Principles of Microeconomics Review for the Final Exam Akos Lada August 11th, 2014 * Slide content principally sourced from N. Gregory Mankiw “Principles of Economics” Premium PowePoint Contents 1. Review of Homework Assignment 10 2. Introduction to Economics – The Big Picture 3. A collection of “punch-lines” 4. Additional Q&A 1. Review of Homework Assignment 10 The information Alfaguara Publishing Co. faces the following demand schedule for the next novel of Mario Vargas Llosa, the prestigious novelist recipient of the 2010 Nobel Prize in Literature: Price Quantity (1,000s) novels $100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 The units is in thousand books, so at a price 0, the quantity demanded is 1 million books The author is paid $ 2 million to write the book, and the marginal cost of publishing the book is a constant $10 per book. Compute the total revenue, total cost, and profit at each quantity. What quantity would a profit-maximizing publisher choose? What price would it charge? Price $100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Quantity (1,000s) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 Total Revenue (millions) $0 9 16 21 24 25 24 21 16 9 0 Total Cost (millions) Profit (millions) $2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 $-2 6 12 16 18 18 16 12 6 -2 -12 A profitmaximizing publisher would choose a quantity of 400,000 at a price of $60 or a quantity of 500,000 at a price of $50; Both combinations would lead to profits of $18 million. Compute marginal revenue. (Recall that MR = ∆TR/∆Q). How does marginal revenue compare to the price? Explain. Price Quantity (1,000s) $100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 Total Revenue (millions) $0 9 16 21 24 25 24 21 16 9 0 Marginal Revenue (millions) ---$9 7 5 3 1 -1 -3 -5 -7 -9 Marginal revenue is always less than price. Price falls when quantity rises because the demand curve slopes downward, but marginal revenue falls even more than price because the firm loses revenue on all the units of the good sold when it lowers the price. Graph the marginal-revenue, marginal-cost, and demand curves. At what quantity do the marginal-revenue and marginal-cost curves cross? What does it signify? The marginal-revenue and marginal-cost curves cross between quantities of 400,000 and 500,000. This signifies that the firm maximizes profits in that region. In your graph, shade in the deadweight loss. Explain in words what this means The area of deadweight loss is marked “DWL” in the figure. Deadweight loss means that the total surplus in the economy is less than it would be if the market were competitive, because the monopolist produces less than the socially efficient level of output. If the author were paid $3 million instead of $2 million to write the book, how would this affect the publisher’s decision regarding the price to change? Explain • If the author were paid $3 million instead of $2 million, the publisher would not change the price, because there would be no change in marginal cost or marginal revenue. • The only thing that would be affected would be the firm’s profit, which would fall. Suppose the publisher was not profit-maximizing but was concerned with maximizing economic efficiency. What price would it charge for the book? How much profit would it make at this price? • To maximize economic efficiency, the publisher would set the price at $10 per book, because that is the marginal cost of the book. • At that price, the publisher would have negative profits equal to the amount paid to the author. 2. The Big Picture 8 9 10 Welfare Analysis (CS, PS, DWL) and Efficiency 1 0 How Economists think (principles) Why Trade? (PPF and Comp Advantage) 2 PERFECT MARKETS Price controls (floors, ceilings) 4 5 6 Supply and Demand Comparative Statics Elasticity (price, income, cross-price) 3 4 MOTIVATION 8 7 11 Taxes (on consumer producer; on elastic / inelastic agent) MARKET FAILURES TOOLS 12 13 14 14 15 Externalities (positive, negative) Public goods & Common Pool Resources Competition vs. Monopoly APPLICATION 3. A collection of “punch-lines” 0) How economists think… • Economics as the study of how society manages scarce resources • 4 principles of how people make decisions 1. 2. 3. 4. People face trade-offs The cost of something is what you give up to get it (opportunity cost) Rational people think at the margin People respond to incentives • 3 additional principles we saw in the course 5. Trade can make everyone better off 6. Markets are usually a good way to organize economic activity 7. Governments can sometimes improve market outcomes 1) Production Possibilities Frontier • PPF (the production possibilities given the current technology and resources) • Efficient, inefficient and unfeasible points • PPF’s slope and opportunity cost Wheat (tons) 6,000 5,000 E D 4,000 3,000 F G C 2,000 B 1,000 A 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Computers 1) Gains from trade • Absolute advantage vs. comparative advantage Comparative advantage is the ability to produce a good at a lower opportunity cost than another producer • Comparative advantage allows for: • Specialization • Increase in the size of the economic pie • Gains from trade Opportunity Cost of: Computer Wheat (ton) United States 10 1/10 Japan 5 1/5 The graph below shows what Canada and Mexico can produce in a 40-hr workweek. What is the opportunity cost of computers in terms of printers in Canada and Mexico, respectively? computers computers Canada Mexico 10 4 4 1. 