The impact of trade liberalization on wage inequality in developing

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The impact of trade liberalization on wage inequality in developing countries: Some realities in China

First Presentation

Duan Xiaojing

Surpervisor: Univ. Prof. Dr. Joseph

Francois

Motivation

 Equity is a central issue in economics, sociology and politics

 Globalization & Liberalization around the world

 Sharply increase in income inequality in developing countries

 China as a typical example,which has experienced widening wage gap in recent decades

Research Questions

 What is the relationship between trade liberalization and wage inequality in developing countries (China)?

 Besides trade liberalization, are there other reasons lead to China’s widening wage gap?

Structure

 Introduction

 Literature review

 Theoretical background

Heckscher-Ohlin / Stolper-Samuelson theorem

Kuznets inverted U-Curve

 Trade Liberalization and wage inequality in developing countries

 China’s wage inequality

 A cross-section approach to this research

 Conclusion

HO/SS Model

Heckscher-Ohlin Model

“Given the assumptions of the model, a country will export the commodity that intensively uses its relatively abundant factor” (Markusen et.al,

1995)

Stolper-Samuelson Effect

Trade liberalization would raise the price of developing countries’ abundant factor

(unskilled-labor), thus reducing the skilled wage premium and wage inequality (Markusen et.al, 1995)

Kuznets U Curve

 “The Kuznets’s inverted U-Curve hypothesis is that inequalities first rise with the onset of economic growth, eventually level off over time, then begin to fall in advanced stages of development-thus the growth-equity relationship is characterized by a trajectory in the shape of an inverted U” (Kuznets 1995)

Trade Liberalization in developing countries

China (1978-2008)

 Economic reform from 1978

 Open-door Policy

 China’s WTO Accession

Experiences of some other developing countries such as Costa Rica (Robbins and Gindling 1999),Chile

(Beyer et al. 1999), Mexico (Hanson and Harrison

1999), etc.

Change of China’s inequality

 Gini coefficient

0.30 in 1978; 0.44 in 2005 ( Chen et.al 2008)

 urban and rural income ratio increased from 2.1 in

1988 to 3.2 in 2005 ( Jin 2007)

 Inequality between regions inland regions VS coastal regions

China’s wage inequality

Other Reasons of Wage

Inequality in China

 Chinese labor mobility restriction

 Foreign Direction Investment

 Diffusion of skilled-biased technologies from developed countries

 Government’s policies

A Cross-section Regression

According to Carol Liwin (1998):

Dependent variable : Gini

Independent variable : GDP per capita, GDP per capita squared, Open, URB, INFRSTR, X m / X p, min,etc.

Open…(export+import)/GDP; URB…percentage of the population residing in urban areas; INFRSTR…Km roads/population above 15 years of age;

X m / X p … Manufacturing exports/Agricultural primary exports; min…Mineral, ores and oil exports/GDP

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