Calculation of p-value for Wilcoxon Signed-Rank test The null hypothesis for the Signed-Rank test is that the distributions of eye-itch scores are equivalent for each treatment. The probabilities of a certain magnitude being positive or negative are equivalent (p = ½). Under H0 the probability for any arrangement of signs of the ranks is (½ )n The p-value is just k∙(½)n, where k is the number of arrangements of signs that yield a statistic as or more extreme than the observed statistic ranks of magnitudes of observations obs data Other arrangements of signs that result in SPR as or more extreme 3 3 - + - + - - - - 3 + - 3 + - 3 6.5 6.5 + - 8 - sum of positive ranks 3 0 3 3 3 3 In our eye-itch data, there are 6 possible arrangements of the signs that would yield a sum of the positive ranks equal to or less than that observed (note we include the observed arrangement). The one-sided p-value would be 6∙(½)8 = 0.0234. The two-sided p-value is 2 × 0.0234 = 0.0468. P-value for Wilcoxon Rank-Sum test The null hypothesis the distributions of each group is the same Under H0 both samples come from the same distribution so the probability of any n1 of the n1+n2 ranks is equally likely. Can compute the distribution of all possible sums of the ranks in group 1, then compare the observed statistic to this distribution distribution of possible sums of ranks of controls p = 0.009 36.5 p = 0.008 50 102.5 116 rank sums This distribution was created by computer sampling. If there are no ties in the data, then distribution calculation is easier (and tables are available in some texts) Note distribution looks normal. See coursepack for computation of Normal approximation p-value.