Make a Diagram 2/27/08 Make a Diagram Means Interval for Mean Confidence Interval x t 2 s x Hypotheses Test Ratio H0 : 0 t H1 : 0 df n 1 or x z 2 x z x 0 or sx x 0 x Critical Value xcv 0 t 2 s x sx H 0 : D D0 D d t 2 s d H 1 : D D0 , (See table 3 for df and s d ) D 1 2 D d z 2 s d t d D0 or sd z d D0 sd or n xcv 0 z 2 x x Difference between Two Means s n d cv D0 t 2 s d or d cv D0 z 2 sd d x1 x 2 If H 1 : 0 or H 1 : D D0 ( D0 is usually zero), we have a two-sided test. If H 1 : 0 or H 1 : D D0 , we have a left-sided test. If H 1 : 0 or H 1 : D D0 , we have a right-sided test. Make a diagram. This diagram could look like a Normal curve, even when the distribution is not symmetrical. Confidence Interval: The idea is to draw the confidence interval and to reject the null hypothesis for a test of one mean if 0 is not on the confidence interval or for a test of two means if D0 (usually zero) is not on the confidence interval. Whether the confidence interval is one or two-sided, it will include x for a test of one mean and d x1 x 2 for a test of two means. x or d x1 x 2 will be in the center of your diagram. This means that for a left-sided test the confidence interval will be made by replacing ‘=’ by ‘ ’ and ‘ ’ by ‘+.’ The interval will start somewhat to the right of the center of the diagram and include the far left corner of the diagram. This also means that for a right-sided test the confidence interval will be made by replacing ‘=’ by ‘ ’ and ‘ ’ by ‘–.’ The interval will start somewhat to the left of the center of the diagram and include the far right corner of the diagram. Test Ratio: A diagram will always have zero at its center. Zero will never be in the ‘reject zone. The test ratio will be compared to t , t , t , z , z , z as appropriate. Let us call your calculated value 2 2 of the ratio ẑ or tˆ . For a left-sided test the ‘reject’ zone will be to the left of zero and will go from t or z to the far left corner of the diagram. Reject the null hypothesis if ẑ or tˆ is in the ‘reject’ zone. For a right-sided test the ‘reject’ zone will be to the right of zero and will go from t or z to the far right corner of the diagram. Reject the null hypothesis if ẑ or tˆ is in the ‘reject’ zone. P-value: The p-value is defined as the probability of getting results as extreme or more extreme than those actually observed. It is usually calculated by getting a test ratio. Let us call your calculated value of the ratio ẑ or tˆ . For a left-sided test, p value Pz zˆ or p value P t tˆ . For a right-sided test, p value Pz zˆ or p value P t tˆ . 1 Make a Diagram 2/27/08 For a 2-sided test, you can take the smaller of p value 2Pz zˆ and p value 2Pz zˆ or the smaller of p value 2 P t tˆ and p value 2 P t tˆ . To do a conventional hypothesis test, reject the null hypothesis if the p-value is below the significance level. Critical value for the sample mean or the difference between two sample means: The critical value is used to find a ‘reject’ zone. The null hypothesis mean, 0 , or the null hypothesis difference between two means, D0 , is never in the reject zone and is always in the center of the diagram. The critical value is compared to x or d x1 x 2 . This means that for a left-sided test the ‘reject’ zone will be to the left of 0 (the mean from the null hypothesis) or D0 and will be found by replacing and ‘ ’ by ‘–.’ The ‘reject’ zone will start somewhat to the left of the center of the diagram and include the far left corner of the diagram. This also means that for a right-sided test the ‘reject’ zone will be to the right of 0 (the mean from the null hypothesis) and will be found by replacing and ‘ ’ by ‘+.’ The ‘reject’ zone will start somewhat to the right of the center of the diagram and include the far right corner of the diagram. Proportions Interval for Proportion Confidence Interval p p z s p 2 sp pq n Hypotheses Test Ratio H 0 : p p0 z H1 : p p0 p p0 p q 1 p Difference between proportions q 1 p p p z 2 s p p p1 p 2 s p p1 q1 p 2 q 2 n1 n2 H 0 : p p 0 H 1 : p p 0 z p p 0 p p 0 p 01 p 02 If p 0 or p 0 0 p p 01q 01 p 02 q 02 n1 n2 s Critical Value pcv p0 z 2 p p0 q0 n q0 1 p0 p pcv p0 z 2 p If p 0 1 1 n n 2 1 p p 0 q 0 p0 n1 p1 n 2 p 2 n1 n 2 Or use p If you replace with p or D with p and always use z and never t , the discussion of means should explain this pretty well. 2 Make a Diagram 2/27/08 Variances Interval for Confidence Interval VarianceSmall Sample 2 VarianceLarge Sample Ratio of Variances 1 , DF2 F1DF 2 1 FDF1 , DF2 2 Hypotheses Test Ratio H 0 : 2 02 2 n 1s 2 .25 .5 2 H1: : 2 02 s 2DF H 0 : 2 02 z 2 2DF H1 : 22 s22 DF1 , DF2 F 12 s12 .5 .5 2 DF1 n1 1 2 Critical Value n 1s 2 02 z 2 2 2DF 1 02 H0 : 12 22 F DF1 , DF2 H1 : 12 22 2 s cv s cv .25 .5 2 02 n 1 2 DF z 2 2 DF s12 s 22 and DF2 n 2 1 F DF2 , DF1 2 .5 .5 2 or 1 2 s 22 s12 Confidence Intervals: The confidence interval formulas for two-sided intervals are explained in Confidence Limits and Hypothesis Tests for Variances and the outline documents extracted from them. For actual hypothesis tests, the only method commonly used is a Test Ratio. For a small sample you are using a diagram of the 2 statistic with n 1 degrees of freedom. The center of the diagram will be near the mean of 2 which is equal to the number of degrees of freedom. This will never be in a ‘reject’ zone. For a single variance, just as above, H1 : 2 02 or H 1 : 0 is a two sided test. The lower ‘reject’ zone will be below 12 2 . (For example, if n 25 and .05 this will be below the .975 value in the df 24 part of the chi-square table. ) The upper ‘reject’ zone will be above 22 . (For example, if n 25 and .05 this will be above the .025 value in the df 24 part of the chi-square table. ) If your computed value of 2 n 1s 2 02 falls in one of the ‘reject’ zone, reject the null hypothesis. For a single variance, just as above, H1 : 2 02 or H 1 : 0 is a left-sided test. The ‘reject’ zone will be below 12 . (For example, if n 25 and .05 this will be below the .95 value in the df 24 part of the chi-square table.) If your computed value of 2 n 1s 2 02 falls in the ‘reject’ zone, reject the null hypothesis. For a single variance, just as above, H1 : 2 02 or H 1 : 0 is a right-sided test. The ‘reject’ zone will be above 2 . (For example, if n 25 and .05 this will be above the .05 value in the df 24 part of the chi-square table.) If your computed value of 2 hypothesis. For a large sample, compute 2 n 1s 2 02 n 1s 2 02 falls in the ‘reject’ zone, reject the null and make it into a value of z 2 2 2df 1 . Then treat it like a z test ratio for the mean or proportion. 3 Make a Diagram 2/27/08 For a ratio of variances, because the F table is set up for right-sided tests, all tests should be done as rights2 sided tests. If we have H1 : 12 22 or H 1 : 1 2 , we have a true right-sided test. Test the ratio 12 s2 n1 1,n2 1 against the critical value F . Your diagram should show a center at 1 and a ‘reject’ zone above Fn1 1,n2 1 (For example, if n1 25 , n 2 20 and .05 this will be above the .05 value in the df1 24 , df 2 19 part of the F table.) Reject the null hypothesis if your value of s12 s 22 falls in the ‘reject’ zone. If we have H1 : 12 22 or H 1 : 1 2 , we have a left-sided test. Think of it as a right-sided test with H1 : 22 12 or H 1 : 2 1 . Test the ratio s 22 s12 against the critical value Fn2 1,n2 1 . Your diagram should show a center at 1 and a ‘reject’ zone above Fn2 1,n1 1 (For example, if n1 25 , n 2 20 and .05 this will be above the .05 value in the df1 19 , df 2 24 part of the F table.) Reject the null hypothesis if your value of s 22 s12 falls in the ‘reject’ zone. If you have to do a two-sided test, think of it as two one-sided tests. Test the ratio 24,19 ). Then test the ratio value Fn1 1,n2 1 (for example F.025 2 s 22 s12 s12 s 22 against the critical against the critical value Fn2 1,n2 1 for 2 19, 24 ). If either of these two tests results in a rejection, reject the null hypothesis. In practice, example F.025 only one of these tests actually needs to be done, since if s12 s 22 is above one, s 22 s12 will be below 1 and critical values from the F table cannot be below 1. 4