Advanced analytical approaches in ecological data analysis The world comes in fragments Early plant succession in the post brown cole mining area Chicken Creak 2005 2010 Succession starts with colonising species from a regional species pool and from the initial seed bank Multivariate approaches to biodiversity Sites Variables Interdependence matrix X Species trait matrix T Species Species Species Traits Phylogenetic distance matrix P Environmental variable matrix V Sites L Why are species abundant or rare? What determines community composition? How does a community function in space and time? Site GPS location matrix D Sites Species Variables Traits Species abundance matrix M The interplay between traits, phylogeny, and species occurrences Phylogenetic distance matrix P Traits and phylogeny are closely related. Trait distance correlates positively with phylogenetic distance Niche conservatism Sites Species Species trait matrix T Species Species Species Traits Species abundance matrix M Competition: niche conservatism causes phylogenetically close species to cooccur less common. Habitat filtering causes species with similar traits (close in phylogeny) to cooccur more frequent. As species of the same genus have usually, though by no means invariably, some similarity in habits and constitution, and always in structure, the struggle will generally be more severe between species of the same genus, when they come into competition with each other, than between species of distinct genera. (Darwin 1859) Early succession Regional pool of potential colonizers Regional pool of species Environmental filters Facilitation Regional pool of species Random colonization Phylogenetic Phylogenetic clumping segregation No phylogenetic No phylogenetic structure structure Local colonizers Later succession Positive interactions Phylogenetic clumping Competition Phylogenetic segregation Local community structure Neutral interactions No phylogenetic signal Species trait matrix T Species Species Species Traits Phylogenetic distance matrix P Mantel test A Mantel test is a correlation between two distance matrices. We have to transform the trait matrix into a distance matrix and correlate with the phylogeny matrix. Mantel test Agrosti Achillea Agrosti s_stolo Agrosti _panno s_capill nifera_ s_vinea nica aris agg. lis S Achillea_pannoni ca 0.0 Agrostis_capillari s 179.0 Agrostis_stolonif era_agg. 179.0 Agrostis_vinealis 179.0 179.0 179.0 179.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 0.0 2.5 2.5 0.0 Agrosti Achillea Agrosti s_stolo Agrostis _panno s_capill nifera_ _vineali nica aris agg. s S Achillea_pannon ica 0.0 Agrostis_capillari s 179.0 Agrostis_stolonif era_agg. 179.0 Agrostis_vinealis 179.0 2.5 2.5 179.0 179.0 179.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 0.0 2.5 2.5 0.0 R = -0.04; P(r=0) = 0.37 Plant traits and phylogeny in the year 2011 are not correlated. Why?? We averaged over all traits Trait Trait 10 10 Blue eyes 5 5 10 10 Blue eyes 15 8 Blue eyes 12 15 Blue eyes Brown eyes 8 12 Brown eyes The trait ‚brown eyed’ is phylogenetically conserved. Closely related species have the same eye colour Blue eyes: (10+5+10+15)/3=10 10 10 12 Brown eyes Blue eyes Brown eyes 12 Blue eyes Eye colour is phylogenetically not conserved. Blue eyes: (10+5+15++10+ 8+12)/3=20 Compare these phylogenetic distances per trait with those expected