Introduction, Nature & Scope of Marketing Research Dr. A. K. Dey Reference Books • Marketing Research an Applied Orientation – Naresh Malhotra & S. Dash • Business Research Methods – Cooper & Schindler • Marketing Research – Text & Cases – Boyd, Westfall & Stasch Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 2 Some Important Aspects • In order to understand and appreciate Research Methodology following points must be very clear • What is Research? • What is Marketing Research? Why carry out Marketing Research? How it is different from Market Research? • What is Bus Res Methods or Research Methodology? • The connection between MR and managerial decision making. Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 3 Some Important Aspects…Contd. • • • • Is MR applicable in all situation? Def of MR. Scope of MR Scientific & Non-scientific Research: Distinction between these • Validity & Reliability Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 4 Some Important Aspects…Contd. • Six difficulties in applying scientific method to marketing – Investigator involved in the use of result – Imprecise measuring devices: How to measure attitudes? Intentions? Opinions? – Influence of measurement process on the result – Time pressure for the result – Difficulty in using experiments to test hypothesis – Great complexity of subjects Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 5 Some Important Aspects…Contd. • Research Process: How to conduct a research? Which steps in which sequence? • How many types of research – Qualitative: Exploratory – Quantitative: Descriptive and Experimental • • • • What is Research Design Sampling Design Scaling: Attitude Measurement QuestionnaireResConstruction Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 6 Objectives • Understand Marketing Research (MR) • Understand relevance of MR for marketing decisions • Develop appreciation of MR & its applications • Know the procedure of conducting • Develop familiarity with each step of procedure Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 7 What is Business Research? • A systematic Inquiry whose objective is to provide information to solve managerial problems. Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 8 Why Study Research? • Research provides you with the knowledge and skills needed for the fast-paced decision-making environment Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 9 Different Styles of Research • Applied Research – Emphasis on solving practical (specific) problems – It could be exploring opportunities also • Rectifying an inventory system that is resulting into lost sales • Opportunity to increase stockholder wealth by acquiring another firm • Pure Research/Basic Research – Emphasis on problem solving but of a general nature (not specific) • Effect of coupon as against rebate to stimulate demand Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 10 What is Good Research? • Following the standards of the scientific method – Purpose clearly defined – Research process detailed – Research design thoroughly planned – Limitations frankly revealed – High ethical standards applied Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 11 What is Good Research? (cont.) • Following the standards of the scientific method (cont.) – Adequate analysis for decisionmaker’s needs – Findings presented unambiguously – Conclusions justified – Researcher’s experience reflected Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 12 The Manager-Researcher Relationship • Manager’s obligations – Specify problems – Provide adequate background information – Access to company information gatekeepers • Researcher’s obligations – Develop a creative research design – Provide answers to important business questions Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 13 Manager-Researcher Conflicts • Management’s limited exposure to research • Manager sees researcher as threat to personal status • Researcher has to consider corporate culture and political situations • Researcher’s isolation from managers Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 14 When Research Should be Avoided • When information cannot be applied to a critical managerial decision • When managerial decision involves little risk • When management has insufficient resources to conduct a study • When the cost of the study outweighs the level of risk of the decision Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 15 Need for MR • A manager takes decisions • His responsibility is to reduce risk of failure in decision making • Risk arises due to lack of relevant information • A manager always seeks information to improve quality of decision making • Information can be collected through MR • Hence, MR is an important tool for managerial decision making Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 16 MR & Marketing Decisions • For Production, Finance, Personnel – Most of the required info are available within the organization; Hence easy to collect & analyze – Formal procedures are used to improve quality : Stats Methods for QC, PERT & CPM, Queuing Theory, Optimization Techniques etc • For Marketing – information mostly exist outside the organization – – – – In In In In consumer behaviour, perception, minds competitive moves new government rules & regulations social & political changes Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 17 MR & Marketing Decisions • Other problems for collecting information required for marketing