A CONCEPTUAL APPROACH TO DESIGN THE KNOWLEDGE BASED URBAN DEVELOPMENT (KBUD) USING AGENT BASED MODELLING European Real Estate Society (ERES) conference paper Rengarajan Satyanarain* & HO, Kim Hin / David Department of Real Estate School of Design and Environment National University of Singapore *Email: Satyanarain@nus.edu.sg Introduction: what are knowledge based urban developments? Contents of the paper We look at how to design (land use planning) a Knowledge Based Urban Development (KBUD) so as to enhance intracluster knowledge interactions. Research Implication Develop physical planning guidelines which would help urban planners create effective zoning (mixed-use) policies. Background : Influence of design on knowledge based work Knowledge catalysing the process of technological innovation is undisputed in the Science and Technology (S&T) literature. Sources: Hargadon & Sutton, 1997; Kanter, 1988; I Nonaka & Konno, 1998 Individuals working in knowledge intensive industries require information resources [Medium of access] E.g. Face-to-Face, Journal articles and other forms of media (television, internet, newspapers etc.) Face-to-face (F2F contact ) Sources: Allen (1984) ; Ancona,1990 ;Ancona and Caldwell’s ,1992; Audretsch & Feldman, 1996 ; Feldman, 2000; Storper & Venables, 2004 ; Interaction with peersF2F Productive/innovative Background: Workspace design / Urban scale designs Workspace planning /design studies for knowledge based environments Space syntax Analysis: Exploit differences in spatial layouts, circulation systems, visibility, adjacencies, mean integration etc to maximize the probability of interaction. Scale : Building Sources : Backhouse & Drew, 1992; F Duffy, 1997; Penn, Desyllas, & Vaughan, 1999; Peponis et al., 2007; Serrato & Wîneman, 1999). Urban planning/design studies for knowledge based environments There are almost no studies looking at how to design interactive environments on an urban scale as required for KBUD. Scale : Precinct 3. Research problem Designs have been Ad-hoc and experimental. Euclidian (single land use) Mixed use zoning vs. A mixed use design should promote “knowledge” interactions (planned and spontaneous) This is achieved through complimentary zoning Premise: some actors have higher chances of interaction than others. 3. The research question What is the urban design criteria of the knowledge based urban development ? Knowledge interactions Social Environmental Economic Transportation Knowledge/information interactions What are knowledge interactions? “the continuous and dynamic interaction between tacit and explicit knowledge that happens at the individual, group ,institutional, organizational, and inter-organizational levels that leads to creation/sharing or transfer of knowledge” - Nonaka & Takeuchi (1995). Source: Alan frost (2003); Adapted from classification given by Asheim and Gertler, (2005) Knowledge/information interactions Intra-cluster interactions Knowledge bases Source: Alan frost (2003); Adapted from classification given by Asheim and Gertler, (2005) Literature review – Current design practices General rule of mixed land use designs for KBUD’s I. Diversity II. Triple helix model of Innovation . (Leydesdorff & Etzkowitz ,1998). Geographical proximity “short distances literally bring people together, favour information contacts and facilitate the exchange of tacit knowledge. The larger the distance between agents, the less the intensity of these positive externalities, and the more difficult it becomes to transfer tacit knowledge” -Boschma, 2005 Interactive design = “Accommodate a diverse set of actors into a small area of land” Literature review – Current design practices DMC Seoul KBUD design a “futuristic info-media industrial complex”, has planned for a city street which is to host “entertainment and retail establishments, technology companies, prestige housing, R&D institutions, and universities”. The same street supposedly would host leisure activities such as “theatres, cafés, stores, nightclubs and LCD screens as big as whole buildings”. Source: http://sap.mit.edu/resources/portfolio/seoul/ Literature review - Knowledge interaction determinants Spatial proximity maybe necessary Mixed land uses