from a random (Brownian motion ) phylogeny. Brownian motion Brownian motion is the standard method to generate random phylogenetic trees 1. Start with a pixel 2. Take a second pixel and move at random until it sticks to the first 3. Repeat two until the desired number of end-tips is reached. Brownian motion generates random trees and can simulate the evolution of traits along this trees. Brownian motion (random walk) along a phylogeny Blue eyes Blue eyes Blue eyes Blue eyes Blue – brown boundary Brown eyes ππ(π‘) = πππ΅(π‘) Start 0 1 0.002168 2+B2+0.5*(LOS()-0.5) Compare the observed pattern of blue and brown with those generated by many Brownian motion trees. Moran’s I as a test of phylogenetic signal π πΌ= π π π π€ππ π π€ππ π π₯π − π₯ π₯π − π₯ π₯π − π₯ 2 I is similar to a weighed coefficient of correlation. n 1 2 3 4 5 Mean X 0.83 3.38 9.18 9.85 4.71 5.59 Diagonal sum n 59.35 5 Sum 8.99 πΈπ₯π πΌ = Sum I −1 π−1 -11.51 -0.108 M X-M -4.76 -2.21 3.59 4.26 -0.88 -4.76 22.66 10.52 -17.09 -20.28 4.19 W wij wij wij wij wij wij 0 0.69 0.46 0.12 0.45 WM 1 1 0 2 7.25852 3 -7.8607 4 -2.4333 5 1.88496 Expected I -0.25 w defines the strength of distance effects. where n is the number of data points. -2.21 10.52 4.88 -7.93 -9.41 1.94 X-M 3.59 -17.09 -7.93 12.89 15.29 -3.16 4.26 -20.28 -9.41 15.29 18.15 -3.75 -0.88 4.19 1.94 -3.16 -3.75 0.77 wij 0.4 0 0.87 0.03 0.02 wij 0.74 0.15 0 0.56 0.64 wij 0.18 0.53 0.75 0 0.94 wij 0.4 0.47 0.32 0.27 0 2 4.2078 0 -6.9025 -0.2824 0.0389 3 -12.645 -1.1901 0 8.5643 -2.0219 4 -3.65 -4.9897 11.4701 0 -3.5239 5 1.6755 0.9141 -1.011 -1.012 0 Pagel’s lambda Species K P(K) Lamb P(Lamb da da) Species Morphological traits Canopy height (m) K P(K) Lamb P(Lamb da da) Reproductive traits 1.20 0.001 1.00 <0.001 0.07 0.324 0.88 0.001 Leaf mass [mg] 0.11 0.155 1.00 Leaf size [mm2] 0.10 0.138 Life span 0.07 Max releasing height [m] Average month of 0.11 0.004 0.00 1.000 Duration of flowering 0.04 0.743 0.13 0.135 0.001 Duration of seedling 0.04 0.505 0.00 1.000 0.98 0.003 Early month flowering 0.08 0.028 0.80 <0.001 0.014 0.50 0.020 0.05 0.226 0.00 1.000 2.11 0.001 1.00 <0.001 Latest month flowering 0.14 0.001 0.82 <0.001 Min releasing height [m] 0.78 0.003 1.00 <0.001 0.19 0.001 0.52 0.085 Specific leaf area mm2/mg 0.06 0.048 <0.01 1.000 0.06 0.054 0.63 0.002 0.10 0.012 0.89 <0.001 Mean seed weight 0.13 0.084 1.00 <0.001 Stem erect % 0.11 0.006 0.96 <0.001 Seed bank longevity 0.06 0.074 0.00 1.000 Terminal velocity m/s 0.06 0.120 0.58 <0.001 Type reproduction 0.05 0.179 0.22 0.011 Emergent attached to substrate Stem ascending to prostrate % seedling Early month seed shedding Latest month seed shedding ln (Seeds per shoot) Species K P(K) Lamb P(Lamb da da) Species Habitat requirements K P(K) Lamb P(Lamb da da) Molecular traits Light 0.04 0.506 0.22 0.063 Polyploidy 0.05 0.251 0.40 0.001 Soil fertility 0.06 0.154 <0.01 1.000 Chromosome number 8.62 0.001 1.00 <0.001 pH 0.05 0.251 <0.01 1.000 DNA content 0.39 0.001 0.75 <0.001 Nitrogen 0.05 0.126 <0.01 1.000 Life strategy type 0.06 0.133 0.39 1.000 Grazing tolerance 0.03 0.855 <0.01 1.000 Hemerobic level 0.05 0.142 <0.01 1.000 Morphological and genetic plant traits are phylogenetically more conserved than life history, reproductive, and ecological traits. Ungulates 10 Body size Species daily home range Large size Small home range Large size Small home range Large