Metabolic Factors / NAFLD on the Natural History of Chronic Hepatitis B or C in Asia Pei-Jer Chen National Taiwan University & Hospital HBV or HCV Hepatic steatosis Insulin resistance Metabolic Factors Flow chart of the REVEAL cohort 23820 cohort members (11973 males and 11847 females), recruited in 1991 4155 HBsAg sero-positive (2445 males and 1710 females) HBV DNA TG. Chole. 19665 HBsAg sero-negative (9528 males and 10137 females--- anti HCV assay HCV RNA DM Cross-Section Study: CHB/CHC versus Control in terms of Metabolic Factors A study of base-line data in the REVEAL cohort Metabolic factors: Obesity Central obesity: waist circumferences >90 cm for men and >80 cm for women. Body Mass Index: normal weight BMI< 23 kg/m2 overweight 23 < BMI < 25 kg/m2 obese 25 < BMI < 30 kg/m2 morbid obese BMI > 30 kg/m2 Hypercholesterolemia: total cholesterol > 240 mg/dL Hypertriglyceridemia: TG > 150 mg/dL History of DM History of hypertension Table . Multivariate-adjusted odds ratios of being HBsAg seropositive in relation to selected metabolic factors Risk Factors Triglyceride > 150 vs. < 150 OR (95% CI)* 0.61 (0.55 – 0.66) 0.60 (0.55 – 0.66) Total cholesterol > 240 vs. < 240 0.92 (0.81 – 1.05) 0.92 (0.81 – 1.05) Body Mass Index 23 – 24.9 vs. <23 25 – 29.9 vs. <23 > 30 vs. <23 P for trend OR (95% CI)* 1.06 (0.97 – 1.16) 1.09 (1.00 – 1.19) 1.21 (1.01 – 1.45) 0.01 Central obesity Yes vs. No 1.13 (1.04 – 1.23) History of DM Yes vs. No 1.30 (0.98 – 1.74) History of hypertension Yes vs. No 0.98 (0.8 – 1.19) 1.32 (0.99 – 1.75) 0.98 (0.80 – 1.19) HBV Infection does not Correlates with the Development of NAFL or IR (1) Author Setting Populatio n Results Remarks Moucari (2008) Crosssectional 500 CHC, 100 CHB IR: 5% in CHB and 35% in CHC Not matched Wang (2007) Health examinatio n 50 CHB and 457 controls HBV carriers not associated with IR or FL Small sample size Mohamma d (2006) Case control 60 CHC and 40 CHB HOMA-IR associated with fibrosis in CHC, but not in CHB Selection bias, small size Tsochatzi s (2007) Case series 213 eAgve CHB Hepatic steatosis less frequent in CHB than in CHC; associated with metabolic factors Selection bias, not representative Cindoruk (2007) Treatment cohort 140 CHB Presence of steatosis not associated with HBV load Selection bias, not representative Demir (2007) Case series 49 eAg-ve CHB NAFLD: most common cause of elevated ALT in patients with CHB Selection bias, small size Moucari et al, Gastroenterology 2008; Wang et al, JGH 2007; Mohammad et al, Indian J HBV Infection does not Correlates with the Development of NAFL or IR (2) Author Setting Populatio n Results Remarks Persico (2009) Cohort 726 CHC, 126 CHB Age and BMI correlate with steatosis in CHB Selection bias Yun (2009) Liver biopsy series 86 young male CHB Steatosis associated with TG level and HOMA IR Small sample size Imazeki (2008) Case series 544 CHC, 286 CHB, 122 controls IR in CHB (36%) similar to controls (36%), Selection but lower than in CHC (54%) bias, not matched Kumar Case control 69 CHC and 50 healthy controls HOMA-IR associated with BMI, but not CHB itself (2009) Selection bias, small size Persico et al, World J Gastroenterol 2009; Yun et al, Liver Int 2009; Kumar et al, Am J Gastroenterol 2009; Imazeki et al, Liver Int 2008 Summary Obesity, history of diabetes : Prevalence not increase in HBsAg sero-positive subjects TG>150: in HBsAg sero-positive cases Metabolic factors and Hepatitis C infection Relationship with anti-HCV status and HCV RNA levels cross-section Table . Multivariate-adjusted Odds