurement Capacity Assessment Report for the Project June 15, 2005 Financial Management System Assessment Report June 15, 2005 Assessment for the State Farm Management Mechanism and Reform Process Assessment for the State Farm Financial Statement C. Others: 1. GEF Project Executive Summary 103 Annex 13: Statement of Loans and Credits CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project Difference between expected and actual disbursements Original Amount in US$ Millions Project ID FY Purpose IBRD IDA P068752 2005 CN-Inner Mongolia Highway & Trade Corrid 100.00 0.00 0.00 P075730 2005 CN-HUNAN URBAN DEV 172.00 0.00 P067828 2005 CN-Renewable Energy Scale-up Program 87.00 P069862 2005 CN - Agricultural Technology Transfer P071094 2005 P081161 P081346 GEF Orig. Frm. Rev’d Cancel. Undisb. 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 172.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 2.20 0.00 CN - Poor Rural Communities Development 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 2005 CN-CHONGQING SMALL CITIES IIP 180.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 180.00 0.00 0.00 2005 CN-LIUZHOU ENVIRONMENT MGMT 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 P057933 2005 CN-TAI BASIN URBAN ENVMT 61.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.77 3.32 0.00 P086505 2005 CN-NINGBO WATER & ENVMT 130.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 130.00 0.00 0.00 P069852 2004 CN-Wuhan Urban Transport 200.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 188.00 154.20 0.00 P066955 2004 CN-ZHEJIANG URBAN ENVMT 133.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 121.82 -4.43 0.00 P065463 2004 CN - Jiangxi Integrated Agric. Modern. 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.96 13.36 0.00 P065035 2004 CN-Gansu & Xinjiang Pastoral Development 66.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.26 10.62 0.00 P084003 2004 CN-GEF GUANGDONG PRD URB ENV 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 10.00 0.40 0.00 P081749 2004 CN-Hubei Shiman Highway 200.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 167.41 28.41 0.00 P077615 2004 CN-GEF-Gansu & Xinjiang Pastoral Develop 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.50 0.00 9.50 3.30 0.00 P077137 2004 CN-4th Inland Waterways 91.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.46 90.09 6.55 6.04 P075728 2004 CN-GUANGDONG/PRD UR ENVMT 128.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.64 120.72 1.26 0.00 P075602 2004 CN-2nd National Railways (Zhe-Gan Line) 200.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 186.00 17.00 17.00 P075035 2004 CN - GEF-Hai Basin Integr. Wat. Env.Man. 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.00 0.00 15.41 2.88 0.00 P073002 2004 CN-Basic Education in Western Areas 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.30 36.87 0.00 P040599 2003 CN-TIANJIN URB DEV II 150.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 139.51 13.28 0.00 P070191 2003 CN-SHANGHAI URB ENVMT APL1 200.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 177.29 28.29 0.00 P070441 2003 CN-Hubei Xiaogan Xiangfan Hwy 250.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.49 -10.51 0.00 P067337 2003 CN-2nd GEF Energy Conservation 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 14.40 25.10 0.00 P068058 2003 CN-Yixing Pumped Storage Project 145.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 129.16 1.86 0.00 P058847 2003 CN-3rd Xinjiang Hwy Project 150.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.16 30.16 0.00 P076714 2003 CN-2nd Anhui Hwy 250.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 207.79 35.79 0.00 P071147 2002 CN-Tuberculosis Control Project 104.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.37 23.57 0.00 P068049 2002 CN-Hubei Hydropower Dev in Poor Areas 105.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.47 27.47 0.00 P058846 2002 CN-Natl Railway Project 160.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.55 19.55 0.00 104 SF P070459 2002 CN-Inner Mongolia Hwy Project P060029 2002 CN-Sustain. Forestry Dev(Natural Forest) 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.32 9.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 11.45 9.40 0.00 P064729 2002 CN-SUSTAINABLE FORESTRY DEV. PROJECT 93.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.06 14.90 0.00 P058845 2001 P056596 2001 CN-Jiangxi II Hwy 200.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.77 30.05 27.82 0.00 CN-Shijiazhuang Urban Transport 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.15 64.75 0.00 P056516 2001 CN - WATER CONSERVATION P056199 2001 CN-3rd Inland Waterways 74.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.97 13.47 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.99 16.49 P051859 2001 CN-LIAO RIVER BASIN 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.70 28.10 0.00 P045915 2001 P047345 2001 CN-Urumqi Urban Transport 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.47 34.47 0.00 CN-HUAI RIVER POLLUTION CONTROL 105.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.54 -37.96 0.00 P045910 2000 CN-HEBEI URBAN ENVIRONMENT 150.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.94 50.94 0.00 P045264 2000 CN-SMALLHLDR CATTLE DEV 93.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.91 0.01 0.00 P049436 2000 CN-CHONGQING URBAN ENVMT 200.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.70 125.37 100.07 0.00 P058844 2000 3rd Henan Prov Hwy 150.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.36 29.36 0.00 P058843 2000 CN-Guangxi Highway 200.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.70 30.88 36.58 0.00 P064730 2000 CN - Yangtze Dike Strengthening Project 210.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.03 93.03 -0.27 P042109 2000 CN-BEIJING ENVIRONMENT II 349.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 256.06 214.18 0.00 P064924 2000 CN-GEF-BEIJING ENVMT II 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 22.67 23.01 13.44 P056424 2000 CN-TONGBAI PUMPED STORA 320.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 66.97 120.37 0.00 P041268 1999 CN-Nat Hwy4/Hubei-Hunan 350.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.81 32.81 0.00 P036953 1999 CN-HEALTH IX (Shiyong Wang, Backup) 10.00 50.00 0.00 0.00 0.40 25.73 24.88 6.43 P041890 1999 CN-Liaoning Urban Transport 150.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.57 5.57 -2.11 P042299 1999 TEC COOP CREDIT IV P043933 1999 CN-SICHUAN URBAN ENVMT P046051 1999 P046564 10.00 35.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.63 -18.23 0.00 150.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.20 97.22 38.72 CN-HIGHER EDUC. REFORM 20.00 50.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.81 5.41 0.00 1999 CN - Gansu & Inner Mongolia Poverty Red. 60.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 13.30 11.21 20.80 -12.42 P046829 1999 CN-RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.62 89.62 2.62 P049665 1999 CN-ANNING VALLEY AG.DEV 90.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.36 8.49 -11.51 P050036 1999 Anhui Provincial Hwy 200.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.60 5.53 15.13 0.00 P051705 1999 CN-Fujian II Highway 200.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.24 39.24 0.00 P051856 1999 ACCOUNTING REFORM & DEVELOPMENT 27.40 5.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.38 14.29 0.00 P051888 1999 CN - GUANZHONG IRRIGATION 80.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.56 14.93 0.00 P038121 1999 CN-GEF-RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.00 0.00 18.93 34.38 17.50 P058308 1999 CN-PENSION REFORM PJT 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.50 0.00 P057352 1999 CN-RURAL WATER IV 16.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.19 10.93 10.93 P035698 1998 HUNAN POWER DEVELOP. 300.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 161.90 4.62 166.52 3.51 P003619 1998 CN-2nd Inland Waterways 123.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.00 7.80 44.80 7.80 P003614 1998 CN-Guangzhou City Transport 200.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 86.45 106.45 86.45 P003606 1998 ENERGY CONSERVATION 63.00 0.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 19.20 15.40 0.00 P003566 1998 CN-BASIC HEALTH (HLTH8) 0.00 85.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.09 20.29 0.00 P003539 1998 CN - SUSTAINABLE COASTAL RESOURCES DEV. 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.06 38.52 40.58 3.38 105 P046952 1998 CN - FOREST. DEV. POOR AR 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.42 -92.01 7.99 P051736 1998 E. CHINA/JIANGSU PWR 250.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.00 21.06 107.06 17.97 P045788 1998 CN-Tri-Provincial Hwy 230.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.14 15.14 0.00 P040185 1998 CN-SHANDONG ENVIRONMENT 95.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.40 10.18 11.58 0.51 P036414 1998 CN-GUANGXI URBAN ENVMT 72.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 13.48 50.29 63.17 4.75 P003637 1997 CN-NAT'L RURAL WATER 3 0.00 70.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41 3.62 3.20 P003650 1997 TUOKETUO POWER/INNER 400.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 102.50 22.56 125.06 22.56 P044485 1997 SHANGHAI WAIGAOQIAO 400.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.10 50.10 49.65 P036405 1997 CN - WANJIAZHAI WATER TRA 400.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 10.57 85.57 10.57 P034618 1996 CN-LABOR MARKET DEV. 10.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.40 5.49 0.00 P003594 1996 CN - GANSU HEXI CORRIDOR 60.00 90.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.25 67.43 2.05 P003639 1995 CN-SOUTHWEST POVERTY REDUCTION PROJECT 47.50 200.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.15 24.21 24.21 P003596 1995 CN-Yangtze Basin Water Resources Project 100.00 110.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.08 4.47 4.47 P003540 1994 CN-LOESS PLATEAU 0.00 150.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.68 0.00 P003632 1993 CN-ENVIRONMENT TECH ASS 0.00 50.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.95 0.63 10,822.07 1,222.60 0.00 186.50 706.84 Total: 106 5,040.28 2,586.98 336.07 CHINA STATEMENT OF IFC’s Held and Disbursed Portfolio In Millions of US Dollars Committed Disbursed IFC IFC FY Approval Company Loan Equity Quasi Partic. 2002 ASIMCO 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 2003 Anjia 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 2004 Antai 40.00 0.00 0.00 2003 BCIB 0.00 0.00 2005 Babei 11.00 5.00 1999/00/02 Bank of Shanghai 0.00 2002 CDH China Fund 2003 CSMC 2004 Equity Quasi Partic. 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 30.86 0.00 0.00 23.14 11.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 24.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.92 0.00 0.00 CUNA Mutual 0.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.47 0.00 0.00 1998 Chengdu Huarong 5.16 3.20 0.00 5.47 5.16 3.20 0.00 5.47 1992 China Bicycles 4.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 2004 China Green Ener 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 2004 China II 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2004 China Re Life 0.00 1.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.54 0.00 0.00 1994 China Walden Mgt 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 2004 Colony China 0.00 16.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.47 0.00 0.00 2002 Darong 10.00 1.50 0.00 8.00 6.67 1.50 0.00 5.33 1994 Dynamic Fund 0.00 5.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.99 0.00 0.00 2005 Fang Xin SHMT 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2005 Fang Xin Limited 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 2005 Fang Xin SHDX 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2005 Fang Xin SHPM 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2005 Fang Xin SZFX 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2004 Fenglin 19.00 0.00 6.00 18.00 12.45 0.00 6.00 11.62 2003 Great Infotech 0.00 3.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.52 0.00 0.00 2005 HiSoft Tech 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 2002 Huarong AMC 9.00 2.51 0.00 0.00 9.00 0.49 0.00 0.00 2004 IB 0.00 52.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.18 0.00 0.00 2002 IEC 0.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2004 Jiangxi Chenming 60.00 12.90 0.00 0.00 30.00 12.90 0.00 0.00 1998 Leshan Scana 2.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 2001/05 Maanshan Carbon 11.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2001/05 Minsheng Bank 0.00 2.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.79 0.00 0.00 2001 NCCB 0.00 26.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.46 0.00 0.00 1996/04 Nanjing Kumho 34.00 2.23 0.00 0.00 34.00 2.23 0.00 0.00 2001 New China Life 0.00 13.