Effective Secondary Stroke Prevention VHA -------------------------------Marilyn M.Rymer, MD Saint Luke’s Brain and Stroke Institute Howard Kirshner, MD Vanderbilt University Medical Center ----------------------------------------------- Section 1 • Examine the epidemiology and pathophysiology for the occurrence of transient ischemic stroke (TIA) and of secondary strokes, including appropriate diagnostic evaluation to determine cause A TIA – What is it? • Classical definition: A neurological deficit lasting <24 hours due to focal ischemia of the brain or retina. • Newer thinking: A brief episode of neurological dysfunction caused by focal brain or retinal ischemia with clinical symptoms lasting < 1 hour and without evidence of acute infarction • TIA is “angina of the brain”, a medical emergency • 30-50% of TIA patients have an infarct by DWI (stroke, not TIA) • 10% have a stroke in upcoming weeks, half in 48 hours • NSA Guidelines: admit, evaluate, treat Prognosis After TIA 1,707 patients identified by ED MDs with TIA among 16 hospitals in HMO in northern California; follow-up to 90 days Stroke 10.5% Adverse Events 25.1% (stroke, cardiovascular hospitalization, death, or recurrent TIA) No. of Pts. at Risk Stroke AE 1,001 1,001 1,577 1,462 1,527 1,361 Johnston SC, et al. JAMA. 2000;284:2901-2906. 1,480 1,293 1,451 1,248 Stroke Risk and ABCD2 Score Oxfordshire TIA Study Symptom Score Maximum score is 7. Score 6 or 7 = high risk Age ≥60 years 1 point Blood pressure ≥140/90 mm Hg 1 point Clinical features [of TIA] 2 points for unilateral weakness 1 point for speech impairment without weakness Duration [of TIA] 2 points for ≥60 minutes 1 point for 10-59 minutes Diabetes 1 point 7-day stroke risk was 8.5-10.5% Risk of stroke before appointment correlated with ABCD2>4 Johnston SC, et al. Lancet. 2007;369:283-292. Stroke Risk by ABCD Score 18% 18% 16% 14% 2 Day Risk 7 Day Risk 90 Day Risk 12% 12% 10% 10% 8% 8% 6% 6% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0-1 2-3 4-5 6-7 EXPRESS Study Effect of urgent treatment of TIA and minor stroke on early recurrent stroke: A prospective population-based sequential comparison •Background – Risk of recurrent stroke is as high as 10% in the week following TIA •Study Objective – Prospectively determine the effect on process of care and outcome after TIA/minor stroke of more urgent assessment and treatment •Primary Outcome – 1278 patients in the UK with TIA or minor stroke •Risk of stroke within 90 days following TIA/minor stroke Rothwell PM, et al, Lancet. 2007;370:1432-1442. EXPRESS Results Phase I-Usual care: rate of stroke 10.3% Phase II-Urgent care: rate of stroke 2.1% (p<.0001) Phase 1 Phase 2 N = 1278 Risk of Recurrence (%) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Time (days) 70 80 90 P = 0.0001 Rothwell PM, et al, Lancet. 2007;370:1432-1442. MRI Diffusion Study The first step in secondary prevention is to try to find the cause of the stroke or TIA Stroke Subtypes Hemorrhagic Stroke (17%) Intracerebral Hemorrhage (59%) Ischemic Stroke (83%) Atherothrombotic Cerebrovascular Disease (20%) Cryptogenic and Other Known Cause (30%) Subarachnoid Hemorrhage (41%) Lacunar (25%) Embolism (20%) Small vessel disease Albers GW, et al. Chest. 1998;114:683S-698S. Rosamond WD, et al. Stroke. 