ACCOUNTING 441 WINTER 2002 PPS OR MUS SAMPLING 1. DEFINE THE SAMPLING UNIT. -THE SAMPLING UNIT IS EACH DOLLAR IN THE POPULATION HOWEVER, -THE AUDITOR DOES NOT TEST INDIVIDUAL DOLLARS, BUT THE TRANSACTION CONTAINING THE DOLLAR SELECTED ACCOUNT OR -THE ACCOUNT OR TRANSACTION SELECTED IS CALLED THE LOGICAL UNIT 2. SELECT THE SAMPLE -EACH DOLLAR IN THE POPULATION HAS AN EQUAL CHANCE OF BEING SELECTED. -THE POPULATION IS DIVIDED INTO EQUAL GROUPS OF DOLLARS. -EACH GROUP OF DOLLARS IS CALLED A SAMPLING INTERVAL. -THE SAMPLING INTERVAL IS DETERMINED BY DIVIDING THE BOOK VALUE OF THE POPULATION BY THE SAMPLE SIZE (SEE SAMPLE SIZE SELECTION BELOW) -EXAMPLE: TOTAL ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE OF $2,500,000 AND AUDITOR DECIDES TO SAMPLE 100 ITEMS (SEE BELOW FOR DETERMINING SAMPLE SIZE). MUST GET THE ACCOUNTS IN ORDER AND GO FROM TOP OF LIST DOWN THE SAMPLE INTERVAL WILL BE $2,500,000 DIVIDED BY 100 (SAMPLE SIZE) OR $25,000 USE RANDOM NUMBER BETWEEN 1 AND 25,000 AS THE STARTING POINT. FOR OUR EXAMPLE ASSUME THE STARTING POINT IS $3,000 1 3. FIRST ITEM IS THE ACCOUNT THAT CONTAINS DOLLAR NUMBER 3,000; SECOND ITEM CONTAINS DOLLAR NUMBER 28,000; THE THIRD DOLLAR 53,000; ETC. NOTE THAT AN ACCOUNT WITH AN AMOUNT OF $25,000 WILL ALWAYS BE SELECTED. AN ACCOUNT WITH A BALANCE OF $50,000 OR MORE WILL BE SELECTED TWICE OR MORE (BUT WILL ONLY BE TESTED (E.G. CONFIRMED) ONCE LOGICAL UNITS (SEE DEFINITION ABOVE) CONTAINING MORE DOLLARS HAVE A GREATER CHANCE OF SELECTION. ALSO, EACH DOLLAR HAS AN EQUAL CHANCE OF BEING SELECTED (E.G. EVERY 25,000TH ITEM. IT ALL DEPENDS ON THE RANDOM STARTING POINT.) DETERMINING THE SAMPLE SIZE -COULD USE SAMPLE SIZE FORMULA PAGE 71OF INTERNAL AUDIT SAMPLING TOO DIFFICULT FOR TEACHER, SO GO TO NEXT ALTERNATIVE. -NEXT ALTERNATIVE-- DETERMINE SAMPLE SIZE FROM ATTRIBUTE SAMPLING TABLES. (TABLES 1 And 2.) FIRST DETERMINE RISK OF INCORRECT ACCEPTANCE (5% -TABLE 1 -OR 10% -Table 2) THEN, CONVERT THE TOLERABLE MISSTATEMENT AND THE EXPECTED MISSTATEMENT TO PERCENTAGES. THESE FACTORS ARE BASED ON AUDITORS JUDGEMENT EXAMPLE: AUDITOR ESTABLISHES TOLERABLE MISSTATEMENTS OF $125,000 AND EXPECTED MISSTATEMENT OF $25,000. CONVERT TO PERCENTAGES: -TOLERABLE $125,000/$2,500,000 = 5% -EXPECTED $25,000/2,5000,000 = 1% -ASSUME 5% RISK - TABLE 1 - SAMPLE EQUALS 93 (IF 10% RISK-TABLE 2- SAMPLE WOULD BE 77) THE TWO TABLE, PAGES 113 AND 114 AND ATTACHED TABLES 1 And 2, RELATE TO THE RISK OF ASESSING CONTROL RISK TOO LOW. 2 4. EVALUATING SAMPLE RESULTS -MUST PROJECT MISSTATEMENTS IN THE SAMPLE TO THE POPULATION. THIS IS CALLED THE UPPER LIMIT OF MISSTATEMENT. TWO ASSUMPTIONS ARE MADE; NO MISSTATEMENTS DETECTED IN THE SAMPLE OR SOME OR ONE MISSTATEMENTS