Executive Council Briefing Dr. C. Kirk Hadaway Dr. Matthew J. Price January 27, 2012 Parishes and Membership Episcopal Church Membership (Domestic Dioceses): 1951-2010 4,000,000 Year non-domestic dioceses removed and membership definition changed to active members. 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 Unadjusted Membership Adjusted Membership Episcopal Domestic Membership: 1991 – 2010 3,000,000 2,800,000 Active Baptized Members 2,600,000 2,400,000 2,200,000 2,000,000 1,800,000 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 199 199 199 199 199 199 199 199 199 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 201 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 Growth & Decline in Members Over Past 5 Years by Year 50% Percent of Congregations 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Declining 10%+ 2005 2006 Growing 10%+ 2007 2008 2009 2010 Episcopal Domestic Average Sunday Worship Attendance: 1991 – 2010 1,000,000 900,000 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Growth & Decline in Attendance Over Past 5 Years by Year 70% Declining 10%+ Growing 10%+ 57% 60% 50% 40% 39% 31% 30% 17% 20% 10% 0% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Change in Key Statistical Areas: 2002 – 2010 Broader Measures of Church Vitality To get a broad-based sense of congregational vitality, we have used a number of measurements — including church school enrollment, marriages, funerals, child baptisms, adult baptisms, and confirmations. These speak to a parish’s integration in the community and the possibility for future growth • • • • • • Change in church school enrollment: -33% Change in number of marriages performed: -41% Change in number of burials/funerals: -21% Change in the number of child baptisms: -36% Change in the number of adult baptisms: -40% Change in the number of confirmations: -32% While these numbers may not capture the totality of what is happening in the Church, we do not have a measure that is moving in a positive direction Membership Trends Across Denominations Yearly Percent Change in Denominational Membership: 1985-2009 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% -0.50% -1.00% -1.50% -2.00% -2.50% -3.00% 2009 2007 Southern B aptists 2005 2003 Ot her Mainline Protestant 2001 1999 Unit ed Met hodist 1997 1995 1993 1991 1989 1987 1985 Episcopal Episcopal Church Average Sunday Attendance (1995 – 2000) Source: Yearly Episcopal Church Parochial Reports Episcopal Church Average Sunday Attendance (2005 – 2009) Source: Yearly Episcopal Church Parochial Reports Current Proportion of Episcopal Congregations and Average Sunday Attendance by Region 50% 47% 45% 38% 40% 35% 28% 30% 25% 24% 19% 20% 15% 14% 15% 16% 10% 5% 0% Northeast Midwest % Of Total ASA South % of Total Parishes West Region and Growth Percent of congregations growing 50% 40% 40% 30% 25% 20% 10% 0% Sunbelt Non-Sunbelt Region of United States Congregations: Regional Openings and Closings There have been more church closings in the past 10 years than church openings: 513 closings, 210 openings • For every parish that has opened in the past 10 years, 2.5 parishes have closed Age Structure of the USA and TEC: 2010 35% 30% 30% 28% 26% 25% 22% 20% 19% 20% 18% 15% 15% 13% 10% 10% 5% 0% Children & Youth Young Adults (20-34) Median Adults (35-49) Age Group Middle Age (50-64) Seniors (65+) USA TEC Congregations with Many Younger Members are More Likely to Grow TEC Domestic Dioceses: Racial/Ethnic Membership Language Used in Worship Service and Growth Percent of congregations growing 70% 61% 60% 50% 40% 28% 30% 20% 10% 0% Another Language or Bi-lingual English Only Services in a Language Other Than English or Biligual Percent Change in ASA