Basic Statistics Using Minitab L. GOCH – FEBRUARY 2011 AGENDA Comparing 1 Group to a Target / Specification OR Comparing 2+ Groups to Each Other: 1) 2) 3) 4) Stability – Run Chart (Feb 4th) or Control Chart (Mar 4th) Shape – Histogram (Feb 4th) or Probability Plot Spread – Test for Equal Variances Centering – 1-Sample T-test, 1-Sample Sign, Paired T, 2-Sample T-test, ANOVA or Mood’s Median Test Comparing Proportions - 1 Proportion, 2 Proportion Basic Linear Regression – Fitted Line Plot Chi-Squared – Cross Tabulation and Chi-Square Trend Analysis – Under Stat > Time Series: We won’t be covering in this class. See Tutorials for more information. PROBABILITY PLOT: GRAPH > PROBABILITY PLOT PROBABILITY PLOT: GRAPH > PROBABILITY PLOT Use to display overlaid probability plots of multiple variables and/or multiple groups on the same graph. Open worksheet FlameRTD.mtw PROBABILITY PLOT Probability Plot of Fabric1 Normal 99 C oating A B N one 95 90 90 80 60 50 40 20 10 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 Fabric1 4.304 3.544 5 1 StDev N AD P 0.4138 15 0.321 0.497 0.3575 15 0.545 0.133 0.5700 15 0.310 0.517 Since all p-values are > 0.05, conclude each data set is NORMA LLY DISTRIBUTED. 30 3.185 Percent 70 Mean 3.013 2.727 3.573 4.0 4.5 5.0 TEST FOR EQUAL VARIANCES: STAT > ANOVA > TEST FOR EQUAL VARIANCES TEST FOR EQUAL VARIANCES: STAT > ANOVA > TEST FOR EQUAL VARIANCES Use to display overlaid probability plots of multiple variables and/or multiple groups on the same graph. Open worksheet FlameRTD.mtw TEST FOR EQUAL VARIANCES (SESSION WINDOW & GRAPH RESULTS) Use for Normal Data Use for Non-Normal Data Test for Equal Variances for Fabric1 Bartlett's Test Test Statistic P-Value A 3.19 0.203 Levene's Test C oating Test Statistic P-Value B None 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 95% Bonferroni Confidence Intervals for StDevs 1.0 1.1 1.42 0.253 CENTERING COMPARISON ANALYSES Response is Numeric & Factors are Text or Numeric Analysis 1-Sample T 1-Sample Sign # of Grps Comparison Statistic 1 Target Average 1 Target Median Paired Data Paired T 2 (e.g. before Difference vs after) 2-Sample T 2 Each Other Average ANOVA 2+ Each Other Average Mood’s Median Test 2+ Each Other Median 1-SAMPLE T-TEST: STAT > BASIC STATISTICS > 1-SAMPLE T 1-SAMPLE T-TEST: STAT > BASIC STATISTICS > 1-SAMPLE T Performs a one-sample t-test or t-confidence interval for the mean. Open worksheet EXH_Stat.mtw 1-SAMPLE T (SESSION WINDOW & GRAPH RESULTS) Note: For n<30, data is assumed to be Normally Dist’d 95% of the time the True Avg will be between 4.5989 & 4.9789 Boxplot of Values (with Ho and 95% t-confidence interval for the mean) The sample Avg is significantly different from the Target of 5. _ X Ho 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 Values 4.9 5.0 5.1 1-SAMPLE SIGN: STAT > NONPARAMETRICS> 1-SAMPLE SIGN 1-SAMPLE SIGN: STAT > NONPARAMETRICS> 1-SAMPLE SIGN Performs a one-sample t-Sign or t-confidence interval for the median. Open worksheet EXH_Stat.mtw 1-SAMPLE SIGN (SESSION WINDOW RESULTS) The sample Median is NOT significantly different from the Target of 115. 95% of the time the True Median will be between 108.5 & 211.7 PAIRED T-TEST: STAT > BASIC STATISTICS > PAIRED T PAIRED T-TEST: STAT > BASIC STATISTICS > PAIRED T Tests the mean difference between paired (related) observations. Open worksheet EXH_Stat.mtw PAIRED T (SESSION WINDOW & GRAPH RESULTS) 95% of the time the True Avg Difference will be between -0.687& -0.133 which does NOT contain ZERO. Boxplot of Differences (with Ho and 95% t-confidence interval for the mean) The sample Avgs are significantly different from each other. _ X Ho -1.2 -0.9 -0.6 -0.3 Differences 0.0 2-SAMPLE T-TEST: STAT > BASIC STATISTICS > 2-SAMPLE T 2-SAMPLE T-TEST: STAT > BASIC