CHAPTER FOUR Probability D 1. M Term B E Term Which of the following is not a method of assigning probabilities? A. B. C. D. 2. classical probability relative frequency subjective probability elementary inference A process that produces outcomes is called _______. A. B. C. D. an event an experiment a result population equivalent 101 102 Test Bank A 3. E Term A A. B. C. D. 4. E Term B 5. M BApp A M BApp classical probability relative frequency subjective probability elementary inference Abel Alonzo, Director of Human Resources, is exploring employee absenteeism at the Plano Power Plant. An analysis of personnel records indicated that 20% of all plant employees are absent excessively. This is an example of assigning probabilities by the ________________ method. A. B. C. D. 7. classical probability relative frequency subjective probability elementary inference Using cumulated historical data to assign probabilities is called _______. A. B. C. D. 6. classical probability relative frequency subjective probability elementary inference The method of assigning probabilities based on rules and laws is called _______. A. B. C. D. E Term C Assigning probabilities by dividing the number of ways that an event can occur by the total number of possible outcomes in an experiment is called _______. subjective probability relative frequency classical probability a priori probability Belinda Bose is reviewing a newly proposed advertising campaign. Based on her 15 years experience, she believes the campaign has a 75% chance of significantly increasing brand name recognition of the product. This is an example of assigning probabilities by the ________________ method. A. B. C. D. subjective probability relative frequency classical probability a priori probability Chapter 4: Probability C 8. E App 9. E App C 10. 11. subjective probability relative frequency classical probability empirical probability Suzanne purchased a new microcomputer for each of her six staff employees. Upon their arrival, the new computers were randomly assigned to the staff members. One of the new computers was defective. The probability that Bill’s new computer is defective is 1/6. This is an example of assigning probabilities by the ___________ method. A. B. C. D. E Term D The probability of a “2” on a fair toss of a fair die is 1/6. This is an example of assigning probabilities by the ________________ method. A. B. C. D. D subjective probability relative frequency empirical probability classical probability The method of assigning probabilities based on the insight or feelings of the person determining is called _______. A. classical probability B. relative frequency C. subjective probability D. elementary inference Which of the following is NOT a legitimate probability value? E Term A. B. C. D. B Which of the following is a legitimate probability value? 12. E Term 103 A. B. C. D. 0.67 15/16 0.23 4/3 1.25 15/16 -0.45 8/7 104 Test Bank A 13. An outcome of an experiment is called _______. E Term A. B. C. D. B An event that cannot be broken down into other events is called _______. 14. an event a priori elements a probability a complement E Term A. B. C. D. A The list of all elementary events for an experiment is called _______. 15. an a priori event an elementary event a sample space an intersection E Term A. B. C. D. D In a set of 15 aluminum castings, two castings are defective (D), and the remaining thirteen are good (G). A quality control inspector randomly selects three of the fifteen castings without replacement, and classifies each as defective (D) or good (G). Which of the following is NOT an elementary event for this experiment? 16. M App B M App A. B. C. D. 17. the sample space the exhaustive list the population space the event union (D, D, G) (G, D, G) (G, G, G) (D, D, D) In a set of 15 aluminum castings, two castings are defective (D), and the remaining thirteen are good (G). A quality control inspector randomly selects three of the fifteen castings without replacement, and classifies each as defective (D) or good (G). The sample space for this experiment contains ____________ elementary events. A. B. C. D. 3,375 2,730 210 15 Chapter 4: Probability D 18. M App A M App A 20. M App 1,000 720 100 10 In a set of 100 purchasing transactions, two transactions violated (V) company procurement policies, and the remaining ninety-eight complied (C) with company policies. An auditor randomly selects four of the 100 transactions without replacement, and classifies each as violated (V) or complied (C). The sample space for this experiment contains __________ elementary events. A. B. C. D. 21. (D, D, G, G, G, G, G, G, G, G) (D, D) (G, G, G, G, G, G, G, G) (D, D, D) In a set of 10 aluminum castings, two castings are defective (D), and the remaining eight are good (G). A quality control inspector randomly selects three of the ten castings with replacement, and classifies each as defective (D) or good (G). The sample space for this experiment contains __________ elementary events. A. B. C. D. M App D In a set of 10 aluminum castings, two castings are defective (D), and the remaining eight are good (G). A quality control inspector randomly selects three of the ten castings with replacement, and classifies each as defective (D) or good (G). Which of the following is an elementary event for this experiment? A. B. C. D. 19. 