USDA REE Energy Summit What Should We Expect from Biofuels? Robert C. Brown Bioeconomy Institute Department of Mechanical Engineering Iowa State University Ames, IA Concerns about global climate change will soon drive energy and land use policies USDA REE Energy Summit What’s the rush to get off imported petroleum? Who has the oil? (bbs - billions of barrels) Russia Norway 72 bbls Azerbaijan Kazakhstan Canada 39 bbls 16 bbls United States Iraq 21 bbls 115 bbls Iran Mexico 132 bbls Columbia Venezuela China 17 bbls India Vietnam Malasia Kuwait Egypt Algeria Libya Sudan 39 bbls 99 bbls 77 bbls Nigeria Qatar 35 bbls Equador Brazil Who uses the oil? (thousand s of barrels per day) 6,000 + 3,000 - 5,999 2,000 - 2,999 1,000 - 1,999 0 - 999 Saudi Arabia 262 bbls Angola 15 bbls United Arab Emirates 97 bbls USDA REE Energy Summit Two Kinds of Energy • Primary Energy Sources - forms of energy as they are found in the natural environment • Energy carriers - convenient and “cleanburning” forms of energy that are readily transported, stored, and utilized in distributed applications RENEWABLE FOSSIL USDA REE Energy Summit Primary Energy Sources Energy Carriers Coal Petroleum Natural Gas Tar sands Oil shale Methane hydrates Nuclear Wind Hydropower and wave energy Geothermal Tidal energy Solar electric Photosynthesis (bioenergy) Liquid Hydrocarbons Hydrogen Methane Ammonia Dimethyl ether Ethanol Methanol Butanol Fischer-Tropsch Liquids Furans Esters Terpenes Electricity USDA REE Energy Summit Fossil Energy vs. Renewable Energy Renewable energy is obtained by harnessing and concentrating energy flows in the biosphere Energy Flux (watts per square meter) Fossil energy is more highly concentrated 10000 1000 100 10 1 0.1 USDA REE Energy Summit Economies of Alternative Fuels • Dollar economy – the amount of money expended in driving a unit distance ($/km) • Fuel economy – the amount of primary energy consumed in driving a unit distant (MJ/km) • Carbon economy – the amount of carbon dioxide (equivalence) emitted during both production and utilization of fuel per unit distance driven (g CO2/km) • Water economy – the amount of water used to produce a fuel (L/km) USDA REE Energy Summit Goal is to economize all four metrics Wells-to-Wheels (WTW) Analysis of Various Transportation Fuels 18 16 14 12 Water Usage (L/km) Energy Usage (MJs/km) GHG Emissions (gCO2e/km)/100 Operating Cost (cents/km) Current approach to biofuels only economizes on GHG emissions and water usage 10 8 6 4 2 0 Source: Gifford and Brown (2010) USDA REE Energy Summit What is the Perfect Energy Carrier for Transportation Fuel? • • • • • • • Liquid at ambient conditions Immiscible in water Low toxicity High energy density Cold weather operability Stable during long-term storage Efficient production from a primary energy source USDA REE Energy Summit Drop-In Fuels • Fully compatible with existing fuel infrastructure – Hydrocarbons (alkanes and aromatics) – Possibly butanol • Are drop in fuels also the “perfect fuel?” – Close enough USDA REE Energy Summit Closer Look at Some Energy Carriers Liquid Hydrocarbons Hydrogen Methane Ammonia Dimethyl ether Ethanol Methanol Butanol Fischer-Tropsch Liquids Furans Esters Terpenes Electricity Diesel from domestic petroleum Compressed natural gas Battery electric vehicles USDA REE Energy Summit Gasoline from Domestically Produced Petroleum • Exploit domestic resources like the Bakken Formation in North Dakota and Montana • Estimated recoverable reserves in Bakken recently increased from 150 million barrels to 3 to 4.3 billion barrels • Largest U.S. oil reserves outside Alaska USDA REE Energy Summit Compressed Natural Gas Pros Cons U.S. has 1,530 trillion cubic feet of natural gas* Can be burned in standard automobile engines Widely used for other purposes Not as convenient as liquid fuels Cleanest fossil fuel Produces greenhouse gas emissions *EAI estimate USDA REE Energy Summit What was T. Boone Pickens Thinking? Natural Gas Prices 2000-2008 http://www.neb.gc.ca/clf-nsi/rnrgynfmtn/prcng/ntrlgs/cndnmrk-eng.html USDA REE Energy Summit How About Electricity as Fuel? • Least expensive alternative fuel • Potential for very low greenhouse gas emissions (depending upon energy source) • Attractive vehicle platform Petroleum-based Gasoline Natural Gas Combined Cycle Battery Electric USDA REE Energy Summit The Problem with Batteries Energy Storage Technology Gasoline E85 Compressed NG Lead-acid battery Li-ion battery Energy Cost ($ per mile) 0.13 0.14 0.08 0.03 0.03 Storage System Weight (kg) 30 50 120 3200 480-2200 Vehicle Storage Operating System Cost Capital Cost ($ per mile) ($) 0.25 68 0.27 77 0.29 300 0.27 22,000 0.51 38,000140,000 *Cost of gasoline