decisions are – Being external – collection is cumbersome & expensive – Variables are often qualitative & dynamic – making measurements difficult & inaccurate – Variables are complex & interact with each other Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 18 Risk of using wrong information • Choice of wrong information may lead to – Excessive expenditure – Decision going astray – Hind Sanitaryware – Becoming uncompetitive & losing out – S Kumars Internet centers & Modular Kitchen – Market may vanish all of a sudden – fashion garments Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 19 Scientific Method: The Essential Tenets of Science • Direct observation of phenomena • Clearly defined variables, methods, and procedures • Empirically testable hypotheses • Ability to rule out rival hypotheses • Statistical justification of conclusions • Self-correcting process Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 20 Ways to Communicate • Exposition – descriptive statements that merely state and do not give reason • Argument – allows us to explain, interpret, defend, challenge, and explore meaning – Two types: Deduction & Induction Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 21 Important Arguments in Research • Deduction is a form of inference that purports to be conclusive • Induction draws conclusions from one or more particular facts • For suitable examples consult book pages 32 - 34 Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 22 The Building Blocks of Theory • Concepts • Constructs • Definitions • Variables • Propositions and Hypotheses • Theories • Models Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 23 Understanding Concepts • A concept is a bundle of meanings or characteristics associated with certain events, objects, conditions, situations, and behaviors • Concepts have been developed over time through shared usage Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 24 Understanding Concepts • The success of research hinges on: – how clearly we conceptualize – how well others understand the concepts we use • For customer loyalty use questions that tap faithfully the Attitude of participants • Attitudes are abstract, try to measure them using carefully selected concepts Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 25 What is a Construct? • A construct is an image or idea specifically invented for a given research and/or theory-building purpose. • Constructs are required for more abstract concepts – “Personality”, “Satisfied Customer” Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 26 Types of Variables • Independent • Dependent • Moderating • Extraneous • Intervening Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 27 Types of Variables • Independent & Dependent – Leadership style & Employee performance or Job satisfaction – Price of a product & Demand • Independent – Cause, Stimulus, Predictor, Antecedent • Dependent – Effect, Response, Criterion, Consequence Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 28 Types of Variables • Moderating – In each relationship there is one Independent Variable (IV) & one Dependent Variable (DV) • Four day work week (IV) will lead to higher productivity (DV) – Moderating variable is a second independent variable that has significant effect on the originally stated IV–DV relationship • Four day work week (IV) will lead to higher productivity (DV), especially among young workers (MV) Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 29 Types of Variables • Extraneous – Infinite number of extraneous variables (EV) exist that might effect the relationship – Most of such variables have little or no effect on the given situation and these may be ignored – Others may have highly random occurrence as to have little impact – For productivity example: election of a new mayor, rainy days, bird flu, strike etc Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 30 Types of Variables • Intervening – Intervening variable (IVV) is defined as a factor which theoretically effects the observed phenomenon but can not be seen measured or manipulated – Its effect can be inferred from the effects on the observed phenomenon • Four day work week (IV) will lead to higher productivity (DV) by increasing job satisfaction (IVV) Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 31 Propositions & Hypotheses • Proposition – A statement about concepts that may be judged as TRUE or FALSE if it refers to observable phenomenon – Proposition formulated for empirical testing is Hypothesis – Example • Infosys employees have higher than average achievement motivation Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 32 The Role of the Hypothesis • Guides the direction of the study • Identifies facts that are relevant • Suggests which form of research design is appropriate • Provides a framework for organizing the conclusions that result Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 33 Characteristics & Types of a Good Hypothesis • A good hypothesis should fulfill three conditions: – Must be adequate for its purpose – Must be testable – Must be better than its rivals • Hypothesis types – Descriptive – Relational: Correlation & Causal Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 34 Types of Hypothesis • Descriptive – Describes the existence, size, form or distribution of some variables – Eighty percent of shareholders of HLL favour increasing the company’s cash dividend • It can also be stated as research question – Do