105 94,109,400 100,000,000 3,921,225 400 In a set of 100 purchasing transactions, two transactions violated (V) company procurement policies, and the remaining ninety-eight complied (C) with company policies. An auditor randomly selects four of the 100 transactions without replacement, and classifies each as violated (V) or complied (C). Which of the following is NOT an elementary event for this experiment? A. B. C. D. (C, C, C, C) (V, C, V, C) (C, V, C, C) (V, C, V, V) 106 Test Bank B 22. M App D A. B. C. D. 23. E App B 24. E App B E App Y must also occur Y cannot occur X and Y are independent X and Y are complements Consider the following sample space, S, and several events defined on it. S = {Albert, Betty, Abel, Jack, Patty, Meagan}, and the events are: F = {Betty, Patty, Meagan}, H = {Abel, Meagan}, and P = {Betty, Abel}. F H is ___________. A. B. C. D. 26. not in the union of X and Y not in X not in Y in both X and Y If X and Y are mutually exclusive events, then if X occurs _______. A. B. C. D. 25. it is not in the union of X and Y it is in the union of X and Y it is in the intersection of X and Y it is in both the union and intersection of X and Y If an event is in the intersection of X and Y, then this event is _______. A. B. C. D. E App A If an event is in set X but is not in set Y, which of the following is true? {Meagan} {Betty, Patty, Meagan} empty, since F and H are complements empty, since F and H are independent Consider the following sample space, S, and several events defined on it. S = {Albert, Betty, Abel, Jack, Patty, Meagan}, and the events are: F = {Betty, Patty, Meagan}, H = {Abel, Meagan}, and P = {Betty, Abel}. F H is ___________. A. B. C. D. {Meagan} {Betty, Patty, Meagan} empty, since F and H are complements empty, since F and H are independent Chapter 4: Probability C 27. E App D M App C Consider the following sample space, S, and several events defined on it. S = {Albert, Betty, Abel, Jack, Patty, Meagan}, and the events are: F = {Betty, Patty, Meagan}, H = {Abel, Meagan}, and P = {Betty, Abel}. The complement of F is ___________. A. B. C. D. 28. {Albert, Betty, Jack, Patty} {Betty, Patty, Meagan} {Albert, Abel, Jack} {Betty, Abel} Consider the following sample space, S, and several events defined on it. S = {Albert, Betty, Abel, Jack, Patty, Meagan}, and the events are: F = {Betty, Patty, Meagan}, M = {Albert, Abel, Jack}, H = {Abel, Meagan}, and A = {Betty, Jack, Patty}. Which of the following is NOT true? A. B. C. D. 29. F and M are mutually exclusive H and A are mutually exclusive F and M are complements H and A are complements If the occurrence of one event does not affect the occurrence of another event, then the two events are _______. E Term A. B. C. D. D Two events, X and Y, are complements. From this it can be deduced that _______. 30. mutually exclusive complements independent elementary events M Term A. B. C. D. A The joint probability of X and Y is also referred to as _______. 31. E Term 107 A. B. C. D. X and Y are mutually exclusive X and Y are collectively exhaustive the intersection of X and Y is empty all of the above the intersection of X and Y the union of X and Y the marginal probability of X and Y the probability of X given Y 108 Test Bank C 32. If X and Y are mutually exclusive, then _______. E Term A. B. C. D. C Let A be the event that a student is enrolled in an accounting course, and let S be the event that a student is enrolled in a statistics course. It is known that 30% of all students are enrolled in an accounting course and 40% of all students are enrolled in statistics. Included in these numbers are 15% who are enrolled in both statistics and accounting. Find P(S). 33. M Calc A A. B. C. D. 34. M Calc D M Calc 0.15 0.30 0.40 0.55 Let A be the event that a student is enrolled in an accounting course, and let S be the event that a student is enrolled in a statistics course. It is known that 30% of all students are enrolled in an accounting course and 40% of all students are enrolled in statistics. Included in these numbers are 15% who are enrolled in both statistics and accounting. Find the probability that a student is in accounting and is also in statistics. A. B. C. D. 35. the probability of the union is zero P(X) = 1 - P(Y) the probability of the intersection is zero the probability of the union is one 0.15 0.70 0.55 0.12 Let A be the event that a student is enrolled in an accounting course, and let S be the event that a student is enrolled in a statistics course. It is known that 30% of all students are enrolled in an accounting course and 40% of all students are enrolled in statistics. Included in these numbers are 15% who are enrolled in both statistics and accounting. A student is randomly selected, and it is found that the student is enrolled in accounting. What is the probability that this student is also enrolled in statistics? A. B. C. D. 0.15 0.75 0.375 0.50 Chapter 4: Probability C 36. M Calc D M Calc D M App Let A be the event that a student is enrolled in an accounting course, and let S be the event that a student is enrolled in a statistics course. It is known that 30% of all students are enrolled in an accounting course and 40% of all students are enrolled in statistics. Included in these numbers are 15% who are enrolled in both statistics and accounting. A student is randomly selected, and it is found that the student is enrolled in statistics. What is the probability that this student is also enrolled in accounting? A. B. C. D. 37. 0.15 0.75 0.375 0.50 Let A be the event that a student is enrolled in an accounting course, and let S be the event that a student is enrolled in a statistics course. It is known that 30% of all students are enrolled in an accounting course and 40% of all students are enrolled in statistics. Included in these numbers are 15% who are enrolled in both statistics and accounting. A student is randomly selected, what is the probability that the student is enrolled in either accounting or statistics or both? A. B. C. D. 38. 