Supuestos para calcular las sigmas del proceso P. Reyes / Julio 2005 Process Sigma Calculator Assumptions Definitions Unit Opportunity Defect DPU DPMO Defects (%) Yield (%) Understanding The Basic And Advanced Modes The Basic Mode of the Sigma Calculator automatically adds a 1.5 Sigma shift to the process Sigma value that is calculated. Why is this done? It's done because it is the "standard" way that Sigma is reported (note: this may be different in your company, but it is done in this manner by Motorola, GE and many other companies). By doing so, the calculator result assumes that you are providing longterm data and it is providing short-term Sigma. The 1.5 Sigma shift is based on the assumption that over time, and with a sufficiently large number of samples, a realistic Sigma value is 1.5 Sigma less than that calculated to show the success of your project (i.e. that shown in this calculator and in reports to your company). If you want to calculate the process Sigma using data other than long-term, you should switch to the Advanced Mode where you can change the process Sigma shift value from 1.5 to whatever you feel is appropriate. Here are a couple of examples to help illustrate the calculations. A long-term 93% yield (e.g. 100 opportunities, 7 defects) equates to a process Sigma long-term value of 1.48 (with no Sigma shift) or a process Sigma short-term value of 2.98 (with a 1.5 Sigma shift). A long-term 99.7% yield (e.g. 1,000 opportunities, 3 defects) equates to a process Sigma long-term value of 2.75 (with no Sigma shift) or a process Sigma short-term value of 4.25 (with the 1.5 sigma shift). Final Thought: When we talk about a Six Sigma process, we are referring to the process short-term (now). When we talk about DPMO of the process, we are referring to long-term (the future). We refer to 3.4 defects per million opportunities as our goal. This means that we will have a 6 sigma process now in order to have in the future (with the correction of 1.5) a 4.5 sigma process -- which produces 3.4 defects per million opportunities. Notice: Sigma with a capital "S" is used above to denote the process Sigma, which is different than the typical statistical reference to sigma with a small "s" which denotes the standard deviation. Understanding The Formula Defects Per Million Opportunities (DPMO) = ((Total Defects) / (Total Opportunities)) * 1,000,000 Defects (%) = ((Total Defects) / (Total Opportunities)) * 100 Yield (%) = 100 - (Defects Percentage) process Sigma = NORMSINV(1-((Total Defects) / (Total Opportunities))) + 1.5 Alternatively, process Sigma = 0.8406 + SQRT(29.37 - 2.221 * (ln(DPMO))). Reference: Breyfogle, F., 1999. Implementing Six Sigma: Smarter Solutions Using Statistical Methods. 2nd ed. John Wiley & Sons. Pág. 1 Supuestos para calcular las sigmas del proceso P. Reyes / Julio 2005 Understanding Negative Sigma Sigma value is simply a modified Z score (Table of the Standard Normal (z) Distribution). Sigma (with a capital "S") is not the same thing as the standard deviation of a process, referred to as sigma (with a lower case "s" or as the greek letter ). Consequently, it is quite possible to get a negative sigma value. A negative sigma value means that most of your product or service (process) is completely outside your customer's specification range. A full discussion can be found on negative Sigma. Unit A unit is any item that is produced or processed which is liable for measurement or evaluation against predetermined criteria or standards. Posted By: Modified By: amy loverde Last Modified: Nov. 21, 2002 Opportunity Any area within a product, process, service, or other system where a defect could be produced or where you fail to achieve the ideal product in the eyes of the customer. In a product, the areas where defects could be produced are the parts or connection of parts within the product. In a process, the areas are the value added process steps. If the process step is not value added, such as an inspection step, then it is not considered an opportunity. Opportunities are the things which must go right to satisfy the customer. It is not the number of things we can imagine that can go wrong Defect Any type of undesired result is a defect. A failure to meet one of the acceptance criteria of your customers. A defective unit may have one or more defects. 'A defect is a failure to conform to requirements' (Crosby, 'Quality Is Free'), whether or not those requirements have been articulated or specified. The non-conformance to intended usage requirement. Defects Per Unit - DPU DPU or Defects Per Unit is the average number of defects observed when sampling a population. DPU = Total # of Defects / Total population Consider 100 electronic assemblies going through a functional test. If 10 of these fail the first time around, we have a first pass yield of 90%. Let's say the 10 fails get reworked and re-tested and 5 pass the second time around; the 5 remaining fails pass on the third attempt. Feel free to work out how this would look as a rolling yield. (100 'passes'/115 tests). Pág. 2 Supuestos para calcular las sigmas del proceso P. Reyes / Julio 