EU Market Situation for Eggs and Poultry Management Committee

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EU Market Situation for
Eggs and Poultry
Management Committee
17 January 2012
Evolution of the weekly EU
average price for Broiler
€uro/ 100kg
200
190
180
170
160
150
1
4
7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
Avg 08 - 12
2010
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2011
Man Com
2012
2013
17 January 2013
19,0%
Percentual change of Broiler prices
December 2012
14,0%
- 1 year
- 1 month
9,0%
4,0%
-1,0%
-6,0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR
IE
IT
CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
SK
SF
SV UK
17 January 2013
EU
Price of Basic Ingredients 2010 - 2013
Soft wheat (EU)
Barley (EU)
Maïs (EU)
450
Soja (CAF)
Hulls (EU)
Euro / tonne
Manioc (CAF)
C.G.F. (CAF)
350
250
150
50
Juil
Oct
Jan-11
April
Juil
Oct
Jan-12
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
April
Juil
Man Com
Oct
Jan
Apr
17 January 2013
Futures for Feed w heat EU (Euronext)
(Nearby = 2012 & 2013)
€uro/ Tonn
210
180
Delivery:
150
01 Nearby
2013 Jan
2013 Mar
2013 Nov
120
Jan
| 2012| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec Jan
| 2013| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June |
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
17 January 2013
Futures for Maize EU (Euronext )
(Nearby = 2012 - 2013)
260
240
€/Tonn
220
Delivery:
200
01 Nearby
2013 Mar
180
2013 Nov
2014 Jan
160
Jan
| 2012
| Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | DecJan
| 2013
| Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun |
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
17 January 2013
Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel
(nearby = 2012 & 2013)
1.700
1.600
1.500
1.400
De live ry:
1.300
01 Nearby
2013 Mar
2013 Jul
1.200
2013 Nov
1.10 0
J| an 2012| Feb | Mch | Apr | May |
Jun
| July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov . | Dec. |J an 2013| Feb | Mch | Apr | May |
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
17 January 2013
Jun
|
Price development of Compound feed for Broilers,
a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price
400
350
Euro/ T (feed)
Euro/ 100kg (Broiler)
300
250
200
margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)
Cereal-mix
Compound feed
Broiler
Avg. Margin 200 7 - 2011
150
100
50
0
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
2013
NB. Comp. Feed 2012 =Forecast as from November
Cereal mix and Poultry 2012 = Forecast as from December
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
17 January 2013
|
Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)
compared to the baseline trend
(baseline = monthly avg 2006 - 2009)
500 000
400 000
300 000
200 000
100 000
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2009
|
2010
Man Com
|
2011
|
2012
17 January 2013
|
Forecast and Production of Broilers.
In Tonn
750
600.000
600
450.000
450
300.000
300
150.000
150
0
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
Forecast
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
Realised Po ultry slaug hter
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
17 January 2013
Realised slaughter
in 1000 T
750.000
Import of Poultry meat from selected origins
2008
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
2011
%
tonnes
Jan-Nov 12
%
tonnes
%
Compared
to Jan-Nov 11
Brazil
679.469 76,3% 659.368 75,3% 581.391 72,4% 587.404 71,0% 522.652 66,8%
- 6%
Thailand
146.882 16,5% 141.524 16,2% 149.682 18,6% 154.229 18,6% 179.679 23,0%
+ 25%
Chile
34.718
3,9%
39.022
4,5%
34.276
4,3%
44.306
5,4%
39.818
5,1%
- 1%
China
15
0,0%
5.690
0,6%
9.997
1,2%
13.735
1,7%
14.343
1,8%
+ 12%
20.416
2,3%
20.576
2,3%
15.760
2,0%
15.630
1,9%
12.715
1,6%
- 11%
Israel
6.252
0,7%
5.470
0,6%
7.249
0,9%
7.084
0,9%
4.982
0,6%
- 23%
Croatia
1.884
0,2%
2.295
0,3%
2.650
0,3%
2.714
0,3%
2.561
0,3%
+ 4%
USA
393
0,0%
386
0,0%
439
0,1%
99
0,0%
354
0,0%
+ 261%
Uruguay
109
0,0%
98
0,0%
2
0,0%
7
0,0%
36
0,0%
+ 442%
Argentina
EXTRA EU 25/27
