11 CHAPTER DYNAMIC P OWERP OINT™ S LIDES BY S OLINA L INDAHL Costs and Profit Maximization Under Competition 1 CHAPTER OUTLINE What Price to Set? What Quantity to Produce? Profits and the Average Cost Curve Entry, Exit, and Shutdown Decisions Entry, Exit, and Industry Supply Curves For applications, click here To Try it! questions 2 Food for Thought…. Some good blogs and other sites to get the juices flowing: 3 The Big Questions How do firms behave? The assumption: Profit is the main motivation for firms’ actions. How do firms maximize profit? By controlling their variables: Price (if possible) Quantity Cost Some firms have more control over prices than others. BACK TO Competitive Firms Let’s focus on one type of firm: the Competitive Firm Characteristics: The product is similar across sellers There are many buyers and sellers, each small relative to the total market Or There are many potential sellers BACK TO Competitive Markets Defined • A Competitive Market operates under the following conditions: There are many buyers and sellers; Goods produced are essentially the same; There are little or no barriers to entry and exit. • These conditions imply that no single buyer or seller has any influence on the market price and that all firms must sell their output at the same market price. • Real world competitive markets: mostly agricultural or commodity markets BACK TO Competitive Markets Defined • Firm’s must take the market price, have no influence over price • A price-taking firm’s actions, by definition, has a negligible effect on market prices • This means that a firm that sets its price above the market price will sell zero quantity • A firm that sets it price below market price is denying itself revenues/profits (an opportunity cost) for no gain • A competitive firm therefore faces a horizontal (perfectly elastic) demand curve for its products • However, the market demand curve still slopes downward BACK TO What Price to Set? Competitive firms have no price control: The market determines each firm’s price… The Market for Oil Price Price The Demand for Your Oil Market Supply Demand for Your Oil $50 Market Demand 82,000,000 Quantity (barrels) The demand for your oil is perfectly elastic Quantity (barrels) BACK TO Try it! If you were a wheat farmer, what would happen if you set your price above the other 1,000 farmers’ wheat prices? Why wouldn’t you set your price below the market price? What kind (slope) of demand curve does this firm face? How can a firm that produces oil face a very elastic demand curve when the demand for oil is inelastic? To next Try it! Revenues and Profits Defined • Total Revenue = P * Q = Price * Quantity sold • We assume that the firm’s goal is to maximize profit. • Economic profit is defined as: Profit = Total revenue – Total cost BACK TO Economic Costs Defined • • • • • • Firms incur costs in the production process Land, labor, capital costs Accounting costs versus economic costs Accounting costs do not include opportunity costs Costs can be defined as either explicit and implicit Economic costs are what matter most • • • Accounting costs = explicit costs Economic costs = explicit + implicit costs Difference is opportunity costs BACK TO Explicit vs Implicit Costs • Explicit costs – require an outlay of money, e.g. paying wages to workers • Implicit costs – do not require a cash outlay, example) the opportunity cost of the owner’s time • Opportunity Costs The cost of something is what you give up to get it. • This is true whether the costs are implicit or explicit. Both matter for firms’ decisions. BACK TO Explicit vs Implicit Costs Example: You need $100,000 to start your business. The interest rate is 5%. • Case 1: borrow $100,000 explicit cost = $5000 interest on loan • Case 2: use $40,000 of your savings, borrow the other $60,000 explicit cost = $3000 (5%) interest on the loan implicit cost = $2000 (5%) foregone interest you could have earned on your $40,000. • In both cases, total (exp + imp) costs are $5000. BACK TO Explicit vs Implicit Costs Example: Assume the firm’s revenues are $10,000 What are the firm’s accounting and economic profits? Accounting profits (explicit costs only): Case 1: $10,000 - $5,000 = $5,000 profit Case 2: $10,000 - $3,000 = $7,000 Economic profits (expl + impl costs): Case 1: $10,000 - $5,000 = $5,000 profit Case 2: $10,000 - $5,000 = $5,000 Accounting profits do not reflect implicit costs or opportunity costs BACK TO Economic versus Accounting Profits BACK TO Costs of Production • Costs of production may be divided into two groups: Fixed Costs Variable Costs • Economists pay very close attention to these concepts in cost analysis • A firm’s accounting data is very important in this regard, being classified into fixed and variable costs • Production costs made “at the margin” and sunk costs (fixed costs) are ignored BACK TO Costs of Production • Total Costs can be broken down between fixed costs and variable costs: TC = FC + VC Fixed costs are those costs incurred when output (Q) is zero • Consists of factors of production that are fixed for the short run, i.e. land, buildings, machinery, insurance, etc • Fixed costs do not vary with output • The firm faces fixed costs no matter what Variable costs are those costs that vary with output (Q) • Labor costs, materials costs, energy costs, etc • Variable costs equal zero when output is zero • As output increases, variable costs increase BACK TO Costs of Production • Example: Airline Costs • What is the airline’s product (Q)? Passenger miles Note: Revenues = Price * Q • Fixed costs – airplanes, buildings, maintenance facilities, land, insurance, etc • Variable costs - aviation fuel, pilot costs, other expenses related to actually flying the planes, producing passenger miles To spread fixed costs, must keep airplanes in the air as much as possible (Southwest) BACK TO Costs of Production • Transform costs into average cost per Q: TC = FC + VC becomes TC/Q = FC/Q + VC/Q yields ATC = AFC + AVC where ATC = TC/Q AFC = FC/Q AVC = VC/Q Note that Cowan/Tabarrok text labels ATC as AC • The average cost format allows a much easier to interpret graphical representation of a firm’s cost structure and the profit maximization conditions BACK TO Costs of Production BACK TO Average Fixed Cost BACK TO Average Variable Cost BACK TO Average Total Cost BACK TO Average Total Cost BACK TO Marginal Cost • Marginal Cost (MC) is the increase in Total Cost from producing one more unit: ∆TC MC = ∆Q • Where ∆ means the difference or “change in” • MC = (Change in TC)/(Change in output) • i.e. [(TC @ Q1000) – (TC @ Q999)]/(1000-999) BACK TO Marginal Cost BACK TO Marginal Cost • Why does marginal cost rise so rapidly at higher levels of output? • Due to decreasing “marginal product” as per the production function (not covered in this text) • Marginal product (MP) is covered in Chapter 14 • Suffice to say, that as production increases, each additional unit of input causes output to rise at a decreasing rate (MP could be zero at some point) • i.e. while input costs rise, less output results • This causes the MC of an additional unit of output to eventually rise BACK TO Costs of Production BACK TO Profits Profits and losses are a necessary and integral part of a market economy Can be thought of as a residual against revenues once all costs (including opportunity costs) are paid Profits are returns to equity owners of a firm Profits are viewed as “evil” by many, mostly economically illiterate people Yet, profits/losses exist in any type of economy, from Cuba to N. Korea to Singapore to England to Russia, whether they realize it or not Profits and losses are absolutely necessary for an economy to be efficient BACK TO Profits Profits are signals to entrepreneurs or owners as to the viability of their investments and their skill as owners/managers What if “too much “ profit is being earned? Competition, if allowed, will reduce the excess to “normal” levels Early economists, not just Karl Marx, thought that all profits should go to labor (“Labor Theory of Value”), not the owners of capital, hence Marx coined the term Capitalism BACK TO Profits Profits indicate a willingness of consumers to pay a price higher than the (opportunity) costs incurred by producers Losses indicate that producers should allocate their resources elsewhere in hopes of receiving revenues that will cover their costs (including opportunity costs) In a market system, profits are the signal to producers or new firms to increase output to gain economic returns In competitive markets, higher than normal profit levels will attract new firms, eventually causing prices and