Ratios of being anti-HCV seropositive relation to selected risk factors Risk Factors Triglyceride > 150 vs. < 150 OR (95% CI)* 0.60 (0.51 – 0.70) 0.60 (0.51 – 0.70) Total cholesterol > 240 vs. < 240 0.89 (0.71 – 1.10) 0.89 (0.71 – 1.10) Body Mass Index 23 – 24.9 vs. <23 25 – 29.9 vs. <23 > 30 vs. <23 P for trend OR (95% CI)* 0.95 (0.80 – 1.12) 1.07 (0.92 – 1.25) 1.18 (0.89 – 1.56) 0.01 Central obesity Yes vs. No 1.13 (0.98 – 1.30) History of DM Yes vs. No 1.56 (1.05 – 2.33) 1.59 (1.06 – 2.37) History of hypertension Yes vs. No 1.13 (0.85 – 1.51) 1.13 (0.85 – 1.51) Summary Obesity, Diabetes : Increased in anti-HCV seropositive cases. TG<150: anti-HCV seropositive Serum triglyceride level, total cholesterol level and body mass index are inversely correlated with HCVRNA viral load Huh-7 cells transfected with JFH1 RNA NATURE CELL BIOLOGY 2007; 9:961-9 HCV and Lipids Negro and Sanyal. Liver Int 2009;29:26 Flow chart of the REVEAL cohort 23820 cohort members (11973 males and 11847 females) 4155 HBsAg sero-positive (2445 males and 1710 females) 218 anti-HCV seropositive 3931 anti-HCV seronegative 19665 HBsAg sero-negative (9528 males and 10137 females) 1095 anti-HCV seropositive 18541 anti-HCV seronegative 10 years follow-up HCC n=187 LC n=429 LC death n=57 Liver death n=212 HCC n=51 LC death n=16 Liver death n=74 HCC n=53 LC death n=61 Liver death n=108 Metabolic factors and Incident Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) Table. Multivariate-adjusted relative risks of HCC in relation to selected risk factors stratified by HBV and HCV infection status HBsAg (+) and anti-HCV (-) (N=3931; HCC=187) RR (95% CI)* RR (95% CI)* Risk Factors Triglyceride > 150 vs. < 150 0.60 (0.40 – 0.89) 0.60 (0.40 – 0.90) Total cholesterol > 240 vs. < 240 1.14 (0.68 – 1.91) 1.13 (0.67 – 1.91) Body Mass Index 23 – 24.9 vs. <23 25 – 29.9 vs. <23 > 30 vs. <23 P for trend 1.40 (0.97 – 2.02) 1.17 (0.81 – 1.69) 1.36 (0.64 – 2.89) 0.317 Central obesity Yes vs. No 1.33 (0.96 – 1.85) History of DM Yes vs. No 2.27 (1.10 – 4.66) 2.41 (1.17 – 4.95) History of hypertension Yes vs. No 0.43 (0.16 – 1.18) 0.45 (0.16 – 1.21) Table. Multivariate-adjusted relative risks of HCC in relation to selected risk factors stratified by HBV and HCV infection status HBsAg (-) and anti-HCV (+) (N=1095; HCC=51) RR (95% CI)* RR (95% CI)* Risk Factors Triglyceride > 150 vs. < 150 0.63 (0.30 – 1.32) 0.61 (0.29 – 1.28) Total cholesterol > 240 vs. < 240 0.16 (0.02 – 1.20) 0.17 (0.02 – 1.25) Body Mass Index 23 – 24.9 vs. <23 25 – 29.9 vs. <23 > 30 vs. <23 P for trend 1.05 (0.41 – 2.73) 3.02 (1.48 – 6.14) 4.13 (1.38 – 12.4) <0.001 Central obesity Yes vs. No 2.16 (1.19 – 3.92) History of DM Yes vs. No 3.25 (1.0 – 8.85) History of hypertension Yes vs. No 0.91 (0.31 – 2.67) 3.52 (1.29 – 9.24) 0.83 (0.28 – 2.44) Table. Relative risks of HCC by HBsAg, anti-HCV serological status, obesity and history of diabetes mellitus (DM) Serum Hepatitis Markers Status HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (-)* HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (-) HBsAg (+) anti-HCV (-) HBsAg (+) anti-HCV (-) HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (+) HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (+) ¥ HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (-) HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (-) HBsAg (+) anti-HCV (-) HBsAg (+) anti-HCV (-) HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (+) HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (+) Metabolic Factors Relative Risk (95% CI) 