Financial Accounting Theory Craig Deegan Chapter 7 Positive accounting theory Slides written by Craig Deegan and Michaela Rankin Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-1 Learning objectives • In this chapter you will be introduced to – how a positive theory differs from a normative theory – the origins of Positive Accounting Theory (PAT) – the perceived role of accounting in minimising the transaction costs of an organisation – how accounting can be used to reduce the costs associated with various political processes – how particular accounting-based agreements with parties such as debtholders and managers can provide incentives for managers to manipulate accounting numbers – some criticisms of PAT Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-2 Positive compared to normative theories • A positive theory seeks to explain and predict particular phenomena • Normative theories prescribe how a particular practice should be undertaken – the prescription might depart from existing practice Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-3 Positive Accounting Theory defined • PAT ‘… is concerned with explaining accounting practice. It is designed to explain and predict which firms will and which firms will not use a particular method … but it says nothing as to which method a firm should use.’ (Watts and Zimmerman 1986, p. 7) Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-4 Positive accounting theory defined (cont.) • Focuses on relationships between various individuals and how accounting is used to assist in the functioning of these relationships • Examples of relationships – owners and managers – managers and the firm’s debt providers Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-5 Assumptions underlying PAT • All individuals’ action is driven by self-interest and individuals will act in an opportunistic manner to the extent that the actions will increase their wealth – does not incorporate notions of loyalty or morality Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-6 Origins of PAT • Started coming to prominence in mid-1960s – paradigm shift from normative theories • dominant research paradigm in 1970s and 1980s – shift resulted from US reports on business education, and improved computing facilities enabling large-scale statistical analysis Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-7 Origins of PAT—capital markets research • Development of Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH) by Fama and others – capital markets react in an efficient and unbiased manner to publicly available information • Ball and Brown (1968) paper was crucial to the acceptance of the positive research paradigm – investigated stock market reaction to accounting earnings announcements Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-8 Origins of PAT—capital markets research (cont.) • Price of a security based on beliefs about present value of future cash flows • Ball and Brown found that earnings announcements impacted share prices – evidence that historical cost information is useful to the market • Literature unable to explain why particular accounting methods selected Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-9 Origins of PAT—Agency theory • Explained why the selection of particular accounting methods might matter • Focused on the relationships between principals and agents – e.g. shareholders and managers • Information asymmetries create much uncertainty – transaction costs and information costs exist Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-10 Agency relationship • Defined by Jensen and Meckling (1976) – ‘a contract under which one or more (principals) engage another person (the agent) to perform some service on their behalf which involves delegating some decisionmaking authority to the agent’ • Relies on traditional economics literature – assumptions of self-interest and wealth maximisation Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-11 Price protection • In the absence of contractual mechanisms to restrict agents’ potentially opportunistic behaviour the principal will pay the agent a lower salary – compensates principals for adverse actions • Agents will therefore have incentives to enter contracts which appear to limit actions detrimental to agents Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-12 Agency costs • Monitoring costs – costs of monitoring agents’ behaviour – e.g. auditing financial statements • Bonding costs – costs involved in agents bonding their behaviour to expectations of principals – e.g. preparing financial statements • Residual loss – too costly to remove all opportunistic behaviour Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-13 Role of accounting in contracts • Accounting information used to reduce agency costs • Used as monitoring and bonding mechanisms to control the efforts of self-interested agents Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-14 Key hypotheses • Three key hypotheses frequently used in PAT literature to explain and predict support or opposition to an accounting method – bonus plan hypothesis – debt hypothesis – political cost hypothesis • Research assumes managers will act opportunistically when selecting methods Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-15 Bonus plan hypothesis • Managers of firms with bonus plans are more likely to use accounting methods that increase current period reported income – also called management compensation hypothesis – action increases the present value of bonuses paid to management Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-16 Debt hypothesis • The higher the firm’s debt/equity ratio, the more likely managers use accounting methods that increase income – also called debt/equity hypothesis – the higher the debt/equity ratio, the closer the firm is to the constraints in debt covenants – covenant violation results in costs of technical default Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-17 Political cost hypothesis • Large firms rather than small firms are more likely to use accounting choices that reduce reported profits – size is a proxy variable for political attention – reduction of reported income is hypothesised to reduce the possibility that people will argue that the organisation is exploiting other parties Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-18 Two perspectives adopted by PAT research • Efficiency perspective • Opportunistic perspective Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-19 Efficiency perspective • Researchers explain how contracting mechanisms minimise agency costs of the firm • Known as ex ante perspective – mechanisms put in place up front to minimise future agency and contracting costs • Managers select accounting methods which most efficiently reflect underlying firm performance • PAT theorists argue that regulation forcing firms to use a particular accounting method imposes unwarranted costs Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-20 Opportunistic perspective • Seeks to explain managers’ actions once contracts are already in place • Not possible to write complete contracts, so managers are assumed to opportunistically act to maximise own wealth • Known as ex post perspective – considers opportunistic actions after the fact Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-21 Owner/manager contracting • Assuming self-interest, owners expect managers (agent) to undertake activities not always in the interest of owners (principal) • Managers have access to information not always available to principals – information asymmetry – further increases managers’ ability to undertake activities beneficial to themselves • Costs of divergent behaviour