1999;30:736-743. Large Vessel Aortic Atherosclerosis Large vessel carotid artery disease causing thrombosis or embolism Lenticulostriate small vessels Site of lacunar strokes Posterior Circulation Penetrating small vessel branches off the basilar artery Evaluation of the Vascular System Intracranial atherosclerosis Carotid plaque with arteriogenic emboli Aortic arch plaque Cardiogenic emboli Penetrating artery disease Flow-reducing carotid stenosis Atrial fibrillation Valve disease Left ventricular thrombi Reprinted with permission from Albers GW, et al. Chest. 2001;119:300S-320S. Stroke Diagnostic Tests Brain imaging: CT, MR Cardiac Imaging: TTE, TEE, heart monitoring Lipid, coagulation testing Vascular Imaging: Noninvasive MR angiography (MRA) Intracranial, extracranial CT angiography (CTA) Intracranial, extracranial Ultrasound: Carotid, TCD Invasive Conventional cerebral angiography Image courtesy of Regional Neurosciences Unit, Newcastle General Hospital, Newcastle, UK. Baseline Imaging MRI Head MRA Head Section 2 • Identify the risk factors leading to secondary stroke, following an initial TIA or stroke How Many Strokes in the US Can Be Prevented Per Year by Risk-Factor Control? Hypertension 360,500 Cholesterol 146,000 Cigarettes 89,500 Atrial Fibrillation 68,500 34,500 Heavy Alcohol Use 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 Number of Preventable Strokes Per Year* *Based on estimated 700,000 annual strokes. Gorelick PB. Arch Neurol. 1995;52:347-355. Gorelick PB. Stroke. 2002;33:862-875. JNC-7 Recommendations for Blood Pressure Control Initial Drug Therapy BP Class SBP* mm Hg DBP* mm Hg Lifestyle Modification <120 and <80 Encourage Pre-HTN 120-139 or 80-90 Yes Not indicated For compelling indications‡ Stage 1 HTN 140-159 or 90-99 Yes THZ diuretic for most. May consider ACEI, ARB, BB, CCB or combination Stage 2 HTN 160 or 100 Yes Two-drug comb for most† Drugs for the compelling indications. Other anti-HTN drugs as needed (diuretics, ACEI, ARB, BB, CCB) Normal No Compelling Indication *Treatment determined by highest BP category. †With caution in those with orthostatic hypotension. ‡Chronic kidney disease or diabetes: BP goal <130/80 mm Hg. Chobanian AV, et al. Hypertension. 2003;42:1206-1252. With Compelling Indications HOPE Study: 32% Reduction in Stroke Risk Ramipril’s Benefit Beyond Standard Risk-Reduction Therapies Alone % Relative Risk Reduction • Aspirin and other antiplatelets • Beta-blockers • Lipid-lowering agents 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 -30 -35 Composite Outcome Stroke • Diuretics • Calcium channel blockers CV Death Nonfatal MI All-Cause Mortality* 16% 20% 22% P=0.005 P=0.0003 26% P=0.0001 32% P=0.0002 P=0.0002 The HOPE Study Investigators. N Engl J Med. 2000;342:145-153. *Secondary end point PROGRESS Trial Stroke Risk Reduction All participants 28% RR 0.20 Proportion with event 95% CI 17 - 38% P<0.0001 0.15 Placebo Active (perindopril + indapamide) 0.10 0.05 0.00 0 1 2 PROGRESS Collaborative Group. Lancet 2001; 358: 1033-41 3 4 Diabetes and Stroke • Patients with diabetes require more rigorous control of blood pressure (<130/80 mm Hg) and blood lipids (LDL < 100) • Tight glycemic control can reduce microvascular disease and other end points, such as neuropathy . Adapted from Sacco RL, et al. Stroke. 2006;37:577-617. Statins for Stroke Prevention: Why? • Stroke patients are at high risk of cardiovascular events • Statin therapy reduces: – The risk of stroke after MI1-3 – The risk of stroke or death after carotid endarterectomy4 • The FDA has approved several statin agents for patients with “stroke or evidence of cerebrovascular disease” 1. Sacks FM, et al. N Engl J Med. 1996;335:1001-1009. 