Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing: Single Population 9.1 9.2 9.3 H : p .2; H : p .2; 0 H H 1 0 : No change in interest rates is warranted 1 : Reduce interest rates to stimulate the economy p packages H 1: p p H :p 0 A A 9.4 B B : There is no difference in the percentage of underfilled cereal : Lower percentage after the change a. European perspective: H 0 : Genetically modified food stuffs are not safe H 1 : They are safe b. U.S. farmer perspective: H 0 : Genetically modified food stuffs are safe H 9.5 1 : They are not safe H :T T H :T T 0 B G 1 B G No difference in the total number of votes between Bush and Gore Bush with more votes 9.6 A random sample is obtained from a population with a variance of 625 and the sample mean is computed. Test the null hypothesis H 0 : 100 versus the alternative H : 1 100 . Compute the critical value xc and state the decision rule a. n = 25. Reject H 0 if x xc 0 z n = 100 +1.645(25)/ 108.225 b. n = 16. Reject H 0 if x xc 0 z n = 100 +1.645(25)/ 16 = 110.28125 c. n = 44. Reject H 0 if x xc 0 z n = 100 +1.645(25)/ 44 = 106.1998 d. n = 32 Reject 107.26994 H 0 if x xc 0 z 25 = n = 100 +1.645(25)/ 32 = 216 9.7 Statistics for Business & Economics, 7th edition A random sample of n = 25 is obtained from a population with a variance 2 and the sample mean is computed. Test the null hypothesis H 0 : 100 versus the alternative H : 1 100 with alpha = .05. Compute the critical value xc and state the decision rule a. 2 = 225. Reject H 0 if x xc 0 z n = 100 +1.645(15)/ 25 = 104.935 b. 2 = 900. Reject H 0 if x xc 0 z n = 100 +1.645(30)/ 25 = 109.87 c. 2 = 400. Reject H 0 if x xc 0 z n = 100 +1.645(20)/ 25 = 106.58 d. 2 = 600. Reject H 0 if x xc 0 z n = 100 +1.645(24.4949)/ 25 = 108.0588 9.8 Using the results from the above two exercises, indicate how the critical value xc is influenced by sample size. Next indicate how the critical value is influenced by the population variance. The critical value xc is farther away from the hypothesized value the smaller the sample size n. This is due to the increase in the standard error with a smaller sample size. The critical value xc is farther away from the hypothesized value the larger the population variance. This is due to the increased standard error with a larger population variance. 9.9 A random sample is obtained from a population with variance = 400 and the sample mean is computed to be 70. Consider the null hypothesis H 0 : 80 versus the alternative H : x 0 n x 0 b. n = 16. z n x 0 c. n = 44. z n x 0 d. n = 32. z n a. n = 25. z 1 80 . Compute the p-value 70 80 20 25 70 80 = 20 16 70 80 = 20 44 70 80 = 20 32 = = -2.50. p value P( z p 2.50) = .0062 = -2.00. p value P( z p 2.00) = .0228 = -3.32. p value P( z p 3.32) = .0004 = -2.83. p value P( z p 2.83) = .0023 Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing: Single Population 9.10 A random sample of n = 25, variance = 2 and the sample mean is = 70. Consider the null hypothesis H 0 : 80 versus the alternative H 1 : Compute the p-value x 0 a. 2 = 225. z n x 0 b. 2 = 900. z n x 0 c. 2 = 400. z n x 0 d. 2 = 600. z n .0207 9.11 H : 0 Z 9.12 9.13 0 a. H : 1 50 ; H : 1 70 80 = -3.33. p value P( z p 3.33) = .0004 15 25 70 80 = = -1.67. p value P( z p 1.67) = .0475 30 25 70 80 = = -2.50. p value P( z p 2.50) = .0062 20 25 70 80 = = -2.04. p value P( z p 2.04) = 24.4949 25 16 ; reject H 50 ; reject 48.2 50 = -1.8, therefore, Reject 3 9 H : 0 3; H : 1 80 . = 15.84 16 = -1.6, therefore, Reject .4 16 H : Z 16 ; 217 3 ; reject if Z.10 < -1.28. 