Exploratory Data Analysis 90 100 70 Male Female 70 160 170 70 150 180 190 200 50 H eight 50 40 60 Male Female Male Female 140 40 Weight 140 60 80 Weight 90 80 100 90 60 50 40 Weight 80 Height and Weight 150 160 170 180 190 H eight 140 150 160 170 H eight 180 190 200 200 Data exploration and Statistical analysis 1. Data checking, identifying problems and characteristics Data Data exploration, categorical / numerical outcomes Analyzing a set of data • Look at the data (initial checks on the data) • Downloading data, formatting, data collection, discrepant data, missing data • Visualize the data (exploratory data analysis) • Descriptive statistics, informative tables, wellconstructed figures • Analyse the data (definitive analysis) • Formal statistical analysis • Quantify any interesting results • Report the findings Types of Variables • Often, test to use depends on the type of variable at hand • Two main classes of variables: • Categorical • Numerical • Categorical variables further divided into two sub-classes: • Nominal categorical (example: gender, ethnic groups) • Ordinal categorical (example: size of a car, quality of teaching) Numerical variables • Distinguish between discrete or continuous numerical variables Discrete • Integer values (number of male subjects, number of episodes of flu outbreaks) Continuous • Takes a whole range of values (height, weight) • Continuous variables treated as discrete (age) Exploratory Data Analysis EDA • Tabular EDA • Univariate tables, cross-tabulation of categorical variables • Numerical EDA • Location, spread, skewness, covariance and correlation • Graphical EDA • Frequency plots, histograms, boxplots, scatterplots The precise form of EDA depends on the data at hand. Tabular EDA • Useful for summarising categorical data. For example, the following table shows the classification of 2,555 students from three schools in a study on the GCSE O-level results in Mathematics: Dunman High HCI RI / RGS Total Dunman High HCI RI / RGS Total 6 408 1496 1910 No. of students No. of students Small counts are problematic in categorical data analysis Tabular EDA • For two categorical variables: i.e. the distribution of the A, B and others grades between two schools School A B Others Dunman High HCI Question: Appears that Dunman High has proportionally more students scoring A/B grades than HCI. Does this mean anything? Numerical EDA • Calculating informative numbers which summarise the dataset • What are the numbers useful for describing the age of 1,059 individuals with diabetes? • Location parameters (mean, median, mode) • Spread (range, standard deviation, interquartile range) • Skewness Mean age (54.6 years) 20 30 40 50 60 AGE 70 80 Numerical EDA Skewness 0.15 0.05 0.0 Frequency 0.25 Right Skew 0 5 10 Observation Median Mean 15 Normal distribution 68% of the probability, 1 standard deviation away 95% of the probability, 2 SDs away 40 50 60 70 Exam marks for Mathematics exam 80 Numerical EDA • Sample Quartiles Q1: 25th quantile (or value of the 25% ranked data) Q2: 50th quantile (also known as median of data) Q3: 75th quantile (or value of the 75% ranked data) Consider the heights of 1000 people, rank these heights from shortest to tallest. Q1 Q2 Q3 Location and spread • When mean is used as the location parameter, the standard deviation is the appropriate measure for spread • When median is used as the location parameter, the corresponding measure for spread is the interquartile range • Interquartile range (IQR) IQR = Q3 – Q1 • Minimum, Maximum of data (seldom used to quantify spread, but more for data QC) Numerical EDA • Numbers can be informative to identify potential problems with the data Example: Suppose the height for 1,496 individuals randomly sampled from the population produces the following summary IQR = Q3 – Q1 = 188 – 172 = 16 Range = Max – Min = 201 – 0 = 201 Correlation • Two numerical variables: height and weight Questions • Are there any relationship between these variables? • If there is, how do we quantify this relationship? • Covariance and Correlation Measures the degree of association between two numerical variables. Covariance and Correlation • Covariance is scale-dependent, and correlation is unitfree. • More intuitive to interpret correlation than covariance. Example: Covariance for height and weight is 2.4 when assessed using metres and kilograms, but 240,000 when assessed using centimetres and grams. Correlation is a constant value at 0.83 for both scenario. •Correlation is unit-free, and always bounded between -1 and 1 inclusive. • Useful