DETECTED IN THE SAMPLE A. NO MISSTATEMENTS DETECTED THE PROJECTION OF THE SAMPLE RESULTS EQUALS "0" DOLLARS PLUS AN ALLOWANCE FOR SAMPLING RISK (BASIC PRECISION) BASIC PRECISION (FOR 0 ERRORS) WOULD BE EQUAL TO OR LESS THAN THE TOLERABLE MISSTATEMENT USED TO DESIGN THE SAMPLE. (5% ABOVE) TO GET THE UPPER LIMIT OF MISSTATEMENT - MULTIPLY THE RELIABILITY FACTOR FOR THE RISK OF INCORRECT ACCEPTANCE BY THE SAMPLING INTERVAL. TABLE 5 OF THESE NOTES OR PAGE 123 OF THE BOOK MAY BE USED TO FIND THE RELIABILITY FACTOR FOR ERRORS OF OVERSTATEMENT (NOT AS CONCERNED WITH UNDERSTATEMENTS IN VARIABLE SAMPLING). REMEMBER FROM ABOVE WE SELECTED A SAMPLE OF 93 AT THE 5% LEVEL. THE INTERVAL IS THEN $2,500,000/93 = $26,882. THE UPPER LIMIT OF MISSTATEMENT IS THEN $26,882 X 3.0 (THE RELIABILITY RACTOR) OR $80,646. (THIS IS BELOW THE $125,000 SET IN 3. ABOVE.) 3 B. ASSUME MISSTATEMENTS ARE DETECTED (ERRORS FOUND) MUST CALCULATE (1) A PROJECTED MISSTATEMENT AND (2) AN ALLOWANCE FOR SAMPLING RISK MISSTATEMENTS) (AS ABOVE FOR "0" THREE POSSIBILITIES EXIST: (A) THE LOGICAL UNIT (ACCOUNT SELECTED) IS EQUAL TO OR GREATER THAT THE SAMPLING INTERVAL ($26,882) EXAMPLE: BOOK VALUE OF LOGICAL UNIT = $35,000 ERROR DETECTED = $ 1,500 THE PROJECTED MISSTATEMENT IS $1,500 BECAUSE THE ENTIRE SAMPLE INTERVAL ($26,882) WAS AUDITED (NO SAMPLING RISK ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SAMPLE ITEM) (B) THE BOOK VALUE OF THE LOGICAL UNIT (E.G. $250) IS LESS THAN THE SAMPLING INTERVAL ($26,882) AND IS 100% MISSTATED. EXAMPLE; ASSUME THAT THE AUDITED VALUE IS "0" AND THAT THE BOOK VALUE IS $250. THE PROJECTED ERROR FOR THIS LOGICAL UNIT IS $26,882 (THE TOTAL SAMPLING INTERVAL) DETERMINED BY; PERCENTAGE MISSTATEMENT TIMES SAMPLE INTERVAL EQUALS THEN NEED TO ADD AN ALLOWANCE AFTER (C) BELOW) 4 100% $26,882 $26,882 FOR SAMPLING RISK (SEE (C) THE LOGICAL UNIT'S BOOK VALUE IS LESS THAN THE SAMPLING INTERVAL AND IT IS MISSTATED BY LESS THAN 100 PERCENT: TAINTING FACTOR - THE PERCENTAGE OF MISSTATEMENT IN THE LOGICAL UNIT THE TAINTING FACTOR IS = BOOK VALUE OF THE LOGICAL UNIT MINUS AUDIT VALUE DIVIDED BY BOOK VALUE. E.G. LOGICAL UNIT = 5,000; AUDIT VALUE = 3,000 TAINTING FACTOR IS (5,000-3,000= 2,000) 2,000/5,000 40% SEE BELOW AND ON PAGE 74 ON INTERNAL AUDIT SAMPLING FOR TABLE TO CALCULATE PROJECTED ERROR WITH TAINTING. THE PROJECTED MISSTATEMENT FOR THE UNIT WOULD BE 40% X $26,882 = $10,783 ALSO NEED TO ADD AN ALLOWANCE FOR SAMPLING RISK. ALLOWANCE FOR SAMPLING RISK RELATED TO (B) AND (C) ABOVE (SEE BOTTOM OF PAGE 75 OF INTERNAL SAMPLING REPRODUCED BELOW.) GET THE INCREMENTAL CHANGE IN RELIABILITY FACTOR (P123) EXAMPLE TO GO FROM 0 ERRORS TO 1 ERROR THE CHANGE IS (4.75-3.0 = 1.75) NO OF ERRORS 0 1 2 3 RELIABILITY CHANGE CHANGE INCREMENTAL FACTOR (RF) IN IN RF PROJECTED ALLOW FOR TABLE 5 RF -1.00 ERROR PROJECTED ERROR 3.00 4.75 6.30 7.76 1.75 1.55 1.46 .75 .55 .46 750 375 300 TOTAL INCREMENTAL ALLOWANCE FOR PROJECTED ERROR $563 $206 $138 $907 SEE NEXT PAGE OR PAGE 74 FOR CALCULATION OF PROJECTED ERROR. 