Development of an Alternative Flow Control Standard for the Mill Creek Basin Tim Kraft, PE, Otak, Inc. Gary Wolff, PE, D.WRE,Otak, Inc. Ryan Billen, PE, Otak, Inc. Brett Jordan, PhD, HydroGeo Designs, LLC Jeff Schnabel, Clark County Department of Environmental Services Presentation Overview Background Approach Results Photo Battle Ground Vancouver Background Clark County NPDES Phase I Permit requires flow-duration standard for stormwater discharges Default standard is to match pre-developed (forested) flow-duration from 50% of 2-year through the 50-year Default standard is based on research on PugetSound area watersheds (gravel bed streams) Ecology allows basin-specific standards tailored to local conditions Project Goal Development of alternative flow-control standard for the Mill Creek Basin The standard will include: • Recommended land cover for the predevelopment condition • Recommended flow threshold Photo Approach Geomorphic Assessment Hydrologic Modeling of Watershed Hydraulic Analysis and Representative Reaches Development of the alternative flow control standards Photo Selection of Study Sites Detailed study sites selected based on: 1. Geographic coverage 2. Variations in stream characteristics 3. Potential for changes in flow and sensitivity to flow changes 4. Existing and potential anadramous fish habitat 5. Accessibility Study Sites Geomorphic Assessment Evaluation of current channel conditions Interpret historic and current trends in channel stability Assessment based heavily on a Channel Evolution Model Photo Channel Evolution Model Site 5 Site 5 Stage VI (Re-stabilizing) Site 6 Site 6 Stage IV (Degrading, Widening) Site 1 Site 1 Stage IV-V (Degrading, Widening) Site 2 Site 2 Stage VI (Re-stabilizing) Hydrologic Modeling Quantify the frequency and duration of streamflows under current and pre-developed land-use conditions Based on a calibrated HSPF model of the Mill Creek Basin Results used in Hydraulic Analysis and in interpretation of basin conditions Existing Land Use Hydrologic Results Site 5 Flood Frequency Return Period (years) 1.01 1.25 2 5 10 20 50 20 10 5 2 100 200 500 1,000 Discharge (cfs) Existing Forested 100 10 99 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 Exceedance Probability 1 0.5 0.2 Site 1 Flood Frequency Return Period (years) 1.01 1.25 2 5 10 20 50 20 10 5 2 100 200 500 10,000 Discharge (cfs) Existing Forested 1,000 100 10 99 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 Exceedance Probability 1 0.5 0.2 Site 2 Flood Frequency Return Period (years) 1.01 1.25 2 5 10 20 50 20 10 5 2 100 200 500 1,000 Discharge (cfs) Existing Forested 100 10 99 98 95 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 Exceedance Probability 1 0.5 0.2 Hydraulic Analysis Used to determine discharge required to initiate bed material sediment transport at each site Based on HEC-RAS model set up for each site Calculation of critical discharge different for finegrained and coarse grained sites Photo Critical Discharge Determination Coarse Grained Sites: • Sites 1 and 6 • Measured Bed Gradations c *c ( S ) D50 Fine Grained Sites: • Sites 2, 5 and 6 • In-situ jet testing of the cohesive bed material = k( 0 - c ) Results at Coarse Grained Sites Site Critical Discharge (cfs) 1 (entire reach) Existing Hydrology Forested Hydrology Return Period (years) Percent of 2-Year Peak Return Period (years) Percent of 2-Year Peak 132 1.04 46% 1.19 60% 1 (downstream of log weir) 56 <1.01 19% <1.01 26% 6 73 1.04 45% 1.4 74% Results at Fine Grained Sites Site 2 5 6 Critical Shear Measurement Used Critical Discharge (cfs) Median Low Value Median Low Value Median Low Value n/a* 2.1 261 237 166 72 *Critical discharge is greater than all modeled flows **Critical discharge is too low for flood frequency Existing Hydrology Forested Hydrology Return Period (years) Percent of 2-Year Peak Return Period (years) Percent of 2-Year Peak n/a* n/a** 9.3 7.1 2.1 1.04 n/a* 3.4% 204% 185% 103% 45% n/a* n/a** 47 34 5.5 1.4 n/a* 4.9% 378% 343% 168% 73% Assessment Results Summary Site 1 2 5 6 Geomorphic (Assessed Stability of Reach) Unstable (CEM Stage IV-V) Stable (re-stabilizing) (CEM Stage VI) Stable (re-stabilizing) (CEM stage VI) Unstable (CEM stage IV) Analysis Findings Hydrologic Hydraulic (Flow increase due (Critical flow recurrence interval) to land cover changes) Low 19 percent of 2-year existing* Moderate Inconclusive High 7-year existing High Half the 2-year existing Proposed Alternative Flow Control Standards Land Cover for Pre-Developed Conditions: • Forest for areas forested in 2002 • Forest for the area tributary to Site 6 • Field for all other areas Flow Threshold: • ½ the 2-year calculated using the predeveloped land cover condition Questions?