Personal information
Surname(s) / First name(s)
Address(es)
Telephone(s)
Email(s)
Nationality(-ies)
Date of birth
Place of birth
Website
Selva, Jacopo
via C. Baruzzi 10, 40138, Bologna, Italy
+39 0514151457
Mobile: +39 3478729410
jacopo.selva@bo.ingv.it
Italian
10/10/1978
Bologna, Italy
http://jacoposelva.altervista.org/
Scientific interests
Probabilistic Volcanic Hazard Assessments (PVHA)
Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessments (PTHA)
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessments (PSHA)
Multi-hazard and multi-risk assessments
Uncertainty treatment in hazard and risk assessments
Precursory patterns of volcanic eruptions
Short and long-term interaction among earthquakes and between earthquakes and
volcanic eruptions
Serviceability of systems of interdependent components
Education
Academics
Jan 2002 - Dec 2004
Ph.D. in geophysics at the University of Bologna. Topics: Interactions among seismic
and volcanic events through stochastical and mathematical modeling. (Supervisor:
Marzocchi W).
Oct 1997 - Dec 2001
Graduation in Physics with honor at the University of Bologna. Topics: Numerical
model of interaction among earthquakes at great distances. (Supervisor: E. Boschi,
Tutor: Marzocchi W).
Sep 1992 - Jul 1997
Classical High School Diploma at Liceo Ginnasio L. Galvani in Bologna.
Research abroad
Mar 2010-Sep 2010
Guest researcher at the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki (Greece), Faculty of Engineering, Department of Civil Engineering, hosted by professor K. Pitilakis. Topics:
Probabilistic assessment of vulnerability for buildings, utilities and infrastructures.
May 2003 - Jul 2003
Guest Ph.D. student at the Geophysical Research Group of the University of Ulster at
Coleraine, Northern Ireland (UK) with Marco Polo fellowship funded by the University
of Bologna. Topics: Fault modeling with Cellular Automata and fault interaction.
Post-lauream
courses/workshops
Apr. 2014
Workshop convener: "Operational Techniques in Volcanic Hazard Assessment", cosponsored by EGU and IAVCEI, 24-25/04/2014, Vienna, Austria
Jan. 2011
Workshop convener: "MULTI-RISK DAY", Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (http://bymur.bo.ingv.it/frames/0_multiriskday.html), Sezione di Bologna,
25/01/2011, Bologna, Italy.
Page 1 - Curriculum vitæ of
Selva, Jacopo
Nov. 2007
Workshop convener: IAVCEI Workshop, 18/11/2007 Shimabara (Japan), Eruption
Forecasting through the Bayesian Event Tree: Moving from theory to practice with the
software package BET_EF, Warner Marzocchi and Jacopo Selva.
Jul. 2007
Workshop convener: IAVCEI Workshop, 12/7/2007 Perugia, Eruption Forecasting
through the Bayesian Event Tree: Moving from theory to practice with the software
package BET_EF, Warner Marzocchi and Jacopo Selva.
Nov 2006
Participant: 27th Workshop the International School of Geophysics "Quantifying longand short-term volcanic hazard", Erice.
Oct 2006
Participant: 26th Workshop the International School of Geophysics "Earthquake and
shaking probabilities: help society to make the right choice", Erice.
Mar 2006
Participant: Soft-Computing: theory, tecniques and applications, held by SICC (Italian
Society of Chaos e Complexity’) and Politecnico di Milano, Milan.
Aug 2002
Participant: 22nd Course of the International School of Geophysics EMCSC "Earthquake mechanics, Earth structure and related problems", Erice.
Jun 2002- Jun 2003
PhD classes: Quantitative Geodynamics, Seismic hazard assessment methods, Measurement and analysis of deformation fields, Inverse theory in seismology, Statistics
and data analysis, Partial derivative equations and applications in geophysics, Volcanology, Geomagnetism, paleomanetism and rocks magnetism, Thermal state of
continental crust and consequences on genesis and composition of magmas, Experimental analogical models.
May 2002
Jul 2001
Participant: Workshop "Occorrenza e ricorrenza dei terremoti in Italia", Roma.
Participant: 18th Symposium of the International School of Geophysics "Advances in
the assessment of earthquake and volcanic hazard", Erice.
Positions held
Job Positions
Jun 2014-present
INGV Responsible of Sector V3 - Eruptive Dynamics and Scenarios for the Department Volcanoes of INGV
Aug 2005-present
Researcher at the INGV (Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia), Sezione di
Bologna.
Jan 2005-Jul 2005
Post-doc grant at the INGV (Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia) in Bologna.