109 0.15 0.85 0.70 0.55 Let A be the event that a student is enrolled in an accounting course, and let S be the event that a student is enrolled in a statistics course. It is known that 30% of all students are enrolled in an accounting course and 40% of all students are enrolled in statistics. Included in these numbers are 15% who are enrolled in both statistics and accounting. From this information, it can be concluded that _______. A. B. C. D. A and S are mutually exclusive A and S are independent A and S are complements A and S are not independent 110 Test Bank B 39. Abel Alonzo, Director of Human Resources, is exploring employee absenteeism at the Plano Power Plant. Ten percent of all plant employees work in the finishing department; 20% of all plant employees are absent excessively; and 7% of all plant employees work in the finishing department and are absent excessively. If a plant employee is selected randomly, and F is the event "works in the finishing department," then P(F) = _____________. M BCalc A. B. C. D. A Abel Alonzo, Director of Human Resources, is exploring employee absenteeism at the Plano Power Plant. Ten percent of all plant employees work in the finishing department; 20% of all plant employees are absent excessively; and 7% of all plant employees work in the finishing department and are absent excessively. A plant employee is selected randomly; F is the event "works in the finishing department;" and A is the event "is absent excessively." P(A F) = _____________. 40. 0.07 0.10 0.20 0.13 M BCalc A. B. C. D. D Abel Alonzo, Director of Human Resources, is exploring employee absenteeism at the Plano Power Plant. Ten percent of all plant employees work in the finishing department; 20% of all plant employees are absent excessively; and 7% of all plant employees work in the finishing department and are absent excessively. A plant employee is selected randomly; F is the event "works in the finishing department;" and A is the event "is absent excessively." P(A F) = _____________. 41. M BCalc A. B. C. D. 0.07 0.10 0.20 0.23 0.07 0.10 0.20 0.23 Chapter 4: Probability B 42. 111 Abel Alonzo, Director of Human Resources, is exploring employee absenteeism at the Plano Power Plant. Ten percent of all plant employees work in the finishing department; 20% of all plant employees are absent excessively; and 7% of all plant employees work in the finishing department and are absent excessively. A plant employee is selected randomly; F is the event "works in the finishing department;" and A is the event "is absent excessively." P(A|F) = _____________. H BCalc A. B. C. D. A Abel Alonzo, Director of Human Resources, is exploring employee absenteeism at the Plano Power Plant. Ten percent of all plant employees work in the finishing department; 20% of all plant employees are absent excessively; and 7% of all plant employees work in the finishing department and are absent excessively. A plant employee is selected randomly; F is the event "works in the finishing department;" and A is the event "is absent excessively." P(F|A) = _____________. 43. 0.37 0.70 0.13 0.35 H BCalc A. B. C. D. C Abel Alonzo, Director of Human Resources, is exploring employee absenteeism at the Plano Power Plant. Ten percent of all plant employees work in the finishing department; 20% of all plant employees are absent excessively; and 7% of all plant employees work in the finishing department and are absent excessively. A plant employee is selected randomly; F is the event "works in the finishing department;" and A is the event "is absent excessively." Which of the following is true? 44. M BApp A. B. C. D. 0.35 0.70 0.13 0.37 A and F are collectively exhaustive A and F are mutually exclusive A and F are dependent A and F are independent 112 Test Bank D 45. Abel Alonzo, Director of Human Resources, is exploring employee absenteeism at the Plano Power Plant. Ten percent of all plant employees work in the finishing department; 20% of all plant employees are absent excessively; and 2% of all plant employees work in the finishing department and are absent excessively. A plant employee is selected randomly; F is the event "works in the finishing department;" and A is the event "is absent excessively." Which of the following is true? M BApp A. B. C. D. C Max Sandlin is exploring the characteristics of stock market investors. He found that sixty percent of all investors have a net worth exceeding $1,000,000; 20% of all investors use an online brokerage; and 10% of all investors a have net worth exceeding $1,000,000 and use an online brokerage. If an investor is selected randomly, and E is the event "networth exceeds $1,000,000," then P(E) = _____________. 46. A and F are collectively exhaustive A and F are mutually exclusive A and F are dependent A and F are independent M BCalc A. B. C. D. D Max Sandlin is exploring the characteristics of stock market investors. He found that sixty percent of all investors have a net worth exceeding $1,000,000; 20% of all investors use an online brokerage; and 10% of all investors a have net worth exceeding $1,000,000 and use an online brokerage. An investor is selected randomly, and E is the event "networth exceeds $1,000,000," and O is the event "uses an online brokerage." P(E O) = _____________. 47. M BCalc A. B. C. D. 0.17 0.10 0.60 0.20 0.17 0.10 0.60 0.20 Chapter 4: Probability D 48. 