A feeling for patterns in rivers: understanding and reductionistic explanation in earth science Maarten G. Kleinhans Faculty of Geosciences Descartes Institute UU The Young Academy (KNAW) www.geog.uu.nl/fg/mkleinhans This contribution 1. what’s this thing called earth science? 2. unification or reduction? 3. different understanding from unif. or reduct.? 2/26 A definition of geoscience • study the planet: phenomena, processes and their history on and in terrestrial planets. • historical aim: development of the planet from its earliest beginnings to its present form. • causal aim: causes that shape the planet and that produce its distinctive objects. 3/26 Basic logic abduction causes / minor premises / initial and boundary conditions (the world as it was) laws / generalisations major premises effects / consequent outcome (the world as it is now) 4/26 Twisting the lion’s tail 5/26 Example: rivers (NWO-Vidi) • why different river patterns? – explanation by reduction to physics • how and why certain stacking of mud and sand in valleys, terraces and deltas? – explanation by unification: sequence stratigraphy 6/26 7/30 7/26 8/26 Experimentation 9/26 FOKKE & SUKKE know what science is about... ...very impressive, dear collegue, but does it also work in theory? 10/26 Explanation by reduction to physics • Various channel patterns explained by: – bar theories (Navier-Stokes + mass conservation) – numerical model for flow & morphodynamics • physical phenomena identified in field and experiments • theory and models supported by experiments 11/26 Bar theory • Analogy: spring-damper system 12/26 12/30 Numerical physics-based modelling 13/26 Unification: sequence stratigraphy • stratification = layering of sediment/rock layers • sequence: order of stratification patterns vertically and spatially all explained by – relative sea level movements – climate change ‘long list of initial and boundary conditions’ 14/26 Seq Strat: explanation by unification • site observations (outcrop, core) – sedimentology local environmental conditions – fossils, radiometric dating, ... rough dating • + general regional setting – continental margin initial morphology, relative sea level change – physical or biogenical sediment: • drainage basin, valley, river, delta and sea floor fan • mud flat / karst, coral reef, pelagic sea floor • combine – predict for unvisited locations (oil!) – infer past climate, tectonics, relative sea level change 15/26 sign for waves (sea floor) sign for unidirectional current (river) 16/26 site observations and context sandy delta with multiple channels erosive by contact medium sand formed riverwith Rhine organic material: peat sign for fluvial sedimentation covered by silt (floodplain deposits) freshwater following aplant riverspecies avulsion sign fortosedimentation space but (Biesbosch) no sediment clay with some material known be St organic Elisabeth floods interpreted plant as distal river Rhine floodplain freshwater species sign for lagoon of poorly sorted rapid alterations interpreted as transgressional sand and gravel layers, no claylagoon or peat sign for braided river interpreted as glacial Rhine embodied skills 17/26 idealised schematics connecting and predicting local observations 18/26 Reductionistic components • experiments on stratification processes local environmental reconstruction based on patterns / signs, OK • simplified seq strat experiments idealised cases, OK • sedimentation / erosion laws: f (gradient) yep, gravity, OK (fluid flow, drag forces on granular materials) 19/26 Unification or reduction? • explanation with both approaches! • ‘unification’ uses reductive components • understanding? 20/26 Understanding in de Regt & Dieks • phenomena understood if intelligible theory • theory intelligible if qualitative characteristic consequences are recognised 21/26 Qualitative characteristic consequences • reduction approach: refer to – exemplar cases (recorded in graphs and pictures) – classical manipulative experiments and modelling – simple technical analogues (spring-damper, thermostat, balance) • unification approach: refer to – exemplar cases idealised in drawn abstractions predict observations in spatial and temporal context – classical sites – present-day analogues and (simplified experiments) of basic sedimentary environments and sequences22/26 Obtaining understanding in Leonelli • skillfull and consistent use of theories, models, methods, experiments, tools, instruments expertise • skills: integrate – theoretical – performative (material, embodied) – social 23/26 Skills in reduction approach • • • • • • mathematical manipulation numerical model operation model building measurements instrument operation experimentation • repeatable and objective! 24/26 Skills in unification approach • • • • • • taste, feel, hear, hammer, drill (embodiment) pattern recognition draw a log at one site connect logs into profile identify sequences ‘think spatially and temporally’ – just mapping? 3D mental movie of the past! • repeatable and objective within schools comparable and translatable between schools 25/26 Understanding in two approaches? for both unification and reduction approaches: • phenomena and theories intelligible: qualitative characteristic consequences understood • understanding obtained by training and consistent use of integrated theoretical and performative skills 26/26 Disciplines • • • • • • • • • geomorphology, geoscience, geology, physical geography, meteorology, environmental sciences, climatology, paleontology, geochemistry, • • • • • • • • sequence stratigraphy biogeology, sedimentology, geophysics, physical oceanography, civil engineering, geological engineering, ... 27/26 28/26 idealised schematic for a sea level rise case bounding surfaces for causally connected sequence of events 29/26 Problems of reduction • theory or model ‘simplified representation’ etc.: – which laws from physics? – numerical issues? – how verify? multiple auxiliarly hypotheses • underdetermination of initial conditions: – initial and boundary conditions from data? far past? – sensitive! one-to-one comparison not sensible! – how compare patterns? how choose between models? 30/26 But: • skills require long training • leads to specialisation and entrenchment no understanding of other approach • same phenomena + different approaches different answers? • unity of earth sciences in danger? explicitly teach: – reduction and unification approaches on one phenomenon – integration of theoretical and performative skills 31/26