Blekinge Institute of Technology School of Engineering Department of Mathematics and Science CJO MSA002 Introductory Exercises in Probability Chapter 2 1. Are the functions below proper cdf:s? Motivate! a) F(x) = e-x, x>0. b) F(x) = ex, x>0. c) F(x) = 2x, 0<x<1/2. 2. For the exponential distribution, the density is f X ( x) e x , x 0 (0 elsewhere ) . a) Find the cdf FX(x). b) Find the probability that X is between 2 and 3. 3. The uniform distribution has density 1 f X ( x) , a x b. ba a) Calculate P( X (a b )/2) by integrating the density. b) Find the cdf and solve a) by using the cdf. c) Find the mean and the variance of X. 4. A random variable has the density f X ( x) ce x , 0 x 10. Find the value of the constant c. 5. Find the mean and variance of X+Y if E(X) = E(Y) = m, V(X) = a2, V(Y) = b2. Assume that X and Y are independent. 6. Find the mean, variance and standard deviation of cX+dY with the X and Y from the preceding exercise. 7. The random variables X i , i 1,..., n follow the normal (Gaussian) distribution, each with mean 10 and standard deviation a. Calculate the mean, variance and standard deviation of the arithmetic mean X X 1 ... X n / n. 8. The random variable X is standardised Gaussian, i.e. the mean equals zero and the standard deviation equals 1. Calculate the following probabilities. a) P( X 1.2) b) P( X 1.2) c) P( X 0.5) d) P( X 1) 9. The random variable X is the same as in the preceding exercise. Find a value of the constant c such that a) P( X c) 0.95 b) P( X c) 0.99 10. A random variable X is Gaussian (normal) with mean 5 and standard deviation 2. a) Calculate P( X 7). b) Calculate P( X 2). 11. The length X of female students at BTH is assumed to follow a normal distribution with mean 168 cm and standard deviation 7 cm. Calculate a) P(168<X<182) b) the probability that all students in a group of five are shorter than 175 cm c) the probability that the mean length in this group exceeds 175 cm 12. An engineer is testing ten new electronic devices. It is known that the probability that a new device works is 0.95. Find the probability that a) all work b) exactly nine work c) nine or less work 13. A telecommunication engineer investigates the traffic in a certain network. The number of phone calls is assumed to be Poisson with mean m = 5 calls/minute. Find the probability that a) there will no phone call during a certain minute b) there will be at least one phone call during a certain minute Chapter 3 14. Find the mean E(X) of a variable X with density f X ( x) e x , x 0 (exponential distribution). 15. A student has five coins in his wallet: one one-crown, three five-crowns and one tencrown coin. He chooses a coin randomly. Calculate the mean, variance and standard deviation of its value X. 16. A random variable X is uniformly distributed between 0 and 2, i.e. f X ( x) 1/ 2, 0 x 2. Calculate the cdf of Y X . 17. The random variable X is exponentially distributed, i.e. f X ( x) e x , x 0. Calculate the cdf and the density of Y X 2 . 18. For the variable X in the preceding exercise, calculate the cdf and the density of Z ln X . 19. The random variables X i , i 1,..., n are independent and exponentially distributed. Calculate the cdf of Y min( X 1 ,..., X n ) and Z max( X 1 ,..., X n ). 20. Two components are working in parallel. Each component has an exponential density with parameter . Calculate the cdf of the lifetime of the system (Y). Answers 1. a) No, the function is decreasing. b) No, the function attains values larger than 1. c) Yes. 2. a) 1 e x , x 0. b) e 2 e 3 xa , a x b. Insertion gives 0.5. 3. a) 0.5 b) ba c) E(X) = (a+b)/2. V(X) = E(X2)- (E(X))2 = (b-a)2/12. 4. c = 1/(1-e-10) 5. E(X+Y) = 2m, V(X+Y) = a2+b2 6. E(X+Y) = (c+d)m, V(X+Y) = c2a2+d2b2, X Y c 2 a 2 d 2 b 2 . 7. E(X) = 10, V(X) = a2/n, a / n. 8. a) (1.2) 0.8849. b) 1 (1.2) 0.1151. c) (0.5) 1 (0.5) 0.3085. d) 1 (1) (1) 0.8413. 9. a) 1.645 b) 2.326 7 5 10. a) (1) 0.8413 2 25 b) 1.5 1 (1.5) 1 0.9332 0.0668. 2 11. a) P(168 X 180) P((168 168) / 7 ( X 168) / 7 (182 168) / 7) (2) (0) 0.9772 0.5 0.4772 b) P( X 1755 (1)5 0.84135 0.4215. c) X N (168,7 / 5 ) P( X 175) P( X 168 5 / 7 175 168 5 / 7) P(Y 5) 1 P(Y 5 ) 1 ( 5 ) 1 0.9874 0.0126. 10 10 9 12. a) 0.95 0.599 b) 0.95 0.05 0.315 c) 1-answer in a) = 0.401. 9 5 13. a) e 50 0.0067 b) 0.9933 0! 14. E ( X ) 1 / . 15. E(X) = xp(x) 1 0.2 5 0.6 10 0.2 5.2. E(X2) = 35.2. V(X) = E ( X 2 ) E ( X )2 8.16. V ( X ) 2.86. 16. FY ( x) x 2 / 2, 0 x 2. 17. FY ( x) 1 e , x 0, x 18. FY ( x) 1 e e , x 0, x f Y ( x) 2 x e x f Y ( x) e x e e , x 0. x 19. FY ( x) 1 e nx , FZ ( x) 1 e x , x 0. 20. FY ( x) 1 e x , x 0. 2 , x 0. n