% change
891.087
875.886
803.120
827.420
782.179
- 2%
- 8%
+ 3%
+ 0,4%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
17 January 2013
Imports of selected Poultry products
100.000
90.000
80.000
60.000
50.000
40.000
30.000
20.000
10.000
0
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
2007
|
Jan
08
FROZEN
2008
|
Jan
09
2009
PREPARED
|
Jan
10
2010
SALTED
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
Jan
11
2011
|
Jan
12
OTHERS
Man Com
17 January 2013
in Tonnes cwe
70.000
EU Poultry meat Import
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU
(1000 EUR)
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU
(Tonnes cwe)
900.000
778.934
738.389
782.179
2.500.000
800.000
2.038.287
700.000
143.444
137.959
179.679
600.000
500.000
400.000
557.344
534.186
522.652
2.000.000
1.793.436
300.000
Tonnes cw
6.723
2.040.414
200.000
622.543
554.802
707.992
1.500.000
1.000.000 1000
EUR
1.053.209
1.190.580
1.093.414
Jan-Nov 11
Jan-Nov 12
500.000
100.000
0
Jan-Nov 10
Brazil
Jan-Nov 11
Thailand
Israel
Chile
Jan-Nov 12
China
Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
0
Jan-Nov 10
Brazil
Thailand
Israel
Man Com
Chile
China
Other destinations
17 January 2013
Export of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations
2008
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
2011
%
tonnes
Compared
Jan-Nov 12
%
tonnes
%
to Jan-Nov 11
Saudi Arabia
95.132
9,7%
97.485
9,6%
118.020
9,3%
151.269 10,7%
135.625 10,3%
Hong Kong
58.669
6,0%
88.357
8,7%
151.559 12,0%
188.345 13,3%
116.197
8,8%
- 35%
Benin
83.405
8,5%
84.912
8,4%
115.065
9,1%
126.022
8,9%
128.388
9,7%
+ 12%
6.295
0,6%
7.938
0,8%
22.007
1,7%
94.163
6,7%
122.565
9,3%
+ 47%
245.478 19,4%
115.001
8,1%
105.178
8,0%
+ 0%
South Africa
Russia
230.113 23,4%
Ukraine
112.444 11,4%
227.555 22,4%
- 2%
89.314
8,8%
86.007
6,8%
81.736
5,8%
95.747
7,3%
+ 31%
Ghana
31.530
3,2%
28.694
2,8%
41.069
3,2%
68.896
4,9%
63.830
4,8%
- 1%
Yemen
26.673
2,7%
36.331
3,6%
39.632
3,1%
37.970
2,7%
32.224
2,4%
- 5%
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 21.386
2,2%
20.903
2,1%
27.749
2,2%
29.950
2,1%
30.457
2,3%
+ 13%
Switzerland
28.200
2,9%
28.111
2,8%
29.804
2,4%
29.330
2,1%
26.666
2,0%
+ 1%
Malaysia
17.888
1,8%
22.676
2,2%
25.899
2,0%
20.965
1,5%
22.306
1,7%
+ 24%
Vietnam
39.488
4,0%
39.971
3,9%
31.674
2,5%
29.086
2,1%
18.630
1,4%
- 32%
Extra-EU27
% change
982.286
1.015.784
1.265.183
1.411.142
1.317.556
+ 3%
+ 25%
+ 12%
+ 1,8%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
17 January 2013
Exports of selected Poultry products
160.000
140.000
120.000
100.000
in
80.000Tonnes
cwe
60.000
40.000
20.000
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
2007
|
Jan
08
FROZEN
2008
|
Jan
09
2009
|
Jan
10
PREPARED
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2010
FRESH
|
Jan
11
2011
|
Jan
12
0
OTHERS
Man Com
17 January 2013
EU Poultry meat Export
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Tonnes cwe)
1.317.556
1.883.562
1.400.000
1.681.135
1.147.979
1.800.000
1.200.000
1.600.000
1.429.112
709.604
553.335
800.000
228.569
104.931
114.490
105.178
106.930
138.926
135.625
128.388
122.565
136.518
179.992
Jan-Nov 10
Jan-Nov 11
Hong Kong
Benin
1.000.000
South Africa
Russia
116.197
600.000
1.066.619
799.336
1.000.000
132.011
140.266
400.000
200.000
0
Jan-Nov 12
Saudi Arabia
Other destinations *
158.740
800.000
174.220
600.000
117.918
207.028
205.490
400.000
162.714
140.577
137.916
200.000
125.106
Jan-Nov 10
Jan-Nov 11
Jan-Nov 12
Hong Kong
South Africa
* countries trading less than 96 000 Tons
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
1.400.000
1.200.000
959.760
Tonnes cw
673.028
2.000.000
Saudi Arabia
Benin
1000 EUR
1.294.866
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)
0
Russia Other destinations *
* countries trading less than 1 884 000 ('000 EUR)
Man Com
17 January 2013
Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazil
in €uro/ 100kg
20 0,00
17 5,00
15 0,00
12 5,00
10 0,00
75 ,00
50 ,00
09
|
EU broiler
10
|
11
US broi l er €uro
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