0 H H H at the 10% level. if Z.10 < -1.28 0 H 0 0 0 at the 10% level. if Z.05 > 1.645 3.07 3 = 1.4, therefore, Do Not Reject H 0 at the 5% level. .4 64 b. p-value = 1 – FZ(1.4) = 1 - .9192 = .0808 c. the p-value would be higher – the graph should show that the p-value now corresponds to the area in both of the tails of the distribution whereas before it was the area in one of the tails. d. A one-sided alternative is more appropriate since we are not interested in detecting possible low levels of impurity, only high levels of impurity. Z 218 9.14 Statistics for Business & Economics, 7th edition Test H : 0 100 ; H : 1 100 , using n = 25 and alpha = .05 x 0 106 100 = 2.00. Since 2.00 is tn 1, 2 , s n 15 25 greater than the critical value of 1.711, there is sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. x 0 104 100 b. x 104, s 10 . Reject if = 2.00. Since 2.00 is tn 1, 2 , s n 10 25 greater than the critical value of 1.711, there is sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. c. Assuming a one-tailed lower tailed test, x 95, s 10 . Reject if x 0 95 100 = -2.50. Since -2.50 is less than the critical value of tn 1, 2 , s n 10 25 -1.711, there is sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. x 0 d. Assuming a one-tailed lower test, x 92, s 18 . Reject if tn 1, 2 , s n 92 100 = -2.22. Since -2.22 is less than the critical value of -1.711, there is 18 25 sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. a. 9.15 x 106, s 15 . Reject if Test H : 0 100 ; H : 1 100 , using n = 36 and alpha = .05 x 0 106 100 = 2.40. Since 2.40 is tn 1, 2 , s n 15 36 greater than -1.697, there is insufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. x 0 104 100 b. x 104, s 10 . Reject if = 2.40. Since 2.40 is tn 1, 2 , s n 10 36 greater than -1.697, there is insufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. x 0 95 100 c. x 95, s 10 . Reject if = -3.00. Since -3.00 is less tn 1, 2 , s n 10 36 than the critical value of -1.697, there is sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. x 0 92 100 d. x 92, s 18 . Reject if = -2.67. Since -2.67 is less tn 1, 2 , s n 18 36 than the critical value of -1.697, there is sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. a. x 106, s 15 . Reject if Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing: Single Population 9.16 H : 0 3; H 1 : 3; 2.4 3 = -3.33, p-value is < .005. Reject 1.8 100 alpha t 9.17 H : 0 4; H 1 : 4; reject H 0 H 4.27 4 = 8.08, p-value is < .010. Reject 1.32 1562 alpha. H : 0 .078 0 = 3.38, p-value is < .010. Reject .201 76 alpha H : 0 t 9.20 3; H 1 : 3; reject H 0 0 H H at any common level of 0 0 at any common level of 0 at any common level of alpha. 