Collaborations
Dec 2010 - present
Collaborator at AMRA (center for the analysis and monitoring of environmental risks,
Naples, http://www.amracenter.com/en/). Topics: Probabilistic Volcanic Hazard Assessment
Mar 2011 - Jul 2013
Consultant at the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki (Greece), Faculty of Engineering,
Department of Civil Engineering. Topics: Systemic Seismic Vulnerability
National/International Groups
2014-present
Member of the Scientific Commission of CAT (Cantro di Allerta Tsunami / Tsunami
Warning Centre) of INGV
2013-present
Member of the IAVCEI Commission on Statistics in Volcanology (COSIV)
2013
Member of the international ’panel of experts’ for evaluating the risk assessment procedure, and its extendibility, developed in the project FP7-KULTRISK
2008-2010
Member of the DIVO Technical Group, in charge of developing the Database for Italian
VOlcanoes, within Unrest, Paroxysm, Lava and Flank DPC projects
2007-2010
Member of the WOVOdat Technical Advisory Group, of the World Organization of Volcano Observatories (WOVO), presently hosted by the Nanyang University (Singapore)
and endorsed by World Organization of Volcano Observatories (IAVCEI)
Page 2 - Curriculum vitæ of
Selva, Jacopo
Coordination activity
Research projects
2014-present
INGV Responsible of Sector V3 - Eruptive Dynamics and Scenarios for the Department Volcanoes of INGV
2013-present
Responsible for INGV and task leader in the FP7-EU project STREST,
http://www.strest-eu.org/
2013-present
Task leader in the FP7-EU project ’ASTARTE’, http://www.astarte-project.eu/
2013-present
Sub-Task leader in the FP7-EU project ’MEDSUV’, http://www.med-suv.eu/
2010-present
Principal Investigator of the project "Bayesian Multi-Risk assessment: a case study
for natural risks in the city of Naples", funded by FIRB-MIUR (Ministero dell’Istruzione,
Universita’ e Ricerca, En: Italian Ministry of Education, Universities and Research),
call "Futuro in Ricerca" (En: Future in Research), http://bymur.bo.ingv.it/
2006-2009
Co-responsible for Task 2 (Set up of a common database) of the Project COVIN
(Italy-Indonesia collaboration, INGV-CVGHM), funded by INGV
2005-2010
Co-responsible of an expert elicitation procedure for the set up of a Bayesian
Event Tree at Campi Flegrei, projects "V3.2 Campi Flegrei" (2005-2007)
and "V1 Unrest" (2008-present), funded by Dipartimento Protezione Civile,
http://bet.bo.ingv.it/elicitazione/
Supervisor activity
2014-present
Responsible for one post-doc contract: Dr. Sarfraz M. Iqbal, topics: Treatment of
epistemic uncertainty in natural hazard assessment
2014-present
Co-responsible for one professionalizing contract: Dr. Paolo Perfetti, topics: Development of visualization tools for probabilistic hazard and risk analysis
2010-2013
Responsible for one post-doc contract: Dr. Roberto Tonini, topics: Tsunami Hazard and Vulnerability, Multi-Risk software development
Independent research
funding (direct resp.)
2013-2016
EC-FP7 project "ASTARTE", ≈ 100000 Euro (for WP8 only)
2013-2016
EC-FP7 project "STREST", 195334.40 (146500.00) Euro
2010-2014
Italian project "ByMuR", 718000 (610600) Euro
Participation to
Scientific Projects
2013-present
ASTARTE: Assessment, STrategy And Risk reduction for Tsunamis in Europe, funded
by EU-FP7.
2013-present
STREST: Harmonized approach to stress tests for critical infrastructures against natural hazards, funded by EU-FP7.
2013-present
MEDSUV: MEDiterranean SUpersite Volcanoes, funded by EC-FP7.
2012-present
National project "RITMARE", funded by MIUR (Ministero dell’Istruzione, Universita’ e
Ricerca), http://www.ritmare.it/
2012-present
National project DPC-V1 "Valutazione della pericolosita’ vulcanica in termini probabilistici", funded by Dipartimento della Protezione Civile.
2012-present
National project DPC-V2 "Precursori di eruzioni", funded by Dipartimento della Protezione Civile.
2010-present
National project "ByMuR - Bayesian Multi-Risk assessment: a case study for natural
risks in the city of Naples", funded by FIRB-MIUR (Ministero dell’Istruzione, Universita’
e Ricerca), call "Futuro in Ricerca", http://bymur.bo.ingv.it/
2010-2013
Page 3 - Curriculum vitæ of
Selva, Jacopo
International project "MATRIX", funded by EC-FP7 (in collaboration with AMRA).
2010-2013
International project "SYNER-G", funded by EC-FP7 (in collaboration with AUTH)
2009-2011
National project "DIVO - Database for Italian VOlcanoes", within Unrest, Paroxysm,
Lava and Flank DPC projects.
2007-2010
National project DPC-V3 "LAVA - Realizzazione della mappa di pericolosita’ da colate
di lava all’Etna, e messa a punto di un metodo di aggiornamento dinamico", funded
by Dipartimento della Protezione Civile.
2007-2010
National project DPC-V1 "UNREST - Realizzazione di un metodo integrato per la
definizione delle fasi di unrest ai Campi Flegrei", funded by Dipartimento della Protezione Civile.
2007-2009
International project WOVOdat, endorsed by World Organization of Volcano Observatories (IAVCEI).
2006-2009
Project COVIN (Italy-Indonesia collaboration) and responsible for Task 2, funded by
INGV.
2005-2007
National project DPC-V4 "Ideazione, sperimentazione e applicazione di tecniche innovative per lo studio dei vulcani attivi", funded by Dipartimento della Protezione
Civile.
2005-2007
National project DPC-V3 "Ricerche sui vulcani attivi, precursori, scenari, pericolosita’
e rischio", funded by Dipartimento della Protezione Civile.
2005-2007
National project DPC-S2 "Valutazione del potenziale sismogenetico e probabilita’ dei
forti terremoti in Italia", funded by Dipartimento della Protezione Civile.
2002-2004
National project GNDT (Gruppo Nazionale per la Difesa dei Terremoti) "Revisione dei
fondamenti teorici e sperimentali delle stime di hazard a scala nazionale", funded by
Dipartimento della Protezione Civile.
