Manajemen Strategi Industri Strategy Analysis and Choice 1 Ir. Erlinda Muslim, MEE Nip. 19601028 198811 2001 Strategy-Formulation Analytical Framework Stage 1: The Input Stage Stage 2: The Matching Stage Stage 3: The Decision Stage 2 Formulation Framework External Factor Evaluation Matrix (EFE) Stage 1: The Input Stage Internal Factor Evaluation Matrix (IFE) Competitive Profile Matrix 3 Input Stage • Provides basic input information for the matching and decision stage matrices • Requires strategists to quantify subjectivity early in the process • Good intuitive judgment always needed 4 Formulation Framework TOWS Matrix SPACE Matrix Stage 2: The Matching Stage BCG Matrix IE Matrix Grand Strategy Matrix 5 Matching Stage • Match between organization’s internal resources and skills and the opportunities and risks created by its external factors. 6 Matching Key Factors to Formulate Alternative Strategies Key Internal Factor Resultant Strategy + 20% annual growth in the cell phone industry = (opportunity) Insufficient capacity (weakness) + Exit of two major foreign competitors form the industry (opportunity) = Pursue horizontal integration by buying competitor's facilities Strong R&D (strength) + Decreasing numbers of young adults (threat) = Develop new products for older adults Poor employee morale (weakness) + Strong union activity (threat) Excess working capacity (strength) 7 Key External Factor = Acquire Cellfone, Inc. Develop a new employee benefits package Formulation Framework Stage 3: The Decision Stage 8 Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix (QSPM) Formulation Framework External Factor Evaluation Matrix (EFE) Stage 1: The Input Stage Internal Factor Evaluation Matrix (IFE) Competitive Profile Matrix 9 The External Assessment Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. -- Neils Bohr 10 Nature of External Audit Purpose: – Development of Finite List: • Opportunities • Threats to be avoided 11 Key External Forces Five (5) broad categories: 1. Economic forces 2. Social, cultural, demographic, & environmental forces 3. Political, governmental, and legal forces 4. Technological factors 5. Competitive forces 12 Relationships Between Key External Forces and an Organization Key External Forces 13 Competitors Suppliers Distributors Creditors Customers Employees Communities Managers Stockholders Labor Unions Special Interest Groups Products Services Opportunities & Threats Exhibit 2.4 Porter’s Five Forces Model of Industry Competition POTENTIAL ENTRANTS Threat of new entrants Bargaining power of suppliers INDUSTRY COMPETITORS SUPPLIERS Bargaining power of buyers BUYERS Rivalry Among Existing Firms Threat of substitute products or services SUBSTITUTES Reprinted with the permission of The Free Press, a division of Simon & Schuster, Inc. from Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors by Michael E. Porter. Copyright © 1980, 1998 by The Free Press. 14 Five Forces Analysis of the Automotive Industry Threat of Rivalry Oligopolistic industry Overcapacity Global Competitive Environment Threat of Market Entry High barriers to entry High capital requirements Contrived deterrence Cost disadvantages Threat of Substitutes Train, public transport or other means of transportation 15 Differentiation on basis of functional attributes only temporary Threat of Suppliers Automotive Industry Consolidation Single Sourcing Low level of total value added Threat of Buyers Numerous potential customers Industry policy of rebates More demanding customers Industry Analysis (EFE) External Factor Evaluation Matrix Summarize & evaluate: 16 Economic Demographic Governmental Social Environmental Technological Cultural Political Competitive External Factor Evaluation (EFE) Menggambarkan keseluruhan opportunities dan threats yang ada untuk mengetahui seberapa besar pengaruh dari setiap faktor tersebut terhadap institusi, respons institusi setiap faktor tersebut dan untuk mengetahui nilai institusi terhadap keseluruhan faktor dibandingkan dengan Institusi lain 17 Industry Analysis (EFE) Five-Step process: • List key external factors (10-20) Opportunities • Assign weight to each (0 to 1.0) Sum 18 & threats of all weights = 1.0 Industry Analysis (EFE) Five-step process: • Assign 1-4 rating to each factor • Firm’s current strategies response to the factor • Multiply each factor’s weight by its rating • Produces a weighted score 19 Industry Analysis (EFE) Five-step process: • Sum the weighted scores for each Determines the total weighted score for the organization. • 20 Highest possible weighted score for the organization is 4.0; the lowest, 1.0. Average = 2.5 UST—Key External Factors Weight Rating Weighted score Global markets untapped .15 1 .15 Increased demand .05 3 .15 Astronomical Internet growth .05 1 .05 Pinkerton leader in discount market .15 4 .60 More social pressure to quit smoking .10 3 .30 Legislation against the tobacco industry .10 2 .20 Production limits on tobacco .05 3 .15 Smokeless market SE region U.S. .05 2 .10 Bad media exposure from FDA .10 2 .20 Clinton Administration .20 1 .20 Opportunities Threats TOTAL 21 1.00 2.10 Tabel : Matriks EFE PT. Pos Indonesia Faktor Eksternal Bobot Rating Nilai - Jumlah penduduk 0,12 3 0,36 - Bentuk negara yang geografis 0,10 3 0,30 - Perusahaan yang berbentuk Persero 0,08 4 0,32 - Jumlah SDM memadai 0,10 2 0,20 - Tersedianya sarana promosi 0,05 2 0,10 - Perkembangan teknologi 0,10 2 0,20 - Pesaing baru dan lama 0,10 2 0,20 - Munculnya produk substitusi 0,12 2 0,24 - Tuntutan terhadap mutu dan pelayanan 0,08 2 0,16 - Daya beli konsumen 0,05 1 0,05 - Kondisi SDM yang berorientasi kepada produk Total 0,10 2 0,20 Peluang (opportunities) Ancaman (threats) 22 1 2,33 Industry Analysis (EFE) Total weighted score of 4.0 = Organization response is outstanding to threats & weaknesses Total weighted score