for investigating relationships between variables, (e.g. weight and height) Example Graphical EDA • Visual summaries of the data • Flagging outliers, obvious relationships, check for distribution Boxplots • Univariate boxplot: for 1 numerical variable Ends of box: Q1 and Q3 Length of box: IQR White line: Sample median Whiskers: 1.5 times IQR Lines outside whiskers: Outliers Circles: Extreme outliers Boxplots • Multivariate boxplots: for 1 numerical variable across different levels of a categorical variable • Graphical comparison Scatterplots 70 60 50 Male Female 40 Weight 80 90 100 • Graphical representation for 2 numerical variables 140 150 160 170 H eight 180 190 200 Scatterplots Perfect Negative Correlation -10 5 -25 10 -20 -15 y 20 15 y 25 -5 30 0 Perfect Positive Correlation 2 4 6 8 10 2 4 6 8 x Correlation = 0.8 Correlation = -0.3 8 y 7 7.5 6 7.0 6.5 y 8.0 9 8.5 9.0 x 10 4.0 4.5 5.0 x 5.5 6.0 6.5 4.0 5.0 6.0 x 7.0 Scatterplots 6 7 8 y 9 10 Correlation = 0.0 3 4 5 6 x 7 Exploratory Data Analysis in RExcel and SPSS Comparing height of children • Height data for 30 children, from 3 groups • Interest to compare height of children between groups • Useful (and not useful!) data exploration Comparing height of children • Height data for 30 children, from 3 groups • Interest to compare height of children between groups • Useful (and not useful!) data exploration Coding numerical variables as factors Retain numbers as categories, or to define new names for the categories Note the deliberate mistake here! Always know your variables well! Stratified analysis by group Click on this to define the variable that contains the grouping information for stratification Boxplots Choose this to produce separate boxplots for the three groups (stratified analysis) Maximum 2nd quartile 25% Interquartile range Median 25% 1st quartile Minimum An excellent way to observe graphical/preliminary evidence of any differences between the groups! No comments can be made if the boxes overlap. Only when two boxes (or more) do not overlap can we say there is graphical evidence of a difference between the two (or more) groups What about SPSS? Never choose this when plotting a histogram to get a gauge of the distribution of the dataset To perform a stratified analysis, place the grouping variable under Factor List Default is Stem-and-leaf, remember to change it to Histogram Check this to perform a quantitative test for normality Numerical summaries Statistical test for departure from normality Tests of Normality a heig ht group 1.00 2.00 3.00 Kolmog orov-Smirnov Statistic df Sig . .182 10 .200* .176 10 .200* .134 10 .200* Shapiro-Wilk Statistic df .899 10 .948 10 .955 10 *. This is a lower bound of the true significance. a. Lilliefors Significance Correction For the time being: - If values are > 0.05, interpret as normality assumption is valid; - If values are < 0.05, interpret as normality assumption is not valid, and the variable does not follow a normal distribution. Statistical evidence, known as significance levels or P-values Sig . .211 .648 .730 There really isn’t much difference between RExcel and SPSS Data checking Omega 3 consumption and mathematical abilities • Students from 3 schools participated in a study to assess the effects of omega 3 on mathematical abilities • For each student, there is information on: • school • gender • marks before • marks after • daily omega 3 consumption (mg) Zeroes are important to take note of, but how do we decide whether they are plausible values or problematic values? For flagging outliers in boxplots Now we need to exclude these datapoints Students should be able to • realise that data exploration prior to formal statistical analysis is important; • know what to look out for in data checking of categorical variables • know what to look out for in data checking of numerical variables • understand the use of frequencies (percentages) for categorical data summary • understand which location and variability metrics to use for numerical data • understand the use and interpretation of histograms Cont... • interpret boxplots, for variable summary and for graphical comparisons • know the usage and interpretation of scatterplots • perform data entry in RExcel and SPSS • perform exploratory data analysis in RExcel and SPSS • identify and remove problematic data in RExcel and SPSS • generate useful summary tables and figures for a dataset in investigating research hypotheses • interpret generated summary tables and figures of a dataset for investigating research hypotheses