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.83 0.00 0.00 2005 New Hope 0.00 0.00 45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 107 Loan 1995 Newbridge Inv. 0.00 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.00 0.00 2005 North Andre 15.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1997 Orient Finance 0.00 0.00 4.76 5.95 0.00 0.00 4.76 5.95 2003 PSAM 0.00 1.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2003 SAIC 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2000 SEAF SSIF 0.00 3.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.29 0.00 0.00 2004 SIBFI 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.00 1998 Shanghai Krupp 24.50 0.00 0.00 52.49 24.50 0.00 0.00 52.49 1999 Shanxi 12.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 2002 Sino Gold 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 1995 Suzhou PVC 0.00 2.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.48 0.00 0.00 Wanjie High-Tech 12.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 2004 Wumart 0.00 3.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.90 0.00 0.00 2004 X Colony China 0.00 0.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.00 2003 XACB 0.00 19.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.25 0.00 0.00 2004 Xinao Gas 25.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 25.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 1993 Yantai Cement 1.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 2003 Zhengye-ADC 15.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 11.59 0.00 0.00 5.41 2002 Zhong Chen 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 275.84 87.36 126.91 239.48 211.76 10.76 109.41 Total portfilio: 387.41 Approvals Pending Commitment FY Approval Company 2005 BCCB 2005 Babei Silk Tie 2005 2004 Loan Equity Quasi Partic. 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 BioChina 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 CCB-MS NPL 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2005 Changyu Group 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 2004 Chenming LWC 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 2004 China Green 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 2005 Fang Xin SHDX 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2005 Fang Xin SHMT 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 2005 Fang Xin SZFX 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2005 Five Star 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 2002 Huarong AMC 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 2002 IEC 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 2005 MS Shipping 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 2004 NCFL 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 2003 Peak Pacific 2 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 2004 SIBFI 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2002 SML 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2002 Sino Mining 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 2005 Vetroarredo 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 2002 Zhong Chen 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.05 0.21 Total pending committment: 0.07 108 Annex 14: Country at a Glance CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project P O V E R T Y a nd S O C IA L P R IC E S a nd G O V E R N M E N T F IN A N C E C hina 19 8 3 19 9 3 2003 D o m e s t ic pric e s P o pulatio n, mid-year (millio ns) 1,288.4 (% change) GNI per capita (A tlas metho d, US$ ) 1,100 Co nsumer prices 4.5 14.7 GNI (A tlas metho d, US$ billio ns) 1,411.6 Implicit GDP deflato r 1.1 14.6 A v e ra ge a nnua l gro wt h, 19 9 7 - 0 3 G o v e rnm e nt f ina nc e (%oopulatio f GDPn, includes current grants) P (%) 0.8 Current 23.0 13.7 Labo r forevenue rce (%) 0.9 Current budget balance .. 2.2 M o s t re c e nt e s t im a t e ( la t e s t ye a r a v a ila ble , 19 9 7 - 0 3 ) Overall surplus/deficit -0.7 -0.7 P o verty (% o f po pulatio n belo w natio nal po verty line) 5 Urban 39 T R A Dpo Epulatio n (% o f to tal po pulatio n) Life expectancy at birth (years) 71 19 8 3 19 9 3 Infant mo rtality 30 (US$ millio ns) (per 1,000 live births) Child 10 To tal malnutritio expo rts (fonb)(% o f children under 5) 22,226 91,744 AFo ccess n) 75 o d to an impro ved water so urce (% o f po pulatio2,853 8,399 Illiteracy Fuel (% o f po pulatio n age 15+) 4,666 4,1099 Gro ss primary enro llment (% o f scho o l-age po pulatio n) 114 M anufactures 12,606 75,078 ale 114 ToMtal impo rts (cif) 21,390 103,959 Female 114 Fo od 3,122 2,206 Fuel and energy 111 5,819 KE Y E C O N O M IC R A T IO S a nd LO N G - T E R M T R E N D S Capital go o ds 3,988 45,023 19 8 3 19 9 3 Expo rt price index (1995=100) 41 81 GDP ns)(1995=100) 227.4 431 .8 Impo rt(US$ pricebillio index 69 88 Terms o f mestic trade (1investment/GDP 995=100) 60 93 Gro ss do 33.8 43.3 Expo rts o f go o ds and services/GDP 8.3 17.1 Gro ss do mestic 34.5 41.8 B A LA NC E o f savings/GDP P A YM EN T S Gro ss natio nal savings/GDP 1935.1 83 1941 9 3.8 (US$ millio ns) Current acco unt balance/GDP 1.7 -2.1 Expo rts o f go o ds and services 24,804 102,643 Interest payments/GDP 0.2 0.6 Impo rts o f go o ds and services 22,545 111,776 To tal debt/GDP 4.2 19.9 Reso urce balance 2,259 -9,133 To tal debt service/expo rts 10.1 9.4 P resent Net inco value me o f debt/GDP 1,158.. -1,284.. P resent value o f debt/expo rts Net current transfers 51..1 1,172.. Current acco unt balance 19 8 3 - 9 3 19 9 33,928 -03 (average gro wth) Financingannual items (net) GDP Changes in net reserves GDP per capita M e mrts o :o f go o ds and services Expo Reserves including go ld (US$ millio ns) S T nversio R UC T UR E o f t heloEcal/US$ C O N O) M Y Co n rate (DEC, 9.5 7.9 6.8 -1,233 8.6 -2,695 7.6 15.6 .. 2.6 19 8 3 -9,245 2002 11,012 8.3 -1,767 7.6 29.4 27,336 8.0 19 9 3 (% o f GDP ) E X T E R N A L D E B T a nd R E S O UR C E F LO WS A griculture 33.0 19.9 19 8 3 19 9 3 Industry 44.6 47.4 (US$ millio ns) M anufacturing 36.5 34.5 To tal debt o utstanding and disbursed 9,609 85,928 Services 22.4 32.7 IB RD 4 4,549 IDA co nsumptio n 67 5,1 60 P rivate 51 .3 45.2 General go vernment co nsumptio n 14.1 13.0 To tal debt service 2,691 10,166 Impo rts o f go o ds and services 7.5 18.6 IB RD 3 544 IDA 1 38 19 8 3 - 9 3 19 9 3 - 0 3 Co mpo sitio n o f net reso urce flo ws (average annual gro wth) Official grants 73 272 A griculture 4.2 3.4 Official credito rs 623 4,61 5 Industry 11.9 10.4 P anufacturing rivate credito rs 363 8,21 7 M 11.5 10.3 Fo reign direct investment 6 27,51 5 Services 191 0.7 8.2 P o rtfo lio equity 0 3,818 P rivate co nsumptio n 11.0 7.1 Wo rld B ank pro gram General go vernment co nsumptio n 9.7 8.5 Coss mmitments 438 2,31 5 Gro do mestic investment 9.2 9.3 Disbursements 71 1,845 Impo rts o f go o ds and services 9.9 13.4 P rincipal repayments 0 248 East A s ia & P a c if ic 2002 1,855 1,080 -0.8 2,011 -0.6 Lo we rm iddle inc o m e 2003 2,655 1,480 1.2 3,934 2.2 China D e v e lo pm e nt dia m o nd* Inf la t io n ( %) 4 Life expectancy 2 0 98 1.0 18.3 1.1 1.0 -3.3 .. 40 2 0 069 2 32 15 325,565 76 14,623 10 8,372 111 297,085 112 295,203 111 5,237 0.9 18.7 1.2 1.3 -2.5 .. 50 69 2003 32 438,22811 81 17,533 10 11,110 112 403,560 113 412,760 111 5,959 19,285 137,030 2002 78 1,266.1 86 90 40.4 28.9 43.4 2 043.2 02 29,214 192,869 2003 82 1,4195 2.3 86 44.4 34.3 47.0 2 047.6 03 2.8 365,395 0.3 328,013 13.3 37,383 7.9 12.8 -14,945 41.8 12,984 3.2 485,003 0.3 448,924 13.7 36,079 7.2 -7,838.. 17,634.. 35,422 2 0 0 3 2 045,875 03-07 40,085 9.1 -75,507 8.4 26.8 297,735 8.3 2002 71,148 7.7 -117,023 7.0 12.3 416,208 8.3 2003 15.4 2002 51.1 35.4 168,337 33.5 11,254 9,423 43.4 13.2 30,596 25.9 2,981 180 2002 14.6 2003 52.3 39.3 193,567 33.1 10,657 10,31 4 40.4 12.6 37,064 31.8 2,690 219 2003 311 2.9 -1,206 9.8 -4,550 10.0 53,074 7.5 .. 6.3 7.0 1,058 13.7 2,020 27.5 2,502 .. 2.5 -3,092 12.6 -1,769 17.0 55,507 6.6 .. 6.6 5.5 1,250 19.8 1,61 6 24.8 2,459 109 99 00 01 02 03 -2 GNI -4 per capita Gro ss primary GDP deflator CPIllment enro E xpo rt a nd im po rt le v e ls ( US $ m ill.) 500,000 A ccess to impro ved water so urce 400,000 300,000 China 200,000 Lo wer-middle-inco me gro up 100,000 0 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 E c o no m ic ra t io s * Exports Imports Trade C urre nt a c c o unt ba la nc e t o G D P ( %) Do mestic savings 5 Investment 4 3 2 Indebtedness 1 China 0 97 98 99 00 01 02 Lo wer-middle-inco me gro up 03 G ro wt h o f inv e s t m e nt a nd G D P ( %) 30 20 C o m po s it io n o f 2 0 0 3 de bt ( US $ m ill.) 10 A: 10,657 0 98 99 00 B: 10,314 02 01 03 D: 5,335 GDP GDI G: 72,967 E: 25,149 G ro wt h o f e xpo rt s a nd im po rt s ( %) 40 30 20 10 F: 69,145 0 98 A - IBRD B - IDA C - IM F 99 00 01 Exports D - Other multilateral 02 03 E - Bilateral Imports F - Private G - Short-term Annex 15: Incremental Cost Analysis CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project OVERVIEW 1. Despite having excellent agro-ecological conditions for timber production and rich forest biodiversity, China’s GZAR is rapidly losing forest cover and its biodiversity is increasingly threatened. The major cause of these inter-related problems is that annual timber consumption (7.8 million m3) significantly exceeds sustainable annual timber production (5 million m3). Inadequate capacity for, and outdated methods of, nature reserve management and sub-optimal integration of forest management and biodiversity conservation plans and actions are also contributing to the loss of biodiversity 2. The goal of the project is to address the twin problems of unsustainable forest management and increasingly threatened biodiversity. Its objective is to improve the effectiveness and integration of management and institutional arrangements for timber production, watershed protection and nature reserves management. This will be achieved by establishing and implementing technically and institutionally viable, integrated and replicable forest and nature reserve management systems and processes. Project activities will be grouped into four inter-linked components: (a) Expanding Timber Plantations; (b) Increasing Ecological Forest Cover; (c) Improving Management of Nature Reserves; and (d) Enhancing Institutional and Management Capacity. 3. Monitorable indicators of the achievement of its global environment objective include: (a) management effectiveness of five targeted nature reserves improved; (b) number of new areas with high biodiversity value identified and set aside for conservation; and (c) number of nature reserves where abundance and conservation status of biodiversity has improved, based on the implementation of integrated management plans, improved collaboration between reserve staff and local communities, and participatory monitoring. Context and Broad Development Goals Context 4. The GZAR is located on the southern frontier of China and neighboring Vietnam. Guangxi straddles the Tropic of Cancer, and thus spans the north tropical and southern and mid sub-tropical climatic zones, with elements of each in its flora and fauna. The terrain slopes generally from north-west to south-east but the topography and geology are complex, with ranges of mountains and karst hills interspersed with lowlands bisected by numerous rivers. Elevations range from sea-level at Beihai to the 2,141 meter peak of Maoershan, the highest peak in southern China. Guangxi supports a wide variety of forest and wetland ecosystems, including many broadleaf forest formations and mangrove forests. 110 5. These complex conditions mean that Guangxi is particularly rich in native fauna and flora. Surveys have recorded over 8,350 species of vascular plants belonging to 1,717 genera and 288 families. Some 890 species of terrestrial vertebrates have also been recorded. This makes Guangxi the third richest province in China for biodiversity (after Yunnan and Sichuan). Despite this importance, Guangxi has not received the same forest management and conservation attention as those two provinces, even though GZAR supports a denser human population. The result has been that most natural habitats have been reduced to relatively small isolated fragments, and this in turn has lead to a large proportion of its fauna and flora being threatened. Taxon Vascular plants Mammals Birds Reptiles Amphibians Fish China’s total Guangxi’s total Proportion (%) 27,142 581 1,244 376 284 3,862 8,354 166 483 157 84 700 30.8 28.6 38.8 41.8 29.6 18.1 6. The GZAR is a particularly important area for limestone forests, especially in the tropical and southern sub-tropical zones. Karst limestone covers about 38 percent of the land area of Guangxi. Limestone forests in tropical China occur mainly in southern Yunnan Province and southwest GZAR while subtropical limestone occurs in a narrow north-south band in Guangxi, Yunnan, Guizhou and Chongqing. Because of the great diversity of edaphic conditions and complex topography of limestone regions, vegetation types on limestone are extremely diverse and rich in endemic and restricted-range taxa. For example, of the 669 plant genera recorded in Nonggang Nature Reserve, only 371 are shared with the limestone forests of Xishuangbanna in southern Yunnan, 465 km away. Most species found in seasonal rainforest on limestone are also found in non-limestone areas, but many species, termed calcicoles, are restricted to or selective for limestone areas. In the Nonggang Nature Reserve for example, 20 percent of the plants species are characteristic of limestone areas while 13 percent of the flora species are exclusively found on limestone. 