of 1.0 = Firm’s strategies not capitalizing on opportunities or avoiding threats 23 Industry Analysis (EFE) Important • 24 Understanding of the factors used in the EFE Matrix is more important than the actual weights and ratings assigned. Formulation Framework External Factor Evaluation Matrix (EFE) Stage 1: The Input Stage Internal Factor Evaluation Matrix (IFE) Competitive Profile Matrix 25 The Internal Assessment Great spirits have always encountered violent opposition from mediocre minds. -- Albert Einstein 26 Nature of an Internal Audit All organizations – • • 27 Strengths Weaknesses Nature of an Internal Audit Basis for objectives & strategies: – Internal strengths/weaknesses – External opportunities/threats – Clear statement of mission 28 Key Internal Forces Distinctive Competencies • A firm’s strengths that cannot be easily matched or imitated by competitors • Building competitive advantage involves taking advantage of distinctive competencies • Strategies designed in part to improve on a firm’s weaknesses and turn to strengths 29 Internal Audit • Parallels process of external audit • Gather & assimilate information from: • • • • • • 30 Management Marketing Finance/accounting Production/operations Research & development Management information systems Functions of Management Five basic activities – – – – – – 31 Planning Organizing Motivating Staffing Controlling Functions of Management 32 Function Stage When Most Important Planning Strategy Formulation Organizing Strategy Implementation Motivating Strategy Implementation Staffing Strategy Implementation Controlling Strategy Evaluation Planning Forecasting Establishing objectives Planning Devising strategies Developing policies Setting goals 33 Organizing Organizing Organizing Organizing 34 Organizational design Organizational Organizational design design Job Job Job specialization specialization specialization Job Job Job descriptions descriptions descriptions Job Job Job specifications specifications specifications Span of control Span Span of of control control Unity Unity Unity of of ofcommand command command Coordination Coordination Coordination Job Job Job design design design Job Job Job analysis analysis analysis Motivating Motivating 35 Leadership Communication Work groups Job enrichment Job satisfaction Needs fulfillment Organizational change Morale Staffing Staffing 36 Wage & salary admin Employee benefits Interviewing Hiring Firing Training Management development Safety Affirmative action EEO Labor relations Career development Discipline procedures Controlling Controlling 37 Quality control Financial control Sales control Inventory control Expense control Analysis of variances Rewards Sanctions Marketing Process of defining, anticipating, creating, and fulfilling customers’ needs and wants for products and services 38 Marketing 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 39 Customer analysis Selling products/services Product and service planning Pricing Distribution Marketing research Opportunity analysis Marketing Customer surveys Consumer information Customer analysis Market positioning strategies Customer profiles Market segmentation strategies 40 Marketing Advertising Sales Promotion Selling Products/services Publicity Sales force management Customer relations Dealer relations 41 Marketing Test marketing Brand positioning Devising warrantees Product/service planning Packaging Product features/options Product style Quality 42 Marketing Forward integration Discounts Credit terms Condition of sale Pricing Markups Costs Unit pricing 43 Marketing Warehousing Channels Coverage Distribution Retail site locations Sales territories Inventory levels Transportation 44 Marketing Data collection Data input Marketing research Data analysis Support all business functions 45 Marketing Assessing costs Assessing benefits Opportunity Analysis Assessing risks Cost/benefit/risk analysis 46 Finance/Accounting • • • • 47 Determining financial strengths and weaknesses key to strategy formulation Investment decision (Capital budgeting) Financing decision Dividend decision Finance/Accounting Functions of Finance/Accounting – 1. 2. 3. 48 Investment decision (Capital budgeting) Financing decision Dividend decision Basic Financial Ratios Firm’s ability to meet its short-term obligations Ratios Liquidity ratios Current ratio Quick (or acid-test) ratio 49 Basic Financial Ratios • Extent of debt financing Ratios Leverage ratios Debt-to-total-assets Debt-to-equity Long-term debt-to-equity Times-interest earned 50 Basic Financial Ratios • Effective use of firm’s resources Ratios Inventory-turnover Activity ratios Fixed assets turnover Total assets turnover Accounts receivable turnover Average collection period 51 Basic Financial Ratios • Effectiveness shown by returns on sales and investment Ratios Profitability ratios Gross profit margin Operating profit margin Net profit margin Return on total assets (ROA) 52 Basic Financial Ratios • Effectiveness shown by returns on sales and investment Ratios Profitability ratios (continued) Return on stockholders’ equity (ROE) Earnings per share Price-earnings ratio 53 Basic Financial Ratios • Firm’s ability to maintain economic position Ratios Growth ratios Sales Net income Earnings per share Dividends per share 54 Production/Operations • • • • • 55 Process Capacity Inventory Workforce Quality Production/Operations Design of facility Choice of technology Facility layout Process Process flow analysis Facility location Line balancing Process control 56 Production/Operations Forecasting Facilities planning Aggregate planning Capacity Scheduling Capacity planning Queuing analysis 57 Production/Operations Raw material Inventory Work in process Finished goods Materials handling 58 Production/Operations Job design Work measurement Workforce Job enrichment Work