AAEC 4302 ADVANCED STATISTICAL METHODS IN AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH Chapter 15.1 Heteroscedasticity Heteroscedasticity • Assumptions of a normal regression model: – The disturbances are independent random variables – The standard deviations of all disturbances are equal: σ(ui) = σu for all i • Heteroscedasticity occurs when the error term (and thus the dependent variable Y) does not have a constant variance across observations: σ(ui) = σi Heteroscedasticity Heteroscedasticity Heteroscedasticity • The OLS parameter estimators are still unbiased, but OLS standard errors are incorrect • Also, the OLS parameter estimators are no longer the most efficient (i.e. minimum variance), even if the error term is normally distributed Heteroscedasticity • SAVINGS=-1.062+0.295INCOME (0.851) (0.075) R2=0.137 [1.233] [0.152] Original standard error (t*=3.94) Revised standard error (t*=1.94) Heteroscedasticity Detection Examine the residuals σ(ui) = σXi • • • • White Test Breusch-Pagan Test Park Test Glejser Test Heteroscedasticity White test Auxiliary regression H0: σ(ui) = σu - no heteroscedasticity H1: σ(ui) = σi H0 is rejected when nR2 is large Heteroscedasticity Estimation Respecify the original model in such a way that resulting disturbances are homoscedastic Yi 1 ui o 1 Xi Xi Xi Heteroscedasticity SAVINGSi 1 0.228 0.197 INCOMEi INCOMEi (0.222) (0.044) SAVINGSi = 0.228 + 0.197 INCOMEi (0.222) (0.044) • GLS (Generalized Least Squares) – Also known as weighted least squares