7. Karst regions also support underground limestone ecosystems that are particularly rich in unique biological types. Much of this fauna is poorly known, but preliminary surveys suggest an extremely rich fauna of specialized species (such as bats, fish and insects). Many of these species have extremely restricted distributions, such as the six species of blind cave fish known only from the underground waters of Guangxi. Despite their global significance, these karst-dwelling species and their rare and unique ecosystems have received very little conservation attention. Development Goals 8. Since the late 1970’s, the GoC has been implementing an aggressive program of reforms and interventions that have resulted in rapid rates of economic growth. Investment in China’s physical infrastructure has mushroomed, which has led to the development of 111 considerably improved systems of transportation, energy and other services that have improved overall competitiveness. Economic policy reforms in the context of general domestic and international trade liberalization have created enhanced incentives for private sector investments. Increased social sector spending in health, education and basic water and sanitation requirements have targeted the amelioration of poverty and, in the political field, institutional reforms have been directed at the stream-lining of existing government institutions and to the devolution of decision-making authority to local governments. All of these development initiatives are being actively supported by multilateral and bilateral agencies, as well as by international NGOs. 9. Guangxi is one of China’s poorest provinces with a large number of ethnic minorities. In line with national priorities, provincial government spending is focused principally on economic development and poverty alleviation. In the forestry sector, funding is inadequate and most is used for production-oriented activities and increasing the timber supply through plantations and improved watershed management initiatives. Although it is recognized that the maintenance of Guangxi’s biodiversity – the individual species as well as the habitats that support them – could be an important feature of the province’s overall development strategy, there is currently limited effort and incentive to enhance its conservation status. Baseline Scenario Scope 10. Much of Guangxi’s remaining biodiversity is located in a network of nature reserves that cover 6.5 percent of the province’s land area. However, a large rural population which uses the resources of these areas for their subsistence needs surrounds all of the nature reserves. Direct threats to the forests of the province’s nature reserves take the form of agricultural encroachment, logging, fuelwood collection and livestock grazing. Other associated factors which have had a negative impact include fire, hunting, and harvesting and trade in particular species of wild animals and plants. Despite a strong commitment to biodiversity conservation, few if any of Guangxi’s nature reserves are able to control these threats effectively. 11. Under the baseline scenario, the GZAR government will take the following steps to help address its timber supply deficit and to rehabilitate some of its natural forests and watersheds: (a) establish approximately 200,000 ha of fast-growing, high-yield timber plantations, and expand and improve its tree nurseries to produce high-quality planting materials through the introduction of superior genetic materials and management technologies (cost US$171.10 million); (b) establish approximately 18,000 ha of multipleuse forests, rehabilitate 100,000 ha of natural vegetation on Guangxi’s karst hills, and develop a pilot BioCarbon fund plantation (cost US$18.67 million); and (c) improve the management of forest plantation of nature reserves ((US$7.02 million); (d) strengthen production and ecological forest management capacity and applied commercial forest management research programs and disseminate their results (cost US$ 5.06 million). 112 12. The Guangxi government recognizes that its protected areas are important for ensuring the effective functioning of essential ecological processes and life-support systems on which human survival and development depend. It also recognizes that they protect species and populations that are highly sensitive to human disturbance. However, without new approaches to nature reserve management and closer integration of commercial, ecological and nature reserve planning and management, the baseline forest management activities will not halt the deterioration of natural forest habitats and the biodiversity of Guangxi’s nature reserves. 13. Under the Baseline Scenario its nature reserve management initiatives can be grouped into three sets of activities: (a) Nature Reserves Planning and Management which includes some modest management plan development and implementation (e.g., Maoershan), field level management systems (such as patrolling), and investment (civil works, equipment, vehicles); (b) Nature Reserve Relationships with Local Communities which includes limited community conservation education and public awareness activities conducted in local villages; and (c) Training and Capacity Building which involves general staff training. Under the baseline scenario, no action will be taken to conserve biodiversity in ecological forests or to integrate conservation considerations into forest development plans to promote sustainable forest conservation and management. Costs of the baseline Nature Reserve Management Program 14. Under the baseline scenario, the GZAR government would maintain management activities at the project’s proposed nature reserve sites at historical levels (based on expenditure trends over the last six years). For the project period (2006-2011), the GZAR Government confirmed that these expenditures would be US$4,900,000. In addition, in some of the proposed nature reserve sites, research projects will be financed under a range of local university programs (US$200,000). There are no donor programs in any of the project nature reserves. The total cost of the baseline nature reserve management activities is therefore estimated to be US$5,100,000 as summarized below: Project NR Nonggang Damingshan Longshan Mulun Maoershan TOTAL Anticipated GoC expenditure during project period (US$ million) Anticipated research institute expenditure during project period (US$ million) 0.79 1.23 0.14 1.32 1.42 4.90 0.01 0.08 0 0 0.11 0.20 Benefits 15. Under the baseline scenario, most nature reserve expenditure would be directed towards salaries and the construction of buildings and protection stations. Comparatively 113 few resources would be expended on important applied nature reserve management activities, such as the development and application of ecological planning tools, community liaison work, and staff capacity development. Research at the project’s proposed sites would be conducted mostly by professional scientists with very limited involvement of nature reserve staff, and the results of this research would be little used to modify existing management regimes. Thus, although implementation of the Baseline Scenario will result in some improvement to the protection and management of global biodiversity at the target nature reserves, the limited expenditure levels and the traditional way the resources would be allocated not result in significant, sustainable, long-term conservation benefits. In addition, opportunities to promote biodiversity conservation through more integrated forest plantation and natural forest planning and investments would be foregone. As a result, much of Guangxi’s rich biodiversity would continue to be adversely effected by weak nature reserve management, timber and fuel-wood harvesting, overgrazing and associated vegetation disturbance, illegal hunting, and habitat loss and fragmentation. Without GEF support, a unique, strategically valuable and replicable opportunity to demonstrate integrated forest management and biodiversity conservation at the provincial level, for the benefit of the China Biodiversity Partnership Framework, would also be lost. Global Environmental Objective 16. Nine percent (55 species) of the animals and 16 percent (82 species) of the plants that are red-listed by IUCN for China occur in the project’s nature reserves. Red-listed animals by IUCN Category EX EW CR China, 4 1 38 mainland Vietnam 0 0 17 Taiwan 0 0 4 Hong Kong 0 0 2 Macao 0 0 0 GIFDCP NRs 0 1 7 EN 104 VU 188 LR/cd NT 9 168 DD 121 Total 633 46 28 9 1 4 81 47 22 4 8 4 5 0 0 2 73 36 14 1 1 316 182 80 20 55 95 62 33 14 32 NB Data for Guangxi does not include a limited number of invertebrates and fish Red-listed plants by IUCN Category EX EW CR China, 3 1 73 mainland Vietnam 0 0 25 Taiwan 0 1 12 Hong Kong 0 0 2 GIFDCP NRs 0 1 5 EN 171 VU 199 LR/cd NT 5 45 DD 19 Total 516 37 39 1 17 83 27 3 38 1 1 0 2 14 7 0 1 191 96 7 82 31 9 1 18 17. In the national context, 40 species of Guangxi’s plants are now listed as “first-class state protected” and an additional 69 species are listed as “second-class protected”. Habitat 114 loss and hunting have lead to similar threats to the fauna and, of the terrestrial vertebrates, 26 are “first-class protected” and 116 are “second-class protected”. Several formerly widespread species, such as the eastern black-crested gibbon (Nomascus nasutus) and tiger (Panthera tigris), are now presumed to be extinct in the province. However, Guangxi still supports a number of endemic species found nowhere else such as the white-headed leaf monkey (Trachypithecus poliocephalus leucocephalus) and the Guangxi cat snake (Boiga guangxiensis). The global environmental objective of the GEF Alternative is to improve and strengthen the overall management and conservation of these important biodiversity resources in GZAR. GEF Alternative Scope 18. With GEF assistance for addressing the global biodiversity objective identified above, the GoC would be able to undertake a more effective program of protected area management that would generate both national and global benefits. Under the Baseline Scenario outlined above, the principal GoC emphasis is on timber supply enhancement and capital-intensive nature reserve infrastructure development. The major focus of the incremental activities would be to emphasize the ecological and social aspects of protected area planning. The GEF Alternative would establish a more scientific and integrated approach to management of the project nature reserve sites which specifically addresses management capacity constraints and issues related to the impact that: (a) local communities have on nature reserves; and (b) nature reserves have on local communities. The emphasis would be on community outreach and helping communities to find other sources of local development funding. It would also promote the conservation of globallysignificant karst ecosystems that are currently outside the nature reserve system. In addition, it would integrate biodiversity conservation planning with commercial and natural forest management planning. Specific interventions would include: Project sub-component Nature Reserves Planning and Management Interventions (a) baseline ecosystems map production; (b) management plan development; and (c) management plan implementation and nature reserve staff training Conservation Management of Sites Outside the Existing Nature Reserve System Community Relationships with Project Nature Reserves (a) cave biodiversity conservation; (b) Guangxi/Vietnam transboundary conservation; and (c) watershed forest conservation Monitoring and Evaluation (a) nature reserve monitoring scheme; (b) management plan reviews; and (c) replication activities Enhancing Institutional and Management Capacity (a) forest sector strategy, priority policy studies, and guidelines/regulations development; (b) research and extension programs; (c) training and technical services; and (d) project monitoring and evaluation program (a) local communities’ engagement in nature reserve management; (b) community conservation education and public awareness; (c) community skills enhancement; and (d) local project greening and training of village committees 115 Costs 19. Total expenditures under the GEF Alternative Scenario are estimated at US$12.60 million, detailed as follows: Project sub-component Nature Reserves Planning and Management Conservation Management of Sites Outside the Existing Nature Reserve System Community Relationships with Project Nature Reserves Monitoring and Evaluation Enhancing Institutional and Management Capacity TOTAL Additional Cost in US$ million 2.84 1.80 1.83 0.50 0.48 7.50 Benefits 20. The project would: (a) have a positive global benefit by conserving biodiversity in five sites of acknowledged international significance for biodiversity conservation purposes; (b) benefit local communities living around the project’s nature reserves by enhancing community skills and facilitating access to programs that address threats to the nature reserves; and (c) strengthen the capacity of human resources and biodiversity conservation sector institutions. Incremental Costs 21. The difference between the cost of the Baseline Scenario (US$5.10 million) and the cost of the GEF Alternative (US$12.60 million) is estimated at US$7.50 million, of which US$5.25 million would be supplied by GEF financing and US$2.25 million from the GoC, as confirmed by the GZAR Government. This represents the incremental cost for achieving sustainable global environmental benefits. 