standards Motivation techniques 59 Production/Operations Quality control Sampling Quality Testing Quality assurance Cost control 60 Research and Development • • • 61 Development of new products before competition Improving product quality Improving manufacturing processes to reduce costs Research and Development Financing as many projects as possible Use percentage-of-sales method R&D budgets Budgeting relative to competitors Deciding how many successful new products are needed 62 Management Information Systems Purpose – – 63 Improve performance of an enterprise by improving the quality of managerial decisions. Internal Analysis (IFE) Menggambarkan keseluruhan strength dan weakness yang ada untuk mengetahui seberapa besar pengaruh dari setiap faktor tersebut terhadap institusi, respons institusi setiap faktor tersebut dan untuk mengetahui nilai institusi terhadap keseluruhan faktor dibandingkan dengan Institusi lain 64 Internal Analysis (IFE) Five-Step Process: • List key internal factors (10-20) Strengths • Assign weight to each (0 to 1.0) Sum 65 & weaknesses of all weights = 1.0 Internal Analysis (IFE) Assign 1-4 rating to each factor Firm’s current strategies response to the factor • Multiply each factor’s weight by its rating Produces 66 a weighted score Internal Analysis (IFE) • Sum the weighted scores for each Determines the total weighted score for the organization Highest possible weighted score for the organization is 4.0; the lowest, 1.0. Average = 2.5 67 Internal Analysis (IFE) Mandalay Bay Weight Rating Weighted score Largest casino company in world .05 4 .20 Room occupancy rates over 95% .10 4 .40 Increasing free cash flows .05 3 .15 Owns 1 mile on Las Vegas strip .15 4 .60 Strong management team .05 3 .15 Buffets at most facilities .05 3 .15 Minimal comps provided .05 3 .15 Long-range planning .05 4 .20 Reputation as family-friendly .05 3 .15 Financial ratios .05 3 .15 Internal Strengths 68 Internal Analysis (IFE) Mandalay Bay Weight Rating Weighted score Most properties located in Las Vegas .05 1 .05 Little diversification .05 2 .10 Family reputation, not high rollers .05 2 .10 Laughlin properties .10 1 .10 Recent loss of joint ventures .10 1 .10 TOTAL (including Strengths) 1.0 Internal Weaknesses 69 2.75 Tabel : Matriks IFE PT. Pos Indonesia Faktor Internal Bobot Rating Nilai - Keragaman jenis jasa pengiriman 0,09 4 0,36 - Harga murah 0,10 4 0,40 - Jaringan pos yang sangat luas 0,10 3 0,30 - Sebaran lokasi pelayanan 0,10 3 0,30 - Kemudahan mencapai tempat pelayanan & pengiriman Kelemahan (weaknesses) 0,11 3 0,33 - Ketepatan waktu pengiriman 0,11 1 0,11 - Kecepatan pengiriman 0,11 1 0,11 - Kecepatan pelayanan petugas 0,10 1 0,10 - Informasi biaya dan waktu pengiriman 0,09 2 0,18 - Kemudahan memperoleh info promosi dan iklan Total 0,09 2 0.18 Kekuatan (strengths) 70 1 2,37 Menentukan Distinctive Competencies Diantara sejumlah strengths yang dimiliki suatu institusi dapat saja beberapa diantaranya merupakan distinctive competencies. Untuk mengevaluasi apakah suatu strength adalah distinctive competency dapat digunakan metode Barney yaitu dengan konsep VRIO 71 VRIO Value : apakah faktor tersebut memberikan keunggulan kompetitif pada institusi ? Rareness : apakah pesaing tidak memiliki faktor tersebut ? Imitability : apakah tidak mudah untuk memiliki faktor tersebut ? Organization : apakah institusi memanfaatkan faktor tersebut secara maksimal ? Jika jawab dari keempat : Ya distinctive competency 72 Formulation Framework External Factor Evaluation Matrix (EFE) Stage 1: The Input Stage Internal Factor Evaluation Matrix (IFE) Competitive Profile Matrix 73 Industry Analysis (CPM) Competitive Profile Matrix • 74 Identifies firm’s major competitors and their strengths & weaknesses in relation to a sample firm’s strategic position (CPM) Critical Success Factor 75 Avon L’Oreal Procter & Gamble Weight Rating Score Rating Score Rating Score Advertising 0.20 Product Quality 0.10 Price Competition 0.10 Management 0.10 Financial Position 0.15 Customer Loyalty 0.10 Global Expansion 0.20 Market Share 0.05 Total 1.00 1 4 3 4 4 4 4 1 0.20 0.40 0.30 0.40 0.60 0.40 0.80 0.05 3.15 4 4 3 3 3 4 2 4 0.80 3 0.60 0.40 3 0.30 0.30 4 0.40 0.30 3 0.30 0.45 3 0.45 0.40 2 0.20 0.40 2 0.40 0.20 3 0.15 3.25 2.80 Competitive Profile Matrix Critical Success Factors Brand Recognition Market Share Financial Strength R&D Product Quality Advertising Number of Retail Outlets Product Mix Depend on Suppliers for Quality Total 76 Weight 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.05 0.11 0.10 1.00 Nike Weighted Rating Score 4 0.60 4 0.56 3 0.39 4 0.40 3 0.10 4 0.48 4 0.20 4 0.44 2 0.20 3.37 Adidas Weighted Rating Score 4 0.60 2 0.28 2 0.26 2 0.20 3 0.30 3 0.36 1 0.05 3 0.33 3 0.30 2.68 Reebok Weighted Rating Score 4 0.60 3 0.42 2 0.26 3 0.30 3 0.30 4 0.48 3 0.15 3 0.33 2 0.20 3.04 Formulation Framework TOWS Matrix SPACE Matrix Stage 2: The Matching Stage BCG Matrix IE Matrix Grand Strategy Matrix 77 Strategy Analysis & Choice Whether it’s broke or not, fix it—make it better. Not just products, but the whole company if necessary. -- Bill Saporito 78 SWOT ANALYSIS Asumsi: Suatu strategi yang efektif akan memaksimalkan kekuatan (Strength) dan peluang (Opportunities), dan meminimalkan kelemahan (Weaknesses) dan ancaman ((Threat) Opportunities: Situasi penting dari faktor eksternal yang menguntungkan perusahaan. (perubahan teknologi, membaiknya hubungan pembeli & pemasok, dll) Threat: faktor internal yang tidak menguntungkan perusahaan. (masuknya pesaing baru, lambatnya pertumbuhan pasar, meningkatnya kekuatan pembeli & pemasok, dll) Strength: Kekuatan internal meliputi sumberdaya, keterampilan/ keunggulan lainnya relatif terhadap pesaing dan kebutuhan pasar yang dilayani/ ingin dilayani perusahaan. (sumber daya keuangan, citra, dll) Weaknesses: Kekurangan/ keterbatasan daam sumber daya, keterampilan dan kapabilitas yang menghambat kinerja perusahaan. 