EU Market Situation for Eggs Management Committee 13 December

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EU Market Situation for
Eggs and Poultry
Management Committee
13 December 2012
Evolution of the weekly EU
average price for Broiler
€uro/ 100kg
200
190
180
170
160
150
1
4
Avg 07 - 11
7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
2009
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2010
Man Com
2011
2012
13 December 2012
19.0%
Percentual change of Broiler prices
November 2012
14.0%
- 1 year
- 1 month
9.0%
4.0%
-1.0%
-6.0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR
IE
IT
CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
SK
SF
SV UK
13 December 2012
EU
Price of Basic Ingredients 2010 - 2012
Soft wheat (EU)
Barley (EU)
Maïs (EU)
450
Soja (CAF)
Hulls (EU)
Euro / tonne
Manioc (CAF)
C.G.F. (CAF)
350
250
150
50
Jan 10
April
Juil
Oct
Jan-11
April
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Juil
Oct
Jan-12
Man Com
April
Juil
13 December 2012
Oct
Jan-13
Futures for Feed w heat EU (Euronext)
(Nearby = 2011 & 2012)
€uro/ Tonn
210
180
Delivery:
150
01 Nearby
2013 Jan
2013 Mar
2013 Nov
120
| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec Jan
| 2012| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
13 December 2012
Futures for Maize EU (Euronext )
(Nearby = 2011 - 2012)
260
240
€/Tonn
220
Delivery:
200
01 Nearby
2013 Mar
180
2013 Nov
2014 Jan
160
| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | DecJan
| 2012
| Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
13 December 2012
Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel
(nearby = 2011 & 2012)
1 700
De live ry:
1 600
01 Nearby
2013 Mar
2013 Jul
1 500
2013 Nov
1 4 00
1 300
1 200
1 100
| July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov . | Dec. J| an 2012| Feb | Mch | Apr | May |
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Jun
| July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov . | Dec. |
Man Com
13 December 2012
Price development of Compound feed for Broilers,
a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price
400
350
Euro/ T (feed)
Euro/ 100kg (Broiler)
300
250
200
margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)
Cereal-mix
Compound feed
Broiler
Avg. Margin 200 7 - 2011
150
100
50
0
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
2013
NB. Comp. Feed 2012 =Forecast as from November
Cereal mix and Poultry 2012 = Forecast as from December
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
13 December 2012
|
Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)
compared to the baseline trend
(baseline = monthly avg 2006 - 2009)
500 000
400 000
300 000
200 000
100 000
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2009
|
2010
Man Com
|
2011
|
2012
13 December 2012
|
Forecast and Production of Broilers.
In Tonn
750
600.000
600
450.000
450
300.000
300
150.000
150
0
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
Forecast
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
Realised Po ultry slaug hter
Man Com
13 December 2012
Realised slaughter
in 1000 T
750.000
Eurofarm Structure Survey 2010
Change in Broilers and Holdings with Broilers
per Category in the EU (BE no data 2010)
90,0%
60,0%
30,0%
change 2010/2007:
Broilers:
+10,7%
Holdings: - 32,5%
0,0%
-30,0%
1-99
100-2999
% of animals i n Category
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
3000-9999
> 10000
% change per category
Man Com
13 December 2012
Import of Poultry meat from selected origins