Invited speeches
Invited lectures
Feb. 2015
Invited keynote lecture "Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment: Combining
Cornell-Like Approaches and Data at Sites through Bayesian Inference", CSNI Workshop on Testing PSHA Results and Benefit of Bayesian Techniques for Seismic Hazard Assessment, Hosted by EUCENTRE, Pavia, Italy, 4-6 February 2015
Jun. 2014
Invited lecture "Quantificazione delle incertezze nelle stime probabilistiche dei rischi
naturali: un’applicazione ai vulcani napoletani", University of Perugia, Faculty of
Physics, 21/06/2014, Perugia, Italy.
Sep. 2013
Invited key lecture "Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment: Combining CornellLike Approaches and Data at Sites through Bayesian Inference", Geoitalia 2013, 1618/09/2013, Pisa (Italy).
Jun. 2010
Invited lecture "Uncertainties in hazard/risk assessments", Aristoteleio University of
Thessaloniki, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Civil Engineering, 24/06/2010,
Thessaloniki, Greece.
Invited or
solicited talks
2014
Selva J, Lorito S, Basili R, Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment and its impact
on Tsunami Warning, Statistical Geophysics, IMS-APRM 2014 (3rd Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting), 30/06/2014-03/07/2014, Taipei (Taiwan)
(Oral)
2013
Costa A, Folch A, Macedonio G, Sandri L, Selva J, New methods of probabilistic
hazard assessment of tephra dispersal: application to the Neapolitan area , IAVCEI
2013, Forecasting Volcanic Activity, 20-24/07/2013, Kagoshima, Japan (Oral, Invited)
Sandri L, Marzocchi W, Selva J, Papale P, Rouwet D, Short-term eruption forecasting
with BET_EF: applications and results, IAVCEI 2013, Forecasting Volcanic Activity,
20-24/07/2013, Kagoshima, Japan (Oral, Invited)
Page 4 - Curriculum vitæ of
Selva, Jacopo
Selva J, Sandri L, Modello ByMuR: confronto ed interazione tra pericolosita’ e rischio
sismico e vulcanico per la citta’ di Napoli, AIQUA 2013, 19-21/06/2013, Napoli (Italy)
(Oral, solicited)
2011
Selva J, and AUTH team, Treatment of uncertainties in the systemic vulnerability
assessment, WP5 Workshop, SYNER-G project, 02/11/2011, Bureau de Recherches
Geologiques et Minieres- Scientific and Technical Centre Orleans, France. (Oral,
solicited)
2009
Selva J, Doumaz F, Reitano D, Troiano A, Vinci S, and the DIVO Consortium, DIVO
- Database for Italian VOlcanoes, AGU Fall Meeting, 14-18/12/2009 San Francisco
(USA), (Oral, invited)
2007
Marzocchi W, Selva J, Cinti FR, Montone P, Pierdominici S, Schivardi R, On the Recurrence of Large Earthquakes: Some Insights From a Model Based on a Realistic
Interacting Fault System, EGU General Assembly 2007, 15-20/04/2007 Vienna (Austria) (Oral, solicited)
Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J, Woo G, Integrating Eruption Forecasting and
Cost/Benefit Analysis for Decision Making During an Emergency: the Case of
BET_EF Applied to Vesuvius in the MESIMEX Experiment, Cities on Volcanoes V,
19-23/11/2007 Shimabara (Japan) (Oral, invited)
Convener activity
Apr. 2014
Workshop convener "Operational Techniques in Volcanic Hazard Assessment", cosponsored by EGU and IAVCEI, 24-25/04/2014, Vienna, Austria
Apr. 2014
Session convener "Advances in Assessing Short-term Hazard and Risk from Volcanic Unrest or Eruption (co-organized)", NH2 - Volcanic Hazard, 27/04/201402/05/2014, Vienna, Austria
Jul. 2013
Session chair "Forecasting volcanic hazards I", IAVCEI 2013, Forecasting Volcanic
Activity, 20-24/07/2013, Kagoshima, Japan
Dec. 2012
Session convener "Probabilistic Approaches for Tsunami Hazard Assessment",
AGU fall meeting, 3-7/12/2012 San Francisco (USA).
Jan. 2011
Workshop convener "MULTI-RISK DAY", Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (http://bymur.bo.ingv.it/frames/0_multiriskday.html), Sezione di Bologna,
25/01/2011, Bologna, Italy.
Nov. 2007
Workshop convener IAVCEI Workshop, 18/11/2007 Shimabara (Japan), Eruption
Forecasting through the Bayesian Event Tree: Moving from theory to practice with the
software package BET_EF, Warner Marzocchi and Jacopo Selva.
Jul. 2007
Workshop convener IAVCEI Workshop, 12/7/2007 Perugia, Eruption Forecasting
through the Bayesian Event Tree: Moving from theory to practice with the software
package BET_EF, Warner Marzocchi and Jacopo Selva.
Foreign languages
Italian, mother tongue.
English, written and oral, fluent.
Greek, written and oral, intermediate.
French, written and oral, scholastic.
Informatics knowledge
OS: OS-X, unix - linux (Ubuntu), Windows 95/98/2000/xp/vista/7, Ms-dos.
Page 5 - Curriculum vitæ of
Selva, Jacopo
Software: Generic Mapping Tools, ArcView, ArcGIS, Quantum GIS, Microsoft Office,
Frontpage, LaTex, Illustrator, Gnuplot, Corel Draw, PaintShopPro, Cimatron (CADCAM), etc.
Programming: Matlab, Python, Fortran, Visual Basic, php, Javascript, Html, Xml.
Other qualifications
2014
Referee for project proposals for the Marsden Fund, set by the New Zealand Government to fund excellent fundamental research in a wide range of fields in the sciences, engineering, the social sciences and the humanities, administered by the
Royal Society of New Zealand.
2010-present
Member of the recruitment commission for 3 postdoc positions.