79 ANALISA SWOT (TOWS) MATRIX Dikemukakan oleh : Thomas L. Wheelen dan J. David Hunger Menggunakan matrix untuk menghasilkan strategi alternatif dengan memanfaatkan EFE dan IFE Langkah-Langkahnya : Pada blok opportunities cantumkan sejumlah opportunities yang diambil dari tabel EFE Pada blok threats cantumkan sejumlah threats yang diambil dari EFE Pada blok strength, cantumkan sejumlah strength yang diambil dari IFE Pada blok weakness cantumkan sejumlah weakness yg diambil dari IFE Dapatkan sejumlah strategi-strategi yang mungkin untuk perusahaan berdasarkan kombinasi dari 4 elemen tersebut 80 Matching Stage TOWS Matrix – Threats – Opportunities – Strengths – Weaknesses 81 TOWS Matrix Develop four types of strategies – Strengths-Opportunities (SO) – Weaknesses-Opportunities (WO) – Strengths-Threats (ST) – Weaknesses-Threats (WT) 82 Kuadran SO, ST, WO, WT Kuadran SO : posisi yang paling menguntungkan dimana institusi sedang melihat peluang-peluang dan memiliki kekuatan untuk meraihnya Kuadran ST : institusi dengan beberapa kekuatan yang dimilikinya sedang menghadapi ancaman dari luar. Institusi dapat menggunakan kekuatan untuk menciptakan peluang di masa yang akan datang Kuadran WO : institusi sedang melihat peluang tetapi mengalami kendala dalam meraihnya karena perusahaan memiliki kelemahan. Institusi harus dapat mengeliminir kekurangan-kekurangan supaya lebih efektif dalam meraih peluang Kuadran WT : posisi yang paling tidak menyenangkan dimana perusahaan sedang menghadapi ancaman dari luar bersamaan dengan posisinyapun sedang lemah. Institusi bertahan sambil mengkaji ulang keterlibatan institusi dalam pelayanan yang sedang terancam tersebut 83 STRATEGI SO, ST, WO, WT Strategi SO : strategi memanfaatkan peluang dengan mendayagunakan kekuatan internal Strategi ST : strategi untuk menghadapi atau menghidarkan ancaman dengan mendayagunakan kekuatan yang dimiliki Strategi WO : strategi untuk mengatasi kelemahan dengan cara memanfaatkan peluang yang ada 84 Strategi WT : strategi yang meminimalkan kelemahan sambil mencegah ancaman yang ada di luar SO Strategies Threats Opportunities Weaknesses Strengths (TOWS) 85 SO Strategies Use a firm’s internal strengths to take advantage of external opportunities WO Strategies Threats Opportunities Weaknesses Strengths (TOWS) 86 WO Strategies Improving internal weaknesses by taking advantage of external opportunities ST Strategies Threats Opportunities Weaknesses Strengths (TOWS) 87 ST Strategies Using firm’s strengths to avoid or reduce the impact of external threats. WT Strategies Threats Opportunities Weaknesses Strengths (TOWS) 88 WT Strategies Defensive tactics aimed at reducing internal weaknesses and avoiding environmental threats. TOWS Matrix Steps in developing the TOWS Matrix 1. 2. 3. 4. 89 List the firm’s key external opportunities List the firm’s key external threats List the firm’s key internal strengths List the firm’s key internal weaknesses TOWS Matrix Developing the TOWS Matrix 5. 6. 7. 8. 90 Match internal strengths with external opportunities and record the resultant SO Strategies Match internal weaknesses with external opportunities and record the resultant WO Strategies Match internal strengths with external threats and record the resultant ST Strategies Match internal weaknesses with external threats and record the resultant WT Strategies TOWS Matrix Leave Blank 91 Strengths-S Weaknesses-W List Strengths List Weaknesses Opportunities-O SO Strategies WO Strategies List Opportunities Use strengths to take advantage of opportunities Overcome weaknesses by taking advantage of opportunities Threats-T ST Strategies WT Strategies List Threats Use strengths to avoid threats Minimize weaknesses and avoid threats SWOT MATRIX STRENGHTS (S) List Internal Strenghts Here WEAKNESSES (W) List Internal Weaknesses Here OPPORTUNITIES (O) List External Opportinities Here S-O Strategies Generate strategies here that use Strenghts to take adventage of opportunities W-O Strategies Generate strategies here that take adventage of opportunities by overcoming weaknesses THREATS (T) List External Threats Here S-T Strategies Generate strategies here that use strenghts to avoid threats W-T Strategies Generate strategies here that minimize weaknesses and avoid threats EXTERNAL FACTORS 92 TOWS Matrix Strengths 1. Customer satisfaction. 2. Copyright to one-click method. 3. Humanitarian efforts. 4. Strong Research & Development. 5. Exclusive agreements with Internet sites. 6. Ability to track customer interests. 7. Formation of strategic alliances with physical retailers. 93 Weaknesses 1. Accumulated deficits. 2. Anticipates further losses. 3. Slowing growth, core business, U.S. Books, Music, & Video. 4. Lawsuit with Barnes & Noble over patent for oneclick method. 5. Class Action Suits filed with stockholders. 6. Doses not have a mission statement. 7. Financial position. TOWS Matrix S-O Strategies Opportunities 1. Expand European presence 1. Continuous increase of through strategic alliances internet users. with established online 2. Increasing business to retailers or physical consumer e-commerce. retailers 3. U. S. Internet economy (S1,O1,O2,O3,O5). 2. Refocus on core business projections 3.1 trillion by taking full advantage of by 2004. e-books sales projection 4. Brick & Mortar (S1,S2,S6,O1,O2,O3). companies lack technology expertise. 5. European on-line projections 3.1 trillion by 2004. 94 W-O Strategies 1. Enter into more strategic agreements with U. S. physical retailers possibly Wal-mart (W2,W3,W7,O4,O5). TOWS Matrix Threats 1. Seasonality of internet usage & revenue generation. 2. Economic downturn & global recession. 3. Low consumer confidence levels. 4. Competition. 5. Security/Privacy of information concerns. 