2008
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
2011
%
tonnes
Jan-Oct 12
%
tonnes
%
Compared
to Jan-Oct 11
Brazil
679 469 76.3% 659 368 75.3% 581 391 72.4% 587 404 71.0% 465 998 67.6%
- 6%
Thailand
146 882 16.5% 141 524 16.2% 149 682 18.6% 154 229 18.6% 150 774 21.9%
+ 16%
Chile
34 718
3.9%
39 022
4.5%
34 276
4.3%
44 306
5.4%
36 766
5.3%
+ 1%
China
15
0.0%
5 690
0.6%
9 997
1.2%
13 735
1.7%
12 607
1.8%
+ 11%
20 416
2.3%
20 576
2.3%
15 760
2.0%
15 630
1.9%
11 136
1.6%
- 13%
Israel
6 252
0.7%
5 470
0.6%
7 249
0.9%
7 084
0.9%
4 320
0.6%
- 26%
Croatia
1 884
0.2%
2 295
0.3%
2 650
0.3%
2 714
0.3%
2 372
0.3%
+ 6%
USA
393
0.0%
386
0.0%
439
0.1%
99
0.0%
304
0.0%
+ 246%
Uruguay
109
0.0%
98
0.0%
2
0.0%
7
0.0%
36
0.0%
+ 442%
Argentina
EXTRA EU 25/27
% change
891 087
875 886
803 120
827 420
688 985
- 2%
- 8%
+ 3%
- 0.9%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
13 December 2012
Imports of selected Poultry products
100.000
90.000
80.000
60.000
50.000
40.000
30.000
20.000
10.000
0
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
2007
|
Jan
08
FROZEN
2008
|
Jan
09
2009
PREPARED
|
Jan
10
2010
SALTED
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
Jan
11
2011
|
Jan
12
OTHERS
Man Com
13 December 2012
in Tonnes cwe
70.000
EU Poultry meat Import
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU
(1000 EUR)
IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU
(Tonnes cwe)
800 000
694 986
656 941
1 819 676
688 985
700 000
5 911
1 823 095
1 800 000
1 596 842
1 600 000
600 000
130 507
124 398
150 774
562 264
300 000
494 139
473 308
465 998
Tonnes cw
500 000
400 000
200 000
624 519
497 259
Brazil
Thailand
Israel
Chile
Jan-Oct 12
China
Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
1 200 000
800 000
1 055 353
936 652
983 458
600 000
400 000
200 000
0
Jan-Oct 11
1 400 000
1 000 000
100 000
Jan-Oct 10
2 000 000
0
Jan-Oct 10
Brazil
Thailand
Jan-Oct 11
Jan-Oct 12
Israel
China
Man Com
Chile
Other destinations
13 December 2012
1000
EUR
Export of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations
2008
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
2011
%
tonnes
Compared
Jan-Oct 12
%
tonnes
%
to Jan-Oct 11
Saudi Arabia
95 132
9.7%
97 485
9.6%
118 020
9.3%
151 269 10.7%
122 916 10.4%
Hong Kong
58 669
6.0%
88 357
8.7%
151 559 12.0%
188 345 13.3%
103 096
8.7%
- 37%
Benin
83 405
8.5%
84 912
8.4%
115 065
9.1%
126 022
8.9%
113 211
9.6%
+ 11%
6 295
0.6%
7 938
0.8%
22 007
1.7%
94 163
6.7%
113 289
9.6%
+ 56%
245 478 19.4%
115 001
8.1%
91 992
7.8%
- 4%
South Africa
Russia
230 113 23.4%
Ukraine
112 444 11.4%
227 555 22.4%
- 2%
89 314
8.8%
86 007
6.8%
81 736
5.8%
85 813
7.3%
+ 32%
Ghana
31 530
3.2%
28 694
2.8%
41 069
3.2%
68 896
4.9%
58 420
5.0%
+ 2%
Yemen
26 673
2.7%
36 331
3.6%
39 632
3.1%
37 970
2.7%
28 297
2.4%
- 7%
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 21 386
2.2%
20 903
2.1%
27 749
2.2%
29 950
2.1%
25 442
2.2%
+ 2%
Switzerland
28 200
2.9%
28 111
2.8%
29 804
2.4%
29 330
2.1%
24 076
2.0%
+ 0%
Malaysia
17 888
1.8%
22 676
2.2%
25 899
2.0%
20 965
1.5%
20 200
1.7%
+ 31%
Vietnam
39 488
4.0%
39 971
3.9%
31 674
2.5%
29 086
2.1%
17 738
1.5%
- 30%
Extra-EU27
% change
982 286
1 015 784
1 265 183
1 411 142
1 180 075
+ 3%
+ 25%
+ 12%
+ 1.3%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
13 December 2012
Exports of selected Poultry products
140.000
120.000
100.000
80.000
60.000
40.000
20.000
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
2007
|
Jan
08
FROZE N
2008
|
Jan
09
2009
|
Jan
10
PREPARED