shareholders of HLL favour an increased cash dividend? • Either form is acceptable, but descriptive hypothesis format has advantages – Encourages researcher to crystallize thinking – Encourages to think about implications of either an accepted or rejected finding – Useful for testing statistical significance Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 35 Types of Hypothesis • Relational – Statements that describe the relationship between two variables with respect to some case – Foreign (variable) refrigerators are perceived to be of better quality (variable) by Indian consumers (case) Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 36 Types of Relational Hypothesis • Two types: Correlation & Causal • Correlation – Merely states that variables occur together without implying that one causes the other • People in Kerela give more importance to education than people in Punjab • In an office old employees are more responsive than young employees Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 37 Types of Relational Hypothesis • Causal (or Explanatory) – There is an implication that existence of (or a change in) one causes or leads to a change in the other • Causal variable is called Independent variable and the other Dependent variable • Advertisement causes higher sales • Increase in income leads to higher savings Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 38 The Value of a Theory • Narrows the range of facts we need to study • Suggests which research approaches will yield the greatest meaning • Suggests a data classification system • Summarizes what is known about an object of study • Predicts further facts that should be found Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 39 Definition of Marketing Research • American Marketing Association MR is the systematic gathering, recording and analyzing of data about problems related to the marketing of goods & services • Philip Kotler MR is the systematic design, collection, analysis & reporting of data & findings relevant to a specific marketing situation facing the company It may be relevant to add the word “continuous” to the above definitions Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 40 Purpose of MR • To improve quality of decision making process by providing information • To help reduce the risk associated with managerial decision making – Risk due to two types of uncertainties: • About the expected outcome • About the future environment • To discover opportunity & exploit profitably For example : Frooti, Velvette, Mother Dairy, Dhara, Pan Parag Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 41 Scope of MR • Consumers of products & services Buyer behaviour, Influencers, Buying habits, Incentives • Product & product design Pricing, Sourcing, Physical attributes • Distribution Channels Performance, Dealer Satisfaction, Own vs Multi-brand • Advertising Impact Image, Positioning, Media Planning, Message Content & Prioritizing • Macro Level Phenomenon Govt spending. Mood of the Industry, State of Economy Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 42 MR Procedure • Seven inter-related steps 1.Specifying research objectives 2.Preparing a list of needed information 3.Designing the data collection project 4.Selecting a sample type 5.Determining sample size 6.Organizing & carrying out the field work 7.Analyzing the collected data & report the findings Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 43 The Management-Research Question Hierarchy 6 Management Decision Measurement Questions Investigative Questions 5 4 3 2 1 Management Questions Research Questions Management Dilemma Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 44 The Management-Research Question Hierarchy 6 Management Decision Conduct an employee survey for outcomes of change in compensation structure If compensation scheme is changed, will good sales persons leave? 5 4 Introduce individual incentive? Quota based incentive? Advertise more? How can we improve sales in south? 3 2 1 Why are sales declining in south while sales are booming in all other regions? Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 45 Working with the Hierarchy • Management Dilemma – The symptom of an actual problem – Not difficult to identify a dilemma, however choosing one to focus on may be difficult – Needs proper prioritizing Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 46 Working with the Hierarchy • Management Question Categories –Choice of purposes or objective –Generation and evaluation of solutions –Troubleshooting or control situation Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 47 Working with the Hierarchy • Fine tune the research question – Examine concepts and constructs – Break research questions into specific second-and-third-level questions – Verify hypotheses with quality tests – Determine what evidence answers the various questions and hypothesis – Set the scope of your study Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 48 Working with the Hierarchy • Investigative Questions –Questions the researcher must answer to satisfactorily arrive at a conclusion about the research question Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 49 Working with the Hierarchy • Measurement Questions –The questions we actually ask to extract information from respondents Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 50 Other Processes in the Hierarchy • Exploration – Recent developments – Predictions by informed figures