0; H 1 : 0; 2.91 0 = -3.35, p-value is < .005. Reject 11.33 170 alpha. H H : if |t15, .05/2 | > 2.131 t 9.21 H if t171,.01 > 2.326 3.31 3 = 5.81, p-value is < .005. Reject .7 172 H : at any common level of 0; H 1 : 0; t 9.19 0 if –2.576 > t1561,.005 > -2.576 t 9.18 0 125.32; H 1 : 125.32; reject H 0 0 at any common level of 131.78 125.32 = 1.017, p-value is > .200. Do not reject 25.4 16 level. t 219 H 0 at the .05 9.22 a. No, the 95% confidence level provides for 2.5% of the area in either tail. This does not correspond to a one-tailed hypothesis test with an alpha of 5% which has 5% of the area in one of the tails. b. Yes. 220 9.23 Statistics for Business & Economics, 7th edition H : 0 10; H 1 : 10; 8.82 10 = -1.554, p-value is between .100 and .050. Do not reject 2.4013 10 at common levels of alpha. t 9.24 H : 0 t 9.25 9.26 9.27 H 0 0 78.5; H 1 : 78.5; reject 0 if |t8, .05/2 | > 2.306 20.3556 20 = 1.741, therefore, do not reject .6126 9 H : t 20; H 1 : 20; reject H H 0 H 0 at the 5% level if |t7, .10/2 | > 1.895 74.5 78.5 = -1.815, therefore, do not reject 6.2335 8 H 0 at the 10% level The population values must be assumed to be normally distributed. H 0 : 50; H 1 : 50; reject H 0 if t19, .05 < -1.729 t 41.3 50 = -3.189, therefore, reject 12.2 20 a. H : 0 H 0 at the 5% level 400; H 1 : 400; 381.35 400 = -1.486, p-value = .0797, therefore, reject H 0 at alpha 48.60 15 levels greater than 7.97% b. Yes, with a larger sample size, the standard error would be smaller and hence, the calculated value of t would be larger. This would yield a smaller p-value and hence the company’s claim could be rejected at a lower significance level than part. t 9.28 A random sample is obtained to test the null hypothesis of the proportion of women who said yes to a new shoe model. H 0 : p .25; H 1 : p .25; . What value of the sample proportion is required to reject the null hypothesis with alpha = .03? a. n = 400. Reject H 0 if pˆ pˆ c p0 z p0 (1 p0 ) / n = .25 +1.88 (.25)(1 .25) / 400 = .2907 b. n = 225. Reject H 0 if pˆ pˆ c p0 z p0 (1 p0 ) / n = .25 +1.88 (.25)(1 .25) / 225 = .30427 Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing: Single Population H c. n = 625. Reject 0 221 if pˆ pˆ c p0 z p0 (1 p0 ) / n = .25 +1.88 (.25)(1 .25) / 625 = .28256 H d. n = 900. Reject 0 if pˆ pˆ c p0 z p0 (1 p0 ) / n = .25 +1.88 (.25)(1 .25) / 900 = .2771 9.29 A random sample is obtained to test the null hypothesis of the proportion of women who would purchase an existing shoe model. H 0 : p .25; H 1 : p .25; . What value of the sample proportion is required to reject the null hypothesis with alpha = .05? a. n = 400. Reject H 0 if pˆ pˆ c p0 z p0 (1 p0 ) / n = .25 – 1.645 (.25)(1 .25) / 400 = .2144 H b. n = 225. Reject 0 if pˆ pˆ c p0 z p0 (1 p0 ) / n = .25 – 1.645 (.25)(1 .25) / 225 = .2025 H c. n = 625. Reject 0 if pˆ pˆ c p0 z p0 (1 p0 ) / n = .25 – 1.645 (.25)(1 .25) / 625 = .2215 H d. n = 900. Reject 0 if pˆ pˆ c p0 z p0 (1 p0 ) / n = .25 – 1.645 (.25)(1 .25) / 900 = .22626 9.30 H : p .25; H : p .25; 0 1 .2908 .25 = 1.79, p-value = 1 – FZ(1.79) = 1 - .9633 = .0367 z (.25)(.75) / 361 Therefore, reject H 0 at alpha greater than 3.67% 9.31 H : p .25; H : p .25; reject H 0 1 0 if z.05 < -1.645 .173 .25 = -5.62, p-value = 1 – FZ(5.62) = 1 – 1.0000 = .0000 (.25)(.75) / 998 Therefore, reject H 0 at the 5% alpha level z 9.32 H : p .5; H : p .5; 0 1 .45 .5 = -1.26, p-value = 2[1 – FZ(1.26)] = 2[1 – .8962] = .2076 (.5)(.5) /160 The probability of finding a random sample with a sample proportion this far or further from .5 if the null hypothesis is really true is .2076 z 222 9.33 Statistics for Business & Economics, 7th edition H : p .5; H : p .5; reject H 