Principles of Corporate Finance Chapter 11 Investment, Strategy, and Economic Rents Tenth Edition Slides by Matthew Will McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2010 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 12- 2 Topics Covered Look First To Market Values Economic Rents and Competitive Advantage Example - Marvin Enterprises McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 12- 3 Department Store Rents 8 8 NPV 100 ... $1,000 ,000 10 1.10 1.10 [assumes price of property appreciates by 3% a year] Rental yield = 10 - 3 = 7% 8 7 8 7.21 8 8.87 8 9.13 NPV ... $1,000 ,000 2 9 10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 12- 4 Department Store Rents McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 12- 5 Do Projects Have Positive NPVs? Rents = profits that more than cover the cost of capital NPV = PV (rents) Rents come only when you have a better product, lower costs or some other competitive edge Sooner or later competition is likely to eliminate rents McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 12- 6 Competitive Advantage Proposal to manufacture specialty chemicals Raw materials were commodity chemicals imported from Europe Finished product was exported to Europe High early profits, but . . . . . . what happens when competitors enter? McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 12- 7 Polyzone Production NPV U.S. Company (figures in millions) Investment Production, Millions of pounds per year Spread, dollars per pound Net revenues Production costs Transport Other costs Cash flow Year 0 100 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3-10 0 1.2 0 0 0 0 -100 0 1.2 0 0 0 20 -20 40 1.2 48 30 4 20 -6 80 1.2 96 30 8 20 38 NPV (at r=8%) = $63.6 million McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 12- 8 Polyzone Production NPV European Company (figures in millions) Investment Production, Millions of pounds per year Spread, dollars per pound Net revenues Production costs Transport Other costs Cash flow Year 0 100 0 0.95 0 0 0 0 -100 Year 1 0 0.95 0 0 0 20 -20 Year 2 40 0.95 38 30 0 20 -12 Year 3-10 80 0.95 76 30 0 20 26 NPV (at r=8%) = 0 McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 12- 9 Polyzone Production NPV U.S. Company w/ European Competition (figures in millions) Year 0 Investment Production, Millions of pounds per year Spread, dollars per pound Net revenues Production costs Transport Other costs Cash flow NPV (at r= 8%)= -9.8 McGraw Hill/Irwin 1 2 4 3 5 - 10 100 0 1.2 0 0 0 0 0 1.2 0 0 0 20 40 1.2 48 30 4 20 80 1.2 96 30 8 20 80 1.1 88 30 8 20 80 0.95 76 30 8 20 -100 -20 -6 38 30 18 Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 12- 10 Marvin Enterprises Capacity, Millions of Units Technology Industry Marvin Capital Cost per Unit ($) First generation (2017) 120 _ 17.5 5.5 2.5 Second generation (2025) 120 24 17.5 3.5 2.5 McGraw Hill/Irwin Manufacturing Cost per Unit ($) Salvage Value per Unit ($) Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 12- 11 Marvin Enterprises Demand for Garbage Blasters Demand = 80 (10 - Price) Price = 10 x quantity/80 McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 12- 12 Marvin Enterprises Value of Garbage Blaster Investment 6 3 10 NP V New P lant 100 10 t 1.2 1.25 $299 m illion 1 Change P Vexist ingplant 24 $72 m illion t 1.2 Net benefit 299 72 $227 m illion McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 12- 13 Marvin Enterprises •VALUE OF CURRENT BUSINESS: VALUE At price of $7 PV = 24 x 3.5/.20 420 •WINDFALL LOSS: Since price falls to $5 after 5 years, Loss = - 24 x (2 / .20) x (1 / 1.20)5 - 96 •VALUE OF NEW INVESTMENT: Rent gained on new investment = 100 x 1 for 5 years = 299 Rent lost on old investment = - 24 x 1 for 5 years = - 72 227 227 TOTAL VALUE: 551 CURRENT MARKET PRICE: 460 McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved 12- 14 Marvin Enterprises Alternative Expansion Plans NPV $m. 600 NPV new plant 400 Total NPV of investment 200 100 200 -200 Addition to 280 capacity millions Change in PV existing plant McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved