Janet Prvu Bettger, ScD, FAHA – janet.bettger@duke.edu
Associate Professor of Nursing and Senior Fellow in Aging
Faculty Affiliate, Duke Global Health and Clinical Research Institutes
June 24, 2014
Presentation Outline
• Burden of stroke
• Systems perspective of stroke care
• Evidence gaps
• Care models for improved recovery from stroke
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Projected Deaths by Cause for
High-, Middle- and Low-Income Countries
Other NCDs
Cancers
CVD
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Burden of Stroke: DALY
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Leading cause of serious, longterm disability in the US
Johnston et al. Lancet Neurol 2009;8:345-54
Burden of Stroke in the United States (US)
• Incidence: 795,000 new or recurrent stroke each year
• Every 40 seconds someone in the US has a stroke
• Every 4 minutes, someone dies of a stroke
• 3 of 4 stroke survivors are dependent at some level for selfcare
• Over 60% of stroke patients have cognitive impairment
• About 15%-30% are permanently disabled
• Stroke survivors requiring constant care 3 months following their stroke have a 7-fold increased 1-year mortality risk
AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics 2014 Update/ CDC National Vital Statistics Reports 2010
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Challenges Specific to Stroke Care
• Average length of acute hospital stay = 4 days
• Episode of care for stroke = 82-109 days
• Almost 80% of stroke patients experience more than two transitions of care after hospital discharge
• 1 in 3 are rehospitalized within 3 months
• 1 in 3 are institutionalized in a nursing home within 6 months
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Once someone has a stroke…
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Stroke System of Care and Transitions in Care
Community
Response
EMS Acute Care
Rehab &
Recovery
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General Population
Population
At-Risk
The Transition to
Post-Acute Care
Acute
Care
Living in Community
Post-Acute
Care &
Rehab
Living in LTC
Olson DM, Prvu Bettger J, Alexander KP, et al. AHRQ 2011
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Medicare Beneficiaries: Comparing patients’ 1 st post-acute setting for all dx to stroke
70
60
50
40
%
30
20
10
0
D/C to PAC
All Medicare
Stroke
IRF SNF LTAC HH Outpatient
Inpatient Community
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Evidence-based Information is Lacking to Guide
Delivery of Stroke Care After Hospital Discharge
• What services should a stroke patient receive after being hospitalized for an acute stroke?
– Compare post-acute and transitional care treatment options that matter to patients and their caregivers
– Focus on outcomes of interest to patients and their caregivers
• What strategies should be in place to improve the transition from inpatient care and improve longerterm outcomes?
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All Rights Reserved, Duke Medicine 2007
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Services After Acute Care
Care Following the Acute Hospitalization
153,775 Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients in GWTG w/ Medicare FFS Parts A+B Alive at Hospital
Discharge (2006-2008)
51.1% Discharged to Short-term
Inpatient Postacute Care
24.1% Inpatient
Rehabilitation
Facility or Unit
(N=37,064)
27.0% Skilled
Nursing Facility
(N=41,457)
14.9% Home
Health
(N=22,875)
48.9% Discharged from the Hospital to the Community
7.1% Outpatient
Rehabilitation
(N=10,982)
26.9% No
Post-acute Care
(N=41,397)
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…to generate key evidence that can be used to guide a critical decision faced by stroke survivors, their caregivers and health care providers every day, almost 1 million times a year… what services to choose following an acute stroke hospitalization
?
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Specific Aims
(what we promised we would do … at a high level)
1. Identify the factors associated with stroke survivors’ use of rehabilitation and health care services following hospital discharge (who gets what services and why based on our data)
2. Compare high intensity rehabilitation (provided in inpatient rehabilitation facilities; IRF) and low intensity rehabilitation (provided in skilled nursing facilities; SNF) on several outcomes
3. Compare outpatient (OP) rehabilitation and home health (HH), and how either are better than no rehabilitation.
4. Compare PCP and neurologist follow-up on outcomes
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This is a study using existing data of adults who had a stroke in
2006-2008.
The person had to have been treated in a hospital participating in the Get With The
Guidelines-Stroke program.
Medicare
FFS
AVAIL
Cohort
GWTG-
Stroke
The person had to be a
Medicare fee-for-service beneficiary for health care.
Some were in a prospective cohort study, AVAIL.