2004-present
Referee of scientific papers (Advances in Geosciences, Annals of Geophys, Bull
Volcanol, Geophys J Int, J Applied Volcanology, J Geophyis Res, J Volcanol Geotherm
Res, Nat Haz, Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci, Surveys in Geophysics, Tectonophysics,
Terr Atm Ocean Sci).
Feb 2001-Dec 2001
Collaborations in developing CAD-CAM software and PDM (Program Data Management).
Page 6 - Curriculum vitæ of
Selva, Jacopo
Publications
ISI Journals:
2014
Selva J, Costa A, Sandri L, Marzocchi W, Probabilistic short-term volcanic hazard in
phases of unrest: a case study for tephra fallout, J. Geophys. Res., accepted
Argyroudis S, Selva J, Gehl P, Pitilakis K, Systemic seismic risk assessment of road
networks in urban areas, Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, accepted
Lorito S, Selva J, Basili R, Romano F, Tiberti MM, Piatanesi A, Probabilistic Hazard for Seismically-Induced Tsunamis: Accuracy and Feasibility of Inundation Maps,
Geophys. J. Int, accepted
2013
Selva J, Sandri L, Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment: Combining Cornell-like
approaches and data at sites through Bayesian inference, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am.
103(3):1709-1722, DOI: 10.1785/0120120091
Basili R, Tiberti MM, Kastelic V, Piatanesi A, Selva J, Lorito S, Integrating geologic
fault data into tsunami hazard studies, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences,
13:1025-1050, DOI: 10.5194/nhess-13-1025-2013
Selva J, Argyroudis S, Pitilakis K, Impact on loss/risk assessments of intermodel variability in vulnerability analysis, Natural Hazards 67(2): 723-746, DOI:
10.1007/s11069-013-0616-z
Selva J, Long-term multi-risk assessment: statistical treatment of interaction among
risks, Natural Hazards 67(2): 701-722, DOI: 10.1007/s11069-013-0599-9
Garcia-Aristizabal A, Selva J, Fujita E, Integration of stochastic models for long-term
eruption forecasting into a Bayesian event tree scheme: a basis method to estimate
the probability of volcanic unrest, Bull. Volcanol. 75:689, DOI: 10.1007/s00445-0130689-2
2012
Grezio A, Sandri L, Marzocchi W, Argnani A, Gasparini P, Selva J (2012), Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment for Messina Strait Area (Sicily - Italy), Nat. Haz.,
64:329-358, ISSN: 2191-5040, DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0246-x
Selva J, Orsi G, Di Vito MA, Marzocchi W, Sandri L (2012), Probability hazard map for
future vent opening at the Campi Flegrei caldera, Italy, Bull. Volcanol., 74, 497-510,
DOI:10.1007/s00445-011-0528-2
Brancato A, Gresta S, Sandri L, Selva J, Marzocchi W, Alparone S, Andronico D,
Bonforte A, Caltabiano T, Cocina O, Corsaro RA, Cristofolini R, Di Grazie G, Distefano G, Ferlito C, Gambino S, Giammanco S, Greco F, Napoli R, Tusa G, Viccaro M
(2012), Quantifying probabilities of eruption at a well-monitored active volcano: an
application to Mount Etna (Sicily, Italy), Boll. Geofis. Teor. Appl, 53 (1), 55-74, DOI:
10.4430/bgta0040
2011
Brancato A, Gresta S, Alparone S, Andronico D, Bonforte A, Caltabiano T, Cocina
O, Corsaro RA, Cristofolini R, Di Grazia G, Distefano G, Ferlito C, Gambino S, Giammanco S, Greco F, Napoli R, Sandri L, Selva J, Tusa G, Viccaro M (2011), Application of BET_EF at Mount Etna: a retrospective analysis (years 2001-2005), Ann.
Geophys., 54, 5, 2011; doi: 10.4401/ag-5346
2010
Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J (2010), BET_VH: a probabilistic tool for long-term
volcanic hazard assessment , Bull. Volcanol., 72 (6), 705-716, DOI:10.1007/s00445010-0357-8.
Selva J, Costa A, Marzocchi W, Sandri L (2010), BET_VH: Exploring the infuence of
natural uncertainties on long-term hazard from tephra fallout at Campi Flegrei (Italy) ,
Bull. Volcanol., 72 (6), 717-733, DOI:10.1007/s00445-010-0358-7.
Lindsay J, Marzocchi W, Jolly G, Constantinescu R, Selva J, Sandri L (2010), Towards
real-time eruption forecasting in the Auckland Volcanic Field: testing of BET_EF during the New Zealand National Disaster Exercise ’Ruaumoko’, Bull. Volcanol., 72 (2),
185-204, DOI:10.1007/s00445-009-0311-9.
Page 7 - Curriculum vitæ of
Selva, Jacopo
2009
Marzocchi W, Selva J, Cinti FR, Montone P, Pierdominici S, Schivardi R, Boschi E
(2009), On the Occurrence of Large Earthquakes: New Insights From a Model based
on Interacting Faults Embedded in a Realistic Tectonic Setting, J. Geophys. Res.,
114, B01307, doi:10.1029/2008JB005822.
Sandri L, Guidoboni E, Marzocchi W, Selva J (2009), Bayesian Event Tree for Eruption Forecasting (BET_EF) at Vesuvius, Italy: a retrospective forward application to
1631 eruption, Bull. Volcanol., 71 (7), 729-745, DOI:10.1007/s00445-008-0261-7.