113 Max Sandlin is exploring the characteristics of stock market investors. He found that sixty percent of all investors have a net worth exceeding $1,000,000; 20% of all investors use an online brokerage; and 10% of all investors a have net worth exceeding $1,000,000 and use an online brokerage. An investor is selected randomly, and E is the event "networth exceeds $1,000,000," and O is the event "uses an online brokerage." P(O E) = _____________. M BCalc A. B. C. D. A Max Sandlin is exploring the characteristics of stock market investors. He found that sixty percent of all investors have a net worth exceeding $1,000,000; 20% of all investors use an online brokerage; and 10% of all investors a have net worth exceeding $1,000,000 and use an online brokerage. An investor is selected randomly, and E is the event "networth exceeds $1,000,000," and O is the event "uses an online brokerage." P(O|E) = _____________. 49. 0.17 0.50 0.80 0.70 M BCalc A. B. C. D. B Max Sandlin is exploring the characteristics of stock market investors. He found that sixty percent of all investors have a net worth exceeding $1,000,000; 20% of all investors use an online brokerage; and 10% of all investors a have net worth exceeding $1,000,000 and use an online brokerage. An investor is selected randomly, and E is the event "networth exceeds $1,000,000," and O is the event "uses an online brokerage." P(E|O) = _____________. 50. M BCalc A. B. C. D. 0.17 0.50 0.80 0.70 0.17 0.50 0.80 0.70 114 Test Bank B 51. Max Sandlin is exploring the characteristics of stock market investors. He found that sixty percent of all investors have a net worth exceeding $1,000,000; 20% of all investors use an online brokerage; and 10% of all investors a have net worth exceeding $1,000,000 and use an online brokerage. An investor is selected randomly, and E is the event "networth exceeds $1,000,000," and O is the event "uses an online brokerage." Which of the following is true? M BApp A. B. C. D. C Max Sandlin is exploring the characteristics of stock market investors. He found that sixty percent of all investors have a net worth exceeding $1,000,000; 20% of all investors use an online brokerage; and 12% of all investors a have net worth exceeding $1,000,000 and use an online brokerage. An investor is selected randomly, and E is the event "networth exceeds $1,000,000," and O is the event "uses an online brokerage." Which of the following is true? 52. E and O are collectively exhaustive E and O are dependent E and O are mutually exclusive E and O are independent M BApp A. B. C. D. C Given P(A) = 0.40, P(B) = 0.50, P(A B) = 0.15. Find P(A B). 53. E Calc C E Calc A. B. C. D. 54. E and O are collectively exhaustive E and O are mutually exclusive E and O are independent E and O are dependent 0.90 1.05 0.75 0.65 Given P(A) = 0.40, P(B) = 0.50, P(A B) = 0.15. Find P(A|B). A. B. C. D. 0.20 0.80 0.30 0.375 Chapter 4: Probability D 55. E Calc D A. B. C. D. 56. M App B 57. E Calc C E Calc A M App 0.50 0.65 0.55 0.25 Given P(A) = 0.25, P(B) = 0.40, P(A B) = 0.10. Find P(B|A). A. B. C. D. 60. 0.45 0.55 0.75 0.65 Given P(A) = 0.25, P(B) = 0.40, P(A B) = 0.10. Find P(A|B). A. B. C. D. 59. A and B are independent A and B are mutually exclusive A and B are collectively exhaustive A and B are not independent Given P(A) = 0.25, P(B) = 0.40, P(A B) = 0.10. Find P(A B). A. B. C. D. 58. 0.20 0.80 0.30 0.375 Given P(A) = 0.40, P(B) = 0.50, P(A B) = 0.15. Which of the following is true? A. B. C. D. E Calc D Given P(A) = 0.40, P(B) = 0.50, P(A B) = 0.15. Find P(B|A). 0.20 0.50 0.40 0.65 Given P(A) = 0.25, P(B) = 0.40, P(A B) = 0.10. Which of the following is true? A. B. C. D. A and B are independent A and B are mutually exclusive A and B are collectively exhaustive A and B are not independent 115 116 Test Bank B 61. E Calc A A. B. C. D. 62. E Calc C 63. E Calc 3 6 2 1 There are three Democrats and four Republicans in a group of seven people. If three people are selected from the total of seven, how many ways can two Democrats and one Republican be selected? A. B. C. D. 64. 12 21 14 15 There are three Democrats and four Republicans in a group of seven people. If two people are selected from the total of seven, how many ways can two Democrats be selected? A. B. C. D. M Calc D There are three Democrats and four Republicans in a group of seven people. If two people are selected from the total of seven, how many ways can two people be selected? 7 14 12 21 A baseball player has a .300 batting average (i.e. there is a 30% chance of a hit on any at bat). What is the probability that this player gets hits on each of his next 3 at bats? A. B. C. D. 0.900 0.300 0.333 0.027 Chapter 4: Probability A 65. E Calc B A baseball player has a .300 batting average (i.e. there is a 30% chance of a hit on any at bat). What is the probability that this player gets hits on each of his next 2 at bats and then makes an out on the next at bat? A. B. C. D. 66. 117 0.063 0.670 0.090 0.210 An automobile dealer wishes to investigate the relation between the gender of the buyer and type of vehicle purchased. The following joint probability table was developed from the dealer’s records for the previous year. Type of Buyer Gender Vehicle Female Male Total SUV Not SUV .32 .48 Total .40 1.00 P(Male) = _____________. E BCalc A. B. C. D. D An automobile dealer wishes to investigate the relation between the gender of the buyer and type of vehicle purchased. The following joint probability table was developed from the dealer’s records for the previous year. 67. 