2. The LIPID Study Group. N Engl J Med. 1998;339:1349-1357. 3. Heart Protection Study Collaborative Group. Lancet. 2002;360:7-22. 4. Kennedy J, et al. Stroke. 2005;36:2072-2076. SPARCL Results: Primary End Point First occurrence of fatal or nonfatal stroke Fatal or Nonfatal Stroke (%) 16 Placebo 12 Atorvastatin 10 8 HR, 0.84 (95% CI, 0.71-0.99); P=.03 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Years Since Randomization No. At Risk Atorvastatin 2365 2208 2106 2031 1935 922 126 Placebo 2213 2115 2010 1926 887 137 2366 The SPARCL Investigators. N Engl J Med. 2006;355:549-559. SPARCL Trial: Results End Point RR, % (atorvastatin vs placebo) P value Stroke or TIA ↓23 .001 Major coronary event ↓35 .003 Major CVD events ↓20 .002 Any cardiovascular event ↓42 .001 Revascularization ↓45 .001 Hemorrhagic stroke 1.66-fold increase The SPARCL Investigators. N Engl J Med. 2006;355:549-559. SMOKING CESSATION • It helps to recommend it • 5 years after stopping smoking, stroke risk back to non-smoker’s • Behavioral therapy • Rx: Zyban, patches, Chantix • Section 3 • Assess the latest information on risk factor control for recurrent strokes, especially carotid artery disease and cardioembolism Absolute Benefits of Carotid Endarterectomy (CEA) CEA had marginal benefits on annual rates of ipsilateral stroke for patients with asymptomatic or moderate lesions. Dramatic benefit was seen for high-grade, symptomatic stenoses. Nicolaides AN, et al. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2005;30:275-284. Stents and Angioplasty • SAPPHIRE: Carotid stent + angioplasty with protection device in high risk surgical patients. 50% stenosis in symptomatic; 80% in asymptomatic. Results=5.8% stroke, MI, death in stent group; 12.5% surgical group at 30 days; recent 3 year follow-up, no difference • Vertebral stents: anecdotal good outcomes • Intracranial stents: considered investigational Carotid Stents • CREST: NIH multicenter trial CEA vs stent with protection in symptomatic and asymptomatic patients with >50% stenosis (still enrolling) Carotid Stent Carotid stent When to Stent While CREST is Pending • Recommend for patients with symptomatic >70% stenosis in whom stenosis is difficult to access surgically, medical conditions increase surgical risk, or special circumstances such as radiation-induced stenosis or restenosis after CEA. • Vertebral stents: symptomatic patients who fail medical therapy • Intracranial stents: still investigational Intracranial Stenosis • WASID TRIAL: ASA vs warfarin in intracranial ICA, MCA, vertebral, basilar symptomatic stenoses – – – – No difference in combined death and stroke More deaths and bleeding in warfarin group Conclusion: ASA is the treatment of choice SAMMPRIS trial- stent vs ASA, underway LEFT MCA STENOSIS Cardioembolism • Atrial fibrillation: >2M cases in the US resulting in 75,000 strokes annually • Advanced age, CHF, diabetes, prior stroke increase risk is people with AF. • Recommend warfarin with INR 2-3 (target 2.5) Warfarin in Prospective NVAF Trials Intention-to-treat Analysis 8 Control 7.0 Stroke rate (% / year) Warfarin 6 4.6 4.3 3.6 4 2 1.9 2.3 3.0 2.1 0.9 0.4 0 person-years p value AFASAK 825 p=0.03 SPAF 504 BAATAF 922 CAFA 490 SPINAF 896 p=0.01 p=0.002 p>0.2 p=0.001 NVAF – nonvalvular atrial fibrillation Adapted from Atwood JE, et al. Herz. 1993;18:27-38. CHADS2 Stroke Risk Stratification Scheme for Patients With NVAF Risk Factors C H A D S2 Score Recent congestive heart failure Hypertension Age ≥75 years Diabetes mellitus History of stroke or transient ischemic attack 1 1 1 1 2 Score 0 = low risk ASA only Score 1-2 = intermediate risk ASA or warfarin Score 3-6 = high risk warfarin Adapted from Hersi A, et al. Curr Probl Cardiol. 