and Membership: 2004 – 2010 Net Change in ASA and Membership: 2004 – 2010 Demographics on our side: Immigrants in the U.S. from major Anglican sending countries, 1980-2009: Are we missing an opportunity? Americas: Bahamas, Barbados, Dominica, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad & Tobago, Belize, Guyana Oceania: Australia, New Zealand, Fiji Africa: South Africa, Ghana, Liberia, Nigeria, Sierra Leone Clergy Clergy: Key Statistics (2011) Clergy (Not Retired): • Priests: 9,520 • – Priests Employed in the Church: 6,113 Deacons: Retired Clergy: Total: 2,534 5,952 ______ 18,006 Average Age of Non-retired Priests: Average Age of Priests at Ordination: Gender – active priests: • Male: • Female: 56 46 54% 46% Clergy Ordained to the Diaconate (1990 – 2010) Clergy Ordained to the Priesthood (1990 – 2010) Clergy Taking Retirement (1990 – 2010) Ordinations vs. Retirements (1990 – 2010) Employed Clergy vs. Clergy Not Employed in TEC (Clergy ordained within the last 5 years) Clergy Employed in TEC Age: Gender: 1,059 (70%) 457 (30%) 34 or younger 81% 19% 35 to 50 76% 24% 51 to 64 61% 39% 65 or older 31% 69% Male 67% 33% Female 69% 31% 80% 20% Non-Episcopal 73% 27% Northeast 50% 50% Midwest 45% 55% South 61% 39% West 48% 52% Seminary: Episcopal Region: Clergy Not Employed in TEC Changes in the Number of Clergy 1972 - 2010 Overall Change in the Number of Clergy • The number of clergy in 2002 was 93% of the number of clergy in 1972 • The number of clergy in 2010 was 80% of the number of clergy in 1972 Regional Differences in Change in the Number of Clergy Proportional Change in the Number of Clergy 1972 - 2010 A bar at the 100% line shows no change in the number of clergy since 1972. Bold 100% line represents the same number of clergy in 2002 or 2010 as in 1972. Geographical distribution of clergy in 1972 Geographical distribution of clergy in 2010 Changes in Multi-staff Congregations (2004 to 2011) Priests in Domestic Congregations from 2010 Parochial Report One Full Time Priest with Part Time or NonStipendiary 11.1% Multiple Full Time Priests 8.9% No Called or Assigned Priest 11.4% Solo Part Time or Non-Stipendiary Priest 28.3% Solo Full Time Priest 35.6% Multiple Part Time or NonStipendiary Priests 4.8% Finances Participation & Giving Trends For The Episcopal Church: 2000-2010 (Domestic Dioceses) 2,500,000 $1,600,000,000 Baptized Members Worship Attendance Plate/Pledge $1,400,000,000 $1,300,000,000 2,000,000 $1,200,000,000 $1,100,000,000 $1,000,000,000 1,500,000 $900,000,000 $800,000,000 $700,000,000 1,000,000 $600,000,000 $500,000,000 $400,000,000 500,000 $300,000,000 $200,000,000 $100,000,000 0 $2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Plate & Pledge Income Members/Average Sunday Attendance $1,500,000,000 Plate and Pledge Giving: 1991 – 2010 $1,600,000 ,00 0 $1,400,000 ,00 0 $1,200,000 ,00 0 $1,000,000 ,00 0 $800,000 ,000 $600,000 ,000 $400,000 ,000 $200,000 ,000 $0 PL & PL Inf lati on Adju sted PL & PL Average Pledge: 1991 – 2009 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $0 09 20 08 20 07 20 06 20 05 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 20 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19 94 19 93 19 92 19 91 19 Average Pledge Ave Pledge 2009 Dollars Congregations in Financial Stress 2000-2010: USA & TEC Data from the Episcopal FACT Survey 80% 72% 68% 70% 67% 58% 60% 52% 50% 40% 44% 44% 34% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2000 2005 US Denomenations 2008 TEC 2010 Diocesan Income From Parishes: 2002 – 2010 $185,000,000 $180,000,000 $175,000,000 $170,000,000 $165,000,000 $160,000,000 $155,000,000 $150,000,000 $145,000,000 $140,000,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010