The European Market for Adhesives and Sealants FEICA Bernard Ghyoot Secretary General October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 1 Global A&S Demand 2010 ca. 12.000 Tons / 30 Billion € AsiaPacific+ Australia 29% Row 13% North America 27% Source: CHEM/DPNA Europe 32% Source: DPNA International/CHEM Research October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 2 European Market • Western Europe and Central Eastern Europe(CEE) have a still about a 1/3 of the global market • The European market can be divided up in three main sub-regions – Western Europe (EU15+Switzerland and Norway) – Central Europe (EU12 New member States) – CIS+Turkey October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 3 EU 27 – CIS- Turkey October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 4 Europe A&S Demand 2010 4.000 Tons - Value: 10,5 Billion € Central Europe (EU12) 11% CIS + Turkey 16% W. Europe (EU15+) 73% Source: CHEM Research/FEICA October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 5 European Demographics Adhesive/Sealant Demand A&S Market Growth Region W. Europe (EU-15+) Central Europe (EU 12) CIS + Turkey GDP Popul. Growth M. 2009 `09-`10 Estimated 2010 A&S Demand (Formulated Products) % AGR `09-'10 % AGR `10-`11 1.000 T. Billion € Kg/ Capita 368 1,6% 8,9% 2,5% 2.900 8,3 7,9 132 4,0% 5,6% 5,0% 450 1,0 3,4 298 5,0% 7,9% 8,0% 650 1,2 2,2 Source: U.N. Statistics/ CHEM Research GmbH October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 6 Europe A&S Demand 2006-2011 Total demand 2010: 4.000 Tons - Value: 10,5 Billion € CEE W. Europe 3.000 1.000 Tons 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 2006 2007 2008 Source: CHEM Research / FEICA October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 2009 2010 Est. 2011 Projected 7 Market Growth 2006-2011 • The recession affected the A&S demand in Western Europe more than in the CEE region • Strong recovery in 2010 (8%<) • Moderate growth expected in Western Europe in 2011 (<3%), but more sustained growth anticipated in the CEE area (6%<), • CIS has been severly hitted by the recession but a moderate growth started mid year while Turkey resisted well to the recession and is growing at average for the next 3 years rate >8%. October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 8 Geographic Growth 2010-2011 (volume) Projected Growth: 3.7% Incremental Demand: ca. 160 Thousand Tonnes 100 Incremental Growth (1.000 T.) 90 80 W. Europe (EU15+) 70 CIS + Turkey 60 50 40 30 Central Europe (EU12) 20 10 0 0 2 Source: CHEM Research/FEICA October 20, 2010 4 6 8 10 Annual Growth % ARAC conference 9 A&S Market Segments 2010 (Volume) Total demand: 4.5 Million Metric Tons Sealants Adhesives 1.000 T. 1500 1000 500 0 e nv o /C c Pa g in g ka n rti g io at t or Tr r n sp n a ot o F w ea DI r/ Y e um s n Co Bu ng i ild tr s on C / tio c u n o w d oo W in rk er g y/ bl h Ot em s s A Source: CHEM Research/FEICA October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 10 A&S Segment Growth 2010-2011(volume) Projected Growth: 3.7% Incremental Demand: ca. 160 Thousand Tonnes 80 Incremental Growth (1.000 T.) 70 Paper, Board and Related Products 60 Building Construction, Civil Engineering, Craftsmen 50 40 30 20 Footwear and 10 Leather Woodworking and Joinery Consumer/DIY (retail) 0 0 1 Source: CHEM Research / FEICA October 20, 2010 2 3 4 5 6 Annual Growth % ARAC conference 11 Market Segment Growth • Converting/Packaging: A dynamic market supported by the food industry and exports of industrial goods • Building/Construction: Stimulated by infrastructure development in the CEE region and renovation activities in Western Europe • Consumer demand remaining stable 12 Market Segment Growth (2) • Industrial Assembly: Recovery supported by export activities • Woodworking and leather & shoe manufacture: Moderate recovery, experiencing significant offshoring to Asia and Africa. October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 13 European Market Drivers Key drivers in Western Europe • A&S demand stimulated by EU production of goods for export, • Strong Euro, • Banking sector is paintfully recovering with some limitation on credit (SME‘s). • Governments spending cuts reducing their deficits, October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 14 European Market Drivers (2) • Intensifying regulatory activities: i.e. REACH, CLP, environment, public health protections, • Rising costs (raw materials, energy) • Raw material supply disruptions, • New Innovations in product technologies, services or new applications. October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 15 European Market Drivers (3) Key drivers in Eastern Europe • Economic growth and industrial development continue in many countries – GDP growth forecast 2010-2011 greater 4% • Disposable income continues increasing • Rising costs (raw materials, energy, labor) October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 16 Market Opportunities - Europe • Energy efficiency – Renewable Energy. – Housing – Automotive – Industrial – Power generation • Infrastructure rehabilitation and expansion, • Food production and packaging, • Economic/financial crisis has boost Innovation and new applications. October 20, 2010 ARAC conference 17