2005;30:175-233. ACTIVE W Trial: Primary Efficacy Outcome: Stroke, Non-CNS Systemic Embolism, MI & Vascular Death 0.10 5.64 %/year Cumulative Hazard Rates RR = 1.45 0.08 p=0.0002 0.06 Clopidogrel+ASA 3.93 %/year 0.04 OAC 0.02 0.00 Number at Risk C+A OAC 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2,387 2,453 916 911 Years 3,335 3,371 3,149 3,220 Active W=The Atrial Fibrillation Clopidogrel Trial with Irbesartan for Prevention of Vascular Events" Connolly S. et al. Lancet. 2006;367:1903-1912 OAC – oral anticoagulation PARADOXICAL EMBOLISM • Small clots in leg or pelvic veins – generally not seen on venous ultrasound studies • Usually no sign of thrombophlebitis • Sudden change in intrathoracic pressure i.e. valsalva (scuba divers at risk) • Clot travels from right atrium to left atrium via PFO with potential for cerebral embolism • Evaluate for hypercoagulability SHOULD THE PFO BE CLOSED? (vs antiplatelet, anticoagulation?) When to use warfarin in stroke? (Red Clot vs White Clot) • Atrial fibrillation and related cardiac sources of embolism • PFO/Atrial septal aneurysm (?) • Venous sinus thrombosis • Hypercoagulable states (APL antibody (??) • Carotid, vertebral dissections (?) • Intracranial stenosis (X) • “Treatment failures” (X) Section 4 • Determine from evidence the role of antithrombotic agents in the prevention and treatment of secondary stroke Warfarin Aspirin Recurrent Stroke Study (WARSS) • • • • • • • 2200 ischemic, non A Fib stroke patients > 50% small vessel Warfarin INR 1.4-2.8 v. ASA 325 mg No difference in stroke (trend favored ASA) Slight trend favoring warfarin in “cryptogenic” No difference: anticardiolipin Ab, PFO Warfarin: limited indications in stroke Mohr J, et al, for the WARSS Group. N Engl J Med. 2001;345:1444-1451 Probability of Event (%) Warfarin-Aspirin for Recurrent Stroke Study (WARSS) 30 20 Warfarin 10 Aspirin 0 0 Number at Risk Warfarin Aspirin 90 180 270 360 450 540 630 720 Days after Randomization 1103 1047 1013 998 972 956 939 924 885 1103 1057 1032 1004 984 974 951 932 900 Mohr J, et al, for the WARSS Group. N Engl J Med. 2001;345:1444-1451 Antiplatelet Therapy % of Patients Having Stroke, MI, or Vascular Death Efficacy of Antiplatelets in Prevention of Ischemic Events 25% 22% Antiplatelet Therapy Control 25% 20% 29% 27% 25% 15% 32% 10% 5% 0% Prior Acute MI Stroke/TIA Prior MI Other High Risk High Risk All Patients Antiplatelet Trialists’ Collaboration. BMJ. 1994;308(6921):81-106. 3PLA012c ESPS 2: Effects on Stroke–RRR (Pairwise Comparisons) 40.0% 37.0% P < .001 32.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 16.3% P =.039 18.1% P =.013 23.1% P =.006 ASA/ER-DP vs Placebo ER-DP vs Placebo 15.0% ASA vs Placebo 10.0% ASA/ER-DP vs ASA 5.0% 0.0% RRR ESPS 2 Group. J Neurol Sci. 1997;151(suppl):S1-S77. ESPRIT Trial • 3 groups of patients with TIA or minor stroke: ASA, ASA + DP, warfarin • Reported outcomes of 1376 pts with ASA alone, 1363 pts with ASA + DP • 1o events in 173 (13%) of ASA + DP, 216 of ASA (16%); hazard .80 (.66-98), ARR 1% per year (1.1-1.8) • Bleeding essentially equal • Dropout 34% ASA + DP, 14% ASA • Meta-analysis of ASA + DP trials: hazard .82 (.74-.91) ESPRIT Study Group. Lancet. 