0.48 0.50 0.20 0.02 Type of Buyer Gender Vehicle Female Male Total SUV Not SUV .30 .40 Total .60 1.00 P(Female SUV) = _____________. E BCalc A. B. C. D. 0.30 0.40 0.12 0.10 118 Test Bank B 68. An automobile dealer wishes to investigate the relation between the gender of the buyer and type of vehicle purchased. The following joint probability table was developed from the dealer’s records for the previous year. Type of Buyer Gender Vehicle Female Male Total SUV Not SUV .30 .40 Total .60 1.00 P(Female) = _____________. E BCalc A. B. C. D. A An automobile dealer wishes to investigate the relation between the gender of the buyer and type of vehicle purchased. The following joint probability table was developed from the dealer’s records for the previous year. 69. 0.30 0.40 0.12 0.10 Type of Buyer Gender Vehicle Female Male Total SUV Not SUV .30 .40 Total .60 1.00 P(SUV) = _____________. E BCalc A. B. C. D. 0.30 0.40 0.12 0.10 Chapter 4: Probability B 70. 119 An automobile dealer wishes to investigate the relation between the gender of the buyer and type of vehicle purchased. The following joint probability table was developed from the dealer’s records for the previous year. Type of Buyer Gender Vehicle Female Male Total SUV Not SUV .32 .48 Total .40 1.00 Are “Female” and “SUV” independent and why or why not? no, because P(Female SUV) = P(Female) · P(SUV) no, because P(SUV) cannot be calculated from this information yes, because P(Female | SUV) = P(Female) yes, because P(Female SUV) 0 M BCalc A. B. C. D. D Meagan Dubean manages a portfolio of 200 common stocks. Her staff classified the portfolio stocks by 'industry sector' and 'investment objective.' Investment Industry Sector Objective Electronics Airlines Healthcare Total Growth 100 10 40 150 Income 20 20 10 50 Total 120 30 50 200 If a stock is selected randomly from Meagan's portfolio, P(Growth) = _______. 71. E BCalc A. B. C. D. 0.50 0.83 0.67 0.75 120 Test Bank A 72. Meagan Dubean manages a portfolio of 200 common stocks. Her staff classified the portfolio stocks by 'industry sector' and 'investment objective.' Investment Industry Sector Objective Electronics Airlines Healthcare Total Growth 100 10 40 150 Income 20 20 10 50 Total 120 30 50 200 If a stock is selected randomly from Meagan's portfolio, P(Healthcare) = _______. E BCalc A. B. C. D. B Meagan Dubean manages a portfolio of 200 common stocks. Her staff classified the portfolio stocks by 'industry sector' and 'investment objective.' Investment Industry Sector Objective Electronics Airlines Healthcare Total Growth 100 10 40 150 Income 20 20 10 50 Total 120 30 50 200 If a stock is selected randomly from Meagan's portfolio, P(Healthcare Electronics) = _______. 73. M BCalc A. B. C. D. 0.25 0.80 0.20 0.75 0.25 0.85 0.60 0.75 Chapter 4: Probability A 74. 121 Meagan Dubean manages a portfolio of 200 common stocks. Her staff classified the portfolio stocks by 'industry sector' and 'investment objective.' Investment Industry Sector Objective Electronics Airlines Healthcare Total Growth 100 10 40 150 Income 20 20 10 50 Total 120 30 50 200 If a stock is selected randomly from Meagan's portfolio, P(Growth Income) = _______. M BCalc A. B. C. D. B Meagan Dubean manages a portfolio of 200 common stocks. Her staff classified the portfolio stocks by 'industry sector' and 'investment objective.' Investment Industry Sector Objective Electronics Airlines Healthcare Total Growth 100 10 40 150 Income 20 20 10 50 Total 120 30 50 200 If a stock is selected randomly from Meagan's portfolio, P(Airlines|Income) = _______. 75. H BCalc A. B. C. D. 1.00 0.65 0.25 0.85 0.10 0.40 0.25 0.67 122 Test Bank D 76. Meagan Dubean manages a portfolio of 200 common stocks. Her staff classified the portfolio stocks by 'industry sector' and 'investment objective.' Investment Industry Sector Objective Electronics Airlines Healthcare Total Growth 100 10 40 150 Income 20 20 10 50 Total 120 30 50 200 If a stock is selected randomly from Meagan's portfolio, P(Growth|Healthcare) = _____. H BCalc A. B. C. D. D Meagan Dubean manages a portfolio of 200 common stocks. Her staff classified the portfolio stocks by 'industry sector' and 'investment objective.' Investment Industry Sector Objective Electronics Airlines Healthcare Total Growth 100 10 40 150 Income 20 20 10 50 Total 120 30 50 200 Which of the following is NOT true? 77. M BApp A. B. C. D. 0.25 0.40 0.20 0.80 Growth and Income are complementary events. Electronics and Growth are dependent. Electronics and Healthcare are mutually exclusive. Airlines and Healthcare are collectively exhaustive. Chapter 4: Probability B 78. 123 Meagan Dubean manages a portfolio of 200 common stocks. Her staff classified the portfolio stocks by 'industry sector' and 'investment objective.' Investment Industry Sector Objective Electronics Airlines Healthcare Total Growth 84 21 35 140 Income 36 9 15 60 Total 120 30 50 200 Which of the following is true? M BApp A. B. C. D. A Meagan Dubean manages a portfolio of 200 common stocks. Her staff classified the portfolio stocks by 'industry sector' and 'investment objective.' Investment Industry Sector Objective Electronics Airlines Healthcare Total Growth 84 21 35 140 Income 36 9 15 60 Total 120 30 50 200 Are “Healthcare” and “Income” independent and why or why not? 79. Growth and Healthcare are complementary events. Electronics and Growth are independent. Electronics and Growth are mutually exclusive. Airlines and Healthcare are collectively exhaustive. M BCalc A. B. C. D. B The table below provides summary information about students in a class. The sex of each individual and the major is given. Male Female Total Accounting 12 18 30 Finance 10 8 18 Other 26 26 52 Total 48 52 100 If a student is randomly selected from this group, what is the probability that the student is male? E Calc 80. A. B. C. D. yes, because P(Healthcare | Income) = P(Healthcare) no, because P(Healthcare) P(Income) no, because P(Income Healthcare) = P(Healthcare) · P(Income) yes, because P(Income Healthcare) 0 0.12 0.48 0.50 0.52 124 Test Bank A 81. E Calc C H Calc The table below provides summary information about students in a class. The sex of each individual and the major is given. Male Female Total Accounting 12 18 30 Finance 10 8 18 Other 26 26 52 Total 48 52 100 If a student is randomly selected from this group, what is the probability that the student is a female who majors in accounting? A. B. C. D. 82. 