assumed to be $3.00 per gallon. Storage system sized for 250 mile driving range. Weight based on full fuel tanks. Operating costs do not account for effect of storage weight on vehicle range. Large range for lithium-ion battery performance reflects range of claims among various proponents and developers. Source: R. C. Brown USDA REE Energy Summit Why are we producing biofuels? We must learn to harvest energy flows in the biosphere to provide us both food and fuel … in a sustainable manner. Annual energy resource Exajoules Solar 2,700,000 Wind 2,300 Photosynthetic fixation 3,000 Annual energy consumption Electricity Primary energy use 60 470 Brown, expected release December 2009 USDA REE Energy Summit Political Challenges to Biofuels • Food vs. fuel debate • Proposals to include indirect land use change in low carbon fuel standards USDA REE Energy Summit Food vs. Fuel Debate Laid to Rest • “[All] available evidence suggests that biofuels had a relatively small contribution to the 2008 spike in agricultural commodity prices…”–U.K. Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Mar 2010) • “Ethanol production is just one of seven sources of commodity price inflation. The rise in global demand, energy prices, speculation, the weak dollar export restrictions and poor weather also contributed to the surge in corn prices...”–Scott Faber, Grocers Manufacturers Association (Jan 2009) Indirect Land Use Change (ILUC) in a nutshell Farmers in the developing world will burn down the world’s rain forests or plow natural grasslands to replace lost food imports, causing net increase in greenhouse gas emissions. USDA REE Energy Summit Biofuels have been mandated to have Lower Greenhouse Emissions than Petroleum-Derived Gasoline Lifecycle Greenhouse Gas Thresholds for Biofuels as Specified by the 2007 Energy Independence and Security Act (EISA) (Percent reduction relative to 2005 gasoline baseline). Renewable fuel Advanced biofuel Biomass-derived diesel Cellulosic biofuel 20% 50% 50% 60% Source: EPA 2009 USDA REE Energy Summit ILUC Could be Game Changing Changes in Greenhouse Gas Emissions Compared to Petroleum-Derived Gasoline Corn EtOH Corn EtOH Corn EtOH NG Best Corn EtOH Corn EtOH Biomass Sugarcane Switchgrass Corn Stover NG Case Coal Biomass CHP EtOH EtOH EtOH 150% 125% 100% 75% Direct Contributions Direct and Indirect Contributions 2007 EISA LCFS Requirement for Cellulosic Biofuels 50% 25% 2007 EISA LCFS Requirement for Corn Ethanol 0% -25% -50% Source: US EPA (2009) USDA REE Energy Summit Deforestation rate (square kilometers per year) No Correlation Between Deforestation Rate and Sugarcane Ethanol Production 35,000 30,000 25,000 y = 1050.6x + 14252 R² = 0.0111 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 Sugarcane ethanol production (billion gallons) United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (deforestation data) and Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture (ethanol production data) USDA REE Energy Summit Deforestation rate (square kilometers/year) No Correlation Between Deforestation Rate and Soybean Prices 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 y = 766.77x + 13306 R² = 0.0188 0 $4.00 $4.50 $5.00 $5.50 $6.00 $6.50 $7.00 $7.50 $8.00 Soybean price (dollars per bushel) Source: United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (deforestation data) and Index Mundi (soybean price data) USDA REE Energy Summit Deforestation Rate (square kilometers/year No Correlation Between Deforestation Rate and Beef Prices 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 y = -101.45x + 28218 R² = 0.099 5,000 0 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00 110.00 120.00 130.00 Beef Price (cents per pound) Source: United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (deforestation data) and Index Mundi (beef price data) USDA REE Energy Summit Deforestation rate (square kilometers per year) No Correlation Between Deforestation Rate and Food Price Index 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 y = -64.819x + 24203 R² = 0.0163 5,000 0 75.00 80.00 85.00 90.00 95.00 100.00 105.00 110.00 115.00 Food Price Index Source: United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (deforestation data) and Index Mundi USDA REE Energy Summit Corn Exports Actually Increased During Period of Biofuels Land Use Change Corn Usage (million bushels) 14000 Feed Ethanol Export Other 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 97/98 99/00 01/02 Year 03/04 05/06 07/08 Source: USDA USDA REE Energy Summit Deforestation has no simple correlate …field research…consistently finds that land-use change and associated carbon emissions are driven by interactions among