116 Annex16: Scientific & Technical Advisory Panel Roster Review CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project Endorsement 1. The project would be an important attempt at integrating forestry management and biodiversity conservation at the provincial level while promoting participatory management and monitoring; it would include an innovative BioCarbon pilot and as designed shows strong evidence of participatory design and GoC commitment. The proposed GEF component has clear incremental benefits in enabling nature reserve protection and biodiversity conservation within the overall landscape management approaches; actions proposed are strategic and replicable, and likely to make an important contribution to biodiversity and endangered species protection in the region. The reviewer considers the GEF component as globally and regionally important, and well conceived, and strongly recommends its support. Key issues A. Scientific and technical soundness of the project 2. The project would be a first attempt at a provincial-level integrated planning approach across production and protection forests, using landscape ecology approaches to include the human population and populated areas within overall forest and land management strategies. It would be a new venture for Bank support to the forest sector in China, which has previously concentrated on national-level policy development and has relied heavily on self-driven replication. This holistic approach to sustainable forest and biodiversity management is in line with GoC policies for sustainable development and management of forest resources and involvement of communities in natural resource management. The project focus is in line with GoC policies for expanding timber and forest plantation and management in the GZAR. 3. A key issue in rolling out Agenda 21 and in the planning of forestry interventions within this project is the integration of forestry goals within general socio-economic planning for the GZAR. Forestry is high on the agenda of the GZAR. The extent to which project planning and implementation review is meshed (and prioritised) within socio-economic development planning of the GZAR is not entirely clear3, but the Assumptions and Risks analysis and PMO structure would appear to ensure adequate consultation at all planning levels. 3 Industrial development planning of the GZAR is mentioned only once (PAD p.28), but no major industrial development is planned that is likely to impact on the project. 117 4. Component 1 (non-GEF) of the project focuses on the establishment of a large area of timber plantations, not pulpwood plantations, although the latter will also be required in the future if the GZAR is to develop ‘several paper mills’ (Project brief p.28). Considerable effort has been expended in project design in determining appropriate planting approaches, requirements for nurseries, new technologies, financing tools, etc. The planting will be undertaken by many smallholders, under various financial mechanisms but primarily through partnership agreements (Project brief p.21), as a requested and sensible means for smallholders to minimise their own financial risks. 5. Component 2 (non-GEF) focuses on improvement of forest cover in karst areas. Project interventions to increase the area of protection forests with ultimate long-term benefits for carbon sequestration and biodiversity are sound and funded entirely by GoC. The component includes a BioCarbon fund pilot plantation, which is excellently conceived and will provide valuable regional experience, including testing the market approaches for wider scale environmental benefits from carbon trading. There mare likely to be additional benefits of connectivity through mixed-species planting between natural forest areas, referred to in the project proposal, although this is a long-term benefit that will be linked to development of a mature forest structure and microclimate in these connecting corridors. 6. Component 3 (GEF) is important in that it aims to establish protected area management as an integrated part of the landscape management strategies, rather than set-asides. It aims to develop approaches that will enable local communities to interact with the protected areas and obtain some benefits from them, and also extends biodiversity protection principles outwards from the protected areas into the wider landscape. The latter is expressed both in terms of improving forest cover (Component 2) and in defining new protected areas where there is a high biodiversity value or occurrence of endangered species. The landscape level interventions of the project also give scope for integrating biodiversity protection in other forms of forest management – especially where the biodiversity concerned is underground and therefore where the critical factor is the control of local climate and water regimes through establishing and maintaining forest cover above ground. (Some of the component 3 activities in surveying cave fauna are at first sight a little divergent from the rest of the project, but this can be considered in the above light and Reviewer agrees with the decision to adopt the single project approach rather then separating off cave conservation into a different project: Project brief p.12). 7. Component 4 (part GEF) is designed to develop the capacities needed among stakeholders at all levels to adopt the integrated management and production technologies proposed, and to institutionalise them within stakeholder organisations. The areas of training indicated within the proposal appear comprehensive, but Reviewer has some reservations concerning the proposed M&E system and its institutionalisation post-project. The envisaged local staff contribution to environmental impact monitoring and mitigation, expressed as a major challenge to the project, appears minimal (Project brief p.85) – but on the other hand this may be sufficient (based on previous experience) and there is little point in establishing monitoring structures that are unsustainable post-project. 118 8. An over-arching theme of the project is that forestry approaches envisaged will assist in forest protection and conservation by a) improving livelihoods of the rural poor to reduce the need to generate additional income by dubious means and b) supplying a market for timber that would otherwise be supplied through illegal wood extraction. Environmental education and various other interventions to help lessen reliance on natural resources, such as on-farm NTFP production perhaps are also designed to reduce the need or inclination to exploit wild biodiversity resources. The project documents have not quantified actual threats on wild timber and biodiversity resources, but generally these threats are considerable and fuelled by a very large urban market in south China4. Ethnic minorities in particular, who are less easily reached by project benefits, can be expected to respond primarily to continuing opportunities to market forest products illegally rather than to project aims unless project efforts are successful in mainstreaming these remote communities (which seems quite unlikely). Adequate monitoring and enforcement of linkages between project benefits, and community conformance to project and GZAR rules, is crucial in this respect as the high monetary value of biodiversity products in particular is hard to resist, should opportunities arise. Project experience to date is that it is quite difficult to develop a linkage mechanism between receiving project benefits and monitoring/enforcement of rules, and for different parties to agree on such a mechanism. The NORDECO-type participatory monitoring mechanisms suggested for this project are perhaps the most appropriate system to attempt to establish this vital link. B. Identification of global environmental benefits 9. The global environmental benefit is foreseen as an enhanced enabling environment for biodiversity conservation and management. This would be achieved through improved management capacity and a reduction of conflict in the use of biodiversity resources between stakeholders. The GIFDCP provides livelihoods alternatives through development of the forest sector. Incremental benefits of GEF support are expected to be enablement of active conservation programmers through providing the background (baseline) information required for management decision making, the training required to make and enact these decisions, and some level of financial support for field operations. 10. In effect the enabling environment for conservation is improved and the GZAR staffs, which are currently provided only basic salary and some infrastructure, are provided with the means to take advantage this. Much of the biodiversity and forest resources of the target area are currently unmanaged or provide only domestic benefits unrelated to environmental protection – the project provides the opportunity for these areas to begin providing measurable global benefits. 11. The importance of this approach in this location is clear. The region is extremely rich in biodiversity and so far has received less attention than neighboring regions of similar importance (Project brief p.97). The GZAR has two Centers of Plant Diversity and two 4 See World Bank, 2005, The illegal and unsustainable trade in animals and plants in East Asia: why the World Bank should care. A. Grieser Johns and J. Thompson. Available online at www.worldbank.org/biodiversity 119 Endemic Bird Areas defined by WWF, Birdlife, IUCN, etc. There are also important aspects of trans-boundary conservation through synergy with Vietnamese initiatives in biodiversity conservation (Project brief p.47) – some of these initiatives likely to be supported through WB-GEF support for the up-coming Vietnam Conservation Fund. C. How does the project fit within the context of the goals of GEF 12. The project is rooted in principles of GEF OP#3. It focuses on integrated and sustainable management of timber production, watershed protection and set-aside (nature reserve) forests as a tool towards poverty alleviation and livelihood improvement. Landscape (especially karst landscape) and biodiversity conservation (including cave systems) are integrated within the overall approach as a necessary component to achieving sustainable management of the overall ecosystem and ultimately in conferring various environmental and social benefits. The above relates specifically to GEF Operational Strategy Priority BII, and is an important model in this respect. Furthermore, the inclusion of the BioCarbon pilot in the overall GIFDCP is an opportunity for biodiversity conservation implications of carbon sequestration plantations and set-aside forests also to be explored within the context of Priority BII. 13. At the protected area level, the intervention also relates specifically to GEF Operational Priority BI and again provides model approaches for wider replication. The project is also in line with planning outputs of previous GEF interventions in China and strategy documents produced by WWF and others (Project brief p.8). D. Regional context 14. The project is restricted to GZAR but has wider implications for China as a whole and has aspects of trans-boundary conservation with Vietnam. Its specific focus is necessary to pilot an integrated landscape approach in depth and Reviewer supports the decision not to take a wider national-level approach in this respect (Project brief p.12). The target nature reserve areas are wholly in need of support and GEF intervention here assists with realisation of national-level biodiversity conservation strategies and with priorities of ecoregional approaches. E. Replicability of the project 15. A key feature of the project as a whole is to pilot means of small scale timber plantation and management systems as a livelihoods improvement approach which also addresses a supply-demand gap that is heavily impacting on natural forests. There are concerns as to the efficiency of quality control and monitoring systems for plantations spread in small lots over a very wide area, but if the project manages to address some of these inherent problems it will provide widely applicable models of small-holder plantation approaches consistent with the local absorptive capacity for new technologies. 