Orsi G, Di Vito MA, Selva J, Marzocchi W (2009), Long-term forecasting of eruption
style and size at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy), Earth Planet. Sci. Let., 287, 265?276,
doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2009.08.013
2008
Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J (2008), BET_EF: a probabilistic tool for long- and
sort-term eruption forecasting , Bull. Volcanol., 70 (5), 623-632, doi:10.1007/s00445007-0157-y.
Marzocchi W, Selva J (2008), Long-Term Influence of Giant Earthquakes: Backward
Empirical Evidence and Forward Test, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 98, 1102-1112.
2006
Lombardi AM, Marzocchi W, Selva J (2006) Exploring the evolution of a volcanic
seismic swarm: the case of the 2000 Izu islands swarm, Geophys. Res. Let., 33,
L07310, doi:10.1029/2005GL025157.
2005
Selva J, Marzocchi W (2005), Variations of Southern California seismicity: empirical evidence and possible physical causes, J. Geophys. Res., 110, B11306,
doi:10.1029/2004JB003494.
2004
Selva J, Marzocchi W (2004), Focal parameters, depth estimation and plane selection
of the worldwide shallow seismicity with Ms ≥7.0 for the period 1900-1976. G-cubed,
5, Q05005, doi:10.1029/2003GC000669.
Selva J, Marzocchi W, Zencher F, Casarotti E, Piersanti A, Boschi E (2004), A forward
test for the interaction between remote earthquakes and volcanic eruptions: the case
of Sumatra (Jun. 2000) and Denali (Nov. 2002) earthquakes. Earth Planet. Sci. Let.,
226, 3-4, 383-395, doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2004.08.006.
2003
Marzocchi W, Selva J, Piersanti A, Boschi E (2003), On the long-term interaction
among earthquakes: Some insight from a model simulation . J. Geophys. Res., 108,
NO. B11, 2538, doi:10.1029/2003JB002390.
Other ISSN/ISBN:
2014
Rouwet D, Sandri L, Marzocchi W, Gottsmann J, Selva J, Papale P, Recognizing
volcanic hazards related to non-magmatic unrest: an event tree structure, J. Applied
Volcanology, accepted
Selva J, Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Costa A, Operational Short-term Volcanic Hazard
Analysis: Methods and Perspectives, in Volcanic hazards, risks and disasters, ed P.
Papale, ISBN: 978-0-12-396453-3
Argyroudis S, Selva J, Kakderi K, Pitilakis K, Application to the City of Thessaloniki,
in Systemic Seismic Vulnerability and Risk Assessment of Complex Urban, Lifeline
Systems and Infrastructures: The Syner-G Methodology and Applications, part II,
eds. K Pitilakis, P Franchin, B Khazai, H Wenzel, ISBN 978-94-017-8835-9
2013
Pitilakis K, Argyroudis S, Kakderi K, Selva J, Sections 1, 2, 8, 9 in Systemic seismic
vulnerability and loss assessment: Validation studies, eds K Pitilakis and S Argyroudis, ISBN 978-92-79-30840-6, ISSN 1831-9424, doi: 10.2788/16706.
Selva J, Sandri L, Marzocchi W, Papale P (2013), Stima della probabilita’ di eruzioni,
Ambiente Rischio Comunicazione, 5 (CHE SUCCEDE AI CAMPI FLEGREI?), ISSN
2240-1520.
2012
Page 8 - Curriculum vitæ of
Selva, Jacopo
Selva J, Marzocchi W, Papale P, Sandri L (2012), Operational eruption forecasting at
high-risk volcanoes: the case of Campi Flegrei, Naples, J. Applied Volcanology, 1:5,
DOI:10.1186/2191-5040-1-5
2009
Orazi M, Peluso R, D’Auria L, Caputo A, Demartin M, Franceschi D, Delladio A, Budianto A, Gunawan H, Selva J, Garcia A, Giudicepietro F, Marzocchi W, Martini M,
Surono, Boschi E (2009), Cooperazione Italia-Indonesia: un sistema per il monitoraggio sismologico del vulcano Marapi (Sumatra) , Quaderni di Geofisica, 73, ISSN
1580-2595.
2008
Selva J, Marzocchi W, Lombardi AM (2008), Monitoring the source evolution of volcanic seismic swarms through a Nonstationary ETAS modeling (NETAS) , in Conception, verification and application of innovative techniques to study active volcanoes,
Ed. Marzocchi W and A. Zollo, ISBN 978-88-89972-09-0.
Marzocchi W, Selva J, Sandri L (2008), Probabilistic Volcanic Hazard Assessment
and Eruption Forecasting: The Bayesian Event Tree approach , in Conception, verification and application of innovative techniques to study active volcanoes, Ed. Marzocchi W and A. Zollo, ISBN 978-88-89972-09-0.
Proceedings:
2011
Selva J, Kakderi K, Alexoudi M, Pitilakis K (2011), Seismic Performance of a System of Interdependent Lifeline and Infrastructure Components, 8CUEE Conference
Proceedings, March 7-8, 2011, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, Japan.
Other:
2005
Selva J (2005), Stochastical and Mathematical Modeling of Long-term Interaction
among Earthquakes and between Earthquakes and Volcanic Eruptions , Ph.D. thesis,
Alma Mater Studiorum, University of Bologna, Department of Physics.
2001
Selva J (2001), Interazione tra terremoti a grandi distanze, Master’s degree thesis,
Alma Mater Studiorum, University of Bologna, Department of Physics.