6. Internet Taxation. 7. Market valuation . 95 S-T Strategies 1. Establish direct order link with publishers/manufacturers (S5, T4). 2. Enhance attractiveness of platform (S1,S2,S4,S6,T4,T7). 3. Promote ease of use (S2,T4,T5). W-T Strategies 1. Reduce fulfillment costs by reduction in number of fulfillment centers (W1,W2,W3,W7,T1,T2,T3,T7). FORMULATION FRAMEWORK TOWS Matrix SPACE Matrix Stage 2: The Matching Stage BCG Matrix IE Matrix Grand Strategy Matrix 96 SPACE Matrix •SPACE = The Strategic Position and ACtion Evaluation •Dikemukakan oleh : R. Howe, R. Mason & K. Dickel •Diadaptasi oleh : Fred R. David •Menilai seluruh strategic factors •Mengolah – 97 Ditampilkan pada sistem koordinat 2 dimensi SPACE Matrix Strategic Position and Action Evaluation Matrix Four quadrant framework Determines appropriate strategies 98 Aggressive Conservative Defensive Competitive SPACE Matrix Two Internal Dimensions Financial Strength [FS] Competitive Advantage [CA] Two External Dimensions Environmental Stability [ES] Industry Strength [IS] 99 SPACE Matrix Overall Strategic position determined by: Financial Strength [FS] – Competitive Advantage [CA] – Environmental Stability [ES] – Industry Strength [IS] – 100 SPACE Matrix Developing the SPACE Matrix: • • • • • • 101 EFE Matrix IFE Matrix Financial Strength Competitive Advantage Environmental Stability Industry Strength SPACE Matrix • • • 102 Select variables to define FS, CA, ES, & IS Assign numerical ranking from +1 (worst) to +6 (best) for FS and IS; Assign numerical ranking from –1 (best) to –6 (worst) for ES and CA. Compute average score for FS, CA, ES, & IS SPACE Matrix Internal Strategic Position 103 External Strategic Position Financial Strength (FS) Environmental Stability (ES) Return on investment Leverage Liquidity Working capital Cash flow Ease of exit from market Risk involved in business Technological changes Rate of inflation Demand variability Price range of competing products Barriers to entry Competitive pressure Price elasticity of demand SPACE Matrix Internal Strategic Position 104 External Strategic Position Competitive Advantage CA Industry Strength (IS) Market share Product quality Product life cycle Customer loyalty Competition’s capacity utilization Technological know-how Control over suppliers & distributors Growth potential Profit potential Financial stability Technological know-how Resource utilization Capital intensify Ease of entry into market Productivity, capacity utilization SPACE Matrix FS Conservative Aggressive +6 +5 +4 +3 +2 +1 CA IS -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +1 -1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 -2 -3 -4 -5 Defensive 105 Competitive -6 ES SPACE Matrix : NIKE INTERNAL STRATEGIC POSITION Financial strength Environmental stability +4 -3 +1 best to +6 worst -6 worst to –1 best Y axis: 4 + (-3) = 1 EXTERNAL STRATEGIC POSITION Competitive advantage Industry strength Conservative -2 +3 -6 unstable to –1 stable +1 best to +6 worst FS X axis: 3 + (-2) = 1 Aggressive CA IS Defensive 106 ES Competitive SPACE Matrix : AMAZON FS Conservative Aggressive CA Defensive IS ES Competitive Y axis Financial strength Environmental stability +1 -2 +1 worst to + 6 best -1 best to –6 worst Y axis: 1 + (-2) = -1 X axis Industry strength 107 Competitive advantage 3 -2 +1 worst to +6 best -1 best to -6 worst X axis: 3 + (-2) = 1 Opportunities Posisi Strategis SO + 0,59 ; + 0,60 +2,75 Weakness -2,50 Rata-Rata Opportunities = +33/12 = + 2,75 Rata-Rata Threats = -28/13 = - 2,15 Rata-Rata Strength = +34/11 = + 3,09 108 Strength +0,60 Rata-Rata Weakness = -15/6 = - -2,50 +0,59 +3,09 -2,15 Koordinat X = +3,09 + (-2,50) = 0,59 Threats Koordinat Y = +2,75 + (-2,15) = 0,60 SPACE MATRIX POSISI STRATEGIS PERUSAHAAN OPPORTUNITIES Supports an Aggressive Strategy Supports a Turn Oriented Strategy WEAKNESSES STRENGTHS Supports a Difensive Strategy Supports a Diversification Strategy THREATS 109 Formulation Framework TOWS Matrix SPACE Matrix Stage 2: The Matching Stage BCG Matrix IE Matrix Grand Strategy Matrix 110 BCG Matrix Boston Consulting Group Matrix • • • • • • 111 Enhances multidivisional firms’ efforts to formulate strategies Autonomous divisions (or profit centers) constitute the business portfolio Firm’s divisions may compete in different industries requiring separate strategy Graphically portrays differences among divisions Focuses on market share position and industry growth rate Manage business portfolio through relative market share position and industry growth rate BCG Matrix Relative Market Share Position Industry Sales Growth Rate High 1.0 112 Medium .50 Low 0.0 High +20 Stars II Question Marks I Cash Cows III Dogs IV Medium 0 Low -20 Kondisi Bisnis Perusahaan 113 Perusahaan dengan satu bisnis Diversifikasi perusahaan yang berhubungan Diversifikasi perusahaan yang tak ada hubungan Bersaing sebagai satu bisnis Membagi kompetensi bisnis satu sama lain Tiap unit bisnis otonom pada pasar yang berbeda-beda Apple Computer McDonald’s Corp. Wrigley Maytag Texas Air Ford Motor P&G Philip Morris Dow-Corning Johnson & Johnson Du Pont Gilette ITT Rockwell GE LTV Textron Litton Pendekatan Portofolio Pendekatan portofolio ditandai ciri berikut : Menguji setiap bisnis perusahaan yang terpisah sebagai elemen portofolio dari total bisnis. Suatu unit bisnis dalam portofolio perusahaan, pada derajat tertentu, adalah merupakan penghasil (generators) atau penerima (recipients) dari sumber-sumber (resources) perusahaan. 