12
|
13
BR Broi l €uro/ (Ave worl d)
Man Com
17 January 2013
|
EU Poultry meat Trade Balance
1.600
IMPORTS
EXPORTS
1.411
1.318
1.275
1.153
1.265
1.200
1.114
1.063 1.046
1.017
997
997
982
858867
891
1.016
1.000
876
803
794
827
782
800
676
614
616
600
480
371
302
277
292
400
310
in 1000 Tonnes cwe
1.101 1.116
1.400
200
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2006
2007
2008
2009
Man Com
2010
2011
JanNov 12
0
17 January 2013
2002
2003
2004
2005
EU Market Situation for Eggs
2006
2007

2010
Management Committee
2011
2008
2009
17January 2013
2012
2013
Evolution of the weekly EU
average price for Eggs for Consumption
185
€uro/ 100kg
165
145
125
105
85
1
4
7
Avg 08 - 12
10
13
16
19
22
25
2010avg
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
28
31
34
37
2011
Man Com
40
2012
43
46
49
52
2013
17 January 2013
Percentual change of Egg prices
December 2012
55,0%
- 1 year
- 1 month
45,0%
35,0%
25,0%
15,0%
5,0%
-5,0%
-15,0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE
IT
CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
SI
SK
SF
SV UK
17 January 2013
EU
Prices for Eggs for consumption and Eggs for breaking
2011 - 2013
200
€uro/ 100kg
160
120
80
40
0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 2 5 8 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50
78,3 % increase for Eggs now for Breaking from week 1 2011 to week 2 of 2013
50,4% increase for Eggs for Consumption from week 1 2011 to week 1 of 2013
Yellow difference is barn high minus enriched cage low,
Enr. Cage low
Enr. Cage high
Cage Free
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Eggs for Consum ption
Man Com
US High breaking
17 January 2013
Margin betw een Feed cost and Egg price in
Egg production
marge
feed
180
egg
Avg Margin
Euro/ 100kg
150
120
90
60
30
0
04 05 06 07 08 09 10
11
12
ja fe mr ap ma jn
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
jl au se oc no de
17 January 2013
Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces)
compared to the baseline trend
(baseline= monthly avg 2006 - 2009)
37 500
30 000
22 500
15 000
7 500
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
2010
Man Com
|
2011
|
2012
17 January 2013
|
Production forecast of
eggs in shell (Mio p).
compared to the price development
8 500
160
7 000
80
5 500
40
4 000
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
2010
|
Man Com
2011
|
2012
|
17 January 2013
Price €uro/100kg
120
EU Imports of Eggs:
Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs
2008
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
2011
%
tonnes
Jan-Nov 12
%
tonnes
%
Compared
to Jan-Nov 11
USA
4.245 18,6%
11.165 36,7%
13.439 42,9%
5.417 28,4%
13.896 41,5%
+ 138%
Argentina
6.164 27,0%
7.899 26,0%
7.888 25,2%
7.898 41,5%
9.446 28,2%
+ 27%
Mexico
2.002
8,8%
1.893
6,2%
1.425
4,5%
556
2,9%
1.018
3,0%
+ 221%
Albania
2.209
9,7%
1.659
5,5%
3.208 10,2%
1.303
6,8%
2.059
6,1%
+ 83%
India
6.593 28,9%
5.776 19,0%
3.211 10,2%
1.505
7,9%
3.109
9,3%
+ 107%
+ 136%
Israel
646
2,8%
711
2,3%
941
3,0%
547
2,9%
1.293
3,9%
Canada
1
0,0%
33
0,1%
2
0,0%
0
0,0%
67
0,2%
Brazil
64
0,3%
67
0,2%
0
0,0%
0
0,0%
0
0,0%
EXTRA EU 25/27
% change
22.850
30.409
31.356
19.045
33.524
+ 33%
+ 3%
- 39%
+ 78,1%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
17 January 2013
EU Egg Imports
Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs
(Tonnes eggs equiv)
33.524
31.805
4.947
4.402
40.000
40.924
35.000
4.348
27.637
18.828
2.901
9.446
2.941
20.000
30.000
21.412
7.874
6.040
22.363
10.000
13.896
5.000
13.331
10.960
0
Jan-Nov 11
Jan-Nov 12
USA Argentina India Canada Albania Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
10.000
5.000
5.837
Jan-Nov 10
25.000
15.000
5.544
13.570
40.000
20.000
15.000
7.466
45.000
35.000
30.000
25.000
7.718
Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs
(1000 EUR)
0
Jan-Nov 10
Jan-Nov 11
Jan-Nov 12
USA Argentina India Canada Albania Other destinations
Man Com
17 January 2013
EU-27 Imports of selected EGGS products
(including Hatching eggs)
8.000
in Tonnes egg
equiv.