In preparation:
Grezio A, Tonini R, Sandri L, Selva J, A comprehensive Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard
Assessment: multiple sources and short-term interactions
Marzocchi W, Taroni M, Selva J, Accounting for Epistemic Uncertainty in PSHA: Logic
Tree and Ensemble Modeling (sub)
Congress presentations
Folch A, Sandri L, Costa A. Selva J, Tonini R, Macedonio G, Hazard assessment of
tephra dispersal exploring the natural variability of eruption sizes. The case of the
Neapolitan area, Cities on Volcanoes 8 - Yogyakarta - September 9-13 2014
Tierz P, Sandri L, Costa A, Zaccarelli L, Sulpizio R, Selva J, Di Vito MA, Marzocchi W,
Testing the suitability of Energy Cone for Probabilistic Volcanic Hazard Assessment: a
case study at Vesuvius and Campi Flegrei (Italy), Cities on Volcanoes 8 - Yogyakarta
- September 9-13 2014 (oral)
Sandri L, Selva J, Costa A, Macedonio G, Marzocchi W, Operational short-term Probabilistic Volcanic Hazard Assessment of tephra fallout: an example from the 19821984 unrest at Campi Flegrei, EGU General Assembly 2014, Vol. 16, EGU201410357, Vienna 27/04-02/05/2014 (Oral)
Selva J, Sandri L, Costa A, Tonini R, Folch A, Macedonio G, Exploring the full natural
variability of eruption sizes within probabilistic hazard assessment of tephra dispersal,
EGU General Assembly 2014, Vol. 16, EGU2014-7612, Vienna 27/04-02/05/2014
(Poster)
Tonini R, Selva J, Costa A, Sandri L, The pyPHaz software, an interactive tool to
analyze and visualize results from probabilistic hazard assessments, EGU General
Assembly 2014, Vol. 16, EGU2014-10663, Vienna 27/04-02/05/2014 (Oral)
Page 9 - Curriculum vitæ of
Selva, Jacopo
Tonini R, Sandri L, Costa A, Selva J, The effect of the sea on hazard assessment for
tephra fallout at Campi Flegrei: a preliminary approach through the use of pyPHaz,
an open tool to analyze and visualize probabilistic hazards, EGU General Assembly
2014, Vol. 16, EGU2014-10499, Vienna 27/04-02/05/2014 (Oral)
Taroni M, Marzocchi W, Selva J, Accounting for Epistemic Uncertainty in PSHA: Logic
Tree and Ensemble Model, EGU General Assembly 2014, Vol. 16, EGU2014-7769,
Vienna 27/04-02/05/2014 (Poster)
Lorito S, Selva J, Basili R, Romano F, Tiberti MM, Piatanesi A, Probabilistic Hazard for
Seismically-Induced Tsunamis in Complex Tectonic Contexts: Event Tree Approach to
Seismic Source Variability and Practical Feasibility of Inundation Maps, EGU General
Assembly 2014, Vol. 16, EGU2014-15409-1, Vienna 27/04-02/05/2014 (Oral)
Michelini A et al, Introducing CAT (Centro di Allerta Tsunami), the Italian candidate
Tsunami Watch Provider (It-cTWP) for the Mediterranean, EGU General Assembly
2014, Vol. 16, EGU2014-15646, Vienna 27/04-02/05/2014 (Poster)
Selva J, Costa A, Sandri L, Folch A, Macedonio G, Short-term probabilistic hazard
assessment of tephra dispersal: application to the Neapolitan area, IAVCEI 2013,
Forecasting Volcanic Activity, 20-24/07/2013, Kagoshima, Japan (Oral)
Selva J, Garcia-Aristizabal A, Di Ruocco A, Sandri L, Marzocchi W, Gasparini P,
BET_VR: a probabilistic tool for long-term volcanic risk assessment, IAVCEI 2013,
Forecasting Volcanic Activity, 20-24/07/2013, Kagoshima, Japan (Oral)
Garcia-Aristizabal A, Selva J, Di Ruocco A, Sandri L, Marzocchi W, Gasparini P,
Seismic and volcanic risk assessment in a multi-risk framework considering interactions, IAVCEI 2013, Forecasting Volcanic Activity, 20-24/07/2013, Kagoshima, Japan
(Poster)
Tonini R, Sandri L, Selva J, Marzocchi W, An operational approach to generate and visualize Bayesian probabilistic volcanic hazard curves by means of BET_VH tool, IAVCEI 2013, Forecasting Volcanic Activity, 20-24/07/2013, Kagoshima, Japan (Poster)
Garcia-Aristizabal A, Selva J, Fujita E, Integration of stochastic models for long-term
eruption forecasting into a Bayesian event tree, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting
2013, 19-24/06/2013 Makuhari Messe (Japan) (poster)
Tonini R, Selva J, BYMUR software: a free and open source tool for quantifying and
visualizing multi-risk analyses , EGU General Assembly 2013, 07-12/04/2013 Vienna
(Austria) (poster)
Selva J, ByMuR model: interaction among risks and uncertainty treatment in longterm multi-hazard/risk assessments, EGU General Assembly, 07-12/04/2013 Vienna
(Austria) (oral)
Caciagli M, Garcia A, Selva J, On the uncertainties of seismic parameters: a Bayesian
framework for their estimation using Brune[U+2019]s model, AGU fall meeting, 37/12/2012 San Francisco (USA) (poster)
Lorito S, Basili R, Selva J, Romano F, Tiberti MM, Piatanesi A, Kastelic V, PTHA
Feasibility: a Case Study in the Mediterranean, AGU fall meeting, 3-7/12/2012 San
Francisco (USA) (poster)