cultural, technological, biophysical, political, economic, and demographic forces within a spatial and temporal context rather than by a single crop market. Kline, K. L. and Dale, V. H. (2008) Biofuels: Effects on land and fire; Letter to the editor, Science 321, 199. USDA REE Energy Summit Latest Opinion from the EPA* • Modern corn ethanol plants, biodiesel plants, and cellulosic ethanol plants all comply with the mandated GHG reductions • What changed in a year’s time? – “as the state of scientific knowledge continues to evolve in this area, the life cycle GHG assessments for a variety of fuel pathways are likely to be updated.” • These updates included: – new studies that showed crop yields to increase with higher crop prices, which reduces demand for new land; – new research that shows distillers’ dried grains to be an efficient animal feed, meaning corn demand and exports as a result of biofuels agriculture are not as impacted as originally assumed; and – new pasturelands are likely to be established from existing grasslands rather than from destruction of forestland. * EPA (2010) EPA finalizes regulations for the National Renewable Fuel Standard program for 2010 and beyond, Office of Transportation and Air Quality, EPA-420-F-10-007, February. Available on the Web at: http://www.epa.gov/otaq/renewablefuels/420f10007.pdf (accessed March 15, 2010). USDA REE Energy Summit Real Problem: Unsustainable Food Agriculture Around the World Land use change due to U.S. biofuels production* Land lost to agriculture due to soil degradation** 10.8 million ha (total) 5–10 million ha (annually) *Searchinger (2008) **International Food Policy Institute Desertification Photo credit: Asian Development Bank USDA REE Energy Summit Three distinct approaches to advanced biofuels • Biochemical based conversion of cellulosic biomass to ethanol • Thermochemical based conversion of cellulosic biomass to a variety of biofuels • Lipid-rich biomass converted to biodiesel or synthetic diesel (hydrocarbon-based fuel) USDA REE Energy Summit Biochemical based cellulosic ethanol • Uses enzymes and microorganisms to convert biomass into ethanol • Focus of the last thirty years of federal research • Builds upon technology developed for grain ethanol industry USDA REE Energy Summit Biochemical platform: Unlocking the world’s carbohydrate reservoir through biotechnology Starch Glycosidic bond 1-4 linked glucan Cellulose 1-4 linked glucan Glycosidic bond USDA REE Energy Summit Why is cellulose so difficult to turn into fermentable sugars? • Starch is a storage polysaccharide designed by nature as a food reservoir • Cellulose is a structural polysaccharide, part of a lignocellulosic composite designed by nature to resist degradation USDA REE Energy Summit Gasifier Gas Cleaning Catalytic Reactor Biobased fuels and chemicals Syngas Air Diesel Fuel Steam Pyrolyzer Bio-oil vapor Bio-Oil Recovery Steam Reformer Low molecular weight compounds High molecular weight compounds Hydrogen Hydrocracker Fast Pyrolysis Gasification Thermochemical-based biorefineries USDA REE Energy Summit Gasification Platform • Advantages (compared to biochemical platform) – Tolerates relatively dirty biomass feedstock – Produces uniform intermediate product (syngas) – Proven method for “cracking the lignocellulosic nut” – Allows energy integration in biorefinery • Disadvantages (compared to biochemical platform) – Gas cleaning technologies still under development – Synfuel processing occurs at high pressures 5 tpd gasification plant at BECON USDA REE Energy Summit Gasification Platform • Research at ISU – Gasification at process development unit and pilot scales – Gas clean-up – Syngas burner design – Techno-economic analysis – Catalytic synthesis to Fischer Tropsch liquids and ethanol Raw Syngas Gasifier Biomass Oxygen/Steam Particulate Removal Biofuel Sulfur Nitrogen Catalytic Tar Alkali Removal Removal Removal Removal Synthesis Fast Pyrolysis Fast pyrolysis - rapid thermal decomposition of organic compounds in the absence of oxygen to produce predominately liquid product Biochar USDA REE Energy Summit Py Products • Gas – non-condensable gases like carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, hydrogen • Solid – mixture of inorganic compounds (ash) and carbonaceous materials (charcoal) • Liquid – mixture of water and organic Bio-oil compounds known as bio-oil recovered from pyrolysis vapors and aerosols (smoke) USDA REE Energy Summit Fast Pyrolysis Platform • Advantages include: – Liquid fuel – Decoupled conversion processes – Easier to transport than biomass or syngas • Disadvantages – High oxygen and water content makes bio-oil inferior to petroleum-derived fuels – Phase-separation