2. 3. 4. printers 10 printers in Canada, 2 printers in Mexico 1 printer in Canada, ½ printer in Mexico 1 printer in Canada, 2 printers in Mexico 10 printers in Canada, ½ printer in Mexico 5 printers When one speaks of “demand” in a particular market, this refers to: 1. 2. 3. 4. The quantity demanded at a certain price Only one price-quantity combination on the demand schedule The slope of the demand curve at one point The whole demand curve 2) Demand • Demand ≠ Quantity Demanded • Shifts vs. movements along the curve • Demand Shifters 1. Number of Buyers 2. Income • • Law of demand • Demand Schedule • Individual demand vs. Market demand Normal vs. Inferior goods 3. Prices of related goods • Substitutes vs. Complements 4. Tastes 5. Expectations 2) Supply • Supply≠ Quantity Supplied • Law of supply • Supply Schedule • Individual supply vs. Market supply • Shifts vs. movements along the curve • Supply Shifters 1. Number of Sellers 2. Input prices 3. Technology 4. Expectations 2) Equilibrium P $6.00 D Surplus S $5.00 $4.00 P* $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 Shortage $0.00 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Q* Q 3) Comparative statics To determine the effects of any event, 1. Decide whether event shifts S curve, D curve, or both. 2. Decide in which direction curve shifts. 3. Use supply-demand diagram to see how the shift changes equilibrium P and Q. No change in Supply Increase in Supply Decrease in Supply No Change in Demand P same Q same P down Q up P up Q down Increase in Demand P up Q up P ambiguous Q up P up Q ambiguous Decrease in Demand P down Q down P down Q ambiguous P ambiguous Q down The number of suppliers of Good D has increased. What will be the effect on the market price and quantity for Good E if it is a complement of Good D? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Price Increase Increase Decrease Decrease No change Quantity Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Increase There has been a technological advancement in the production of good B. Good B is a substitute for Good C. Knowing this, the most likely scenario is that: 1. 2. 3. 4. The quantity demanded for Good C will increase The quantity demanded for Good C will decrease The demand for Good C will increase The demand for Good C will decrease 4) Calculating Elasticity • Three steps: 1. Calculate the percentage changes in quantity and the percentage change in price end value – start value midpoint x 100% 2. Calculate the elasticity using these two numbers as inputs Price elasticity of demand Percentage change in Qd = Percentage change in P 3. Interpret the result (inelastic, elastic, unit elastic) 5) Different elasticities Price elasticity of demand =- Income elasticity of = demand Cross-price elast. of demand = Percentage change in Qd Percentage change in P Percent change in Qd Percent change in income % change in Qd for good 1 % change in price of good 2 5) Elasticity (of Demand) P P Q Perfectly inelastic P Q Perfectly elastic P P 1% Inelastic Q Elastic Q 1% Unit-elastic Q 6) Determinants of Elasticity Supply Demand 1. The extent to which close substitutes are available 2. Whether the good is a necessity or a luxury 3. How broadly or narrowly the good is defined 4. The time horizon – elasticity is higher in the long run than the short run 1. How easily sellers can change the quantity they produce E.g: Supply of beachfront property vs. new cars 2. For many goods, price elasticity of supply is greater in the long run than in the short run Firms can build new factories, or new firms may be able to enter the market 7) Price controls • Binding vs. non-binding • Binding price ceilings (e.g. rent control) • Leads to shortage • Effect is more severe in the long run • Rationing, informal market, decrease in quality • Binding price floors (e.g. minimum wage) • Leads to surplus • Size of shortage / surplus depends on elasticity of Supply and Demand • Generally, effect larger in the long run when S&D become more elastic Refer to the labor market graph below. The imposition of an $8 minimum wage would cause Wage SL W = $8 We = $6 DL 65 1. 2. 3. 4. 80 100 Labor hours additional unemployment of 20 labor hours unemployment of 35 labor hours a labor shortage of 35 labor hours no change in the equilibrium wage and employment because the minimum wage is not binding. 8) Taxes 1. • • 2. • 3. • • What shifts? If imposed on buyers, it is equivalent to a decrease in income, shifts the demand curve left If imposed on sellers, it is equivalent to an increase in input costs, shifts the supply curve left What is the size of the shift? The amount of the tax Tax incidence (who pays for the tax burden) Whether the tax is charged to the producers or to the sellers is irrelevant – the tax incidence is the same in both cases What matters is the elasticity of Supply and Demand • If Supply is more inelastic, the larger share of the burden falls on the sellers. • If Demand is more inelastic, the larger share of the burden falls on the buyers Why would the removal of the $0.18 cents gasoline tax not help consumers much? U.S. Market for Gasoline ST Price ($/gallon) $0.18 tax S0 PT = P C P0 PP D0 QT Q0 1. 