2005 DPU takes a fundamentally different approach to the traditional measurement of yield. It is simply a ratio of the number of defects over the number of units tested (don't worry about how many tests or how many opportunities for defects). In the above example, the DPU is 15/100 or 0.15. There are 100 units which were found to have a cumulative total of 15 defects when tested. One interesting feature of DPU is that if you have sequential test nodes, i.e. if the above 100 units had to go through 'Final Test' and threw up a DPU figure of 0.1 there, you simply add the DPU figures from both nodes to get the overall DPU of 0.25 (this is telling you that there were 25 defects in your 100 units). There are a few assumptions which must be realised for this statement to be wholly accurate, but there isn't really time to go there in a 'definition' space. Defects Per Million Opportunities - DPMO Defects per million opportunities (DPMO) is the average number of defects per unit observed during an average production run divided by the number of opportunities to make a defect on the product under study during that run normalized to one million. Defects Per Million Opportunities. Synonymous with PPM. To convert DPU to DPMO, the calculation step is actually DPU/(opportunities/unit) * 1,000,000. Yield Yield is the percentage of a process that is free of defects. OR Yield is defined as a percentage of met commitments (total of defect free events) over the total number of opportunities. First Time Yield - FTY Rolled Throughput Yield – RTY 1.5 Sigma Process Shift Explanation By Zack Swinney iSixSigma recently released a process sigma calculator which allows the operator to input process opportunities and defects and easily calculate the process sigma to determine how close (or far) a process is from 6 sigma. One of the caveats written in fine print refers to the calculator using a default process shift of 1.5 sigma. From an earlier poll, greater than 50% of polled quality professionals indicated that they are not aware of why a process may shift 1.5 sigma. My goal is to explain it here. I'm not going to bore you with the hard core statistics. There's a whole statistical section dealing with this issue, and every green, black and master black belt learns the calculation process in class. If you didn't go to class (or you forgot!), the table of the standard normal distribution is used in calculating the process sigma. Most of these tables, however, end at a z value of about 3 (see the iSixSigma table for an example). In 1992, Motorola published a book (see chapter 6) entitled Six Pág. 3 Supuestos para calcular las sigmas del proceso P. Reyes / Julio 2005 Sigma Producibility Analysis and Process Characterizationbuy it now!, written by Mikel J. Harry and J. Ronald Lawson. In it is one of the only tables showing the standard normal distribution table out to a z value of 6. Using this table you'll find that 6 sigma actually translates to about 2 defects per billion opportunities, and 3.4 defects per million opportunities, which we normally define as 6 sigma, really corresponds to a sigma value of 4.5. Where does this 1.5 sigma difference come from? Motorola has determined, through years of process and data collection, that processes vary and drift over time - what they call the Long-Term Dynamic Mean Variation. This variation typically falls between 1.4 and 1.6. After a process has been improved using the Six Sigma DMAIC methodology, we calculate the process standard deviation and sigma value. These are considered to be short-term values because the data only contains common cause variation -- DMAIC projects and the associated collection of process data occur over a period of months, rather than years. Long-term data, on the other hand, contains common cause variation and special (or assignable) cause variation. Because short-term data does not contain this special cause variation, it will typically be of a higher process capability than the long-term data. This difference is the 1.5 sigma shift. Given adequate process data, you can determine the factor most appropriate for your process. In Six Sigma, The Breakthrough Management Strategy Revolutionizing The World's Top Corporations, Harry and Schroeder write: "By offsetting normal distribution by a 1.5 standard deviation on either side, the adjustment takes into account what happens to every process over many cycles of manufacturing… Simply put, accommodating shift and drift is our 'fudge factor,' or a way to allow for unexpected errors or movement over time. Using 1.5 sigma as a standard deviation gives us a strong advantage in improving quality not only in industrial process and designs, but in commercial processes as well. It allows us to design products and services that are relatively impervious, or 'robust,' to natural, unavoidable sources of variation in processes, components, and materials." Statistical Take Away: The reporting convention of Six Sigma requires the process capability to be reported in short-term sigma -- without the presence of special cause variation. Long-term sigma is determined by subtracting 