size Small size Small home range Large home range Without phylogenetic knowledge we would link body size to home range in a functional manner. Small size Large home range Phylogenetic pseudoreplication 5 10 10 15 8 12 12 Mammal predators Home range and body size are linked by common phylogeny. They are phylogenetically preserved. Phylogenetic regression accounts for the phylogenetic non-independence of variables Species trait matrix T Species Species Species Traits Phylogenetic distance matrix P Eigenvector methods Every square matrix M has a vector U so that M π΄πΌ = ππΌ x U =l U (π΄ − ππ°)πΌ = 0 U: Eigenvector l: Eigenvalue I: Identity matrix Because both sides of the equation are equal the right side contains the same information as the left side. The eigenvector U contains the information in M in a condensed form. Species Leaf mass [mg] Achillea_pannonica 82.3 Agrostis_capillaris 61.0 Agrostis_stolonifera 61.0 _agg. Agrostis_vinealis 1.4 Ajuga_genevensis 18.0 Leaf Apera_spica_venti 61.0 Species mass Arenaria_serpyllifol [mg] 0.2 ia_agg. Artemisia_vulgaris_ Achillea_pannonica 1.32 61.0 agg. Agrostis_capillaris 0.60 Agrostis_stolonifera 0.60 _agg. Agrostis_vinealis -1.41 Ajuga_genevensis -0.85 Apera_spica_venti Arenaria_serpyllifol ia_agg. Artemisia_vulgaris_ agg. 0.60 -1.45 0.60 Specific ln Leaf leaf Mean Grazing Life Soil Nitro (Seeds DNA size Light pH area seed toleran fertility gen per content 2 span 2 [mm ] mm /m weight ce shoot) g 567.8 5 7 3 6 2 6.3 8.1 19.1 0.1 5.1 1147.9 5 7 0 4 4 5.3 26.8 7.1 0.1 5.0 1147.9 5 8 7 0 5 12.1 22.8 7.0 22.8 5 9 9 3 2 4.3 15.6 6.9 Specific ln 365.5 5 8 3 7 2 12.1 25.8 5.9 Leaf leaf Life Soil DNA 1147.9 1 Light 6 6 5 Nitro 0 (Seeds 8.5 0.0 10.8 size pH area fertility gen per content 2 span 2 [mm /m 1.7 3.6 ] 0.5 8 4 7 0 shoot) 6.0 mm 16.1 g -0.26 0.58 -0.66 0.76 -0.66 2.31 1147.9 5 -0.58 7 6 0 -0.35 8 12.8 -0.63 0.0 6.0 0.94 0.58 -0.58 -1.80 0.00 0.45 -0.98 1.23 -0.20 0.94 0.58 0.58 -1.39 0.58 1.73 -0.68 0.58 0.58 0.94 -1.73 1.59 -1.43 0.58 1.86 0.94 0.85 -1.51 0.84 0.1 9.0 0.1 2.0 1.8 Grazing 5.1 Mean 0.1 toleran 5.1 seed weight ce 0.1 5.1 -0.38 0.1 -0.38 -0.05 5.1 -0.10 1.13 0.83 -0.22 -0.38 2.17 1.61 -0.38 -0.35 -1.27 -0.66 1.13 -0.35 1.13 0.12 1.13 -0.24 -0.45 -0.38 2.65 -1.80 -0.05 0.47 0.04 -1.43 0.57 -0.38 -0.05 -0.28 1.13 -1.14 -0.75 0.17 -1.33 -0.38 -0.05 -1.43 -0.43 -0.38 -0.05 0.38 -1.14 0.58 -0.58 0.47 -1.51 2.03 =(S12ΕREDNIA(S$4:S$11))/ODCH.STAND.POPUL(S$4:S $11) 1.36 We use Z-transforms to normalize the trait values Agros tis_st Agrosti Apera Achillea_p Agrostis_c Ajuga_gen Species olonif s_vine _spica annonica apillaris evensis era_a alis _venti gg. Achillea_pannonica 0.00 3.79 5.37 5.58 5.43 3.77 Agrostis_capillaris 3.79 0.00 4.54 5.61 4.79 4.75 Agrostis_stolonifera_agg. 5.37 4.54 0.00 6.01 5.45 5.44 Agrostis_vinealis 5.58 5.61 6.01 0.00 5.35 6.04 Ajuga_genevensis 5.43 4.79 5.45 5.35 0.00 5.93 Apera_spica_venti 3.77 4.75 5.44 6.04 5.93 0.00 Arenaria_serpyllifolia_agg 5.58 5.06 6.18 4.28 4.69 4.81 . Artemisia_vulgaris_agg. 5.13 4.76 3.61 5.96 5.98 4.74 Arenari Artemisia a_serp _vulgaris_ yllifolia agg. _agg. 5.58 5.06 6.18 4.28 4.69 4.81 5.13 4.76 3.61 5.96 5.98 4.74 0.00 6.52 6.52 0.00 The Euclidean distance matrix Eigenvalues -8.80 -6.78 -5.67 -4.74 -4.09 -3.44 -2.84 36.35 Squared eigenvalues 77.43 45.96 32.16 22.44 16.70 11.81 8.08 1321.43 Explained variance 