120 16. Specific GEF interventions in piloting of national-level management planning approaches and their integration with communities around the nature reserves, and capacity building to achieve this should also be replicable. Any success developing local-level community-driven planning processes that link delivery of donor project and Government programme benefits around nature reserves with achievement of conservation objectives for the reserves would be particularly important to replicate. Reviewer notes and supports the intention for a wider dissemination of capacity building during some project trainings (Project brief p.15 and p.43). F. Sustainability of the project 17. GIFDCP interventions are carefully designed to be consistent with local needs, absorptive capacity and environmental concerns, all of which are likely to ensure sustainability of approaches if the support of Government is maintained. Institutionalising of approaches is likely, given the stakeholder support expressed (Project brief p.14). The extent to which benefits reach remote communities, particularly of ethnic minorities, is perhaps a cause for concern since these communities may be a focus of illegal activities during and post-project. 18. While GEF interventions are designed to be cost-effective and replicable, the sustainability of implementation of management plans is questionable, since these appear to be dependent to some extent on further external (national or international) support postproject. Means of prioritising and funding basic operational activities need to be defined post-project. As an intention of the project is to identify further potential protected areas, which will also require GZAR funds, already in short supply, this shortage of operational funding could be exacerbated. (See specific comments.) A focus of the GEF intervention should perhaps be to develop means of re-focusing existing funds, perhaps through reevaluation of priorities through the Guangxi protected area system as part of a provincial protected area planning exercise. Secondary issues G. Linkage to other focal areas 19. The project as a whole focuses on reversing land degradation through forest development, for land cover and biodiversity protection, and for livelihood improvement. There is a clear link with the focal area ‘climate change’ in that reforestation and forest protection increases carbon sequestration – inclusion of a BioCarbon pilot emphasises this link. H. Linkage to other programmes and action plans at the regional or sub-regional level 20. The GIFDCP has been developed through a comprehensive consultation process and is in line with all relevant aspects of PRCs Sustainable Forestry Development Strategy and 121 other central Government instruments (Project brief p.27). It is also in line with GZAR plans to increase timber plantations by 870,000 ha and bring 667,000 ha of watershed areas under effective protection. Model forestry approaches to be used in GIFDCP have to some extent been developed by previous and on-going projects and programmes such as SFDP. 21. GEF interventions apply tools and lessons learned from previous GEF projects at national level and selected provinces, notably NRMP (Project brief p.31-32). Site selection and overall focus is consistent with the goals of the GoC Biodiversity Conservation Action Plan. Conservation objectives are also linked to WWF and FFI action plans, particularly for nature reserves and key species such as primates, and to regional action plans for karst landscape conservation in particular. I. Other beneficial or damaging environmental effects 22. Environmental issues are discussed and potential environmental impacts are adequately summarised in the project proposal (Project brief Annex 10). 23. The key issue for the project as a whole is the extent to which project benefits generated by GIFDCP reach the more remote communities who are most proximate and rely to the greatest extent on natural resources from the key nature reserves. Successful execution of project capacity building initiatives, strengthened control of the nature reserves and better enforcement of legislation would result in reduced access and potential hardship for already marginalised communities. The project clearly aims to support these communities through a variety of appropriate instruments, but may need to clarify at an early stage more precisely how these benefits will be delivered or facilitated by the project on an individual community basis. Experience from elsewhere in the region is that it is hard to develop financial benefits for communities adjacent to protected areas at a level that compensate for a closure of access to valuable (if illegal) resources. 24. Concerning the plantation programme, the species mix for planting appears to have been very well researched. It is several times stated that GZAR presents near ideal agroecological conditions for timber production, so it might be said that the use of Eucalyptus and perhaps some other species which are most useful in harsh environmental conditions could be considered as over-emphasised. Reviewer understands, however, that Eucalyptus will not be planted on karst and not in mixed species plantings, which is acceptable in environmental terms. J. Degree of involvement of stakeholders in the project 25. The involvement of stakeholders in project design, aimed at ensuring that project goals meet local stakeholder needs, has been exhaustive. 26. Plantation component institutional arrangements are complex, with PMO direction and management by FFs in line with their restructuring to private entities and with an aim to improve their currently very low contribution to development of the forest sector. A large 122 number of households will be involved in joint partnership arrangements with FFs for establishment of plantations on their own land (their preferred option). The focus of the project on development of participatory forest management mechanisms will ensure the continuation of this large-scale involvement. 27. Remote communities in the vicinity of nature reserves, to remote to be easily engaged in timber plantation work, will be facilitated to engage with Government programmes and Component 2 activities supporting forest rehabilitation. The capacity of the envisaged ‘community co-management committees’ will need to be created, as they do not currently exist. Alignment of these new committees with existing village planning and administration structures, as proposed, will ensure that various activities undertaken by the village are coordinated – and this forms the basis for a mechanism to ensure linkage between development benefits coordinated by the project and the achievement of conservation goals as set jointly by the village and the nature reserve authority. K. Capacity building aspects 28. The project pays considerable attention to capacity building which will be extremely complex due to the number of stakeholders involved. Capacity building initiatives are clearly presented, however, and appear comprehensive. Reviewers only comment relating to GEF component would be that project should ensure adequate attention is paid to community liaison and deployment skills for nature reserve guards (including ‘forest police’ – mentioned once, Project brief p.45), and particularly that attention be paid to experience from other countries which face the common problem of patrolling large areas with few staff and which have long ago determined that central and unpredictable deployment and the management skills for this are very important (see Specific comments). L. Innovativeness of the project 29. The project as a whole is highly innovative in China in representing a provincial level in-depth sector-wide approach to forestry, where GoC programmes are used as the basis for integrating the management of production and protection forests, with overall themes of watershed protection, livelihoods development and biodiversity conservation. Considering both livelihoods development and biodiversity conservation priorities across an entire landscape presents problems in terms of the legal basis for co-management and extractive use of protection forests and nature reserves, the incorporation of biodiversity considerations into production forestry and overall land use planning, inter-departmental responsibilities, jurisdictions and financial support. However, lessons learned in this project will be of major importance in guiding similar holistic approaches. 30. The mechanisms proposed for small-scale plantation development, management and monitoring are to a large extent tried and tested (although the species mixes envisaged are perhaps innovative) and use existing Government structures. The main variations of the project are a particular effort at stakeholder involvement in planning the financing mechanisms and distribution of benefits (i.e. joint partnership arrangements with FFs). 123 Quality control and environmental monitoring will be difficult, however, due to the wide distribution and small size of individual forest plantation lots and some innovative mechanisms remain to be developed here. 31. The BioCarbon pilot is of major significance and approaches adopted here will provide guidance for similar initiatives throughout the region. 32. The landscape focus of the project on karst is in itself highly innovative and its consideration of below ground biodiversity even more so. Technical aspects of support planned for nature reserves to a large extent put into practice planning and management models developed under previous programmes. The primary innovative aspects mentioned here concern the engagement of local communities and definition of benefits to support this process. Reviewer’s opinion is that management planning models proposed are perhaps not innovative enough and need to more forcibly address the issue of linkages with Government planning and financing processes. There are risks here in that nature reserve managers will not see good reasons to adopt management processes and activities that are project-driven and not requested by Government, and this should be addressed at policy level by relevant stakeholder organizations. M. Specific comments on Project Brief 33. p.5 (Alternatives considered and reasons for rejection.) Last point. This is entirely valid, but the enabling environment also extends away from the immediate physical environment to the socio-political environment and the project as a whole will need to address this through consultative processes and policy adjustment at higher levels to achieve aims of GEF component. The project appears able to do this through its management structures and should ensure this happens. Common problems are not always solvable at the level of interaction between the nature reserves and local communities. 34. p.14 (M&E) Reviewer emphasises the importance of not only ‘integrating biodiversity conservation initiatives into forest resource and land management’ but in ensuring feedback through the M&E system to ensure that land use is actually decided on the basis of both conservation values and production potential. 35. p.44, (Management plan implementation) Reviewer strongly recommends Guard Post construction (provision of equipment, etc.) be dependent on a staff deployment analysis. There is a regional tendency to distribute Guards in small numbers in different guard posts with individual patrolling areas, rather than organise a centrally deployed guard force that can be much more unpredictable in its management activities. A lesson learned elsewhere is that unpredictability is as important as capacity in apprehending forest violators. 124 36. p.49 (Community conservation education and public awareness) The programme as elaborated here seems rather unfocussed and needs a consultation process at an early stage in implementation to determine the most useful approaches and methods to be applied. 