Chapter 7 9. a. x xi / n 465 93 5 b. Totals s 11. a. b. 15. a. ( xi x ) ( xi x ) 2 94 100 85 94 92 465 +1 +7 -8 +1 -1 0 1 49 64 1 1 116 ( xi x ) 2 116 5.39 n 1 4 x xi / n s xi $45,500 $4,550 10 ( xi x )2 9,068,620 $1003.80 n 1 10 1 The sampling distribution is normal with E ( x ) = = 200 x / n 50 / 100 5 For 5, 195 x 205 Using Standard Normal Probability Table: At x = 205, z At x = 195, z x x x x 5 1 P( z 1) = .8413 5 5 1 P ( z 1) = .1587 5 P(195 x 205) = .8413 - .1587 = .6826 Using Excel: =NORMDIST(205,200,5,TRUE)-NORMDIST(195,200,5,TRUE) = .6827 b. For 10, 190 x 210 Using Standard Normal Probability Table: At x = 210, z x x 10 2 5 P( z 2) = .9772 7-1 Chapter 7 At x = 190, z x x 10 2 P ( z 2) = .0228 5 P(190 x 210) = .9772 - .0228 = .9544 Using Excel: =NORMDIST(210,200,5,TRUE)-NORMDIST(190,200,5,TRUE) = .9545 17. a. b. x / n 10 / 50 141 . n / N = 50 / 50,000 = .001 Use x / n 10 / 50 141 . c. n / N = 50 / 5000 = .01 Use x / n 10 / 50 141 . d. n / N = 50 / 500 = .10 Use x N n N 1 n 500 50 10 134 . 500 1 50 Note: Only case (d) where n /N = .10 requires the use of the finite population correction factor. = 2.34 = .20 25. a. n = 30 z x / n .03 .20 / 30 .82 P(2.31 x 2.37) = P(-.82 z .82) = .7939 - .2061 = .5878 Using Excel: =NORMDIST(2.37,2.34,.20/SQRT(30),TRUE)NORMDIST(2.31,2.34,.20/SQRT(30),TRUE)=.5887 b. n = 50 z x / n .03 .20 / 50 1.06 P(2.31 x 2.37) = P(-1.06 z 1.06) = .8554 - .1446 = .7108 Using Excel: =NORMDIST(2.37,2.34,.20/SQRT(50),TRUE)NORMDIST(2.31,2.34,.20/SQRT(50),TRUE)=.7112 c. n = 100 z x / n .03 .20 / 100 1.50 7-2 Sampling and Sampling Distributions P(2.31 x 2.37) = P(-1.50 z 1.50) = .9332 - .0668 = .8664 Using Excel: =NORMDIST(2.37,2.34,.20/SQRT(100),TRUE)NORMDIST(2.31,2.34,.20/SQRT(100),TRUE)=.8664 d. None of the sample sizes in parts (a), (b), and (c) are large enough. At z = 1.96 we find P(-1.96 z 1.96) = .95. So, we must find the sample size corresponding to z = 1.96. Solve .03 1.96 .20 / n .20 n 1.96 13.0667 .03 n 170.73 Rounding up, we see that a sample size of 171 will be needed to ensure a probability of .95 that the sample mean will be within $.03 of the population mean. 31. a. p p(1 p) .30(.70) .0458 n 100 p .30 The normal distribution is appropriate because np = 100(.30) = 30 and n(1 - p) = 100(.70) = 70 are both greater than 5. b. P (.20 p .40) = ? z .40 .30 2.18 P(z ≤ 2.18) = .9854 .0458 P(z < -2.18) = .0146 P(.20 ≤ p ≤ .40) = .9854 - .0146 = .9708 Using Excel: =NORMDIST(.40,.30,.0458,TRUE)-NORMDIST(.20,.30,.0458,TRUE) = .9710 c. P (.25 p .35) = ? 