Not sufficient Other dimensions of proximity .. Literature review - Knowledge interaction determinants Proximity factors Institution Key dimension Organizational Trust (based on common institutions) Control Knowledge base Base gap Cognitive base Knowledge gap Geographical Distance Proximity Too little Too high Opportunism Lock-in Network disruption Bureaucracy Lack of common base Physical barrier for fertilisation Misunderstanding Unintended spillovers An optimal mix of agents on these terms can facilitate reduced physical barriers to knowledge interaction Source: Boschma (2005) Theoretical criteria of a knowledge interactive urban design Interaction level (I) 0 Lock-in Proximity Knowledge base Institutional Organizational Cognitive 1 Lock-in A simple 2-Dimensional Illustration of ‘lock-in’ design effect A E.g. Illustration of Design “lock-in effects” in a KBUD A) “Institutional lock-in” B) “Cognitive lock-in” B *Illustrative purpose only 3. Methodology Theoretical Model of design ‘Optimal’ design =(Design criteria, Spatial constraints, Actors [Number & Distribution] ) Theoretical model of design (AGM) Design 3. Methodology- Land use design models in planning Urban Planning literature Land use design optimization problems Single objective Multiple objective Single land use model: Meier,(1968) Multiple land use: Correia and Madden,(1985); Davis and grant,(1987) Multiple land use : Kenneth (1965) ;Barber (1976); Arad and Berechman (1978); Williams and Revelle (1996); Makowski (1997); Janssen et al (2008); Regular grid (non-overlapping) No explicit representation of space Multiple objective Spatially explicit Multiple land use Overlapping Linear Programming methodology Methodology- Agent based modeling Typical Land use design model (MAS) Decision function Selfselect Agents criteria zones S Unsatisfied constraint s 1 Physical definition (conceptual/real) 2 Actor classification 3 Constraints (limits of the system) 4 Operational objective functions (evaluation) Source:Ligtenberg et al, (2004) Actors in the KBUD Agents Firm (high tech, service, business etc.) University department (i) Public research institute (PRI) Private institute (PVRI) Misc (Retail, commercial, housing etc) Classification J= Institution K=Organization L =Knowledge base (Asheim et al,2007) M= Cognitive field Agents Size 100-500 hectares Embedded j k l m Theoretical model of design Land use design Quantity variables Quality variables Location variables Space constraints Types of land uses Zonal interaction Source: Adapted from Kenneth Schlager,1965 Where, Theoretical model of design Quality variable Quantity variables Optimal design algorithm Agent rules Start Define space [e.g. plot ratio, parcel size, road length etc] Initiate agents (AIP). Occupy random position in space. Minimize the mean distance between ‘related’ agents. [KI – Design criteria] Upon reaching equilibrium, locate to the nearest available block. If KI is unsatisfied, re-define space and repeat step 2. If KI is satisfied. Initiate subsidiary agents (i.e. service ratio requirements). End Agent base land use model (AGB-LUM)’s architecture 1. 2. 3. Spatial constraints Plot ratio Land parcels (no.) Minimum requirements (setbacks, accessory etc in sq m) Economic forecasts AIP Agents KI criteria KBUD system Design Type Subsidiary land use I) Planning ratios 1. 2. 3. 4. Knowledge bases Institutional Organizational Cognitive Future work Case study :One north KBUD system Data 1. 2. 3. 4. Land use plans Planning ratios Plot ratio, Set backs etc Land use designs Source: JTC Phase 1 & 2-Biopolis-Land use distribution (by organization) Organizational composition Research institution Technology firm University (learning) misc Model output Input data 1) Agent Identification 2) Coordinate map 3) Rules 4) Planning ratio ( i.e. minimum requirements) Output data 1)Land use composition 2)Plot Ratios 3) Subsidiary land uses 4) Zonal maps (2-D) 3. Research Contribution Agent based modeling literature Land use design models in planning KBUD Literature Linear programming Knowledge interaction criteria (KIC) KBUD Theoretical model of urban design (Our contribution) Planning practice Governance , Institutional planning models , Planning metrics Urban design 1 Have not paid attention to the role of urban design in KBUD literature 2 No theoretical basis on how to effectively mix land uses . 