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2010
FRESH
|
Jan
11
2011
|
Jan
12
0
OTHER S
Man Com
13 December 2012
in
Tonnes
cwe
EU Poultry meat Export
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Tonnes cwe)
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1000 EUR)
1 675 316
1 400 000
1 180 075
1 503 240
1 020 632
1 400 000
1 269 893
1 000 000
635 571
489 215
800 000
600 000
213 756
95 878
102 433
91 992
113 211
92 943
125 913
122 916
117 792
162 890
Jan-Oct 10
Jan-Oct 11
South Africa
Russia
113 289
103 096
1 200 000
947 801
858 907
Tonnes cw
605 240
Hong Kong
Benin
1 600 000
1 200 000
1 000 000
707 936
800 000
118 440
124 278
400 000
141 420
600 000
153 399
189 753
181 805
400 000
200 000
101 715
0
109 276
143 747
128 775
122 115
Jan-Oct 10
Jan-Oct 11
Jan-Oct 12
Jan-Oct 12
Saudi Arabia
Other destinations *
Hong Kong
Benin
* countries trading less than 86 000 Tons
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
South Africa
Russia
1000 EUR
1 164 777
1 800 000
200 000
0
Saudi Arabia
Other destinations *
* countries trading less than 108 000 ('000 EUR)
Man Com
13 December 2012
Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazil
in €uro/ 100kg
20 0.00
17 5.00
15 0.00
12 5.00
10 0.00
75 .00
50 .00
08
|
09
EU broiler
|
10
US broi l er €uro
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
11
|
12
BR Broi l €uro/ (Ave worl d)
Man Com
13 December 2012
|
EU Poultry meat Trade Balance
1 600
IMPORTS
EXPORTS
1 411
1 400
1 275
1 153
1 180
1 200
1 114
1 063 1 046
1 017
997
997
982
858867
891
1 016
1 000
876
803
794
827
800
689
676
614
616
600
480
371
302
277
292
400
310
in 1000 Tonnes cwe
1 101 1 116
1 265
200
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2006
2007
2008
2009
Man Com
2010
2011
JanOct 12
0
13 December 2012
2001
2002
2003
2004
EU Market Situation for Eggs
2005
2006

2009
Management Committee
2010
2007
2008
13 December 2012
2011
2012
Evolution of the weekly EU
average price for Eggs for Consumption
185
€uro/ 100kg
165
145
125
105
85
1
4
7
Avg 07 - 11
10
13
16
19
2009
22
25
28
31
34
37
2010avg
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
40
2011
43
46
49
52
2012
13 December 2012
Percentual change of Egg prices
November 2012
55.0%
- 1 year
- 1 month
45.0%
35.0%
25.0%
15.0%
5.0%
-5.0%
-15.0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE
IT
CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
SI
SK
SF
SV UK
13 December 2012
EU
Prices for Eggs for consumption and Eggs for breaking
2011 - 2012
200
€uro/ 100kg
160
120
80
40
0
1
4
7
10
13
16
19
22
25
28
31
34
37
40
43
46
49
52
3
6
9
12
15
18
21
24
27
30
33
36
39
42
45
130 % increase for Eggs for Breaking from week 1 2011 to week 48 2012
56,1% increase for Eggs for Consumption from week 1 2011 to week 48 2012
Yellow difference is barn high minus enriched cage low,
EU Low
enr. cages high
enriched cage
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Eggs for Consumption
Man Com
US High breaking
13 December 2012
48
51
Margin betw een Feed cost and Egg price in
Egg production
marge
feed
180
egg
Avg Margin
Euro/ 100kg
150
120
90
60
30
0
0 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
ja fe mr ap ma jn jl au se oc no de
Man Com
13 December 2012
Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces)
compared to the baseline trend
(baseline= monthly avg 2006 - 2009)
37 500
30 000
22 500
15 000
7 500
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2009
|
2010
Man Com
|
2011
|
2012
13 December 2012
|
Production forecast of
eggs in shell (Mio p).
