Chapter 2 Modeling Process Quality Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-1. Describing Variation • Graphical displays of data are important tools for investigating samples and populations. • Displays can include stem and leaf plots, histograms, box plots, and dot diagrams. • Graphical displays give an indication of the overall “distribution” of the data. Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-1.1 The Stem-and-Leaf Plot • The numbers on the left are the “stems” • The values on the right are the “leaves” • The smallest number in this set of data is 175 • The median is 211 17| 558 18| 357 19| 00445589 20| 1399 21| 00238 22| 005 23| 5678 24| 1555899 25| 158 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-1.2 The Frequency Distribution and Histogram • Frequency Distribution – Arrangement of data by magnitude – More compact than a stem-and-leaf display – Graphs of observed frequencies are called histograms. Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-1.2 The Frequency Distribution and Histogram • Histogram 7 6 Frequency 5 4 3 2 1 0 170 180 190 200 210 220 230 240 250 260 C1 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition Graphical Displays • What is the overall shape of the data? • Are there any unusual observations? • Where is the “center” or “average” of the data located? • What is the spread of the data? Is the data spread out or close to the center? Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-1.3 Numerical Summary of Data Important summary statistics for a distribution of data can include: • Sample mean, x • Sample variance, s2 • Sample standard deviation, s • Sample median, M Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-1.3 Numerical Summary of Data • For the data shown in the previous histogram and stem and leaf plot, the summary statistics are: N Mean Median Var StDev 40 215.50 211.00 634.5 25.19 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-1.4 The Box Plot • The Box Plot is a graphical display that provides important quantitative information about a data set. Some of this information is – – – – Location or central tendency Spread or variability Departure from symmetry Identification of “outliers” Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-1.4 The Box Plot 120.35 120.1 120.6 120.9 121.3 Figure 2-5. Box plot for the aircraft wing leading edge diameter data in Table 2-4. Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-1.5 Sample Computer Output Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-1.6 Probability Distributions • Definitions – Sample A collection of measurements selected from some larger source or population. – Probability Distribution A mathematical model that relates the value of the variable with the probability of occurrence of that value in the population. – Random Variable variable that can take on different values in the population according to some “random” mechanism. Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-1.6 Probability Distributions • Two Types of Probability Distributions – Continuous When a variable being measured is expressed on a continuous scale, its probability distribution is called a continuous distribution. The probability distribution of piston-ring diameter is continuous. – Discrete When the parameter being measured can only take on certain values, such as the integers 0, 1, 2, …, the probability distribution is called a discrete distribution. The distribution of the number of nonconformities would be a discrete distribution. Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-2 Important Discrete Distributions 2-2.1 2-2.2 2-2.3 2-2.4 The Hypergeometric Distribution The Binomial Distribution The Poisson Distribution The Pascal and Related Distributions Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-2.2 The Binomial Distribution A quality characteristic follows a binomial distribution if: 1. All trials are independent. 2. Each outcome is either a “success” or “failure”. 3. The probability of success on any trial is given as p. The probability of a failure is 1- p. 4. The probability of a success is constant. Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-2.2 The Binomial Distribution The binomial distribution with parameters n 0 and 0 < p < 1, is n x p( x) p (1 p)n x x The mean and variance of the binomial distribution are np 2 np(1 p) Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-2.3 The Poisson Distribution The Poisson distribution is e x p(x) , x! x 0,1, Where the parameter > 0. The mean and variance of the Poisson distribution are 2 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-2.3 The Poisson Distribution • The Poisson distribution is useful in quality engineering – Typical model of the number of defects or nonconformities that occur in a unit of product. – Any random phenomenon that occurs on a “per unit” basis is often well approximated by the Poisson distribution. Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-3 Important Continuous Distributions 2-3.1 2-3.2 2-3.3 2-3.4 The Normal Distribution The Exponential Distribution The Gamma Distribution The Weibull Distribution Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-3.1 The Normal Distribution The normal distribution is an important continuous distribution. • Symmetric, bellshaped • Mean, • Standard deviation, -4 -3 -2 -1 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 0 x 1 2 3 4 2-3.1 The Normal Distribution For a population that is normally distributed: • approx. 68% of the data will lie within 1 standard deviation of the mean; • approx. 95% of the data will lie within 2 standard deviations of the mean, and • approx. 99.7% of the data will lie within 3 standard deviations of the mean. -4 -3 -2 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition -1 0 x 1 2 3 4 2-3.1 The Normal Distribution • Standard normal distribution – Many situations will involve data that is normally distributed. We will often want to find probabilities of events occurring or percentages of nonconformities, etc.. A standardized normal random variable is: x Z Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-3.1 The Normal Distribution • Standard normal distribution – Z is normally distributed with mean 0 and standard deviation, 1. – Use the standard normal distribution to find probabilities when the original population or sample of interest is normally distributed. – Tables, calculators are useful. Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-3.2 The Normal Distribution Example The tensile strength of paper is modeled by a normal distribution with a mean of 35 lbs/in2 and a standard deviation of 2 lbs/in2. a) What is the probability that the tensile strength of a sample is less than 40 lbs/in2? b) If the specifications require the tensile strength to exceed 30 lbs/in2, what proportion of the samples is scrapped? Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-3.3 The Exponential Distribution • • The exponential distribution is widely used in the field of reliability engineering. The exponential distribution is p( x ) e , x0 The mean and variance are 1 2 1 2 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition 2-4 Some Useful Approximations • In certain quality control problems, it is sometimes useful to approximate one probability distribution with another. This is particularly useful if the original distribution is difficult to manipulate analytically. • Some approximations: – Binomial approximation to the hypergeometric – Poisson approximation to the binomial – Normal approximation to the binomial Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 4th Edition