125 Bank Task Team's Responses to STAP Reviewer Comments A. KEY ISSUES 1. SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL SOUNDNESS OF THE PROJECT: The Reviewer believes that the project is scientifically and technically sound. He finds that the GEF-funded Component and activities are important in that it aims to establish protected area management as an integrated part of the landscape management strategies, rather than set-aides. It aims to extend biodiversity protection principles outwards from the protected areas into the wider landscape. The landscape level interventions also give scope for integrating biodiversity protection in other forms of forest management, especially where the biodiversity concerns is underground and therefore where the factor is the control of local climate and water regimes through establishing and maintaining forest cover above ground. He queried the extent to which project planning and implementation review mesh with socio-economic planning for GZAR and expressed some reservation about the M&E system and its institutionalization post-project. The project will assist in the development of provincial-level forest sector development and conservation strategy. This strategy would be approved by the provincial government and therefore will need to consistent with the provincial socio-economic development plans. The overall project M&E system will be implemented through existing government structures and staff at different levels supplemented by participation of local communities in the case of the nature reserves. Not establishing new or parallel systems will ensure continuation of the monitoring post-project. 2. IDENTIFICATION OF GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS: The project area is extremely rich in biodiversity and so far has received less attention than neighboring regions of similar importance. Much of the biodiversity and forest resources of the area are currently unmanaged or provide only domestic benefits unrelated to environmental protection. The project provides the opportunity for these areas to begin providing measurable global benefits. The Task Team agrees. 3. HOW DOES THE PROJECT FIT WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF THE GOALS OF GEF: The project focuses on GEF OP#3 (Forest Ecosystems) but also fits within the context of GEF Operational Strategy Priorities BI and BII. The Task Team agrees. 126 4. REGIONAL CONTEXT: The project is restricted to Guangxi but has wider implications for China as a whole and has aspects of trans-boundary conservation with Vietnam. In addition, the project fits with priorities of eco-regional approaches. The Task Team agrees. 5. REPLICABILITY OF THE PROJECT: The project activities are replicable. For instance, GEF interventions in piloting management planning approaches and their integration with communities around the nature reserves, and capacity building to achieve this can be replicated in other areas. A key feature of the project is to pilot means of small scale timber plantation and management systems as a livelihoods improvement approach which also addresses a supply-demand gap that is heavily impacting on natural forests. The reviewer is however concerned with the efficiency of quality control and monitoring systems for plantations spread in small lots over a very wide area, but if the project manages to address some of these inherent problems it will provide widely applicable models of small-holder plantation approaches consistent with the local absorptive capacity for new technologies. The Task Team agrees that the project activities are replicable. With regard to quality control and monitoring of plantation lots, there is already experience with this from a previous project on forestry development in poor areas, and no major issues on M&E have been identified with regard to working with small holders. 6. SUSTAINABILITY OF THE PROJECT: All the proposed project interventions are consistent with local absorptive capacity to assist sustainability. As an intention of the project is to identify further potential protected areas, which will require government funds, shortage of government operational funding for protected areas could however become a constraint. The Reviewer suggests that the GEF intervention should develop means of re-focusing existing funds, perhaps through reevaluation of priorities through the Guangxi protected area system as part of a provincial protected area planning exercise. The Task Team agrees that the project activities can be sustained and that re-focusing of existing government funds could further assist sustainability. The Forestry review under Component 4 will include a provincial protected area planning exercise to rationalize the provincial protected area (PA) system. Degazetting low value PAs would free up funds for other more important sites. 127 B. SECONDARY ISSUES 7. LINKAGE TO OTHER FOCAL AREAS: The reviewer describes that the project as a whole focuses on reversing land degradation through forest development, for land cover and biodiversity protection, and for livelihood improvement. In addition, he describes linkages to the climate change focal area. The Task Team agrees. 8. LINKAGE TO OTHER PROGRAMMES AND ACTIONS PLANS AT THE REGIONAL OR SUB-REGIONAL LEVEL: The reviewer believes that the project links well with other programmes and action plans including for instance all relevant aspects of China’s Sustainable Forestry Development Strategy and other central Government instruments. He also describes that GEF interventions apply tools and lessons learned from previous GEF projects at national level and selected provinces. Site selection and overall focus is consistent with the goals of the Government Biodiversity Conservation Action Plan, and conservation objectives are also linked to WWF and FFI action plans and to regional action plans for karst landscape conservation. The Task Team agrees. 9. OTHER BENEFICIAL OR DAMAGING ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS: The reviewer believes that potential environmental impacts are adequately considered in the project proposal. However, the key issue for the project as a whole is the extent to which project benefits reach the more remote communities who are most proximate and rely to the greatest extent on natural resources from key nature reserves. The project clearly aims to support these communities but may need to clarify at an early stage more precisely how these benefits will be delivered or facilitated by the project on an individual community basis. . The Task Team agrees. The Community Relationships with Nature Reserves Sub-component aims to work with local communities to solve key problems which will include community skills enhancement. 10. DEGREE OF INVOLVEMENT OF STAKEHOLDERS IN THE PROJECT: The involvement of stakeholders in project design, aimed at ensuring that project goals meet local stakeholder needs, has been exhaustive. The Task Team agrees. 128 11. CAPACITY BUILDING ASPECTS: The project pays considerable attention to capacity building. Capacity building initiatives are clearly presented and appear comprehensive. The project should ensure adequate attention is paid to community liaison and deployment skills for nature reserve guards as well as experiences from other countries facing common problems of patrolling large areas with few staff. The Task Team agrees. The project will use curriculum developed under previous GEFfinanced Nature Reserves Management Project which includes modules for forest guards. The curriculum built on international experiences of FFI, WWF, WCS, etc. 12. INNOVATIVENESS OF THE PROJECT: The project as a whole is highly innovative. Four examples are provided. The Reviewer felt that proposed management planning models are not innovative enough and therefore need to link with government planning and financing processes. The management planning process proposed is based on experiences of the two previous GEf-financed biodiversity projects in China of what worked and did not work. The proposal to develop an overall strategic management plan for the reserve which includes details of the baseline conditions, management strategy and objective, and proposed zonation and management activities, and an operational management plan which includes detailed budget specifying one-time and recurrent expenditures is one key lesson learned to better link with government’s own planning and budgeting process. C. SPECIFIC COMMENTS 13. ENABLING ENVIRONMENT EXTENDS BEYOND IMMEDIATE PHYSICAL ENVIRONMENT: The reviewer pointed out that common problems are not always solvable at the level of interaction between the nature reserves and local communities. The task team agrees. The Community Relationship Subcomponent will also support facilitation and fostering of closer working relationships between nature serves, local communities and district and provincial government. 14. INTEGRATING FINDINGS FROM MONITORING INTO DECISIONMAKING: The Reviewer emphasizes the importance of not only “integrating biodiversity conservation initiatives into forest resource and land management” but in ensuring feedback through the 129 monitoring and evaluation (M&E) system to ensure that these two considerations are given appropriate weighting in deciding land use options. The Task Team agrees. The importance of using data from monitoring to give recommendations for project adjustments and improvements will be emphasized in the description of the M&E Programme (Component 4). 15. STAFF DEPLOYMENT ANALYSIS Reviewer recommends Guard Post construction (provision of equipment, etc.) in Nature Reserves be dependent on a staff deployment analysis. He describes a regional tendency to distribute Guards in small numbers in different guard posts with individual patrolling areas, rather than organize a centrally deployed guard force that can be much more unpredictable in its management activities. The Task Team agrees. Preparation of a Staff Deployment Analysis will be included as part of the training plan. 16. COMMUNITY CONSERVATION EDUCATION AND PUBLIC AWARENESS As written, the program seems to be unfocused and there is a need for a consultation progress at an early stage of implementation to determine the most useful approaches and methods to be applied. The Task Team agrees. A situation analysis and conservation education/public awareness plan will be developed during year 1 of implementation. 130 Annex 17: Line of Credit Arrangements China: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation A. Proposed Financing of Project Component 1 - Expanding Timber Plantation 1. Under the proposed project, two groups of final beneficiaries would use project/Bank loan funds. The first group is made up of provincial FFs. These are stateowned enterprises under the supervision of the GFB. The management team and boards of the FFs are appointed by the GFB. Their role is to manage state-owned forest plantations on behalf of the Government. In return, the FFs receive fees to cover their costs. The FFs have also been serving as development centers for afforestation technology and plantation management. New technology is disseminated from the FFs to rural communities via demonstration programs, farm-community joint afforestation projects and nursery products (seedlings and saplings). Additionally, the farms provide community services (schools and hospitals). It is anticipated that implementation of the afforestation program of the FFs under the project would be financed by project funds (Bank loan and counterpart funds) in the form of budget transfers. Under this arrangement, Bank loan funds would be passed on to the FFs via the GFB to plant forests. The cost of these plantations would be recovered by the GFB. The incremental forest plantation assets financed by the project would be owned by the Provincial Government and could be disposed off at will. There would be no line of credit or on-lending for the afforestation work to be implemented by the FFs. 2. The second group of final beneficiaries is made up of farm households (HHs), communities and informal farm entities/associations. Project funds/Bank loan would be onlent to these beneficiaries for the purpose of establishing new forest plantations. It is expected that project households would plant about 34 percent of project plantations, communities would plant about 22 percent and informal farm entities would plant a little less than 5 percent. The line of credit (LOC) provisions of OP 8.30 would apply to the onlending of project funds that would be made available to this latter category of project beneficiaries. B. Present Status of Credit Services and Proposed Intermediation Arrangements Existing Financial Institutions: 3. During the course of project preparation, the task team met with representatives of the four financial institutions that provide financial services or have an impact on the agricultural/rural sectors in the project areas. These institutions are the China Development Bank (CDB), The Agricultural Bank of China (ABC), the PRC’s Central Bank Office in Guangxi and the Rural Credit Cooperative (RCC) System. These institutions confirmed that: (a) Long-term credit for the establishment of forest plantations was not available to households. 