compared to the price development
8 500
160
7 000
80
5 500
40
4 000
0
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2009
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
2010
|
Man Com
2011
|
2012
|
13 December 2012
Price €uro/100kg
120
Eurofarm Structure Survey 2010
Change in Laying Hens and Holdings with Laying Hens
per Category in the EU (BE no data 2010)
75,0%
50,0%
Change 2010/2007:
layers:
+ 1,0%
Holdings: - 30,4%
25,0%
0,0%
-25,0%
1-50
51-349
% of animals in category
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
350-9999
> 10000
% change per category
Man Com
13 December 2012
Dispersion of Laying Hens by size-class (in 1000 heads)
2007 & 2010 Eurofarm structure survey
EU 26 (BE no data 2010)
70.000
>350
60.000
51-349
1-50
50.000
40.000
30.000
20.000
10.000
BE
BG
CZ
DK
DE
EE
EI
EL
ES
FR
IT
KY
LV
LT
LU
HU
MT
NL
ÖS
PL
PT
RO
SI
SK
SF
SE
UK
0
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
13 December 2012
EU Imports of Eggs:
Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs
2008
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
2011
%
tonnes
Jan-Oct 12
%
tonnes
%
Compared
to Jan-Oct 11
USA
4 245 18.6%
11 165 36.7%
13 439 42.9%
5 417 28.4%
12 620 40.9%
+ 139%
Argentina
6 164 27.0%
7 899 26.0%
7 888 25.2%
7 898 41.5%
9 223 29.9%
+ 37%
Mexico
2 002
8.8%
1 893
6.2%
1 425
4.5%
556
2.9%
1 018
3.3%
+ 336%
Albania
2 209
9.7%
1 659
5.5%
3 208 10.2%
1 303
6.8%
1 874
6.1%
+ 158%
India
6 593 28.9%
5 776 19.0%
3 211 10.2%
1 505
7.9%
2 407
7.8%
+ 71%
+ 127%
Israel
646
2.8%
711
2.3%
941
3.0%
547
2.9%
1 243
4.0%
Canada
1
0.0%
33
0.1%
2
0.0%
0
0.0%
67
0.2%
Brazil
64
0.3%
67
0.2%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
EXTRA EU 25/27
% change
22 850
30 409
31 356
19 045
30 832
+ 33%
+ 3%
- 39%
+ 83.6%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
13 December 2012
EU Egg Imports
Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs
(Tonnes eggs equiv)
30 832
29 279
4 641
4 216
35 000
30 000
25 000
20 000
16 796
6 636
Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs
(1000 EUR)
37 249
40 000
4 048
35 000
30 000
25 354
2 826
19 403
7 671
20 000
9 223
2 631
15 000
15 000
5 265
5 030
10 000
6 753
12 620
12 589
25 000
5 000
20 262
12 207
10 096
10 000
5 000
5 282
0
Jan-Oct 10
USA
India
Albania
Jan-Oct 11
Jan-Oct 12
Argentina
Canada
Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
0
Jan-Oct 10
USA
India
Albania
Man Com
Jan-Oct 11
Jan-Oct 12
Argentina
Canada
Other destinations
13 December 2012
EU-27 Imports of selected EGGS products
(including Hatching eggs)
8.000
in Tonnes egg
equiv.