are agency costs Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-22 Owner/manager contracting (cont.) • In the absence of controls to reduce opportunistic behaviour, agents (managers) expected to undertake activities disadvantageous to the value of the firm • Principals price this into the amounts they are prepared to pay the manager • Managers may contract themselves not to consume perks so will receive higher salary – known as bonding Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-23 Methods of rewarding managers • Fixed basis—salary independent of performance – manager may not take great risks as does not share in potential gains • Salary plus remuneration is, in part, tied to firm performance – known as bonus schemes Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-24 Bonus schemes • Remuneration can be tied to – profits of the firm – sales of the firm – return on assets • All based on output from the accounting system • May also be rewarded in line with market price of the firm’s shares Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-25 Accounting-based bonus plans • Any changes in accounting methods will affect the bonuses paid – may occur as a result of a new accounting standard in place • Contracts in some circumstances may be based on the old method in place so changes will not affect bonuses • Contracts relying on accounting numbers may rely on ‘floating’ GAAP Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-26 Incentives to manipulate accounting numbers • Rewarding managers on the basis of accounting profits may induce them to manipulate accounting numbers (the opportunistic perspective) – will affect their rewards • Bonuses based on profits cause short-term rather than long-term focus – may affect investment in positive NPV projects if returns not expected to be consistent Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-27 Incentives to manipulate accounting numbers—evidence • Healy (1985) found – managers adopt accounting methods to maximise bonus if contract rewarded managers after a pre-specified level of earnings reached – if income not expected to reach pre-specified minimum, managers shift earnings to future period (‘take a bath’) • Lewellen, Loderer and Martin (1987) found – US managers approaching retirement are less likely to undertake R&D expenditure if rewards based on accounting-based performance measures – short-term focus Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-28 Market-based bonus schemes • May be more appropriate to remunerate managers in terms of market value where accounting earnings fluctuate greatly – e.g. mining, or high technology R&D firms • Methods include – cash bonus based on share price increases – shares – options to shares Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-29 Market-based bonus schemes (cont.) • Managers have incentives to increase the value of the firm • Problems include – share price also affected by factors beyond the control of managers (e.g. general market movements) – only senior managers likely to have a significant impact on share value Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-30 Choice of accounting versus marketbased bonus schemes • More likely to be based on accounting earnings where – share returns relatively more sensitive to general market movements – earnings have a high association with firm-specific movement in the firm’s share values – earnings have a less positive association with marketwide movements in equity values Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-31 Debt contracting—agency costs of debt • Agency costs of debt include – excessive dividend payments, which leave fewer assets to service debt – the organisation may take on additional debt, with new debtholders competing with original debtholders for repayment – investment in high-risk projects may not be beneficial to debt holders as they have a fixed claim Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-32 Use of debt contracts • In the absence of safeguards to protect the interests of debtholders, it is assumed they will require the firm to pay higher costs of interest to compensate • If firms contract not to pay excess dividends, take on high levels of debt or invest in risky projects, then they can attract debt at lower cost Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-33 Australian debt contracts • In relation to Australian debt contracts, Cotter (1998) found – leverage covenants frequently used in bank loan contracts – leverage most frequently measured as the ratio of total liabilities to total tangible assets – prior charges covenants typically included in term loan agreements of larger firms – prior charges covenants defined as a percentage of total tangible assets Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-34 Australian debt contracts (cont.) – debt to assets, interest coverage and current ratio clauses frequently in use – interest coverage required to be between 1½ and 4 times – current ratio clauses required current assets be between 1 and 2 times the size of current liabilities Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-35 Debt contracts—manager’s incentive to manipulate • Ex post, the incentive to manipulate numbers increases as the constraints approach violation • Managers found to manipulate accounting accruals in the years before and the year after violation of a debt agreement • Consider HIH • Too costly to stipulate all acceptable accounting methods in contract so managers always have some discretionary ability Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-36 Role of external auditors • Auditors arbitrate on the reasonableness of the accounting method chosen • Demand for financial statement auditing when – management is rewarded on the basis of numbers generated by the accounting system – the firm has borrowed funds, and accounting-based covenants are in place to protect the investment of debtholders Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-37 Political costs • Costs resulting from political attention from government, lobby groups etc. • Commonly directed at larger firms – indication of market power • May result in increased taxes, increased wage claims, product boycotts etc. • Firms likely to adopt accounting methods to reduce profits to lower political scrutiny Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-38 Political actions of individuals • Limited expected ‘pay-off’ results from the actions of individuals • Results in formation of interest groups • Information costs shared, ability to investigate government and business action increases • Given self-interest, representatives of interest groups predicted to maximise own welfare as constituents have limited motivation or means to be fully informed Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-39 Actions of politicians • Politicians know that highly profitable companies could be unpopular with members of constituency • Politicians could win votes by taking actions against the companies – argue that in public interest even though in own interest • May rely on reported profits to justify actions – provides incentives for firms to reduce reported profits Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-40 Criticisms of PAT • Does not provide prescription • PAT is not value-free as it asserts assumption that all action is driven by self-interest • Argued to be too negative and simplistic a perspective of humankind • Issues have not shown great development • In undertaking large-scale empirical research, researchers ignore organisational-specific relationships Copyright 2006 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Financial Accounting Theory 2e by Deegan 7-41