0.18 0.60 0.35 0.40 The table below provides summary information about students in a class. The sex of each individual and the major is given. Male Female Total Accounting 12 18 30 Finance 10 8 18 Other 26 26 52 Total 48 52 100 A student is randomly selected from this group, and it is found that the student is majoring in finance. What is the probability that the student is a male? A. B. C. D. 0.21 0.10 0.56 0.48 Chapter 4: Probability D 83. H Calc A M Calc The table below provides summary information about students in a class. The sex of each individual and the major is given. Male Female Total Accounting 12 18 30 Finance 10 8 18 Other 26 26 52 Total 48 52 100 A student is randomly selected from this group, and it is found that the student is a male. What is the probability that the student is majoring in accounting? A. B. C. D. 84. 125 0.30 0.40 0.12 0.25 The table below provides summary information about students in a class. The sex of each individual and the major is given. Male Female Total Accounting 12 18 30 Finance 10 8 18 Other 26 26 52 Total 48 52 100 A student is randomly selected from this group. Let A be the event that the student is an accounting major and let F be the event that the student is female. Find P(F and A). A. B. C. D. 0.18 0.156 0.52 0.30 126 Test Bank C 85. M App B The table below provides summary information about students in a class. The sex of each individual and the major is given. Male Female Total Accounting 12 18 30 Finance 10 8 18 Other 26 26 52 Total 48 52 100 A student is randomly selected from this group. Let A be the event that the student is an accounting major and let F be the event that the student is female. Are A and F independent and why or why not? A. B. C. D. 86. E BCalc yes, because there are some male accounting majors no, because there are some male accounting majors no, because P(A|F) does not equal P(A) no, because P(A|F) does not equal P(F) A market research firm is investigating the appeal of three package designs. The table below gives information obtained through a sample of 200 consumers. The three package designs are labeled A, B, and C. The consumers are classified according to age and package design preference. A B C Total Under 25 years 22 34 40 96 25 or older 54 28 22 104 Total 76 62 62 200 If one of these consumers is randomly selected, what is the probability that the person prefers design A? A. B. C. D. 0.76 0.38 0.33 0.22 Chapter 4: Probability B 87. 127 A market research firm is investigating the appeal of three package designs. The table below gives information obtained through a sample of 200 consumers. The three package designs are labeled A, B, and C. The consumers are classified according to age and package design preference. A B C Total Under 25 years 22 34 40 96 25 or older 54 28 22 104 Total 76 62 62 200 If one of these consumers is randomly selected, what is the probability that the person prefers design A and is under 25? M BCalc A. B. C. D. B A market research firm is investigating the appeal of three package designs. The table below gives information obtained through a sample of 200 consumers. The three package designs are labeled A, B, and C. The consumers are classified according to age and package design preference. A B C Total Under 25 years 22 34 40 96 25 or older 54 28 22 104 Total 76 62 62 200 If one of these consumers is randomly selected and is under 25, what is the probability that the person prefers design A? 88. H BCalc A. B. C. D. 0.22 0.11 0.18 0.54 0.22 0.23 0.29 0.18 128 Test Bank C 89. A market research firm is investigating the appeal of three package designs. The table below gives information obtained through a sample of 200 consumers. The three package designs are labeled A, B, and C. The consumers are classified according to age and package design preference. A B C Total Under 25 years 22 34 40 96 25 or older 54 28 22 104 Total 76 62 62 200 If one of these consumers is randomly selected and prefers design B, what is the probability that the person is 25 or older? H BCalc A. B. C. D. C A market research firm is investigating the appeal of three package designs. The table below gives information obtained through a sample of 200 consumers. The three package designs are labeled A, B, and C. The consumers are classified according to age and package design preference. A B C Total Under 25 years 22 34 40 96 25 or older 54 28 22 104 Total 76 62 62 200 Are “B” and “25 or older” independent and why or why not? 90. 