7-3 Chapter 7 z .35 .30 1.09 P(z ≤ 1.09) = .8621 .0458 P(z < -1.09) = .1379 P(.25 ≤ p ≤ .35) = .8621 - .1379 = .7242 Using Excel: =NORMDIST(.35,.30,.0458,TRUE)-NORMDIST(.25,.30,.0458,TRUE) = .7250 33. a. Normal distribution E ( p ) = .50 p b. z p (1 p) n p p p (.50)(1 .50) .0206 589 .04 1.94 .0206 P(z ≤ 1.94) = .9738 P(z < -1.94) = .0262 P(.46 ≤ p ≤ .54) = .9738 - .0262 = .9476 Using Excel: =NORMDIST(.54,.50,.0206,TRUE)-NORMDIST(.46,.50,.0206,TRUE) = .9478 c. z p p p .03 1.46 .0206 P(z ≤ 1.46) = .9279 P(z < -1.46) = .0721 P(.47 ≤ p ≤ .53) = .9279 - .0721 = .8558 Using Excel: =NORMDIST(.53,.50,.0206,TRUE)-NORMDIST(.47,.50,.0206,TRUE) = .8547 d. z p p p .02 .97 .0206 P(z ≤ .97) = .8340 P(z < -.97) = .1660 P(.48 ≤ p ≤ .52) = .8340 - .1660 = .6680 Using Excel: =NORMDIST(.52,.50,.0206,TRUE)-NORMDIST(.48,.50,.0206,TRUE) = .6684 7-4 Sampling and Sampling Distributions 35. a. Normal distribution with E( p ) = p = .25 and p(1 p) .25(1 .25) .0137 n 1000 p z b. p p p .03 2.19 .0137 P(z ≤ 2.19) = .9857 P(z < -2.19) = .0143 P(.22 p .28) = P(-2.19 z 2.19) = .9857 - .0143 = .9714 Using Excel: =NORMDIST(.28,.25,.0137,TRUE)-NORMDIST(.22,.25,.0137,TRUE) = .9715 z c. p p .25(1 .25) 500 .03 1.55 .0194 P(z ≤ 1.55) = .9394 P(z < -1.55) = .0606 P(.22 p .28) = P(-1.55 z 1.55) = .9394 - .0606 = .8788 Using Excel: =NORMDIST(.28,.25,.0194,TRUE)-NORMDIST(.22,.25,.0194,TRUE) = .8780 Chapter 8 13. a. x xi 80 10 n 8 b. s xi ( xi x ) ( xi x ) 2 10 8 12 15 13 11 6 5 0 -2 2 5 3 1 -4 -5 0 4 4 25 9 1 16 25 84 ( xi x )2 84 3.464 n 1 7 7-5 Chapter 7 c. t.025 (s / n ) 2.365(3.464 / 8) 2.9 d. x t.025 (s / n ) 10 ± 2.9 or 7.1 to 12.9 15. x t / 2 (s / n ) 90% confidence df = 64 t.05 = 1.669 19.5 ± 1.669 (5.2 / 65) 19.5 ± 1.08 or 18.42 to 20.58 95% confidence df = 64 t.025 = 1.998 19.5 ± 1.998 (5.2 / 65) 19.5 ± 1.29 or 18.21 to 20.79 17. For the Miami data set, the output obtained using Excel’s Descriptive Statistics tool follows: Rating Mean Standard Error Median Mode 6.34 0.3059 6.5 8 Standard Deviation 2.1629 Sample Variance 4.6780 Kurtosis -1.1806 Skewness -0.1445 Range 8 Minimum 2 Maximum 10 Sum 317 Count Confidence Level(95.0%) 50 0.6147 The 95% confidence interval is x margin of error 21. 6.34 0.6147 or 5.73 to 6.95 x xi 2600 130 liters of alcoholic beverages n 20 7-6 Sampling and Sampling Distributions s ( xi x )2 81244 65.39 n 1 20 1 t.025 = 2.093 df = 19 95% confidence interval: x t.025 ( s / n ) 130 2.093 (65.39 / 20) 130 30.60 35. a. or 99.40 to 160.60 liters per year p = 281/611 = .4599 (46%) p (1 p ) .4599(1 .4599) 1.645 .0332 n 611 b. z.05 c. p ± .0332 .4599 .0332 or .4267 to .4931 43. a. Margin of Error = z / 2 p (1 p ) (.53)(.47) 1.96 .0253 n 1500 95% Confidence Interval: .53 .0253 or .5047 to .5553 b. Margin of Error = 1.96 (.31)(.69) = .0234 1500 95% Confidence Interval: .31 .0234 or .2866 to .3334 c. Margin of Error = 1.96 (.05)(.95) = .0110 1500 95% Confidence Interval: .05 .0110 or .039 to .061 d. The margin of error decreases as p gets smaller. If the margin of error for all of the interval estimates must be less than a given value (say .03), an estimate of the largest proportion should be used as a planning value. Using p* .50 as a planning value guarantees that the margin of error for all the interval estimates will be small enough. Chapter 9 1. a. H0: 600 Manager’s claim. Ha: > 600 b. We are not able to conclude that the manager’s claim is wrong. c. The manager’s claim can be rejected. We can conclude that > 600. 