131 (b) The CDB and the Agricultural Development Bank offer long-term credit for forest plantation establishment only to solvent FFs and forest companies. (c) The rural finance system in China is heavily regulated by the People’s Bank of China, particularly with regard to interest rate charged by financial institutions. Bank lending terms are approximately as follows: loan maturity varies from about 5-15 years, with one (ABC) to three (CDB) years of grace and a commercial interest rate of between 5.76 percent (ABC) and 6.12 percent (CDB). (d) During the past five years, the combined efforts of CDB and ABC were only able to partially satisfy the demand for financing afforestation activities. The lack of sufficient financing is a constraint on the growth and development of the forestry sector in Guangxi. (e) When they meet certain criteria, large borrowers are able to obtain interest subsidies from one of the following three sources: (i) the infrastructure subsidy for the CDB loans – a 3 percent discount over a period of three years for ten-year loans; (ii) the desertification subsidy for commercial loans – a 2 percent discount over a period of three years for tenyear loans; and (iii) the poverty alleviation subsidy - a 2.76 percent discount over one year for long-term loans. (f) The Rural Credit Cooperative System (RCC) is the only officially-licensed provider of financial services to rural households and at present it offers only short-term loans. There is no intention on the part of RCCs to finance medium - to long-term loans to the forest sector. Credit Intermediation by Government Institutions 4. Over the past fifteen years, Guangxi benefited from three Bank-financed forestry projects. In the absence of a functioning banking system in the projects’ areas and in order to provide the credit needed to establish forest plantations, the Bank and the GoC agree to use a combination of FBs and the MoF disbursement system (Finance Bureaus) to intermediate sub-loans for the three Bank-financed projects. Under this arrangement, most of the Bank loan proceeds were passed on to various FFs as budget transfers with provisions for future cost recovery. In some instances, Bank funds were used by FFs to enter into share-cropping contract arrangements under which the FFs contribute the cost of afforestation and the households contribute land and labor. This has worked well in the past, and both the FF and households benefited. The implementation of this budget transfer/cost recovery scheme was implemented by the PPMO and County PMOs, which were part of the Forestry Bureau. The PPMO/PMOs’ role was to plan the overall project design and oversee the implementation of its activities on behalf of the Forestry Bureau. The role of the PPMO/PMOs also included, inter alia, appraising, disbursing and recovering the cost of the capital investments under the three projects. Currently, there is no overdue cost recovery from the FFs to the Forest Bureau and onward to the Finance Bureau. 132 Alternatives Considered and Proposed Arrangement 5. As indicated above, the project will only provide a line of credit for the second group of final beneficiaries which includes the households, communities and small-size private entities. Under the present circumstances, none of the existing financial institutions (CDB, ABC, and RCCs) are equipped or interested in providing credit to these clients for forest plantation. Some ABC and RCC agencies work with households, community groups, etc., but only for the provision of seasonal (less than one year) credit. Because of past lending practices, many RCC branches are insolvent and some are illiquid. In addition, the ownership structure of the RCC system is ambiguous. Even though the RCC system is in a restructuring program, it would currently not meet the minimum prudential requirements to qualify as a financial intermediary for the purposes of on-lending Bank loans under the Bank’s OP 8.30. 7. In view of the fact that existing financial institutions are neither equipped for nor interested in providing the credit services required by project households, communities and small entities, it is proposed to continue having the Forestry Bureau and its PPMO/PMO network manage the project’s afforestation line of credit. The PPMO and PMOs are government institutions whose primary activity is not on-lending ODA funds. The PPMO/PMOs network and Finance Bureaus are not considered to be commercial financial institutions and there is no intention to convert them into banks. They have been selected for this activity as a transitory measure because there is no viable commercial financial system that could perform this task adequately. Recently, the Bank has carried out a rural finance study in China. It is hoped that future efforts by the GoC with assistance from the Bank and other donors would lead to greater involvement of commercial banks in financing rural development. Active engagement and discussion have been carried out between the Bank’s financial sector and rural sector with the key government agencies to explore options of future investment in the sector. C. Institutional Arrangements and Credit Management Procedure 7. As in other Bank-supported sector investment projects, this project is not designed as a vehicle to address financial sector issues in China, and the government agencies involved in the on-lending of loan proceeds are not commercial financial intermediaries as defined by OP 8.3; the evaluation of commercial financial intermediaries typically required by OP 8.30 is neither possible nor necessary. However, the procedures used by the government-administered system for appraisal, monitoring and collection of sub-loans has been evaluated by the Bank. The Bank has financed three forestry projects in the Province, and there is no overdue payment from the FFs to the Finance Bureau as a request of the effective risk mitigation method. Without the permit issued by the FB, the tree growers and sub-loan beneficiaries cannot harvest or sell the forest plantations funded by the project. Under the project, a PMO has been set up within the FB which will be responsible for making the loan and collecting the repayment. As a result, at harvest and sale, the repayment of the sub-loans is deducted by the buyer of the timber from the sale price, paid directly to the Forestry Bureau/PMOs network or the tree growers (sub-loan beneficiary), or 133 repayment is effected using the harvested timber to make an “in-kind” repayment directly to the Forest Bureau/PMOs network. The PPMO has developed a credit management system and procedures to ensure that the credit line is properly managed and monitored. The credit management procedures have been documented by the Forestry Bureau in the PIP. The credit management procedures cover the terms and conditions of loans, appraisal criteria and process, disbursement, collection, monitoring procedures, recording and reporting norms. These procedures and all attached forms have been reviewed by the Bank; it has been agreed that PPMO will use local banking specialists to make further improvements before the project starts to implement. Institutional Arrangement 8. The PPMO would be responsible for all aspects of project administration, including program management, procurement, financial management, supervision of PMOs, issuing the PIP (including the credit management procedure), and monitoring and evaluation. The 33 project county PMOs would be the focal points managing the project in each county, which includes appraising the application of the final beneficiaries, disbursing, on-lending and collecting the repayment of sub-loans. 9. Households interested in project plantation activities can either apply for sub-loans individually or as part of community groups. In either case, the proposed arrangements would be as detailed below. Credit Management Procedure Loan Application and Approval Procedures 10. When an interested party wishes to obtain a loan, he/she contacts the village government and requests to be listed among the potential end-borrowers. For the borrowing farm households, the formation of a joint-liability borrowing group would be encouraged. Each of the group members would fill out a loan application form, which would contain information related to the activity and level of loan financing required; equity contribution, if any; basic household information including income; indebtedness to formal and informal credit sources; household assets and loan security. The written requests would then be communicated to the county PMOs which would conduct both technical screening and an assessment of the credit-worthiness and debt repayment capability of the farmer. The farmers would submit: (a) a list of assets to be used as collateral in addition to the plantation; (b) existing income details of the borrowing households. If the farmer is determined to be credit worthy and meets all of the other criteria for planting the trees, he/she be listed as an end borrower. An on-lending contract be signed between the household and the County Forest Bureau. The contract, a copy of which is kept by the farmer, would define the amount of the loan, the interest to be paid and the repayment schedule, as well as the penalties for late repayment. 134 11. The County Participatory Design Group (representatives from village, township and county PMO) appraise and approve loan applications with a value up to RMB50,000. The Review Committee (representatives from county PMO, Finance Bureau aided by a banking specialist) appraise and approve loan applications with a value between RMB50,000 and RMB300,000. Any loan application valued at more than RMB300,000 would need to be submitted to the Provincial PMO for final approval after its successful appraisal by the Review Committee. Selection Criteria of Project End-Borrowers 12. A set of selection criteria for sub-borrowers has been agreed. These include: (a) the communities, households and afforestation entities would voluntarily participate in the project; (b) the proposed plantation site has to meet the specific soil and climatic requirement for certain species, and be relatively close to the main roads; (c) is willing to use the existing forest land as collateral; (d) equal opportunity would be given to minority ethnic groups to participate in the project activities; and (e) the household selection process would be transparent and would be undertaken through a participatory approach based on the above selection criteria. It was further agreed that in selecting project beneficiaries the following criteria be used by the PMOs and County Finance Bureaus: for households applying for project sub-loans, the households should have: (a) experience and skill in establishing and maintaining production forest plantation; (b) sufficient labor power; (c) the ability to repay their subloans, based on their projected household cash flow, credit history, current debt load, current household income status, and co-signatories/guarantors. Loan Default Risks, Credit Monitoring and Collection of Loans 13. To improve loan collection and repayment and in order to reduce default risks, the Guangxi Government plans to enforce the following rules: (a) The Forest Bureaus will continue to control the harvesting of forest plantations by issuing tree-cutting permits, and will keep itself informed of all sales of forest trees planted with sub-loans; in most cases, sub-loan repayments would be collected through the purchaser of the standing timber, who would pay the amount owed by the farmer directly to the relevant forest bureau; (b) the contracts with end-borrowers prohibit the unauthorized sale of all trees before their corresponding sub-loan is fully paid; and (c) sub-loan collection rates will be used to evaluate the performance of the Finance and Forest Bureau staff in charge of sub-loan recovery. The PPMO plans to develop a Project MIS system, which would be used to manage and monitor the project sub-loans and other on-lending aspects. The system would, inter alia, monitor sub-loan appraisal dates and amounts, disbursement dates and amounts, recovery dates and amounts, overdues, default and breach of obligations and the main reasons for their occurrence, remedies taken, and debt write-offs. Key loan portfolio quality indicators such as collection rates will also be included. The monitoring system would be computer-based within each county Forest Bureau. 135 14. The staff from both Finance and Forest Bureaus would receive credit management training, especially on loan assessment and administration with emphasis on long-term loans, delinquency management, collections and monitoring. When necessary, the PPMO would hire banking specialists to help appraise the creditworthiness of large end-borrowers. Flow of Funds 15. The Provincial Finance Bureau would on-lend loan proceeds to the County Finance Bureau which takes the credit risk on behalf of the County government. The County Finance Bureau then on-lends to County Forest Bureaus which in turn lends to final beneficiaries. Since in most counties the RCC has established the credit score and rating system for each rural household, the County Forest Bureau can use the system to help make sound decision on the debt repayment capacity of the borrowing households. In addition, the PPMO has developed the appraisal criteria and term sheet to be included in the credit management procedure. The On-lending Agreement will be signed between the endborrower and the County Forest Bureau. Township Forest Station staff, with help from Finance Station staff, would be responsible for making the contractual agreements with beneficiaries and would also be responsible for the collection of interest and loan repayment and for monitoring the cost-recovery performance. 