about the prospects of the technology – Identification of those involved in the area – Accounts of successful ventures and failures by others in the field Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 51 Research Process Problems • The Favored Technique Syndrome • Company Database Strip-Mining • Unresearchable Questions • Ill-Defined Management Problems • Politically Motivated Research Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 52 MR Procedure • Seven inter-related steps 1.Specifying research objectives (Problem Definition) 2.Preparing a list of needed information 3.Designing the data collection project 4.Selecting a sample type 5.Determining sample size 6.Organizing & carrying out the field work 7.Analyzing the collected data & report the findings Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 53 Problem Definition • Any situation requiring further investigation is a problem • Not all problems require fresh MR to be carried out. Many can be decided upon based on past data, trend, experience • Distributor Credit • Manufacturing out put • Stocking level • Problem Definition should be • Specific – neither too broad nor too narrow • Target outcome should be precise • Should be manageable within time & resource available Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 54 Problem Definition – an example Incomplete Problem Definition Better Problem Definition 1. Product Refrigerator Refrigerator – Ordinary & Frost free 2. Market West Zone West Zone with spl ref to Mumbai, Nashik, Pune & Nagpur 3. Market Segment ---- Office & Institutional Sector & NOT Households 4. Current Mkt Share Not available 12% over all 3% in Office & Inst 5. Problem Sales not picking up at the rate at which they should Last year our growth 5% Industry grew by 25% 6. MR Problem To find out the reason To find out the reasons for shortfall in our growth rate in office & inst segments & suggest specific strategies followed by Brands A&B Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 55 Research Design • It spells out how to achieve stated MR objectives • Consists of – Data Collection Method – Specific Research Instruments – Sampling Plan Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 56 Research Design – Data Collection Method • Secondary Data • Primary Data – Observation – Survey (Most widely used) – Experimentation – Specific Research Instruments Camera, Tape, People Meter, Tally Sheet, Questionnaire – Sampling Plan – – – – Who How How How is to be surveyed? many? are they to be selected? are they to be reached? Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey Sampling unit Sample size Sampling Procedure Sampling Media 57 Field Work • Involves planning, execution, supervision & checking for errors • MR must be planned & executed well so as to complete within resource & time limits • Progress to be closely monitored to avoid time & cost overrun • Extensive back checks & spot checks will improve the quality of MR output Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 58 Data Analysis • Done in two phases – Classification of raw data • Quantitative vs Qualitative • Chronological, Geographical, Demographic – Summarizing the data • Frequency distribution, Mean, Median, Mode, Range, Variance, Standard Deviation • Data Analysis Methods – Four classes Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 59 Data Analysis……….Contd. • Analytical Methods – Four classes: – Tests of Significance :Sampling Statistics, Chi Square Analysis & Analysis of Variance – Explaining Observed difference I: Cross Tabulation, Correlation & Regression – Explaining Observed difference II: Linear Discriminant Analysis & Automatic Interaction Detector – Identifying Interdependencies: Cluster, Factor & Conjoint Analysis Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 60 Report Presentation • Report must have following sections – – – – – – Executive Summary Objectives & Methodology Summary, Conclusion, Recommendation Sample Characteristics & Basis of selection Detailed findings Questionnaires & other supporting documents Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 61 Marketing Research Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 62 Secondary Research Secondary Data Inexpensive May not be relevant May be old Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 63 Internal Sources • • • • Company Accounts Internal Reports and Analysis Stock Analysis Retail data - loyalty cards, till data, etc. Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 64 External Sources • • • • • • • Government Statistics Trade publications Commercial Data – IMRB, Gallup, Mintel, etc. Household Expenditure Survey Magazine surveys Other firms’ research Research documents – publications, journals, etc. Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 65 Marketing Research • Advantages of Marketing Research – Helps focus attention on objectives – Aids forecasting, planning and strategic development – May help to reduce risk of new product development – Communicates image, vision, etc. – Globalisation makes market information valuable (HSBC adverts!!) Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 66 Marketing Research • Disadvantages of Marketing Research – Information only as good as the methodology used – Can be inaccurate or unreliable – Results may not be what the business wants to hear! – May stifle initiative and ‘gut feeling’ – Always a problem that we may never know enough to be sure! Res Method _ 1: Dr. Dey 67