Six Sigma 6 Sam Tomas, CFPIM, CRM, C.P.M. Kokopelli What is Six Sigma? Six Sigma is a reference to a particular goal of reducing defects to near zero. • Sigma is the Greek letter “” that represents the “standard deviation” or variability of a group of items from their average value. • A Six Sigma program is therefore a variability reducing program. – The key objectives include improved processes, product performance, and reliability 2 What Else is Six Sigma? • A concept that provides a relatively new way to measure how good a product is. It relates to a manufacturing or service failure rate of only 3.4 rejects per million operations, or a yield of 99.99 99 99 8%. When a product is six sigma, it tells us that the quality level is excellent. 3 Why Six Sigma? Why spend money to achieve six sigma quality when perhaps 99% or 98% perfect would be totally adequate? • The inadequacy of 99.9% accuracy can be illustrated as follows: – 22,000 checks will be deducted from the wrong bank accounts in the next 60 minutes – 880,000 credit cards in circulation will have incorrect cardholder information on their magnetic strips – 268,500 defective tires will be shipped this year – 18,322 pieces of mail will be mishandled the next hour – 14,208 defective computers will be shipped this year 4 But With Six Sigma Quality • Drug prescriptions – One incorrect drug prescriptions every 25 years. • Surgical operations – One incorrect surgical operation every 20 years • Mail Delivery – Only one article of mail every 35 years lost 5 The Bathtub Curve • Shows reliability of a product in terms of failure rate per month • The curve presents two shaded areas – Latent defect rate • Causes early failure after a product is delivered – Inherent failure rate • Function of product design, materials, processes, and technologies used in manufacturing. • Defects in manufacturing are caused by: – Narrow design margins for the product – Insufficient manufacturing process controls – Poor incoming materials/parts quality 6 The Bathtub Curve Failure Rate I Infant Mortality II Useful Life Latent Defects III Wear out Overall Life Characteristic curve Inherent Failure Area Failure Rate Time Quality Failures due to Process & Material Wear out Failures Design-Related (Inherent) Failures Time 7 6 Sigma Versus 4 Sigma Why attempt to achieve 6 sigma when 4 sigma (99.9937%) may be adequate? • Even well controlled processes experience shifts in the mean as great as ± 1-1/2 standard deviations. • A normal 4 sigma process plus a 1-1/2 sigma shift in the process average would result in 4 sigma variations of 6,210 defects per million operations. 8 Yield Rates of Six Sigma Products • It is possible to build a product in which each component is a six sigma component and yet have the product exhibit yields of only 90%, 80%, 70%, 60% etc. • What we are talking about is rolledthroughput yield or the probability that all product, process and material characteristics will simultaneously conform to their respective standards. 9 Improvement Efforts Required to Reach Six Sigma 66,810 dpm 3 10 X Improvement 6,210 dpm 223 dpm 3.4 dpm 4 5 6 30 X Improvement 70 X Improvement Dpm = defects per million 10 10 Where are Average Companies in Quality? • Approximately 2 Sigma – IRS – Tax advice over the phone 2 • Approximately 4 Sigma (Average) – – – – Restaurant bills Doctor prescription writing Payroll processing Order write-ups • Approximately 6 Sigma – Best in class – Seiko, HP Inc., etc. • 6.5 Sigma – Domestic flight fatality rate (0.43 ppm) 4 6 6.5 11 Relationship of Defects to Other Factors • The 6 sigma concept indicates there are strong relationships between product “defects” and such factors as: – – – – – Reliability Product yields Cycle times Inventories Schedules The higher the sigma value, the more reliable the process being monitored and the higher the improvement in all areas. 12 Financial Implications of Low Sigma • The lower the sigma level, the higher the repair costs • A 4 sigma company spends more than 15% of its sales dollars for internal and external repairs • A 6 sigma company spends about 1% • Over the long run, a 4 sigma company will not be able to compete with a 6 sigma company. 13 What is the Cost of Quality? Goal: Improve cost, quality, and schedule performance via process improvement and reduction of process variations. Sigma Level Defects Per Million Opportunities Cost of Quality 2 308,537 (Noncompetitive companies) N/A 3 66,807 25-40% of sales 4 6,210 (Industry average) 15-25% of sales 5 233 5-15% of sales 6 3.4 (World Class) 1% of sales Note: Each sigma improvement represents a 10% net improvement in income. 14 The Tools of Six Sigma •Design to standard parts/ materials •Design to standard processes •Design to known capabilities •Design for assembly •Design for simplicity •Process optimization •Process characterization •Process standardization •Short-cycle manufacturing •Statistical process control Process Design Material •Parts standardization •Supplier SPC (SSPC) •Supplier certification •ERP/MRP Region of Six Sigma Synergy 15 Overcome Process Variation: First Strategy • Anticipate problems – develop controls during the design cycle for both the product and the manufacturing process steps to include the following: – Define 6 sigma tolerances on all critical product and process parameters – Minimize the total number of parts in the product – Minimize the number of process steps – Standardize on parts and procedures – Use SPC during initial design and prototype design phases 16 Overcome Process Variation: Second Strategy • Use statistical process control (SPC) on the process to continually isolate, control and eliminate variation resulting from people, machines and the environment. 17 Overcome Process Variation: Third Strategy • The third strategy addresses suppliers – Institute a supplier qualification program using SSPC techniques – Require suppliers to provide process control plans and process control charts – Minimize the number of suppliers used – Work towards a long term “win-win” partnership with all selected suppliers 18 Five Steps to Six Sigma for Manufacturing 1. Identify product characteristics necessary to 2. 3. 4. 5. satisfy customers (Use QFD) Determine if characteristics are controlled by part, process or both Decide max allowed tolerance for correct performance Determine existing process variations Change product design, process, or both to attain the correct characteristics 19 What Are Some Possible Applications for Six Sigma? • In the stockroom – Used to reduce parts counts that are found to be inaccurate • In personnel – Used to reduce the number of requisitions unfilled after 30 days • In customer service – Used to measure number of calls unanswered on the 2nd or 3rd ring • In sales – Used to track errors in completing order forms • In order fulfillment – Used to eliminate returns because of wrong product being shipped • In finance – Used to reduce the instances of accounts being paid after a specified time limit has elapsed 20 Six Sigma Dilbert