7.000
6.000
5.000
4.000
3.000
2.000
1.000
0
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
FRESH
2007
|
Jan
08
2008
Album in
|
Jan
09
2009
|
Jan
10
2010
Not I n Shell
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
Jan
11
2011
Yolk
Man Com
|
Jan
12
Hachi ng
13 December 2012
EU Exports of Eggs:
Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs
2008
tonnes
2009
%
tonnes
2010
%
tonnes
2011
%
tonnes
Compared
Jan-Oct 12
%
tonnes
%
to Jan-Oct 11
Japan
62 254
33%
47 238
31%
52 923
29%
65 982
30%
56 489
36%
- 2%
Sw itzerland
44 229
24%
43 499
29%
45 107
25%
42 152
19%
34 996
22%
- 1%
Russia
7 113
4%
4 360
3%
5 293
3%
4 947
2%
5 053
3%
+ 31%
Angola
4 049
2%
4 019
3%
10 227
6%
17 498
8%
14 684
9%
- 6%
Libya
0
0%
40
0%
201
0%
226
0%
322
0%
+ 163%
Thailand
6 190
3%
4 068
3%
6 180
3%
7 254
3%
5 709
4%
- 6%
Ukraine
7 250
4%
4 304
3%
5 693
3%
4 422
2%
3 432
2%
- 8%
Taiw an
4 624
2%
2 868
2%
7 145
4%
7 941
4%
4 240
3%
- 38%
South Korea
1 859
1%
1 948
1%
2 495
1%
4 379
2%
2 778
2%
- 20%
U.A.Emirates
9 436
5%
2 664
2%
5 864
3%
8 262
4%
1 582
1%
- 78%
Norw ay
1 805
1%
963
1%
570
0%
1 300
1%
882
1%
- 15%
Israel
6 002
3%
3 398
2%
1 308
1%
2 729
1%
997
1%
- 57%
EXTRA EU 25/27
% change
187 209
150 173
181 682
216 447
157 472
- 20%
+ 21%
+ 19%
- 15.4%
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Man Com
13 December 2012
EU Egg Exports
Total EU Export of Eggs
not incl. hatching eggs (1000 EUR)
Total EU Export of Eggs
not incl. hatching eggs (T. eggs equiv.)
186 239
200 000
180 000
144 537
160 000
72 779
140 000
120 000
50 565
120 000
52 652
5 145
100 000
80 000
34 996
37 664
160 000
56 994
70 111
140 000
45 038
35 212
200 000
180 000
157 472
143 707
186 104
175 776
100 000
80 000
53 272
60 000
53 952
47 079
60 000
40 000
40 000
57 594
42 722
56 489
29 989
38 621
Jan-Oct 10
Jan-Oct 11
20 000
49 394
20 000
0
0
Jan-Oct 10
Japan
Jan-Oct 11
Switzerland
Russia
Jan-Oct 12
Angola
Iraq
Other destinations
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
Japan
Switzerland
Man Com
Russia
Jan-Oct 12
Angola
Iraq
Other destinations
13 December 2012
EU-27 Exports of selected EGGS products
(including Hatching eggs)
30 000
in Tonnes egg equiv.
25 000
20 000
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
|
Jan
06
2006
|
Jan
07
2007
|
Jan
08
2008
|
Jan
09
2009
|
Jan
10
2010
EU market
for Eggs Not
and In
Poultry
FRESH situation
Albumin
Shell
|
Jan
11
2011
Man
YolkCom
|
Jan
12
13 December
Haching
2012
EU Egg Trade Balance
(not including Hatching eggs)
275
in 1000 Tonnes
EXPORTS
IMPORTS
250
231
225
216
209
201
205
198
191
186
198
202
200
187
182
175
167
164
157
150
144
150
142
125
100
69
75
39
18
23
10
30
27
18
17
25
45
50
30
30
31
23
16
31
19
25
0
1995
1996
1997
1998 1999 2000
2001
2002
2003 2004
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
2005
2006
2007 2008
Man Com
2009
2010
2011
JanOct
12
13 December 2012
Egg prices the EU, USAand Brazil
in €uro/ 100kg
20 0,00
17 5,00
15 0,00
12 5,00
10 0,00
75 ,00
50 ,00
08
|
09
EU egg
|
10
|
11
US egg €uro
EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry
|
12
BR Egg €uro (Ave World)
Man Com
13 December 2012
|
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