2006;367:1665-1673. Efficacy of Clopidogrel vs. Aspirin in MI, Stroke, or Vascular Death (n= 19,185) Event Rate per Year Aspirin Aspirin Clopidogrel 16 12 5.83% 5.32% 8 Clopidogrel 4 P = 0.045 0 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 Months of Follow-Up *ITT analysis. CAPRIE Steering Committee. Lancet 1996;348:1329-1339. 8.7%* Overall Relative Risk Reduction MATCH: Management of Atherothrombosis With Clopidogrel in High-Risk Patients Patient population 7599 patients with – Recent TIA or ischemic stroke (within 3 months) and – High-risk recurrent ischemic events Study drugs Clopidogrel 75 mg/d Aspirin + Clopidogrel 75 mg/d Treatment duration Up to 18 months MATCH = Management of atherothrombosis with clopidogrel in high-risk patients with recent transient ischemic attack or ischemic stroke. Diener HC, et al. Lancet. 2004;364;331-337. MATCH: Primary End Point IS, MI, VD, rehospitalization for acute ischemic event 0.20 Cumulative event rate Placebo + Clopidogrel 0.16 ASA + Clopidogrel RRR: 6.4% 0.12 (P=.244) 0.08 0.04 0.00 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 Months of follow-up Diener H-C. Antiplatelet therapy: results of the MATCH trial. Paper presented at: European Stroke Conference; May 13, 2004; Mannheim-Heidelberg, Germany. MATCH: Life-Threatening and Major Bleeding Bleeding Events (%) 5 4 1.9% 3 Major Life-threatening P <.0001 2 0.6% 1 P <.0001 2.5% 1.3% 0 Placebo + Clopidogrel Diener HC, et al. Lancet. 2004;364;331-337. Aspirin + Clopidogrel CHARISMA: Study Design N=15,603 Symptomatic patients with coronary, cerebrovascular, or peripheral arterial disease* n=12,153 Clopidogrel 75 mg + ASA 75–162 mg n=7802 Asymptomatic patients with multiple atherothrombotic risk factors* n=3284 Randomized, double-blind Placebo + ASA 75–162 mg n=7801 Follow-up until 1040 primary events Primary end point: First occurrence of MI, stroke (any cause), CV death (including hemorrhagic) Principal secondary end point: First occurrence of MI, stroke, CV death, hospitalization for UA, TIA, revascularization† *n=166 not in either category, but included in overall analysis. †Coronary, cerebral, or peripheral. CHARISMA=Clopidogrel for High Atherothrombotic Risk and Ischemic Stabilization, Management, and Avoidance. Bhatt DL et al. N Engl J Med. 2006;354:1706-1717. CHARISMA: Primary Efficacy Results (MI/Stroke/CV Death)* by Inclusion Criteria Population n Documented CV disease 12,153 RR (95% CI) P Value 0.88 (0.77, 0.998) .046 Coronary 5835 0.86 (0.71, 1.05) .13 Cerebrovascular 4320 0.80 (0.65, 0.997) .05 PAD 2838 0.87 (0.67, 1.13) .29 3284 1.20 (0.91, 1.59) .20 15,603 0.93 (0.83, 1.05) .22 Multiple risk factors Overall population 0.4 0.6 0.8 Clopidogrel better 1.2 1.4 1.6 Placebo better *First occurrence of MI (fatal or nonfatal), stroke (fatal or nonfatal), or CV death. Bhatt DL. Presented at: American College of Cardiology Annual Scientific Session; March 11-14, 2006, Atlanta, GA. Bhatt DL, et al. N Engl J Med. 2006;354:1706-1717. CHARISMA: Safety End Points by Inclusion Criteria Event Rate (%) Clopidogrel + ASA Placebo + ASA P Value Symptomatic Severe bleeding* Moderate bleeding* 1.6 2.1 1.4 1.3 .39 <.001 Asymptomatic Severe bleeding* Moderate bleeding* 2.0 2.2 1.2 1.4 .07 .08 *Bleeding was