5 CALCULATION OF PROJECTED ERROR SAMPLING. SEE ALSO P 74 OF INTERNAL AUDIT FIRST MUST CALCULATE THE TAINTING %, THEN MULTIPLY THE TAINTING % TIMES THE SAMPLING INTERVAL. BOOK AUDITED SAMPLING PROJECTED VALUE VALUE TAINTING % INTERVAL ERROR $ 500 $ 400 100/500 = 20% $ 8,000 $1,600 $ 900 $ 855 45/900 = 5% $8,000 400 $3,000 $2,700 300/3000 = 10% $8,000 800 $9,500 $9,050 (1) 450 TOTAL PROJECTED ERROR $3,250 (1) BOOK VALUE GREATER THAN SAMPLING INTERVAL = NO TAINTING. SUMMARY OF STEPS TO EVALUATE SAMPLE RESULTS IN PPS SAMPLING (P73…) WHEN ERRORS ARE PRESENT IN THE SAMPLE: 1. COMPUTE PROJECTED ERROR THE PROJECTED ERROR IS DETERMINED BY MULTIPLYING THE ERROR RATE IN THE LOGICAL UNIT TESTED (I.E. BOOK VALUE IS $1,000, AUDIT VALUE IS $200 = 20% ERROR RATE) TIMES THE SAMPLING INTERVAL. IF SAMPLING INTERVAL IS $12,000, THE PROJECTED ERROR FOR THE INTERVAL WILL BE $2,400 (20% X $12,000). THE 20% IS REFERRED TO AS THE TAINTING FACTOR. NOTE THAT IF THE LOGICAL UNIT (SAMPLE ITEM) IS EQUAL TO OR LARGER THAN THE SAMPLE INTERVAL, THE PROJECTED ERROR WILL BE EQUAL TO THE ACTUAL AMOUNT OF ERROR FOUND IN THE LOGICAL UNIT. EXAMPLE: LOGICAL UNIT IS $15,000 AND THE ERROR IS $2,500 (15%) THE PROJECTED ERROR OF THE INTERVAL WILL BE $2,500. THERE WILL BE NO TAINTING FACTOR. 6 2. COMPUTE THE BASIC PRECISION AND INCREMENTAL CHANGE IN THE RELIABILITY FACTOR WHEN MORE ERRORS ARE FOUND (E.G. GO FROM "0" ERRORS TO "1" ERROR OR FROM "1" TO 2.) BASIC PRECISION IS AN AMOUNT OF ASSUMED ERROR THAT IS EITHER UNKNOWN OR UNDISCOVERED IN THE POPULATION DUE TO SAMPLING RATHER THAN EXAMINING EVERY ITEM IN THE POPULATION. BASIC PRECISION IS COMPUTED EVEN WHEN THERE ARE NO DETECTED ERRORS. THIS AMOUNT MAY ALSO BE KNOW AS AN ALLOWANCE FOR SAMPLING RISK. IT IS ADDED TO THE PROJECTED ERROR (OR MISSTATEMENT) FROM 1 ABOVE BY MULTIPLYING THE INCREMENTAL CHANGE (DON'T DO LIKE YOUR DUMB TEACHER AND TAKE THE RELIABILITY FACTOR FOR THE SPECIFIC ERROR. USE THE CHANGE FROM THE LAST FACTOR) IN THE RELIABILITY FACTOR (TABLE ON PAGE 123) FOR THE RISK OF INCORRECT ACCEPTANCE (5% OR 10%). YOU DO NOT NEED TO DETERMINE THE INCREMENTAL CHANGE WHEN ZERO ERRORS ARE DETECTED. 