114 Pendekatan portofolio merupakan cara yang sederhana dan visual untuk mengidentifikasi dan mengevaluasi alternatif strategi guna dapat menghasilkan dan mengalokasikan sumber-sumber perusahaan (corporate resources) SUSUNAN MATRIKS BCG • Matrix BCG ini dibentuk dari empat sel (Matriks 2 X 2) yang mengukur laju pertumbuhan pasar (market growth) pada sumbu vertikal, dan pangsa pasar relatif (relative market share) pada sumbu horizontal • Didalam matriks BCG, setiap unit bisnis menempati salah satu dari kategori “tanda tanya” 115 Question mark Star Cash cow Dogs MATRIKS BCG • Matrixs BCG merupakan model yang sederhana dan paling banyak digunakan. • Model ini berguna bagi top manager yang membawahi unit bisnis yang berbeda-beda (diversified forms), khususnya untuk mengalokasikan sumber-sumber (resources) dari satu unit ke unit bisnis lainnya. 116 • Matriks ini juga digunakan untuk memperkirakan posisi pasar suatu unit bisnis beberapa tahun ke depan bila tidak dilakukan perubahan kebijakan (policies) selama ini Bentuk BCG Matrix High Market Growth Star Question Mark Cash Cow Dog Low Strong 117 Relative Market Share Weak Market Growth Rate The Boston Consulting Group’s Growth-Share Matrix 20%18%16%14%12%10%8%6%4%2%0 Stars 4 5 3 ?2 ? Dogs Cash cows 1 8 7 6 10x 4x 2x 1.5x 1x 118 Question marks .5x .4x .3x .2x .1x Relative Market Share Indikator Cash Flow Beberapa indikator berikut diperlukan dalam penyusunan matriks BCG: Cash flow merupakan indikator kunci pada matriks BCG Cash flow merepresentasikan kemampuan dari unit bisnis untuk membangun portofolio-nya Cash flow dalam matriks BCG dapat dibagi atas: Pemakaian kas (cash use) karena pangsa pasar relatif (relative market share) di sumbu horizontal Penerimaan kas (cash generated) karena pertumbuhan pasar (market growth rate) di sumbu vertikal Relative market share dapat dihitung dari ratio market share unit bisnis dengan market share pesaing tertinggi 119 Market growth atau pertumbuhan pada industri bersangkutan. Asumsi Cash flow vs. posisi bisnis Hubungan antara cash flow perusahaan dengan portofolio bisnisnya dapat terjadi berdasarkan beberapa asumsi : Profit margin dan penerimaan kas (cash generation) makin besar dengan bertambahnya relative market share, akibat learning curve Market growth membutuhkan uang tunai (cash used) guna membiayai modal kerja, penambahan kapasitas, dan investasi lainnya Sebagian unit bisnis membutuhkan uang tunai lebih besar dari pendapatannya, sedang sebagian lain menghasilkan lebih besar dari yang digunakannya Dalam portofolio perusahaan, cash flow keseluruhan perusahaan harus seimbang, yaitu antara kebutuhan tunai total dengan kemampuan unit-unit usaha dalam menghasilkan uang tunai ditambah pembiayaan dari luar. 120 Analisa Cash Flow High Star Question Mark Cash generated +++ Cash use Market Growth --0 Cash Cow Cash generated +++ Cash use ++ Low Strong 121 Relative Market Share Cash generated + Cash use ---- Dog Cash generated + Cash use 0 Weak 4 Strategi Utama BCG Matrix Build market share Hold market share Harvest Divest 122 BCG Matrix: Karakteristik Kuadran 30% Star Market Growth -10% Earnings: high stable, growing Cash flow: neutral Strategy: hold or invest for growth Earnings: low, unstable, growing Cash flow: negative Strategy: build market share or harvest/divest Cash Cow Dog Earnings: high stable Cash flow: high stable Strategy: hold or add market share Earnings: low, unstable Cash flow: neutral or negative Strategy: harvest/divest 10 123 Question Mark 1.0 Relative Market Share .1 Penggunaan Model : Simbol Product A Total Market Product A Previous Market Size and Position Market Share B 124 Product B Market Smaller but firm has greater share Plotting Your SBU’s 30% Star Question Mark C Market Growth C B A Cash Cow Dog A B -10% 10 125 1.0 Relative Market Share .1 Traditional SBU or Product Path 30% Star Question Mark 2 Market Growth Cash Cow 1 Dog 3 4 -10% 10 126 2 1.0 Relative Market Share .1 Question mark ??? MATRIKS BCG & BUSINESS LIFE CYCLE Berada pada kuadran 1, dimana relative market share-nya rendah (low), namun dengan market groqth rate yang tinggi (high) Ini mengingat posisi market share yang rendah, menunjukkan cash generated yang rendah pula, dan cash use yang tinggi pada market growth yang tinggi. Dalam kondisi bisnis “question mark” ini perusahaan harus memutuskan untuk memperkuat diri dengan strategi intensif (penetrasi pasar, pengembangan pasar, atau pengembangan produk) atau menjualnya bila pelaksanaan strategi terlalu mahal. Misi yang dituntut dari anak perusahaan ini adalah membangun (build) market share. Dalam daur hidup bisnis, posisi ini terletak pada masa perkenalan atau masa-masa awal bisnis (introduction) perusahaan 127 Star MATRIKS BCG & BUSINESS LIFE CYCLE Berada pada kuadran II, menunjukkan baik relative market share dan market growth yang tinggi, serta menunjukkan cash generated maupun cash use yang tinggi pula. Posisi star merupakan posisi dominan yang dikejar setiap perusahaan dan posisi yang paling kuat, namun harus dipertahankan dengan investasi yang memadai. Hal tersebut dapat dilakukan dengan strategi integrasi, strategi intensif atau joint ventures, melalui integrasi ke hilir (forward), ke hulu (backward) atau ke pesaing (horizontal), serta melalui penetrasi pasar, pengembangan pasar, atau pengembangan produk dan joint ventures. Misi yang perlu dilakukan adalah mempertahankan (hold) market share. Posisi “hold” sama dengan siklus pertumbuhan (growth) pada business life cycle. 128 Cash cow MATRIKS BCG & BUSINESS LIFE CYCLE Berada pada kuadran III, yaitu dengan relative market share yang tinggi namun market growth-nya rendah. Pada market share yang tinggi, biaya per unit cenderung rendah dan berarti menghasilkan laba yang tinggi. Sebaliknya dengan market growth yang rendah, bisnis dalam keadaan menurun sehingga kurang di perlukan uang tunai untuk keperluan investasi. Unit bisnis ini memiliki keuntungan dan cash flow yang tinggi 129 Misi yang di emban adalah memanen (harvest) keuntungan dan cash flow jangka pendek untuk membiayai bisnis anak perusahaan yang lainnya, dengan pendapatan yang besar, namun dengan pertumbuhan yang rendah Dog MATRIKS BCG & BUSINESS LIFE CYCLE Berada pada kuadran IV, berada pada posisi yang lemah dan industri sudah tidak menarik. Biasanya strategi yang baik adalah melakukan divestasi, kecuali masih ada kemungkinan memperbaikinya dengan biaya yang tidak terlalu mahal. Misi yang dilakukan adalah melakukan (divest) bisnis tersebut. Disini perusahaan berada dalam keadaan “declining” atau mengalami siklus menurun. 