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PCORI Population
Outcomes Definition Timing
Hospital readmission All-cause readmission 30 and 90 days
Time to hospital readmission Time in days from index hospitalization to readmission
Long-term care placement Nursing home = residence (nursing facility assessment CPT code AND place of service code with no associated SNF claim)
Up to 12 months
12 months
Survival (analyzed as death) Mortality (alive/not; will use for death & disability) 12 months
Survival Time in days from index hospitalization to date of death
Up to 12 months
Home-time Up to 12 months
Health care utilization
(proxy for cost)
Number of days from hospital discharge to 12 months without inpatient services, a rehospitalization or LTC admit
All billable services
(inpatient days, ED visits, observation stays & provider visits)
30 and 90 days
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Patient Reported Outcomes
Outcomes Definition Timing
Primary: living independently Alive, community-dwelling, modified Rankin (mRS) 0-2 3 &12 mo.
Functionally independent
Change in function
Depression
Persistent depression
Return to work
Medication adherence
Smoking cessation
Quality of life
Change in quality of life mRS 0-1
+/- 1 or > change in mRS from 3 to 12 months
PHQ-8 >10
PHQ-8 >10 at 3 and 12 months
Employed pre-stroke and returned to work
Actions correspond with hospital provider recommendations (warfarin, antihypertensive, antiplatelet, lipid-lowering, and diabetic medications)
Actions correspond with hospital recommendations
Normalized EQ-5D
Change in EQ-5D score from 3 to 12 months
3 &12 mo.
12 months
3 &12 mo.
12 months
3 &12 mo.
3 &12 mo.
3 &12 mo.
3 &12 mo.
12 months
Death and disability Composite outcome 12 months
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Soon we’ll have clearer evidence of what services for which patients…
But how do we support them along the journey back home?
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A look at care across the continuum…
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Most Common Trajectories or Patterns of Care
There were 3,016 unique care patterns in the 120 days after an acute ischemic stroke
Most Common Trajectories or Patterns of Care
Discharged to Short-term Inpatient
Post-acute Care
24.1% Inpatient Rehabilitation Facility or Unit (N=37,064) 27.0% Skilled Nursing Facility (N=41,457)
5.3% IRF only
19.9% IRF +
HH
16.0% IRF +
OP
8.4% IRF +
SNF
30.5% SNF only
19.0% SNF +
HH
11.5% SNF +
OP
8.0% IRF +
HH + OP
6.2% IRF +
HH + Readmit
5.8% IRF +
SNF + HH
+ SNF or
+ HH
After Readmit
21.0% SNF +
Readmit
5.2% SNF +
HH + Readmit
+ SNF or
+ HH/OP
After Readmit
+ SNF
After Readmit
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Most Common Trajectories or Patterns of Care
Discharged from the Hospital to the Community
14.9% Home Health
(N=22,875)
7.1% Outpatient
Rehabilitation (OP)
(N=10,982)
26.9% No Post-acute
Care (N=41,397)
52.6% No Post-acute
Care (no readmission and alive at 120 days)
63.2% Home Health only 10.1% HH + OP
77.0% OP
Rehabilitation Only
20.8% HH + Readmit
+ HH or
+ SNF
After Readmit
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?
Involvement of
Primary and
Specialty Care?
27.4% Readmitted after hospital d/c without postacute care
20.0% Died after hospital d/c without post-acute care
General Population
Population
At-Risk
The Transition to
Post-Acute Care
Acute
Care
Living in Community
Post-Acute
Care &
Rehab
Living in LTC
Olson DM, Prvu Bettger J, Alexander KP, et al. AHRQ 2011
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Critical Intervention Points for Stroke Survivors
Transitions
Acute
Care
Living in Community
Post-Acute
Care &
Rehab
Living in LTC
Olson DM, Prvu Bettger J, Alexander KP, et al. AHRQ 2011
Gaps Identified By Observation, Provider and Patient Reports, and Research
Stroke Patients’
Needs
Hospital Discharge
Planning
Rehabilitation
Expertise
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Transitional
Care
Interventions
G
A
P
Stroke Patients’ and
Caregiver’s Needs at
Home
Community-based
Care
Rehabilitation
Expertise
• HHS Triple Aim: Better Care, Better
Health, Lower Cost
• HHS Priorities = National Quality
Strategy: Efficiency, population/public health, clinical effectiveness and processes, care coordination, patient and family engagement, patient safety
• CMS: The right care for every person every time
• Partnership for Patients: Reduce HAC by 40% and readmissions by 20%
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• National readmission rate:
13.8%
• Hospital riskstandardized readmission rate
(RSRR) range:
9.1%-20.6%
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What is effective for stroke survivors?
