Math 141 Week-In-Review 7.1-7.6, 8.1-8.4 1. If 65% of a store’s customers are female and 80% of the female customers have charge accounts at the store, what is the probability that a customer selected at random is a female and has a charge account? Solution: P(FC) = P(C|F) P(F) = .80(.65) = .52 2. A single card is drawn from a standard 52-card deck. If event E is the drawn card is a spade and event F is the drawn card is a 8 or 9, are the two events independent? Solution: P(E) P(F) = (1/4)(8/52) = 1/26 P(EF) = 2/52 = 1/26 Yes, they are independent. 3. If the odds in favor of Jamie attending class on Friday is 7/11, what is the probability that Jamie will skip class on Friday? Express your answer to the nearest tenth of a percent. Solution: 7/18 38.9% 4. A fair die is rolled 8 times. What is the probability of getting a 5 on the 8th roll, given that a 5 turned up on the preceding 7 rolls? Solution: 1/6 5. A survey indicated that 68% of college students like a certain product. Based on the survey, find the probability that at least 25 college students in a sample of 30 like the product. Solution: Binomial Experiment---.0488… 6. Find P(AC) by referring to the following tree diagram: C .7 A .3 .62 D .45 C .38 B .55 D Solution: P(AC) = P(A)+P(C)-P(AC) = .791 7. Find the probabilities by referring to the following tree diagram: C .4 U .6 .2 CC C .5 .2 V .8 .3 CC C .6 W .4 CC a. P(C) Solution: .08 + .1 +.18 = .36 b. P(C|U) Solution: .4 c. P(VC) Solution: P(V) + P(C) – P(VC) = .5 + .36 - .1 = .76 d. P(U|C) Solution: .08/.36 = 2/9 e. P(V/ C C ) Solution: .4/(.12+.4+.12) = 1/16 f. P(VC) Solution: .1 g. P(C|W) Solution: .18 8. The probability of a pencil lead breaking during next test is .085. What are the odds in favor of a pencil lead breaking during the next test? Solution: .085/.915 = 17/183 9. A committee of five must be chosen from among 8 girls and 20 boys. What is the probability that at least 3 girls are on the committee? Round your answer to 4 decimal places. Solution: [C(8,3)C(20,2) + C(8,4)C(20,1) + C(8,5)]/C(28,5) = 8/65 .123 10. Three balls are drawn, at the same time, from a bag containing 4 white and 5 red balls. Let the random variable X denote the number of red balls drawn. a. Classify the random variable as a) finite discrete, b) infinite discrete, or c) continuous. Solution: finite discrete b. Find the probability distribution of the random variable associated with this experiment. Solution: X P(X) 0 C(5,3)/C(9,3) = 5/42 1 C(4,1)C(5,2)/C(9,3) = 10/21 2 C(4,2)C(5,1)/C(9,3) = 5/14 3 C(4,3)/C(9,3) = 1/21 c. How many white balls can you expect to draw from the box? Solution: E(X) = 0(5/42) + 1(10/21) + 2(5/14) + 3(1/21) = 4/3 11. Suppose P(EF) = .68, P(E) = .38 and P(F) = .3. Are the events E and F independent? Why or why not? Solution: P(E) P(F) = .38*.3 = .114 P(EF) = P(EF) – P(E) – P(F) = .68 - .38 - .3 = 0 No, because P(E) P(F) P(EF) 12. A pair of fair dice is cast. What is the probability that the sum of the numbers falling uppermost is even given that one of the numbers is a 4? Solution: 5/11 13. A carton of 25 calculator batteries contains 4 dead ones. A random sample of 5 is selected from the 25 and tested. Let X be the random variable associated with the number of dead batteries found in a sample. a. Classify the random variable as a) finite discrete, b) infinite discrete, or c) continuous. Solution: finite discrete b. Find the probability distribution of X. Solution: X P(X) 0 C(21,5)/C(25,5) .3830 1 C(21,4)C(4,1)/C(25,5) .4506 2 C(21,3)C(4,2)/C(25,5) .1502 3 C(21,2)C(4,3)/C(25,5) .0158 4 C(21,1)C(4,4)/C(25,5) .0004 c. Find the expected number of dead batteries found in a sample. Solution: E(X) 0(.3830) + 1(.4506) + 2(.1502) + 3(.0158) + 4(.0004) = .8 14. What is the expected value (long-run average) of the number of dots facing up for the roll of a single die? Solution: 1(1/6) + 2(1/6) + 3(1/6) + 4(1/6) + 5(1/6) + 6(1/6) = 21/6 = 3.5 15. A spinner device is numbered from 0 to 6, and each of the numbers is as likely to come up as any other. A player who bets $1 on any given number wins $5 (and gets the bet back) if the pointer comes to rest on the chosen number; otherwise, the $1 bet is lost. What is the expected value of the game (long-run average gain or loss per game)? Solution: E(X) = 5(1/7) – 1(6/7) = -1/7 -14 cents X 5 -1 P(X) 1/7 6/7 16. Use the data set in the histogram to answer the following questions. a. What is the median? Solution: 10 b. What is the variance? Solution: 5.15 .35 c. What is the standard deviation? .30 Solution: 2.2694 .25 d. What is the expected value of X? .20 Solution: .85 .15 e. What is the interquartile range? .10 Solution: 10-6 = 4 .05 f. What is the mode? Solution: 10 4 6 8 10 12 An experiment consists of selected a letter at random from the words SAMPLE SPACE. 17. Write the sample space for the experiment. Solution: {A, C, E, L, M, P, S} 18. How many events are possible for the experiment? Solution: 2^7 = 128 19. What is the event that a letter chosen in the situation is a vowel? Solution: {A, E} 20. Let the random variable X denote the number of boys in a six-child family. If the probability of a male birth is .508, a. Find the probability of exactly 3 boys in a six-child family. Solution: Binomial Experiment: .3123 b. Find the probability of at least 4 boys in a six-child family. Solution: .3589 c. Construct the binomial distribution and draw the histogram associated with the experiment. Solution: X 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 P(X) .0142 .0879 .2268 .3123 .2418 .0999 .0172 .35 .30 .25 .20 .15 .10 .05 0 1 2 3 45 6 d. Compute the mean and standard deviation of the random variable associated with this experiment. Solution: Mean 3.0480 Standard Deviation 1.2247