3 Previous urban design models have predominantly used linear programming methodology (LPM). Conclusion Our paper addresses the issue of urban design for knowledge based urban development. Urban designs emphasizing spatial proximity (density) and diversity alone may not favor interactive environments. Propose a theoretical framework for a design tool using ABM approach. The End Thank you for listening Q&A Case study :One north KBUD system Data 1. 2. 3. 4. Land use plans Planning ratios Plot ratio, Set backs etc Land use designs Source: JTC Design Parameter assumptions Agents Assumptions Technology Firm Unit of occupation: Firm Minimum number of persons/firm: 20 Space per person: 70 sq ft Space per firm: 1500 sq ft Research institution Unit of occupation: Department/firm Minimum number of persons department/firm: 20 Space per person: 70 sq ft Space per Department: 1500 sq ft Unit of occupation: Department MnoD : 10 departments Space per department: 2000 sq ft Unit of occupation: Firm (Mno)persons/firm: 20 Space per person: 50 sq ft Space per firm: 2000 sq ft Educational (university) Service firm Sub-Agents Subsidiary land use specifications Green space Regional ratio of 6 sq m per person (entire development) Retail 3 sq m per person Housing 80 sq m per person Recreational 3 sq m per person Source: Authors,2013 & One north masterplan (2008) Model output Input data 1) Agent Identification 2) Coordinate map 3) Rules 4) Planning ratio ( i.e. minimum requirements) Output data 1)Land use composition 2)Plot Ratios 3) Subsidiary land uses 4) Zonal maps (2-D) Theoretical model of design ONE NORTH-BIOPOLIS BASELINE (AIP) Type Percentage Space needed (GFA) in Sq ft. Characteristics 48% 285,600 Research institution/firms 40% 130,400 Housing Work Live Representative unit Agents Dept./firm 285 Apartment unit Learn D Department 9% 38,250 Educational [university, school etc] Play D N.A 3% Total 122(meters) 41250.64 [meters] 100% Source: One north masterplan,2008 Green space (80 %) Sports & recreation (20%) D Theoretical model of design BASELINE SCENARIO -2-DIMENSIONAL Knowledge base Composition-Analytical (Biomedical sci Retail Research Instituti Housing Green space Screenshots Phase 1 & 2-Biopolis-Land use distribution Total population Knowledge base Composition Phase 1 & 2-Biopolis-Land use distribution (by instituition) Land use design –Institutional base Institutional Composition Subsidiary land uses Phase 1 & 2-Biopolis-Land use distribution (by organization) Organizational composition Research institution Technology firm University (learning) misc Fully populated model by institutional-Sample design Design Type Knowledge base – High Institutional-High Public Private Model output Input data 1) Agent Identification 2) Coordinate map 3) Rules 4) Planning ratio ( i.e. minimum requirements) Output data 1)Land use composition 2)Plot Ratios 3) Subsidiary land uses 4) Zonal maps (2-D) Summary of the paper The paper provides a theoretical criteria to help design KBUD. Proposes an new methodology (AGM) to aid land use planning. Towards a more scientific and dynamic approach in designing mixed use developments. A flexible approach reduces reliance on long term designs. The ‘Lock-in’ design phenomenon Institutional ‘Lock-in’ Knowledge base ‘Lock-in’ Organizational ‘Lock-in’ Why is it important? Design goals (criteria) are important for physical planning to take shape over time. Effective zoning can help actors share resources efficiently. It can prevent land use conflicts arising from different actors. E.g. Housing Estates •Reduce commuting costs •Make amenities accessible by walk ,parks,retail etc.) •Social goals community less pollution. Schools fostering sense of 3. Research problem 2 : The design process Actori (T0,Tn ) Urban design criteria i є [ University, public, private research institutes, firms, service companies etc] Defined land area divided into a set of N land parcels KI Urban design 1 2 3 Uncertainty of participants Static urban designs Design Criteria for knowledge interaction Zoning guidelines Spatial Constraints {a,b…z} є N