130 HUBUNGAN ANTARA KATEGORI BISNIS, MISI DAN DAUR HIDUP 131 KUADRAN KATEGORI MISI DAUR HIDUP I Question Mark (“?”) Build Introduction II Stars Hold Growth III Cash Cows Harvest Mature IV Dogs Divest Decline Keuntungan MATRIKS BCG Pendekatan yang sederhana pemakaiannya dan disajikan secara visual Memudahkan penentuan portofolio bisnis dari divisi atau anak perusahaan Merangsang minat dalam perencanaan strategi Mendorong perusahaan untuk melihat formulasi strategi sebagai hubungan kerjasama antara unit-unit bisnis yang ada didalam perusahaan Memperlihatkan bagaimana setiap unit perusahaan memiliki penerimaan dan penggunaan dana tunai (cash flow) yang berbedabeda terhadap pencapaian tujuan perusahaan. 132 KELEMAHAN MATRIKS BCG • Penggunaan tinggi dan rendah pada growth-share matriks untuk empat kategori, terlalu menyederhanakan masalah bisnis. • Hubungan antara market share dengan profitabilitas tidak selalu linier karena market share unit bisnis yang rendah masih bisa mendapatkan keuntungan yang besar, bila di pasarkan pada “niche market” • Tingkat perrumbuhan yang tinggi tidak selalu yang terbaik. • Matriks ini hanya memperhitungkan pesaing yang kuat dengan mengabaikan pesaing-pesaing kecil yang sedang tumbuh dengan cepat. • Market growth hanyalah salah satu saja dari faktor daya tarik industri (industry attractiveness) dan market share adalah juga salah satu dari posisi kompettif bisnis. 133 GE Multifactor Portfolio Matrix High Business Strengths Medium Low High Invest/Grow Medium Low 134 Selectivity /earnings Harvest /Divest GE/McKinsey Matrix & Arah Strategis 135 Memposisikan berbagai divisi organisasi dalam 9-sel berdasarkan analisa SWOT dengan weighted scores (dari matriks EFE and IFE). Strategi yang dapat ditempuh, adalah: Grow and build (divisi pada sel 1, 2 or 4): market penetration, market development, product development or backward, forward and horizontal integration. Hold and maintain (divisi pada sel 3, 5, 7): market penetration or product development. Harvest or divest (divisi pada cells 6, 8, 9): divest, liquidate, or retrench. GE Multifactor Portfolio Matrix Business Strengths High High Low Invest/Grow 1 Invest/Grow 2 Dominate/ 3 Strongly Selectively Delay/ (build) (build) divest Invest/Grow 4 Medium Selectively (build) Earn/ 5 Protect (hold) Harvest/ 6 divest Earn/ 7 Protect (hold) Harvest/ 8 divest Harvest/ 9 divest Low 136 Medium ADL Portfolio Matrix Industry Maturity (Attractiveness) Embrionic Dominant Invest Improve 137 Maintain Harvest Niche Selective Aging Hold Selective Tenable Weak Mature Consolidate Strong Favorable Growing Liquidate Divest Penggunaan ADL Matrix ADL Matrix adalah matriks yang dibuat oleh konsultan Arthur D. Little sebagai penyempurnaan dari GE/McKinsey Matrix Perbedaannya: Pada ADL Matrix di-plotkan posisi daya saing (competitive position) perusahaan terhadap tahaptahap siklus hidup (life cyclus dari produk, pasar, dan industri. Penggunaan ketiga matriks dalam proses portofolio bisnis barangkali akan memberikan hasil yang lebih baik. 138 Illustrasi: Analisa Portofolio Internasional Competitive Strengths High High Medium Low 139 Medium Low Dominate/ Divest/ Joint Venture Invest/Grow Selective Strategies Harvest/ Divest/ Combine/ License Country’s Attractiveness: Market size, Market rate of growth, Regulasi pemerintah, Faktor ekonomi, Politik, dll. Product’s Competitive Strength: Market share, Product fit, Contribution margin, Market support, dll. Formulation Framework TOWS Matrix SPACE Matrix Stage 2: The Matching Stage BCG Matrix IE Matrix Grand Strategy Matrix 140 INTERNAL EXTERNAL (IE) MATRIX • Matriks Internal-External adalah salah satu alat yang dapat digunakan untuk memposisikan perusahaan kedalam matriks yang terdiri atas 9 sel, untuk menyusun strategi perusahaan/grand strategy. • IE Matrix terdiri atas sumbu X yang menyatakan skor total dari IFE matrix (IFAS) dan sumbu Y yang menyatakan skor total EFE matrix (EFAS) • Arti posisi internal pada sumbu X dan posisi eksternal pada sumbu Y adalah sebagai berikut : POSISI PADA SUMBU X POSISI INTERNAL LEMAH POSISI INTERNAL RATA-RATA POSISI EXTERNAL RENDAH POSISI EXTERNAL SEDANG POSISI INTERNAL KUAT POSISI EXTERNAL TINGGI POSISI PADA SUMBU Y 141 9 SEL POSISI MATRIKS INTERNAL-EKSTERNAL POSISI I, II, IV • Posisi perusahaan yang menempati sel I, II & IV dapat digambarkan sebagai GROW & BUILD. Strategi yang cocok untuk masing-masing posisi sel ini adalah : Intensive (market penetration, market development & product development) atau integration (backward integration, forward integration, horizontal integration) POSISI III, V, VII • Posisi yang menempati sel III, V & VII dapat digambarkan sebagai HOLD & MAINTAIN. Strategi yang cocok untuk masing-masing posisi sel ini adalah : Market penetration & product development. POSISI VI, VIII, IX • 142 Posisi perusahaan yang menempati sel VI, VIII & IX dapat menggunakan strategi HARVEST or DIVESTITURE 9 SEL POSISI MATRIKS INTERNAL-EKSTERNAL SKOR TOTAL IFE/IFAS 4,0 KUAT 3,0 RATA-RATA 2,0 LEMAH 4,0 TINGGI I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX 3,0 SKOR TOTAL EFE/ EFAS RATA RATA 2,0 RENDAH 1,0 143 1,0 IE MATRIX : AMAZON The IFE Total Weighted Score High 3.0 to 3.99 Strong 3.0 to 4.0 I Average 2.0 to 2.99 II Weak 1.0 to 1.99 III 1 3 2 The EFE Total Weighted Score 144 Medium 2.0 to 2.99 IV V VI Low 1.0 to 1.99 VII VIII IX Segments 1. U. S. Books, Music-Dom 2. Early-Stage Businesses and Other 3. International Revenue $1,700 million 683 million EFE 2.5 3.5 