0 1 0 if |z.10/2 | > 1.645 .5226 .5 = .64, p-value = 2[1 – FZ(.64)] = 2[1 – .7389] = .5222 (.5)(.5) /199 Therefore, do not reject H 0 at the 10% alpha level. The p-value shows the z probability of finding a random sample with a sample proportion this far or farther from .5 if the null hypothesis is really true is .5222 9.34 H : p .5; H : p .5; 0 1 .56 .5 = .85, p-value = 1 – FZ(.85) = 1 – .8023 = .1977 (.5)(.5) / 50 Therefore, reject H 0 at alpha levels in excess of 19.77% z 9.35 H : p .75; H : p .75; 0 1 .686 .75 = -1.94, p-value = 1 – FZ(1.94) = 1 – .9738 = .0262 (.25)(.75) /172 Therefore, reject H 0 at alpha levels in excess of 2.62% z 9.36 H : p .75; H : p .75; 0 1 .6931 .75 = -1.87, p-value = 1 – FZ(1.87) = 1 – .9693 = .0307 (.75)(.25) / 202 Therefore, reject H 0 at alpha levels in excess of 3.07% z 9.37 Compute the probability of Type II error and the power for the following a. 5.10 . P( x xc | * = P( x 5.041| * 5.10) = 5.041 5.10 P z .1 16 = P(z ≤ -2.36) = .0091. Power = 1 – .0091 = .9909 b. 5.03 . P( x xc | * = P( x 5.041| * 5.03) = 5.041 5.03 P z .1 16 = P(z ≤ .44) = .6700. Power = 1 – .6700 = .3300 c. 5.15 . P( x xc | * = P( x 5.041| * 5.15) = 5.041 5.15 P z .1 16 = P(z ≤ -4.36) = .0000. Power = 1 – .0000 = 1.0000 Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing: Single Population 223 d. 5.07 . P( x xc | * = P( x 5.041| * 5.07) = 5.041 5.07 P z .1 16 = P(z ≤ -1.16) = .3770. Power = 1 – .3770 = .6230 9.38 What is the probability of Type II error if the actual proportion is * * .46 p .54 p * ˆ a. P .52 . P(.46 p .54 | p p ) = P z p* (1 p* ) p* (1 p* ) n n .46 .52 .54 .52 = P(-2.94 ≤ z ≤ .98) = .4984 + .3365 = = P z .52(1 .52) .52(1 .52) 600 600 .8349 .46 .58 .54 .58 b. P .58 . P(.46 pˆ .54 | p p* ) = P z .58(1 .58) .58(1 .58) 600 600 = P(-5.96 ≤ z ≤ -1.99) = .5000 – .4767 = .0233 .46 .53 .54 .53 c. P .53 . P(.46 pˆ .54 | p p* ) = P z .53(1 .53) .53(1 .53) 600 600 = P(-3.44 ≤ z ≤ .49) = .4997 + .1879 = .6876 .46 .48 .54 .48 d. P .48 . P(.46 pˆ .54 | p p* ) = P z .48(1 .48) .48(1 .48) 600 600 = P(-.98 ≤ z ≤ 2.94) = .3365 + .4984 = .8349 .46 .43 .54 .43 e. P .43 . P(.46 pˆ .54 | p p* ) = P z .43(1 .43) .43(1 .43) 600 600 = P(1.48 ≤ z ≤5.44) = .5000 – .4306 = .0694 224 Statistics for Business & Economics, 7th edition X 50 < -1.28 or when X < 48.72. Given an X = 48.2 3 9 hours, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. 48.72 49 b. The power of the test = 1 - = 1 – P(Z > ) = 1 – P(Z > -.28) = .3897 3 9 9.39 a. H 0 is rejected when X 3 > 1.645 or when X > 3.082. Since the sample .4 64 mean is 3.07% which is less than the critical value, the decision is do not reject the null hypothesis. 3.082 3.1 b. The = P(Z < ) = 1 – FZ(.36) = .3594. Power of the test = 1 - = .4 64 .6406 X 4 9.41 a. H 0 is rejected when –2.275 < < 2.275 or when 3.914 < X < 1.32 1562 4.086. Since the sample mean was 4.27, which is greater than the upper critical value, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. 