1.00 2.50 (0.99 – 6.32) 19.9 (14.3 – 27.6) 22.0 (10.3 – 46.9) 15.7 (10.4 – 23.8) 34.5 (13.5 – 87.6) BMI<30 BMI>30 BMI<30 BMI>30 BMI<30 BMI>30 DM (-) DM (+) DM (-) DM (+) DM (-) DM (+) 1.00 3.49 (1.08 – 11.3) 18.7 (13.6 – 25.9) 43.5 (20.5 – 92.3) 15.0 (9.95 – 22.5) 60.3 (23.6 – 153.6) Table. Relative risks of HCC by HBsAg, anti-HCV serological status, obesity and history of diabetes mellitus (DM) Serum Hepatitis Markers Status HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (-)? HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (-) HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (-) HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (-) HBsAg (+) anti -HCV (-) HBsAg (+) anti -HCV (-) HBsAg (+) anti -HCV (-) HBsAg (+) anti -HCV (-) HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (+) HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (+) HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (+) HBsAg (-) anti-HCV (+) Metabolic Factors BMI<30 BMI>30 BMI<30 BMI>30 BMI<30 BMI>30 BMI<30 BMI>30 BMI<30 BMI>30 BMI<30 BMI>30 DM (-) DM (-) DM (+) DM (+) DM (-) DM (-) DM (+) DM (+) DM (-) DM (-) DM (+) DM (+) Relative Risk (95% CI) 1.00 2.81 (1.11 – 7.12) 4.39 (1.35 – 14.3) ? -20.6 (14.7 – 29.0) 20.4 (9.13 – 45.6) 43.0 (19.3 – 96.1) 264.7 (35.2 – 1993) 15.7 (10.2 – 24.1) 33.6 (12.0 – 94.2) 63.6 (22.6 – 179) 134.5 (17.5 – 1035) Summary I: Obesity: – Anti-HCV positive: Central obesity: 2-fold increased risk BMI > 30 kg/m2 : 4-fold increased risk – HBsAg positive: Central obesity: 33% increased risk BMI: no association DM – Anti-HCV positive: 3 to 4 fold increased risk – HBsAg positive: 2-fold increased risk Summary II: Combine HBV, HCV serological status with obesity and DM Compare to HBsAg (-) + anti-HCV (-) + DM (-) + BMI <30 kg/m2 – HBsAg(+) + DM(+) + BMI >30 kg/m2 RR=265 (95% CI = 35 – 1993) – Anti-HCV(+) + DM(+) + BMI >30 kg/m2 RR=135 (95% CI=18 – 1035) Synergistic effects of metabolic factors and hepatitis infections on HCC Fatty Liver and Incident Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) Results Hazard ratios for incident HCC – 1.48 in overweight (BMI 25.0~29.9 kg/mm) – 1.96 in obese (BMI≥30.0) – compared with normal-weight (BMI 18.5~24.9) men Liver-related mortality had – adjusted hazard ratios 1.74 in overweight and 1.50 in obese men Excess BMI associated with the occurrence of fatty liver and cirrhosis Summary (I) In patients with CH-B, Prevalence of hepatic steatosis similar in pts with CHB vs. in general population HBsAg carriage not associated with IR Metabolic derangement rather than viral factors more closely associated with the development of steatosis Concurrent metabolic syndrome may accelerate the progression of CHB Summary (II) In Patients with CHC: HCV infection may induce IR and liver steatosis. HCV life cycle is closed linked to lipid metabolism Concurrent metabolic factors (increased BMI, DM) accelerate the progression of CHC Conclusions and Perspectives After controlling for the virus effect, obesity consistently shows to be associated with higher risk of different spectrum of liver diseases: from hepatitis to liver diseases related death. Hypertriglyceridemia: maybe an indication (biomarker) for better liver function? Mechanism remains unknown? The role of fatty liver in the relationship between metabolic factors and end stage liver diseases remains unknown Long term follow up of NAFLD patients without hepatitis is needed Background HBV, HCV ? HBV? Metabolic Factors HBV? HCC Cirrhosis NAFLD HCV? HBV? HCV? HBV HBV HBV, HCV ? HCV?