7-7 Chapter 7 3. 5. a. H0: = 32 Specified filling weight Ha: 32 Overfilling or underfilling exists b. There is no evidence that the production line is not operating properly. Allow the production process to continue. c. Conclude 32 and that overfilling or underfilling exists. Shut down and adjust the production line. a. The Type I error is rejecting H0 when it is true. This error occurs if the researcher concludes that young men in Germany spend more than 56.2 minutes per day watching prime-time TV when the national average for Germans is not greater than 56.2 minutes. b. The Type II error is accepting H0 when it is false. This error occurs if the researcher concludes that the national average for German young men is 56.2 minutes when in fact it is greater than 56.2 minutes. 23. a. b. t x 0 s/ n 14 12 4.32 / 25 2.31 Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 24 Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic Using t table: p-value is between .01 and .025 Using Excel: p-value = TDIST(2.31,24,1) = .0149 c. p-value .05, reject H0. c. With df = 24, t.05 = 1.711 Reject H0 if t 1.711 2.31 > 1.711, reject H0. 25. a. t x 0 s/ n 44 45 5.2 / 36 1.15 Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 35 Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic Using t table: p-value is between .10 and .20 Using Excel: p-value = TDIST(1.15,35,1) = .1290 p-value > .01, do not reject H0 7-8 Sampling and Sampling Distributions b. t x 0 s/ n 43 45 2.61 4.6 / 36 Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic Using t table: p-value is between .005 and .01 Using Excel: p-value = TDIST(2.61,35,1) = .0066 p-value .01, reject H0 c. t x 0 s/ n 46 45 5 / 36 1.20 Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic Using t table: p-value is between .80 and .90 Using Excel: p-value = TDIST(1.20,35,1) = .8809 p-value > .01, do not reject H0 H0: 47.50 31. Ha: > 47.50 t x 0 s/ n 51 47.50 12 / 64 2.33 Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 63 Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic Using t table: p-value is between .01 and .025 Using Excel: p-value = TDIST(2.33,91,1) = .0110 Reject H0; Atlanta customers are paying a higher mean water bill. 37. a. H0: p .125 Ha: p > .125 b. p z 52 .13 400 p p0 p0 (1 p0 ) n .13 .125 .125(1 .125) 400 .30 Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic 7-9 Chapter 7 Using normal table with z = .30: p-value = 1.0000 - .6179 = .3821 Using Excel: p-value = 1-NORMSDIST(.30) = .3821 c. 43. a. p-value > .05; do not reject H0. We cannot conclude that there has been an increase in union membership. H0: p ≤ .10 Ha: p > .10 b. There are 13 “Yes” responses in the Eagle data set. p c. z 13 .13 100 p p0 p0 (1 p0 ) n .13 .10 .10(1 .10) 100 1.00 Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic Using normal table with z = 1.00: p-value = 1 - .8413 = .1587 Using Excel: p-value = 1-NORMSDIST(1) = .1587 p-value > .05; do not reject H0. The statistical results do not allow us to conclude that p > .10. But, given that p = .13, management may want to authorize a larger study before deciding not to go national. Chapter 10 54 9 6 x2 42 7 6 11. a. x1 b. s1 ( xi x1 ) 2 2.28 n1 1 s2 ( xi x2 ) 2 1.79 n2 1 c. x1 x2 = 9 - 7 = 2 d. s12 s22 2.282 1.792 n1 n2 6 6 df 9.5 2 2 2 2 1 2.282 1 1.792 1 s12 1 s22 5 6 5 6 n1 1 n1 n2 1 n2 2 2 7 - 10 Sampling and Sampling Distributions Use df = 9, t.05 = 1.833 x1 x2 1.833 2 2.17 13. a. x1 s1 x2 s2 b. 2.282 1.792 6 6 (-.17 to 4.17) xi 111.6 9.3 n1 12 ( xi x1 ) 2 71.12 2.54 n1 1 12 1 xi 42 4.2 n2 10 ( xi x2 ) 2 18.4 1.43 n2 10.1 x1 x2 = 9.3 - 4.2 = 5.1 tons Memphis is the higher volume airport and handled an average of 5.1 tons per day more than Louisville. Memphis handles more than twice the volume of Louisville. 2 c. 2 s12 s22 2.542 1.432 10 n1 n2 12 df 17.8 2 2 2 2 1 2.542 1 1.432 1 s12 1 s22 11 12 9 10 n1 1 n1 n2 1 n2 Use df = 17, t.025 = 2.110 ( x1 x2 ) t.025 5.1 2.110 2.542 1.432 12 10 5.1 1.82 15. s12 s22 n1 n2 (3.28 to 6.92) 1 for 2001 season 2 for 1992 season H0: 1 2 0 Ha: 1 2 0 7 - 11 Chapter 7 b. x1 x2 = 60 - 51 = 9 days 9/51(100) = 17.6% increase in number of days. c. t x1 x2 0 2 1 2 2 (60 51) 0 s s n1 n2 182 152 45 38 2.48 2 2 s12 s22 182 152 n1 n2 45 38 df 81 2 2 2 2 1 182 1 152 1 s12 1 s22 44 45 37 38 n1 1 n1 n2 1 n2 Using t table, p-value is between .005 and .01. Exact p-value corresponding to t = 2.48 is .0076 p-value .01, reject H0. There is a greater mean number of days on the disabled list in 2001. d. 31. a. Management should be concerned. Players on the disabled list have increased 32% and time on the list has increased by 17.6%. Both the increase in inquiries to players and the cost of lost playing time need to be addressed. p1 = 150/250 = .46 Republicans p2 = 98/350 = .28 Democrats b. p1 p2 = .46 - .28 = .18 Republicans have a .18, 18%, higher participation rate than Democrats. c. d. z.025 p1 (1 p2 ) p2 (1 p2 ) n1 n2 1.96 .46(1 .46) .28(1 .28) .0777 250 350 Yes, .18 .0777 (.1023 to .2577) Republicans have a 10% to 26% higher participation rate in online surveys than Democrats. Biased survey results of online political surveys are very likely. 33. a. p1 = 256/320 = .80 b. p2 = 165/250 = .66 c. p1 p2 = .80 - .66 = .14 7 - 12 Sampling and Sampling Distributions .14 z.025 p1 (1 p1 ) p2 (1 p2 ) n1 n2 .14 1.96 .80(1 .80) .66(1 .66) 320 250 .14 .0733 35. a. (.0667 to .2133) H0: p1 - p2 = 0 H a: p 1 - p 2 0 p1 = 63/150 = .42 p2 = 60/200 = .30 p z n1 p1 n2 p2 63 60 .3514 n1 n2 150 200 p1 p2 1 1 p 1 p n1 n2 .42 .30 1 1 .3514 1 .3514 150 200 2.33 p-value = 2(1.0000 - .9901) = .0198 p-value .05, reject H0. There is a difference between the recall rates for the two commercials. b. p1 p2 z.025 p1 (1 p1 ) p2 (1 p2 ) n1 n2 .42 .30 1.96 .42(1 .42) .30(1 .30) 150 200 .12 .1014 (.0186 to .2214) Commercial A has the better recall rate. 7 - 13