and polymerization and corrosiveness make long-term storage difficult 40 Fluid bed Free fall Auger USDA REE Energy Summit Lipid-Based Biofuels • • • • • Oil Palm: High yielding but there are concerns about encroachment of palm oil plantations on tropical rainforests. Jatropha: Grows on waste lands with yields up to 200 gal/acre but it is not a domesticated crop. Jojoba: Grows in deserts to yield up to 200 gal/acre of waxy ester but it is very expensive. Microalgae: High yielding (up to 5500 gal/acre) and suitable for waste lands but economical harvest and extraction not yet developed. Salicornia: Salt-tolerant but yields only 100 gal/acre. Oil Palm Jatropha Jojoba Microalgae Salicornia Bigelovii USDA REE Energy Summit Lipids are “close to hydrocarbons” H3C Triglycerides: three fatty acids attached to glycerol backbone; found in oil seeds and microalgae Waxy esters: fatty acid and fatty alcohol combination; found in jojoba seeds H3C H3C C H2 C H2 C H2 H2 C H2 C H2 C C H2 C H2 C H2 H2 C H2 C H2 C C H2 C H2 C H2 H2 C H2 C H2 C C H2 C H2 C H2 H2 C H2 C C H2 C H2 H2 C C H2 H2 C H2 C C H2 C H2 H2 C C H2 H2 C H2 C H2 C C H2 C H2 C H2 H2 C H2 C H2 C C H2 C H2 C H2 H2 O C C O CH2 H2 O C C O CH H2 O C C O CH2 O CH3 (CH2) 7 C H C (CH2)m CH3 (CH2) 7 C C H H n=8,10,12,14 m=7,9,11,13 Isoprene: building block of terpenes; natural hydrocarbons usually produced in small quantities in plants and microorganisms (CH2) n O CH3 C H C H H C C H H C H USDA REE Energy Summit Looking Forward ‘Much of the current debate on bioenergy […] obscures the sector’s huge potential to reduce hunger and poverty …If we get it right, bioenergy provides us with a historic chance to fastforward growth in many of the world’s poorest countries, to bring about an agricultural renaissance and to supply modern energy to a third of the world’s population.” –Jacques Diouf, Director-General, UN Food and Agriculture Organization Highest Annual Solar Irradiance Highest Annual Precipitation Highest Human Development Need USDA REE Energy Summit Potential Show Stopper: Poor Fertility of Soils in the Tropics Shaded areas are among the world’s most weathered and leached soils (Oxisols and Ultisols) USDA REE Energy Summit A New Kind of Agriculture: Land Application of Biochar to Build Soils Increases: Nutrient Availability Microbial Activity Soil Organic Matter Water Retention Crop Yields Decreases: Biochar: Byproduct of Fast Pyrolysis and Gasification Fertilizer Needs Greenhouse Gas Emissions Nutrient Leaching Erosion USDA REE Energy Summit Terra Preta Soils Terra Preta Oxisol • Created hundreds of years ago by preColombian inhabitants of Amazon Basin • Result of slash and char agriculture • Much higher levels of soil organic carbon • Far more productive than undisturbed oxisol Applied to the land, biochar serves as both soil amendment and carbon sequestration soils agent Glaser et al. 2001. Naturwissenschaften (2001) 88:37–41 USDA REE Energy Summit Carbon Stored (lb/acre/yr) Greenhouse gases reduced by carbon storage in agricultural soils Char from pyrolyzing 75% of corn stover (assuming corn yield of 180 bu/acre and 25% charcoal yield) USDA REE Energy Summit Is merely reducing GHG emissions enough? “Desire to reduce airborne CO2 raises the question of whether CO2 could be drawn from the air artificially. There are no large-scale technologies for CO2 air capture now… At $100/tC, the cost of removing 50 ppm of CO2 is ~$10 trillion.” James Hansen NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies Scrub CO2 From the Air, Win $25 Million -- But How? James Owen for National Geographic News February 16, 2007 It's Richard Branson's 25-million-U.S.dollar question: Can someone develop an effective, economical way to reduce global warming by sucking greenhouse gases from the atmosphere? Last week the British tycoon and former U.S. Vice President Al Gore announced the Virgin Earth Challenge. The program offers the biggest science prize in history to anyone who can come up with a commercially viable system for removing human-produced carbon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere. USDA REE Energy Summit Future of Fuels? • Secretary of Energy Steven Chu advocates “solar fuels” without “inefficiency” of biomass production – Microorganisms absorb sunlight, water, and CO2 and pump out transportation fuels – Artificial photosynthesis accomplish both charge separation and chemical synthesis – Solar thermochemical fuels—high temperature solar concentrators with “chemical boilers” decompose water and/or CO2 as syngas for subsequent fuel synthesis USDA REE Energy Summit Questionshttp://www.washingtonp ost.com/wpdyn/content/article/2010/04/22/A R2010042205126_pf.html