3.914 3.95 4.086 3.95 b. = P( <Z< ) = P(-1.08 > Z > 4.07) = .8599 1.32 1562 1.32 1562 9.40 a. 9.42 9.43 H 0 is rejected when p .5 < -1.28 or when p < .477 .25 / 802 .477 .45 The power of the test = 1 - = 1 – P(Z > ) = 1-P(Z > 1.54) = (.45)(.55) / 802 .9382 H 0 is rejected when p .25 < -1.645 or when p < .2275. Since (.25)(.75) / 998 the sample proportion is .173 which is less than the critical value, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis. .2275 .2 b. The power of the test = 1 - = 1 – P(Z > ) = 1-P(Z > 2.17) = (.2)(.8) / 998 .9850 a. H 0 is rejected when Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing: Single Population 9.44 225 p .5 > 1.645 or when .442 > p > .558. .25 /199 Since the sample proportion is .5226 which is within the critical values. The decision is that there is insufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. .442 .6 .558 .6 b. = P( < Z< ) = 1-P(-4.55 < Z < -1.21) = .1131 (.6)(.4) /199 (.6)(.4) /199 a. H 0 is rejected when –1.645 > 30.8 32 ) = P(Z < -2.4) = 0.0082 3 36 30.8 32 b. P(Z ) = P(Z < -1.2) =0.1151 3 9 30.8 31 c. P( Z ) = P(Z > -.4) =0.6554 3 36 9.45 a. P(Z 9.46 a. P( Z 9.47 a. .14 .10 ) = P(Z > 1.33) = .0918 (.1)(.9) /100 .14 .10 b. P( Z ) = P(Z > 2.67) = .0038. The smaller probability of a (.1)(.9) / 400 Type I error is due to the larger sample size which lowers the standard error of the mean. .14 .20 c. P( Z ) = P(Z < -1.5) = .0668 (.2)(.8) /100 d. i) lower, ii) higher : 100; H 1 : 100; 2 H 0 2 (24,.025) 2 39.36, 2 2 (24,.010) Therefore, reject H 0 (n 1) s 2 2 24(165) = 39.6, 100 42.98 at the 2.5% level but not at the 1% level of significance. b. 2 2 2 H 0 : 100; H 1 : 100; (n 1) s 2 2 28(165) = 46.2, 100 2(28,.025) 44.46, 2(28,.010) 48.28 Therefore, reject c. H 0 at the 2.5% level but not at the 1% level of significance. 2 2 2 H 0 : 100; H 1 : 100; 2 (24,.050) 36.42, 2 (24,.025) 39.36 (n 1) s 2 2 24(159) = 38.16, 100 226 Statistics for Business & Economics, 7th edition Therefore, reject H 0 at the 5% level but not at the 2.5% level of significance. 2 2 2 H 0 : 100; H 1 : 100; d. (n 1) s 2 2 37(67) = 24.79, 100 2(30,.100) 40.26, 2(40,.100) 51.81 Therefore, do not reject 9.48 H 0 9.51 (n 1) s 2 2 H 0 if 2(7,.10) > 12.02 7(933.982) = 13.0757, Therefore, reject 500 9(5.1556) = 20.6224. Reject 2.25 H 0 H 0 H 0 at the 10% level if 2(9,.05) > 16.92 at the 5% level : 2 300; H 1 : 2 300; 29(480) 2 = 46.4, p-value = .0214. Reject 300 H 0 H 0 at the 5% level The hypothesis test assumes that the population values are normally distributed 2 H 0 : 2.0; H 1 : 2.0; reject H 0 if (19,.05) > 30.14 2 9.52 at any common level of significance. a. s2 = 5.1556 b. H 0 : 2 2.25; H 1 : 2 2.25; reject 2 9.50 0 : 2 500; H 1 : 2 500; reject 2 9.49 H H 0 19(2.36)2 = 26.4556. Do not reject (2)2 H 0 at the 5% level : 18.2; H 1 : 18.2; 24(15.3)2 = 16.961. (18.2)2 Do not reject H 0 at the 10% level since 2 >15.66 = 2(24,.10) 2 9.53 a. The null hypothesis is the statement that is assumed to be true unless there is sufficient evidence to suggest that the null hypothesis can be rejected. The alternative hypothesis is that the statement that will be accepted if there is sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis b. A simple hypothesis assumes a specific value for the population parameter that is being tested. A composite hypothesis assumes a range of values for the population parameter. Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing: Single Population 227 c. One sided alternatives can be either a one-tailed upper (> greater than) or a one-tailed lower (< less than) statement about the population parameter. Two sided alternatives are made up of both greater than or less than statements and are written as ( not equal to). d. A Type I error is falsely rejecting the null hypothesis. To make a Type I error, the truth must be that the null hypothesis is really true and yet you conclude to reject the null and accept the alternative. A Type II error is falsely not rejecting the null hypothesis when in fact the null hypothesis is false. To make a Type II error, the null hypothesis must be false (the alternative is true) and yet you conclude to not reject the null hypothesis. e. Significance level is the chosen level of significance that established the probability of a making a Type I error. This is represented by alpha. The power of the test is the ability of the hypothesis test to identify correctly a false null hypothesis and reject it. 9.54 9.55 The p-value indicates the likelihood of getting the sample result at least as far away from the hypothesized value as the one that was found, assuming that the distribution is really centered on the null hypothesis. The smaller the p-value, the stronger the evidence against the null hypothesis. a. X 45, s 10.5409 H : b. t 0 40; H 1 : 40; reject H 0 if t(9,.05) > 1.833 45 40 = 1.50, therefore, do not reject 10.5409 10 H 0 at the 5% level 9.56 a. False. The significance level is the probability of making a Type I error – falsely rejecting the null hypothesis when in fact the null is true. b. True c. True d. False. The power of the test is the ability of the test to correctly reject a false null hypothesis. e. False. The rejection region is farther away from the hypothesized value at the 1% level than it is at the 5% level. Therefore, it is still possible to reject at the 5% level but not at the 1% level. f. True g. False. The p-value tells the strength of the evidence against the null hypothesis. 9.57 a. X 333/ 9 37; sx 312 8 = 6.245 H : 0 t 40; H 1 : 40; reject H 0 if t8,.05 < -1.86 37 40 = -1.44, therefore, do not reject 6.245 9 H 0 at the 5% level 228 Statistics for Business & Economics, 7th edition Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing: Single Population 229 776 800 ) = P(Z < -2) = .0228 120 100) 776 740 b. P( Z ) = P(Z > 3) = .0014 120 100 c. i) smaller ii) smaller d. i) smaller ii) larger 9.58 a. P( Z 9.59 a. H : p .25; H : p .25; reject H 0 1 0 if z.05 < -1.645 .215 .25 = -1.90, therefore, reject H 0 at the 5% level (.25)(.75) / 545 p .25 b. H 0 is rejected when < -1.645 or when p < .2195 (.25)(.75) / 545 .2195 .2 i) power = 1 – P(Z > ) = 1 – P(Z > 1.14) = .8729 (.2)(.8) / 545 .2195 .25 ii) power = 1 – P(Z > ) = 1 – P(Z > -1.64) = .0505 (.25)(.75) / 545 .2195 .3 iii) power = 1 – P(Z > ) = 1 – P(Z > -4.1) = .0000 (.3)(.7) / 545 z 9.60 H : p .5; H : p .5; 0 1 .4808 .5 = -.39, p-value = 2[1-FZ(.39)] = 2[1-.6517] = .6966 z (.5)(.5) /104 Therefore, reject H 0 at levels in excess of 69.66% 9.61 H : p .5; H : p .5; 0 1 .576 .5 = 1.51, p-value = 1-FZ(1.51) = 1-.9345 = .0655 z (.5)(.5) / 99 Therefore, reject H 0 at levels in excess of 6.55% 9.62 H : p .25; H : p .25; 0 reject H 0 if z.05 > 1.645 .3333 .25 = 2.356, therefore, reject (.25)(.75) /150 z 9.63 1 H : p .2; H : p .2; 0 H 0 at the 5% level 1 .2746 .2 = 2.22, p-value = 1-FZ(2.22) = 1-.9868 = .0132 (.2)(.8) /142 Therefore, reject H 0 at levels in excess of 1.32% z 230 Statistics for Business & Economics, 7th edition 9.64 Cost Model where W = Total Cost: W = 1,000 + 5X W 1,000 5(400) 3,000 125 2W (5)2 (625) 15, 625, W 125, W 25 25 H 0 : W 3000; H1: W 3000; Using the test statistic criteria: (3050 – 3000)/25 = 2.00 which yields a p-value of .0228, therefore, reject H 0 at the .05 level. Using the sample statistic criteria: X crit 3, 000 (25)(1.645) 3041.1 , X calc 3, 050 , since X calc 3, 050 > X crit 3041.1 , therefore, reject H 0 at the .05 level. 