1.5 sigma from our short-term sigma calculation to account for the process shift that is known to occur over time. This topic was revisited and more information has been provided. Customer CTQs - Defining Defect, Unit and Opportunity By Kerri Simon In order for any process capability to accurately be calculated, one must properly define and quantify the process defect, unit and opportunity. Every process should have definitions for defect, unit and opportunity. This article will define the defects, units and opportunities, as well as provide examples. Jump To The Following Sections: Start With The Customer Define Your Product/Service Defects Define Your Product/Service Units Pág. 4 Supuestos para calcular las sigmas del proceso P. Reyes / Julio 2005 Define Your Product/Service Opportunities CTQ Examples Including Defect, Unit and Opportunity Start With The Customer Before you can define your process defects, units and opportunities, you need to understand the needs of your customers. Voice of the Customer (Customer Needs, eSurveys, Focus Groups, Surveys) is the process of gathering customer comments/quotes and translating them into issues and specifications. From these comments, issues and specifications come the customer CTQ (Critical To Quality) - a product or service characteristic that must be met to satisfy a customer specification or requirement. Define Your Product/Service Defects A defect is defined as any part of a product or service that: does not meet customer specifications or requirements, or causes customer dissatisfaction, or does not fulfill the functional or physical requirements. It should be noted that the term customer refers to both internal and external customers. Define Your Product/Service Units A unit is something that can be quantified by a customer. It is a measurable and observable output of your business process. It may manifest itself as a physical unit or, if a service, it may have specific start and stop points. Define Your Product/Service Opportunities Simply stated, opportunities are the total number of chances per unit to have a defect. Each opportunity must be independent of other opportunities and, like a unit, must be measurable and observable. The final requirement of an opportunity is that it directly relates to the customer CTQ (see Start With The Customer above). The total count of opportunities indicates the complexity of a product or service. Next Page > CTQ Examples Including Defect, Unit and Opportunity Customer CTQs - Defining Defect, Unit and Opportunity By Kerri Simon In order for any process capability to accurately be calculated, one must properly define and quantify the process defect, unit and opportunity. Every process should have definitions for defect, unit and opportunity. This article will define the defects, units and opportunities, as well as provide examples. Jump To The Following Sections: Start With The Customer Define Your Product/Service Defects Define Your Product/Service Units Define Your Product/Service Opportunities CTQ Examples Including Defect, Unit and Opportunity CTQ Examples Including Defect, Unit and Opportunity Area: Call Center Customer Quote: 'I consistently wait too long to speak to a representative.' CTQ Name: Representative Responsiveness Pág. 5 Supuestos para calcular las sigmas del proceso P. Reyes / Julio 2005 CTQ Measure: Time on hold (seconds) CTQ Specification: Less than 60 seconds from call connection to the automated response system Defect: Calls with hold time equal and greater than 60 seconds Unit: Call Opportunity: 1 per call Calculate Your Sigma (Plug in the values below to calculate Sigma) Defects: 263 calls Units: 21,501 calls Opportunities: 1 per call Sigma: 3.75 Area: Book Publisher Customer Quote: 'I can't stand typos in books I purchase.' CTQ Name: Typographic Quality CTQ Measure: Number of typographical mistakes CTQ Specification: Zero typographical mistakes Defect: Any typographical mistakes Unit: A word Opportunity: Words per book Calculate Your Sigma (Plug in the values below to calculate Sigma) Defects: 2 typographical mistakes Units: 100,000 (500 words/page x 200 pages/book) Opportunities: 1 per word Sigma: 5.61 Area: Printed Circuit Board Manufacturing Customer Quote: 'Boards must work when I plug them in.' CTQ Name: Board Functionality CTQ Measure: Non-functioning or improperly functioning boards CTQ Specification: All boards function properly (a board wil not function properly if any individual component is bad) Defect: Any non-functioning or improperly functioning board Unit: A board Opportunity: Total number of parts plus solder points Calculate Your Sigma (Plug in the values below to calculate Sigma) Defects: 18 boards Units: 1,000 boards Opportunities: 58 (1 board + 13 resistors + 4 capacitors + 2 diodes + 38 solder points) Sigma: 4.92 Do you have a completed example that you would like to share with fellow iSixSigma readers? Copy the following information and paste into an email, fill out your example specifics and mail it to content@iSixSigma.com with the subject line 'Re: Defining Defects, Units and Opportunities' as the title: Pág. 6