Grezio A, Tonini R, Selva J, Sandri L, Pierdominici S., Faenza L., Zaccarelli L., A comprehensive Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment for the city of Naples (Italy),
AGU fall meeting, 3-7/12/2012 San Francisco (USA) (poster)
Spada M, Basili R, Selva J, Lorito S, Sorensen MB, Zonker J, Babeyko AY, Romano
F, Piatanesi A, Tiberti MM, Sensitivity analysis for Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment (PTHA), AGU fall meeting, 3-7/12/2012 San Francisco (USA) (poster)
Selva J, ByMuR model: interaction among risks and uncertainty treatment in longterm multi-hazard/risk assessments, AGU fall meeting, 3-7/12/2012 San Francisco
(USA) (poster)
Grezio A, Selva J, Sandri L, A Comprehensive Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment: Multiple Sources and Short-Term Interactions, AGU fall meeting, 5-8/12/2011
San Francisco (USA)
Page 10 - Curriculum vitæ of
Selva, Jacopo
Lorito S, Piatanesi A, Romano F, Basili R, Kastelic V, Tiberti MM, Valensise G, Selva
J, Towards tsunami hazard assessment for the coasts Italy, AGU fall meeting, 58/12/2011 San Francisco (USA)
Lorito S, Piatanesi A, Romano F, Basili R, Kastelic V, Tiberti MM, Valensise G, Selva
J, Towards tsunami hazard assessment for the coasts Italy, 13th Plinius Conference on Mediterranean Storms, EGU Topical Conference Series, Savona (Italy), 07
[U+2013] 09 September 2011
Selva J, Marzocchi W, Papale P, Civetta L, Del Pezzo E, Sandri L, Community-based
short-term eruption forecasting at Campi Flegrei, 28th IUGG Conference on Mathematical Geophysics, 7-11/06/2010, Pisa (Italy)
Lorito S, Piatanesi A, Romano F, Basili R, Kastelic V, Tiberti MM, Valensise G, Selva
J, Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis for Eastern Sicily (Italy) , European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2010, 2-7/06/2010, Vienna (Austria)
Costa A, Selva J, Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Single versus multiple scenarios to assess
volcanic hazard of calderas: the example of Campi Flegrei, European Geosciences
Union General Assembly 2010, 2-7/06/2010, Vienna (Austria)
Selva J, Marzocchi W, Civetta L, Del Pezzo E, Papale P, Emergency preparedness:
community-based short-term eruption forecasting at Campi Flegrei, European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2010, 2-7/06/2010, Vienna (Austria)
Ratdomopurbo A, Newhall C, Schwandner F, Selva J, Ueda H, Toward Phase IV,
Populating the WOVOdat Database, AGU Fall Meeting, 14-18/12/2009 San Francisco
(USA), (Poster)
Boschi E, Martini M, Marzocchi W, Surono, Budianto A, Caputo A, Cattaneo M,
D’Auria L, Delladio A, De Martin M, Franceschi D, Garcia A, Giudicepietro F, Gunawan H, Orazi M, Peluso R, Selva J, Italy-Indonesia cooperation for volcano monitoring: Marapi volcano, West Sumatra, ASIAN INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON
MODELING OF VOLCANIC ERUPTION FOR VOLCANIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT,
1-4/12/2008, Bandung (Indonesia), (Poster)
Sandri L, Selva J, Marzocchi W, Woo G, Local and global co-operation in a volcanic
crisis - case studies and lessons learned Eruption forecasting during unrest episodes
with BET_EF code: real and synthetic examples from Vesuvius, Campi Flegrei, and
Auckland Volcanic Field, IAVCEI 2008 General Assembly, 17-22/7/2008 Reykjavik
(Iceland) (Oral)
Lindsay JM, Marzocchi W, Jolly G, Constantinescu R, Selva J, Sandri L, Data processing, statistics and pattern recognition in Volcanology Eruption forecasting in the
Auckland Volcanic Field: application of BET_EF during the New Zealand National Disaster Exercise Ruaumoko, IAVCEI 2008 General Assembly, 17-22/7/2008 Reykjavik
(Iceland) (Oral)
Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J, Volcano hazard mapping: present and future challenger BET_VH: a new software code for long-term Probabilistic Volcanic Hazard Assessment, IAVCEI 2008 General Assembly, 17-22/7/2008 Reykjavik (Iceland) (Oral)
Orsi G, Di Vito MA, Dell’Erba F, Quaglino M, Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J, Assessing Volcanic Hazards at the Restless Campi Flegrei Caldera, Italy, Cities on Volcanoes
V, 19-23/11/2007 Shimabara (Japan) (Oral)
Selva J, Marzocchi W, Orsi G, di Vito MA, Sandri L, Quaglino M, Costa A, The
Bayesian Event Tree for Short- and Long-term Eruption Forecasting (BET_EF)
at Campi Flegrei, Italy, Cities on Volcanoes V, 19-23/11/2007 Shimabara (Japan)
(Poster)
Schwandner FM, Selva J, Ueda H, Venezky DY, Cervelli DP, Weertman B, Stroker K,
Malone SD, Fujita E, Marzocchi W, Schilling SP, Newhall CG, WOVOdat: The World
Organization of Volcano Observatories Database of Volcanic Unrest, Cities on Volcanoes V, 19-23/11/2007 Shimabara (Japan) (Oral)
Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J, Woo G, BET at Campi Flegrei and Vesuvius, IUGG,
2-13/7/2007 Perugia (Italy) (Oral)
Page 11 - Curriculum vitæ of
Selva, Jacopo
Marzocchi W, Selva J, Cinti FR, Montone P, Pierdominici S, Schivardi R, Boschi E,
On The Recurrence Of Large Earthquakes: Some Insights From A Model Based On
A Realistic Interacting Fault System, IUGG, 2-13/7/2007 Perugia (Italy) (Oral)
Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J, Woo G, Real time volcanic hazard evaluation during
a volcanic crisis: BET_EF and MESIMEX Experiment, IUGG, 2-13/7/2007 Perugia
(Italy) (Oral)
Selva J, Lombardi AM, Marzocchi W, Exploring the evolution of volcanic seismic
swarms, IUGG, 2-13/7/2007 Perugia (Italy) (Oral)
Di Vito M, Orsi G, Dell’Erba F, Selva J, Sandri L, Marzocchi W, Quaglino M, The
Campi Flegrei resurgent caldera: volcanism, deformation and hazards, IUGG, 213/7/2007 Perugia (Italy) (Oral)
Selva J, Di Vito M, Marzocchi W, Orsi G, Quaglino M, Sandri L, Probability map of
vent opening at Campi Flegrei, Italy, IUGG, 2-13/7/2007 Perugia (Italy) (Oral)
Orsi G, Di Vito MA, Dell’Erba F, Quaglino M, Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J, Volcanic
hazards maps of the restless Campi Flegrei caldera in the Neapolitan area (Italy),
AGU Joint Assembly, 22-25/05/2007 Acapulco (Mexico) (Oral)
Marzocchi W, Sandri L, Selva J, Woo G, Real time eruption forecasting during a volcanic crisis: BET_EF and the MESIMEX experiment, EGU General Assembly 2007,
15-20/04/2007 Vienna (Austria) (Oral)
Selva J, Di Vito M, Marzocchi W, Orsi G, Quaglino M, Sandri L, Probability map of
vent opening at Campi Flegrei, Italy, EGU General Assembly 2007, 15-20/04/2007
Vienna (Austria) (Oral)
Marzocchi W, Selva J, Cinti FR, Montone P, Pierdominici S, Schivardi R, Boschi E,
On the Recurrence of Large Earthquakes: Some Insights From a Model Based on
a Realistic Interacting Fault System, AGU fall meeting, 11-15/12/2006 San Francisco
(Oral)
Marzocchi W, Selva J, Sandri L, BET-EF: A probabilistic Tool for Long- and ShortTerm Volcanic Hazard Assessment, The International Marapi Workshop 2006, 0308/09/2006 Yogyakarta (Indonesia) (Oral)
Marzocchi W, Selva J, Sandri L, BET-EF: A probabilistic Tool for Long- and ShortTerm Volcanic Hazard Assessment, EGU General Assembly 2006, 02-07/04/2006
Vienna (Austria) (Oral)
Selva J, Marzocchi W, Lombardi AM, Exploring the evolution of volcanic seismic
swarms, EGU General Assembly 2006, 02-07/04/2006 Vienna (Austria) (Oral)
Marzocchi W, Selva J, Sandri L, BET-VH: A probabilistic Tool for Long- and ShortTerm Volcanic Hazard Assessment, Cities on Volcanoes IV, 23-27/1/2006 Quito
(Equador) (Oral)
Selva J, Tallarico A, Marzocchi W, Stress state in volcanic areas due to magmatic
intrusions in presence fo fluids, Cities on Volcanoes IV, 23-27/1/2006 Quito (Equador)
(Poster)
Marzocchi W, Selva J Sandri L, BET-VH: A probabilistic Tool for Long- and Short-Term
Volcanic Hazard Assessment, AGU Fall Meeting, 5-9/12/2005 San Francisco (USA)
(Oral)
Selva J, Cinti, FR, Marzocchi W, Montone, P., Piedominici, S., and R.
Schivardi,Temporal evolution of a realistic faults system: some insights from a seimic
area in central Italy, AGU Fall Meeting, 5-9/12/2005 San Francisco (USA) (Poster)
Selva J, Marzocchi W, Variations of Southern California Seismicity: Empirical Evidence and Possible Physical Causes, AGU Joint Assembly, 23-27/05/2005 New Orleans (USA) (Poster)
Selva J, Casarotti E, Marzocchi W, Does the Great Sumatrian Earthquake (Dic. 2004)
Significantly Influence the Surrounding Volcanic Systems?, AGU Joint Assembly, 2327/05/2005 New Orleans (USA) (Poster)
Selva J, Marzocchi W, Interazione tra terremoti: una applicazione alla Caliornia
meridionale, Workshop Modelli non lineari ed analisi statistica in sismologia, 1314/05/2004 Cetraro (Italy), (Oral)
Page 12 - Curriculum vitæ of
Selva, Jacopo
Selva J, Marzocchi W, Zencher F, A forward look at the interaction between remote
earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, and its implication on the volcanic hazard: the
case of Sumatra (Jun. 2000) and Denali (Nov. 2002) earthquakes, AGU Fall Meeting,
12/12/2003 San Francisco (USA), (Oral)
Marzocchi W, Selva J, Piersanti A, On the long-term interaction among earthquakes:
some insight from a model simulation, EGS-AGU-EGU Joint Assembly, 6-11/04/2003
Nice (France), (Poster)
Marzocchi W, Selva J, Piersanti A, On the long-term interaction among earthquakes:
some insight from a model simulation, AGU Fall Meeting, 6-10/12/2002 San Francisco
(USA), (Oral)
Marzocchi W, Faenza L, Selva J, Considerazioni sulla validita’ dell’ipotesi del gap
sismico, GNGTS 2001, 6-8/11/2001 Roma (Oral)
Bologna, 20 October 2014
Jacopo Selva
Page 13 - Curriculum vitæ of
Selva, Jacopo