3. COMPUTE THE UPPER ERROR LIMIT (ALSO KNOWN AS THE UPPER LIMIT OF MISSTATEMENT (ULM) THE UPPER ERROR LIMIT IS THE PROJECTED OVERSTATEMENT ERRORS IN THE POPULATION. THE UPPER ERROR LIMIT IS DETERMINED BY THE FOLLOWING: THE PROJECTED ERROR ERROR/BOOK VALUE (TAINTING %) MULTIPLIED BY THE SAMPLE INTERVAL PLUS BASIC PRECISION PLUS INCREMENTAL ALLOWANCE FOR PROJECTED ERROR 7 Extended Accounts Receivable Example: Assume the following information: 1. Book value of the clients account…………… $2,500,000 2. Tolerable Misstatement………………………. $ 125,000 3. Expected Misstatement………………………. $ 4. Risk of Incorrect Acceptance……………….. 5% 5 Sample Size (Table Page 113)………………. 93 6 Sampling Interval…………………………….. $ 25,000 26,882 $2500,000/93 = 26,882 Case 1. Assume the auditor detects the following overstatement errors; Book Error # Value 800 Audit Value Tainting Factor $ 680 .15 (800-680)/800 1. $ 2. $29,000 $26,500 No tainting BV equal or greater than SS 3. $15,000 $ 8,250 .45 (15000-8250)/15000 Determine the (ULM) Upper Limit of Misstatement for overstate errors: 8 Rank Tainting Factors from largest to smallest: Tainting No. Factor Sample Interval 3. .45 X 26,882 = 1. .15 X 26,882 = 2. Projected Misstatement 12,097 X 4,032 X Page 124 Incremental Change (4.75)-(3.0) 1.75 Projected Misstatement Plus Allowance for Sampling _______Risk_________ (6.3)-(4.75) 1.55 Add known error when BV>Sample Interval $ 21,170 $ 6,250 $ 2,500 $ 29,920 Basic Precision = the assumed amount of possible unknown And undiscovered error in the population due to Sampling (P75) Sample Interval X Reliability Factor (p123) $26,882 X 3.0 ULM = Upper Limit of Misstatement $ 80,646 $110,566 ACCEPT SAMPLE BECAUSE $110, 586<$125,000 OR 5%. 9 Case 2 Same as case one except the audit value of error 3 is “0” rather that $8,250. Book Error # Value 3. $15,000 Audit Value -0- Tainting Factor 1.0 (15000-0)/15000 Determine the (ULM) Upper Limit of Misstatement for overstate errors: Rank Tainting Factors from largest to smallest: Tainting No. Factor 3. 1. 2. 1.0 .15 Sample Interval X 26,882 = X 26,882 = Projected Misstatement 26,882 X 4,032 X Page 124 Incremental Change (4.75)-(3.0) 1.75 (6.3)-(4.75) 1.55 Add known error when BV>Sample Interval Projected Misstatement Plus Allowance for Sampling _______Risk_________ $47,044 $ 6,250 $ 2,500 $55,794 Basic Precision = the assumed amount of possible unknown And undiscovered error in the population due to Sampling (P75) Sample Interval X Reliability Factor (p123) $26,882 X 3.0 ULM = Upper Limit of Misstatement $80,646 $136,440 Auditor concludes that the Accounts Receivable Account is materially misstated. (136,440>125,000) Options: 1. Increase sample size. (Expensive also which sample do you believe?) 2. Use other substantive tests. (subsequent collections; determine if there is a common problem e.g. all result from an error in pricing) 3. Have client adjust account by at least $11,440 (136,440- 125,000) 10