16. The flow of Bank loan funds would follow the traditional Ministry of Finance route as described by the chart below. The World Bank SA managed by GPFB Provincial Forest Bureau Provincial State-Owned Forest Farms Communities County Finance Bureau County Forest Bureau Farm households 17. The recovery of loans would follow a similar flow, but in reverse. Repayment is received by the county Finance Bureaus and passed on to the provincial Finance Bureaus. 136 Essentially, it is the Forest Bureau that will bear the credit risk of on-lending. All funds repaid to the Provincial Finance Bureau will be returned to the budget, and there will be no revolving fund facility. D. Proposed Project On-lending Terms to Final Sub-borrowers 18. Interest rates in China are controlled administratively by the Central Bank. They have recently moved from a fixed interest rate regime to operating within specified interest rate bands. These interest rate bands vary by industry. There is one potential interest rate anchor for on-lending to final sub-borrowers under this project. Both CDB and ABC make medium-term loans to legal entities for financing plantations of one type of fast-growing forest tree. These loans have a 3-15 year maturity and the annual interest rate is in the range of 5.76 percent - 6.12 percent. The GoC considers forestry development as an important measure to improve the ecological environment. As forest plantation establishment has a relatively low financial rate of return with long harvest rotation, the GoC applies a preferential policy to promote the development and growth of forest resources. Recently, the MOF and the Ministry of Forestry issued a joint-regulation which provides rebates on interest rates paid by tree-planting entities on their loans from the domestic financial intermediaries. 19. Based on the above analysis of the prevailing interest rates for similar loans, the GoC has proposed that the interest rate on on-lending to the households under this project would be the same as that of CDB and ABC’s. There is also a political dimension to the Provincial governments’ request to set the proposed interest rate to the households. The GoC is concerned with the growing divide between rural and urban incomes and has instructed all Provincial governments to adopt policies that support farm incomes. The Guangxi provincial government is concerned that it would be seen to be exploiting farmers if it borrows funds at the IBRD rate and on-lends funds at a higher rate. The initial proposal of the Provincial government was to on-lend at the IBRD rate, without a mark-up. During project preparation, through a process of analysis and negotiation, and in the absence of any reference rate for medium - to long-term loans in the project area to farm households, it was agreed that the interest rate would be administratively set. The interest rate to be charged to beneficiaries of project sub-loans would take into account all costs associated with the Bank’s loan, plus the relevant operating costs and a provision for credit risk. As such, it is agreed that a minimum 2 percent spread will be added to the Bank’s loan cost to the GoC to cover the operating cost of government staff and risk provision. This was the highest rate that the Guangxi provincial government was willing to accept. This interest rate would apply to all end-borrowers. The end-borrower will receive the loan in local currency and no foreign exchange risk would be passed on to the beneficiary households. 20. It was agreed that sub-loan repayments be based on financial models for the various tree species to be planted under the project, taking into consideration estimated cash flows and the fact that end-borrowers would have other sources of income that could be used to repay their sub-loan obligations. Although there are more than ten types of forest tree species, these would be grouped in three categories to simplify on-lending procedures. 137 Each category would have a different maturity and repayment schedule. The financial analysis of the tree models shows that the financial viability of these plantations was sensitive to short repayment and grace periods. While the loan principal will be collected based on the following proposed repayment schedule, the interest incurred on each sub-loan will be collected semi-annually: Type of plantation Eucalyptus Species Bamboo, Quercus, Acacia Chinese Fir, Pine, broad-leaf Species Grace Period Principal Repayment Period 6 6 6 One balloon payment at the end of year 7 . Payment over 6-year period between years 7-12 Payment over 12-year period between years 7-18 21. The PPMO has developed the following draft standard templates with assistance from banking specialist: (a) Loan Application Form; (b) Loan Appraisal Form with evaluation criteria (one for the household and one for the entity); (c) On-lending Agreement with detailed loan term and repayment schedule based on above-mentioned proposal; and (d) Loan Repayment Record including the detailed information regarding the beneficiary, the detailed repayment schedule and actual collection information. These forms have been attached to the draft PIP. 22. At the wrap-up meeting of the pre-appraisal mission with the central government agencies in Beijing, representatives of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), the decision-maker of national capital investment on behalf of the central government, informed the Bank mission that the on-lending interest rate to the endborrower should be passed on as the World Bank rate to the Government without any markup. This is based on NDRC Decree 28 “The Provisional Guidelines for Investment Projects Funded by International Financial Institutions and Foreign Government Loans" which became effective on March 1, 2005. Article 24 of this Decree states “When loans are to be repaid or guaranteed by governments at local levels, the same terms offered by foreign lenders should in principle be passed on to the borrower. Should adjustment of terms be required to hedge against risks of foreign debt, the on-lending agency shall obtain a prior endorsement by NDRC.” In addition, a mark-up on the cost of World Bank loan to endborrowers in the rural countryside is perceived as a deviation from the current government policies, particularly vis a vis the very recent “Report of the Work of the Government” made by the Prime Minister asking for the building of a new socialist countryside. In this report, the GOC calls for making all necessary efforts to stabilize, improve and strengthen government support to rural development. Both the NDRC and Ministry of Finance insisted that the project’s on-lending rate to the end-borrowers should be the same as the Bank’s rate to China without any mark-up. The Bank’s team had several round of discussions with NDRC and MOF explaining the pricing principles that reflects adequate coverage of costs and risks. Finally, Bank rate plus 2 percent spread is the maximum onlending rate which was accepted by both central and local governments. 138 Annex 18: Operations Arrangement Models for Plantation Establishment Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation 1. The project operation/contractual arrangements are decided through a participatory process carried out at the village level, reflecting the preference of the farmers and communities through consultation with them. The main afforestation entities are provincial forest farms, country-level forest farms/small scale planting entities, communities and households. Forest farms will use 53.6% of the WB loan for afforestation activities, communities would use about15% and households 30.5%.. The community and individual households would participate in the planting activities separately and the forest farms would largely cooperate with farmers and communities in carrying out the plantation establishment activities under different production and contract arrangements, which would bring more benefits to farmers. 2. Currently, there are at least four types of contractual arrangements: (a) contract with profit sharing at harvest; (b) contract with mix of annual payments and profit sharing at harvest; (c) contract with guaranteed amount at harvest; and (d) contract to lease the land with annual payments. The mission reviewed the different contractual arrangements, and confirmed that the menu of options would remain open to the farmers. These options have been included in the project information leaflet and disseminated to villages and households. The details of the contractual arrangements, such as inputs and benefit sharing as well as risks would be included in the Participatory Project Design Manual as part of the PIP. This participation/consultation process would ensure that farmers make an informed choice. 3. The five contractual arrangement models are summarized as the following: a. Model one: Contract with profit sharing at harvest. Under this arrangement, farmers and forest farms are the joint partners, where local farmers will contribute lands and labors. Local forest farms will invest in planting activities, provide technical inputs and manage the plantations during the project period. The contractual arrangements will be made between the farmers/communities and the FF on the plantation establishment and management responsibilities, inputs and benefit sharing. The farmers and forest farms will share the income from forest products based on their inputs. In almost cases, the forest farms will pay farmers’ labor inputs as soon as the job is done to ensure their short-term income. b. Model two: Contract with mix of annual payments and profit sharing at harvest. This contractual arrangement is largely as the same as the model one. The difference is that as the forest production has relative long rotation, the forest farms would pay part of the benefits from the final product to farmers as an advance annually during the project period, in order to increase the farmer short-term income for their livelihood needs. 139 Model three: Contract with guaranteed amount at harvest. Under this arrangement, the farmers will contribute lands and labors and forest farms will c. invest in planting activities, provide technical inputs and manage the plantations during the project period. The contractual arrangements will be made between the farmers and the forest farms on the inputs and benefit sharing. The farmers and forest farms will share the income from forest products based on their inputs. However, the farmers’ sharing should be guaranteed by fixed amount of logs or timbers according to their sharing at harvest. According to this arrangement, forest farm would take the natural and investment risks and ensures the farmers’ benefits. The farmers, who have more chance to work out side of the rural areas and the householders with less labor, prefer this arrangement. d. Model four: Contract to lease the land with annual payments. This model is most welcome by the households, which live in the economic backwards and remote areas with plenty of land and less population. The farmers would receive the annually land use payment and the amount of payment is depend on the quality and location of the lands. The forest farm will pay farmers on land use annually and labor inputs as soon as the job is done by cash. The forest farm will manage plantation and benefit from timber products. Under this arrangement, the farmers can get quick income from annual payments and there is no management risk to farmers. 4. The project promotes a variety of joint partnerships where small farmers would not simply rent their land, but would be full partners sharing in the profits of the afforestation venture. However, a large number of households prefer the prevailing practice of contract with annual payments by leasing the land to forest farms for plantation establishment. The project would improve such contract compared to the current practice of long-term land leasing. First, the contract will include a clause for arbitration to help resolve disputes which may arise between households and forest farms. Second, the contract will offer two options to allow for increase in land rental fee during the contract period which ranges. The first option would allow for the adjustment of rental fee after first cultivation based on the current timber price. The second option would be increasing rental fee by agreed percentage every five years until end of the contract period. The percentage would be negotiated and agreed upon before the contract is signed or each five year. 140 Maps CHINA: Guangxi Integrated Forestry Development and Conservation Project See maps IBRD Nos. 34708, 34734, 34735 in attached PDF file. 141