MCI or Disaster? Dilemmas and traps Kostas A. Papaioannou, MD, MSc Plastic Surgeon F. President of MSF-Greece European Master in Disaster Medicine 1 The referring doctor, the patient or his environment determine, what constitutes an "emergency", and define the reason, time and point of entry into the system, regardless of age and the ultimate nature of the illness or injury The Medical staff in ED, manages the unanticipated and unscheduled unpredictable volume of patients with injuries and conditions of undetermined and varying severity and complexity 2 The Student Manual for Disaster Management and Planning for Emergency Physician's Course (ACEP:1-2): Level I: A localized multiple casualty emergency wherein local medical resources are available and adequate to provide for field medical treatment and stabilization, including triage. The patients will be transported to the appropriate local medical facility for further diagnosis and treatment. Level II: A multiple casualty emergency where the large number of casualties and/or lack of local medical care facilities are such as to require multi-jurisdiction (regional) medical mutual aid. Level III: A mass casualty emergency wherein local and regional medical resource's capabilities are exceeded and/or over-whelmed. Deficiencies in medical supplies and personnel are such as to require assistance from state or federal agencies. 3 unpredictable events 1.Cataclysmic events, both natural and man-made 2. War, either full-scale or more insidious 3. Terrorist actions, often connected with either of the two situations listed above 4 Airport →air crash → mass casualties with many survivors suffering brain injury, smoke inhalation, and conventional trauma Chemical weapons development in laboratory → accidental release of agent(s) →mass casualty situation with victims ultimately suffering compromise of airway patency or respiratory, circulatory, and neurologic system failure Sports stadium→ bleacher collapse → mass casualty situation with multiple fractures, head and spine injuries, as well as crush syndrome 5 Differences in Disasters Routine Emergencies Disasters Interaction with familiar faces Familiar tasks and procedures Interaction with unfamiliar faces Unfamiliar tasks and procedures Intra-organizational coordination needed Roads, telephones, and facilities intact Communications frequencies adequate for radio traffic Intra- and inter-organizational coordination needed Roads may be blocked or jammed, telephones jammed or non- functional, facilities may be damaged Radio frequencies often overloaded Communications primarily intraorganizational Need for inter-organizational information sharing 6 Differences in Disasters ( 2 ) Routine Emergencies Disasters Use of familiar terminology in communicating Communication with persons who use different terminology Need to deal mainly with local press Management structure adequate to coordinate the number of resources involved Hordes of national and international reporters Resources often exceed management capacity 7 Differences in Disasters (3) Routine Emergencies Disasters The events which are classified as ‘emergencies’ are less common than ‘incidents’ but are still within the capability of responders and their organizations. Emergencies may include large (e.g., apartment) fires, multi-vehicle accidents, and hostagetaking or shooting incidents. ‘Crises’ and ‘disasters’ are defined as abnormal and unique events that occur with some degree of surprise to demand unusual, extensive and taxing response effort. These events are, in fact, ‘turning points’ in the life of individuals, family units, organizations, businesses, communities (e.g., municipalities), and nations with a potential for affecting them in both the short and the long term. Response organizations ordinarily handle these events using extra (i.e., off-shift) resources or mutual aid partners. Other agencies may be involved in the response but these normally include the traditional response agencies (i.e., Fire, Police and Emergency Medical Services). They are events which, by their definition, overwhelm any one response organization and demand a multi-organizational and multi-jurisdictional response. 8 9 An incident resulting in one or more casualties, N with varying severity of injuries, S , will be met by medical assistance of a specific capacity, C Whether it is characterized an MCI or a disaster , it has to be defined 10 Medical Severity Index = ( N xS )/ C 11 An MSI>1 is indicative of a disaster An MSI of 0.4 means a sizeable incident, whereas an MSI of 4.2 indicates a substantial disaster 12 Empirical determination of the number of casualties (N) in a disaster immovable immovables Residential area b Per hectare Low - rise buildings 20-50 High - rise buildings 50-200 Business area Per hectare 0-800 Industrial area Per hectare 0-200 Leisure area Per type Stadium -h Shops Per type Discotheque Camping site Department store Arcade -h - 13 Empirical determination of the number of casualties (N) in a disaster Mobile objects Road transport Per 100 M (length)‘ Pertype d Rail transport e Multiple collision Coach Single deck Double deck Air transport f Inland shipping g Pertype Pertype Small 5-50 10-100 5-400 10-800 10-30 Large 150-500 Ferry 10-1000 Cruise ship 200-300 14 The Average Severity of Injuries Triage: classification of casualties based on severity of injuries sustained T1 ABC unstable victims due to obstruction of airway (A) or disturbance of breathing (B) or circulation (C). Immediate life support and urgent hospital admission. T2 Stable victims to be treated within 4-6 hours, otherwise they will become unstable. First-aid measures and hospital admission. T3 ABC stable victims with minor injuries not threatened by instability. Can be treated by general practitioners. T4 ABC unstable victims who cannot be treated under the circumstances given. This classification should be performed by experienced medical personnel! 