9.65 H 0 : 39, H 1 : 39 40 39 1.19 . Probability of X = 40 given that is 39 is .1170. 50 71 Therefore, the Vice President’s claim is not very strong. t40 9.66 Assume that the population of matched differences are normally distributed H o : x y 0; H1 : x y 0; 1.3667 0 = 1.961. 2.414 12 Reject H 0 at the 10% level since 1.961 > 1.796 = t(11, .05) t 9.67 The hypothesis test is: H : 0 100; H 1 : 100; reject H 0 if Z.05 > 1.645 Note: two zero values can be removed since a loaf of bread cannot weigh zero grams: Using Minitab: One-Sample T: Dbread Test of mu = 100 vs mu < 100 Variable N Mean Dbread 37 101.19 Variable Dbread 95.0% Upper Bound 110.29 At the .05 level of significance, do not reject StDev 32.79 T 0.22 H 0 SE Mean 5.39 P 0.587 Chapter 9: Hypothesis Testing: Single Population H 0 : 40, H 1 : 40; X 49.73 42.86 reject H 0 One-Sample T: Salmon Weight Test of mu = 40 vs mu > 40 Variable Salmon Weigh Variable Salmon Weigh N 39 Mean 49.73 StDev 10.60 95.0% Lower Bound 46.86 SE Mean 1.70 T 5.73 P 0.000 At the .05 level of significance we have strong enough evidence to reject Ho that the true mean weight of salmon is no different than 40 in favor of Ha that the true mean weight is significantly greater than 40. X crit Ho tcrit ( S x ) : 40 + 1.686(1.70) = 42.8662 Population mean for = .50 (power=.50): tcrit = 0.0: 42.8662 + 0.0(1.70) = 42.8662 Population mean for = .25 (power=.75): tcrit = .681: 42.8662 + .681(1.70) = 44.0239 Population mean for = .10 (power=.90): tcrit = 1.28: 42.8662 + 1.28(1.70) = 45.0422 Population mean for = .05 (power=.95): tcrit = 1.645: 42.8662 + 1.645(1.70) = 45.6627 Power curve For beta = .50 .25 .10 and .05 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 Power 9.68 231 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 40 41 42 43 PopMean 44 45 46 232 9.69 Statistics for Business & Economics, 7th edition H : a. 0 1.6; H 1 : 1.6; reject H 0 if |z.05|> 1.645 1.615 1.6 = 1.20, p-value =2[1-FZ(1.2)]= 2302. .05 16 Do not reject H 0 at the 10% level z b. H 0 : .05; H 1 : .05; reject 15(.086)2 = 44.376. Reject (.05)2 2 9.70 H H if 2(15,.10) 22.31 0 0 at the 10% level a. Assume that the population is normally distributed One-Sample T: Grams: Test of mu = 5 vs mu not = 5 Variable N Mean Grams:11-34 12 4.9725 Variable Grams:11-34 x 4.9725; s .0936 , t ( StDev 0.0936 95.0% CI 4.9130, 5.0320) H : 0 SE Mean 0.0270 T -1.02 5; H 1 : 5; reject 4.9725 5 = -1.018. Do not reject .0936 12 H 0 P 0.331 H 0 if |t(11, .025| > 2.201 at the 5% level b. Assume that the population is normally distributed 2 H 0 : .025; H 1 : .025; reject H 0 if (11,.05) 19.68 2 9.71 11(.0936) 2 = 154.19. Therefore, reject (.025)2 H 0 at the 5% level x 333/ 9 37; s 312 8 = 6.245 H 0 : 6; H 1 : 6; reject 2 H 0 if 2(8,.10) 13.36 8(6.245)2 = 8.67. Do not reject (6)2 H 0 at the 10% level