defined using GUSTO criteria. GUSTO=Global Utilization of Streptokinase and Tissue Plasminogen Activator for Occluded Coronary Arteries. Bhatt DL et al. N Engl J Med. 2006;354:1706-1717. Antiplatelet Therapy in Stroke Prevention: PRoFESS Study Design (Recruitment ended 5/06, Results at ESC 5/08) ER-DP/ASA Clopidogrel Telmisartan ER-DP/ASA + telmisartan (n=3875) Clopidogrel + telmisartan (n=3875) n=10,000 Placebo ER-DP/ASA + placebo (n=3875) Clopidogrel + placebo (n=3875) n=10,000 n=10,000 n=10,000 N=20,000 On June 4, 2004, the PRoFESS Steering Committee discontinued the ASA component of the clopidogrel + ASA treatment arm after release of the MATCH trial data showed no benefit for combination therapy. PRoFESS=Prevention Regimen for Effectively Avoiding Second Strokes. Available at: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ct/show/NCT00153062?order=1. Accessed March 31, 2006. PRoFESS: Primary Efficacy Outcome ER-DP + ASA Hazard Ratio (95% Clopid Confidence o-grel Interval) First recurrent stroke 9.0% 8.8% 1.01 (0.921.11) Recurrent ischemic stroke 7.7% 7.9% Hemorrhagic stroke 0.8% 0.4% P Value 0.783 Sacco R. European Stroke Conference Webcast. Available at http://eurostroke.org. Accessed May 15, 2008. PRoFESS: Secondary Efficacy Outcome Stroke, MI, or vascular death ER-DP + ASA Clopidogrel 13.1% 13.1% Hazard Ratio (95% Confidence Interval) 0.99 (0.921.07) Boehringer Ingelheim. Available at: http://www.boehringer-ingelheim.com. Accessed May 14, 2008. P Value 0.83 AHA/ASA Recommendations Antiplatelet Therapy • Noncardioembolic ischemic stroke/ TIA antiplatelet agents recommended, rather than oral anticoagulants (I,A) • ASA, ASA/ER dipyridamole, and clopidogrel all acceptable for initial therapy (IIa, A) • ASA/ER dipyridamole suggested over ASA alone (IIb, A) • Clopidogrel may be considered over ASA alone (IIb, B) • ASA + clopidogrel not routinely recommended for ischemic stroke/TIA (III, A) • Clopidogrel is reasonable for patients with ASA allergy . (IIa, B) AHA/ASA Council on Stroke. Stroke. 2006;37:577-617. Get With The Guidelines— Stroke Performance on Selected Treatment and Quality of Care Indicators for Acute Stroke and Secondary Prevention (cont) Performance Indicator Baseline GWTG Antithrombotics at discharge* 91.0% 97.6% Anticoagulation for atrial fibrillation at discharge* 81.4% 97.6% Therapy at discharge if LDL >100 mg/dL or on therapy at admit* 58.7% 81.6% Counseling for smoking cessation* 38.8% 83.8% Lifestyle changes recommended for BMI >25 kg/m2 33.7% 42.3% *Indicates 1 of the 7 key performance measures targeted in GWTG-Stroke. Data collected from 141,449 clinically identified patients admitted to 778 hospitals participating in the GWTG-Stroke program from January 1, 2006, through December 31, 2006. Fonarow GC. The first million patients in the Get With The Guidelines program: lessons learned. http://www.cardiosource.com/editorials/index.asp?EdID=101. Accessed March 12, 2008. Conclusions • Ischemic stroke is a major cause of mortality and disability in the United States • Most strokes could be prevented by risk factor Rx: diet, exercise, smoking cessation, BP, lipid Rx; important also for secondary prevention • Carotid endarterectomy, stenting • Anticoagulation for atrial fib, related disorders • Antiplatelet therapy for all but warfarin-indicated patients; ASA, ASA-ER dipyridamole, clopidogrel • New guidelines for secondary stroke prevention updated in 1/08