revenues to fall BACK TO Profits Losses are equally important signals, telling firms/entrepreneurs that society does not value their product sufficiently to cover the opportunity costs of production Firms must be allowed to fail in order to “educate” themselves and the market, so as to allocate scarce resources to their highest valued use If not, overall economic efficiency is decreased and society becomes poorer as a result Implication: wherever possible, promote competitive markets rather than enacting “windfall” profit taxes or government regulation No surprise - business owners hate competition BACK TO Maximizing Profit Firms look for ways to maximize profit Profit = p = Total Revenue – Total Cost Profit is calculated as the difference between total revenue and total cost. Profit = Total Revenue – Total Cost = TR – TC Total Revenue is price times quantity sold: TR = P x Q. Total Cost is the cost of producing a given quantity of output. Remember ATC = TC/Q, so TC = ATC * Q BACK TO Maximizing Profit Substituting: Profit = (P * Q) – (ATC * Q) rearranging terms yields: Profit = Q * (P – ATC) most useful form of profit equation When P >ATC profits are positive when P < ATC losses occur (profits < 0) and if P = ATC profits are zero Since a firm in a competitive market must sell its output at the market price, profit maximization depends only on the firm’s output decision BACK TO The Profit-Maximizing Quantity Each time the firm produces another unit there are extra costs and extra revenues. Profit-maximization is about comparing the extra revenues to the extra costs at the margin. Marginal Revenue (MR) = the change in total revenue from selling an additional unit of output. Marginal Cost (MC) = the change in total cost from producing an additional unit of output. BACK TO The Profit-Maximizing Quantity What quantity maximizes p? p is maximized by producing where MR = MC. Why? Because if MR > MC, producing more will add to your profit. And if MR < MC, producing less will add to your profit. Since MR = P for competitive firms, the profitmaximizing rule becomes produce where P = MC. BACK TO The Shape of MR and MC MC risesMR with because gets more costly we to produce each is production constant because no itmatter how much sell, the next additional e.g. more equipment, more maintenance, etc. unitunit… will always sell for the market price. Profit is Maximized Where P = MC Price 150 MC 100 50 MR = P Quantity 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 BACK TO Maximizing Profit • To maximize profit a competitive firm will expand production until the revenue from an additional sale equals the cost of an additional sale. If marginal revenue is greater than marginal cost (MR > MC), then an additional unit of output increases revenues more than costs leading to greater profit. If marginal revenue is less than marginal cost (MR < MC), then an additional unit of output increases costs more than revenues leading to less profit. So, profit is maximized at a level of output where MR = MC. If MC > MR (P) then reduce Q to increase profits If MR (P) > MC then increase Q to increase profits BACK TO If Market Price Changes, So Does ProfitMaximizing Quantity Price MC $100 MR = P $50 MR = P Quantity 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 BACK TO Profits and the Average Cost Curve We now know how to find the profitmaximizing quantity, now it’s time to ask: What is the size of the profit? Average Cost of Production = the total cost of producing Q units of output divided by Q AC Total Cost Q Fixed Cost Variable Cost Q BACK TO Profits and the Average Cost Curve Quantity MR = Price 0 $0 1 Change in Profit Average Cost TC Profit MC 0 30 -$30 0 $0 0 $50 50 34 $16 4 $46 34.0 2 $50 100 40 $60 6 $44 20.0 3 $50 150 51 $99 11 $39 17.0 4 $50 200 68 $132 17 $33 17.0 5 $50 250 91 $159 23 $27 18.2 6 $50 300 120 $180 29 $21 20.0 7 $50 350 156 $194 36 $14 22.29 8 $50 400 206 $194 50 $0 25.75 9 10 TR Maximum profit is here $50 450 296 $154 90 -$40 32.89 $50 500 420 $80 124 -$74 42.0 41 BACK TO Calculating Profits Since AC = (TC/Q) we can rearrange to find TC = AC x Q We know that p = TR – TC, and TR = (P x Q), so substituting in the TC equation gives us: p = (P – AC) x Q Price MC $50 P Profit = $194 = ($50- $25.75) X 8 MR = P Average Cost (AC) $25.75 AC $17 Quantity 