LRDSS an IT industry perspective Dr Siddhartha SenGupta Tata Infotech Ltd Siddhartha.SenGupta@TataInfotech.com Agenda Strengths Possible enhancements? Commentary - Phase end findings Tata Infotech in related work 1. LRDSS project 2. Train Planning, Monitoring & Control 3. Equipment repositioning - loco/wagon availability 4. The "Data problem" - towards analytical quality The "IT" angle 1. LRDSS is not "IT" - it is Management Science 2. Expectations of Indian “IT” companies Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 2 LRDSS - Strengths One of the few Large Scale Analytical Planning tools used by Indian Public Sector Major aspects covered: Opportunity: Forecasting business volume & price Threats: Analyzing competition Strength/Weakness: Rail technology evaluation Micro level: Sectional bottleneck analysis Plan generation Alternate investment scenario analysis Project Cost, Revenue & Cash Flow report Improvement in data quality, backed up by surveys “Best of breed” analytical approaches Excellent team Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 3 LRDSS – enhancements? System Verification: Monitoring: Compare prediction against actual Success report on projects evaluated Valuation: Estimate RoI of LRDSS Goal: LRDSS as a core input to Rail Budget Some additions/changes Workflow S..Z..B for Business/Price Forecasts “Rail Technology” to include “ICT” option “Force multiplication” of Rs 25 KB Loco/wagons 1%=$100M Use automated train planning w/ data logger inputs RAILS does not optimize (only feasibility check) Use Furness approach also for capacity analysis MINOS is outdated, use GA-based engines Linearize all models Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 4 LP speed up Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 5 Commentary– Phase findings ’96 Phase I report: Data unavailability – impacts: delay, report quality “Ambitious” with 3 modules (bugs, integration, ..) China Rail 1990 study quoted, but reorganization? Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 6 Commentary– Phase findings ’00 Phase II report: Declining profitability – make IR unviable?? How improve wagon availability? (customer need) How reduce ops slack? (30% capacity here) How to “tighten” loco timetables? (capacity issue) Capacity only answer to bottleneck?? Golden Quadrilateral?? New trucking technology & improved road load?? Improved sectional “capacity” measurement?? New ops practices? e.g. heavy MUXing for freight “Expert Advisors” were suggested for IT – where? MIS systems were suggested – lack integration Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 7 Agenda Strengths Possible enhancements? Commentary - Phase end findings Tata Infotech in related work 1. LRDSS project 2. Train Planning, Monitoring & Control 3. Equipment repositioning - loco/wagon availability 4. The "Data problem" - towards analytical quality The "IT" angle 1. LRDSS is not "IT" - it is Management Science 2. Expectations of Indian “IT” companies Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 8 Train Control and Planning Konkan & Indian Railways Projects TopRail Oil Tanker Scheduling Oil Coordination Committee INDIA CASE STIDY Managing 3PL business Forecasting & Planning, Empty Container Repositioning Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 14 9 Tata Infotech - LRDSS Supported WB consultants Peter Cook and Bob Leilich RAILS simulations Data cleaning & Optimisation Short interaction at GIS/Trans and CSI offices Longer interaction at Railway Board Lessons Very low level interaction No joint planning Contract work limited to simulations on T&M Systems replacement options outside scope Budget / long term plans unknown Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 10 Tata Infotech Train Ops System Controller Inputs Static Data Field Data OPEN COMMON INTERFACE Simulation Planning Training Graphic Displays: Train Describer Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited O p e r a t io n s M anagem ent Alarms Maintenance Passenger Information Route Control CTC MIS Reports 11 Tata Infotech Train Ops System Train Operations Planning Management •Real-time operations •Avoid “Scheduler blues” line blockage •Line Capacity utilisation Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited •Timetabling passenger/freight •Freight train pathing •Realistic simulations 12 The resources Timetabled passenger express….commuter Pathed freight heavy….empty Medical / breakdown / tool vans Light engine Stabled loads Motor, O/H equipment trolley TTM machine Gangman's trolley Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited Tracks mainly single, some double gradients, curvatures Stations passing loops, halt stations Signalling absolute block SCADA interfaced to signal panel 13 Stations Trains Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 14 Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 15 Sites Section Tracks KM Signal #stns KRCL 1, 2 760 Trains Local Pass Freight 22 22 2 Abs 52 HWH-KGP 2,3,4 116 Auto 34 157 52 46 KGP-TATA 2 134 Abs 18 