0.28 0.14 0.45 0.27 no, because P(25 or over | B) P(B) yes, because P(B) = P(C) no, because P(25 or older | B) P(25 or older) yes, because P(25 or older B) 0 M BCalc A. B. C. D. A Of 10 people on a student newspaper staff, 6 are familiar with a particular word processing package. If three people are randomly selected and assigned to work as a team, how many ways could the team be selected? E Calc 91. A. B. C. D. 120 10 3 720 Chapter 4: Probability B 92. E Calc D M Calc A Of 10 people on a student newspaper staff, 6 are familiar with a particular word processing package. If three people are randomly selected and assigned to work as a team, how many ways could a team be selected in which no one was familiar with the word processing package? A. B. C. D. 93. E BApp 120 4 6 24 Of 10 people on a student newspaper staff, 6 are familiar with a particular word processing package. If three people are randomly selected and assigned to work as a team, how many ways could a team be selected in which one was familiar with the word processing package and the other two were not? A. B. C. D. 94. 129 24 120 20 36 A market research firms conducts studies regarding the success of new products. The company is not always perfect in predicting the success. Suppose that there is a 50% chance that any new product would be successful (and a 50% chance that it would fail). In the past, for all new products that ultimately were successful, 80% were predicted to be successful (and the other 20% were inaccurately predicted to be failures). Also, for all new products that were ultimately failures, 70% were predicted to be failures (and the other 30% were inaccurately predicted to be successes). What is the a priori probability that a new product would be a success? A. B. C. D. 0.50 0.80 0.70 0.60 130 Test Bank D 95. A market research firms conducts studies regarding the success of new products. The company is not always perfect in predicting the success. Suppose that there is a 50% chance that any new product would be successful (and a 50% chance that it would fail). In the past, for all new products that ultimately were successful, 80% were predicted to be successful (and the other 20% were inaccurately predicted to be failures). Also, for all new products that were ultimately failures, 70% were predicted to be failures (and the other 30% were inaccurately predicted to be successes). For any randomly selected new product, what is the probability that the market research firm would predict it to be a success? H BCalc A. B. C. D. B A market research firms conducts studies regarding the success of new products. The company is not always perfect in predicting the success. Suppose that there is a 50% chance that any new product would be successful (and a 50% chance that it would fail). In the past, for all new products that ultimately were successful, 80% were predicted to be successful (and the other 20% were inaccurately predicted to be failures). Also, for all new products that were ultimately failures, 70% were predicted to be failures (and the other 30% were inaccurately predicted to be successes). If the market research predicted that the product would be a success, what is the probability that it actually would be a success? 96. 0.80 0.50 0.45 0.55 H BCalc A. B. C. D. B An analysis of personal loans at Georgetown Global Bank revealed the following facts: 10% of all personal loans are in default (D), 90% of all personal loans are not in default ( D ), 20% of those in default are homeowners (H|D), and 70% of those not in default are homeowners (H| D ). If one of the personal loans is selected at random P(H D) = ___________. 97. M BCalc A. B. C. D. 0.27 0.73 0.80 0.24 0.20 0.63 0.90 0.18 Chapter 4: Probability A 98. 131 An analysis of personal loans at Georgetown Global Bank revealed the following facts: 10% of all personal loans are in default (D), 90% of all personal loans are not in default ( D ), 20% of those in default are homeowners (H|D), and 70% of those not in default are homeowners (H| D ). If one of the personal loans is selected at random P(D|H) = ___________. H BCalc A. B. C. D. A Given P(A) = 0.6, P(B) = 0.4, P(A B)=0.24. Which of the following statements is true? 99. 0.03 0.63 0.02 0.18 M Calc A. B. C. D. P(A|B) = 0.60 P(A|B) = 0.40 P(B|A) = 0.60 A and B are mutually exclusive C 100. Given P(A) = 0.6, P(B) = 0.4, P(A|B)=0.50. Which of the following statements is true? M Calc A. B. C. D. B 101. Given P(A) = 0.6, P(B) = 0.4, P(A|B)=0.50. Find P(A B). M Calc A. B. C. D. A and B are independent P(A B) = .30 P(A B) = .20 none of the above is true 1.00 0.80 1.10 0.10 132 Test Bank B 102. The staffs of the accounting and the quality control departments rated their respective supervisor's leadership style as either (1) authoritarian or (2) participatory. Their responses are tabulated in the following table. Leadership Style Department Authoritarian Participatory Total Accounting 12 18 30 Quality Control 28 42 70 Total 40 60 100 If one of these employees is selected randomly, P(Accounting Participatory) = ___. M BCalc A. B. C. D. A 103. The staffs of the accounting and the quality control departments rated their respective supervisor's leadership style as either (1) authoritarian or (2) participatory. Their responses are tabulated in the following table. Leadership Style Department Authoritarian Participatory Total Accounting 12 18 30 Quality Control 28 42 70 Total 40 60 100 If one of these employees is selected randomly, P(Accounting Participatory) = ___. M BCalc A. B. C. D. 0.18 0.72 0.90 0.30 0.18 0.72 0.90 0.12 Chapter 4: Probability C 104. The staffs of the accounting and the quality control departments rated their respective supervisor's leadership style as either (1) authoritarian or (2) participatory. Their responses are tabulated in the following table. Leadership