7.000
6.000
5.000
4.000
3.000
2.000
1.000
0
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
FRESH
2007
|
Jan
08
2008
Albumin
|
Jan
09
2009
|
Jan
10
2010
Not In Shell
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
Jan
11
2011
Yolk
Man Com
|
Jan
12
Haching
17 January 2013
EU Exports of Eggs:
Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs
2008
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
2011
%
tonnes
Compared
Jan-Nov 12
%
tonnes
%
to Jan-Nov 11
Japan
62.254
33%
47.238
31%
52.923
29%
65.982
30%
61.724
36%
- 0%
Sw itzerland
44.229
24%
43.499
29%
45.107
25%
42.152
19%
38.603
22%
- 0%
Russia
7.113
4%
4.360
3%
5.293
3%
4.947
2%
5.606
3%
+ 22%
Angola
4.049
2%
4.019
3%
10.227
6%
17.498
8%
16.545
10%
- 3%
Libya
0
0%
40
0%
201
0%
226
0%
344
0%
+ 52%
Thailand
6.190
3%
4.068
3%
6.180
3%
7.254
3%
6.204
4%
- 8%
Ukraine
7.250
4%
4.304
3%
5.693
3%
4.422
2%
3.888
2%
- 9%
Taiw an
4.624
2%
2.868
2%
7.145
4%
7.941
4%
4.428
3%
- 38%
South Korea
1.859
1%
1.948
1%
2.495
1%
4.379
2%
3.108
2%
- 23%
U.A.Emirates
9.436
5%
2.664
2%
5.864
3%
8.262
4%
1.599
1%
- 80%
Norw ay
1.805
1%
963
1%
570
0%
1.300
1%
883
1%
- 27%
Israel
6.002
3%
3.398
2%
1.308
1%
2.729
1%
1.037
1%
- 57%
EXTRA EU 25/27
% change
187.209
150.173
181.682
216.447
172.553
- 20%
+ 21%
+ 19%
- 15,2%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
17 January 2013
EU Egg Exports
Total EU Export of Eggs
not incl. hatching eggs (1000 EUR)
Total EU Export of Eggs
not incl. hatching eggs (T. eggs equiv.)
250.000
250.000
206.891
203.589
193.500
164.132
200.000
200.000
172.553
163.781
79.857
77.588
150.000
48.864
62.653
150.000
58.779
61.382
5.749
100.000
100.000
38.745
59.523
38.603
41.180
58.832
51.801
50.000
50.000
61.796
47.816
61.724
33.501
41.517
Jan-Nov 10
Jan-Nov 11
54.712
0
0
Jan-Nov 10
Japan
Jan-Nov 11
Switzerland
Russia
Jan-Nov 12
Angola
Iraq
Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Japan
Switzerland
Man Com
Russia
Jan-Nov 12
Angola
Iraq
Other destinations
17 January 2013
EU-27 Exports of selected EGGS products
(including Hatching eggs)
30.000
in Tonnes egg equiv.
25.000
20.000
15.000
10.000
5.000
0
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
2007
|
Jan
08
2008
|
Jan
09
2009
|
Jan
10
2010
EU market
for Eggs Not
andIn
Poultry
FRESH situation
Albumin
Shell
|
Jan
11
2011
|
Jan
12
Man
17 January 2013
Yolk Com Haching
EU Egg Trade Balance
(not including Hatching eggs)
275
in 1000 Tonnes
EXPORTS
IMPORTS
250
231
225
216
209
201
205
198
191
186
198
202
200
187
182
173
167
164
175
150
144
150
142
125
100
69
75
39
18
23
30
27
18
17
1998
1999 2000 2001
10
25
45
50
23
16
34
31
30
30
19
25
0
1995
1996
1997
2002
2003
2004
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2005 2006
2007
2008
Man Com
2009
2010 2011
JanNov
12
17 January 2013
Egg prices the EU, USAand Brazil
in €uro/ 100kg
20 0,00
17 5,00
15 0,00
12 5,00
10 0,00
75 ,00
50 ,00
09
|
10
EU egg
|
11
US egg €uro
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
12
|
13
BR Egg €uro (Ave World)
Man Com
17 January 2013
|
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