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 BACK TO Try it! If a firm is earning positive economic profit, it must be the case that a) b) c) d) price price price price cost. is is is is less than average cost. equal to average cost. equal to total cost. greater than average To next Try it! Try it! Ralph opened a small shop selling bags of trail mix. The price of the mix is $5, and the market for trail mix is very competitive. At what quantity will Ralph produce? a) 7 b) 10 c) 14 d) 18 To next Try it! Try it! Ralph opened a small shop selling bags of trail mix. When the price is $5, how much profit will Ralph make? a) $0 b) $14 c) $52 d) $68 To next Try it! Marginal and Average Cost Curve The MC curve intersects the AC curve at its minimum point. When marginal cost is just below average cost, the AC curve is falling. When marginal cost is just above average cost, the AC curve is rising. So, AC and MC curves must meet at the minimum of the AC curve. BACK TO When to Enter and Exit an Industry In competitive markets a firm will be profitable when P > AC and unprofitable when P < AC. So, in the long run, firms will enter profitable industries (P > AC ) and will exit unprofitable ones (P < AC). Note that at the intermediate point (P = AC) profits are zero, and there is no entry or exit. BACK TO Zero Profits Economists refer to Zero Profits or “normal” profits as the profit level where the firm is covering all of its costs including enough to pay labor and capital their opportunity costs. BACK TO “Economic” vs. “Accounting” Profit Remember, not all costs require monetary payment! An explicit cost is a cost that requires a money outlay. An implicit cost is a cost that does not requires an outlay of money. Economic profit is total revenue minus total costs including implicit costs. Accounting profit is total revenue minus explicit costs. 49 BACK TO Zero Profits Example: if you quit your job as a lion tamer ($45,000/year income) to open a tanning studio ($45,000/year left over after costs are paid), what is your economic profit? We would say it’s zero: you are earning just enough to cover your costs, including your foregone lion taming wages. BACK TO Try it! Imagine that Alex and Tyler each decide to drill an oil well in their backyard, which costs $200,000. Alex borrows the $200,000 from a bank at a 5% annual rate of interest so Alex must pay the bank $10,000 per year ($10,000 = 0.05 × $200,000). Tyler pays the $200,000 out of a small inheritance he received from a rich uncle. Each well produces $15,000 worth of oil annually. Which well is more profitable (Economic profit)? a) Alex b) Tyler To next c) They are equally profitable Try it! Zero Profits Other examples of implicit costs include foregone rent (if you are using your own property as the tanning studio), foregone interest income (if you use your own life savings as the start-up money) and many others. Firms will need to consider these costs if they want to make good decisions. From now on, we’ll assume that our cost curves take these opportunity costs into account. And therefore a zero profit isn’t a bad thing! BACK TO Entry and Exit with Uncertainty and Sunk Costs If P < AC, the firm will exit the industry in the long-run, but what about the shortrun? Will the firm shutdown immediately if price dips below average cost? Not necessarily! BACK TO Entry and Exit with Uncertainty and Sunk Costs The firm may be earning enough revenue to pay some of its costs If it shuts down it will still have to pay its fixed costs (which may be less than its revenue). Even though it’s losing money, It may have enough to cover its variable costs and a portion of its fixed Fortune cookie equipment costs. costs money There may be extra costs to shut down (severance pay, etc.). 