IFE 1.9 2.5 381 million 3.6 2.5 Formulation Framework TOWS Matrix SPACE Matrix Stage 2: The Matching Stage BCG Matrix IE Matrix Grand Strategy Matrix 145 Grand Strategy Matrix • Popular tool for formulating alternative strategies • All organizations (or divisions) can be positioned in one of four quadrants • Based on two evaluative dimensions: Competitive position – Market growth – 146 RAPID MARKET GROWTH 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. WEAK COMPETITIVE POSITION 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 147 Quadrant II Market development Market penetration Product development Horizontal integration Divestiture Liquidation 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Quadrant III Retrenchment 1. Concentric diversification 2. Horizontal diversification 3. Conglomerate diversification 4. Liquidation SLOW MARKET Quadrant I Market development Market penetration Product development Forward integration Backward integration Horizontal integration Concentric diversification Quadrant IV Concentric diversification Horizontal diversification Conglomerate diversification Joint ventures GROWTH STRONG COMPETITIVE POSITION Grand Strategy Matrix Quadrant I Excellent strategic position • Concentration on current markets and products • Take risks aggressively when necessary • 148 Grand Strategy Matrix Quadrant II • Evaluate present approach seriously • How to change to improve competitiveness • Rapid market growth requires intensive strategy 149 Grand Strategy Matrix Quadrant III • • • • 150 Compete in slow-growth industries Weak competitive position Drastic changes quickly Cost and asset reduction indicated (retrenchment) Grand Strategy Matrix Quadrant IV Strong competitive position • Slow-growth industry • Diversification indicated to more promising growth areas • 151 Grand Strategy Matrix : Amazon RAPID MARKET GROWTH Quadrant II Quadrant I Amazon WEAK STRONG COMPETITIVE COMPETITIVE POSITION POSITION Quadrant III Quadrant IV SLOW MARKET GROWTH 152 Formulation Framework Stage 3: The Decision Stage 153 Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix (QSPM) QSPM Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix • 154 Only technique designed to determine the relative attractiveness of feasible alternative actions QSPM Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix • • • 155 Tool for objective evaluation of alternative strategies Based on identified external and internal crucial success factors Requires good intuitive judgment QSPM Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix 156 • List the firm’s key external opportunities & threats; list the firm’s key internal strengths and weaknesses • Assign weights to each external and internal critical success factor QSPM Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix 157 • Examine the Stage 2 (matching) matrices and identify alternative strategies that the organization should consider implementing • Determine the Attractiveness Scores (AS) QSPM Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix 158 • Compute the total Attractiveness Scores • Compute the Sum Total Attractiveness Score QSPM Strategic Alternatives Key External Factors Economy Political/Legal/Governmental Social/Cultural/Demographic/ Environmental Technological Competitive Key Internal Factors Management Marketing Finance/Accounting Production/Operations Research and Development Computer Information 159Systems Weight Strategy 1 Strategy 2 Strategy 3 QSPM Strategic Alternatives Key Internal Factors Strengths Customer satisfaction Copyright to One-click online shopping Humanitarian efforts Strong Research & Development Exclusive agreements with Internet sites (Associates) Ability to track customized interests through customized home page Formation of strategic alliances Agreement with AOL Weaknesses Accumulated deficits/Anticipates further losses Financial position Slowing growth, core business-U.S. Books, & Music Video Lawsuit with Barnes & Noble over patent to 1 click method Class action suits filed by stockholders Does not have a mission statement SUBTOTAL 160 Weight 0.10 0.08 0.03 0.09 0.01 0.02 Enter into strategic agreements w/physical retailers AS TAS 4 0.40 2 0.02 - Expand European presence through strategic alliances AS TAS 2 0.20 4 0.04 - 0.11 0.09 4 3 0.44 0.27 2 2 0.22 0.18 0.11 0.07 0.08 1 3 2 0.11 0.21 0.16 2 2 4 0.22 0.14 0.32 0.03 - - - - 0.04 0.05 1.00 4 - 0.16 1.77 3 - 0.12 1.44 QSPM Limitations: 161 • Requires intuitive judgments and educated assumptions • Only as good as the prerequisite inputs QSPM Positives: 162 • Sets of strategies examined simultaneously or sequentially • Requires the integration of pertinent external and internal factors in the decision-making process Cultural Aspects of Strategy Choice Culture: • 163 The set of shared values, beliefs, attitudes, customs, norms, personalities, heroes, and heroines that describe a firm Cultural Aspects of Strategy Choice Culture: • 164 Successful strategies depend on degree of support from a firm’s culture Politics of Strategy Choice Politics in organizations: • • • 165 Management hierarchy Career aspirations Allocation of scarce resources Politics of Strategy Choice Political tactics for strategists: • • • • • 166 Equifinality Satisfying Generalization Focus on Higher-Order Issues Provide Political Access on Important Issues Role of A Board of Directors Duties and Responsibilities: 1. 2. 3. 4. 167 Control and oversight over management Adherence to legal prescriptions Consideration of stakeholder interests Advancement of stockholders’ rights Discussion Nike vs Reebok Kijang vs Kuda Nokia vs Sony Ericson What type’s of strategies? Discussion Pepsi vs Coke Mc Donald vs KFC Who will be winner? This is the end of the PRESENTATION Strategy Analysis and Choice Ir. Erlinda Muslim, MEE Nip. 19601028 198811 2001