15 Medical Severity Factor S= (T1+T2) / T3. J de Boer. Tools for evaluating disasters: Preliminary results of some hundreds of disasters.Eur J Emerg Med 4:107–110, 1997 16 Capacities (C) in the Medical Assistance Chain MAC The site of the incident or disaster MRC The transport of casualties and their distribution among hospitals in the vicinity MTC The hospital HTC This capacity, C, indicates, among other things, the MSI and thus the turning point between incident and disaster. 17 Medical Rescue Capacity (MRC) = Medical Transport Capacity (MTC) = how many casualties can be ‘‘processed’’ per hour by a doctor and a nurse, assisted by one or more first aid staff. 1 T1 + 3 T2 / h The number of ambulances, X, required at a disaster is directly proportional to the number of casualties to be hospitalized, N, and the average time of the return journey between the site of the disaster and the surrounding hospital, t, and inversely proportional to the number of casualties to be conveyed per journey and per ambulance, n, and the total fixed length of time, T, during which N have to be moved X=N x t/T x n Hospital Treatment Capacity (HTC) = 2 to 3 patients per hour per 100 beds 18 CLASSIFICATION AND ASSESSMENT OF DISASTERS Classification Effect on infrastructure (impact site+filter area) Impact time Radius of impact site Number of dead Number of injured (N) Average severity of Injuries sustained Rescue time (rescue+first aid+transport) TOTAL Grade Score Simple Compound 1 2 < 1 hour 1-24 hours >24 hours 0 1 2 <1 km 1-10 km >10 km 0 1 2 < 100 > 100 0 1 < 100 100-1000 > 1000 <1 1-2 >2 0 1 2 <6 hours 6-24 hours > 24 hours 0 1 2 0 1 2 1-13 19 the disaster severity scale (DSS) Beaufort scale for wind speed Mercalli scale for the intensity of an earthquake 20 Assessment of Medical Response Capacity in the time of Disaster: the Estimated Formula of Hospital Treatment Capacity (HTC), the Maximum Receivable Number of Patients in Hospital AKIRA TAKAHASHI et al, Kobe J. Med. Sci., Vol. 53, No. 5, pp. 189-198, 2007 21 Required Medical Personnel (in Kobe University Hospital) 1 patient with severe trauma 2 emergency doctors (EMDs) Operation or angiography required? Yes No ・Operation: 2EMDs+1Surgeon+1Anesthetist Angiography: 2EMDs+1Radiologist 2 EMDs 22 The average length of treatment time for the three types of conditions in ER 23 The estimated Formula for Hospital Treatment Capacity (HTC) The maximum receivable number of patients in hospital (MRN) = HTC = The maximum integer of (≤B1/A1∩≤B2/A2∩…∩≤Bn/An∩≤D1/C1∩≤D2/C2∩…∩≤Dn/Cn) 24 The estimated Formula for HTC (MRN) within H hours 25 H.T.C Ventilators ( available 3 Operating Emerg. Op. rooms) χ 2.5 = Χ rooms + + 2 For the 1st Hr 26 Crucial questions/decisions for mass casualty situations ( Dilemmas ) 1. When to start in-hospital staff mobilization? 2. Is there a need for out-of-hospital staff recruitment? thedemand right information regarding : referring 3. Does theCollect condition stabilizing the patients and It depends on them elsewhere? 4. Are treatment sites sufficient or there It depends onis a need for opening new magnitude of the event treatment sites? thethe type of incident, The type of the event 5. Does the condition mandate stopping routine hospital It refers The magnitude and the type of the eventwork (OR, Thetime population and theinvolved location, hospital clinics, …)?the The severity of victims 6. PrioritizingThe OR use shifting hours of the personnel To the scene ( dispersed or not victims, The weather condition Specific morbidity ( burns, blast injuries, CBRN cases etc ) 7. Shortening OR waiting list by referring patients to other hospitals Is there the only hospital to accept victims High number of T1 and T2, accessibility of the site..) Thethe distance from the definite treatment services 8. Does condition mandate opening a public information Is there morning or a night shift? the number of people involved etc center? 9. AssessingFor critical shortagesservices during conducting the MCS (staff, in hospital ( No of victims, … equipment, supply…) need for decontamination, isolation etc ) 27 ACCIDENT NO EXCEEDS EMERGENCY RESPONSE CAPACITY YES AFFECTED AREA CALAMITY NO INCIDENT CASUALTIES YES EXCEEDS MEDICAL EMERG RESP CAPACITY AFFECTED AREA YES DISASTER NO ACCIDENT 28 Conclusion • Emergency medicine and disaster medicine share the characteristics of: - unpredictability in volume and severity - concept of triage - team effort • Need for special education and training for all the players. 29 THANK YOU 30