2. 3. 4. Qty. (gallons) because gasoline is a necessity and demand is inelastic because suppliers were paying the large part of the tax burden because the supplier will not pass on the tax reduction to the consumers because the tax reduction is shot-term and taxes will go up again 8) Welfare Analysis P $5 Supply curve shows private cost, the costs directly incurred by sellers. 4 Demand curve shows private value, the value to buyers (the prices they are willing to pay). The Consumer Surplus (CS) is the area between the equilibrium price and the Demand curve 3 $2.50 2 The Producer Surplus (PS) is the area between the equilibrium price and the Supply curve Total Surplus (TS) = CS + PS + GR 1 0 0 10 20 25 30 Q We think of it as an (imperfect) measure of aggregate welfare in society 9) Calculating changes in welfare (example – changes in CS) P To calculate the area of the triangles: ½ (base x height) 60 1. 50 Fall in CS due to buyers leaving market 40 To calculate the area of the rectangles: 30 base x height 10 20 2. Fall in CS due to remaining buyers paying higher P D 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Q 10) Market equilibrium and efficiency Total = CS + PS surplus Total = (value to buyers) – (cost to sellers) surplus • Definition: An allocation of resources is efficient if it maximizes total surplus. • We say that the market equilibrium quantity is efficient because it maximizes total surplus. This means: • At any other quantity it is possible to increase TS by moving towards the equilibrium quantity. • The goods are consumed by the buyers who value them most highly. • The goods are produced by the producers with the lowest costs. 11) The welfare effect of a Tax P CS = A PS = F Tax revenue =B+D Total surplus =A+B +D+F Deadweight loss C+E A PB S B D C E PS D F QT QE Q 11) Elasticities and Deadweight loss • The size of the deadweight loss is determined by the elasticity of supply and demand of a good. • The more elastic the Supply or the Demand of a good is, the larger the deadweight loss. • The less elastic the Supply or the Demand of a good is, the smaller the deadweight loss. • This is very informative for the decision of “What products to tax?”. 12) Externalities • The uncompensated impact of one person’s actions on the well-being of a bystander. • Can be negative • Making social costs higher than private costs • Leads to an over-production of the good (with respect to the optimal quantity) • … or positive • Making social value greater than private value • Leads to an under-production of the good (with respect to the optimal quantity) 12) Policy responses to externalities • Command-and-control policies (regulation) • Market-based policies • Corrective taxes (pigouvian taxes) or subsidies • Taxes that induce private decision makers to take into account the social costs generated by a negative externality • Subsidies that induce private decision makers to take into account the social benefits generated by a positive externality • Tradable pollution permits • Firms with lower costs of reducing pollution can sell their permits to firms with higher costs of reducing pollution. • Market-based policies (theoretically) can achieve the same goals as regulations, but more efficiently 13) Public Goods • Are goods that are nonexcludable and non-rival • If the benefit of a public good exceeds the cost of providing it, government • Some important public goods should provide the good and are: pay for it with a tax. • National defense • Economists use cost-benefit • Knowledge created through basic research analysis to determine how • Fighting poverty much to provide of a public good. • Public goods are difficult for private markets to provide • Cost-benefit analysis is because of the free-rider imprecise because benefits problem. are hard to measure. 14) Common Pool Resources • Are goods that are at the same time not excludable but rival. • Some important Common Resources are: • Clean air and water • Congested roads • Fish, whales, and other wildlife • Leads to the overconsumption of the resource (e.g. the tragedy of the commons). • Possible policies available to the government to address this issue include: • • • • Regulate use of the resource Impose a corrective tax Auction off permits allowing use of the resource If the resource is land, convert to a private good by dividing and selling parcels to individuals 14) Competition • Competitive firms maximize profits at the Q where MR=MC • (Any) firm’s profit is the difference between the Price and their per-unit cost (ATC). • In a perfectly competitive market in the long run, all firms make zero economic profit. Costs, P MC P MR ATC profit ATC at Q optimal Qoptimal Q 15) Monopoly • • Monopolies, just like competitive firms, maximize profits at the Q where MR=MC However, unlike competitive firms their MR is lower than their P • • • Because, since monopolies are the only seller, face the market demand curve – in order to sell additional units they need to P lower the price They set the optimal Q at the place where MR=MC, and then charge the maximum price that they can charge at that quantity. Because they produce less than the competitive market equilibrium at a higher price, monopolies generate a deadweight loss Price Deadweight MC loss P = MC MC D MR QM QC Quantity 4. Additional Q&A