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.86 The dominant eigenvector (DEV) contains 86% of variance in the distance matrix. Dominant 2nd eigenvector eigenvector 0.340 0.139 0.328 0.130 0.356 0.406 0.374 -0.449 0.364 -0.283 0.347 0.139 0.360 -0.513 0.357 0.484 Traits Eigenvalue S Achillea_pannonica Agrostis_capillaris Agrostis_stolonifer Agrostis_vinealis Ajuga_genevensis Apera_spica_venti Arenaria_serpyllifo DEV phylogeny 1 2011 104786 DEV 0.249299 0.202592 0.202402 0.331781 0.271579 0.202506 0.336897 Phylogeny Eigenvalue S Achillea_pannonica Agrostis_capillaris Agrostis_stolonifer Agrostis_vinealis Ajuga_genevensis Apera_spica_venti Arenaria_serpyllifo 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0 DEV contains information on the average distance of species in niche space Trait Spearman's r Leaf_mass_[mg] 0.12525 Leaf_size_[mm2] 0.055584 Life_span 0.14348 Light -0.13865 Soil_fertility 0.007277 pH -0.01992 Nitrogen -0.06805 ln_(Seeds_per_shoot) 0.10293 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 Specific_leaf_area_m m2/mg 0.049542 DEV traits DNA_content 0.022556 None of the traits is correlated to Mean_seed_weight 0.097499 phylogenetic distance. Grazing_tolerance -0.03174 R² = 9E-05 0.8 19855 DEV 0.296259 0.318521 0.318521 0.318521 0.323584 0.318354 0.318607 Ecological niches Species Achillea_pannonica Agrostis_capillaris Agrostis_stolonifera_ agg. Agrostis_vinealis Ajuga_genevensis Apera_spica_venti Arenaria_serpyllifolia _agg. Artemisia_vulgaris_a gg. Leaf mass [mg] 1.32 0.60 Specific ln leaf Mean Grazing Leaf size Life Soil Nitrog (Seeds DNA Light pH area seed toleranc [mm2] span fertility en per content 2 mm /m weight e shoot) g -0.26 0.58 -0.58 -0.66 0.76 -0.35 -0.66 -0.63 2.31 -0.38 -0.05 0.94 0.58 -0.58 -1.80 0.00 0.45 -0.98 1.23 -0.20 -0.38 -0.10 0.60 0.94 -1.41 -0.85 0.60 -1.51 0.84 1.13 0.83 -0.22 -0.38 2.17 -1.39 0.58 1.73 -0.68 0.58 0.58 0.94 -1.59 -1.73 1.61 -0.38 -0.35 -0.66 1.13 -0.35 0.47 0.38 -1.14 -1.27 1.13 0.04 0.12 1.13 -1.43 -0.24 -0.45 0.57 -0.38 2.65 -0.38 -1.80 -0.05 -0.05 -1.45 -1.43 -1.86 0.58 -0.28 1.13 -1.14 -0.75 0.17 -1.33 -0.38 -0.05 0.60 0.94 0.47 -1.51 2.03 1.36 -1.43 -0.43 -0.38 -0.05 Dominant 2nd eigenvector eigenvector 0.340 0.139 0.328 0.130 0.356 0.406 0.374 -0.449 0.364 -0.283 0.347 0.139 0.360 -0.513 0.357 0.484 0.58 0.58 0.58 -0.58 0.85 Convex hulls, eigenvector ellipses, and functional attribute diversity Soil fertility 1.5 1 l1 EV2 EV1 The area of the eigenvector ellipse is a measure of niche space l1 0.5 π΄ = ππ1 π2 0 0.4 0.6 Eigenvalues 1.58 EV1 0.71 -0.71 0.70 EV2 0.71 0.71 Eigenvectors are always orthogonal. 0.8 1 1.2 Light 1.4 The niche space spanned by light and soil fertility spans 3.47 units. Compare these value with those obtained from a null model 3.47 = π × 1.58 × 0.70 1.6 Axes length are given by the respective eigenvalues The larger the niche space is the higher is the functional diversity of a community or a species. Convex hulls CH Soil fertility 1.5 1 The area of a convex hull is a measure of total niche space. 0.5 0 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Light 1.4 1.6 Two dimensional convex hulls are easy to calculate. 