54 BACK TO Entry and Exit with Uncertainty and Sunk Costs A firm should stay open in the short run if it can cover its variable costs Decision Fixed Costs Variable Costs Revenue Profit Shutdown $100 0 0 -$100 Stay Open $100 $50 $75 -$75 He’ll stay in business… for now. BACK TO Entry and Exit with Uncertainty and Sunk Costs Sunk Cost = a cost that once incurred can never be recovered. If it closes down, this oil company won’t recover the cost of this rig. BACK TO Entry and Exit with Uncertainty and Sunk Costs If a firm could instantly and costlessly enter and exit an industry, then this basic rule applies: enter when P > AC and exit when P < AC. But, when it is costly to enter and exit and there is uncertainty about future prices, firms must make their decisions based on their lifetime expected profit. Note: this estimation can be quite difficult to make, and any error could lead to significant losses. BACK TO Deriving Industry Supply Curves The industry supply curve is built from the MC curves and the entry and exit decisions of firms. A firm will enter when P > AC and will expand production along its MC curve when price rises above this level. Thus, a firm’s supply curve is the portion of the MC curve above the AC curve. BACK TO Deriving Industry Supply Curves Price Price MC1 MC2 AC2 $50 AC1 $29 $17 $ 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Firm 1 Quantity 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Firm 2 $50 S 8 9 10 Quantity S Quantity Supplied by the Industry is the Sum of the Quantities Supplied by Each Firm at Every Price $29 $17 0 1 q 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 BACK TO Deriving Industry Supply Curves The shape of the supply curve for a particular industry is determined by the change in costs as industry output increases or decreases. There are three types of industry supply curves. 1. Increasing Cost Industry = an industry in which costs increase with greater output; shown with an upward sloping supply curve. 2. Constant Cost Industry = an industry in which costs do not change with greater output; shown with a flat supply curve. 3. Decreasing Cost Industry = an industry in which industry costs decrease with greater output; shown with a downward sloping supply curve. BACK TO Increasing, Constant, and Decreasing Cost Industries Price Supply, Increasing Cost Industry Supply, Constant Cost Industry Supply, Decreasing Cost Industry Demand Quantity BACK TO Constant Cost Industries Constant cost industries capture two important aspects of competitive markets: 1. Price is quickly driven down to the average cost of production; 2. Firms earn zero (or normal) profit. This does not mean that firms are just breaking even. Remember, the costs of production include the opportunity costs of the inputs used in production. This implies that firms are earning a rate of profit equal to that of any other use of those inputs. BACK TO How a Constant Cost Industry Adjusts to an Increase in Demand An increase in demand causes prices to rise… Which increases profits and attracts new firms… BACK TO How a Constant Cost Industry Adjusts to an Increase in Demand And Profits are driven back down. BACK TO Short and Long Run The Short Run = the time period before entry occurs. The Long Run = the time it takes for substantial new investment and entry to occur. BACK TO Try it! How long is the “long run”? It will vary from industry to industry. How long would you estimate the long run is in the market for electrical engineers? a) 2-3 days b) 2-3 months c) 2-3 years d) More than 2-3 years To next Try it! Increasing Cost Industries As a firm expands production when price rises, the firm will require more inputs. Because these resources are limited, their prices will rise- driving up production costs. An Increasing Cost Industry is an industry characterized by greater costs as production expands. As oil production increases, we tap into highercost oil sources as extraction costs rise. 67 BACK TO Decreasing Cost Industries A Decreasing Cost Industry is an industry characterized by lower costs as production expands. industry clusters help reduce costs as production increases More specialized resources in one place improve each other’s efficiency Dalton, Georgia: carpet capital of the world Hollywood, CA, USA: movie capital of the world Silicon Valley, California: a high-tech cluster BACK TO Try it! In the competitive electrical motor industry, the workers at Galt Inc. threaten to go on strike. In order to avoid the strike, Galt Inc. agrees to pay its workers more. At all other factories, the wage remains the same. What will happen to the number of motors produced by Galt Inc.? a) b) c) d) The number of motors produced will rise. The number of motors produced will remain the same. The number of motors produced will fall. This cannot be determined without more information. BACK TO