The Socio Economic Development of the Marine Sector in the Atlantic Area Stephen Hynes Overview • SEMRU and its role in Marine Socioeconomic analysis • Defining Ocean and Coastal Economies in the Atlantic Area • Regional Perspective importance within context of MSFD • MARNET proposal SEMRU Building Socioeconomic Marine Research Capacity Being a focus for socio-economic marine research in Ireland; establishing an international research reputation; run a marine socioeconomic PhD programme; developing national and international research networks will marine stakeholders Constructing Databases, Monitoring the Evolution of the Marine Sector and Underpinning Policy Modelling and analysis of the marine sector and monitoring it’s evolution and competitiveness; supporting policy formulation for value added enhancement of the marine sector. Developing a Credible Research Programme Expanding and deepening the existing research programme through winning additional funding SEMRU Research Programme Macroeconomy Policy Coastal Economy Society Ocean Economy Environment Marine Industries Consumer • Analyse using social science investigation tools issues relating to : – Marine Economics – Environmental Econ. – Coastal Sociology – Coastal Geography – Spatial Analysis Some current research projects • The impact of regulation on the development of the marine industry in Ireland • The role of the consumer in driving sustainable consumption of seafood • Impact of the marine sector on the local economy and employmentEconomic evaluation of the marine based energy sources • Measuring the non-market benefits of the marine ecosystem services and resources in Ireland • Analysing the impact of human economic activity on Irish water quality • Irish fisheries knowledge project • Benefit Transfer for Irish Water • Socio economic effects of management measures of the future CFP Atlantic Area’s Ocean and Coastal Economies • The Ocean Economy – the economic activity, which indirectly or directly uses the ocean as an input. • The Coastal Economy – all economic activity which takes place in a specified coastal region; the sum of employment, wages, and output in the region. • Ocean economy sub section of the coastal economy. The Coastal and Ocean economies are Not the Same Economic Activity Along the Coast Coastal Economy Economic Activity Using the Marine as an Input Ocean Economy Coastal regions of EU Sea basins Official statistics availability at NUTS 3 Level Data Type Socio-Economic Data in coastal regions Population Gender Breakdown Ages and Marital Status Education Qualifications Housing Statistics Labour market in coastal regions Employment and Unemployment Rates Economic Data on Coastal Regions Gross Domestic Product Gross Value Added by Sector Primary Sector Data Sea Fish Landings by Port Secondary Sector Data Maritime Transport of Goods and Passengers Tertiary sector Data Hotels located in Coastal areas Available from Eurostat statistics Coastal Economy Statistics Coastal regions GDP per capita by Sea basins, 2007 Coastal regions GDP per capita, 2006 Other Interesting Statistics Landings of Marine animals, tonnes, 2007 Density of tourism capacity in coastal regions, by NUTS 3 regions, 2007 Camping and hotel bed places per km2, 2007 Coastal Economy Statistic for Ireland Data Type Population/Ages/Marital Status/Gender Education / Housing Statistics Affluence Index Score Economic Status/ Occupations (Un)employment Rates/Industries GDP/GVA by sector HH Income/Wages and Saleries Sea Fish Landings by Port Farm Holdings/Livestock Density Farm size/Farm Type/Crops Family Farm Income/Gross Margin Maritime Transport of Goods and Passengers Hotels, Guest Houses and B&B (Statistics on Rooms and Bed numbers) Accommodation Figures Shoreline ED Coastal County EU Coast (NUT3) Eurostat Failte Ireland An Post Geo Directory Data Source Census of Population Census of Population Haase & Pratschke (2008) Census of Population Census of Population CSO Data CSO Data CSO Data Census of Agriculture Census of Agriculture NFS/SMILE Model Industries in the Atlantic Ocean Economy Marine Services Sector Ship Owners Port & Maritime Logistics* Marine Tourism International Cruise High Tech Services Marine Commerce Other Services Marine Resources Sector Fisheries* Aquaculture* Marine Manufacturing Seafood Processing* Seaweed & Biotechnology Oil & Gas* Renewable Energy Marine Engineering* Other Marine Manufacturing Boat Building* Marine Construction* • Ocean Economy quantified in France, Ireland and UK. Indices of marine subsectoral activity available in Portugal, information not available in Spain. •No consistency across available data in Atlantic area The Irish Ocean and Coastal Economy The Irish Ocean and Coastal Economy •Turnover of €3.4 billion •€1.44 billion was attributable to GVA •Employed 17,000 FTE. Direct GVA (€’000) Marine Services Sub Total Marine Resources Sub Total •Shoreline ED Economy €44.3billion Marine Services Sub Total Marine Resources Sub Total Marine Manufacturing Marine Manufacturing •Provided 1% of Ireland’s total GDP in 2007 •Coastal County Economy €149 billion Direct Employment 9% 8% 26% 38% 66% 53% Marine Strategy Framework Directive • Article 24 of Directive 2008/56/EC of the European Parliament and Council: “As a first step in the preparation of programmes of measures, Member States across a marine region or subregion should undertake an analysis of the features or characteristics of, and pressures and impacts on, their marine waters, identifying the predominant pressures and impacts on those waters, and an economic and social analysis of their use and of the cost of degradation of the marine environment”. The initial ESA under the MSFD in the Atlantic Area • An economic analysis – Atlantic Area’s Ocean Economy • A social analysis – Defining Statistical Coastal Regions for Atlantic Area and describing the socio-economic characteristics there in. • The cost of degradation of the marine environment – Compiling non-market marine ecosystem service data and scenario building for Atlantic Area MARNET Project Proposal • Marine Atlantic Regions Network – Creation of a European Atlantic Periphery Marine Socio-Economic Network – Put in place a formal network charter. • Develop a methodology for the collection of marine socioeconomic indicators across the European Atlantic Periphery at an appropriate spatial scale and with results that are comparable across partner countries • Marine Socio-Economic Indicator Atlas for the European Atlantic Arc • 10 Partners from 5 Atlantic Arc countries Key Factors driving the Atlantic Marine Economy • Macro-Economic Issues – Transport dependent on industrial production, exports on world demand – Industry sensitive to cyclical trends – Foreign Exchange Fluctuations • Oil Prices – Dominates shipping, offshore and related marine activities • Environmental and other Regulations – CFP, Habitats Directive, MSFD, etc • Climate change Climate Change Adaption and Inaction Cost Estimates versus Actual in the Atlantic Area Scientific cost of Inaction Scientific cost of per annum (€millions), Adaption per annum 1995 -2020 (€millions), 1995 -2020 Actual average cost of Adaption per annum (€millions), 1998-2015 Country Low SLR (22.6cm) High SLR (50.8cm) Low SLR (22.6cm) High SLR (50.8cm) UK Spain France 595 36 411 760 52 439 99 21 58 174 41 110 116 52 11 Portugal Ireland 9 26 9 72 11 27 22 46 7 5 Source: PESETA (2009)