1 π΄ = 2 (π₯1 π¦2 -π₯2 π¦1 + π₯2 π¦3 − π₯3 π¦2 +…+π₯π−1 π¦π − π₯π π¦π−1 + π₯π π¦1 − π₯1 π¦π High dimensional convex hull are difficult to obtain. Functional attribute diversity FAD Achillea_ Agrostis_ Agrosti Ajuga_ Agrostis_c Species pannoni stolonife s_vine geneve apillaris ca ra_agg. alis nsis Achillea_pannonica 0.00 3.79 5.37 5.58 5.43 Agrostis_capillaris 3.79 0.00 4.54 5.61 4.79 Agrostis_stolonifera_agg. 5.37 4.54 0.00 6.01 5.45 Agrostis_vinealis 5.58 5.61 6.01 0.00 5.35 Ajuga_genevensis 5.43 4.79 5.45 5.35 0.00 Apera_spica_venti 3.77 4.75 5.44 6.04 5.93 Arenaria_serpyllifolia_agg. 5.58 5.06 6.18 4.28 4.69 Apera_ Arenaria_ spica_v serpyllifol enti ia_agg. 3.77 5.58 4.75 5.06 5.44 6.18 6.04 4.28 5.93 4.69 0.00 4.81 4.81 0.00 2 πππ πΉπ΄π· = ;π > 1 π(π − 1) πΉπ΄π· = 5.58 + 5.43 + 5.58 + 5.35 + 4.28 + 4.69 = 5.15 6 Raw FAD scores are meaningless. You have to compare these scores with an appropriate null model of species occurrences. Sites 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 Total raw functional attribute diversity (grey bars) increased while the respective SES scores of FAD (red bars) and convex hulls (blue bars) decrease during succession when compared to a neutral null model . High plant cover decreased an species richness increases standardized effect sizes of FAD (neutral null model) in all study years. 2011 Soil characteristics did not significantly influence SES FAD (functional diversity). 2006 Regression coefficients The evolutionary dimension of species occurrences Eigenvector mapping, eigenvector regression, logistic eigenvector regressiuon EV1EV2 Sites Species Species Species Phylogenetic distance matrix P Significant eigenvectors Species abundance matrix M π¨ = πΌπ· The explained variance r2 of this regression is a measure of the influence of evolutionary history on species abundances. Net relatedness index S Achillea_pannonica Agrostis_capillaris Agrostis_stolonifera_agg . Agrostis_vinealis Ajuga_genevensis Apera_spica_venti Agrostis_st Achillea_p Agrostis_c Agrostis_vi Ajuga_gen Apera_spic olonifera_ annonica apillaris nealis evensis a_venti agg. 0.0 179.0 179.0 179.0 117.0 179.0 179.0 0.0 2.5 2.5 179.0 6.7 M7-2 0.5 0.5 179.0 2.5 0.0 2.5 179.0 6.7 0 179.0 117.0 179.0 2.5 179.0 6.7 2.5 179.0 6.7 0.0 179.0 6.7 179.0 0.0 179.0 6.7 179.0 0.0 0 Phylogenetic distance matrix 179 + 117 + 179 π ππ€ ππ πΌ = = 158 3 The raw net relatedness index is the phylogenetic distance of all species present at a focal site. πππ€ ππ πΌ − ππππππππ§ππ πππ€ ππ πΌ ππ πΌ = − πππππππππ§ππ πππ€ ππ πΌ NRI increases with increasing phylogenetic clustering 0.5 0 Abundance vector M7-2 Calculate the raw NRI from 1000 randomized abundance matrices 0 0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0 Randomized bundance vector NRI2011 4 NTI2011 4 3.5 3.5 3 3 2.5 2.5 2 2 1.5 1.5 1 1 0.5 0.5 0 0 -0.5 -0.5 -1 -1 -1.5 -1.5 -2 -2 -2.5 -2.5 -3 -3 -3.5 -3.5 -4 -4 -4.5 -4.5 -5 -5 -5.5 -5.5 -6 -6 -6.5 -6.5 -7 -7 -7.5 -7.5 -8 -8 -8.5 -8.5 -9 -9 -9.5 -9.5 Relating phylogenetic patterns to environmental variables NRI Variables Constant Study year Species richness Abundance Soil carbon Sand pH B Error B t p 1305.600 121.690 10.729 <0.0001 -0.651 0.061 -10.746 <0.0001 Phylogenetic eigenvector regression r2 B Error B t p -15.484 3.2963 -4.697 <0.0001 0.008 0.0016 4.748 <0.0001 0.193 0.016 11.947 <0.0001 0.001 0.0004 2.538 0.011 -0.023 0.345 0.008 -0.008 0.002 0.096 0.011 0.127 -13.173 <0.0001 3.588 <0.0001 0.699 0.484 -0.066 0.947 0.001 -0.008 -0.001 -0.002 0.0000 0.0026 0.0003 0.0034 22.931 <0.0001 -3.118 0.002 -3.746 <0.0001 -0.610 0.542