STATISTICS > 2-SAMPLE T Performs a two-sample t-test or t-confidence interval for the mean difference. Open worksheet Furnace.mtw 2-SAMPLE T (SESSION WINDOW & GRAPH RESULTS) 95% of the time the True Avg Difference will be between -1.450 & 0.980 which contains ZERO. Boxplot of BTU.In 20 The sample Avgs are NOT significantly different from each other. BTU.In 15 10 5 1 2 Damper ONE-WAY ANOVA: STAT > ANOVA > ONE-WAY ONE-WAY ANOVA: STAT > ANOVA > ONE-WAY Compares the Averages for 2 or more Groups. Open worksheet Exh_AOV.mtw ONE-WAY ANOVA (SESSION WINDOW & GRAPH RESULTS) Boxplot of Durability At least 1 Pair of Avgs are significantly different from each other. 22.5 20.0 Durability 17.5 15.0 12.5 10.0 7.5 5.0 1 2 3 Carpet 4 MOOD’S MEDIAN TEST: STAT > NONPARAMETRICS> MOOD’S MEDIAN TEST MOOD’S MEDIAN TEST: STAT > NONPARAMETRICS> MOOD’S MEDIAN TEST Compares the Medians of 2 or more Groups. Open worksheet Cartoon.mtw MOOD’S MEDIAN TEST (SESSION WINDOW RESULTS) At least one group’s median is significantly different from the others. Group 2 is significantly different from groups 0 & 1 since the 95% CI’s do NOT overlap. Boxplot of Otis 140 130 120 Otis 110 100 90 80 70 0 1 ED 2 1-PROPORTION TEST: STAT > BASIC STATISTICS > 1-PROPORTION 1-PROPORTION: STAT > BASIC STATISTICS > 1-PROPORTION Performs a one-sample proportions test or pconfidence interval for a proportion. No worksheet is needed for this test. 1-PROPORTION: (SESSION WINDOW RESULTS) Note: Proportion Testing Should NOT be done when the sample size n<30!! 95% of the time the True Proportion will be between 55.74% & 62.10% The sample Proportion is significantly different from the Target of 65%. 2-PROPORTION TEST: STAT > BASIC STATISTICS > 2-PROPORTIONS 2-PROPORTIONS: STAT > BASIC STATISTICS > 2-PROPORTIONS Performs a two-sample proportions test or pconfidence intervals for a proportion. No worksheet is needed for this test. 2-PROPORTIONS: (SESSION WINDOW RESULTS) Note: Proportion Testing Should NOT be done when the sample size for any one group is <30!! 95% of the time the True Difference between the Proportions will be between -9.58% & 17.58% The difference in Proportions is NOT significantly different. BASIC LINEAR REGRESSION: STAT > REGRESSION > FITTED LINE PLOT REGRESSION: STAT > REGRESSION > FITTED LINE PLOT Performs a Regression Analysis on 1 Input (X) and 1 Output (Y). Open worksheet Exh_REGR.mtw REGRESSION: (GRAPH RESULTS) Fitted Line Plot EnergyConsumption = 1.25 + 0.3218 MachineSetting EnergyConsumption 40 S R-Sq R-Sq(adj) 30 20 10 0 10 15 20 MachineSetting 25 30 The line does NOT fit the curved data. Need a quadratic, cubic or transformation of the data. 12.1825 2.3% 0.0% REGRESSION: (SESSION WINDOW & GRAPH RESULTS) The Regression Equation shows that Machine Setting explains 93.1% of the variability in Energy Consumption. Fitted Line Plot log10(EnergyConsumption) = 7.070 - 0.6986 MachineSetting + 0.01740 MachineSetting**2 The Quadratic Term is significant in the model. NOTE: If a higher order term is significant than the lower order term must remain in the model. EnergyConsumption 100 S R-Sq R-Sq(adj) 10 1 10 15 20 MachineSetting 25 30 0.167696 93.1% 91.1% CROSS TABULATION AND CHI-SQUARE: STAT > TABLES > CROSS TABULATION AND CHISQUARE CHI-SQUARE: STAT > TABLES > CROSS TABULATION AND CHISQUARE Performs a Chi-Squared Analysis on Count Data. Open worksheet Exh_TABL.mtw CHI-SQUARE ANALYSIS: (SESSION WINDOW RESULTS) No significant association between Gender and Activity CONCLUSIONS Results need to be Supported by data Not based on conjecture or intuition Shown in 1) Graphical & 2) Statistical format Make sense from an 3) Engineering standpoint Use P-values to determine if Results could have happened by Chance!! Need Significant Differences for Reliable Conclusions !!