15 26 35 KGP-BHC 2 177 Abs 28 12 35 30 PKU-HLZ 1 70 Abs 13 6 2 16 KGP-MDN 1 12 Abs 5 40 8 6 SRC-SHM 1 4 Abs 3 22 2 14 Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 16 Infrastructure Planning Highly congested segment Passenger & freight “Double Conventional” line operation “Absolute block” signaling Operations Managers suggested addition of 3rd line Signal Managers suggested signaling upgradation to Automatic extension of some station loops Simulation objective: capacity increase by signaling change Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 17 More tracks or signaling? station inter-station section station 5 Km Advanced starter Dist2 Dist1 Home Dist2 Dist1 Home Double Conventional line Original : Average 5 Km absolute block section 1 Km Advanced starter Home Double Conventional line Home Suggested: 1 Km automatic block section Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 18 AUTO SIGNALING Simulation results Booked Current Capacity Capacity Speed capacity Absolute Automatic (at actual (Km/h) speeds) signalling signalling 60 55 60 35+15 120 60 70 Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 19 Simulation results analysis Current traffic pattern + Signal conversion gives 8% - 9% capacity increase Reason for low increase: Average “Absolute block” section Advanced Starter to Home signal = 5 KM ZZ 4 aspect (R, Y, YY, G) signals at 1 Km 1st (green) to 4th (red) signals = 3 Km Suggested addition of loops on both sides at all stations Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 20 Agenda Strengths Possible enhancements? Commentary - Phase end findings Tata Infotech in related work 1. LRDSS project 2. Train Planning, Monitoring & Control 3. Equipment repositioning - loco/wagon availability 4. The "Data problem" - towards analytical quality The "IT" angle 1. LRDSS is not "IT" - it is Management Science 2. Expectations of Indian “IT” companies Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 21 Global Container Logistics Managing 3PL business Forecasting & Planning, Empty Container Repositioning Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 22 Global Container Logistics Client in “Buying & selling of Logistics” • World #1 Global 3PL in tank containers • Global operations • Multi-commodity Network Flow Driven by RoI – optimised asset utilization •Improved sales by 12% •Improved revenue by over $8M/yr Technology Optimisation, Forecasting & Workflow Work Optimised Repositioning Annual Forecasting & Budgeting Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 23 Agenda Strengths Possible enhancements? Commentary - Phase end findings Tata Infotech in related work 1. LRDSS project 2. Train Planning, Monitoring & Control 3. Equipment repositioning - loco/wagon availability 4. The "Data problem" - towards analytical quality The "IT" angle 1. LRDSS is not "IT" - it is Management Sciences 2. Expectations of Indian “IT” companies Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 24 Clean Analytical workbench Models, Parameters Analytical Functions Statistical Processing Optimisation Planner’s Workbench Other MIS ERP MIS Systems ETL Accounts & Sales Logistics Yield Mgmnt Analytical Data Marts Management & Accounts Global Sales Intranet Global Operations Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited Budgets Plans Pricing Business Interface 25 Agenda Strengths Possible enhancements? Commentary - Phase end findings Tata Infotech in related work 1. LRDSS project 2. Train Planning, Monitoring & Control 3. Equipment repositioning - loco/wagon availability 4. The "Data problem" - towards analytical quality The "IT" angle 1. LRDSS is not "IT" - it is Management Science 2. Expectations of Indian “IT” companies Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 26 IT element in LRDSS • LRDSS is NOT an “IT” project (IIT/IIM Depts) 1. The IT components are secondary 2. The Planning formulation is primary 3. “IT” is not a “Rail Technology” in LRDSS • There are interesting tools/processes 1. Sectional capacity analysis 2. Train Timetabling 3. Train Monitoring & Planning 4. Loco/wagon repositioning 5. Customer Survey Analysis 6. Demand & Price Forecasting Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 27 Expectations of vendors • • • • • Contract management Work acceptance criteria Volume, duration & nature of work Consultancy rates (ref MRVC project) LRDSS budget & timeframes • Suggest • IR-Academia-Industry partnership • Joint planning & execution • Funding reflecting returns/savings Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 28 Tata Infotech Offerings Analytic Services using these Technologies • Data Analysis (Statistics, Data Mining) • Optimization (OR, Artificial Intelligence) • Rule Based Systems Types of projects • Small-to-mid size, Duration 1 month – 6 months • Innovative/ repetitive work Outsourcing modes • T&M with Tata Infotech Technical Management • T&M with Client Technical Management • Turnkey http://www.tatainfotech.com/services/optimization/index.htm Copyright: Tata Infotech Limited 29 29