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“the set of actions designed to ensure the coordination and continuity of health care as
patients transfer between different locations or different levels of care within the same location”
Coleman et al., J Am Geriatr Soc 2003;51(4):556-7.
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Transitional care is…
• Supportive of patients during handoffs
• A time-limited service
• Focus on continuity
• Commonly led by a nurse (more than 50% of interventions summarized in systematic reviews were nurse-led)
• An emerging key factor in care coordination
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Why is this important?
Poorly executed or discontinuous health care transitions increase the risk of medical and medication errors, poor patient outcomes, caregiver stress, and unnecessary services
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There are Many “TOC” Models
GRACE
BOOST
TCM
Core Interventions in Evidence-Based Transitional Care Models
Interventions RED CTI
Evaluation/risk assessment
Medications reconciled & plan confirmed X X
Patient education (with teach-back) on:
Diagnosis (daily)
Completed tests & appropriate follow-up
“Red flags” and response to problems
X
X
X
X
X
Patient education on medication management
Discharge plan
Written discharge plan or personal record
X
X
X
X
X
X
Discharge plan reconciled with national clinical guidelines X
BOOST
X
X
X
X
X
X
TCM
X
X
X
X
X
Bridge
X
X
X
GRACE*
X
X
INTERACT*
X
X
Appointments made for clinician follow-up, services , tests
Appointments to be scheduled by patients
X
X
X X X
N/A
Discharge summary (transition record) sent to postdischarge providers
Documented receipt of information by next provider
X X X
Telephone follow-up with patient to ID / resolve problems
In 2-3
Days
X
X
In 3
Days
X
In 2, 30 days
X
X
N/A
Home visit
Transitional care point person(s)
Facilitated engagement of patients, families, providers across episode
X X
X
X
X
X
X
X
N/A
*GRACE is a community-based model; INTERACT is a nursing home-based models
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Knowledge Gaps
1. Do these work for stroke patients?
2. Which strategies? (each intervention is multicomponent)
3. Do we replicate these interventions? Adapt locally?
Integrate strategies from different interventions?
4. Which transition or handoff?
5. For what period of time?
6. For which patients?
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Transitional Care for Stroke: Roots in Policy
Wave 1: Heart Failure, Pneumonia,
Myocardial Infarction
Proposed Wave 2: Stroke, Chronic
Obstructive Pulmonary Disease
National Health
Reform: Reduce hospital readmissions
2012 Guidelines International Network
2012 International Stroke Conference
2013 International Association of Gerontology and
Geriatrics
Disseminated internationally
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CDC commissioned a systematic review
Do we have the evidence we need?
Do these work for stroke patients?
Very few of the nationally promoted care transitions models included stroke patients.
Of those that did, none presented findings for stroke patients.
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Team based approach including caregivers to return stroke patients home earlier but with continued rehabilitation of similar intensity and duration to inpatient care
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ESD Components
• Patient identified in acute care (or inpatient setting)
• Discharged earlier
• Home visit within 24 hours of hospital discharge
• Goal-driven and patient-specific rehabilitation delivered in the home
• Services provided 4 x day (ESD phase), 6-7 days week for up to 4 weeks and then reducing to weekly visits by the point of exit (at most 4-6 weeks)
• Different levels of engagement with stroke specialist
(neurology)
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Models of ESD
1.
Stand-alone acute outreach ESD only
– Prevalent in denser populated urban cities and where there are large city hospitals
2.
ESD with community stroke/neurology team service
– In-hospital component hands off to a usually well established community-based rehab team partnering with neurology
3.
Integrated ESD within community stroke team service
– All the components of models 1 and 2, plus support workers for rehab every day & multiple visits a day for up to six weeks
4.
Integrated ESD within community neurology service
– Often extends beyond stroke but then requires advanced skill set; prevalent in less urban areas
5.
RECOVER trial
– Nurse facilitated and organized, caregiver delivered
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Evidence for ESD
• Multiple randomized controlled trials
• Meta-analysis confirmed patients who received these services returned home earlier (shorter inpatient length of stay) and were more likely to remain at home in the long term (longer “home time”) and to regain independence in daily activities (reduced death and dependency).
– The best results with well organized discharge teams and patients with less severe strokes.
• International Consensus Guidelines and considered best practices in
UK and Canada
– Canada ESD: $132.9 million direct cost savings.
• In the U.S.?
– Failed and not feasible given payment model for services
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Proposed US Model (Govt. focus = ↓ costs)
Reduce costs by
34%, saving $2.4 million over a 3 year period for
300 stroke patients
Reduce rehospitalizations
Reduce utilization of post-acute services (in skilled nursing facilities, inpatient rehabilitation, and multipe episodes of home health care)
Reduce long-term care nursing home placement
Improve patient functional status and reduce secondary complications of stroke
Improve selfmanagement of stroke, co-morbid chronic conditions and CV risk factors
Improve patient and caregiver satisfaction with post-acute stroke care
Implement and optimize uptake of Early
Supported Discharge as the new health care delivery model for postacute comprehensive stroke management
Integrate primary care with Early
Supported Discharge to improve access and transition care to community-based providers
Transition to community-based wellness and exercise programs, and case management as needed
“Task” shifting at
3 levels: rehab, primary and community care
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General Population
Population
At-Risk
Acute
Care
Living in Community
Post-Acute
Care &
Rehab
Living in LTC
Olson DM, Prvu Bettger J, Alexander KP, et al. AHRQ 2011
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Adapting ESD Globally
• ATTEND trial (Family-Led Rehabilitation after stroke in India)
• RECOVER trail (A randomized controlled trial on rehabilitation through caregiver-delivered
• nurse-organized service programs for disabled stroke patients in rural China)
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The
Trial
A Randomized Controlled Trial on Re habilitation through C aregiver-delivered Nurseo rganized
Ser v ice Programs for Disabled Strok e Patients in
R ural China
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♦ Intervention Group:
In-hospital
• “Teach-back” on stroke recovery, risk identification, and management
• Task oriented training
• Joint goal setting
• Evidence-based discharge planning
Training Intervention
Physicians /
Rehabilitation Therapists
Nurse + Patient +
Family Caregiver
Nurses from
County Hospitals
Patients & familynominated caregivers
After hospital discharge
• Call or visit at 2, 4, 6 and 8 weeks
• Blinded researcher measures outcomes by phone at 3 mo. & in person at 6 mo.
♦ Control Group: conventional care
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Primary Hypotheses
•To improve physical function
Secondary Hypotheses
•To improve physical functioning
•To improve quality of life
•To reduce disability
•To reduce depression
Exploratory Hypotheses
•To relieve burden of caregivers
•To reduce hospitalization
•To reduce hospital length of stay & costs
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Primary Outcome
•Barthel Index
Secondary Outcomes
•Functional Ambulation Classification
•EQ-5D
•modified Rankin Scale
•Patients Health Questionnaire-9
Exploratory Outcomes
•Caregiver Burden Index
•Re-admission and hospitalization
•Hospital length of stay and medical costs
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-
Inclusion criteria
• Adults (≥18 years);
• Recent (<1 month) first-ever acute ischemic/hemorrhagic/undifferentiated stroke patients;
• Expected to survive to discharge from hospital with a reasonable expectation of 6 month survival (i.e. not palliative, no evidence of widespread cancer etc.);
• Residual disability (requiring physical assistance for core activities of daily living defined as a Barthel Index score of 80 or lower).
Exclusion criteria
• Unable to identify a suitable family-nominated caregiver for training and subsequent delivery of care;
• Unable to provide informed consent from both the patient (or by proxy) and the caregiver.
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Sites:
•Zhangwu County,
Liaoning Province,
•Qingtongxia County,
Ningxia Province
Pilot Study
• Number of patients: 80
20 (I) + 20 (C) x 2 sites
Main Study
• Number of patients: 200
100 (I) + 100 (C) (1/2 each site)
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Qingtongxia
Zhangwu
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Complementary Models
Transitional
Care
Telehealth
Early
Supported
Discharge
RECOVER
2.0
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Meeting the Needs of Stroke Survivors and Caregivers Globally
Many possibilities for efficacy and/or implementation effectiveness trials
• Urban or rural
• Single or multi-component strategy
• Inpatient- or community-based or both
• GPs or nurses or community workers or trained lay people
• Mobile phones and ipads or centrally located computers
• Intervention(s) to focus on functional impairment, secondary prevention, or prevention of complications
• Patients with or without cognitive impairment
• Different levels of inpatient care
• Different levels of caregiver engagement
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• Improve the lives of stroke survivors
• Reduce the burden on informal (family) caregivers
• Improve adherence to evidence-based care
• Improve the quality of care
• Improve physician-nurse partnership in the care of patients with stroke, disability, and chronic illnesses
• Build rehabilitation nursing capacity as leaders for caring for people with disabilities and chronic illness
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THANK YOU!
Janet Prvu Bettger, ScD, FAHA janet.bettger@duke.edu