Style Department Authoritarian Participatory Total Accounting 12 18 30 Quality Control 28 42 70 Total 40 60 100 Which of the following statements is NOT true? M BApp A. B. C. D. D 105. The staffs of the accounting and the quality control departments rated their respective supervisor's leadership style as either (1) authoritarian or (2) participatory. Their responses are tabulated in the following table. Leadership Style Department Authoritarian Participatory Total Accounting 12 18 30 Quality Control 28 42 70 Total 40 60 100 Are Accounting and Authoritarian independent and why or why not? M BApp A. B. C. D. Authoritarian and Participatory are mutually exclusive Accounting and Quality Control are complements Accounting and Participatory are dependent Accounting and Quality Control are collectively exhaustive no, because P(Accounting) P(Authoritarian) yes, because P(Accounting) = P(Authoritarian | Accounting) no, because P(Authoritarian) P(Participatory) yes, because P(Accounting) = P(Accounting | Authoritarian) 133 134 Test Bank C 106. The staffs of the accounting and the quality control departments rated their respective supervisor's leadership style as either (1) authoritarian or (2) participatory. Their responses are tabulated in the following table. Leadership Style Department Authoritarian Participatory Total Accounting 40 5 45 Quality Control 20 35 55 Total 60 40 100 If one of these employees is selected randomly, P(Accounting Participatory) = ___. M BCalc A. B. C. D. D 107. The staffs of the accounting and the quality control departments rated their respective supervisor's leadership style as either (1) authoritarian or (2) participatory. Their responses are tabulated in the following table. Leadership Style Department Authoritarian Participatory Total Accounting 40 5 45 Quality Control 20 35 55 Total 60 40 100 If one of these employees is selected randomly, P(Accounting Participatory) = ___. M BCalc A. B. C. D. 0.18 0.72 0.80 0.05 0.18 0.72 0.80 0.05 Chapter 4: Probability A 108. The staffs of the accounting and the quality control departments rated their respective supervisor's leadership style as either (1) authoritarian or (2) participatory. Their responses are tabulated in the following table. Leadership Style Department Authoritarian Participatory Total Accounting 40 5 45 Quality Control 20 35 55 Total 60 40 100 Which of the following statements is NOT true? M BApp A. Accounting and Participatory are statistically independent B. Accounting and Quality Control are complements C. Accounting and Quality Control are mutually exclusive D. Authoritarian and participatory are collectively exhaustive A 109. The staffs of the accounting and the quality control departments rated their respective supervisor's leadership style as either (1) authoritarian or (2) participatory. Their responses are tabulated in the following table. Leadership Style Department Authoritarian Participatory Total Accounting 40 5 45 Quality Control 20 35 55 Total 60 40 100 Are Accounting and Authoritarian independent and why or why not? M BApp A. no, because P(Accounting) P(Accounting | Authoritarian) B. yes, because P(Accounting) = P(Authoritarian | Accounting) C. no, because P(Authoritarian) P(Participatory) D. no, because P(Accounting) P(Authoritarian) 135 136 Test Bank 110. An Employee Involvement Team is studying a problem of quality with an aluminum casting. Team members gather data on 400 castings and compiled the following table. Castings Status No Defects Reworked Scrapped Production Shift Day Evening Night 195 75 50 5 15 30 0 10 20 Discuss the team's findings. What can the team conclude from these data? What employment practices or other factors may explain the 'night shift problem?' What graphic depiction should the team choose for the presentation to their supervisors? M BApp _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ Chapter 4: Probability 111. M BApp 137 James Desreumaux, VP of Human Resources of American First Banks (AFB), is reviewing the employee evaluation programs of AFB banks. His staff classified the employees of two AFB banks by their supervisor-assigned performance rating. Performance Rating Bank Below Average Average Above Average Metro 4 22 34 East Brook 6 18 16 Discuss the managerial implications of this situation. What can James conclude from these data? What other relevant factors should he consider? What graphic depiction should he choose for his presentation to the bank's board of directors? _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________ 138 Test Bank 112. Crosstabulation of responses from readers of newspaper comic strips produced the following frequency distirbution of age categories and favorite comic. Age Under 12 12 Under 18 18 Under 25 25 Under 50 50+ Grand Total Favorite Comic by Age Comic Tiger Sherman Dilbert Pickles Grand Total 28 22 16 14 80 14 11 8 7 40 56 44 32 28 160 28 22 16 14 80 14 11 8 7 40 140 110 80 70 400 Discuss what the frequency distribution reveals about the relation between age and favorite comic. M BApp Chapter 4: Probability 113. Crosstabulation of responses from television viewers produced the following frequency distirbution of age categories and favorite TV program. Age Under 12 12 under 18 18 under 25 25 under 50 50+ Grand Total Favorite TV Program by Age TV Program MTV Simpsons 60 Minutes COPS Grand Total 18 8 2 2 30 29 23 3 3 58 33 33 21 11 98 6 15 35 28 84 1 4 6 19 30 87 83 67 63 300 Discuss what the frequency distribution reveals about the relation between age and favorite TV program. M BApp 139 140 Test Bank